Learning to be a colour-blind doctor.

Colour-vision deficiency is common among medical students, doctors and their patients. Although it can influence choice of careers, it can also put patient safety at risk if not recognised and adapted to early in a health professional's working life. Simple recommendations to support medical students, doctors and their patients are provided to support better health outcomes.

Absolute cardiovascular risk assessment using 'real world' clinic blood pressures compared to standardized unobserved and ambulatory methods: an observational study.

Clinic blood pressure (BP) is recommended for absolute cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment. However, in 'real-world' settings, clinic BP measurement is unstandardised and less reliable compared to more rigorous methods but the impact for absolute CVD risk assessment is unknown. This study aimed to determine the difference in absolute CVD risk assessment using real-world clinic BP compared to standardised BP methods. Participants were patients (n = 226, 59 ± 15 years; 58% female) with hypertension referred to a BP clinic for assessment. 'Real-world' clinic BP was provided by the referring doctor. All participants had unobserved automated office BP (AOBP) and 24-h ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM) measured at the clinic. Absolute CVD risk was calculated (Framingham) using systolic BP from the referring doctor (clinic BP), AOBP and ABPM, with agreement assessed by Kappa statistic. Clinic systolic BP was 18 mmHg than AOBP and daytime ABPM and 22 mmHg higher than 24-h ABPM (p < 0.001). Subsequently, absolute CVD risk scores using clinic BP were higher compared to AOBP, daytime ABPM and 24-h ABPM (10.4 ± 8.1%, 7.8 ± 6.4%, 7.8 ± 6.3%, and 7.3 ± 6.1%, respectively, P < 0.001). As a result, more participants were classified as high CVD risk using clinic BP (n = 89, 40%) compared with AOBP (n = 44, 20%) daytime ABPM (n = 38, 17%) and 24-h ABPM (n = 38, 17%) (p < 0.001) with weak agreement in risk classification (κ = 0.57[0.45-0.69], κ = 0.52[0.41-0.64] and κ = 0.55[0.43-0.66], respectively). Real-world clinic BP was higher and classified twice as many participants at high CVD risk compared to AOBP or ABPM. Given the challenges to high-quality BP measurement in clinic, more rigorous BP measurement methods are needed for absolute CVD risk assessment.

Healthcare costs attributable to diabetes in pregnancy: A cost of illness study in Tasmania, Australia.

AIMS: To estimate the direct costs during the prenatal, delivery and postpartum periods in mothers with diabetes in pregnancy, compared to those without. METHODS: This study used a population-based dataset from 2004 to 2017, including 57,090 people with diabetes and 114,179 people without diabetes in Tasmania, Australia. Based on diagnostic codes, delivery episodes with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) were identified and matched with delivery episodes without diabetes in pregnancy. A group of delivery episodes with pre-existing diabetes was identified for comparison. Hospitalisation, emergency department and pathology costs of these groups were calculated and adjusted to 2020-2021 Australian dollars. RESULTS: There were 2774 delivery episodes with GDM, 2774 delivery episodes without diabetes and 237 delivery episodes with pre-existing diabetes identified. Across the 24-month period, the pre-existing diabetes group required the highest costs, totalling $23,536/person. This was followed by the GDM ($13,210/person), and the no diabetes group ($11,167/person). The incremental costs of GDM over the no diabetes group were $890 (95% CI 635; 1160) in the year preceding delivery; $812 (616; 1031) within the delivery period and $341 (110; 582) in the year following delivery (p < 0.05). Within the year preceding delivery, the incremental costs in the prenatal period were $803 (579; 1058) (p < 0.05). Within the year following delivery, the incremental costs in the postpartum period were $137 (55; 238) (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our results emphasised the importance of proper management of diabetes in pregnancy in the prenatal and postpartum periods and highlighted the significance of screening and preventative strategies for diabetes in pregnancy.

Implementation and Evaluation of a National Multidisciplinary Kidney Genetics Clinic Network Over 10 Years.

