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1.
Langmuir ; 40(19): 10143-10156, 2024 May 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38690604

RESUMO

When placed in an ionic surfactant gradient, charged colloids will undergo diffusiophoresis at a velocity, uDP = MDP∇ ln S, where MDP is the diffusiophoretic mobility and S is the surfactant concentration. The diffusiophoretic mobility depends in part on the charges and diffusivities of the surfactants and their counterions. Since micellization decreases surfactant diffusivity and alters charge distributions in a surfactant solution, MDP of charged colloids in ionic surfactant gradients may differ significantly when surfactant concentrations are above or below the critical micelle concentration (CMC). The role of micelles in driving diffusiophoresis is unclear, and a previously published model that accounts for micellization suggests the possibility of a change in the sign of MDP above the CMC [Warren, P. B.; . Soft Matter 2019, 15, 278-288]. In the current study, microfluidic channels were used to measure the transport of negatively charged polystyrene colloids in sodium dodecyl sulfate (SDS) surfactant gradients established at SDS concentrations that are either fully above or fully below the CMC. Interpretation of diffusiophoresis was aided by measurements of the colloid electrophoretic mobility as a function of SDS concentration. A numerical transport model incorporating the prior diffusiophoretic mobility model for ionic surfactant gradients was implemented to elucidate signatures of positive and negative diffusiophoretic mobilities and compare with experiments. The theoretically predicted sign of the diffusiophoretic mobility below the CMC was determined to be particularly sensitive to uncertainty in colloid and surfactant properties, while above the CMC, the mobility was consistently predicted to be positive in the SDS concentration range considered in the experiments conducted here. In contrast, experiments only showed signatures of a negative diffusiophoretic mobility for these negatively charged colloids with no change of sign. Colloid diffusiophoretic transport measured in micellar solutions was more extensive than that below the CMC with the same ∇ ln S.

2.
J Med Screen ; 31(1): 28-34, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37661831

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Fecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is an effective screening tool for colorectal cancer. If an FIT is abnormal, a follow-up colonoscopy is necessary to remove polyps or find cancers. We sought to develop a usable risk prediction model to identify patients unlikely to complete a colonoscopy following an abnormal FIT test. METHODS: We recalibrated and then redeveloped a prediction model in federally qualified health centers (FQHCs), using a retrospective cohort of patients aged 50-75 with an abnormal FIT test and clinical data. Logistic and Cox regressions were used to recalibrate and then redevelop the model. RESULTS: The initial risk model used data from eight FQHCs (26 clinics) including 1723 patients. When we applied the model to a single large FQHC (34 clinics, 884 eligible patients), the model did not recalibrate successfully (c-statistic dropped more than 0.05, from 0.66 to 0.61). The model was redeveloped in the same FQHC in a cohort of 1401 patients with a c-statistic of 0.65. CONCLUSIONS: The original model developed in a group of FQHCs did not adequately recalibrate in the single large FQHC. Health system, patient characteristics or data differences may have led to the inability to recalibrate the model. However, the redeveloped model provides an adequate model for the single FQHC.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorretais/prevenção & controle , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Colonoscopia , Sangue Oculto , Programas de Rastreamento
3.
Health Equity ; 7(1): 773-781, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38076212

RESUMO

Introduction: Despite mounting evidence that the inclusion of race and ethnicity in clinical prediction models may contribute to health disparities, existing critical appraisal tools do not directly address such equity considerations. Objective: This study developed a critical appraisal tool extension to assess algorithmic bias in clinical prediction models. Methods: A modified e-Delphi approach was utilized to develop and obtain expert consensus on a set of racial and ethnic equity-based signaling questions for appraisal of risk of bias in clinical prediction models. Through a series of virtual meetings, initial pilot application, and an online survey, individuals with expertise in clinical prediction model development, systematic review methodology, and health equity developed and refined this tool. Results: Consensus was reached for ten equity-based signaling questions, which led to the development of the Critical Appraisal for Racial and Ethnic Equity in Clinical Prediction Models (CARE-CPM) extension. This extension is intended for use along with existing critical appraisal tools for clinical prediction models. Conclusion: CARE-CPM provides a valuable risk-of-bias assessment tool extension for clinical prediction models to identify potential algorithmic bias and health equity concerns. Further research is needed to test usability, interrater reliability, and application to decision-makers.

