Clinical Validity of Tumor-Informed Circulating Tumor DNA Analysis in Patients Undergoing Surgery of Colorectal Metastases.

BACKGROUND: Accurate biomarkers to monitor tumor load and response in metastatic colorectal cancer patients undergoing surgery could optimize treatment regimens. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the clinical validity of tumor-informed quantification of circulating tumor DNA in blood using ultradeep sequencing. DESIGN: Resection specimens from 53 colorectal cancer patients were analyzed for tumor-specific mutations in 15 genes. These mutations were used to measure the presence of circulating tumor DNA in preoperatively collected plasma samples using hybrid capture-based sequencing. Additional postoperative measurements were performed 1 week after surgery in 16 patients. SETTINGS: The study was conducted at the Radboud University Medical Center. PATIENTS: A total of 53 colorectal cancer patients undergoing surgery of metastases were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The detection of circulating tumor DNA. RESULTS: At least 1 tumor-specific mutation was detected in all tumor samples. In preoperative plasma samples, circulating tumor DNA was detected in 88% (37/42) of systemic treatment-naïve patients and in 55% (6/11) of patients who received preoperative chemotherapy. More specifically, circulating tumor DNA was detected in 0% (0/3) of cases with a subtotal or partial pathologic response and in 75% (6/8) of cases without a pathologic response in the resection specimen ( p = 0.06). In postoperative plasma samples, circulating tumor DNA was detected in 80% (4/5) of patients with an incomplete resection and in 0% (0/11) of those with a complete resection ( p = 0.003). LIMITATIONS: The study was limited by the heterogeneity of the cohort and the small number of postoperative plasma samples. CONCLUSIONS: These data indicate that tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA detection in the plasma of patients undergoing surgery for metastatic colorectal cancer is feasible and may have clinical value in response monitoring and predicting residual disease. Prospective studies are needed to establish the clinical utility of circulating tumor DNA analysis to guide treatment decisions in these patients. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B990 . VALIDEZ CLNICA DEL ANLISIS DE ADN DEL TUMOR CIRCULANTE INFORMADO POR EL TUMOR EN PACIENTES SOMETIDOS A CIRUGA DE METSTASIS COLORRECTALES: ANTECEDENTES:Los biomarcadores precisos para monitorear la carga tumoral y la respuesta en pacientes con cáncer colorrectal metastásico que se someten a cirugía podrían optimizar los regímenes de tratamiento.OBJETIVO:Este estudio explora la validez clínica de la cuantificación informada por el tumor del ADN tumoral circulante en sangre mediante secuenciación ultraprofunda.DISEÑO:Se analizaron muestras de resección de 53 pacientes con cáncer colorrectal en busca de mutaciones específicas del tumor en quince genes. Estas mutaciones se usaron para medir la presencia de ADN tumoral circulante en muestras de plasma recolectadas antes de la operación usando secuenciación basada en captura híbrida. Se realizaron mediciones postoperatorias adicionales una semana después de la cirugía en dieciséis pacientes.AJUSTES:El estudio se realizó en el centro médico de la universidad de Radboud.PACIENTES:Se incluyeron un total de 53 pacientes con cáncer colorrectal sometidos a cirugía de metástasis.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:La detección de ADN tumoral circulante.RESULTADOS:Se detectó al menos una mutación específica de tumor en todas las muestras de tumor. En muestras de plasma preoperatorias, se detectó ADN tumoral circulante en el 88% (37/42) de los pacientes sin tratamiento sistémico previo y en el 55% (6/11) de los pacientes que recibieron quimioterapia preoperatoria. Más concretamente, en el 0% (0/3) de los casos con respuesta patológica subtotal o parcial y en el 75% (6/8) de los casos sin respuesta patológica en la pieza de resección ( p = 0,06). En muestras de plasma postoperatorio se detectó ADN tumoral circulante en el 80% (4/5) de los pacientes con una resección incompleta y en el 0% (0/11) de los que tenían resección completa ( p = 0,003).LIMITACIONES:El estudio estuvo limitado por la heterogeneidad de la cohorte y el pequeño número de muestras de plasma postoperatorias.CONCLUSIONES:Estos datos indican que la detección de ADN tumoral circulante informado por el tumor en el plasma de pacientes sometidos a cirugía por cáncer colorrectal metastásico es factible y puede tener valor clínico en el control de la respuesta y la predicción de la enfermedad residual. Se necesitan estudios prospectivos para establecer la utilidad clínica del análisis de ADN tumoral circulante para guiar las decisiones de tratamiento en estos pacientes. Consulte Video Resumen en http://links.lww.com/DCR/B990 . (Traducción-Dr. Mauricio Santamaria ).