Introduction: Diagnostic genomic sequencing is the emerging standard of care in nephrology. There is a growing need to scale up the implementation of genomic diagnostics nationally to improve patient outcomes. Methods: This pragmatic study provided genomic or genetic testing to patients with suspected monogenic kidney disease through a national network of kidney genetics clinics (KGCs). We sought to evaluate the experiences of implementing genomic diagnostics across Australia and associated diagnostic outcomes between 2013 and 2022. Results: We successfully established and expanded a nationwide network of 20 clinics as of 2022; concurrently developing laboratory, research, and education programs to scale the clinical application of genomics in nephrology. We report on an Australian cohort of 1506 kidney patients, of whom 1322 received their test results. We assessed barriers to implementation in the nephrology context, and where possible, applied real-time solutions to improve clinical processes over 10 years. Conclusion: Developing a multidisciplinary kidney genetics model across multiple health services nationally was highly successful. This model supported optimal care of individuals with monogenic kidney disease in an economically responsible way. It has continued to evolve with technological and service developments and is now set to scale further as genomic testing for kidney patients transitions to health care system funding.

Kidney Failure from Kidney Stones: An ANZDATA Registry Study.

INTRODUCTION: Kidney stones is common with an increasing trend over time and has been well studied in the general population. However, incidence and outcomes of kidney stones leading to kidney failure (KF) and receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT) is poorly examined. We examined the incidence of KF due to kidney stones and compared outcomes to KRT patients due to other causes. METHODS: Adult patients who started KRT (January 1981-December 2020) and based in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant (ANZDATA) registry. Exposure was KRT patients due to kidney stones comparing them to those with other causes. We examined incidence, prevalence, patient survival (KRT and transplant) and graft survival (transplant). Cox regression models were fit to compare patient survival between kidney stones and non-kidney stones groups, overall KRT, dialysis and patient and graft survival after kidney transplant. RESULTS: A total of 834 (1.1%) patients commenced KRT due to kidney stones. Incidence was 1.17 per million population per year and remained stable during the study period (annual percentage change -0.3% [95%CI -1.5% to 0.9%]. Survival was higher in kidney stone patients receiving dialysis compared to the non-kidney stone group (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89, 95%CI 0.82- 0.96) with similar estimates in a matched cohort. In kidney transplant patients, time to transplant was longer for patients with kidney stone compared to non-kidney stone patients (2.5 vs 1.7 years, P=0.001). There was no mortality difference (HR 1.02, 95%CI 0.82- 1.28) or graft loss (HR 1.07, 95%CI 0.79- 1.45) between kidney stones vs non-kidney stones in the kidney transplant group. CONCLUSION: KF due to kidney stones incidence is unchanged over the study period. Survival of patients with kidney stones who require KRT was better compared to patients from other causes. For the kidney transplant group, survival and risk of graft failure were similar.

Creating an interactive map visualising the geographic variations of the burden of diabetes to inform policymaking: An example from a cohort study in Tasmania, Australia.

OBJECTIVES: To visualise the geographic variations of diabetes burden and identify areas where targeted interventions are needed. METHODS: Using diagnostic criteria supported by hospital codes, 51,324 people with diabetes were identified from a population-based dataset during 2004-2017 in Tasmania, Australia. An interactive map visualising geographic distribution of diabetes prevalence, mortality rates, and healthcare costs in people with diabetes was generated. The cluster and outlier analysis was performed based on statistical area level 2 (SA2) to identify areas with high (hot spot) and low (cold spot) diabetes burden. RESULTS: There were geographic variations in diabetes burden across Tasmania, with highest age-adjusted prevalence (6.1%), excess cost ($2627), and annual costs per person ($5982) in the West and Northwest. Among 98 SA2 areas, 16 hot spots and 25 cold spots for annual costs, and 10 hot spots and 10 cold spots for diabetes prevalence were identified (p<0.05). 15/16 (94%) and 6/10 (60%) hot spots identified were in the West and Northwest. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed a method to graphically display important diabetes outcomes for different geographical areas. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: The method presented in our study could be applied to any other diseases, regions, and countries where appropriate data are available to identify areas where interventions are needed to improve diabetes outcomes.

Island medicine longitudinal cohort study: Rapid rise in chronic kidney disease in rural and remote communities.

