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1.
J Multidiscip Healthc ; 17: 2321-2330, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38770172

RESUMO

Introduction: The occurrence of dengue fever presents a considerable burden for public health care in developing countries. This study aims to validate APRI as predictor score for severity of dengue fever so that catastrophic events could be prevented, and early triage can save lives. Methods: The retrospective cross-sectional study was done on dengue positive patients from August to November 2023. APRI score was calculated for every patient at the time of admission. The primary end-point was non-complicated disease (Simple dengue fever) vs complicated disease (dengue hemorrhagic fever and dengue shock syndrome). ROC curve was used to identify the role of APRI in prediction of dengue complication. Youden index was used to find the cut-off value of APRI along with sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratios. To further evaluate the role of APRI score, patients were divided into two groups, patients with APRI score greater and lesser than cut-off value. The qualitative variables among two groups were compared by chi-square testing. The predictors of complicated dengue were first determined by univariate regression analysis and then confirmed by multivariate regression analysis. Results: The mean APRI score of 135 patients was 20.06 ± 6.31. AUC for APRI score was 0.93 (p < 0.0001) indicating that APRI score calculated at the time of admission is an excellent marker in determining the complicated dengue. The cut-off value for APRI score was 9.04 (sensitivity 84.91%, specificity 89.02%, p < 0.0001). The patients with APRI <9.04 mostly developed simple dengue fever (54.1%) vs DHF (4.4%) and DSS (1.5%), while patients with APRI >9.04 had more DHF (20.7%) and DSS (12.6%) vs simple dengue fever (6.7%). None of the patient died with APRI <9.04 while the mortality rate was 3.7% in patients with APRI >9.04. Conclusion: The APRI score, calculated at the time of admission, is an excellent marker in determining the severe dengue.

2.
J Clin Med ; 11(22)2022 Nov 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36431131

RESUMO

The two most familiar scores used for prognostication of liver cirrhosis are the Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), while the Glasgow-Blatchford (GB) score is used for sorting non-variceal upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage into high- or low-risk categories. This study evaluates the validity of the CTP, MELD, and GB scoring systems in prognosticating the in-hospital outcome of bleeding portal hypertensive patients. In this study, the ROC curve and Younden index determine the efficacy of three scoring systems. The results indicate that CTP was the most efficient score as the predictor of outcome (AUC = 0.9, cut-off value > 7); followed by MELD (AUC = 0.8, cut-off value > 18) and then the GB score (AUC = 0.64, cut-off value > 14) (p < 0.05). In pair-wise comparison, the difference between CTP and MELD was insignificant (p > 0.05). Patients with a CTP score of >7 had notably higher in-hospital mortality (19.8% vs. 0.9%, p < 0.0001). Similarly, mortality with a MELD score > 18 was significant (14.8% vs. 5.9% (p < 0.0001). The GB score was not a good indicator of the outcome. Platelets, albumin, CTP, and MELD scores were the independent contributors to mortality. Thus, as liver cirrhosis prognosticators, CTP and MELD scores can also both be used as predictive scores of the in-hospital outcomes of bleeding patients due to portal hypertension. Compared to the GB score, CTP and MELD scores are fairly efficient predictors in these patients.

3.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 10(10)2022 Oct 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36298585

RESUMO

Mycoplasma genitalium, besides urethritis, causes a number of other sexually transmitted diseases, posing a significant health threat to both men and women, particularly in developing countries. In light of the rapid appearance of multidrug-resistant strains, M. genitalium is regarded as an emerging threat and has been placed on the CDC's "watch list". Hence, a protective vaccine is essential for combating this pathogen. In this study, we utilized reverse vaccinology to develop a chimeric vaccine against M. genitalium by identifying vaccine targets from the reference proteome (Strain G-37) of this pathogen. A multiepitope vaccine was developed using proteins that are non-toxic, non-allergic, and non-homologous to human proteins. Several bioinformatic tools identified linear and non-linear B-cell epitopes, as well as MHC epitopes belonging to classes I and II, from the putative vaccine target proteins. The epitopes that showed promiscuity among the various servers were shortlisted and subsequently selected for further investigation based on an immunoinformatic analysis. Using GPGPG, AAY, and KK linkers, the shortlisted epitope sequences were assembled to create a chimeric construct. A GPI anchor protein immunomodulating adjuvant was adjoined to the vaccine construct's N-terminus through the EAAK linker so as to improve the overall immunogenicity. For further investigations of the designed construct, various bioinformatic tools were employed to study the physicochemical properties, immune profile, solubility, and allergenicity profile. A tertiary chimeric design was computationally modeled using I-TASSER and Robetta and was subsequently refined through GalaxyRefine. ProSA-Web was exploited to corroborate the quality of the construct by detecting errors and the Ramachandran plot was used to identify possible quality issues. Simulation studies of the molecular dynamics demonstrated the robustness and flexibility of the designed construct. Following the successful docking of the designed model to the immune receptors, the construct was computationally cloned into Escherichia coli plasmids to affirm the efficient expression of the designed construct in a biological system.

