Association between changes in cardiovascular health and the risk of multimorbidity: community-based cohort studies in the UK and Finland.

Background: Better cardiovascular health is associated with lower risk of various chronic diseases, but its association with multimorbidity is poorly understood. We aimed to examine whether change in cardiovascular health is associated with multimorbidity risk. Methods: The primary analysis was conducted in the Whitehall II multiwave prospective cohort study (UK) and the validation analysis in the Finnish Public Sector cohort study (Finland). Change in cardiovascular health was assessed using the American Heart Association Life's Simple 7 (LS7) and Life's Essential 8 (LE8) at baseline and re-assessments, using objective measures in Whitehall II and self-reports and pharmacy claims in the Finnish Public Sector cohort study, respectively. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of two or more of 12 chronic diseases during follow-up. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) using Cox's proportional hazard models with age as time scale, adjusting for sex, education, occupation, marital status, and ethnicity. Findings: In the primary analysis among 9715 participants, mean age was 44.8 (standard deviation 6.0) years and 67.6% participants were men at baseline. During the median follow-up of 31.4 (interquartile range 26.8-32.3) years, 2751 participants developed multimorbidity. The hazard of multimorbidity decreased by 8% (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88-0.96) per ideal LS7 metric increment over 5 years and by 14% (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80-0.93) per ten points increase in LE8 score over 10 years. These findings were replicated in the validation analysis among 75,377 participants in terms of 4-year change in cardiovascular health. Interpretation: Improvement in cardiovascular health was associated with lower multimorbidity risk in two community-based cohort studies. Interventions improving cardiovascular health of the community may contribute to multimorbidity prevention. Funding: None.

Controlled donation after circulatory death in post-cardiac arrest patients: Estimates from a large registry.

BACKGROUND: Controlled donation after circulatory death (cDCD) in post-anoxic brain injury is a valuable source of organs that is still underused in some countries. We assessed the number of potential cDCD donors after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Paris and its suburbs and extrapolated the results to the French population. METHODS: Using the large regional registry of the Great Paris area, we prospectively included all consecutive adults with OHCA with a stable return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) who ultimately died in the intensive care unit (ICU) after withdrawal of life-sustaining treatments (WLST) due to post anoxic brain injury. The primary endpoint was potential for organ donation by cDCD in this population. The number of potential cDCD donors was calculated and extrapolated to the entire French population. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2018, 4638 patients with stable ROSC were admitted to ICUs after OHCA, and 3170 died in ICU, of which 1034 died after WLST due to post-anoxic brain injury. When considering French criteria, 421/1034 patients (41%) would have been potential cDCD donors (55 patients per year in a 4.67 million population). After standardization for age and sex, the potential for cDCD was 515 (95% CI 471-560) patients per year in France corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.18 per 100 000 inhabitants per year. CONCLUSIONS: Organ donation by cDCD after cardiac arrest could provide a large pool of donors in France.

Recalled body silhouette trajectories over the lifespan and oral conditions in adulthood: A cross-sectional analysis of the Paris Prospective Study 3.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between life-course body silhouette changes and oral conditions in adulthood. METHODS: At study recruitment (2008-2012), 5430 adults underwent a full-mouth clinical examination and recalled their body silhouettes at ages 8, 15, 25, 35 and 45. Life-course trajectories of body silhouettes were computed using group-based trajectory modelling. Gingival inflammation, dental plaque, masticatory units, numbers of healthy, missing, decayed and filled teeth at study recruitment were clustered. The associations between body silhouette trajectories and clusters of oral conditions were assessed by multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: The final analysis included 4472 participants. Five body silhouette trajectories were established: lean-stable (30.0%), lean-increased (19.3%), moderate stable (18.1%), lean-marked increased (25.8%) and heavy stable (6.7%). Three clusters of oral conditions were identified: optimal oral health and preserved masticatory capacity (70.0%, cluster 1), moderate oral health and moderately impaired masticatory capacity (25.4%, cluster 2) and poor oral health and severely impaired masticatory capacity (4.7%, cluster 3). Participants with a lean-increased trajectory were 58% more likely than those with a lean-stable trajectory to be in cluster 3 (aOR 1.58 [95% CI 1.07; 2.35]) relative to cluster 1, independently of covariates measured at study recruitment and including age, sex, smoking, socioeconomic status, BMI, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, cholesterol and triglycerides. CONCLUSIONS: A life-course lean-increased body silhouette trajectory is associated with higher likelihood of poor oral health and severely impaired masticatory capacity in adulthood.

