Agreement of Fractional Flow Reserve Estimated by Computed Tomography With Invasively Measured Fractional Flow Reserve: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Fractional flow reserve (FFR) is the ratio of blood pressure measured distal to a stenosis and pressure proximal to a stenosis. FFR can be estimated noninvasively using computed tomography (CT) although the usefulness of this technique remains controversial. This meta-analysis evaluated the agreement of FFR estimated by CT (FFR-CT) with invasively measured FFR. The study also evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of FFR-CT, defined as the ability of FFR-CT to classify lesions as hemodynamically significant (invasive FFR ≤0.8) or insignificant (invasive FFR >0.8). METHODS AND RESULTS: Forty-three studies reporting on 7291 blood vessels from 5236 patients were included. A moderate positive linear relationship between FFR-CT and invasively measured FFR was observed (Spearman correlation coefficient: 0.67). Agreement between the 2 measures increased as invasively measured FFR values approached 1. The overall diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of FFR-CT were 82.2%, 80.9%, and 83.1%, respectively. Diagnostic accuracy of 90% could be demonstrated for FFR-CT values >0.90 and <0.49. The diagnostic accuracy of off-site tools was 79.4% and the diagnostic accuracy of on-site tools was 84.1%. CONCLUSIONS: The agreement between FFR-CT and invasive FFR is moderate although agreement is highest in vessels with FFR-CT >0.9. Diagnostic accuracy varies widely with FFR-CT value but is above 90% for FFR-CT values >0.90 and <0.49. Furthermore, on-site and off-site tools have similar performance. Ultimately, FFR-CT may be a useful adjunct to CT coronary angiography as a gatekeeper for invasive coronary angiogram.

A case-control comparison of acute-phase peripheral blood gene expression in participants diagnosed with minor ischaemic stroke or stroke mimics.

BACKGROUND: Past studies suggest that there are changes in peripheral blood cell gene expression in response to ischaemic stroke; however, the specific changes which occur during the acute phase are poorly characterised. The current study aimed to identify peripheral blood cell genes specifically associated with the early response to ischaemic stroke using whole blood samples collected from participants diagnosed with ischaemic stroke (n = 29) or stroke mimics (n = 27) following emergency presentation to hospital. Long non-coding RNA (lncRNA), mRNA and micro-RNA (miRNA) abundance was measured by RNA-seq, and the consensusDE package was used to identify genes which were differentially expressed between groups. A sensitivity analysis excluding two participants with metastatic disease was also conducted. RESULTS: The mean time from symptom onset to blood collection was 2.6 h. Most strokes were mild (median NIH stroke scale score 2.0). Ten mRNAs (all down-regulated in samples provided by patients experiencing ischaemic stroke) and 30 miRNAs (14 over-expressed and 16 under-expressed in participants with ischaemic stroke) were significantly different between groups in the whole cohort and sensitivity analyses. No significant over-representation of gene ontology categories by the differentially expressed genes was observed. Random forest analysis suggested a panel of differentially expressed genes (ADGRG7 and miRNAs 96, 532, 6766, 6798 and 6804) as potential ischaemic stroke biomarkers, although modelling analyses demonstrated that these genes had poor diagnostic performance. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides evidence suggesting that the early response to minor ischaemic stroke is predominantly reflected by changes in the expression of miRNAs in peripheral blood cells. Further work in independent cohorts particularly in patients with more severe stroke is needed to validate these findings and investigate their clinical relevance.

Effect of Dietary Supplements Which Upregulate Nitric Oxide on Walking and Quality of Life in Patients with Peripheral Artery Disease: A Meta-Analysis.