4.
Eurasian J Med ; 54(3): 213-218, 2022 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35950820

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To date, there is no specific validated coronavirus disease 2019 score to assess the disease severity. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the National Early Warning Score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase scores in predicting the in-hospital outcome of critical or severe coronavirus disease 2019 patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Single-centered analytical study was carried out in the coronavirus disease 2019 high dependency unit from April to August 2020. National Early Warning Score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase scores were calculated for each critical to severely ill coronavirus disease 2019 patient. The diagnostic accuracy of these 3 scores in determining the in-hospital outcome of coronavirus disease 2019 patients was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The cut-off value of each score along with sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative likelihood ratio were calculated by Youden index. Predictors of outcome in coronavirus disease 2019 patients were analyzed by Cox-regression analysis. RESULTS: The area under the curve was highest for the Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase score (area under the curve=0.85) while the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score had an area under the curve of 0.72. The cut-off values for National Early Warning Score score was 8 (sensitivity=72.34%, specificity=76.10%), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score was 3 (sensitivity=68.97%, specificity=67.42%), and Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase score was 8 (sensitivity=88.89%, specificity=66.67%). The pairwise comparison showed that the difference between the area under the curve of these 3 scores was statistically insignificant (P > .05). The rate of mortality and invasive ventilation was significantly high in groups with high National Early Warning Score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase scores (P > .0001). These 3 scores, age, low platelets, and high troponin-T levels were found to be statistically significant predictors of outcome Conclusion:Comorbidity-Age-Lymphocyte count-Lactate dehydrogenase score had a good area under the curve, the highest sensitivity of its cut-off value, required only 4 parameters, and is easy to calculate so it may be a better tool among the 3 scores in outcome prediction for coronavirus disease 2019 patients.

5.
Int J Gen Med ; 15: 4907-4916, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35585996

RESUMO

Background: Cytokine release syndrome (CRS) significantly contributes to the pathophysiology and progression of COVID-19. It is speculated that therapeutic plasma exchange (TPE) can dampen CRS via elimination of pathogenic cytokines. Objectives: The study is intended to compare the outcomes of COVID-19 patients with CRS treated with TPE and standard care (SC) to their counterparts receiving SC alone. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study of severe COVID-19 confirmed patients presenting with CRS and admitted to the medical ICU was conducted between March and August 2021. Using case-control (CC) matching 1:1, 162 patients were selected and divided into two equal groups. The primary outcome was 28-day in-hospital survival analysis in severe COVID-19 patients with CRS. However, secondary outcomes included the effect of plasmapheresis on inflammatory markers, the need for mechanical ventilation, the rate of extubation, and the duration of survival. Results: After CC matching, the study cohort had a mean age of 55.41 (range 56.41±11.56 in TP+SC and 54.42±8.94 in SC alone; p=0.22). There were 25.95% males and 74.05% females in both groups. The mean time from first day of illness to hospitalization was 6.53±2.18 days. The majority of patients with CRS had comorbid conditions (75.9%). Diabetes mellitus was the most common comorbidity (40.1%), followed by hypertension (25.3%), and chronic kidney disease (21%). Notable reduction in some inflammatory markers (D-dimers, LDH, CRP and serum ferritin) (p<0.0001) was observed in the group that received TPE+SC. Moreover, the patients in the plasmapheresis plus standard care group required relatively less mechanical ventilation as compared to the group receiving SC alone (46.9% vs 58.1%, respectively; p>0.05). The rate of extubation in the TP+SC group vs SC alone was 60.5% vs 44.7%, respectively (p>0.05). Similarly, the mortality percentages in both groups were 19.8% and 24.7%, respectively. Conclusion: For this particular group of matched patients with COVID-19-induced CRS, TPE+SC was linked with relatively better overall survival, early extubation, and earlier discharge compared to SC alone. As these results were not statistically significant, multi-centered randomized control trials are needed to further elaborate the role of therapeutic plasmapheresis in COVID-19 induced CRS.