The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: An individual patient data meta-analysis.

AIM: Prior studies have reported increased out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) incidence and lower survival during the COVID-19 pandemic. We evaluated how the COVID-19 pandemic affected OHCA incidence, bystander CPR rate and patients' outcomes, accounting for regional COVID-19 incidence and OHCA characteristics. METHODS: Individual patient data meta-analysis of studies which provided a comparison of OHCA incidence during the first pandemic wave (COVID-period) with a reference period of the previous year(s) (pre-COVID period). We computed COVID-19 incidence per 100,000 inhabitants in each of 97 regions per each week and divided it into its quartiles. RESULTS: We considered a total of 49,882 patients in 10 studies. OHCA incidence increased significantly compared to previous years in regions where weekly COVID-19 incidence was in the fourth quartile (>136/100,000/week), and patients in these regions had a lower odds of bystander CPR (OR 0.49, 95%CI 0.29-0.81, p = 0.005). Overall, the COVID-period was associated with an increase in medical etiology (89.2% vs 87.5%, p < 0.001) and OHCAs at home (74.7% vs 67.4%, p < 0.001), and a decrease in shockable initial rhythm (16.5% vs 20.3%, p < 0.001). The COVID-period was independently associated with pre-hospital death (OR 1.73, 95%CI 1.55-1.93, p < 0.001) and negatively associated with survival to hospital admission (OR 0.68, 95%CI 0.64-0.72, p < 0.001) and survival to discharge (OR 0.50, 95%CI 0.46-0.54, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: During the first COVID-19 pandemic wave, there was higher OHCA incidence and lower bystander CPR rate in regions with a high-burden of COVID-19. COVID-19 was also associated with a change in patient characteristics and lower survival independently of COVID-19 incidence in the region where OHCA occurred.

Cumulative dose of epinephrine and mode of death after non-shockable out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a registry-based study.

BACKGROUND: Epinephrine increases the chances of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), especially when the initial rhythm is non-shockable. However, this drug could also worsen the post-resuscitation syndrome (PRS). We assessed the association between epinephrine use during cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and subsequent intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in patients with ROSC after non-shockable OHCA. METHODS: We used data prospectively collected in the Sudden Death Expertise Center (SDEC) registry (capturing OHCA data located in the Greater Paris area, France) between May 2011 and December 2021. All adults with ROSC after medical, cardiac and non-cardiac causes, non-shockable OHCA admitted to an ICU were included. The mode of death in the ICU was categorized as cardiocirculatory, neurological, or other. RESULTS: Of the 2,792 patients analyzed, there were 242 (8.7%) survivors at hospital discharge, 1,004 (35.9%) deaths from cardiocirculatory causes, 1,233 (44.2%) deaths from neurological causes, and 313 (11.2%) deaths from other etiologies. The cardiocirculatory death group received more epinephrine (4.6 ± 3.8 mg versus 1.7 ± 2.8 mg, 3.2 ± 2.6 mg, and 3.5 ± 3.6 mg for survivors, neurological deaths, and other deaths, respectively; p < 0.001). The proportion of cardiocirculatory death increased linearly (R2 = 0.92, p < 0.001) with cumulative epinephrine doses during CPR (17.7% in subjects who did not receive epinephrine and 62.5% in those who received > 10 mg). In multivariable analysis, a cumulative dose of epinephrine was strongly associated with cardiocirculatory death (adjusted odds ratio of 3.45, 95% CI [2.01-5.92] for 1 mg of epinephrine; 12.28, 95% CI [7.52-20.06] for 2-5 mg; and 23.71, 95% CI [11.02-50.97] for > 5 mg; reference 0 mg; population reference: alive at hospital discharge), even after adjustment on duration of resuscitation. The other modes of death (neurological and other causes) were also associated with epinephrine use, but to a lesser extent. CONCLUSIONS: In non-shockable OHCA with ROSC, the dose of epinephrine used during CPR is strongly associated with early cardiocirculatory death. Further clinical studies aimed at limiting the dose of epinephrine during CPR seem warranted. Moreover, strategies for the prevention and management of PRS should take this dose of epinephrine into consideration for future trials.

