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1.
Heliyon ; 10(4): e26072, 2024 Feb 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38404863

RESUMO

Background: Walking and cycling are examples of active travel modes or nonmotorized modes that rely on human physical power rather than fossil fuel consumption. In the context of short-distance journeys, active travel modes are advocated as feeder modes to reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions. However, in Thailand and many other developing countries, these modes of transportation have not been widely adopted or effectively promoted. The absence of comprehensive campaigns and interventions to promote and facilitate the use of active travel modes has become a major barrier to their adoption, particularly among adolescents who will be future global citizens. Therefore, a campaign or intervention targeting adolescents is imperative to introduce and persuade them to adopt active travel modes. This study aims to provide guidelines for developing a robust intervention strategy to promote active travel modes among adolescents. Methods: This study performed a systematic review to achieve the research goal using a particular search and selection approach. The search strategy has focused on published studies in the English language since 2014 to highlight the most recent trends. The selection process focused on articles relevant to promoting active travel mode among children and adolescents (up to 18 years old) through intervention. Conclusions: A total of 16 studies were included. The findings reveal that successful interventions to promote active travel modes consist of an educational program and activities incorporating gamification to encourage their use. Furthermore, the intervention should last longer than one month to be effective.

2.
Accid Anal Prev ; 197: 107452, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38183691

RESUMO

Truck-involved crashes persist as a significant concern, yielding noteworthy human casualties and causing economic ramifications, particularly in developing countries. This paper aims to undertake a comprehensive analysis of the associated factors influencing injury severity in truck-involved crashes, with a particular emphasis on discerning variations between single-vehicle and multi-vehicle incidents, as well as accounting for heterogeneity and temporal stability. The data analysis involves a meticulous examination of crash data spanning the entirety of Thailand from 2017 to 2020. Employing three distinct levels of injury severities, namely PDO injury, moderate injury, and severe injury, the study employs a series of mixed logit models that account for unobserved heterogeneity in both means and variances. Results revealed significant instability in injury risk determinants over time among both single and multi-vehicle events. Aligning predictive assessments further spotlighted fluctuations in projected burdens across models and years - collectively underscoring the imperative to integrate temporal considerations into modeling and prevention. Several crash-type distinctions and priorities emerged. For single-truck events, key risks included roadway alignments and geometry, speeding, fatigue, and lighting conditions. However multi-truck collisions concentrated around exposure factors like highway traits, sightline limitations, and vulnerable road users. Ultimately, the technique permitted responsive countermeasure targeting and recalibration opportunities keyed to each crash form's evolving landscapes. While it is indeed noteworthy that several variables have exhibited instability in their effects, it is equally important to acknowledge the existence of certain variables that maintain a relative degree of temporal stability. This underscores their pivotal role in shaping the foundation of enduring strategies aimed at enhancing traffic safety in the long run. The multifaceted investigation constitutes an invaluable reference for diverse transportation stakeholders seeking to curb rising truck fatalities through evidence-based improvements in policy, engineering, usage protocols, and technologies. It provides a blueprint for nimble safety planning within complex modernizing road systems.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Países em Desenvolvimento , Veículos Automotores , Modelos Logísticos , Engenharia
3.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; : 1-22, 2024 Jan 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38190335

RESUMO

This paper investigates the factors influencing the severity of driver injuries in single-vehicle speeding-related crashes, by comparing different driver age groups. This study employed a random threshold random parameter hierarchical ordered probit model and analysed crash data from Thailand between 2012 and 2017. The findings showed that young drivers face a heightened fatality risk when speeding in passenger cars or pickup trucks, hinting at the role of inexperience and risk-taking behaviours. Old drivers exhibit an increased fatality risk when speeding, especially in rainy conditions, on flush median roads, and during evening peak hours, attributed to reduced reaction times and vulnerability to adverse weather. Both young and elderly drivers face escalated fatality risks when speeding on road segments lacking guardrails during adverse weather, with older drivers being particularly vulnerable in rainy conditions. All age groups show an elevated fatality risk when speeding on barrier median roads, underscoring the significant role of speeding, which increases crash impact and limits margins of error and manoeuvrability, thereby highlighting the need for safety measures focusing on driver behaviour. These findings underscore the critical imperative for interventions addressing not only driver conduct but also road infrastructure, collectively striving to curtail the severity of speeding-related crashes.