6.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 10(12)2021 Dec 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34943722

RESUMO

(1) Objectives: Patients with COVID-19 infection have been given various formulations and dosages of steroids over the last year and a half. This study aims to compare the effects of different formulations and doses of steroids on the 30 day in-hospital clinical outcome of patients with severe COVID-19 infection. (2) Material and Methods: An analysis of a retrospective cohort was carried out on patients with severe COVID-19 infection in a high-dependency unit (HDU) between February and July 2021. In total, 557 patients were included in this study. Patients who did not receive steroids (124) were excluded. Patients were divided into three groups based on dosages of steroids (Dexamethasone = 6 mg/day, Dexamethasone > 6 mg/day, and Methylprednisolone = 500 mg/day), given for 10 days. First, clinical outcome was evaluated on the 10th day of steroid administration in relation to mode of oxygen delivery. Then, Kaplan-Meier analysis was employed to determine 30 day in-hospital survival in relation to the use of steroid. (3) Results: Three groups were statistically equal according to biochemical characteristics. After 10 days of Methylprednisolone = 500 mg/day vs. Dexamethasone = 6 mg/day, 10.9% vs. 6.2% of patients required invasive ventilation (p = 0.01). The 30 day in-hospital mortality was lowest, 3%, in individuals receiving Dexamethasone = 6 mg/day, compared to 3.9% in individuals receiving Dexamethasone > 6 mg/day and 9.9% in individuals receiving Methylprednisolone = 500 mg/day, respectively. The median elapsed time was longer than 28 days between admission and outcome for Dexamethasone = 6 mg/day, compared to 18 days for Dexamethasone > 6 mg/day and 17 days for Methylprednisolone = 500 mg/day (p = < 0.0001). Dexamethasone = 6 mg/day was found to be a positive predictor of clinical outcome in COVID-19 patients on regression analysis. (4) Conclusions: Low-dose Dexamethasone (6 mg/day) is more effective than high-dose Dexamethasone and Methylprednisolone in improving the survival outcome of severe COVID-19 cases.

7.
Antibiotics (Basel) ; 10(11)2021 Nov 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34827332

RESUMO

(1) Background: Severe coronavirus disease can be complicated by a hypercoagulable state in conjunction with sepsis, increasing the risk of venous thromboembolism. This study aimed to observe the effect of anticoagulants on 30-day high-dependency unit (HDU) outcomes of moderate to severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients of a tertiary care hospital at Rawalpindi, Pakistan. (2) Methods: A retrospective propensity-based case-control study was carried out to examine COVID-19 patients admitted to the HDU. Patient groups who did and did not receive anticoagulants were labeled as "anticoagulant" and "non-anticoagulant", respectively. Case-control matching (1:1) was performed via propensity scores (calculated by a regression model). Kaplan-Meier and logrank analyses were used to study survival probability. Single predictors of outcomes were determined by Cox regression analysis. (3) Results: The anticoagulant group had elevated D-dimers, advanced age, more comorbidities and a higher frequency of severe disease compared to the non-anticoagulant group (p < 0.05). Therefore, 47 cases and 47 matched controls were selected based on their propensity scores. The primary endpoint was outcome (survived vs. died). The 30-day in-HDU mortality was 25.5% for cases and 61.7% for controls (p = 0.0004). The median time from admission to death was 16 days for the case group and 7 days for the control group (p < 0.0001). The 30-day mortality was 19.1% for the enoxaparin group and 16.4% for the heparin group (p > 0.05). Enoxaparin (therapeutic and prophylactic doses) and heparin (prophylactic dose) were found to be independent factors affecting the outcomes of these patients (p < 0.001). (4) Conclusions: Anticoagulants play a beneficial role in reducing mortality among COVID-19 patients. Both anticoagulant formulations, enoxaparin (therapeutic and prophylactic doses) and heparin (prophylactic dose), were associated with improving survival among these patients.

