The Reduction of After-Hours and Weekend Effects in Upper Gastro-intestinal Bleeding Mortality During the COVID-19 Pandemic Compared to the Pre-Pandemic Period.

Background: In upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), admissions after normal working hours and during weekends may be associated with increased mortality. Aim: To assess the evolution of the after-hours and weekend effects during the COVID-19 pandemic as a result of progressive improved management despite management challenges during the pandemic. Methods: We performed an observational study of patients admitted for UGIB at a tertiary academic center between March 2020 and December 2021, compared to the corresponding timeframe before the pandemic. Admissions were assessed based on regular hours versus after-hours and weekdays versus weekends. We stratified patients based on demographic data, etiology, prognostic scores, the time between symptom onset and admission, as and between admission and endoscopy. The outcomes included mortality, rebleeding rate, the requirement for surgery and transfusion, and hospitalization days. Results: 802 cases were recorded during the pandemic, and 1006 cases before the pandemic. The overall mortality rate was 12.33%. Patients admitted after hours and during weekends had a higher mortality rate compared to those admitted during regular hours and weekdays (15.18% versus 10.22%, and 15.25% versus 11.16%), especially in cases of non-variceal bleeding. However, the difference in mortality rates was reduced by 2/3 during the pandemic, despite the challenges posed by COVID-19 infection. This suggests that there was an equalization effect of care in UGIB, regardless of the admission time. The differences observed in mortality rates for after-hours and weekend admissions seem to be primarily related to a higher proportion of patients who did not undergo endoscopy, while the proportion of severe cases remained similar. Blood requirements, hospital days, and rebleeding rate were similar between the two groups. Conclusion: Admissions during weekends and after-hours have been associated with increased mortality, particularly in cases of non-variceal bleeding. However, the impact of this association was significantly reduced during the pandemic.

NLR48 is Better Than CRP, and mCTSI, and Similar to BISAP and SOFA Scores for Mortality Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis: A Comparison of 6 Scores.

Introduction: The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested as a reliable marker for predicting inflammation progression and severity of acute pancreatitis, although the role of the NLR stratified by etiology is still insufficiently studied. However, the NLR's role in mortality prediction was poorly evaluated in the literature. Patients and Methods: We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional study to analyze the role of NLR0 (at admission) and NLR48 (at 48 hours) in acute pancreatitis as compared with CRP, BISAP, SOFA, and modified CTSI (mCTSI) for the prediction of mortality and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in patients admitted into the Emergency Clinical County Hospital of Craiova during 48 months. The primary assessed outcomes were the rate of in-hospital mortality, the rate of persistent organ failure, and ICU admissions. We analyzed mortality prediction for all acute pancreatitis, for biliary, alcoholic, and hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis, for severe forms, and for patients admitted to the ICU. Results: A total of 725 patients were selected; 42.4% had biliary acute pancreatitis, 27.7% had alcoholic acute pancreatitis, and 8.7% had hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis. A total of 13.6% had POF during admission. The AUC for NLR48 in predicting mortality risk and SAP was 0.81 and 0.785, superior to NLR0, CRP48, and mCTSI but inferior to BISAP and SOFA scores. The NLR48/NLR0 ratio did not add significantly to the accuracy. NLR0 and NLR48 performed poorly for mortality prediction in severe forms and in patients admitted to the ICU. NLR48 has good accuracy in our study for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis. Conclusion: NLR48 was a good indicator in predicting mortality risk and severe forms in all patients with acute pancreatitis, but not of death in SAP and in patients admitted to ICU, with good accuracy for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Outcomes in Patients Admitted for Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding and COVID-19 Infection: A Study of Two Years of the Pandemic.