4.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 31(1): 96-110, 2024 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37812734

RESUMO

Road accidents remain a serious problem and directly affect drivers. Therefore, the perspectives of drivers are important in improving road safety. The objectives of this study are to empirically examine damage due to road accidents using the willingness-to-pay (WTP) approach and to analyze the factors that influence WTP at the driver and district levels. This study obtained data on WTP derived from car drivers across Thailand, which covers 96 districts. The value of statistical life was 824,344 USD per fatality (2,296 million USD annually). The results of Multilevel Structural Equation Modeling revealed a statistically important insight. At the driver level, the Health Belief Model and sociodemographic exert influence on the intention to pay. The demographic factor that has the greatest influence on perceived risk and leads to a high intention to pay is the working age group (γ = 0.826). However, when considering the HBM, perceived susceptibility (γ = 0.901) emerges as the most valuable factor influencing drivers' concerns about road accidents. On the other hand, district-level factors have a negative influence on the intention to pay for road safety measures. Among these factors, the law enforcement (γ = -0.555) practices implemented by local authorities have the most significant impact on drivers' perspectives and intentions regarding WTP. This finding can be used as a guideline for budget allocation and policy recommendation for policymakers in improving road safety according to the area contexts.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Análise de Classes Latentes , Aplicação da Lei , Tailândia , Inquéritos e Questionários
5.
Heliyon ; 9(12): e22625, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38090010

RESUMO

Road accidents cause a large number of deaths, especially in Thailand. When considered in depth, motorcycles account for the highest percentage of fatalities. According to Heinrich's Safety Triangle Model, a decrease in near misses will reduce the number of road accidents. There is still a lack of studies on risky behaviors contributing to near misses involving motorcycles. This study aims to comprehend the various factors that influence the frequency of near-miss experiences using a questionnaire on near-miss incidents. The contributing factors include road factors (e.g., road surface, number of traffic lanes, speed limit), environmental factors (e.g., driving at night), and driver factors (e.g., using a phone while driving). Of the 2002 respondents, a total of 1547 people have occasionally experienced a near-miss incident. A random parameter probit model (RPOP) was used for analyzing the relationship between the contributing factors and the near-miss frequency, and model statistics clearly confirm that RPOPs that import only significant variables are the most suitable models. The study found 14 factors that affect near-miss frequency, and there are 5 variables that are random parameters. Variables that increase the chance of a near-miss incident include driving at night (both with and without lights), roads with concrete road surfaces, and roads with unclear lane markings. This study provides policy recommendations for relevant agencies that were identified to reduce near-miss motorcycle accidents.

6.
Behav Sci (Basel) ; 13(10)2023 Sep 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37887439

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted railway transportation in developing countries, resulting in reduced passenger demand and economic activity. As a result of the pandemic effect, there is an increased focus on health and safety among potential passengers. To address this issue, the present study aimed to investigate the fundamental factors that contribute to railway transportation service quality (SERVQUAL) and the intention to use intercity train services in Thailand using the health belief model (HBM), with 1600 passenger participants using structural equation modeling (SEM). The findings demonstrated that train operators' service standards remain vital to passengers, and the HBM had a statistically significant impact on shaping passengers' intentions to use train services after an epidemic. These results can inform rail agencies and health authorities when developing policies and strategies to prioritize both business and passenger safety on intercity trains.