4.
Prev Med Rep ; 36: 102366, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37732019

RESUMO

Promotion of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening can be expensive and unnecessary for many patients. The use of predictive analytics promises to help health systems target the right services to the right patients at the right time while improving population health. Multilevel data at the interpersonal, organizational, community, and policy levels, is rarely considered in clinical decision making but may be used to improve CRC screening risk prediction. We compared the effectiveness of a CRC screening risk prediction model that uses multilevel data with a more conventional model that uses only individual patient data. We used a retrospective cohort to ascertain the one-year occurrence of CRC screening. The cohort was determined from a Health Maintenance Organization, in Oregon. Eligible patients were 50-75 years old, health plan members for at least one year before their birthday in 2018 and were due for screening. We created a risk model using logistic regression first with data available in the electronic health record (EHR), and then added multilevel data. In a cohort of 59,249 patients, 36.1% completed CRC screening. The individual level model included 14 demographic, clinical and encounter based characteristics, had a bootstrap-corrected C-statistic of 0.722 and sufficient calibration. The multilevel model added 9 variables from clinical setting and community characteristics, and the bootstrap-corrected C-statistic remained the same with continued sufficient calibration. The predictive power of the CRC screening model did not improve after adding multilevel data. Our findings suggest that multilevel data added no improvement to the prediction of the likelihood of CRC screening.

5.
Langmuir ; 39(30): 10335-10351, 2023 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37469275

RESUMO

To guide the rational design of personal care formulations, we formulate a molecular thermodynamic model that predicts coacervation from cationic polymers and mixed micelles containing neutral and anionic surfactants and added salt. These coacervates, which form as a result of dilution of conditioning shampoos during use, deposit conditioning agents and other actives to the scalp or skin and also provide lubrication benefits. Our model accounts for mixing entropy, hydrophobic interactions of polycation with water, free energies of bindings of oppositely charged groups to micelles and polycations, and electrostatic interactions that capture connectivity of charged groups on the polycation chain and the micelle. The model outputs are the compositions of surfactants, polycation, salt, and water in the coacervate and in its coexisting dilute phase, along with the binding fractions and coacervate volume fraction. We study the effects of overall composition (of surfactant, polycation, and added salt), charge fractions on micelles and polycations, and binding free energies on the phase diagram of coacervates. Then, we perform coacervation experiments for three systems: sodium dodecyl sulfate (SDS)-JR30M, sodium methyl cocoyl taurate (Taurate)-JR30M, and sodium lauryl alaninate (Alaninate)-JR30M, where JR30M is a cationic derivative of hydroxyethylcellulose (cat-HEC), and rationalize their coacervation data using our model. For comparison with experiment, we also develop a parametrization scheme to obtain the requisite binding energies and Flory-Huggins χ parameter. We find that our model predictions agree reasonably well with the experimental data, and that the sulfate-free surfactants of Taurate and Alaninate display much larger 2-phase regions compared to SDS with JR30M.

6.
Vaccine ; 41(22): 3410-3412, 2023 05 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37117055

RESUMO

The incidence of cardiac adverse events following JYNNEOS vaccination for prevention of mpox is unknown, however the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices states that people with underlying cardiac risk factors should be counseled about the theoretical risk for myopericarditis following vaccination. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 2,126 patients who were vaccinated with at least 1 dose of JYNNEOS vaccine and searched the Kaiser Permanente Northwest databases, including the electronic health record, to evaluate for cardiac adverse events of special interest (AESI). After physician adjudication, there were 10 confirmed cardiac AESI for an incidence of 3.1 per 1000 doses (exact 95% CI, 1.5 to 5.7), however none of these events could be directly attributed to vaccination. This retrospective cohort study of JYNNEOS vaccination for prevention of mpox identified 10 cardiac events that all had alternative explanations; and no hospitalizations or serious adverse outcomes were attributed to vaccination.