This systematic review pooled evidence from randomised controlled trials (RCTs) on the effectiveness of dietary upregulators of nitric oxide (NO) in improving the walking and quality of life of patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD). RCTs examining the effect of dietary upregulators of NO in patients with PAD were included. The primary outcome was the maximum walking distance. Secondary outcomes were the initial claudication distance, the six-minute walking distance, quality of life, the ankle-brachial pressure index (ABI), adverse events and risk of mortality, revascularisation or amputation. Meta-analyses were performed using random effects models. The risk of bias was assessed using Cochrane's ROB-2 tool. Leave-one-out and subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the effect of individual studies, the risk of bias and intervention type on pooled estimates. Thirty-four RCTs involving 3472 participants were included. Seven trials tested NO donors, nineteen tested antioxidants, three tested NO synthase inducers and five tested enhancers of NO availability. Overall, the dietary supplements significantly improved the initial claudication (SMD 0.34; 95%CI 0.04, 0.64; p = 0.03) but not maximum walking (SMD 0.13; 95%CI -0.17, 0.43; p = 0.39) distances. Antioxidant supplements significantly increased both the maximum walking (SMD 0.36; 95%CI 0.14, 0.59; p = 0.001) and initial claudication (SMD 0.58; 95%CI 0.26, 0.90; p < 0.001) distances. The dietary interventions did not improve the physical function domain of the Short Form-36 (SMD -0.16; 95%CI -0.32, 0.00; p = 0.38), ABI or risk of adverse events, mortality, revascularisation or amputation. Dietary NO upregulators, especially antioxidants, appear to improve the initial claudication distance in patients with PAD. Larger high-quality RCTs are needed to fully examine the benefits and risks of these treatments. PROSPERO Registration: CRD42022256653.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on primary care delivery in a remote Aboriginal community.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted the delivery of primary health care internationally, particularly for the most marginalised groups. This project investigated the impact of the initial response to the COVID-19 pandemic on the delivery of primary health care in a remote First Nations community in Far North Queensland with a high chronic disease burden. There were no confirmed cases of COVID-19 circulating in the community at the time of the study. A comparison was conducted of patient numbers presenting to a local primary healthcare centre (PHCC) in the periods before, during and after the initial peak of Australian COVID-19 restrictions in 2020, compared to the same period in 2019. A significant proportional decrease was observed in the number of patients that presented from the target community during the initial restrictions. A sub-analysis of preventative services delivered to a defined high-risk group found that services delivered did not decrease to this particular group during the periods of interest. This study has highlighted that there is a risk of underutilisation of primary healthcare services during a health pandemic in remote settings. Strengthening the primary care system to adequately provide ongoing services during natural disasters requires further consideration to reduce the risk of long-term impacts of service disengagement.

Air ambulance retrievals of patients with suspected appendicitis and acute abdominal pain: The patients' journeys, referral pathways and appendectomy outcomes using linked data in Central Queensland, Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Acute appendicitis is the most common cause of acute abdominal pain presentations to the ED and common air ambulance transfer. AIMS: describe how linked data can be used to explore patients' journeys, referral pathways and request-to-activation responsiveness of patients' appendectomy outcomes (minor vs major complexity). METHODS: Data sources were linked: aeromedical, hospital and death. Request-to-activation intervals showed strong right-tailed skewness. Quantile regression examined whether the longest request-to-activation intervals were associated with appendicitis complexity in patients who underwent an appendectomy. RESULTS: There were 684 patients in three referral pathways based on hospital capability levels. In total, 5.6 % patients were discharged from ED. 83.3 % of all rural origins entered via the ED. 3.8 % of appendicitis patients were triaged to tertiary hospitals. Appendectomy patients with major complexity outcomes were less likely to have longer request-to-activation wait times & had longer lengths of stay than patients with minor complexity outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Linked data highlighted four aspects of a functioning referral system: appendectomy outcomes of major complexity were less likely to have longer request-to-activation intervals compared to minor (sicker patients were identified); few were discharged from EDs (validated transfer); few were triaged to tertiary hospitals (appropriate level for need), and no deaths relating to appendectomy.

Repeatability, Completion Time, and Predictive Ability of Four Diabetes-Related Foot Ulcer Classification Systems.