Healthy sleep score changes and incident cardiovascular disease in European prospective community-based cohorts.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Evidence on the link between sleep patterns and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) in the community essentially relies on studies that investigated one single sleep pattern at one point in time. This study examined the joint effect of five sleep patterns at two time points with incident CVD events. METHODS: By combining the data from two prospective studies, the Paris Prospective Study III (Paris, France) and the CoLaus|PsyCoLaus study (Lausanne, Switzerland), a healthy sleep score (HSS, range 0-5) combining five sleep patterns (early chronotype, sleep duration of 7-8 h/day, never/rarely insomnia, no sleep apnoea, and no excessive daytime sleepiness) was calculated at baseline and follow-up. RESULTS: The study sample included 11 347 CVD-free participants aged 53-64 years (44.6% women). During a median follow-up of 8.9 years [interquartile range (IQR): 8.0-10.0], 499 first CVD events occurred (339 coronary heart disease (CHD) and 175 stroke). In multivariate Cox analysis, the risk of CVD decreased by 18% [hazard ratio (HR) 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.89] per one-point increment in the HSS. After a median follow-up of 6.0 years (IQR: 4.0-8.0) after the second follow-up, 262 first CVD events occurred including 194 CHD and 72 stroke. After adjusting for baseline HSS and covariates, the risk of CVD decreased by 16% (HR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.97) per unit higher in the follow-up HSS over 2-5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Higher HSS and HSS improvement over time are associated with a lower risk of CHD and stroke in the community.

Improving EMS response times for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in urban areas using drone-like vertical take-off and landing air ambulances: An international, simulation-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Advances in vertical take-off and landing (VTOL) technologies may enable drone-like crewed air ambulances to rapidly respond to out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in urban areas. We estimated the impact of incorporating VTOL air ambulances on OHCA response intervals in two large urban centres in France and Canada. METHODS: We included adult OHCAs occurring between Jan. 2017-Dec. 2018 within Greater Paris in France and Metro Vancouver in Canada. Both regions utilize tiered OHCA response with basic (BLS)- and advanced life support (ALS)-capable units. We simulated incorporating 1-2 ALS-capable VTOL air ambulances dedicated to OHCA response in each study region, and computed time intervals from call reception by emergency medical services (EMS) to arrival of the: (1) first ALS unit ("call-to-ALS arrival interval"); and (2) first EMS unit ("call-to-first EMS arrival interval"). RESULTS: There were 6,217 OHCAs included during the study period (3,760 in Greater Paris and 2,457 in Metro Vancouver). Historical median call-to-ALS arrival intervals were 21 min [IQR 16-29] in Greater Paris and 12 min [IQR 9-17] in Metro Vancouver, while median call-to-first EMS arrival intervals were 11 min [IQR 8-14] and 7 min [IQR 5-8] respectively. Incorporating 1-2 VTOL air ambulances improved median call-to-ALS arrival intervals to 7-9 min and call-to-first EMS arrival intervals to 6-8 min in both study regions (all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: VTOL air ambulances dedicated to OHCA response may improve EMS response intervals, with substantial improvements in ALS response metrics.

Association of haemolysis markers, blood viscosity and microcirculation function with organ damage in sickle cell disease in sub-Saharan Africa (the BIOCADRE study).

Sickle cell anaemia (SCA) is a monogenic disease with a highly variable clinical course. We aimed to investigate associations between microvascular function, haemolysis markers, blood viscosity and various types of SCA-related organ damage in a multicentric sub-Saharan African cohort of patients with SCA. In a cross-sectional study, we selected seven groups of adult patients with SS phenotype in Dakar and Bamako based on the following complications: leg ulcer, priapism, osteonecrosis, retinopathy, high tricuspid regurgitant jet velocity (TRV), macro-albuminuria or none. Clinical assessment, echocardiography, peripheral arterial tonometry, laboratory tests and blood viscosity measurement were performed. We explored statistical associations between the biological parameters and the six studied complications. Among 235 patients, 58 had high TRV, 46 osteonecrosis, 43 priapism, 33 leg ulcers, 31 retinopathy and 22 macroalbuminuria, whereas 36 had none of these complications. Multiple correspondence analysis revealed no cluster of complications. Lactate dehydrogenase levels were associated with high TRV, and blood viscosity was associated with retinopathy and the absence of macroalbuminuria. Despite extensive phenotyping of patients, no specific pattern of SCA-related complications was identified. New biomarkers are needed to predict SCA clinical expression to adapt patient management, especially in Africa, where healthcare resources are scarce.