Rapid elimination of cervical cancer while maintaining the harms and benefits ratio of cervical cancer screening: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination and intensifying screening expedite cervical cancer (CC) elimination, yet also deteriorate the balance between harms and benefits of screening. We aimed to find screening strategies that eliminate CC rapidly but maintain an acceptable harms-benefits ratio of screening. METHODS: Two microsimulation models (STDSIM and MISCAN) were applied to simulate HPV transmission and CC screening for the Dutch female population between 2022 and 2100. We estimated the CC elimination year and harms-benefits ratios of screening for 228 unique scenarios varying in vaccination (coverage and vaccine type) and screening (coverage and number of lifetime invitations in vaccinated cohorts). The acceptable harms-benefits ratio was defined as the number of women needed to refer (NNR) to prevent one CC death under the current programme for unvaccinated cohorts (82.17). RESULTS: Under current vaccination conditions (bivalent vaccine, 55% coverage in girls, 27.5% coverage in boys), maintaining current screening conditions is projected to eliminate CC by 2042, but increases the present NNR with 41%. Reducing the number of lifetime screens from presently five to three and increasing screening coverage (61% to 70%) would prevent an increase in harms and only delay elimination by 1 year. Scaling vaccination coverage to 90% in boys and girls with the nonavalent vaccine is estimated to eliminate CC by 2040 under current screening conditions, but exceeds the acceptable NNR with 23%. Here, changing from five to two lifetime screens would keep the NNR acceptable without delaying CC elimination. CONCLUSIONS: De-intensifying CC screening in vaccinated cohorts leads to little or no delay in CC elimination while it substantially reduces the harms of screening. Therefore, de-intensifying CC screening in vaccinated cohorts should be considered to ensure acceptable harms-benefits ratios on the road to CC elimination.

Comprehensive clinicopathological and genomic profiling of gallbladder cancer reveals actionable targets in half of patients.

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is a rare, highly aggressive malignancy with a 5-year survival rate of 5-10% in advanced cases, highlighting the need for more effective therapies. The aim of this study was to identify potentially actionable therapeutic targets for GBC. Specimens and clinicopathological data of 642 GBC patients, diagnosed between 2000 and 2019 were collected using the Dutch Pathology Registry (PALGA) and the Netherlands Cancer Registry. All cases were histologically reviewed and a subset was subjected to a comprehensive next generation sequencing panel. We assessed mutations and gene amplifications in a panel of 54 actionable genes, tumor-mutational burden (TMB), and microsatellite instability (MSI). Additionally, the entire cohort was screened for HER2, PD-L1, pan-TRK, and p53 expression with immunohistochemistry. Histopathological subtypes comprised biliary-type adenocarcinoma (AC, 69.6%), intestinal-type AC (20.1%) and other subtypes (10.3%). The median total TMB was 5.5 mutations/Mb (range: 0-161.1) and 17.7% of evaluable cases had a TMB of >10 mutations/Mb. MSI was observed in two cases. Apart from mutations in TP53 (64%), tumors were molecularly highly heterogeneous. Half of the tumors (50%) carried at least one molecular alteration that is targetable in other tumor types, including alterations in CDKN2A (6.0% biallelically inactivated), ERBB2 (9.3%) and PIK3CA (10%). Immunohistochemistry results correlated well with NGS results for HER2 and p53: Pearson r = 0.82 and 0.83, respectively. As half of GBC patients carry at least one potentially actionable molecular alteration, molecular testing may open the way to explore targeted therapy options for GBC patients.