8.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 11197, 2021 05 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34045649

RESUMO

Mycobacteroides abscessus (Previously Mycobacterium abscessus) is an emerging microorganism of the newly defined genera Mycobacteroides that causes mainly skin and tissue diseases in humans. The recent availability of total 34 fully sequenced genomes of different strains belonging to this species has provided an opportunity to utilize this genomics data to gain novel insights and guide the development of specific antimicrobial therapies. In the present study, we collected collectively 34 complete genome sequences of M. abscessus from the NCBI GenBank database. Pangenome analysis was conducted on these genomes to understand the genetic diversity and to obtain proteins associated with its core genome. These core proteins were then subjected to various subtractive filters to identify potential antigenic targets that were subjected to multi-epitope vaccine design. Our analysis projected the open pangenome of M. abscessus containing 3443 core genes. After applying various stepwise filtration steps on the core proteins, a total of four potential antigenic targets were identified. Utilizing their constituent CD4 and CD8 T-cell epitopes, a multi-epitope based subunit vaccine was computationally designed. Sequence-based analysis as well as structural characterization revealed the immunological effectiveness of this designed vaccine. Further molecular docking, molecular dynamics simulation and binding free energy estimation with Toll-like receptor 2 indicated strong structural associations of the vaccine with the immune receptor. The promising results are encouraging and need to be validated by additional wet laboratory studies for confirmation.


Assuntos
Vacinas Bacterianas/uso terapêutico , Infecções por Mycobacterium não Tuberculosas/prevenção & controle , Mycobacterium abscessus/imunologia , Vacinas de Subunidades Antigênicas/uso terapêutico , Vacinologia/métodos , Epitopos de Linfócito B/imunologia , Epitopos de Linfócito T/imunologia , Genoma Bacteriano , Humanos , Mycobacterium abscessus/genética
9.
J Med Virol ; 92(12): 3499-3506, 2020 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32320089

RESUMO

Pakistan has the second-highest burden of hepatitis C patients in the world. A total of 683 individuals, who visited the Liver Clinic during the study period, were screened for the presence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. A total of 534 individuals who showed positive HCV infection were grouped into the case group and 149 individuals with HCV negative status were grouped into the control group. A detailed questionnaire was used to collect demographic, clinical, HCV risk factor, and familial clustering data. HCV familial clustering was found in 30.1% in the case group compared with 17.4% in the control group. We also found 17% of patients had spouses who were also infected with HCV compared to 4% spouse infection in the control group. Only 3.7% of patients had HCV positive mothers. These results were further expanded by regression analysis that showed that family history and sexual history are independent risk factors for transmission of hepatitis C infection and mother's history has no significance as a risk factor for transmission. The major risk factor for getting HCV infection are dental procedures, unsafe injections, surgery, and blood transfusions. There is a strong need to increase awareness about HCV transmission routes among positive patients to reduce the chances of HCV familial clustering.

10.
World J Gastroenterol ; 24(44): 4959-4961, 2018 Nov 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30510370

RESUMO

Globally, over 300 million people are living with viral hepatitis with approximately 1.3 million deaths per year. In 2016, World Health Assembly adopted the Global Health Sector Strategy on viral hepatitis to eliminate hepatitis by 2030. Different World Health Organization member countries are working on hepatitis control strategies to achieve hepatitis elimination. So far, only 12 countries are on track to achieve hepatitis elimination targets. The aim of the study was to give an update about the progress and challenges to achieving hepatitis elimination by 2030. According to the latest data, 87% of infants had received the three doses of hepatitis B virus (HBV) vaccination in the first year of their life and 46% of infants had received a timely birth dose of HBV vaccination. There is a strong need to improve blood and injection safety. Rates of hepatitis B and C diagnosis are very low and only 11% of hepatitis B and C cases are diagnosed. There is a dire need to speed up hepatitis diagnosis and find the missing millions of people living with viral hepatitis. Up to 2016, only 3 million hepatitis C cases have been treated. Pricing of hepatitis C virus drugs is also reduced in many countries. The major hurdle to achieve hepatitis elimination is lack of finances to support hepatitis programs. None of the major global donors are committed to invest in the fight against hepatitis. It will be very difficult for the low and middle-income countries to fund their hepatitis control program. Hepatitis elimination needs strong financial and political commitment, support from civil societies, and support from pharmaceutical and medical companies around the globe.