AIM: To determine the change in incidence and prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in rural and remote communities over the last decade. METHODS: We examined the change in age-standardized incidence and prevalence in Tasmania between 2010 and 2020, using a linked dataset that included any adult with a creatinine test taken in a community laboratory during the study period (n = 581 513; 87.8% of the state's adult population). We defined CKD as two measures of eGFR <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2, at least 3 months apart. RESULTS: State-wide age-standardized prevalence of CKD increased by 28% in the decade to 2020, from 516 to 659 per 10 000 population. Prevalence in men increased 31.3% and women 24.8%. The greatest increase in age-standardized prevalence was seen in rural or remote communities with an increase of 36.6% overall, but with considerable variation by community (range + 0.4% to +88.3%). The increase in the actual number of people with CKD in the decade to 2020 was 67%, with the number of women increasing by 58% and men by 79%. CONCLUSION: The age-standardized prevalence of CKD in rural and remote regions has increased considerably over the past decade, likely compounded by limited access to primary and secondary healthcare. These findings highlight the need to ensure healthcare resources are directed to areas of greatest need.

People with genetic kidney diseases on kidney replacement therapy have different clinical outcomes compared to people with other kidney diseases.

Despite increasing awareness of genetic kidney disease prevalence, there is limited population-level information about long term outcomes of people with genetic kidney disease receiving kidney replacement therapy. This analysis included people who commenced kidney replacement therapy between 1989 and 2020 as recorded in the Australian and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant registry. Genetic kidney diseases were subclassified as majority and minority monogenic. Non-genetic kidney diseases were included as the comparator group. Primary outcome measures were 10-year mortality and 10-year graft failure. Cox proportional hazard regression were used to calculate unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratios (AHRs) for primary outcomes. There were 59,231 people in the dialysis subgroup and 21,860 people in the transplant subgroup. People on dialysis with genetic kidney diseases had reduced 10-year mortality risk (majority monogenic AHR: 0.70, 95% CI 0.66-0.76; minority monogenic AHR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.92). This reduced 10-year mortality risk continued after kidney transplantation (majority monogenic AHR: 0.82, 95% CI 0.71-0.93; minority monogenic AHR 0.80, 95% CI 0.68-0.95). Majority monogenic genetic kidney diseases were associated with reduced 10-year graft failure compared to minority monogenic genetic kidney diseases and other kidney diseases (majority monogenic AHR 0.69, 95% CI 0.59-0.79). This binational registry analysis identified that people with genetic kidney disease have different mortality and graft failure risks compared to people with other kidney diseases.

