RESUMO
Background: Exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (ECOPD) significantly impact health status, hospitalization rates, and disease progression, and are linked to increased mortality. Predictive factors for ECOPD are therefore of considerable interest. The limited understanding of interleukin 16 (IL-16) and IL-25 role in ECOPD provided the rationale for this study. Methods: Fifty ex-smokers diagnosed with COPD (22 ECOPD and 28 patients in the stable phase of the disease) underwent prospective analysis to evaluate the role of I IL-25 as predictive markers of clinical outcomes in ECOPD. Results: We observed a significantly lower IL-16 and higher IL-25 concentrations among ECOPD patients (p = 0.002 and p = 0.01 respectively). We also detected a significant negative correlation between IL-16 and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (p = 0.04) and a significant negative correlation between IL-25 concentration and absolute eosinophil count (p = 0.04). In the entire group, we observed a positive correlation between IL-16 and both FEV1 and FVC, both expressed as a percentage of reference value, (p = 0.002 and p = 0.0004 respectively). However, after stratification to ECOPD and stable COPD group, significance maintained for FVC (p = 0.045 for ECOPD and p = 0.02 for stable COPD). In survival analysis, we detected significantly lower all-cause mortality for 3rd tertile of IL-16 concentrations, with a hazard ratio of 0.33 (95%CI: 0.11-0.98; p = 0.04). Conclusions: Lower IL-16 levels among ECOPD patients may indicate a feedback mechanism linked to heightened Th1 response activation. Observed correlations with ventilatory parameters and survival also seems to reflect this mechanism. The higher IL-25 concentrations observed in ECOPD patients, along with the negative correlation with absolute eosinophil count and eosinopenia, suggest multifactorial regulation and independent functions of eosinophils and IL-25. Hypothetically, this paradox may be related to the Th1/Th2 imbalance favoring Th1 response. Obtained results should be reproduced in larger size samples.
RESUMO
Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (AECOPDs) are one of the most important clinical aspects of the disease, and when requiring hospital admission, they significantly contribute to mortality among COPD patients. Our aim was to assess the role of eosinopenia and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count (NLR) as markers of in-hospital mortality and length of hospitalization (LoH) among patients with ECOPD requiring hospitalization. We included 275 patients. Eosinopenia was associated with in-hospital deaths only when coexisted with lymphocytopenia, with the specificity of 84.4% (95% CI 79.6-88.6%) and the sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 35.9-100%). Also, survivors presented longer LoH (P < 0.0001). NLR ≥ 13.2 predicted in-hospital death with the sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 35.9-100%) and specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 88.8-95.4%), however, comparison of LoH among survivors did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.05). Additionally, when we assessed the presence of coexistence of eosinopenia and lymphocytopenia first, and then apply NLR, sensitivity and specificity in prediction of in-hospital death was 100% (95% CI 35.9-100) and 93.7% (95% CI 90.1-96.3), respectively. Moreover, among survivors, the occurrence of such pattern was associated with significantly longer LoH: 11 (7-14) vs 7 (5-10) days (P = 0.01). The best profile of sensitivity and specificity in the prediction of in-hospital mortality in ECOPD can be obtained by combined analysis of coexistence of eosinopenia and lymphocytopenia with elevated NLR. The occurrence of a such pattern is also associated with significantly longer LoH among survivors.