Assuntos
Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Erradicação de Doenças/tendências , Saúde Global/tendências , Hepatite Viral Humana/prevenção & controle , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Organização Mundial da Saúde
11.
J Clin Transl Hepatol ; 6(2): 135-140, 2018 Jun 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29951357

RESUMO

Background and Aims: Skeletal manifestation in liver diseases represents the minimally scrutinized part of the disease spectrum. Vitamin D deficiency has a central role in developing hepatic osteodystrophy in patients with chronic liver disease. This study aimed to investigate vitamin D levels and their relationship with disease advancement in these patients. Methods: Vitamin D levels were checked in 125 chronic liver disease patients. The patients were classified in three stages according to Child-Pugh score: A, B and C. The relationship of vitamin D levels with Child-Pugh score and other variables in the study was assessed by the contingency coefficient. Correlation and logistic regression analyses were also carried out to find additional predictors of low vitamin D levels. Results: Among the patients, 88% had either insufficient or deficient stores of vitamin D, while only 12% had sufficient vitamin D levels (p >0.05). Vitamin D levels were notably related to Child-Pugh class (contingency coefficient = 0.5, p <0.05). On univariate and multinomial regression analyses, age, female sex, MELD and Child-Pugh class were predictors of low vitamin D levels. Age, model of end-stage liver disease score and Child-Pugh score were negatively correlated to vitamin D levels (p <0.05). Conclusions: Vitamin D deficiency is notably related to age, female sex and model of end-stage liver disease score, in addition to Child-Pugh class of liver cirrhosis. Vitamin D levels should be routinely checked in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis (Child-Pugh class B and C) and this deficiency must be addressed in a timely manner to improve general well-being of cirrhotic patients.

12.
PeerJ ; 6: e4853, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29844992

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The annual global deaths from viral hepatitis is 1.4 million. Pakistan has the second highest burden of hepatitis C in the world. There is dire need to evaluate the response of new direct acting antivirals for the treatment of hepatitis C patients in Pakistan. World Health Organization has developed a strategy to treat 80% of HCV patients by 2030. In Pakistan, HCV treatment rate is 1%. The aim of the study was to analyze the effect of Sofosbuvir plus Ribavirin therapy on HCV patients in Pakistan. METHODS: An observational study was conducted at Fauji Foundation Hospital Rawalpindi from November-2016 to July-2017. All the drugs were administered according to the guidelines of Asia Pacific Association for the Study of Liver (APASL) for the treatment of HCV patients. A total 327 chronic HCV patients were enrolled in the study and 304 completed the treatment. Patients belonged to three different groups including treatment: Naïve patients (n = 107), Non-Responder patients (n = 126) and patients who relapsed to Interferon therapy (n = 71). All the patients were given Sofosbuvir plus Ribavirin therapy for 24 weeks and the early virological response (EVR) and end treatment response (ETR) was calculated. Different parameters including patient age, viral load, viral genotype, blood picture, ultrasound findings and liver function tests were also studied. RESULTS: Out of 304 patients, 301 (99%) achieved EVR and 300 achieved ETR (98.7%). End treatment response was 95.6% in HCV genotype 1 and 98.9% in HCV genotype 3 patients. ETR was 99.06% in treatment Naïve, 99.20% in non-responders and 97.18% in previously relapsed patients. We did not find the association of any host and viral factor in the determination of EVR and ETR. CONCLUSION: The Sofosbuvir plus Ribavirin treatment is highly effective, safe and cost-effective for the treatment of hepatitis C patients in Pakistan.

13.
Turk J Gastroenterol ; 29(3): 308-315, 2018 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29755015

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Developing an easy and reliable score for evaluating the prognosis of patients with liver cirrhosis has always been challenging for hepatologists. This study aimed to assess the lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) in comparison with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh (CP) scores for determining the outcomes in these patients during hospital stay. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the efficacy of three parameters (LMR and MELD and CP scores) in determining the outcomes in 182 patients with cirrhosis. The cutoff values were calculated using Youden index, and the area under the curves (AUCs) was also compared. The associations of these scores between the survived and nonsurvived group was studied. The predictors of patient survival were determined using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The mean values for LMR and MELD and CP scores were 6.23, 11.62, and 9.32, respectively. MELD and CP were positively correlated with each other. LMR was negatively correlated to both MELD and CP scores (p=0.04). Pairwise comparison showed that the difference between the AUCs of MELD and LMR was not statistically significant (0.958 vs. 0.807; p > 0.05). With the LMR cutoff value of > 3.31 (sensitivity, 80%; specificity, 74.83%), patients were segregated into low and high LMR groups. MELD and CP scores were significantly higher in the low LMR group than in the high LMR group (p=0.000). Patients in the low LMR group showed decreased survival than those in the high LMR group (p=0.000). The nonsurvived group had lower LMR and higher MELD and CP scores than those of the survived group (p=0.000). Logistic regression model showed MELD (p=0.000), CP score (p=0.010), 1/LMR (p=0.004), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level (p=0.010), and international normalized ratio (INR; p=0.043) as predictors of outcome of these patients. CONCLUSION: LMR can be used to determine the outcome of patients during hospital stay, because it is easy to calculate and can be interpreted with efficacy nearly equal to those of MELD and CP scores.