Assuntos
Mpox , Miocardite , Vacina Antivariólica , Vacinas Atenuadas , Humanos , Mpox/prevenção & controle , Miocardite/etiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Vacinação , Vacinas Atenuadas/efeitos adversos , Vacina Antivariólica/efeitos adversos
7.
Int J Cosmet Sci ; 45(2): 236-245, 2023 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36573829

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dandruff is a pervasive chronic condition which negatively impacts quality of life. Effective treatment requires efficient delivery of scalp benefit agents that control commensal scalp Malassezia levels. Delivery of benefit agents from shampoos requires balancing many technical parameters to achieve the desired outcome without sacrificing secondary parameters, such as cosmetic attributes. AIM: To develop formulation technologies that increase the shampoo delivery efficiency of the scalp benefit agent piroctone olamine (PO). Increased delivery should result in increased anti-dandruff efficacy. METHODS: Micellar Stability and Association parameters were quantified via dynamic surface tension and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) diffusion parameters, respectively. PO delivery has been assessed in vivo both on the scalp surface and follicular infindibula using extraction procedures and analytical analysis. Clinical anti-dandruff efficacy was assessed for an advanced delivery technology prototype in comparison to standard delivery technology. RESULTS: Shampoo prototypes have been developed that increase the delivery efficiency of PO. Both surfactant and polymer coacervate-based approaches have been developed. Decreased micellar stability results in weaker association between PO and micelles, resulting in more efficient PO retention on the scalp surface and delivery to the infundibula. Increased charge density of cationic polymers optimizes coacervation enabling improved PO delivery as well. Increased PO delivery has been shown clinically to result in higher anti-dandruff efficacy as measured by both visible flakes and underlying biomarkers. CONCLUSION: Increased efficiency PO delivery shampoos have been developed by optimization of both surfactant and coacervate parameters. The increased deposition efficiency results in significantly more products with significantly greater anti-dandruff efficacy.


CONTEXTE: Les pellicules sont une maladie chronique omniprésente qui a un impact négatif sur la qualité de vie. Un traitement efficace nécessite une administration efficace d'agents bénéfiques pour le cuir chevelu qui contrôlent les niveaux commensaux de Malassezia. L'administration d'agents bénéfiques à partir de shampooings nécessite d'équilibrer de nombreux paramètres techniques pour obtenir le résultat souhaité sans sacrifier des paramètres secondaires tels que les attributs cosmétiques. BUT: Développer des technologies de formulation qui augmentent l'efficacité d'administration du shampooing de l'agent bénéfique pour le cuir chevelu piroctone olamine (PO). Une livraison accrue devrait entraîner une efficacité antipelliculaire accrue. MÉTHODES: La stabilité micellaire et les paramètres d'association ont été quantifiés via les paramètres de tension superficielle dynamique et de diffusion RMN, respectivement. L'administration de PO a été évaluée in vivo à la fois sur la surface du cuir chevelu et sur l'indibula folliculaire à l'aide de procédures d'extraction et d'analyses analytiques. L'efficacité antipelliculaire clinique a été évaluée pour un prototype de technologie d'administration avancée par rapport à la technologie d'administration standard. RÉSULTATS: Des prototypes de shampooing ont été développés pour augmenter l'efficacité de livraison des PO. Des approches à base de tensioactifs et de coacervats polymères ont été développées. Une diminution de la stabilité micellaire entraîne une association plus faible entre le PO et les micelles, ce qui entraîne une rétention plus efficace du PO sur la surface du cuir chevelu et une livraison à l'infundibula. L'augmentation de la densité de charge des polymères cationiques optimise la coacervation, permettant également une meilleure administration de PO. Il a été démontré cliniquement que l'augmentation de l'administration de PO entraîne une efficacité antipelliculaire plus élevée, mesurée à la fois par les squames visibles et les biomarqueurs sous-jacents. CONCLUSION: Des shampooings à libération de PO à efficacité accrue ont été développés en optimisant à la fois les paramètres du tensioactif et du coacervat. L'efficacité de dépôt accrue se traduit par beaucoup plus de produits avec une efficacité antipelliculaire nettement supérieure.


