Utility of Three Prognostic Risk Scores in Predicting Outcomes in Elderly Non-Malignant Patients after Percutaneous Gastrostomy.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy is a method of providing enteral feeding to patients who cannot take adequate oral nutrition. The aims of this study were to determine the performance of malnutrition and mortality scoring systems for predicting short and long-term mortality in elderly patients who had undergone gastrostomy procedure due to non-malignant conditions. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: University hospital in Turkey. PARTICIPANTS: 155 individuals aged 65 and older principally hospitalized for non-malignant diseases and require percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy. MEASUREMENTS: "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index", "Malnutrition Universal Screening Tool" (MUST) and "Portsmouth-Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity" (P-POSSUM) scores were calculated. The ability of these scores to predict mortality was determined. RESULTS: The mean survival period was 9.59±6.0 months and mortality rate was 80.6%. The performance of "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index" was superior to MUST and P-POSSUM in predicting long-term survival of gastrostomy patients; 94.1% of patients were alive with a cut-off value of 90 for "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index" (sensitivity: 92% CI 85.9-95.6 and specificity: 90% CI 74.3-96.5). Survival analysis showed that patients (n=7) with a "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index" score of > 98 before the gastrostomy had the longest survival time, while patients (n=102) with a "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index" score of < 82 had the worst outcome. CONCLUSIONS: A scoring system such as "Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index" should be considered as a risk scoring system for predicting early and late mortality at gastrostomy and also assist in making decisions such as timing of gastrostomy procedure.

The association between gastroesophageal flap valve function and gastroesophageal reflux symptoms.

BACKGROUND AND STUDY AIMS: Upper gastrointestinal endoscopic examination is usually the first step in the evaluation of patients with suspected gastroesopageal reflux disease. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the association between gastroesophageal flap valve function (GEFV) and gastroesophapgeal reflux symptoms in patients undergoing routine upper endoscopy. Patients and methods: 1507 patients were included into the study and the GEFV graded I to IV as follows: Hill I-II: normal GEFV, and Hill III-IV: abnormal GEFV. RESULTS: Patients in abnormal GEFV group had a higher incidence of reflux symptoms compared to normal GEFV group (53.4% vs 47.4% for heartburn p=0.03 and 53.2% vs 42.4% for regurgitation, p<0.01). In abnormal GEFV patients, esophagitis was more common compared to those with normal GEFV (32.6% vs 11.1%, p<0.01). Presence of heartburn and regurgitation (n =556) correlated with Hill III-IV grades (n = 184/556), (sensitivity: 33%, p = 0.003). In contrast, 24.6% (157/638) of patients without reflux symptoms were in abnormal GEFV group. In patients undergoing endoscopy because of reflux symptoms, Grade III-IV valve was detected more commonly in patients with reflux symptoms compared to patients without reflux symptoms (p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with abnormal valves (Hill grades III and IV) but without reflux symptoms, esophagitis and hiatal hernia should be evaluated individually by means of the presence of gastroesophageal reflux disease which means that GEFV is not a good indicator of reflux disease.

An investigation on plasma progesterone levels during pregnancy and at parturition in the Ivesi sheep.

In this study, plasma progesterone concentrations in a total of 45 Ivesi sheep were investigated during pregnancy and at parturition. Blood samples were collected from all the sheep studied every 20 days commencing on the 30th day of pregnancy. Plasma progesterone levels were determined by radioimmunoassay. During the second half of the pregnancy, progesterone concentrations in the sheep giving birth to one, two and three lambs were 2.02 +/- 0.08 ng/ml, 3.24 +/- 1.18 ng/ml and 4.90 +/- 0.85 ng/ml, respectively. There was no significant variation in progesterone levels between sheep with male and female offspring. At parturition, plasma progesterone concentrations did not differ significantly between the animals. The present results indicate that plasma progesterone levels could be used not only to determine the pregnancy status of the animal but also to predict the number of fetuses after the second half of the pregnancy.