A model-based analysis of the health impacts of COVID-19 disruptions to primary cervical screening by time since last screen for current and future disruptions.

We evaluated how temporary disruptions to primary cervical cancer (CC) screening services may differentially impact women due to heterogeneity in their screening history and test modality. We used three CC models to project the short- and long-term health impacts assuming an underlying primary screening frequency (i.e., 1, 3, 5, or 10 yearly) under three alternative COVID-19-related screening disruption scenarios (i.e., 1-, 2-, or 5-year delay) versus no delay in the context of both cytology-based and human papillomavirus (HPV)-based screening. Models projected a relative increase in symptomatically detected cancer cases during a 1-year delay period that was 38% higher (Policy1-Cervix), 80% higher (Harvard), and 170% higher (MISCAN-Cervix) for underscreened women whose last cytology screen was 5 years prior to the disruption period compared with guidelines-compliant women (i.e., last screen 3 years prior to disruption). Over a woman's lifetime, temporary COVID-19-related delays had less impact on lifetime risk of developing CC than screening frequency and test modality; however, CC risks increased disproportionately the longer time had elapsed since a woman's last screen at the time of the disruption. Excess risks for a given delay period were generally lower for HPV-based screeners than for cytology-based screeners. Our independent models predicted that the main drivers of CC risk were screening frequency and screening modality, and the overall impact of disruptions from the pandemic on CC outcomes may be small. However, screening disruptions disproportionately affect underscreened women, underpinning the importance of reaching such women as a critical area of focus, regardless of temporary disruptions.

Identification of Fusion Genes and Targets for Genetically Matched Therapies in a Large Cohort of Salivary Gland Cancer Patients.

Introduction: Salivary gland cancer (SGC) is a rare cancer for which systemic treatment options are limited. Therefore, it is important to characterize its genetic landscape in search for actionable aberrations, such as NTRK gene fusions. This research aimed to identify these actionable aberrations by combining NGS-based analysis of RNA (gene fusions) and DNA (single and multiple nucleotide variants, copy number variants, microsatellite instability and tumor mutational burden) in a large cohort of SGC patients. Methods: RNA and DNA were extracted from archival tissue of 121 patients with various SGC subtypes. Gene fusion analysis was performed using a customized RNA-based targeted NGS panel. DNA was sequenced using a targeted NGS panel encompassing 523 cancer-related genes. Cross-validation of NGS-based NTRK fusion detection and pan-TRK immunohistochemistry (IHC) was performed. Results: Fusion transcripts were detected in 50% of the cases and included both known (MYB-NFIB, MYBL1-NFIB, CRTC1-MAML2) and previously unknown fusions (including transcripts involving RET, BRAF or RAD51B). Only one NTRK fusion transcript was detected, in a secretory carcinoma case. Pan-TRK IHC (clone EPR17341) was false positive in 74% of cases. The proportion of patients with targets for genetically matched therapies differed among subtypes (salivary duct carcinoma: 82%, adenoid cystic carcinoma 28%, mucoepidermoid carcinoma 50%, acinic cell carcinoma 33%). Actionable aberrations were most often located in PIK3CA (n = 18, 15%), ERBB2 (n = 15, 12%), HRAS and NOTCH1 (both n = 9, 7%). Conclusions: Actionable genetic aberrations were seen in 53.7% of all SGC cases on the RNA and DNA level, with varying percentages between subtypes.

Health impacts of COVID-19 disruptions to primary cervical screening by time since last screen: A model-based analysis for current and future disruptions.