INTRODUCTION: The inter and intra-observer reproducibility of measuring the Wound Ischemia foot Infection (WIfI) score is unknown. The aims of this study were to compare the reproducibility, completion times and ability to predict 30-day amputation of the WIfI, University of Texas Wound Classification System (UTWCS), Site, Ischemia, Neuropathy, Bacterial Infection and Depth (SINBAD) and Wagner classifications systems using photographs of diabetes-related foot ulcers. METHODS: Three trained observers independently scored the diabetes-related foot ulcers of 45 participants on two separate occasions using photographs. The inter- and intra-observer reproducibility were calculated using Krippendorff's α. The completion times were compared with Kruskal-Wallis and Dunn's post-hoc tests. The ability of the scores to predict 30-day amputation rates were assessed using receiver operator characteristic curves and area under the curves. RESULTS: There was excellent intra-observer agreement (α >0.900) and substantial agreement between observers (α=0.788) in WIfI scoring. There was moderate, substantial, or excellent agreement within the three observers (α>0.599 in all instances except one) and fair or moderate agreement between observers (α of UTWCS=0.306, α of SINBAD=0.516, α of Wagner=0.374) for the other three classification systems. The WIfI score took significantly longer (P<.001) to complete compared to the other three scores (medians and inter quartile ranges of the WIfI, UTWCS, SINBAD, and Wagner being 1.00 [0.88-1.00], 0.75 [0.50-0.75], 0.50 [0.50-0.50], and 0.25 [0.25-0.50] minutes). None of the classifications were predictive of 30-day amputation (P>.05 in all instances). CONCLUSION: The WIfI score can be completed with substantial agreement between trained observers but was not predictive of 30-day amputation.

Using a Quality Framework to Explore Air Ambulance Patients' Journey Outcomes in Central Queensland, Australia.

INTRODUCTION: In Australia, aeromedical retrieval provides a vital link for rural communities with limited health services to definitive care in urban centers. Yet, there are few studies of aeromedical patient experiences and outcomes, or clear measures of the service quality provided to these patients. STUDY OBJECTIVE: This study explores whether a previously developed quality framework could usefully be applied to existing air ambulance patient journeys (ie, the sequences of care that span multiple settings; prehospital and hospital-based pre-flight, flight transport, after-flight hospital in-patient, and disposition). The study aimed to use linked data from aeromedical, emergency department (ED), and hospital sources, and from death registries, to document and analyze patient journeys. METHODS: A previously developed air ambulance quality framework was used to place patient, prehospital, and in-hospital service outcomes in relevant quality domains identified from the Institutes of Medicine (IOM) and Dr. Donabedian models. To understand the aeromedical patients' journeys, data from all relevant data sources were linked by unique patient identifiers and the outcomes of the resulting analyses were applied to the air ambulance quality framework. RESULTS: Overall, air ambulance referral pathways could be classified into three categories: Intraregional (those retrievals which stayed within the region), Out of Region, and Into Region. Patient journeys and service outcomes varied markedly between referral pathways. Prehospital and in-hospital service variables and patient outcomes showed that the framework could be used to explore air ambulance service quality. CONCLUSION: The air ambulance quality framework can usefully be applied to air ambulance patient experiences and outcomes using linked data analysis. The framework can help guide prehospital and in-hospital performance reporting. With variations between regional referral pathways, this knowledge will aid with planning within the local service. The study successfully linked data from aeromedical, ED, in-hospital, and death sources and explored the aeromedical patients' journeys.

Cohort Study Examining the Association of Optimal Blood Pressure Control at Entry With Infrarenal Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth.

Background and Aim: The benefit of controlling cardiovascular risk factors in slowing the progression of small abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is controversial. This study investigated the association of optimal blood pressure control at entry with the growth of small AAA. Methods and Results: A total of 1,293 patients with initial AAA diameter <50 mm were followed by a median 5 (inter-quartile range, IQR, 3-7) ultrasound scans for a median of 3.6 years (IQR 1.8, 5.3). Optimal blood pressure control was defined as blood pressure ≤140/90 mmHg at recruitment. The association of optimal blood pressure control at entry with AAA growth was assessed using linear mixed effects models adjusted for established risk factors of AAA growth and factors which were unequally distributed among the blood pressure groups. Optimal blood pressure control at entry was not significantly associated with AAA growth. In the risk factor adjusted model the mean difference in AAA growth between blood pressure groups was 0.04 mm/year (95% CI -0.20, 0.13; p = 0.65). The results were similar in sensitivity analyses excluding outliers or focused on systolic or diastolic blood pressure alone. Conclusions: This observational study suggests that optimal blood pressure control at entry is not associated with slower AAA growth.

