Trend of Lassa fever cases and factors associated with mortality in Liberia, 2016 - 2021: a secondary data analysis.

Introduction: Lassa fever (LF) is endemic in Liberia and is immediately reportable. Suspected cases are confirmed at the National Public Health Reference Laboratory. However, there is limited information on the trend and factors associated with mortality. We described the epidemiological characteristics of LF cases and determined factors associated with mortality in Liberia from 2016 to 2021. Methods: we reviewed 867 case-based LF surveillance data from 2016 to 2021 obtained from the National Public Health Institute of Liberia (NPHIL). The cases that met the suspected LF case definition were tested with RT-PCR. Using Epi Info 7.2.5.0. We conducted univariate, bivariate, and multivariate and analysis. We calculated frequencies, proportions. Positivity rate, case fatality rate, and factors associated with LF mortality using chi-square statistics and logistics regression at 5% level of significance. Results: eighty-five percent (737/867) of the suspected cases were tested and 26.0% (192/737) were confirmed LF positive. The median age of confirmed LF cases was 21(IQR: 12-34) years. Age 10-19 years accounted for 24.5% (47/192) and females 54.2% (104/192). Bong 33.9% (65/192), Grand Bassa 31.8% (61/192), and Nimba counties, 21.9% (42/192) accounted for most of the cases. The median duration from symptom onset to hospital admission was 6 (IQR: 3-9) days. A majority, 66% (126/192) of the cases were reported during the dry season (October-March) and annual incidence was highest at 12 cases per 1,000,000 population in 2019 and 2020. The overall case fatality rate was 44.8%. Non-endemic counties, Margibi, 77.8% and Montserrado, 66.7% accounted for the highest case fatality rate (CFR), while 2018, 66.7% and 2021, 60.0% recorded the highest CFR during the period. Age ≥30 years (aOR=2.1,95% CI: 1.08-4.11, p=0.027) and residing in Grand Bassa County (aOR=0.3, 95% CI: 0.13-0.73, p=0.007) were associated with LF mortality. Conclusion: Lassa fever was endemic in three of the fifteen counties of Liberia, case fatality rate remained generally high and widely varied. The high fatality of LF has been reported to the NPHIL and is currently being further investigated. There is a need to continuously train healthcare workers, especially in non-endemic counties to improve the LF treatment outcome.

Descriptive Analysis of Measles Outbreak in Liberia, 2022.

Background: Liberia reported a large outbreak of measles involving all the counties in 2022. We conducted a descriptive analysis of the measles surveillance data to understand the trend of the outbreak and guide further policy action to prevent future outbreaks. Methods: We analyzed the measles surveillance data from Epi week 1 to 51, 2022. All the laboratory-confirmed cases, clinically compatible and epidemiologically linked cases were included in the analysis, the variables of interest included the patient's age, sex, place of residence, measles classification, measles vaccination status, and outcome. We cleaned and analyzed the data using R version 4.2.0 and Arc GIS Pro. The demographic characteristics of the cases were presented, the progression of the cases was presented in Epicurve and the spatial distribution and the case fatality rate (CFR) of the case were presented at the district level using the Arc GIS Pro. Results: The median age of the cases was 4 years (interquartile range: 2-8 years). Children under five years of age constituted 60% of the cases (4836/8127), and females accounted for 52% (4204/8127) of the cases. Only 1% (84/8127) of the cases had documentary evidence of receiving at least one dose of measles-containing vaccine (MCV). Only 3 out of 92 health districts in the country did not report a case of measles during the period under review. The overall cases fatality rate was 1% however CFR of up to 10% were reported in some districts. Conclusion: The outbreak of measles involved almost all the districts of the country, exposing a possible nationwide suboptimal immunization coverage for MCV. The high CFR reported in some districts needs further investigation.

Epidemiological characteristics of Lassa fever cases in Liberia: a retrospective analysis of surveillance data, 2019-2020.

OBJECTIVES: Liberia is endemic to Lassa fever (LF) and has the largest reported per capita incidence of LF patients in the West African region. Cases of the disease increased unprecedentedly in 2019 and 2020, characterized by a geographical drift in epidemiology and seasonal variation of occurrence. This study aims to describe the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of LF in Liberia from 2019 to 2020. METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on cases of LF confirmed at the National Public Health Reference Laboratory from January 2019 to December 2020. Medical records were reviewed, and epidemiological and clinical data were collected in an organized manner. Descriptive and inferential statistics were carried out using Epi Info (version 7.2.5.0). RESULTS: A total of 382 suspected LF cases were reported, of which 103 were laboratory-confirmed, yielding a case positivity rate of 27% (103/382). The median age of the LF cases was 20 (IQR: 9-30). Children younger than 18 years accounted for 40.8% (42/103) of the cases and healthcare workers' cases constituted 7.7% of the cases. Bong, Nimba, and Grand Bass accounted for 87.4% of the cases with cases in new counties like Lofa, Margibi, and Grand Kru. Hemorrhage (aOR:10.2; 95% CI: 3.11-33.81), patients who did not receive ribavirin (aOR: 4.4; 95% CI: 1.12-17.57, P = 0.034), and patients aged 40 years or older (aOR: 6.2; 95% CI: 1.19-32.53, P = 0.049) were associated with LF mortality. CONCLUSION: The LF cases in 2019 and 2020 had a high case fatality rate and spread to new counties that had not previously reported LF. The disease occurred during most of the rainy season instead of the usual dry season. There is an urgent need to lower morbidity and mortality, improve early presentation to the hospital, and early initiation of appropriate medical care.