Is the number of ideal cardiovascular health metrics in midlife associated with lower risk of cancer? Evidence from 3 European prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Primordial prevention may be a relevant strategy for the prevention of cancer. Given the commonality of risk factors and mechanisms between cancer and cardiovascular disease, we examined the associations between the number of ideal cardiovascular health metrics in midlife and incident cancer. METHODS: In 3 European cohorts (NutriNet-Santé and GAZEL, France; Whitehall II, United Kingdom), the number of ideal cardiovascular health metrics was determined at baseline (range 0-7). Follow-up for cancer events was until October 2020 (NutriNet-Santé), March 2017 (Whitehall II) and December 2015 (GAZEL). Cox regression was conducted in each cohort, and results were thereafter pooled using a random-effects model. RESULTS: Data were available on 39 718 participants. A total of 16 237 were from NutriNet-Santé (mean age 51.3 yr; 28% men), 9418 were from Whitehall II (mean age 44.8 yr; 68% men) and 14 063 were from GAZEL (mean age 45.2 yr; 75% men). The median follow-up was 8.1 years in NutriNet-Santé, 29.6 years in Whitehall II and 24.8 years in GAZEL, and yielded a total of 4889 cancer events. A greater number of ideal cardiovascular health metrics was associated with a lower overall cancer risk in each cohort, with an aggregate hazard ratio (HR) per 1 increment in number of ideal metrics of 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.93). This association remained after removal of the smoking metric (aggregate HR per unit increment in number of ideal metrics: 0.94, 95% CI 0.90-0.97), and site-specific analysis demonstrated a significant association with lung cancer. INTERPRETATION: A greater number of ideal cardiovascular health metrics in midlife was associated with lower cancer risk, notably lung cancer. Primordial prevention of cardiovascular risk factors in midlife may be a complementary strategy to prevent the onset of cancer.

Trends in survival from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with a shockable rhythm and its association with bystander resuscitation: a retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: Over 300 000 cases of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs) occur each year in the USA and Europe. Despite decades of investment and research, survival remains disappointingly low. We report the trends in survival after a ventricular fibrillation/pulseless ventricular tachycardia OHCA, over a 13-year period, in a French urban region, and describe the simultaneous evolution of the rescue system. METHODS: We investigated four 18-month periods between 2005 and 2018. The first period was considered baseline and included patients from the randomised controlled trial 'DEFI 2005'. The three following periods were based on the Paris Sudden Death Expertise Center Registry (France). Inclusion criteria were non-traumatic cardiac arrests treated with at least one external electric shock with an automated external defibrillator from the basic life support team and resuscitated by a physician-staffed ALS team. Primary outcome was survival at hospital discharge with a good neurological outcome. RESULTS: Of 21 781 patients under consideration, 3476 (16%) met the inclusion criteria. Over all study periods, survival at hospital discharge increased from 12% in 2005 to 25% in 2018 (p<0.001), and return of spontaneous circulation at hospital admission increased from 43% to 58% (p=0.004).Lay-rescuer cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and telephone CPR (T-CPR) rates increased significantly, but public defibrillator use remained limited. CONCLUSION: In a two-tiered rescue system, survival from OHCA at hospital discharge doubled over a 13-year study period. Concomitantly, the system implemented an OHCA patient registry and increased T-CPR frequency, despite a consistently low rate of public defibrillator use.

Validation of the clinical utility of microRNA as noninvasive biomarkers of cardiac allograft rejection: A prospective longitudinal multicenter study.

While studies have shown an association between microRNAs and cardiac rejection, the clinical relevance of a preidentified miRNA signature as a noninvasive biomarker has never been assessed in prospective multicentric unselected cohorts. To address this unmet need, we designed a prospective study (NCT02672683) including recipients from 11 centers between August 2016 to March 2018. The objective was to validate the association between 3 previously identified circulating microRNA (10a, 92a, 155) and the histopathological diagnosis of rejection. Both relative and absolute (sensitivity analysis) quantifications of microRNAs were performed. Overall, 461 patients were included (831 biopsies, 79 rejections). A per-protocol interim analysis (258 biopsies, 49 rejections) did not find any association between microRNA and rejection (microRNA 10a: odds ratio (OR) = 1.05, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 0.87-1.27, p = 0.61; 92a: OR = 0.98, 95%CI = 0.87-1.10, p = 0.68; 155: OR = 0.91, 95%CI = 0.76-1.10, p = 0.33). These results were confirmed in the sensitivity analysis. The analysis of the remaining sera was stopped for futility. This study shows no clinical utility of circulating microRNAs 10a, 92a, and 155 monitoring in heart allograft recipients.

