Sialic Acid Mediated Endothelial and Hepatic Uptake: A Mechanism based Mathematic Model Elucidating the Complex Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of Efmarodocokin Alfa, a Variably Glycosylated Fusion Protein.

Sialic acid (SA) is crucial for protecting glycoproteins from clearance. Efmarodocokin alfa (IL-22Fc), a fusion protein agonist that links IL-22 to the crystallizable fragment (Fc) of human IgG4, contains 8 N-glycosylation sites and exhibits heterogeneous and variable terminal sialylation biodistribution. This presents a unique challenge for Pharmacokinetic (PK) and Pharmacodynamic (PD) analysis and cross-species translation. In this study, we sought to understand how varying SA levels and heterogeneous distribution contribute to IL-22Fc's complex PKPD properties. We initially used homogenous drug material with varying SA levels to examine PKPD in mice. Population PKPD analysis based on mouse data revealed that SA was a critical covariate simultaneously accounting for the substantial between subject variability (BSV) in clearance (CL), distribution clearance (CLd), and volume of distribution (Vd). In addition to the well-established mechanism by which SA inhibits ASGPR activity, we hypothesized a novel mechanism by which decrease in SA increases the drug uptake by endothelial cells. This decrease in SA, leading to more endothelial uptake, was supported by the neonatal Fc receptor (FcRn) dependent cell-based transcytosis assay. The population analysis also suggested in vivo EC50 (IL-22Fc stimulating Reg3ß) was independent on SA, while the in-vitro assay indicated a contradictory finding of SA-in vitro potency relationship. We created a mechanism based mathematical (MBM) PKPD model incorporating the decrease in SA mediated endothelial and hepatic uptake, and successfully characterized the SA influence on IL-22Fc PK, as well as the increased PK exposure being responsible for increased PD. Thereby, the MBM model supported that SA has no direct impact on EC50, aligning with the population PKPD analysis. Subsequently, using the MBM PKPD model, we employed 5 subpopulation simulations to reconstitute the heterogeneity of drug material. The simulation accurately predicted the PKPD of heterogeneously and variably sialylated drug in mouse, monkey and human. The successful prospective validation confirmed the MBM's ability to predict IL-22Fc PK across variable SA levels, homogenous to heterogeneous material, and across species (R2=0.964 for clearance prediction). Our model prediction suggests an average of 1 mol/mol SA increase leads to a 50% increase in drug exposure. This underlines the significance of controlling sialic acid levels during lot-to-lot manufacturing.

Quantifying Health Outcome Disparity in Invasive Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Infection using Fairness Algorithms on Real-World Data.

This study quantifies health outcome disparities in invasive Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections by leveraging a novel artificial intelligence (AI) fairness algorithm, the Fairness-Aware Causal paThs (FACTS) decomposition, and applying it to real-world electronic health record (EHR) data. We spatiotemporally linked 9 years of EHRs from a large healthcare provider in Florida, USA, with contextual social determinants of health (SDoH). We first created a causal structure graph connecting SDoH with individual clinical measurements before/upon diagnosis of invasive MRSA infection, treatments, side effects, and outcomes; then, we applied FACTS to quantify outcome potential disparities of different causal pathways including SDoH, clinical and demographic variables. We found moderate disparity with respect to demographics and SDoH, and all the top ranked pathways that led to outcome disparities in age, gender, race, and income, included comorbidity. Prior kidney impairment, vancomycin use, and timing were associated with racial disparity, while income, rurality, and available healthcare facilities contributed to gender disparity. From an intervention standpoint, our results highlight the necessity of devising policies that consider both clinical factors and SDoH. In conclusion, this work demonstrates a practical utility of fairness AI methods in public health settings.

Optimizing Dynamic Antibiotic Treatment Strategies against Invasive Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Aureus Infections using Causal Survival Forests and G-Formula on Statewide Electronic Health Record Data.