Anticoagulation for people receiving long-term haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: Haemodialysis (HD) requires safe and effective anticoagulation to prevent clot formation within the extracorporeal circuit during dialysis treatments to enable adequate dialysis and minimise adverse events, including major bleeding. Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) may provide a more predictable dose, reliable anticoagulant effects and be simpler to administer than unfractionated heparin (UFH) for HD anticoagulation, but may accumulate in the kidneys and lead to bleeding. OBJECTIVES: To assess the efficacy and safety of anticoagulation strategies (including both heparin and non-heparin drugs) for long-term HD in people with kidney failure. Any intervention preventing clotting within the extracorporeal circuit without establishing anticoagulation within the patient, such as regional citrate, citrate enriched dialysate, heparin-coated dialysers, pre-dilution haemodiafiltration (HDF), and saline flushes were also included. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies up to November 2023 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-randomised controlled studies (quasi-RCTs) evaluating anticoagulant agents administered during HD treatment in adults and children with kidney failure. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two authors independently assessed the risk of bias using the Cochrane tool and extracted data. Treatment effects were estimated using random effects meta-analysis and expressed as relative risk (RR) or mean difference (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Evidence certainty was assessed using the Grading of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach (GRADE). MAIN RESULTS: We included 113 studies randomising 4535 participants. The risk of bias in each study was adjudicated as high or unclear for most risk domains. Compared to UFH, LMWH had uncertain effects on extracorporeal circuit thrombosis (3 studies, 91 participants: RR 1.58, 95% CI 0.46 to 5.42; I2 = 8%; low certainty evidence), while major bleeding and minor bleeding were not adequately reported. Regional citrate anticoagulation may lower the risk of minor bleeding compared to UFH (2 studies, 82 participants: RR 0.34, 95% CI 0.14 to 0.85; I2 = 0%; low certainty evidence). No studies reported data comparing regional citrate to UFH on risks of extracorporeal circuit thrombosis and major bleeding. The effects of very LMWH, danaparoid, prostacyclin, direct thrombin inhibitors, factor XI inhibitors or heparin-grafted membranes were uncertain due to insufficient data. The effects of different LMWH, different doses of LMWH, and the administration of LMWH anticoagulants using inlet versus outlet bloodline or bolus versus infusion were uncertain. Evidence to compare citrate to another citrate or control was scant. The effects of UFH compared to no anticoagulant therapy or different doses of UFH were uncertain. Death, dialysis vascular access outcomes, blood transfusions, measures of anticoagulation effect, and costs of interventions were rarely reported. No studies evaluated the effects of treatment on non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke and hospital admissions. Adverse events were inconsistently and rarely reported. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulant strategies, including UFH and LMWH, have uncertain comparative risks on extracorporeal circuit thrombosis, while major bleeding and minor bleeding were not adequately reported. Regional citrate may decrease minor bleeding, but the effects on major bleeding and extracorporeal circuit thrombosis were not reported. Evidence supporting clinical decision-making for different forms of anticoagulant strategies for HD is of low and very low certainty, as available studies have not been designed to measure treatment effects on important clinical outcomes.

Postoperative Outcomes After Gastrointestinal Surgery in Patients Receiving Chronic Kidney Replacement Therapy: A Population-based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study evaluated the postoperative mortality and morbidity outcomes following the different subtypes of gastrointestinal (GI) surgery over a 15-year period. BACKGROUND: Patients receiving chronic kidney replacement therapy (KRT) experience higher rates of general surgery compared with other surgery types. Contemporary data on the types of surgeries and their outcomes are lacking. KRT was defined as patients requiring chronic dialysis (hemodialysis or peritoneal dilaysis) or having a functioning kidney transplant long-term. METHODS: All incident and prevalent patients aged greater than 18 years identified in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant (ANZDATA) Registry as receiving chronic KRT were linked with jurisdictional hospital admission datasets between January 1, 2000 until December 31, 2015. Patients were categorized by their KRT modality [hemodialysis (HD), peritoneal dialysis (PD), home hemodialysis (HHD), and kidney transplant (KT)]. GI surgeries were categorized as upper gastrointestinal (UGI), bowel (small and large bowel), anorectal, hernia surgery, cholecystectomy, and appendicectomy. The primary outcome was the rates of the different surgeries, estimated using Poisson models. Secondary outcomes were risks of 30-day/in-hospital postoperative mortality risk and nonfatal outcomes and were estimated using logistic regression. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality were examined using comorbidity-adjusted Cox models. RESULTS: Overall, 46,779 patients on chronic KRT were linked to jurisdictional hospital datasets, and 9,116 patients were identified as having undergone 14,540 GI surgeries with a combined follow-up of 76,593 years. Patients on PD had the highest rates of GI surgery (8 per 100 patient years), with hernia surgery being the most frequent. Patients on PD also had the highest risk of 30-day postoperative mortality following the different types of GI surgery, with the risk being more than 2-fold higher after emergency surgery compared with elective procedures. Infective postoperative complications were more common than cardiac complications. This study also observed a U-shaped association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality, with a nadir in the 30 to 35 kg/m 2 group. CONCLUSIONS: Patients on chronic KRT have high rates of GI surgery and morbidity, particularly in those who receive PD, are older, or are either underweight or moderately obese.

Multi-center, pragmatic, cluster-randomized, controlled trial of standardized peritoneal dialysis (PD) training versus usual care on PD-related infections (the TEACH-PD trial): trial protocol.