Assuntos
Caspa , Dermatite Seborreica , Fármacos Dermatológicos , Preparações para Cabelo , Humanos , Qualidade de Vida , Preparações para Cabelo/química , Piridonas/uso terapêutico , Caspa/tratamento farmacológico , Fármacos Dermatológicos/uso terapêutico , Couro Cabeludo , Tensoativos
8.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 31(8): 921-925, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35404496

RESUMO

PURPOSE: How completely do hospital discharge diagnoses identify cases of myopericarditis after an mRNA vaccine? METHODS: We assembled a cohort 12-39 year-old patients, insured by Kaiser Permanente Northwest, who received at least one dose of an mRNA vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech or Moderna) between December 2020 and October 2021. We followed them for up to 30 days after their second dose of an mRNA vaccine to identify encounters for myocarditis, pericarditis or myopericarditis. We compared two identification methods: A method that searched all encounter diagnoses using a brief text description (e.g., ICD-10-CM code I40.9 is defined as 'acute myocarditis, unspecified'). We searched the text description of all inpatient or outpatient encounter diagnoses (in any position) for "myocarditis" or "pericarditis." The other method was developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD), which searched for emergency department visits or hospitalizations with a select set of discharge ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes. For both methods, two physicians independently reviewed the identified patient records and classified them as confirmed, probable or not cases using the CDC's case definition. RESULTS: The encounter methodology identified 14 distinct patients who met the confirmed or probable CDC case definition for acute myocarditis or pericarditis with an onset within 21 days of receipt of COVID-19 vaccination. When we extended the search for relevant diagnoses to 30 days since vaccination, we identified two additional patients (for a total of 16 patients) who met the case definition for acute myocarditis or pericarditis, but those patients had been misdiagnosed at the time of their original presentation. Three of these patients had an ICD-10-CM code of I51.4 "Myocarditis, Unspecified;" that code was omitted by the VSD algorithm (in the late fall of 2021). The VSD methodology identified 11 patients who met the CDC case definition for acute myocarditis or pericarditis. Seven (64%) of the 11 patients had initial care for myopericarditis outside of a KPNW facility and their diagnosis could not be ascertained by the VSD methodology until claims were submitted (median delay of 33 days; range of 12-195 days). Among those who received a second dose of vaccine (n = 146 785), we estimated a risk as 95.4 cases of myopericarditis per million second doses administered (95% CI, 52.1-160.0). CONCLUSION: We identified additional valid cases of myopericarditis following an mRNA vaccination that would be missed by the VSD's search algorithm, which depends on select hospital discharge diagnosis codes. The true incidence of myopericarditis is markedly higher than the incidence reported to US advisory committees in the fall of 2021. The VSD should validate its search algorithm to improve its sensitivity for myopericarditis.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde , Miocardite , Pericardite , Adolescente , Adulto , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Criança , Humanos , Miocardite/induzido quimicamente , Miocardite/diagnóstico , Pericardite/induzido quimicamente , Pericardite/diagnóstico , Vacinação/efeitos adversos , Adulto Jovem , Vacinas de mRNA
10.
Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev ; 30(12): 2327-2333, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34583969

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer screening by annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT) with follow-up on abnormal results is a cost-effective strategy to reduce colorectal cancer incidence and mortality. Unfortunately, many patients with abnormal results do not complete a follow-up colonoscopy. We tested whether navigation targeted to patients who are unlikely to complete the procedure may improve adherence and long-term outcomes. METHODS: Study participants were patients at a large, integrated health system (Kaiser Permanente Northwest) who were ages 50 to 75 and were due for a follow-up colonoscopy after a recent abnormal FIT result. Probability of adherence to follow-up was estimated at baseline using a predictive risk model. Patients whose probability was 70% or lower were randomized to receive patient navigation or usual care, with randomization stratified by probability category (<50%, 50% < 60%, 60% < 65%, 65% ≤ 70%). We compared colonoscopy completion within 6 months between the navigation and usual care groups using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Participants (n = 415; 200 assigned to patient navigation, 215 to usual care) had a mean age of 62 years, 54% were female, and 87% were non-Hispanic white. By 6 months, 76% of the patient navigation group had completed a colonoscopy, compared with 65% of the usual care group (HR = 1.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.72; log-rank P value = 0.027). CONCLUSIONS: In this randomized trial, patient navigation led to improvements in follow-up colonoscopy adherence. IMPACT: More research is needed to assess the value of precision-directed navigation programs.


