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1.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21264978

RESUMO

IntroductionIncidence based on notified cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection underestimates the real extension of the infection. We aimed to quantify SARS-CoV-2 specific antibodies seroprevalence among University students in Porto. MethodsA rapid point of care testing for SARS-CoV-2 specific immunoglobulin (Ig) M and IgG antibodies was performed, and a questionnaire was applied to the 6512 voluntary students from September to December 2020. We computed the apparent IgM, IgG and IgM or IgG prevalence, and the true prevalence and 95% credible intervals (95% CI) using Bayesian inference. ResultsWe found an apparent prevalence (IgM or IgG) of 9.7%, the true prevalence being 7.9% (95% CI 4.9-11.1). Prevalence was significantly higher among males (10.9% vs 9.2%), international students (18.1% vs 10.4% local vs 8.8% nationally displaced) and increased with age. Those with a known risk contact, that experienced quarantine, had symptoms, or a previous negative molecular test had a higher seroprevalence. Of the 91 (1.4%) students who reported a molecular diagnosis, 86.7% were reactive for IgM or IgG. ConclusionBased on immunological evidence infection was 5.6 times more frequent than if based on a molecular diagnosis. The higher seroprevalence among male, older, and international students emphasizes the importance of identifying particular groups.

2.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21264980

RESUMO

BackgroundRepeated serosurveys in the same population provide more accurate estimates of the frequency of SARS-CoV-2 infection and more comparable data than notified cases. We aimed to estimate the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, identify associated risk factors, and assess time trends in the ratio of serological/molecular diagnosis in a cohort of university workers. MethodsParticipants had a serological rapid test for SARS-CoV-2 Immunoglobulins M and G, and completed a questionnaire, in May-July 2020 (n=3628) and November 2020-January 2021 (n=2661); 1960 participated in both evaluations and provided data to compute the incidence proportion and the incident rate. Crude and adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were computed using generalised linear models with Poisson regression. ResultsThe incidence rate was 1.8/100 person-month (95%CI 1.6-2.1), and the 6 months cumulative incidence was 10.7%. The serological/molecular diagnosis ratio was 10:1 in the first evaluation and 3:1 in the second. Considering newly identified seropositive cases at the first (n=69) and second evaluation (n=202), 29.0% and 9.4% never reported symptoms, respectively, 14.5% and 33.3% reported contact with a confirmed case and 82.6%, and 46.0% never had a molecular test. Males (aIRR: 0.59; 95%CI: 0.42-0.83) and "high-skilled white-collar" workers (aIRR: 0.73, 95%CI: 0.52-1.02) had lower incidence of infection. ConclusionUniversity workers presented a high SARS-CoV-2 incidence while restrictive measures were in place. The time decrease in the proportion of undiagnosed cases reflected the increased access to testing, but opportunities continued to be missed, even in the presence of COVID-19 like symptoms. What is already known on this subjectO_LIThe median ratio of seroprevalence to the corresponding cumulative incidence is 18, however, there is great variability between studies. C_LIO_LISeroprevalence studies are essential to estimate the true burden of the infection. C_LIO_LIFew cohort studies focused on essential non-healthcare workers, such as university workers. C_LI What this study addsO_LIThis longitudinal seroprevalence study among university workers found a SARS-CoV-2-specific IgM or IgG incidence rate of 1.8/100 person-month, and a 6 months cumulative incidence of 10.7%. C_LIO_LIThe undiagnosed fraction was 3:1 in the second evaluation, representing a decrease from a 10:1 in the first evaluation in the same population showing that a gap to test-trace-isolate remained in this highly educated working population. C_LIO_LISeropositive participants were mostly pauci- or symptomatic with no known contact with a COVID-19 confirmed case; "high-skilled white-collar" workers were at lower risk of being an incident seropositive case. C_LI

3.
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21252628

RESUMO

ObjectivesTo assess the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 specific immunoglobulin (Ig) M and IgG antibodies among workers of the three public higher education institutions of Porto, Portugal, up to July 2020. MethodsA rapid point of care test for specific IgM and IgG antibodies of SARS-CoV-2 was offered to all workers. Testing was performed to and a questionnaire was completed by 4592 workers on a voluntary basis. We computed the apparent IgM, IgG, and combined IgM or IgG prevalence, along with the true prevalence and 95% credible intervals (95% CI) using Bayesian inference. ResultsWe found an apparent prevalence of 3.1% for IgM, 1.0% for IgG, and 3.9% for either antibody class. The estimated true prevalence was 2.0% (95% CI 0.1-4.3) for IgM, 0.6% (95% CI 0.0-1.3) for IgG and 2.5% (95% CI 0.1-5.3) for IgM or IgG. A SARS-CoV-2 molecular diagnosis was reported by 21 (0.5%) workers, and of these, 90.5% had a reactive IgG result. Seroprevalence was higher among those reporting known contacts with confirmed cases, having been quarantined, having a previous molecular negative test, or having had symptoms. ConclusionsThe seroprevalence among workers from the three public higher education institutions of Porto after the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 infection was relatively low. However, the estimated true seroprevalence was approximately five times higher than the reported SARS-CoV-2 infection based on a molecular test result.

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