BACKGROUND: Peritoneal dialysis (PD)-related infections, such as peritonitis, exit site, and tunnel infections, substantially impair the sustainability of PD. Accordingly, PD-related infection is the top-priority research outcome for patients and caregivers. While PD nurse trainers teach patients to perform their own PD, PD training curricula are not standardized or informed by an evidentiary base and may offer a potential approach to prevent PD infections. The Targeted Education ApproaCH to improve Peritoneal Dialysis outcomes (TEACH-PD) trial evaluates whether a standardized training curriculum for PD nurse trainers and incident PD patients based on the International Society for Peritoneal Dialysis (ISPD) guidelines reduces PD-related infections compared to usual training practices. METHODS: The TEACH-PD trial is a registry-based, pragmatic, open-label, multi-center, binational, cluster-randomized controlled trial. TEACH-PD will recruit adults aged 18 years or older who have not previously undergone PD training at 42 PD treatment units (clusters) in Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) between July 2019 and June 2023. Clusters will be randomized 1:1 to standardized TEACH-PD training curriculum or usual training practice. The primary trial outcome is the time to the first occurrence of any PD-related infection (exit site infection, tunnel infection, or peritonitis). The secondary trial outcomes are the individual components of the primary outcome, infection-associated catheter removal, transfer to hemodialysis (greater than 30 days and 180 days), quality of life, hospitalization, all-cause death, a composite of transfer to hemodialysis or all-cause death, and cost-effectiveness. Participants are followed for a minimum of 12 months with a targeted average follow-up period of 2 years. Participant and outcome data are collected from the ANZ Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA) and the New Zealand Peritoneal Dialysis (NZPD) Registry. This protocol follows the Standard Protocol Items: Recommendations for Interventional Trials (SPIRIT) guidelines. DISCUSSION: TEACH-PD is a registry-based, cluster-randomized pragmatic trial that aims to provide high-certainty evidence about whether an ISPD guideline-informed standardized PD training curriculum for PD nurse trainers and adult patients prevents PD-related infections. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT03816111. Registered on 24 January 2019.

Multicentre registry analysis of incremental peritoneal dialysis incidence and associations with patient outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Incremental peritoneal dialysis (PD) is increasingly advocated to reduce treatment burden and costs, with potential to better preserve residual kidney function. Global prevalence of incremental PD use is unknown and use in Australia and New Zealand has not been reported. METHODS: Binational registry analysis including incident adult PD patients in Australia and New Zealand (2007-2017), examining incidence of and outcomes associated with incremental PD (first recorded PD exchange volume <42 L/week (incremental) vs. ≥42 L/week (standard)). RESULTS: Incremental PD use significantly increased from 2.7% of all incident PD in 2007 to 11.1% in 2017 (mean increase 0.84%/year). Duration of incremental PD use was 1 year or less in 67% of cases. Male sex, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander (ATSI) or Maori ethnicities, age 45-59 years, medical comorbidities or treatment at a centre with low use of automated PD or icodextrin was associated with lower incidence of incremental PD use. Low body mass index and higher estimated glomerular filtration rate was associated with higher incidence. After accounting for patient and centre variables, commencing PD with an incremental prescription was associated with reduced peritonitis risk (adjusted hazard ratio 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.61-0.86).When kidney transplantation and death were considered as competing risks, the association between incremental PD and peritonitis was not significant (sub-hazard ratio [SHR] 0.91, 95%CI 0.71-1.17, p = 0.5), however cumulative incidence of 30-day transfer to haemodialysis was lower in those receiving incremental PD (SHR 0.73, 95%CI 0.56-0.94, p = 0.01). There was no association between incremental PD and death. CONCLUSIONS: Incremental PD use is increasing in Australia and New Zealand and is not associated with patient harm.

Metabolic Syndrome and Inflammation from Young to Mid-Adulthood and Subclinical Kidney Damage in Middle-Aged Australians.