Background: We evaluated how temporary disruptions to primary cervical cancer (CC) screening services may differentially impact women due to heterogeneity in their screening history and test modality. Methods: We used three CC models to project the short- and long-term health impacts assuming an underlying primary screening frequency (i.e., 1, 3, 5, or 10 yearly) under three alternative COVID-19-related screening disruption scenarios (i.e., 1-, 2- or 5-year delay) versus no delay, in the context of both cytology-based and HPV-based screening. Results: Models projected a relative increase in symptomatically-detected cancer cases during a 1-year delay period that was 38% higher (Policy1-Cervix), 80% higher (Harvard) and 170% higher (MISCAN-Cervix) for under-screened women whose last cytology screen was 5 years prior to the disruption period compared with guidelines-compliant women (i.e., last screen three years prior to disruption). Over a woman's lifetime, temporary COVID-19-related delays had less impact on lifetime risk of developing CC than screening frequency and test modality; however, CC risks increased disproportionately the longer time had elapsed since a woman's last screen at the time of the disruption. Excess risks for a given delay period were generally lower for HPV-based screeners than for cytology-based screeners. Conclusions: Our independent models predicted that the main drivers of CC risk were screening frequency and screening modality, and the overall impact of disruptions from the pandemic on CC outcomes may be small. However, screening disruptions disproportionately affect under-screened women, underpinning the importance of reaching such women as a critical area of focus, regardless of temporary disruptions. Funding: This study was supported by funding from the National Cancer Institute (U01CA199334). The contents are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official views of the National Cancer Institute. Megan A Smith receives salary support from the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia (APP1159491) and Cancer Institute NSW (ECF181561). Matejka Rebolj is funded by Cancer Research UK (reference: C8162/A27047). James O'Mahony is funded by Ireland's Health Research Board (EIA2017054). Karen Canfell receives salary support from the National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia (APP1194679). Emily A. Burger receives salary support from the Norwegian Cancer Society.

Shaping Physical Activity through Facilitating Student Agency in Secondary Schools in the Netherlands.

Schools can enable students' capability for lifelong physical activity (PA) by providing a physical, social and pedagogical context fostering students' agency. This entails allowing them to develop their autonomy and ability to shape PAs according to what they value. This paper explores whether, and, if so, how, school practices provide the conditions for developing and employing PA-related student agency. We followed a multiple case study design, partnering with six secondary schools in the Netherlands. We based our qualitative content analysis on the schools' policy documents and transcripts of interviews and focus groups with school management, teaching staff and supporting sports professionals. First, we analysed the space provided for PA-related student agency using the whole-of-school framework. Next, we used a social practice theory perspective to understand how each school practice allows for student agency. Results suggest that schools offer sufficient and varied PA opportunities but have not embedded deliberation with students on their meaningfulness and transfer to other contexts in their practices. We conclude that for schools to promote lifelong PA for students, there is a need for a pedagogical approach involving students' perspectives, participation and reflections, enabling them to transfer PAs to other (future) life settings.

Tetraspanin CD53 controls T cell immunity through regulation of CD45RO stability, mobility, and function.

T cells depend on the phosphatase CD45 to initiate T cell receptor signaling. Although the critical role of CD45 in T cells is established, the mechanisms controlling function and localization in the membrane are not well understood. Moreover, the regulation of specific CD45 isoforms in T cell signaling remains unresolved. By using unbiased mass spectrometry, we identify the tetraspanin CD53 as a partner of CD45 and show that CD53 controls CD45 function and T cell activation. CD53-negative T cells (Cd53-/-) exhibit substantial proliferation defects, and Cd53-/- mice show impaired tumor rejection and reduced IFNγ-producing T cells compared with wild-type mice. Investigation into the mechanism reveals that CD53 is required for CD45RO expression and mobility. In addition, CD53 is shown to stabilize CD45 on the membrane and is required for optimal phosphatase activity and subsequent Lck activation. Together, our findings reveal CD53 as a regulator of CD45 activity required for T cell immunity.

Germline MBD4 deficiency causes a multi-tumor predisposition syndrome.