7.
Traffic Inj Prev ; 24(6): 503-510, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37266974

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The paper aims to examine the interdependent relationship between the usage of the seatbelt restraint system and severities of the driver-injury in single-vehicle crashes. METHODS: This paper developed a comprehensive joint econometric structure - a joint random parameters binary probit-binary probit model - that allows for the simultaneous examination of injury severity of the driver in a crash, and taking into account the fact that seat belt use can be endogenous to the outcomes of driver injury. The developed model is tested using data on drivers-injury severities involved in single-vehicle crashes in Thailand from 2012-2017. RESULTS: In terms of the interdependent relationship between seatbelt use status and driver-injury severities, the findings suggest that drivers who do not use seat belts may demonstrate more dangerous or aggressive driving behaviors (such as speeding), subsequently increasing their likelihood of involvement in severe or fatal crashes. Additionally, the result also shows that drivers who are involved in speeding-related crashes are less likely to wear a seatbelt and have a higher risk of sustaining severe and fatal injuries. The findings also reveal that in crashes, drivers who are young, or operating trucks are less likely to be wearing their seat belts. The study also indicates that severe and fatal crashes are associated with factors such as elderly drivers, alcohol involvement, unbelted drivers, fatigue, depressed medians, and barrier medians. Conversely, a crash in a U-turn area, driving a passenger car, pickup truck, or large truck, or colliding with a guardrail reduces the likelihood of severe and fatal injuries. CONCLUSIONS: Neglecting the hidden endogenous effect in statistical analyses could result in an overestimation of the impact of seat belt usage on crash-injury outcomes. The findings of this study can provide valuable insights for relevant authorities aiming to improve driver safety.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Idoso , Cintos de Segurança , Acidentes de Trânsito , Tailândia/epidemiologia , Veículos Automotores , Probabilidade
8.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 9756, 2023 06 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37328518

RESUMO

Upon detecting a crash impact, the vehicle restraint system locks the driver in place. However, external factors such as speeding, crash mechanisms, roadway attributes, vehicle type, and the surrounding environment typically contribute to the driver being jostled within the vehicle. As a result, it is crucial to model unrestrained and restrained drivers separately to reveal the true impact of the restraint system and other factors on driver injury severities. This paper aims to explore the differences in factors affecting injury severity for seatbelt-restrained and unrestrained drivers involved in speeding-related crashes while accounting for temporal instability in the investigation. Utilizing crash data from Thailand between 2012 and 2017, mixed logit models with heterogeneity in means and variances were employed to account for multi-layered unobserved heterogeneity. For restrained drivers, the risk of fatal or severe crashes was positively associated with factors such as male drivers, alcohol influence, flush/barrier median roadways, sloped roadways, vans, running off the roadway without roadside guardrails, and nighttime on unlit or lit roads. For unrestrained drivers, the likelihood of fatal or severe injuries increased in crashes involving older drivers, alcohol influence, raised or depressed median roadways, four-lane roadways, passenger cars, running off the roadway without roadside guardrails, and crashes occurring in rainy conditions. The out-of-sample prediction simulation results are particularly significant, as they show the maximum safety benefits achievable solely by using a vehicle's seatbelt system. Likelihood ratio test and predictive comparison findings highlight the considerable combined impact of temporal instability and the non-transferability of restrained and unrestrained driver injury severities across the periods studied. This finding also demonstrates a potential reduction in severe and fatal injury rates by simply replicating restrained driver conditions. The findings should be of value to policymakers, decision-makers, and highway engineers when developing potential countermeasures to improve driver safety and reduce the frequency of severe and fatal speeding-related single-vehicle crashes.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Condução de Veículo , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Masculino , Modelos Logísticos , Veículos Automotores , Probabilidade , Cintos de Segurança , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/etiologia
9.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36900855

RESUMO

Motorcycle accidents can impede sustainable development due to the high fatality rate associated with motorcycle riders, particularly in developing countries. Although there has been extensive research conducted on motorcycle accidents on highways, there is a limited understanding of the factors contributing to accidents involving the most commonly used motorcycles on local roads. This study aimed to identify the root causes of fatal motorcycle accidents on local roads. The contributing factors consist of four groups: rider characteristics, maneuvers prior to the crash, temporal and environmental characteristics, and road characteristics. The study employed random parameters logit models with unobserved heterogeneity in means and variances while also incorporating the temporal instability principle. The results revealed that the data related to motorcycle accidents on local roads between 2018 and 2020 exhibited temporal variation. Numerous variables were discovered to influence the means and variances of the unobserved factors that were identified as random parameters. Male riders, riders over 50 years old, foreign riders, and accidents that occurred at night with inadequate lighting were identified as the primary factors that increased the risk of fatalities. This paper presents a clear policy recommendation aimed at organizations and identifies the relevant stakeholders, including the Department of Land Transport, traffic police, local government organizations, and academic groups.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Motocicletas , Masculino , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Logísticos , Dispositivos de Proteção da Cabeça , Fatores de Risco
10.
Accid Anal Prev ; 183: 106992, 2023 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36731255