Athero-occlusive Disease Appears to be Associated with Slower Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Growth: An Exploratory Analysis of the TEDY Trial.

OBJECTIVE: The role of atherosclerosis in abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) pathogenesis is controversial. The aim of this study was to compare AAA growth in patients who did and did not have concurrent athero-occlusive disease (AOD). METHODS: Patients with an AAA measuring 35 - 49 mm in maximum diameter were recruited as part of the TElmisartan in the management of abdominal aortic aneurysm (TEDY) trial. TEDY participants who had infrarenal aortic volume and orthogonal diameter assessed by computed tomography at entry and at least one other time point during the trial (12 and/or 24 months) were included. AOD was defined by prior diagnoses of coronary heart disease, stroke, or peripheral arterial disease or an ankle brachial pressure index < 0.90. The increase in AAA volume and diameter from entry for participants who did and did not have AOD was assessed using linear mixed effects models; 131 of the 210 participants recruited to TEDY were included. RESULTS: In an unadjusted analysis, the mean (95% confidence interval) annual increases in AAA volume and diameter for participants with AOD were 3.26 (0.82 - 5.70) cm3 and 0.70 (0.19 - 1.22) mm slower than those without AOD, p = .008 and .007 respectively. The association between AOD and significantly slower AAA growth was maintained after adjusting for risk factors and medications, significantly unequally distributed between participants with and without an AOD diagnosis. CONCLUSION: In an exploratory analysis of a selective cohort from the TEDY trial, AOD was associated with slower AAA growth. Validation of these findings in other cohorts is needed.

Major amputation rates and outcomes for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Indigenous people in North Queensland Australia between 2000 and 2015.

BACKGROUND: This study estimated the incidence of major amputation for people in North Queensland, Australia, examined changes in amputation rates over time and investigated survival after major amputation. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent a major amputation above the ankle between 2000 and 2015. Major amputation rates and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using census data to define the at-risk population. Associations between risk factors and calendar year with major amputation were assessed using quasipoisson regression. Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox-proportional hazard analyses estimated the incidence of and risk factors for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The annual incidence of major amputation was estimated to be greater in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders than non-Indigenous people (IRR 2.75, 95 % CI 1.92 to 3.84). After adjusting for population growth, the annual incidence of major amputations did not change significantly over time for either groups. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people were at greater risk of all-cause mortality after major amputation compared to non-Indigenous people, although this association was not significant after adjusting for other risk factors (hazard ratio 1.24, 95 % CI 0.82 to 1.90). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of major amputation in North Queensland has not reduced over time, indicating the need for better preventative treatments, particularly in Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people.

Network Meta-Analysis Comparing the Outcomes of Treatments for Intermittent Claudication Tested in Randomized Controlled Trials.