We report an autosomal recessive, multi-organ tumor predisposition syndrome, caused by bi-allelic loss-of-function germline variants in the base excision repair (BER) gene MBD4. We identified five individuals with bi-allelic MBD4 variants within four families and these individuals had a personal and/or family history of adenomatous colorectal polyposis, acute myeloid leukemia, and uveal melanoma. MBD4 encodes a glycosylase involved in repair of G:T mismatches resulting from deamination of 5'-methylcytosine. The colorectal adenomas from MBD4-deficient individuals showed a mutator phenotype attributable to mutational signature SBS1, consistent with the function of MBD4. MBD4-deficient polyps harbored somatic mutations in similar driver genes to sporadic colorectal tumors, although AMER1 mutations were more common and KRAS mutations less frequent. Our findings expand the role of BER deficiencies in tumor predisposition. Inclusion of MBD4 in genetic testing for polyposis and multi-tumor phenotypes is warranted to improve disease management.

Shift in harms and benefits of cervical cancer screening in the era of HPV screening and vaccination: a modelling study.

OBJECTIVE: To calculate the changes in harms and benefits of cervical cancer screening over the first three screening rounds of the Dutch high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) screening programme. DESIGN: Microsimulation study. SETTING: Dutch hrHPV screening programme; women are invited for screening every 5 or 10 years (depending on age and screening history) from age 30 to 65. POPULATION: Partly vaccinated population of 100 million Dutch women. METHODS: Microsimulation model MISCAN was used to estimate screening effects. Sensitivity analyses were performed on test characteristics and attendance. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Harms (screening tests, unnecessary referrals, treatment-related health problems), benefits (CIN2+ diagnoses) and programme efficiency (number needed to screen [NNS]) over the first (period 2017-2021), second (period 2022-2026) and third (period 2027-2031) rounds of hrHPV-based screening. RESULTS: The number of screening tests and CIN2+ diagnoses decreased from the first to the second round (-25.8% and -23.6%, respectively). In the third screening round, these numbers decreased further, albeit only slightly (-2.7% and -5.3%, respectively). NNS to detect a CIN2+ remained constant over the rounds; however, it increased in younger age groups while decreasing in older age groups. CONCLUSION: Both harms and benefits of hrHPV screening decreased over the first screening rounds. For younger women, the efficiency would decrease, whereas longer screening intervals would lead to increased efficiency in older women. Programme efficiency overall remained stable, showing the importance of longer intervals for low-risk women. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Cervical cancer screening: both harms and benefits of hrHPV screening will decrease in the future.

The need for adolescents' agency in salutogenic approaches shaping physical activity in schools.

Physical activity (PA) contributes to health throughout life. In particular, young people can benefit from this. Schools can play a key role in providing learning conditions to experience meaningful PAs aimed at inspiring students to lifelong PA. In this article, we argue the need for a salutogenic approach in schools focussing on respecting and enhancing adolescents' agency with regard to their PA. This approach entails listening to adolescents' perspectives and inviting them to participate in actively designing and carrying out PA as a prerequisite for their inclusive engagement. We unpack the concept of agency by drawing on insights from the Capability Approach. This provides input for the integration of agency in health promoting schools and salutogenic approaches, to enhance PA-related agency. Finally, we outline a research agenda to, eventually, create opportunities for students in schools to expand their PA-related agency. Lay Summary Physical activity (PA) contributes to health throughout life. Schools can play a key role in fostering meaningful PA experiences to inspire students to lifelong PA. This requires schools to focus on students' personal aspirations, providing them with the space to develop their autonomy and find opportunities to decide and act upon expanding their agency with respect to the physically active lifestyles they deem meaningful.

Hyperbaric oxygen treatment of mandibular osteoradionecrosis: Combined data from the two randomized clinical trials DAHANCA-21 and NWHHT2009-1.