RESUMO

Road safety funding and management have become important issues in improving the quality of life of road users and there is evidence of a difference in driving behavior and the factor of road use between urban and rural areas, which is, in turn, reflected in different road safety evaluations. The purpose of this study is to assess the financial losses caused by road accidents on Thailand's highways and the related factors empirically, deploying the willingness-to-pay (WTP) approach. Data were obtained from 640 urban and 960 rural car drivers using a stated choice questionnaire and face-to-face interviews. This study used Correlated Random Parameters Binary Logit with Heterogeneity in Means (CRPBLHM) approach to analyze factors affecting WTP. According to the results, the value of a statistical life and injury for urban drivers was 1.63 times higher than that for rural drivers, and the value of travel time reduction per hour for urban drivers is âˆ¼1.14 times higher than that found for rural drivers. Furthermore, the results of the CRPBLHM model reported that there are significant differences between urban and rural drivers' safety intentions and WTP. In the urban model, it was found that driving behavior (ticket, seatbelts, and speed) and weekday trips significantly increase the WTP, whereas household size and gender are unobserved characteristics among drivers. The rural model revealed that a driver's education (bachelor's and master's degrees held), and a necessary trip were significantly associated with drivers' valuation of safety; moreover, it was found that household size, sole earner status, own accident, in possession of a doctoral degree, and being young were significant in acting as unobserved characteristics. The results demonstrated differences in the value of road safety and unobserved heterogeneity among drivers, which influence risk perception and valuation with reference to the area context. Relevant agencies can use the results as a guideline for budget allocation and practical policy-related road safety management.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Condução de Veículo , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Qualidade de Vida , Viagem , Modelos Logísticos
11.
PLoS One ; 17(11): e0277750, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36383547

RESUMO

The aims of this research are: to investigate and develop a multilevel analysis of unsafe actions or risky behaviors; to study the influence of road safety policy factors on risky behaviors; and to analyze personal characteristics that influence risky behaviors. Data were collected using 1,474 samples from locations countrywide at the district level, including 76 clusters, via the Driver Behavior Questionnaire (DBQ) and road safety policy. The results indicate that, for the district-level model, the participation factor directly and negatively influenced risky behaviors, and government support indirectly had a negative impact through participation. Thus, people's participation in the area caused a decrease in unsafe behaviors. Meanwhile, safety policy support in the area partially caused people to participate at a significant level. At the personal level, income, having a driver's license, past violations, and past accidents significantly affected risky behaviors, especially having a driver's license, which had a negative influence. This meant that people who had a driver's license facilitated a positive effect in terms of decreasing risky behaviors, while people with past violations and past accidents influenced this situation positively. The more traffic law violations and accidents the participants had, the more they engaged in unsafe actions. Based on the findings, acknowledging and solving the problem of unsafe driving at a spatial level can address the issue by supporting different measures to help people in the area improve the situation. In addition, we should assist people who have a driver's license by offering them useful training to decrease traffic law violations and inform them about accidents.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Condução de Veículo , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Análise Multinível , Inquéritos e Questionários , Políticas
12.
Behav Sci (Basel) ; 12(9)2022 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36135140