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) represents a major emergency, and patient management requires endoscopic assessment to ensure appropriate treatment. The impact of COVID-19 on patient mortality in UGIB may be related to the combination of respiratory failure and severe bleeding and indirectly to delayed admissions or a reduction in endoscopic procedures. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study involving patients admitted between March 2020 and December 2021 with UGIB and confirmed. Our objective was to compare these types of patients with those negative for SARS-CoV-2 infection, as well as with a pre-pandemic group of patients admitted between May 2018 and December 2019. RESULTS: Thirty-nine patients (4.7%) with UGIB had an active COVID-19 infection. A higher mortality rate (58.97%) and a high risk of death (OR 9.04, p < 0.0001) were noted in the COVID-19 pandemic, mostly because of respiratory failure; endoscopy was not performed in half of the cases. Admissions for UGIB have decreased by 23.7% during the pandemic. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 infection in patients admitted for UGIB was associated with a higher mortality rate because of respiratory failure and possible delays in or contraindications of treatment.

Predicting mortality in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding using machine-learning.

Background: Non-endoscopic risk scores, Glasgow Blatchford (GBS) and admission Rockall (Rock), are limited by poor specificity. The aim of this study was to develop an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the non-endoscopic triage of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB), with mortality as a primary outcome. Methods: Four machine learning algorithms, namely, Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA), Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), logistic regression (LR), K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN), were performed with GBS, Rock, Beylor Bleeding score (BBS), AIM65, and T-score. Results: A total of 1,096 NVUGIB hospitalized in the Gastroenterology Department of the County Clinical Emergency Hospital of Craiova, Romania, randomly divided into training and testing groups, were included retrospectively in our study. The machine learning models were more accurate at identifying patients who met the endpoint of mortality than any of the existing risk scores. AIM65 was the most important score in the detection of whether a NVUGIB would die or not, whereas BBS had no influence on this. Also, the greater AIM65 and GBS, and the lower Rock and T-score, the higher mortality will be. Conclusion: The best accuracy was obtained by the hyperparameter-tuned K-NN classifier (98%), giving the highest precision and recall on the training and testing datasets among all developed models, showing that machine learning can accurately predict mortality in patients with NVUGIB.

The Accuracy of Pre-Endoscopic Scores for Mortality Prediction in Patients with Upper GI Bleeding and No Endoscopy Performed.

(1) Background: The assessment of mortality and rebleeding rate in upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is essential, and several prognostic scores have been proposed. Some patients with UGIB did not undergo endoscopy, either because they refused the procedure, suffered from alcohol withdrawal symptoms or altered general status, or because the bleeding was severe enough to cause death before the endoscopy. The mortality risk in the subgroup of patients without endoscopy is poorly evaluated in the literature. (2) Methods: The purpose of the study was to identify the most useful scores for the assessment of in-hospital mortality in patients with UGIB with no endoscopy performed and no known etiology. A total of 198 patients with UGIB and no endoscopy performed were admitted between January 2017 and December 2021 and the accuracy of 12 prognostic scores and the Charlson comorbidity index for in-hospital mortality prediction were analyzed, as well as Child-Pugh Turcotte (CPT) and Meld scores in patients with cirrhosis. (3) Results: The mortality rate was 37.9%, higher than in variceal (21.9%, p < 0.0001) and non-variceal bleeding (7.4%, p < 0.0001). The most accurate scores by AUC were the International Bleeding score (INBS, 0.844), Glasgow Blatchford (0.783), MAP score (0.78), Iino (0.766), AIM65 and modified N-score (0.745 each), modified Glasgow-Blatchford (0.73), H3B2 and N-score (0.701); Rockall, Baylor, and T-score had an AUC below 0.7. MELD score was superior to CPT in patients with cirrhosis (AUC 0.811 versus 0.670). (4) Conclusions: The mortality rate in UGIB with no endoscopy was higher than in both variceal and non-variceal bleeding and was higher in the pandemic period but with no statistical significance (45.3% versus 32.14%, p = 0.0586), mainly because of positive cases. Only one case of rebleeding was noted; the hospitalization period was significantly shorter. The most accurate score was International Bleeding Score; the MELD score had a higher but moderate accuracy compared with CPT in patients with cirrhosis.