PURPOSE: Osteoradionecrosis (ORN) of the mandible is a serious complication of head and neck radiotherapy. This study aims to investigate the effect of hyperbaric oxygen (HBO) treatment on ORN in two randomized, controlled multicentre trials. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Patients with ORN with indication for surgical treatment were randomised to either group 1: surgical removal of necrotic mandibular bone supplemented by 30 pre- and 10 postoperative HBO exposures at 243 kPa for 90 min each, or group 2: surgical removal of necrotic bone only. Primary outcome was healing of ORN one year after surgery evaluated by a clinically adjusted version of the Common Toxicity Criteria of Adverse Events (CTCAE) v 3.0. Secondary outcomes included xerostomia, unstimulated and stimulated whole salivation rates, trismus, dysphagia, pain, Activities of Daily Living (ADL) and quality of life according to EORTC. Data were combined from two separate trials. Ninety-seven were enrolled and 65 were eligible for the intent-to-treat analysis. The 33% drop-out was equally distributed between groups. RESULTS: In group 1, 70% (21/30) healed compared to 51% (18/35) in group 2. HBO was associated with an increased chance of healing independent of baseline ORN grade or smoking status as well as improved xerostomia, unstimulated whole salivary flow rate, and dysphagia. Due to insufficient recruitment, none of the endpoints reached a statistically significant difference between groups. ADL data could only be obtained from 50 patients. CONCLUSION: Hyperbaric oxygen did not significantly improve the healing outcome of osteoradionecrosis after surgical removal of necrotic bone as compared to standard care (70% vs. 51%). This effect is not statistically significant due to the fact that the study was underpowered and is therefore prone to type II error.

Mutational signature analysis in non-small cell lung cancer patients with a high tumor mutational burden.

BACKGROUND: Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer death worldwide. With the growing number of targeted therapies and the introduction of immuno-oncology (IO), personalized medicine has become standard of care in patients with metastatic disease. The development of predictive and prognostic biomarkers is of great importance. Mutational signatures harbor potential clinical value as predictors of therapy response in cancer. Here we set out to investigate particular mutational processes by assessing mutational signatures and associations with clinical features, tumor mutational burden (TMB) and targetable mutations. METHODS: In this retrospective study, we studied tumor DNA from patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) irrespective of stage. The samples were sequenced using a 2 megabase (Mb) gene panel. On each sample TMB was determined and defined as the total number of single nucleotide mutations per Mb (mut/Mb) including non-synonymous mutations. Mutational signature profiling was performed on tumor samples in which at least 30 somatic single base substitutions (SBS) were detected. RESULTS: In total 195 samples were sequenced. Median total TMB was 10.3 mut/Mb (range 0-109.3). Mutational signatures were evaluated in 76 tumor samples (39%; median TMB 15.2 mut/Mb). SBS signature 4 (SBS4), associated with tobacco smoking, was prominently present in 25 of 76 samples (33%). SBS2 and/or SBS13, both associated with activity of the AID/APOBEC family of cytidine deaminases, were observed in 11 of 76 samples (14%). SBS4 was significantly more present in early stages (I and II) versus advanced stages (III and IV; P = .005). CONCLUSION: In a large proportion of NSCLC patients tissue panel sequencing with a 2 Mb panel can be used to determine the mutational signatures. In general, mutational signature SBS4 was more often found in early versus advanced stages of NSCLC. Further studies are needed to determine the clinical utility of mutational signature analyses.

Impact of disruptions and recovery for established cervical screening programs across a range of high-income country program designs, using COVID-19 as an example: A modelled analysis.

COVID-19 has disrupted cervical screening in several countries, due to a range of policy-, health-service and participant-related factors. Using three well-established models of cervical cancer natural history adapted to simulate screening across four countries, we compared the impact of a range of standardised screening disruption scenarios in four countries that vary in their cervical cancer prevention programs. All scenarios assumed a 6- or 12-month disruption followed by a rapid catch-up of missed screens. Cervical screening disruptions could increase cervical cancer cases by up to 5-6%. In all settings, more than 60% of the excess cancer burden due to disruptions are likely to have occurred in women aged less than 50 years in 2020, including settings where women in their 30s have previously been offered HPV vaccination. Approximately 15-30% of cancers predicted to result from disruptions could be prevented by maintaining colposcopy and precancer treatment services during any disruption period. Disruptions to primary screening had greater adverse effects in situations where women due to attend for screening in 2020 had cytology (vs. HPV) as their previous primary test. Rapid catch-up would dramatically increase demand for HPV tests in 2021, which it may not be feasible to meet because of competing demands on the testing machines and reagents due to COVID tests. These findings can inform future prioritisation strategies for catch-up that balance potential constraints on resourcing with clinical need.