Background No network meta-analysis has considered the relative efficacy of cilostazol, home exercise therapy, supervised exercise therapy (SET), endovascular revascularization (ER), and ER plus SET (ER+SET) in improving maximum walking distance (MWD) over short- (<1 year), moderate- (1 to <2 years), and long-term (≥2 years) follow-up in people with intermittent claudication. Methods and Results A systematic literature search was performed to identify randomized controlled trials testing 1 or more of these 5 treatments according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis guidelines. The primary outcome was improvement in MWD assessed by a standardized treadmill test. Secondary outcomes were adverse events and health-related quality of life. Network meta-analysis was performed using the gemtc R statistical package. The Cochrane collaborative tool was used to assess risk of bias. Forty-six trials involving 4256 patients were included. At short-term follow-up, home exercise therapy (mean difference [MD], 89.4 m; 95% credible interval [CrI], 20.9-157.7), SET (MD, 186.8 m; 95% CrI, 136.4-237.6), and ER+SET (MD, 326.3 m; 95% CrI, 222.6-430.6), but not ER (MD, 82.5 m; 95% CrI, -2.4 to 168.2) and cilostazol (MD, 71.1 m; 95% CrI, -24.6 to 167.9), significantly improved MWD (in meters) compared with controls. At moderate-term follow-up, SET (MD, 201.1; 95% CrI, 89.8-318.3) and ER+SET (MD, 368.5; 95% CrI, 195.3-546.9), but not home exercise therapy (MD, 99.4; 95% CrI, -174.0 to 374.9) or ER (MD, 84.2; 95% CrI, -35.3 to 206.4), significantly improved MWD (in meters) compared to controls. At long-term follow-up, none of the tested treatments significantly improved MWD compared to controls. Adverse events and quality of life were reported inconsistently and could not be meta-analyzed. Risk of bias was low, moderate, and high in 4, 24, and 18 trials respectively. Conclusions This network meta-analysis suggested that SET and ER+SET are effective at improving MWD over the moderate term (<2 year) but not beyond this. Durable treatments for intermittent claudication are needed.

The role of 2-hydroxyglutarate magnetic resonance spectroscopy for the determination of isocitrate dehydrogenase status in lower grade gliomas versus glioblastoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis of diagnostic test accuracy.

PURPOSE: Magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) provides a non-invasive means of determining isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) status. Determination of 2-hydroxyglutarate (2-HG) presence through MRS is a means of determining IDH status; however, differences may be seen by grade. The goal of this paper is to perform a diagnostic test accuracy (DTA) meta-analysis on 2-HG MRS for IDH status in both lower-grade glioma (LGG) and glioblastoma (GBM) in preoperative patients. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses-Diagnostic Test Accuracy guidelines. Quality assessment was performed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2. The search was up to date as of 09/02/2021. Nine English-language journal articles were included. RESULTS: The meta-analysis found a pooled sensitivity of 93% (95% CI 58-99%) and specificity of 84% (95% CI 51-96%) for LGG (n= 181). For GBM (n= 77), the pooled sensitivity was 84% (95% CI 25.0-99%) and the specificity was 97% (95% CI 43-100%). CONCLUSION: 2-HG MRS shows promise as a non-invasive means of determining IDH status, with specificity higher for GBM and sensitivity higher for LGG. The wide confidence intervals are notable, however, in particular related to the small number of IDH-mutant GBM studied. Diagnostic heterogeneity was particularly present for LGG, and the hierarchical summary receiver operator curves showed poor predictive accuracy in both groups. For more conclusive results, diagnostic test accuracy statistics need to be quantified with larger studies and more deliberate study design.

The reproducibility of measuring maximum abdominal aortic aneurysm diameter from ultrasound images.

BACKGROUND: Accurate repeat assessment of the diameter of an abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is important. This study investigated the reproducibility of different methods of measuring AAA diameter from ultrasound images. METHODS: Fifty AAA patients were assessed by ultrasound. Maximum AAA diameter was measured independently by three trained observers on two separate occasions using a standardised protocol. Five diameters were measured from each scan, three in the anterior-posterior (AP) and two in the transverse (TV) plane, including inner-to-inner (ITI), outer-to-outer (OTO) and leading edge-to-leading edge (LETLE). Intra- and inter-observer reproducibility were reported as reproducibility coefficients. Statistical comparison of methods was performed using linear mixed effects models. RESULTS: Intra-observer reproducibility coefficients (AP LETLE 2.2 mm; AP ITI 2.4 mm; AP OTO 2.6 mm) were smaller than inter-observer reproducibility coefficients (AP LETLE 4.6 mm: AP ITI 4.5; and AP OTO 4.8 mm). There was no statistically significant difference in intra-observer reproducibility of three types of measurements performed in the AP plane. Measurements obtained in the TV plane had statistically significant worse intra-observer reproducibility than those performed in the AP plane. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the comparison of maximum AAA diameter between repeat images is most reproducibly performed by a single trained observer measuring diameters in the AP plane.