Mortality Rate in Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Associated with Anti-Thrombotic Therapy Before and During Covid-19 Pandemic.

Introduction: During the last few years, a progressive higher proportion of patients have had upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) related to antithrombotic therapy. The introduction of direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) and COVID-19 pandemic may change the incidence, mortality, and follow-up, especially in patients at high risk of bleeding. Patients and Methods: We studied the use of anti-thrombotic therapy (AT) in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding for 5 years (January 2017-December 2021) including Covid-19 pandemic period (March 2020-December 2021). We analyzed mortality rate, rebleeding rate and need for transfusion in patients with AT therapy compared with those without AT therapy and risk factors for mortality, and also the incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding in patients admitted for COVID-19 infection. Results: A total of 824 patients were admitted during Covid-19 pandemic period and 1631 before pandemic period; a total of 426 cases of bleeding were recorded in patients taking antithrombotic therapy and the frequency of antithrombotic therapy in patients with UGIB was higher in pandemic period (24.39% versus 13.8%). Unadjusted mortality was 12.21%, similar with patients with no antithrombotic treatment but age-adjusted mortality was 9.62% (28% lower). The rate of endoscopy was similar but fewer therapeutic procedures were required. Mean Hb level was 10% lower, and more than 60% of patients required blood transfusion. Conclusion: Mortality was similar compared with patients with no antithrombotic therapy, fewer therapeutic endoscopies were performed and similar rebleeding rate and emergency surgery were noted. Hb level was 10% lower and a higher proportion of patients required blood transfusions. Mortality was higher in DOAC treatment group compared with VKA patients but with no statistical significance. The rate of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in Covid-19 positive hospitalized cases was 0.58%. The mortality risk in multivariate analysis was associated with GB score, with no endoscopy performed, with obscure and variceal bleeding and with LMWH versus VKA therapy.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Gastrointestinal Involvement: A Systematic Review.

In this paper, we aimed to evaluate clinical and imagistic features, and also to provide a diagnostic algorithm for patients presenting with gastrointestinal involvement from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We conducted a systematic search on the PubMed, Scopus and Web of Science databases to identify and collect papers oncases of HCC with gastrointestinal involvement. This search was last updated on 29 April 2022. One hundred and twenty-three articles were included, corresponding to 197 patients. The majority of the patients were male (87.30%), with a mean age of 61.21 years old. The analysis showed large HCCs located mainly in the right hepatic lobe, and highly elevated alfa-fetoprotein (mean = 15,366.18 ng/mL). The most frequent etiological factor was hepatitis B virus (38.57%). Portal vein thrombosis was present in 27.91% of cases. HCC was previously treated in most cases by transarterial chemoembolization (32.99%) and surgical resection (28.93%). Gastrointestinal lesions, developed mainly through direct invasion and hematogenous routes, were predominantly detected in the stomach and duodenum in equal measure-27.91%. Gastrointestinal bleeding was the most common presentation (49.74%). The main diagnostic tools were esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) and computed tomography. The mean survival time was 7.30 months. Gastrointestinal involvement in HCC should be included in the differential diagnosis of patients with underlying HCC and gastrointestinal manifestations or pathological findings in EGD.

Clostridioides difficile Infection among Cirrhotic Patients with Variceal Bleeding.

Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) stands as the leading cause of nosocomial infection with high morbidity and mortality rates, causing a major burden on the healthcare system. Driven by antibiotics, it usually affects older patients with chronic disease or immunosuppressed or oncologic management. Variceal bleeding secondary to cirrhosis requires antibiotics to prevent bacterial translocation, and thus patients become susceptible to CDI. We aimed to investigate the risk factors for CDI in cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding following ceftriaxone and the mortality risk in this patient's population. We retrospectively screened 367 cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding, from which 25 patients were confirmed with CDI, from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2019. We found MELD to be the only multivariate predictor for mortality (odds ratio, OR = 1.281, 95% confidence interval, CI: 0.098-1.643, p = 0.042). A model of four predictors (age, days of admission, Charlson index, Child-Pugh score) was generated (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, AUC = 0.840, 95% CI: 0.758-0.921, p < 0.0001) to assess the risk of CDI exposure. Determining the probability of getting CDI for cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding could be a tool for doctors in taking decisions, which could be integrated in sustainable public health programs.

Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR)-A Useful Tool for the Prognosis of Sepsis in the ICU.

Sepsis is a life-threatening medical emergency induced by the body's extreme response to an infection. Despite well-defined and constantly updated criteria for diagnosing sepsis, it is still underdiagnosed worldwide. Among various markers studied over time, the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) recently emerged as a good marker to predict sepsis severity. Our study was a single-center prospective observational study performed in our ICU and included 114 patients admitted for sepsis or septic shock. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is easy to perform, CBC being one of the standard blood tests routinely performed upon admission for all ICU patients. We found that NLR was increased in all patients with sepsis and significantly raised in those with septic shock. NLR correlates significantly with sepsis severity evaluated by the SOFA score (R = 0.65) and also with extensively studied sepsis prognosis marker presepsin (R = 0.56). Additionally, NLR showed good sensitivity (47%) and specificity (78%) with AUC = 0.631 (p < 0.05). NLR is less expensive and easier to perform compared with other specific markers and may potentially become a good alternate option for evaluation of sepsis severity. Larger studies are needed in the future to demonstrate the prognosis value of NLR.

Factors predicting occurrence and therapeutic choice in malignant colorectal polyps: a study of 13 years of colonoscopic polypectomy.

Colorectal carcinoma represents a major cause of mortality and 0.2-12% of resected colonic polyps have malignant cells inside. We performed a retrospective study of patients with resected polyps during a period of 13 years. A total of 905 patients had 2033 polyps removed; 122 polyps (109 patients) had malignant cells. Prevalence of malignant polyps with submucosal invasion was 1.23% and for all polyps with malignant cells was 6%; malignant polyps had a larger size (23.44 mm mean diameter) vs benign polyps (9.63 mm); the risk of malignancy was increased in polyps larger than 10 mm, in lateral spreading lesions and in Paris types 0-Ip, 0-Isp, in sigmoid, descending colon and rectum, in sessile serrated adenoma and traditional serrate adenoma subtypes of serrated lesions and in tubulovillous and villous adenoma. In 18 cases surgery was performed, in 62 patients only colonoscopic follow-up was made and in 35 patients no colonoscopic follow-up was recorded. From initially endoscopic resected polyps, recurrence was noted in seven (11.3%) cases; there was a trend toward association with depth of invasion, piecemeal resection, right and rectum location, sessile and lateral spreading type and pathological subtype. In surgical group, post-therapeutic staging was available in 11 cases; nodal involvement was noted in three (27.27%) cases; none had lymphatic or vascular invasion in endoscopically resected polyps. Four patients with no macroscopic local recurrence underwent surgery with no residual tumor. The rate of metastasis was 16.67% in surgical group and 1.61% in endoscopic group. Evaluation of lymph node (LN) invasion was available for 11 operated patients, with LN invasion (N1) in three patients, local residual tumoral tissue in one patient with incomplete resection and no residual tumor (R0 resection) in four patients with endoscopic resection before surgery.

Value of endoscopy with narrow-band imaging and probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy in the diagnosis of preneoplastic lesions of gastrointestinal tract.