Developing models for individualized, time-varying treatment optimization from observational data with large variable spaces, e.g., electronic health records (EHR), is problematic because of inherent, complex bias that can change over time. Traditional methods such as the g-formula are robust, but must identify critical subsets of variables due to combinatorial issues. Machine learning approaches such as causal survival forests have fewer constraints and can provide fine-tuned, individualized counterfactual predictions. In this study, we aimed to optimize time-varying antibiotic treatment -identifying treatment heterogeneity and conditional treatment effects- against invasive methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus Aureus (MRSA) infections, using statewide EHR data collected in Florida, USA. While many previous studies focused on measuring the effects of the first empiric treatment (i.e., usually vancomycin), our study focuses on dynamic sequential treatment changes, comparing possible vancomycin switches with other antibiotics at clinically relevant time points, e.g., after obtaining a bacterial culture and susceptibility testing. Our study population included adult individuals admitted to the hospital with invasive MRSA. We collected demographic, clinical, medication, and laboratory information from the EHR for these patients. Then, we followed three sequential antibiotic choices (i.e., their empiric treatment, subsequent directed treatment, and final sustaining treatment), evaluating 30-day mortality as the outcome. We applied both causal survival forests and g-formula using different clinical intervention policies. We found that switching from vancomycin to another antibiotic improved survival probability, yet there was a benefit from initiating vancomycin compared to not using it at any time point. These findings show consistency with the empiric choice of vancomycin before confirmation of MRSA and shed light on how to manage switches on course. In conclusion, this application of causal machine learning on EHR demonstrates utility in modeling dynamic, heterogeneous treatment effects that cannot be evaluated precisely using randomized clinical trials.

Evaluating the perceptions of pesticide use, safety, and regulation and identifying common pesticide-related topics on Twitter.

Synthetic pesticides are important agricultural tools that increase crop yield and help feed the world's growing population. These products are also highly regulated to balance benefits and potential environmental and human risks. Public perception of pesticide use, safety, and regulation is an important topic necessitating discussion across a variety of stakeholders from lay consumers to regulatory agencies since attitudes toward this subject could differ markedly. Individuals and organizations can perceive the same message(s) about pesticides differently due to prior differences in technical knowledge, perceptions, attitudes, and individual or group circumstances. Social media platforms, like Twitter, include both individuals and organizations and function as a townhall where each group promotes their topics of interest, shares their perspectives, and engages in both well-informed and misinformed discussions. We analyzed public Twitter posts about pesticides by user group, time, and location to understand their communication behaviors, including their sentiments and discussion topics, using machine learning-based text analysis methods. We extracted tweets related to pesticides between 2013 and 2021 based on relevant keywords developed through a "snowball" sampling process. Each tweet was grouped into individual versus organizational groups, then further categorized into media, government, industry, academia, and three types of nongovernmental organizations. We compared topic distributions within and between those groups using topic modeling and then applied sentiment analysis to understand the public's attitudes toward pesticide safety and regulation. Individual accounts expressed concerns about health and environmental risks, while industry and government accounts focused on agricultural usage and regulations. Public perceptions are heavily skewed toward negative sentiments, although this varies geographically. Our findings can help managers and decision-makers understand public sentiments, priorities, and perceptions and provide insights into public discourse on pesticides. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2023;19:1581-1599. © 2023 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).

Persistence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Omicron Variant in Children and Utility of Rapid Antigen Testing as an Indicator of Culturable Virus.

We screened 65 longitudinally collected nasal swab samples from 31 children aged 0-16 years who were positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Omicron BA.1. By day 7 after onset of symptoms, 48% of children remained positive by rapid antigen test. In a sample subset, we found 100% correlation between antigen test results and virus culture.

Development of a Prediction Model for Antibiotic-Resistant Urinary Tract Infections Using Integrated Electronic Health Records from Multiple Clinics in North-Central Florida.