Assuntos
Colonoscopia/estatística & dados numéricos , Sangue Oculto , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Navegação de Pacientes/organização & administração , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade
11.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 30(12): 1630-1634, 2021 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34558760

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Our objective was to calculate the positive predictive value (PPV) of the ICD-9 diagnosis code for angioedema when physicians adjudicate the events by electronic health record review. Our secondary objective was to evaluate the inter-rater reliability of physician adjudication. METHODS: Patients from the Cardiovascular Research Network previously diagnosed with heart failure who were started on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI) during the study period (July 1, 2006 through September 30, 2015) were included. A team of two physicians per participating site adjudicated possible events using electronic health records for all patients coded for angioedema for a total of five sites. The PPV was calculated as the number of physician-adjudicated cases divided by all cases with the diagnosis code of angioedema (ICD-9-CM code 995.1) meeting the inclusion criteria. The inter-rater reliability of physician teams, or kappa statistic, was also calculated. RESULTS: There were 38 061 adults with heart failure initiating ACEI in the study (21 489 patient-years). Of 114 coded events that were adjudicated by physicians, 98 angioedema events were confirmed for a PPV of 86% (95% CI: 80%, 92%). The kappa statistic based on physician inter-rater reliability was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.47, 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: ICD-9 diagnosis code of 995.1 (angioneurotic edema, not elsewhere classified) is highly predictive of angioedema in adults with heart failure exposed to ACEI.


Assuntos
Angioedema , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Médicos , Angioedema/induzido quimicamente , Angioedema/diagnóstico , Angioedema/epidemiologia , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/tratamento farmacológico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Humanos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
12.
Perm J ; 252021 12 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35348109

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Use of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) prediction models for guiding arteriovenous fistula (AVF) referrals in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. We aimed to compare a hypothetical approach using a KRT prediction model developed in Kaiser Permanente Northwest to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for AVF referrals. METHODS: Our retrospective cohort consisted of patients with stage G4 CKD in Kaiser Permanente Northwest followed by nephrology. Two-year KRT risk was calculated at each nephrology visit up to 2 years from entrance into cohort based on a previously published model. We calculated sensitivity, specificity, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) based on several 2-year KRT risk and eGFR cutoffs for outcome of hemodialysis at 18 months. We compared an approach of AVF referral using 2-year KRT risk and eGFR cutoffs using decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Two-year KRT risk better discriminated progression to hemodialysis compared to eGFR < 15 mL/min (AUC 0.60 vs 0.69 at 2-year KRT risk > 20% and 0.69 at 2-year KRT risk > 40%, p = 0.003 and 0.006, respectively) but not to eGFR of 20 mL/min (AUC 0.64, p = 0.16 and 0.19, respectively). Decision curve analysis showed that AVF referral guided by 2-year KRT risk score resulted in higher net benefit compared to eGFR at low thresholds for referral. CONCLUSION: In stage G4 CKD, a 2-year KRT risk model better predicted progression to KRT at 18 months compared to an eGFR of 15 mL/min but not to 20 mL/min and may improve timely referral for AVF placement in patients at lower thresholds for referral.


Assuntos
Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Humanos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/terapia , Terapia de Substituição Renal , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
13.
J Vasc Access ; 22(3): 432-437, 2021 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32772799