The EU-TOPIA evaluation tool: An online modelling-based tool for informing breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer screening decisions in Europe.

BACKGROUND: Aiming to support European countries in improving their breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer (CRC) screening programmes, the EU-TOPIA consortium has developed an online user-friendly tool (the EU-TOPIA evaluation tool; https://miscan.eu-topia.org) based on the Microsimulation Screening Analysis (MISCAN) model. METHODS: We designed an online platform that allows stakeholders to use their country-specific data (demographic, epidemiological, and cancer screening information) to quantify future harms and benefits of different cancer screening scenarios in their country. Current cancer screening programmes and impacts of potential changes in screening protocols (such as extending target ages or increasing screening attendance) can be simulated. Results are scaled to the country-specific population. To illustrate the tool, we used the tool to simulate two different CRC screening scenarios in the Netherlands: biennial fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) in ages 55-75 and colonoscopy every ten years in ages 55-75. Data from the Dutch screening programme was used to inform both scenarios. RESULTS: A total of 482,700 CRC cases and 178,000 CRC deaths were estimated in the Netherlands with FIT screening (for individuals aged 40-100 years, 2018-2050), with 47.3 million FITs performed (1.92 million positives of which 1.64 million adhered to diagnostic colonoscopy). With colonoscopy screening, CRC incidence and mortality were, respectively, up to 17% and 14% lower than in the current FIT screening programme, requiring, however, a colonoscopy demand that was 7-fold higher. CONCLUSIONS: Our study presents an essential online tool for stakeholders and medical societies to quantify estimates of benefits and harms of early cancer detection in Europe.

Unraveling Neuroendocrine Gallbladder Cancer: Comprehensive Clinicopathologic and Molecular Characterization.

PURPOSE: Neuroendocrine carcinomas and mixed neuroendocrine non-neuroendocrine neoplasms of the gallbladder (NE GBC) are rare and highly aggressive entities. The cell of origin of NE GBC has been a matter of controversy. Here, we performed a comparative histopathologic and molecular analysis of NE GBC cases and, if present, associated precancerous lesions. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We selected cases diagnosed between 2000 and 2019 in the Netherlands. Precursors and carcinomas were immunohistochemically compared and analyzed for mutations, gene amplifications, microsatellite instability, and tumor mutational burden using an next-generation sequencing panel containing 523 cancer-related genes. In addition, presence of fusion genes was analyzed using a panel of 55 genes. RESULTS: Sixty percent of neuroendocrine cases (6/10) presented with a precursor lesion, either intracholecystic papillary neoplasm (n = 3) or biliary intraepithelial neoplasia (n = 3). Immunohistochemically, neuroendocrine components were different from the epithelial precursor lesions. Molecular profiling, however, revealed TP53 mutations shared between different components in five of six cases, indicating a clonal relation. Furthermore, 40% of cases (4/10) harbored at least one potentially actionable alteration. This included (likely) pathogenic mutations in RAD54L, ATM, and BRCA2; amplifications of ERBB2 and MDM2; and a gene fusion involving FGFR3-TACC3. All cases were microsatellite-stable and had a tumor mutational burden of < 10 mutations/Mb. CONCLUSION: Our data provide insight into the development of NE GBC and suggest a common origin of precancerous epithelial lesions and invasive neuroendocrine components, favoring the hypothesis of lineage transformation. Moreover, nearly half of the NE GBCs carried at least one potentially actionable molecular alteration, highlighting the importance of molecular testing in this highly lethal cancer.