The effect of diabetes during pregnancy on fetal renal parenchymal growth.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Diabetes in pregnancy is thought to adversely affect the developing fetal kidneys. The rate of gestational diabetes is increasing globally with major consequences for future renal function. Very little is known about the impact of hyperglycaemia on the fetal renal parenchyma which contains the developing nephrons. The aim of this study was to measure the fetal renal parenchymal thickness and evaluate whether diabetes during pregnancy affects the growth of the fetal kidneys. METHODS: This prospective, observational study used serial ultrasound measurements to evaluate the fetal renal parenchymal growth of 55 pregnancies with diabetes compared to 72 control pregnancies. Mixed effects modelling was used to analyse the data. RESULTS: The renal parenchyma of fetuses from mothers with gestational diabetes was significantly thicker than those from the control group (LR Chisq = 4.8, df = 1, p = 0.029), however, the difference was proportional to the larger size of these fetuses. Fetuses of pregestational diabetics demonstrated no significant difference in renal parenchymal thickness compared to the control group even though they were also larger fetuses. Parenchymal growth slowed with increasing abdominal circumference in the pregestational diabetic group, suggesting an adverse effect on nephrogenesis, however this did not reach statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our study provides unique data on how diabetes during pregnancy influences fetal kidney growth. Appropriate management of diabetic pregnancies may mitigate some of the adverse effects on the fetal kidneys. Increasing degrees of hyperglycaemia, as seen sometimes in pregestational diabetes, may affect nephrogenesis; however larger studies are needed.

Cohort Study Examining the Association Between Blood Pressure and Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Peripheral Artery Disease.

Background Hypertension is an important risk factor for cardiovascular events in patients with peripheral artery disease; however, optimal blood pressure targets for these patients are poorly defined. This study investigated the association between systolic blood pressure ( SBP ) and cardiovascular events in a prospectively recruited patient cohort with peripheral artery disease. Methods and Results A total of 2773 patients were included and were grouped according to SBP at recruitment (≤120 mm Hg, n=604; 121-140 mm Hg, n=1065; and >140 mm Hg, n=1104). Adjusted Cox proportional hazards analyses suggested that patients with SBP ≤120 mm Hg were at greater risk of having a major cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death) than patients with SBP of 121-140 mm Hg (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.08-1.72; P=0.009). Patients with SBP >140 mm Hg had an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.00-1.51; P=0.051) of major cardiovascular events compared with patients with SBP of 121-140 mm Hg. These findings were similar in sensitivity analyses only including patients receiving antihypertensive medications or focused on patients with a minimum of 3 months of follow-up. Conclusions This cohort study suggests that patients with peripheral artery disease and SBP ≤120 mm Hg are at increased risk of major cardiovascular events. The findings suggest caution in intensive SBP lowering in this patient group.

Coupled influence of precipitation and vegetation on millennial-scale erosion rates derived from 10Be.