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Optimal timing of arteriovenous fistula placement in chronic kidney disease remains difficult and contributes to high central venous catheter use at initial hemodialysis. We tested whether a prediction model for progression to renal replacement therapy developed at Kaiser Permanente Northwest may help guide decisions about timing of referral for arteriovenous fistula placement. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, AND MEASUREMENTS: A total of 205 chronic kidney disease stage 4 patients followed by nephrology referred for arteriovenous fistula placement were followed for up to 2 years. Patients were censored if they died or discontinued Kaiser Permanente Northwest coverage. Survival analyses were performed for overall progression to renal replacement therapy divided by quartiles based on 2-year risk for renal replacement therapy and estimated glomerular filtrate rate at time of referral. RESULTS: By 2 years, 60% progressed to renal replacement therapy and 11% had died. 80% in the highest risk versus 36% in the lowest risk quartile progressed to renal replacement therapy (predicted risk 84% vs 17%). 75% in the lowest estimated glomerular filtrate rate versus 56% in the highest estimated glomerular filtrate rate quartile progressed to renal replacement therapy (mean estimated glomerular filtrate rate 13 mL/min vs 21 mL/min). The hazard ratio was significantly higher for each consecutive higher renal replacement therapy quartile risk while for estimated glomerular filtrate rate, the hazard ratio was only significantly higher for the lowest compared to the highest quartile. The extreme quartile risk ratio was higher for 2-year risk for renal replacement therapy compared to estimated glomerular filtrate rate (4.0 vs 2.4). CONCLUSION: In patients with chronic kidney disease stage 4 referred for arteriovenous fistula placement, 2-year renal replacement therapy risk better discriminated progression to renal replacement therapy compared to estimated glomerular filtrate rate at time of referral.


Assuntos
Derivação Arteriovenosa Cirúrgica , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Rim/fisiopatologia , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/terapia , Terapia de Substituição Renal , Tempo para o Tratamento , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Progressão da Doença , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/fisiopatologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
14.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 20(1): 1028, 2020 Nov 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33172444

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the 3rd leading cancer killer among men and women in the US. The Strategies and Opportunities to STOP Colon Cancer in Priority Populations (STOP CRC) project aimed to increase CRC screening among patients in Federally Qualified Health Centers (FQHCs) through a mailed fecal immunochemical test (FIT) outreach program. However, rates of completion of the follow-up colonoscopy following an abnormal FIT remain low. We developed a multivariable prediction model using data available in the electronic health record to assess the probability of patients obtaining a colonoscopy following an abnormal FIT test. METHODS: To assess the probability of obtaining a colonoscopy, we used Cox regression to develop a risk prediction model among a retrospective cohort of patients with an abnormal FIT result. RESULTS: Of 1596 patients with an abnormal FIT result, 556 (34.8%) had a recorded colonoscopy within 6 months. The model shows an adequate separation of patients across risk levels for non-adherence to follow-up colonoscopy (bootstrap-corrected C-statistic > 0.63). The refined model included 8 variables: age, race, insurance, GINI income inequality, long-term anticoagulant use, receipt of a flu vaccine in the past year, frequency of missed clinic appointments, and clinic site. The probability of obtaining a follow-up colonoscopy within 6 months varied across quintiles; patients in the lowest quintile had an estimated 18% chance, whereas patients in the top quintile had a greater than 55% chance of obtaining a follow-up colonoscopy. CONCLUSIONS: Knowing who is unlikely to follow-up on an abnormal FIT test could help identify patients who need an early intervention aimed at completing a follow-up colonoscopy. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT01742065 ) on December 5, 2012. The protocol is available.


Assuntos
Colonoscopia , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Cooperação do Paciente , Idoso , Instituições de Assistência Ambulatorial , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Medicina de Precisão , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Retrospectivos
15.
Contemp Clin Trials ; 89: 105920, 2020 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31881390

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening by annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT) is an accessible and cost-effective strategy to lower CRC incidence and mortality. However, this mode of screening depends on follow-up colonoscopy after a positive FIT result. Unfortunately, nearly one-half of FIT-positive patients fail to complete this essential screening component. Patient navigation may improve follow-up colonoscopy adherence. To deliver patient navigation cost-effectively, health centers could target navigation to patients who are unlikely to complete the procedure on their own. OBJECTIVES: The Predicting and Addressing Colonoscopy Non-adherence in Community Settings (PRECISE) clinical trial will validate a risk model of follow-up colonoscopy adherence and test whether patient navigation raises rates of colonoscopy adherence overall and among patients in each probability stratum (low, moderate, and high probability of adherence without intervention). METHODS: PRECISE is a collaboration with a large community health center whose patient population is 37% Latino. Eligible patients will be aged 50-75, have an abnormal FIT result in the past month, and be due for a follow-up colonoscopy. Patients will be randomized to patient navigation or usual care. Primary outcomes will be colonoscopy completion within one year of a positive FIT result, cost, and cost-effectiveness. Secondary outcomes will include time to colonoscopy receipt, adequacy of bowel prep, and communication of results to primary care providers. Primary and secondary outcomes will be reported overall and by probability stratum. DISCUSSION: This innovative clinical trial will test the effectiveness and financial feasibility of using a precision health intervention to improve CRC screening completion in community health centers. TRIAL REGISTRATION: National Clinical Trial (NCT) Identifier: NCT03925883.