Factors associated with circulatory death after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: a population-based cluster analysis.

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a common cause of death. Early circulatory failure is the most common reason for death within the first 48 h. This study in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with OHCA was designed to identify and characterize clusters based on clinical features and to determine the frequency of death from refractory postresuscitation shock (RPRS) in each cluster. METHODS: We retrospectively identified adults admitted alive to ICUs after OHCA in 2011-2018 and recorded in a prospective registry for the Paris region (France). We identified patient clusters by performing an unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis (without mode of death among the variables) based on Utstein clinical and laboratory variables. For each cluster, we estimated the hazard ratio (HRs) for RPRS. RESULTS: Of the 4445 included patients, 1468 (33%) were discharged alive from the ICU and 2977 (67%) died in the ICU. We identified four clusters: initial shockable rhythm with short low-flow time (cluster 1), initial non-shockable rhythm with usual absence of ST-segment elevation (cluster 2), initial non-shockable rhythm with long no-flow time (cluster 3), and long low-flow time with high epinephrine dose (cluster 4). RPRS was significantly associated with this last cluster (HR, 5.51; 95% confidence interval 4.51-6.74). CONCLUSIONS: We identified patient clusters based on Utstein criteria, and one cluster was strongly associated with RPRS. This result may help to make decisions about using specific treatments after OHCA.

Hypertension treatment in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review.

Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) faces the highest rate of hypertension worldwide. Blood pressure (BP) control rests on the association of lifestyle modification and antihypertensive medicines. We aimed to systematically review antihypertensive strategies implemented in SSA to achieve BP control. A systematic search beginning in 2003 was performed in MEDLINE, COCHRANE and EMBASE. We included only original and observational studies in SSA countries. Thirty studies were included from 11 countries. No study was multinational. The number of patients varied from 111 to 897 (median: 294; IQR: 192-478). Overall, 21% of patients received monotherapy, 42.6% two-drug and 26.6% three-drug combinations. Out of all the strategies, renin-angiotensin system (RAS) blockers were mostly prescribed, followed by diuretics and calcium channel blockers. In monotherapy, RAS blockers were the first to be prescribed. Only 10 articles described antihypertensive strategies beyond triple combinations. BP control was highly variable (range: 16.4 to 61.2%). Multicentre studies performed in several SSA countries are needed to ensure international guidelines actually do improve outcomes in SSA.

Sexual Minority Status Disparities in Life's Essential 8 and Life's Simple 7 Cardiovascular Health Scores: A French Nationwide Population-Based Study.

Background A higher burden of cardiovascular disease risk factors has been reported in sexual minority populations. Primordial prevention may therefore be a relevant preventative strategy. The study's objectives are to estimate the associations of Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and Life's Simple 7 (LS7) cardiovascular health scores with sexual minority status. Methods and Results The CONSTANCES is a nationwide French epidemiological cohort study that recruited randomly selected participants older than 18 years in 21 cities. Sexual minority status was based on self-reported lifetime sexual behavior and categorized as lesbian, gay, bisexual, or heterosexual. The LE8 score includes nicotine exposure, diet, physical activity, body mass index, sleep health, blood glucose, blood pressure, and blood lipids. The previous LS7 score included 7 metrics without sleep health. The study included 169 434 cardiovascular disease-free adults (53.64% women; mean age, 45.99 years). Among 90 879 women, 555 were lesbian, 3149 were bisexual, and 84 363 were heterosexual. Among 78 555 men, 2421 were gay, 2748 were bisexual, and 70 994 were heterosexual. Overall, 2812 women and 2392 men declined to answer. In multivariable mixed effects linear regression models, lesbian (ß=-0.95 [95% CI, -1.89 to -0.02]) and bisexual (ß=-0.78 [95% CI, -1.18 to -0.38]) women had a lower LE8 cardiovascular health score compared with heterosexual women. Conversely, gay (ß=2.72 [95% CI, 2.25-3.19]) and bisexual (ß=0.83 [95% CI, 0.39-1.27]) men had a higher LE8 cardiovascular health score compared with heterosexual men. The findings were consistent, although of smaller magnitudes for the LS7 score. Conclusions Cardiovascular health disparities exist in sexual minority adults, particularly lesbian and bisexual women, who may represent a priority population for primordial cardiovascular disease prevention.