Water is one of the main agent of erosion in many environmental settings, but erosion rates derived from beryllium-10 (10Be) suggests that a relationship between precipitation and erosion rate is statistically non-significant on a global scale. This might be because of the strong influence of other variables on erosion rate. In this global 10Be compilation, we examine if mean annual precipitation has a statistically significant secondary control on erosion rate. Our secondary variable assessment suggests a significant secondary influence of precipitation on erosion rate. This is the first time that the influence of precipitation on 10Be-derived erosion rate is recognized on global scale. In fact, in areas where slope is <200m/km (~11°), precipitation influences erosion rate as much as mean basin slope, which has been recognized as the most important variable in previous 10Be compilations. In areas where elevation is <1000m and slope is <11°, the correlation between precipitation and erosion rate improves considerably. These results also suggest that erosion rate responds to change in mean annual precipitation nonlinearly and in three regimes: 1) it increases with an increase in precipitation until ~1000 mm/yr; 2) erosion rate stabilizes at ~1000 mm/yr and decreases slightly with increased precipitation until ~2200 mm/yr; and 3) it increases again with further increases in precipitation. This complex relationship between erosion rate and mean annual precipitation is best explained by the interrelationship between mean annual precipitation and vegetation. Increased vegetation, particularly the presence of trees, is widely recognized to lower erosion rate. Our results suggest that tree cover of 40% or more reduces erosion rate enough to outweigh the direct erosive effects of increased rainfall. Thus, precipitation emerges as a stronger secondary control on erosion rate in hyper-arid areas, as well as in hyper-wet areas. In contrast, the regime between ~1000 and ~2200 mm/yr is dominated by opposing relationships where higher rainfall acts to increase erosion rate, but more water also increases vegetation/tree cover, which slows erosion. These results suggest that when interpreting the sedimentological record, high sediment fluxes are expected to occur when forests transition to grasslands/savannahs; however, aridification of grasslands or savannahs into deserts will result in lower sediment fluxes. This study also implies that anthropogenic deforestation, particularly in regions with high rainfall, can greatly increase erosion.

Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial Assessing the Effect of 24-Week Fenofibrate Therapy on Circulating Markers of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: Outcomes From the FAME -2 Trial.

Background There is no drug therapy for abdominal aortic aneurysm ( AAA ). FAME-2 (Fenofibrate in the Management of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm 2) was a placebo-controlled randomized trial designed to assess whether administration of 145 mg of fenofibrate/d for 24 weeks favorably modified circulating markers of AAA. Methods and Results Patients with AAA s measuring 35 to 49 mm and no contraindication were randomized to fenofibrate or identical placebo. The primary outcome measures were the differences in serum osteopontin and kallistatin concentrations between groups. Secondary analyses compared changes in the circulating concentration of AAA -associated proteins, and AAA growth, between groups using multivariable linear mixed-effects modeling. A total of 140 patients were randomized to receive fenofibrate (n=70) or placebo (n=70). By the end of the study 3 (2.1%) patients were lost to follow-up and 18 (12.9%) patients had ceased trial medication. A total of 85% of randomized patients took ≥80% of allocated tablets and were deemed to have complied with the medication regimen. Patients' allocated fenofibrate had expected reductions in serum triglycerides and estimated glomerular filtration rate, and increases in serum homocysteine. No differences in serum osteopontin, kallistatin, or AAA growth were observed between groups. Conclusions Administering 145 mg/d of fenofibrate for 24 weeks did not significantly reduce serum concentrations of osteopontin and kallistatin concentrations, or rates of AAA growth in this trial. The findings do not support the likely benefit of fenofibrate as a treatment for patients with small AAA s. Clinical Trial Registration URL : www.anzctr.org.au . Unique identifier: ACTRN 12613001039774.

Compensating for geographic variation in detection probability with water depth improves abundance estimates of coastal marine megafauna.

The probability of an aquatic animal being available for detection is typically <1. Accounting for covariates that reduce the probability of detection is important for obtaining robust estimates of the population abundance and determining its status and trends. The dugong (Dugong dugon) is a bottom-feeding marine mammal and a seagrass community specialist. We hypothesized that the probability of a dugong being available for detection is dependent on water depth and that dugongs spend more time underwater in deep-water seagrass habitats than in shallow-water seagrass habitats. We tested this hypothesis by quantifying the depth use of 28 wild dugongs fitted with GPS satellite transmitters and time-depth recorders (TDRs) at three sites with distinct seagrass depth distributions: 1) open waters supporting extensive seagrass meadows to 40 m deep (Torres Strait, 6 dugongs, 2015); 2) a protected bay (average water depth 6.8 m) with extensive shallow seagrass beds (Moreton Bay, 13 dugongs, 2011 and 2012); and 3) a mixture of lagoon, coral and seagrass habitats to 60 m deep (New Caledonia, 9 dugongs, 2013). The fitted instruments were used to measure the times the dugongs spent in the experimentally determined detection zones under various environmental conditions. The estimated probability of detection was applied to aerial survey data previously collected at each location. In general, dugongs were least available for detection in Torres Strait, and the population estimates increased 6-7 fold using depth-specific availability correction factors compared with earlier estimates that assumed homogeneous detection probability across water depth and location. Detection probabilities were higher in Moreton Bay and New Caledonia than Torres Strait because the water transparency in these two locations was much greater than in Torres Strait and the effect of correcting for depth-specific detection probability much less. The methodology has application to visual survey of coastal megafauna including surveys using Unmanned Aerial Vehicles.