INTRODUCTION: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) are common infections for which initial antibiotic treatment decisions are empirically based, often without antibiotic susceptibility testing to evaluate resistance, increasing the risk of inappropriate therapy. We hypothesized that models based on electronic health records (EHR) could assist in the identification of patients at higher risk for antibiotic-resistant UTIs and help guide the selection of antimicrobials in hospital and clinic settings. METHODS: EHR from multiple centers in North-Central Florida, including patient demographics, previous diagnoses, prescriptions, and antibiotic susceptibility tests, were obtained for 9990 patients diagnosed with a UTI during 2011-2019. Decision trees, boosted logistic regression (BLR), and random forest models were developed to predict resistance to common antibiotics used for UTI management [sulfamethoxazole-trimethoprim (SXT), nitrofurantoin (NIT), ciprofloxacin (CIP)] and multidrug resistance (MDR). RESULTS: There were 6307 (63.1%) individuals with a UTI caused by a resistant microorganism. Overall, the population was majority female, white, non-Hispanic, and older aged (mean = 60.7 years). The BLR models yielded the highest discriminative ability, as measured by the out-of-bag area under the receiver-operating curve (AUROC), for the resistance outcomes [AUROC = 0.58 (SXT), 0.62 (NIT), 0.64 (CIP), and 0.66 (MDR)]. Variables in the best performing model were sex, history of UTIs, catheterization, renal disease, dementia, hemiplegia/paraplegia, and hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: The discriminative ability of the prediction models was moderate. Nonetheless, these models based solely on EHR demonstrate utility for the identification of patients at higher risk for resistant infections. These models, in turn, may help guide clinical decision-making on the ordering of urine cultures and decisions regarding empiric therapy for these patients.

Moving from predicting hospital deaths by antibiotic-resistant bloodstream bacteremia toward actionable risk reduction using machine learning on electronic health records.

Drug-resistant bacterial infections are a global health concern with high mortality and limited treatment options. Several clinical risk-severity scores are available, e.g. qPitt, but their predictive performance is moderate. Here, we leveraged machine learning and electronic health records (EHRs) to improve prediction of mortality due to bloodstream infection with Klebsiella pneumoniae. We tested the qPitt score and new EHR variables (either expert-chosen or the full set of diagnostic codes), fitting LASSO, boosted logistic regression (BLR), support vector machines, decision trees, and random forests. The qPitt score showed moderate discriminative ability (AUROC=0.63), whilst machine learning models significantly improved its performance (best AUROC by BLR 0.80 for expert-chosen and 0.88 for full code set). Similar results were obtained in critically ill patients, and when excluding potential non-causal variables to evaluate an actionable model. In conclusion, current risk scores for bacteremia mortality can be improved and, with opportune causal modelling, considered for deployment in clinical decision-making.

The Diagnostic Performance of Early Sjögren's Syndrome Autoantibodies in Juvenile Sjögren's Syndrome: The University of Florida Pediatric Cohort Study.

Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical validity of early Sjögren's syndrome (SS) autoantibodies (eSjA), which were originally marketed for early diagnosis of SS, for juvenile SS (JSS) in a recently identified pediatric cohort. Methods: A total of 105 symptomatic subjects with eSjA results available were evaluated at the Center for Orphaned Autoimmune Disorders at the University of Florida and enrolled for this study. JSS diagnosis was based on the 2016 ACR/EULAR SS criteria. Demographic/clinical/laboratory parameters were compared between JSS (n = 27) and non-JSS (n = 78) for % positivity, sensitivity, and specificity of eSjA (SP1, anti-salivary protein; CA6, anti-carbonic anhydrase VI; PSP, anti-parotid secretory protein) and classic SS-autoantibodies (cSjA; ANA, SSA/SSB, RF, and others) either alone or in combination. Associations between eSjA and diagnostic/glandular parameters were also determined by Fisher's exact test. Results: Compared to non-JSS, JSS patients exhibited sicca symptoms demonstrating reduced unstimulated salivary flow rate (USFR) and abnormal glandular features revealed by salivary gland ultrasound (SGUS). Among cSjA, ANA demonstrated the highest sensitivity of 69.2%, while SSA, SSB, and RF showed around 95% specificities for JSS diagnosis. The % positive-SSA was notably higher in JSS than non-JSS (56% vs. 5%). Of eSjA, anti-CA6 IgG was the most prevalent without differentiating JSS (37%) from non-JSS (32%). Sensitivity and specificity of eSjA were 55.6 and 26.9%, respectively. Autoantibodies with potentially applicable specificity/sensitivity for JSS were seen only in cSjA without a single eSjA included. There were no associations detected between eSjA and focus score (FS), USFR, SSA, SGUS, and parotitis/glandular swelling analyzed in the entire cohort, JSS, and non-JSS. However, a negative association between anti-PSP and parotitis/glandular swelling was found in a small group of positive-SSA (n = 19, p = 0.02) whereas no such association was found between anti-PSP-positive compared to anti-PSP-negative. JSS and non-JSS groups differed in FS, USFR, and EULAR SS Patient Reported Index Dryness/Mean in CA6/PSP/ANA, SP1, and SSA-positive groups, respectively. Additionally, a higher FS was found in RF-positive than RF-negative individuals. Conclusions: eSjA underperformed cSjS in differentiating JSS from non-JSS. The discovery of clinical impact of eSjA on early diagnosis of JSS necessitates a longitudinal study.

Challenges in replicating secondary analysis of electronic health records data with multiple computable phenotypes: A case study on methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteremia infections.

BACKGROUND: Replication of prediction modeling using electronic health records (EHR) is challenging because of the necessity to compute phenotypes including study cohort, outcomes, and covariates. However, some phenotypes may not be easily replicated across EHR data sources due to a variety of reasons such as the lack of gold standard definitions and documentation variations across systems, which may lead to measurement error and potential bias. Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections are responsible for high mortality worldwide. With limited treatment options for the infection, the ability to predict MRSA outcome is of interest. However, replicating these MRSA outcome prediction models using EHR data is problematic due to the lack of well-defined computable phenotypes for many of the predictors as well as study inclusion and outcome criteria. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to evaluate a prediction model for 30-day mortality after MRSA bacteremia infection diagnosis with reduced vancomycin susceptibility (MRSA-RVS) considering multiple computable phenotypes using EHR data. METHODS: We used EHR data from a large academic health center in the United States to replicate the original study conducted in Taiwan. We derived multiple computable phenotypes of risk factors and predictors used in the original study, reported stratified descriptive statistics, and assessed the performance of the prediction model. RESULTS: In our replication study, it was possible to (re)compute most of the original variables. Nevertheless, for certain variables, their computable phenotypes can only be approximated by proxy with structured EHR data items, especially the composite clinical indices such as the Pitt bacteremia score. Even computable phenotype for the outcome variable was subject to variation on the basis of the admission/discharge windows. The replicated prediction model exhibited only a mild discriminatory ability. CONCLUSION: Despite the rich information in EHR data, replication of prediction models involving complex predictors is still challenging, often due to the limited availability of validated computable phenotypes. On the other hand, it is often possible to derive proxy computable phenotypes that can be further validated and calibrated.

Multi-block Analysis of Genomic Data Using Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis.

Recently, there have been many studies in medicine related to genetic analysis. Many genetic studies have been studied to find genes associated with complex diseases. To find out how genes are related to disease, we need to understand not only the simple relationship of genotypes but also the way they are related to phenotype. Multi-block data, which is summation form of variable sets, is used for enhancing analysis of different block's relationship. By identifying relationships through multi-block data form, we can understand the association between the blocks is effective in understanding the correlation between them. Several statistical analysis methods have been developed to understand the relationship between multi-block data. In this paper, we will use generalized canonical correlation methodology to analyze multi-block data from Korean Association Resource (KARE) project which has combination of the SNP blocks, phenotype blocks, and disease block.