RESUMO

Property damage and loss from road traffic accidents are a major concern in developing countries; thus, studies on accident damage in such countries may include more latent factors. This study aims to examine the effect of psychological perspectives and sociodemographic status on drivers' willingness-to-pay (WTP) for road accident risk reduction, using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) and the random parameters multinomial logit model with heterogeneity in means and variances (RPMNLHMV). The CFA results from interviews with 1650 car drivers in Thailand demonstrate that concepts of the theory of planned behavior and health access process approach are key factors for describing drivers' behavioral intention and WTP. The RPMNLHMV results indicate that drivers' demographics affected drivers' WTP to reduce road accidents, and psychological perspectives were also found to have an influence on WTP. The results also reveal unobserved characteristics that could affect drivers' WTP. The study concludes that ignoring unobserved heterogeneity in studies on WTP to reduce road accidents can lead to biased results and neglect important influential factors. The methodological approaches applied herein offer another layer of insight into unobserved characteristics in road accident valuation. These findings could be used to provide relevant authorities practical insights for policy development on road accident mitigation and road safety education programs in accordance with drivers' characteristics.

13.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 29(4): 475-488, 2022 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35653656

RESUMO

This paper aims to investigate the differences between temporal stability of factors influencing driver-injury severities in crashes involving speeding and non-speeding driving using a six-year (2012-2017) crash data in Thailand. With two possible driver injury severity outcomes (no/minor and severe/fatal), random parameter binary logit models, that allow for heterogeneity in means and variances, were estimated to fully account for unobserved heterogeneities (i.e., allow crash-level factors to vary across crashes and to influence random parameter distribution). While most factors were unstable over time, speeding crash models result showed that stable factors decreasing probability of severe/fatal injury were restraint, van, passenger car, pickup truck, running-off-road on straight and hitting guardrail and mounting traffic island; whereas stable factor increasing probability of severe/fatal injury were central/eastern/southern regions. In non-speeding driving crash model, stable factors decreasing probability of severe/fatal injury were restraint, truck, and running-off-road on straight and hitting guardrail; whereas stable factors increasing probability of severe and fatal injury were under influence of alcohol and van. The findings of this research could potentially be utilized to improve highway safety and facilitate the development of more effective crash injury mitigation policies. Practical-related recommendation based on the results is also provided.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito , Veículos Automotores , Modelos Logísticos , Tailândia/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia
14.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 29(4): 500-515, 2022 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35666153

RESUMO

In Thailand, the motorcyclist mortality rate is steadily on the rise and remains a serious concern for highway administrators and burden on both economic and local people. Using motorcycle-crash data in Thailand from 2016 to 2019, this study empirically employed and compared the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) model and random parameters binary probit model with heterogeneity in means and variances (RPBPHM) to explore the effects of a wide range of associated risk characteristics on the severity outcomes of the motorcyclist. Study results revealed that probabilities of injury or fatal crash increase for crashes that involve male riders, riding with pillion, speeding, improper overtaking, riders under influence of alcohol, fatigue riders, undivided road and so on. The probability of non-injury crash increases for crashes on main or frontage traffic lane, four-lane road, concrete road, during rain, involving collision with other motorcycles, rear-end crashes, sideswipe crashes, single-motorcycle crashes and crashes within urban areas. The RPBPHM models were found to outperform the ANN model (quadratic support vector machine) in all performance metrics. The findings could potentially assist policymaker, safety professionals, practitioners, trainers, government agencies or highway designers in future planning and serve as guidance for mitigation policies directed at safety improvement for motorcyclists.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Motocicletas , Etanol , Tailândia/epidemiologia
15.
PLoS One ; 16(11): e0260666, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34843597

RESUMO

Thailand ranks near the top for the road accident fatality rate worldwide, and more and more vehicles are being registered in Thailand every year. Obtaining the opinions of road commuters may help us reduce road accidents in Thailand. This study seeks to understand damage value in road accidents for personal car drivers in Thailand, using the willingness to pay approach and establishing factors affecting willingness to pay with the theory of planned behavior (TPB). This study obtained data using questionnaires in face-to-face interviews with 1,650 personal cars drivers in Thailand. The average willingness to pay (WTP) for 50% fatality or injury reduction was 23.00 baht/person/50 km trip (US $0.74/person/50 km trip). We obtained the value of statistical life (VSL), assessing this to fall between US $815,385 and US $872,942, and the value of statistical injury (VSI), between US $150,059 and US $160,652. Overall, national damage was assessed at US $4,701,981,170 annually. According to the analysis of factors affecting WTP, TPB comprises four factors, namely, driver attitude, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control, and behavioral intention. Analysis using structural equation modeling (SEM) found all mentioned factors were relevant and positively influenced personal car drivers' WTP in Thailand, with a statistical significance at a 99% confidence interval (p < 0.01). This study can develop recommendations for relevant organizations to analyze the results as part of considerations regarding budget allocation and developments on road safety policy due to driver attitude as important as environmental factors or any other factors.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Atitude , Automóveis , Humanos , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Segurança , Tailândia , Valor da Vida
16.
Accid Anal Prev ; 161: 106352, 2021 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34419654