Plantar pressures are elevated in people with longstanding diabetes-related foot ulcers during follow-up.

OBJECTIVE: High plantar pressures are implicated in the development of diabetes-related foot ulcers. Whether plantar pressures remain high in patients with chronic diabetes-related foot ulcers over time is uncertain. The primary aim of this study was to compare plantar pressures at baseline and three and six months later in participants with chronic diabetes-related foot ulcers (cases) to participants without foot ulcers (controls). METHODS: Standardised protocols were used to measure mean peak plantar pressure and pressure-time integral at 10 plantar foot sites (the hallux, toes, metatarsals 1 to 5, mid-foot, medial heel and lateral heel) during barefoot walking. Measurements were performed at three study visits: baseline, three and six months. Linear mixed effects random-intercept models were utilised to assess whether plantar pressures differed between cases and controls after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, neuropathy status and follow-up time. Standardised mean differences (Cohen's d) were used to measure effect size. RESULTS: Twenty-one cases and 69 controls started the study and 16 cases and 63 controls completed the study. Cases had a higher mean peak plantar pressure at several foot sites including the toes (p = 0.005, Cohen's d = 0.36) and mid-foot (p = 0.01, d = 0.36) and a higher pressure-time integral at the hallux (p<0.001, d = 0.42), metatarsal 1 (p = 0.02, d = 0.33) and mid-foot (p = 0.04, d = 0.64) compared to controls throughout follow-up. A reduction in pressure-time integral at multiple plantar sites over time was detected in all participants (p<0.05, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Plantar pressures assessed during gait are higher in diabetes patients with chronic foot ulcers than controls at several plantar sites throughout prolonged follow-up. Long term offloading is needed in diabetes patients with diabetes-related foot ulcers to facilitate ulcer healing.

Baseline serum phosphatidylcholine plasmalogen concentrations are inversely associated with incident myocardial infarction in patients with mixed peripheral artery disease presentations.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Despite current best care, patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) remain at high risk of myocardial infarction, and biomarkers to more accurately assess cardiovascular risk are needed. This study assessed the relationship between the serum lipidome and incident myocardial infarction in a cohort of PAD patients. METHODS: 265 PAD patients were followed up for a median of 23 months, during which 18 people suffered a myocardial infarction. Fasting serum concentrations of 332 lipid species were measured via mass spectrometry and their association with incident myocardial infarction was assessed via Cox regression. Secondary analyses investigated prognostic potential of specific lipid species. RESULTS: Total serum concentrations of alkyl-phosphatidylcholine and alkenylphospatidylcholine (plasmalogen) lipids were inversely associated with incident myocardial infarction after adjusting for multiple testing (hazards ratio (95% confidence intervals): 0.43 (0.24-0.74); p = 0.032; and 0.28 (0.14-0.56), p = 0.010, respectively). Specifically, 10 alkenylphosphatidylcholine species and 6 alkyl-phosphatidylcholine species were negatively associated with incident myocardial infarction after adjusting for traditional risk factors and correcting for multiple testing (hazards ratios ranging from 0.07 to 0.51, p < 0.05). Incorporation of serum phosphatidylcholine plasmalogen species PC(P-40:6) concentration within analyses designed to determine subsequent myocardial infarction incidence led to an improvement in predictive accuracy compared to traditional risk factors alone. CONCLUSIONS: Serum concentrations of phosphatidylcholine plasmalogens and alkyl-phosphatidylcholines were negatively associated with incident myocardial infarction and have potential to act as novel prognostic markers in at-risk populations.