INTRODUCTION: Amongst all malignant tumors, cancers of the digestive tract rank first in terms of yearly deaths. Patients above 60 years of age are the most affected, as the diagnosis is frequently made in advanced stages of the disease when therapy is less effective. Our study aimed to evaluate the efficiency of narrow-band imaging (NBI) endoscopy and probe-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (pCLE) in the correct diagnosis of preneoplastic lesions in the upper and lower digestive tract. PATIENTS, MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included 46 patients with digestive preneoplastic lesions, who underwent either upper or lower digestive endoscopy, followed by NBI and pCLE. We recorded 5-10 frames per each lesion, from different angles and distances during white-light endoscopy and selected frames from full recordings of NBI and pCLE. Usual preparation was used for the endoscopic procedures; pCLE required in vivo administration of 10% Sodium Fluorescein as a contrast agent. Pathology was performed in case of solid tumors. Three medical professionals with different levels of training, blinded to the results, interpreted the data. RESULTS: The experienced physician correlated very well the NBI findings with pathology (0.93, p=0.05), while the resident physician and the experienced nurse obtain lower, albeit still statistically significant, values (0.73 and 0.62, respectively). For pCLE, the experienced physician obtained near-perfect correlation with pathology (0.96), followed closely by the resident physician (0.93). The nurse obtained a modest correlation (0.42). All examiners obtained approximately equal performances in discerning between malignant and benign lesions. CONCLUSIONS: Digestive endoscopy in NBI mode proved its effectiveness. Even less experienced endoscopists can achieve good results, while an experienced nurse can positively influence the diagnosis. In the case of pCLE, when available, it can greatly reduce diagnostic times, while requiring higher expertise and specialty training.

A computer-aided diagnostic system for intestinal polyps identified by wireless capsule endoscopy.

Small bowel polyps present in images acquired by wireless capsule endoscopy are more difficult to detect using computer-aided diagnostic (CAD) systems. We aimed to identify the optimum morphological characteristics that best describe a polyp and convert them into feature vectors used for automatic detection of polyps present in images acquired by wireless capsule endoscopy (WCE). We prospectively included 54 patients with clinical indications for WCE. Initially, physicians analyzed all images acquired, identifying the frames that contained small bowel polyps. Subsequently, all images were analyzed using an automated computer-aided diagnostic system designed and implemented to convert physical characteristics into vectors of numeric values. The data set was completed with texture and color information, and then analyzed by a feed forward back propagation artificial neural network (ANN) trained to identify the presence of polyps in WCE frames. Overall, the neural network had 93.75% sensitivity, 91.38% specificity, 85.71% positive predictive value (PPV) and 96.36% negative predictive value (NPV). In comparison, physicians' diagnosis indicated 94.79% sensitivity, 93.68% specificity, 89.22% PPV and 97.02% NPV, thus showing that ANN diagnosis was similar to that of human interpretation. Computer-aided diagnostic of small bowel polyps, based on morphological features detection methods, emulation and neural networks classification, seems efficient, fast and reliable for physicians.

Clinical and pathological considerations on renal diseases in patients with chronic viral hepatitis.

Chronic viral hepatitis B and C may associate different extrahepatic manifestations and renal disease is the most frequent. Kidney damage is represented in most cases by glomerulopathies, which include membranous nephropathy, membranoproliferative glomerulonephritis (MPGN), IgA nephropathy, focal and segmental glomerulosclerosis and diabetic nephropathy. We conducted a retrospective study on 639 patients diagnosed with chronic viral hepatitis B and C and different renal diseases. Complete evaluation of liver and renal status was performed and, in selected cases, renal biopsy. The evaluation of our cases allowed us to uncover that 82 (12.8%) patients presented a renal disease that could be linked to the viral infection. In order to identify the histopathological type of the renal lesions, kidney biopsy was performed in 39 of our patients. In hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, the most frequent glomerulopathy was represented by membranous nephropathy, while in chronic hepatitis C infection, MPGN was responsible for the majority of glomerulonephritis. Most patients with MPGN and hepatitis C virus (HCV) also presented mixed cryoglobulinemia. Immunoglobulin A (IgA) nephropathy was present in both liver diseases while diabetic nephropathy was only found in HCV infection, in the context in which chronic hepatitis C is a risk factor for the development of type II diabetes mellitus.