RESUMO
The paper outlines the history of modelling and presents a status of ecological modelling: what is the modelling effort of various ecosystem and various environmental problems. Typical validation results and prognosis validation results of a eutrophication model are applied as an illustration of what models can do in environmental management. Structural dynamic modelling which considers parameters that are changed currently by optimisation of a so-called goal function is presented as one of the recent development to overcome one of the most crucial problems in modelling, namely to consider adaptation. Two case studies are presented to illustrate this approach, namely application of biomanipulation and eutrophication of a shallow lake. Forecast on the directions of development is finally presented.
Assuntos
Meio Ambiente , Eutrofização , Água Doce , Modelos Biológicos , EcossistemaRESUMO
"A random sample of Mexican American women and a sample of family planning health care professionals, both from two major southwestern cities in the United States, were compared in terms of their reports of birth control methods used, problems in obtaining family planning services, and values involved in making fertility-related decisions, within the Mexican American population.... While there were points of agreement between the two samples, discrepancies were found in reports of problems in obtaining family planning services, fertility-related values, and in the acceptability of female sterilization as a birth control method. It was concluded that family planning professionals in these service areas tend to stereotype Mexican American women, and may not yet realize that the family planning attitudes and behavior of these women are probably changing in significant ways." (SUMMARY IN SPA)