Assuntos
Colonoscopia/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Colorretais/diagnóstico , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/métodos , Sangue Oculto , Cooperação do Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Navegação de Pacientes/organização & administração , Idoso , Comunicação , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Promoção da Saúde/organização & administração , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Navegação de Pacientes/economia , Encaminhamento e Consulta/organização & administração , Encaminhamento e Consulta/estatística & dados numéricos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Tempo
16.
Nutr Cancer ; 71(7): 1118-1131, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31007070

RESUMO

This is a case-cohort study to examine whether the excess of liver cancer deaths observed in workers in poultry plants could be explained by oncogenic viruses and chemical carcinogenic exposures within the plants. A detailed telephone questionnaire was administered, and responses were analyzed by logistic regression. Odds ratios for several indicators of high exposure to oncogenic viruses or chemical carcinogens in poultry plants and related industries were elevated, but not statistically significant, except the odds ratio for direct contact with the blood of meat in kitchens, eating places, etc. Established risk factors were replicated, and new ones identified. The study was unable to unequivocally assess risks due to oncogenic viruses or chemical carcinogenic exposures in poultry plants, mainly because observed elevated risks did not achieve statistical significance. The same also applies to some non-occupational factors. Noteworthy risk factors identified include the increased risks for eating cabbage, mussels, blood sausage, meringue, playing football, and decreased risks for history of frequent intake of soft drinks, gelatin-based meals, vitamins, frequent use of microwave oven to cook, and history of childhood diseases, and nonspecific symptoms. The significance of these findings is unknown, and they will need to be replicated in studies with adequate statistical power.


Assuntos
Matadouros/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Aves Domésticas/virologia , Animais , Carcinógenos/toxicidade , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Illinois/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/etiologia , Masculino , Maryland/epidemiologia , Missouri/epidemiologia , Vírus Oncogênicos/patogenicidade , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Inquéritos e Questionários
18.
Am J Manag Care ; 24(11): 515-521, 2018 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30452208

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine whether a pharmacist-led, patient-directed intervention can reduce opioid use following total hip arthroplasty (THA) or total knee arthroplasty (TKA). STUDY DESIGN: Randomized trial. METHODS: Patients scheduled to undergo THA or TKA (during 2015 and 2016) were randomized to usual care or intervention. We ranked patients according to predicted risk of persistent opioid use and selected the top 60% for inclusion (n = 561); all contributed to the analysis. Intervention patients were mailed materials 2 weeks before and after surgery, plus they received telephone intervention from specially trained pharmacists if they filled opioid prescriptions in the 28 to 90 days following surgery. Our primary outcome was the dispensed morphine equivalents (DME) in the 90 days following surgery, modeled using a natural log transformation. RESULTS: A total of 561 patients were randomized (286 usual care, 118 THA and 168 TKA; 275 intervention, 107 THA and 168 TKA); the mean age was 66 years, and 60% were female. Overall, we found no meaningful reduction in DME for intervention versus usual care (geometric mean ratio, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.69-1.21]). However, there was effect modification by whether the patient had TKA or THA (interaction P <.01). Those undergoing THA in the intervention group used significantly less DME than did those undergoing THA in the usual care group (geometric mean ratio, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.33-0.82]). CONCLUSIONS: Our pharmacist-led, patient-directed intervention to reduce opioid use demonstrated a reduction in opioid dispensings in the 90 days following THA but not TKA.