Race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate equation in kidney transplant recipients: development and validation study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of a newly developed race-free kidney recipient specific glomerular filtration rate (GFR) equation with the three current main equations for measuring GFR in kidney transplant recipients. DESIGN: Development and validation study SETTING: 17 cohorts in Europe, the United States, and Australia (14 transplant centres, three clinical trials). PARTICIPANTS: 15 489 adults (3622 in development cohort (Necker, Saint Louis, and Toulouse hospitals, France), 11 867 in multiple external validation cohorts) who received kidney transplants between 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2021. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The main outcome measure was GFR, measured according to local practice. Performance of the GFR equations was assessed using P30 (proportion of estimated GFR (eGFR) within 30% of measured GFR (mGFR)) and correct classification (agreement between eGFR and mGFR according to GFR stages). The race-free equation, based on creatinine level, age, and sex, was developed using additive and multiplicative linear regressions, and its performance was compared with the three current main GFR equations: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) 2009 equation, and race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation. RESULTS: The study included 15 489 participants, with 50 464 mGFR and eGFR values. The mean GFR was 53.18 mL/min/1.73m2 (SD 17.23) in the development cohort and 55.90 mL/min/1.73m2 (19.69) in the external validation cohorts. Among the current GFR equations, the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation showed the lowest performance compared with the MDRD and CKD-EPI 2009 equations. When race was included in the kidney recipient specific GFR equation, performance did not increase. The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation showed significantly improved performance compared with the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation and performed well in the external validation cohorts (P30 ranging from 73.0% to 91.3%). The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation performed well in several subpopulations of kidney transplant recipients stratified by race (P30 73.0-91.3%), sex (72.7-91.4%), age (70.3-92.0%), body mass index (64.5-100%), donor type (58.5-92.9%), donor age (68.3-94.3%), treatment (78.5-85.2%), creatinine level (72.8-91.3%), GFR measurement method (73.0-91.3%), and timing of GFR measurement post-transplant (72.9-95.5%). An online application was developed that estimates GFR based on recipient's creatinine level, age, and sex (https://transplant-prediction-system.shinyapps.io/eGFR_equation_KTX/). CONCLUSION: A new race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation was developed and validated using multiple, large, international cohorts of kidney transplant recipients. The equation showed high accuracy and outperformed the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation that was developed in individuals with native kidneys. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05229939.

Sudden cardiac death after heart transplantation: a population-based study.

AIMS: The epidemiology of sudden cardiac death (SCD) after heart transplantation (HTx) remains imprecisely described. We aimed to assess the incidence and determinants of SCD in a large cohort of HTx recipients, compared with the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Consecutive HTx recipients (n = 1246, 2 centres) transplanted between 2004 and 2016 were included. We prospectively assessed clinical, biological, pathologic, and functional parameters. SCD was centrally adjudicated. We compared the SCD incidence beyond the first year post-transplant in this cohort with that observed in the general population of the same geographic area (registry carried out by the same group of investigators; n = 19 706 SCD). We performed a competing risk multivariate Cox model to identify variables associated with SCD. The annual incidence of SCD was 12.5 per 1,000 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI), 9.7-15.9] in the HTx recipients cohort compared with 0.54 per 1,000 person-years (95% CI, 0.53-0.55) in the general population (P < 0.001). The risk of SCD was markedly elevated among the youngest HTx recipients with standardized mortality ratios for SCD up to 837 for recipients ≤30 years. Beyond the first year, SCD was the leading cause of death. Five variables were independently associated with SCD: older donor age (P = 0.003), younger recipient age (P = 0.001) and ethnicity (P = 0.034), pre-existing donor-specific antibodies (P = 0.009), and last left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0.048). CONCLUSION: HTx recipients, particularly the youngest, were at very high risk of SCD compared with the general population. The consideration of specific risk factors may help identify high-risk subgroups.