Assuntos
Cirrose Hepática/mortalidade , Contagem de Linfócitos/estatística & dados numéricos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Alanina Transaminase/sangue , Área Sob a Curva , Feminino , Humanos , Coeficiente Internacional Normatizado , Tempo de Internação , Cirrose Hepática/sangue , Modelos Logísticos , Contagem de Linfócitos/métodos , Linfócitos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Monócitos , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Valores de Referência , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Adulto Jovem
14.
Turk J Gastroenterol ; 28(5): 347-352, 2017 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28776495

RESUMO

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Endoscopy as a screening modality for esophageal varices is becoming difficult because of its invasiveness, cost, and increased burden of liver cirrhosis. This study aims to determine the diagnostic accuracy of simple and noninvasive markers in detecting esophageal varices. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Four variables (platelet count, portal vein diameter, splenic diameter, and ratio of platelet count to splenic diameter PC/SD] ratio) were studied in 150 cirrhotic patients. Endoscopy was performed to detect esophageal varices in the patients. The diagnostic accuracy of these variables was determined by obtaining area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). The cutoff value of each variable and its sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and positive and negative likelihood ratios were obtained using the Youden index. Pairwise comparison of these variables was performed using the Hanley and McNeil method to determine the most reliable screening tool among them. RESULTS: The PC/SD ratio was the most reliable indicator for the presence of varices: AUC=0.9 (p<0.0001; cutoff value, ≤1077.42; sensitivity, 88.75%; specificity, 81.43%). The AUC for platelets and splenic diameter was 0.85 (p<0.0001) and 0.77 (p<0.0001), respectively, showing they were also good indicators. The portal vein diameter was not a good predictor for esophageal varices (AUC=0.59). Pairwise comparison of these variables showed that the PC/SD ratio is statistically significant for predicting esophageal varices among these markers (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: The PC/SD ratio is found to be the most reliable marker to prognosticate esophageal varices. It is easy to obtain and can be used with other markers to identify the high-risk patients for developing esophageal varices. It will definitely reduce the need for endoscopy as screening purposes and lower the medical expenditures.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Veia Porta/patologia , Baço/patologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Estudos Transversais , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tamanho do Órgão , Contagem de Plaquetas , Veia Porta/diagnóstico por imagem , Curva ROC , Fatores de Risco , Baço/diagnóstico por imagem , Ultrassonografia , Adulto Jovem
15.
Asian Pac J Trop Med ; 9(7): 626-9, 2016 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27393088

RESUMO

The current Zika outbreak is largest of its kind with 1.4 million cases in Brazil alone. World Health Organization declared the current outbreak as the public health emergency of international concerns. The major route of Zika virus transmission is mosquito bites. Sexual transmission and monkey bites are also observed in few cases. There is dire need to evaluate the other routes of transmission like blood transfusion, lactation and contact with body fluids. Zika virus is infecting infants, not only causing microcephaly but also creating number of complications resulting in bad outcomes of pregnancy. In Brazil alone, 4000 cases of microcephaly have observed during the current outbreak. The incidence of Guillain-Barre (GB) syndrome is also observed during the current Zika virus outbreak. GB syndrome is acute medical condition leading the patients to death due to weakness of respiratory muscles or can cause the life time disability. There is no anti-viral drug or vaccine available for Zika virus. Zika infection can be prevented by using mosquito repellents, mosquito nets, cooling rooms by air conditions and wearing full sleeves or permethrin-treated clothes. The current outbreak of Zika has not only affected the health care but also caused great economic loss. Estimated loss in Latin America and Caribbean is US$3.5 billion. United Nation's sustainable development goal 3.d stresses the strengthening of early warning, risk reduction and management of national and global health risks. The world will keep on facing new challenges in the form of Ebola or Zika; there is strong need to prepare ourselves for any disease outbreak.

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