Assuntos
Analgésicos Opioides/uso terapêutico , Artroplastia de Quadril/métodos , Artroplastia do Joelho/métodos , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto/organização & administração , Farmacêuticos/organização & administração , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Analgésicos Opioides/administração & dosagem , Uso de Medicamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Papel Profissional , Método Simples-Cego
19.
Environ Res ; 167: 393-410, 2018 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30099266

RESUMO

Certain viruses naturally infect and cause cancer in chickens and turkeys. Humans are widely exposed. The viruses cause cancer in primates, and transform human cells in vitro, but it is not known if they cause cancer in humans, mainly because of the lack of epidemiologic evidence. We conducted cohort mortality studies of workers in poultry slaughtering/processing plants across the United States, because they have the highest human exposures. An excess of lung cancer and other deaths was recorded in the poultry workers. Here, we report on a case-cohort study of the lung cancer deaths nested within these cohorts, that was conducted to provide epidemiologic evidence linking these viruses with human cancer occurrence, while adjusting for possible confounders, including workplace chemical carcinogens. We obtained interviews for 339 lung cancer deaths and 457 controls, selected from our combined cohorts of 30,411 poultry plant workers and 16,405 non-poultry workers, belonging to United Food & Commercial Workers unions. Data was analyzed by both logistic regression and Cox regression, adjusting for smoking and other confounders. Lung cancer risk was independently associated with tasks or work areas indicative of exposure to both poultry oncogenic viruses and to workplace chemical carcinogens. The study provides an incremental piece of evidence (epidemiologic), indirectly linking the oncogenic viruses of poultry with the occurrence of cancer in humans, and thus may have public health implications, but the limitations highlighted must be considered. Confirmatory studies, particularly molecular studies providing definitive proof of poultry oncogenic retrovirus integration in human DNA are needed, before the findings observed in this study can be put into proper perspective.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Pulmonares/epidemiologia , Doenças Profissionais/epidemiologia , Exposição Ocupacional , Animais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Galinhas , Humanos , Vírus Oncogênicos , Aves Domésticas , Fatores de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
20.
J Gen Intern Med ; 33(9): 1469-1477, 2018 09.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29943109

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Chiropractic care is a popular alternative for back and neck pain, with efficacy comparable to usual care in randomized trials. However, the effectiveness of chiropractic care as delivered through conventional care settings remains largely unexplored. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the comparative effectiveness of usual care with or without chiropractic care for patients with chronic recurrent musculoskeletal back and neck pain. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study using propensity score-matched controls. PARTICIPANTS: Using retrospective electronic health record data, we developed a propensity score model predicting likelihood of chiropractic referral. Eligible patients with back or neck pain were then contacted upon referral for chiropractic care and enrolled in a prospective study. For each referred patient, two propensity score-matched non-referred patients were contacted and enrolled. We followed the participants prospectively for 6 months. MAIN MEASURES: Main outcomes included pain severity, interference, and symptom bothersomeness. Secondary outcomes included expenditures for pain-related health care. KEY RESULTS: Both groups' (N = 70 referred, 139 non-referred) pain scores improved significantly over the first 3 months, with less change between months 3 and 6. No significant between-group difference was observed. (severity - 0.10 (95% CI - 0.30, 0.10), interference - 0.07 (- 0.31, 0.16), bothersomeness - 0.1 (- 0.39, 0.19)). After controlling for variances in baseline costs, total costs during the 6-month post-enrollment follow-up were significantly higher on average in the non-referred versus referred group ($1996 [SD = 3874] vs $1086 [SD = 1212], p = .034). Adjusting for differences in age, gender, and Charlson comorbidity index attenuated this finding, which was no longer statistically significant (p = .072). CONCLUSIONS: We found no statistically significant difference between the two groups in either patient-reported or economic outcomes. As clinical outcomes were similar, and the provision of chiropractic care did not increase costs, making chiropractic services available provided an additional viable option for patients who prefer this type of care, at no additional expense.


Assuntos
Dor Lombar , Manipulação Quiroprática , Dor Musculoesquelética/terapia , Cervicalgia , Adulto , Pesquisa Comparativa da Efetividade , Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Humanos , Dor Lombar/etiologia , Dor Lombar/terapia , Masculino , Manipulação Quiroprática/economia , Manipulação Quiroprática/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Manipulações Musculoesqueléticas/economia , Manipulações Musculoesqueléticas/métodos , Cervicalgia/etiologia , Cervicalgia/terapia , Manejo da Dor/economia , Manejo da Dor/métodos , Preferência do Paciente , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento
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