Background: Relationships between metabolic syndrome (MetS), inflammation, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) have been reported, but long-term follow-up studies are limited. This study aimed to investigate whether MetS and C-reactive protein (CRP) from young adulthood associated with the risk of subclinical kidney damage (SKD), a surrogate measure for CKD, in mid-adulthood. Materials and Methods: One thousand fifteen participants from the Childhood Determinants of Adult Health study aged 26-36 years at baseline (2004-2006) were followed up at age 36-49 (2014-2019). Log-binomial regression was used to determine whether MetS and high CRP in young adulthood and from young to mid-adulthood predicted the risk of SKD (an estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] of 30-60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or an eGFR >60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with a urine albumin-creatinine ratio ≥2.5 mg/mmol [males] or ≥3.5 mg/mmol [females]) in midlife. Results: Having MetS in young adulthood was associated with an increased risk of SKD in midlife (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 2.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24-5.76). Participants with MetS and high CRP as young adults had a greater risk of having SKD in midlife (aRR = 4.27, 95% CI: 1.61-11.30) compared with those without MetS and high CRP. Furthermore, for participants with persistent MetS, the aRR of SKD in midlife was 4.08 (95% CI: 1.84-9.05) compared with those without MetS from young to mid-adulthood. No significant associations were found between CRP in young adulthood, or change in CRP from young to mid-adulthood, and SKD in midlife. Conclusions: MetS in young adulthood, with and without high CRP, and persistent MetS were associated with an increased risk of SKD in middle midlife.

Childhood modifiable risk factors and later life chronic kidney disease: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Relationships between adulthood modifiable risk factors and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are well-established, but associations with childhood risk factors are unclear. This study systematically assesses the published evidence about childhood modifiable risk factors and adulthood CKD. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science to 6th May 2022. Articles were included if (1) they were population-based longitudinal studies, (2) exposures were potentially modifiable, for example through pharmacological or lifestyle modifications, including clinical conditions/measures (diabetes, blood pressure, adiposity, and dyslipidaemia); health behaviours (smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, fitness, and poor nutrition); and socio-economic factors (socio-economic position), and occurred during childhood (ages 2-19 years), and (3) outcome was CKD or surrogate markers of CKD in adulthood (ages 20 years or older). Three reviewers independently extracted the data. RESULTS: 15,232 articles were identified after deduplication; 17 articles met the inclusion criteria, reporting childhood blood pressure (n = 8), adiposity (n = 4), type 2 diabetes (n = 1), socio-economic position (n = 1), famine (n = 1), cardiorespiratory fitness (n = 1), and a healthy lifestyle score (n = 1). The results suggested positive associations of childhood adiposity, type 2 diabetes, and low socio-economic position and cardiorespiratory fitness in females with CKD in adulthood. Findings were inconsistent on associations between childhood BP and CKD in adulthood. Childhood healthy lifestyle score and exposure to famine were not associated with risk of CKD in adulthood. CONCLUSIONS: The limited evidence suggests childhood factors may contribute to the CKD risk in adulthood, particularly adiposity, type 2 diabetes, and low socio-economic position and cardiorespiratory fitness in females. Further high-quality community-based studies are needed with long-term follow-up and investigation of a broader range of modifiable risk factors.

Risk of hospital admission or emergency department presentation due to diabetes complications: a retrospective cohort study in Tasmania, Australia.

Objective To estimate the risk of an emergency department (ED)/inpatient visit due to complications in people with diabetes and compare them to their non-diabetes counterparts. Methods This matched retrospective cohort study used a linked dataset in Tasmania, Australia for the 2004-17 period. People with diabetes (n = 45 378) were matched on age, sex and geographical regions with people without diabetes (n = 90 756) based on propensity score matching. The risk of an ED/inpatient visit related to each complication was estimated using negative binomial regression. Results In people with diabetes, the combined ED and admission rates per 10 000 person-years were considerable, especially for macrovascular complications (ranging from 31.8 (lower extremity amputation) to 205.2 (heart failure)). The adjusted incidence rate ratios of ED/inpatient visits were: retinopathy 59.1 (confidence interval 25.8, 135.7), lower extremity amputation 11.1 (8.8, 14.1), foot ulcer/gangrene 9.5 (8.1, 11.2), nephropathy 7.4 (5.4, 10.1), dialysis 6.5 (3.8, 10.9), transplant 6.3 (2.2, 17.8), vitreous haemorrhage 6.0 (3.7, 9.8), fatal myocardial infarction 3.4 (2.3, 5.1), kidney failure 3.3 (2.3, 4.5), heart failure 2.9 (2.7, 3.1), angina pectoris 2.1 (2.0, 2.3), ischaemic heart disease 2.1 (1.9, 2.3), neuropathy 1.9 (1.7, 2.0), non-fatal myocardial infarction 1.7 (1.6, 1.8), blindness/low vision 1.4 (0.8, 2.5), non-fatal stroke 1.4 (1.3, 1.6), fatal stroke 1.3 (0.9, 2.1) and transient ischaemic attack 1.1 (1.0, 1.2). Conclusions Our results demonstrated the high demand on hospital services due to diabetes complications (especially macrovascular complications) and highlighted the importance of preventing and properly managing microvascular complications. These findings will support future resource allocation to reduce the increasing burden of diabetes in Australia.