Validation of the ARIC prediction model for sudden cardiac death in the European population: The ESCAPE-NET project.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac death is responsible for 10% to 20% of all deaths in Europe. The current study investigates how well the risk of sudden cardiac death can be predicted. To this end, we validated a previously developed prediction model for sudden cardiac death from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (USA). METHODS: Data from participants of the Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS) (n=9988) was used to externally validate the previously developed prediction model for sudden cardiac death. The model's performance was assessed through discrimination (C-statistic) and calibration by the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit (HL) statistics suited for censored data and visual inspection of calibration plots. Additional validation was performed using data from the Hoorn Study (N=2045), employing the same methods. RESULTS: During ten years of follow-up of CCHS participants (mean age: 58.7 years, 56.2% women), 425 experienced SCD (4.2%). The prediction model showed good discrimination for sudden cardiac death risk (C-statistic: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.79-0.83). Calibration was robust (HL statistic: P=0.8). Visual inspection of the calibration plot showed that the calibration could be improved. Sensitivity was 89.8%, and specificity was 60.6%. The positive and negative predictive values were 10.1% and 99.2%. Model performance was similar in the Hoorn Study (C-statistic: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.77-0.85 and the HL statistic: 1.00). CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the previously developed prediction model in North American adults performs equally well in identifying those at risk for sudden cardiac death in a general North-West European population. However, the positive predictive value is low.

Association of Midlife Cardiovascular Health and Subsequent Change in Cardiovascular Health With Incident Cancer.

Background: The commonality of risk factors between cancer and cardiovascular disease suggests that primordial prevention (preventing the onset of risk factors) is a relevant strategy for cancer prevention. Objectives: This study sought to examine the association between baseline and change in the cardiovascular health (CVH) score and incident cancer. Methods: Using serial examinations of the GAZEL (GAZ et ELECTRICITE de France) study in France, we examined the associations between the American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7 CVH score (range: 0-to 14 [poor, intermediate, and ideal level of smoking, physical activity, body mass index, diet, blood pressure, diabetes status, or lipids]) in 1989/1990, their change over 7 years, and incident cancer and cardiac events up to 2015. Results: The study population included 13,933 participants (mean age: 45.3 ± 3.4 years, 24% women). After a median follow-up of 24.8 years (Q1-Q3: 19.4-24.9 years), 2,010 participants had an incident cancer and 899 a cardiac event. The risk of cancer (any site) decreased by 9% (HR: 0.91; 95% CI: 0.88-0.93) per 1-point increase in the CVH score in 1989/1990 compared with a 20% (HR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.77-0.83) risk reduction for cardiac events. The risk of cancer decreased by 5% (HR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.92-0.99) per unit of change in the CVH score between 1989/1990 and 1996/1997 compared with a 7% risk reduction for cardiac events (HR: 0.93; 95% CI: 0.88-0.98). These associations remained after omitting the smoking metric from the CVH score. Conclusions: Primordial prevention is a relevant strategy for the prevention of cancer in the population.

Three-year trends in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest across the world: Second report from the International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation (ILCOR).

BACKGROUND: The International Liaison Committee on Resuscitation (ILCOR) Research and Registries Working Group previously reported data on systems of care and outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in 2015 from 16 national and regional registries. To describe the temporal trends with updated data on OHCA, we report the characteristics of OHCA from 2015 through 2017. METHODS: We invited national and regional population-based OHCA registries for voluntary participation and included emergency medical services (EMS)-treated OHCA. We collected descriptive summary data of core elements of the latest Utstein style recommendation during 2016 and 2017 at each registry. For registries that participated in the previous 2015 report, we also extracted the 2015 data. RESULTS: Eleven national registries in North America, Europe, Asia, and Oceania, and 4 regional registries in Europe were included in this report. Across registries, the estimated annual incidence of EMS-treated OHCA was 30.0-97.1 individuals per 100,000 population in 2015, 36.4-97.3 in 2016, and 40.8-100.2 in 2017. The provision of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) varied from 37.2% to 79.0% in 2015, from 2.9% to 78.4% in 2016, and from 4.1% to 80.3% in 2017. Survival to hospital discharge or 30-day survival for EMS-treated OHCA ranged from 5.2% to 15.7% in 2015, from 6.2% to 15.8% in 2016, and from 4.6% to 16.4% in 2017. CONCLUSION: We observed an upward temporal trend in provision of bystander CPR in most registries. Although some registries showed favourable temporal trends in survival, less than half of registries in our study demonstrated such a trend.