RESUMO

In Thailand in 2016, more than 70% of all deaths due to road accidents were motorcyclist deaths. This study uses a correlated random parameters ordered probit model with heterogeneity in means (CRPOPHM) to obtain insight into differences in the significant factors determining the severity of motorcyclist injury between motorcycle crashes in urban and rural roadways, using data on motorcycle crashes in Thailand from 2016 to 2019. Using a rating system for injury severity level from minor injury to severe injury and to fatal injury, a wide range of potential risk factors are considered, including rider characteristics and actions, roadway characteristics, environmental and temporal characteristics, and crash characteristics. The findings indicate that, although some factors are significant in both urban and rural models, factors such as male rider, illegally overtaking, drowsiness, four-lane or wider highway, flush or depressed median, road on slope, weekend, nighttime with light, crash with van or minibus, and rear-ending or sideswiping crash, are significant only in the rural model, whereas the factors barrier median, occurring between 18:00 and 23:59, and striking a passenger car are statistically significant in only the urban model. These findings further suggests that difference in effect of unobserved characteristics could be seen in different crash locations, and splitting the model estimation between both location types could be done to develop effective guidance for policies to mitigate the severity of motorcyclist injuries. In addition, practical policy-related recommendations drawn from the results of the analysis are provided. With respect to methodology, the proposed CRPOPHM method outperforms lower-ordered models in terms of statistical fit and captures unobserved heterogeneity to a greater extent.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Ferimentos e Lesões , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Veículos Automotores , Motocicletas , Fatores de Risco , População Rural , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia
17.
Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot ; 28(1): 113-126, 2021 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33302804

RESUMO

Most of the previous single-vehicle crash analysis studies ignored the effect of road-segments level at higher plan that could probably be unobserved heterogeneity and vary among crash-level factor from one road-segment to next and possibly could lead to a potential biased estimated result. This study developed a hierarchical binary logit model which have the ability to account for both unobserved heterogeneity and correlation within road-segment, to investigate and compare the impact of significant factors influencing fatal single-vehicle crash between young, mid-age and old driver model. A seven-years from 2011 to 2017 crash data, Department of Highway (DOH), Thailand were used in this study. The Intra-Class-Correlation values indicate the importance of road-segment level that 10.1%, 12.2% and 12.8% of the total variation were accounted by random effect from road-segment heterogeneity for young, mid-age and old driver model, respectively. The estimated result of this study shows that influence of alcohol and fatigue increase risk of fatal crash among young and old driver, seatbelt-usage reduce risk of being fatal among mid-age and old driver, roadside safety feature (guardrail) significantly reduce fatality risk among young and mid-age driver, and night time driving without light increase probability of fatal crash for mid-age driver. This study recommends the need to enforce the law on driver under influence of alcohol and seatbelt usage, educational campaign on driving, and installation of guardrail on curve road.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências , Índices de Gravidade do Trauma , Ferimentos e Lesões/classificação , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Segurança , Tailândia , Adulto Jovem
18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33256183