Modeling Strategies to Optimize Cancer Screening in USPSTF Guideline-Noncompliant Women.

Importance: In 2018, only half of US women obtained all evidence-based cancer screenings. This proportion may have declined during the COVID-19 pandemic because of social distancing, high-risk factors, and fear. Objective: To evaluate optimal screening strategies in women who obtain some, but not all, US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF)-recommended cancer screenings. Design, Setting, and Participants: This modeling study was conducted from January 31, 2017, to July 20, 2020, and used 4 validated mathematical models from the National Cancer Institute's Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network using data from 20 million simulated women born in 1965 in the US. Interventions: Forty-five screening strategies were modeled that combined breast, cervical, colorectal, and/or lung cancer (LC) screenings; restricted to 1, 2, 3 or 4 screenings per year; or all eligible screenings once every 5 years. Main Outcomes and Measures: Modeled life-years gained from restricted cancer screenings as a fraction of those attainable from full compliance with USPSTF recommendations (maximum benefits). Results were stratified by LC screening eligibility (LC-eligible/ineligible). We repeated the analysis with 2018 adherence rates, evaluating the increase in adherence required for restricted screenings to have the same population benefit as USPSTF recommendations. Results: This modeling study of 20 million simulated US women found that it was possible to reduce screening intensity to 1 carefully chosen test per year in women who were ineligible for LC screening and 2 tests per year in eligible women while maintaining 94% or more of the maximum benefits. Highly ranked strategies screened for various cancers, but less often than recommended by the USPSTF. For example, among LC-ineligible women who obtained just 1 screening per year, the optimal strategy frequently delayed breast and cervical cancer screenings by 1 year and skipped 3 mammograms entirely. Among LC-eligible women, LC screening was essential; strategies omitting it provided 25% or less of the maximum benefits. The top-ranked strategy restricted to 2 screenings per year was annual LC screening and alternating fecal immunochemical test with mammography (skipping mammograms when due for cervical cancer screening, 97% of maximum benefits). If adherence in a population of LC-eligible women obtaining 2 screenings per year were to increase by 1% to 2% (depending on the screening test), this model suggests that it would achieve the same benefit as USPSTF recommendations at 2018 adherence rates. Conclusions and Relevance: This modeling study of 45 cancer screening strategies suggests that women who are noncompliant with cancer screening guidelines may be able to reduce USPSTF-recommended screening intensity with minimal reduction in overall benefits.

Impact of COVID-19-related care disruptions on cervical cancer screening in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: To quantify the secondary impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic disruptions to cervical cancer screening in the United States, stratified by step in the screening process and primary test modality, on cervical cancer burden. METHODS: We conducted a comparative model-based analysis using three independent NCI Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network cervical models to quantify the impact of eight alternative COVID-19-related screening disruption scenarios compared to a scenario of no disruptions. Scenarios varied by the duration of the disruption (6 or 24 months), steps in the screening process being disrupted (primary screening, surveillance, colposcopy, excisional treatment), and primary screening modality (cytology alone or cytology plus human papillomavirus "cotesting"). RESULTS: The models consistently showed that COVID-19-related disruptions yield small net increases in cervical cancer cases by 2027, which are greater for women previously screened with cytology compared with cotesting. When disruptions affected all four steps in the screening process under cytology-based screening, there were an additional 5-7 and 38-45 cases per one million screened for 6- and 24-month disruptions, respectively. In contrast, under cotesting, there were additional 4-5 and 35-45 cases per one million screened for 6- and 24-month disruptions, respectively. The majority (58-79%) of the projected increases in cases under cotesting were due to disruptions to surveillance, colposcopies, or excisional treatment, rather than to primary screening. CONCLUSIONS: Women in need of surveillance, colposcopies, or excisional treatment, or whose last primary screen did not involve human papillomavirus testing, may comprise priority groups for reintroductions.