The kidney failure risk equation predicts kidney failure: Validation in an Australian cohort.

AIMS: Predicting progression to kidney failure for patients with chronic kidney disease is essential for patient and clinicians' management decisions, patient prognosis, and service planning. The Tangri et al Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) was developed to predict the outcome of kidney failure. The KFRE has not been independently validated in an Australian Cohort. METHODS: Using data linkage of the Tasmanian Chronic Kidney Disease study (CKD.TASlink) and the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA), we externally validated the KFRE. We validated the 4, 6, and 8-variable KFRE at both 2 and 5 years. We assessed model fit (goodness of fit), discrimination (Harell's C statistic), and calibration (observed vs predicted survival). RESULTS: There were 18 170 in the cohort with 12 861 participants with 2 years and 8182 with 5 years outcomes. Of these 2607 people died and 285 progressed to kidney replacement therapy. The KFRE has excellent discrimination with C statistics of 0.96-0.98 at 2 years and 0.95-0.96 at 5 years. The calibration was adequate with well-performing Brier scores (0.004-0.01 at 2 years, 0.01-0.03 at 5 years) however the calibration curves, whilst adequate, indicate that predicted outcomes are systematically worse than observed. CONCLUSION: This external validation study demonstrates the KFRE performs well in an Australian population and can be used by clinicians and service planners for individualised risk prediction.

Evaluating data quality in the Australian and New Zealand dialysis and transplant registry using administrative hospital admission datasets and data-linkage.

Background: Clinical quality registries provide rich and useful data for clinical quality monitoring and research purposes but are susceptible to data quality issues that can impact their usage. Objective: This study assessed the concordance between comorbidities recorded in the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant (ANZDATA) Registry and those in state-based hospital admission datasets. Method: All patients in New South Wales, South Australia, Tasmania, Victoria and Western Australia recorded in ANZDATA as requiring chronic kidney replacement therapy (KRT) between 01/07/2000 and 31/12/2015 were linked with state-based hospital admission datasets. Coronary artery disease, diabetes mellitus, cerebrovascular disease, chronic lung disease and peripheral vascular disease recorded in ANZDATA at each annual census date were compared overall, over time and between different KRT modalities to comorbidities recorded in hospital admission datasets, as defined by the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10-AM), using both the kappa statistic and logistic regression analysis. Results: 29, 334 patients with 207,369 hospital admissions were identified. Comparison was made at census date for every patient comparison. Overall agreement was "very good" for diabetes mellitus (92%, k = 0.84) and "poor" to "fair" (21-61%, k = 0.02-0.22) for others. Diabetes mellitus recording had the highest accuracy (sensitivity 93% (±SE 0.2) and specificity 93% (±SE 0.2)), and cerebrovascular disease had the lowest (sensitivity 54% (±SE 0.2) and specificity 21% (±SE 0.3)). The false positive rates for cerebrovascular disease, peripheral vascular disease and chronic airway disease ranged between 18 and 33%. The probability of a false positive was lowest for kidney transplant patients for all comorbidities and highest for patients on haemodialysis. Conclusions and Implications: Agreement between the clinical quality registry and hospital admission datasets was variable, with the prevalence of comorbidities being higher in ANZDATA.