RESUMO

Road accidents are caused by humans, vehicles, and road environments. Human attitudes affect behavioral changes and can lead to unsafe riding behavior. The sex of an individual is a key factor that affects their riding behavior. We aimed to use structural equation modeling (SEM) by analyzing the multi-group SEM between men and women and applying the theory of planned behavior (TPB) and the locus of control (LC) theory. The data used in the research were collected from all over Thailand, consisting of 1516 motorcycle riders (903 men and 613 women) aged over 20 years. A self-administered questionnaire was designed for data collection of the riding behavior using the Motorcycle Rider Behavior Questionnaire (MRBQ), including traffic errors, control errors, stunt frequency, and safety equipment. We found that riding behaviors between men and women were significantly different in both theories. For men, TPB showed that the main factors that highly influenced motorcycle riding behavior (MRB) were the attitudes based on health motivation (AHM) and perceived behavior control (PC); for women, AHM produced a stronger effect than in men. However, for the subjective norms (SN) factor, we found no direct effect on MRB, but did find an indirect effect through the attitudes based on severity (ASE) in both sexes. Particularly for women, the indirect influence value of the SN factor was higher. For women, the LC showed that internal factors had more influence than external factors. The same was found for men, but the effect in women was significantly stronger. We found that sex significantly affected the MRB. Therefore, policies must be implemented that address each group specifically as their attitudes and behaviors are different.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Motocicletas , Caracteres Sexuais , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Análise de Classes Latentes , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inquéritos e Questionários , Tailândia , Adulto Jovem
19.
Accid Anal Prev ; 141: 105537, 2020 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32298806

RESUMO

A rear-end crash is a widely studied type of road accident. The road area at the crash scene is a factor that significantly affects the crash severity from rear-end collisions. These road areas may be classified as urban or rural and evince obvious differences such as speed limits, number of intersections, vehicle types, etc. However, no study comparing rear-end crashes occurring in urban and rural areas has yet been conducted. Therefore, the present investigation focused on the comparison of diverse factors affecting the likelihood of rear-end crash severities in the two types of roadways. Additionally, hierarchical logistic models grounded in a spatial basis concept were applied by determining varying parameter estimations with regard to road segments. Additionally, the study compared coefficients with multilevel correlation model and those without multilevel correlation. Four models were established as a result. The data used for the study pertained to rear-end crashes occurring on Thai highways between 2011 and 2015. The results of the data analysis revealed that the model parameters for both urban and rural areas are in the same direction with the larger number of significant parameter values present in the rural rear-end crash model. The significant variables in both the urban and rural road segment models are the seat belt use, and the time of the incident. To conclude, the present study is useful because it provides another perspective of rear-end crashes to encourage policy makers to apply decisions that favor rules that assure safety.

20.
Accid Anal Prev ; 118: 18-28, 2018 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29859506

RESUMO

The dramatic increase in vehicle ownership in Myanmar over the past few years has resulted in an alarming increase in traffic accidents. Thus, road safety at the national level needs to be improved urgently in order to reduce the costs associated with traffic accidents and to assist policy makers in making economically efficient resource allocation decisions for road safety improvements. This research was conducted to determine the costs related to fatality risk reductions using a willingness to pay (WTP) approach for motorcyclists, car drivers, and bus passengers in Myanmar. Face-to-face interviews with contingent valuation (CV) and a payment card questionnaire approach was employed for the data collection; multiple linear regression analyses were conducted to determine the factors influencing WTP. The resulting median and mean for the value of statistical life (VSL) were found to be MMK 118.062 million (US$ 98,385) to MMK 162.854 million (US$ 135,712), respectively. Therefore, the total cost of death was estimated to range from MMK 594.681 billion (US$ 495.567 million) to MMK 820.296 billion (US$ 683.580 million) in 2015. In addition, the WTP was found to be significantly associated with age, family status, education, occupation, individual income, household income, the vehicle used, exposure to traffic, drunk driving, personal experiences, and the perceived risk of traffic accidents. This study might be helpful in prioritization of road safety related projects to get greatest benefit by choosing most cost effective projects. This study might assist the decision-making for road safety budget allocations and policy development.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/mortalidade , Planejamento Ambiental/economia , Comportamento de Redução do Risco , Segurança/economia , Acidentes de Trânsito/economia , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mianmar/epidemiologia , Segurança/legislação & jurisprudência , Inquéritos e Questionários , Valor da Vida/economia , Adulto Jovem
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