Employing machine learning to enhance fracture recovery insights through gait analysis.

This study aimed to explore the potential of gait analysis coupled with supervised machine learning models as a predictive tool for assessing post-injury complications such as infection, malunion, or hardware irritation among individuals with lower extremity fractures. We prospectively identified participants with lower extremity fractures at a tertiary academic center. These participants underwent gait analysis with a chest-mounted inertial measurement unit device. Using customized software, the raw gait data were preprocessed, emphasizing 12 essential gait variables. The data were standardized, and several machine learning models, including XGBoost, logistic regression, support vector machine, LightGBM, and Random Forest, were trained, tested, and evaluated. Special attention was given to class imbalance, addressed using the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE). Additionally, we introduced a novel methodology to compute the post-injury recovery rate for gait variables, which operates independently of the time difference between the gait analyses of different participants. XGBoost was identified as the optimal model both before and after the application of SMOTE. Before using SMOTE, the model achieved an average test area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.90, with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of [0.79, 1.00], and an average test accuracy of 86%, with a 95% CI of [75%, 97%]. Through feature importance analysis, a pivotal role was attributed to the duration between the occurrence of the injury and the initial gait analysis. Data patterns over time revealed early aggressive physiological compensations, followed by stabilization phases, underscoring the importance of prompt gait analysis. χ2 analysis indicated a statistically significant higher readmission rate among participants with underlying medical conditions (p = 0.04). Although the complication rate was also higher in this group, the association did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.06), suggesting a more pronounced impact of medical conditions on readmission rates rather than on complications. This study highlights the transformative potential of integrating advanced machine learning techniques like XGBoost with gait analysis for orthopedic care. The findings underscore a shift toward a data-informed, proactive approach in orthopedics, enhancing patient outcomes through early detection and intervention. The χ2 analysis added crucial insights into the broader clinical implications, advocating for a comprehensive treatment strategy that accounts for the patient's overall health profile. The research paves the way for personalized, predictive medical care in orthopedics, emphasizing the importance of timely and tailored patient assessments.

Do Transtibial Amputations Outperform Amputations of the Hind- and Midfoot Following Severe Limb Trauma?: A Secondary Analysis of the OUTLET Study.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to compare 18-month clinical and patient-reported outcomes between patients with severe lower-limb injuries treated with a transtibial amputation or a hind- or midfoot amputation. Despite the theoretical benefits of hind- and midfoot-level amputation, we hypothesized that patients with transtibial amputations would report better function and have fewer complications. METHODS: The study included patients 18 to 60 years of age who were treated with a transtibial amputation (n = 77) or a distal amputation (n = 17) and who were enrolled in the prospective, multicenter Outcomes Following Severe Distal Tibial, Ankle, and/or Foot Trauma (OUTLET) study. The primary outcome was the difference in Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment (SMFA) scores, and secondary outcomes included pain, complications, amputation revision, and amputation healing. RESULTS: There were no significant differences between patients with distal versus transtibial amputation in any of the domains of the SMFA: dysfunction index [distal versus transtibial], 31.2 versus 22.3 (p = 0.13); daily activities, 37.3 versus 26.0 (p = 0.17); emotional status, 41.4 versus 29.3 (p = 0.07); mobility, 36.5 versus 27.8 (p = 0.20); and bother index, 34.4 versus 23.6 (p = 0.14). Rates of complications requiring revision were higher for distal amputations but not significantly so (23.5% versus 13.3%; p = 0.28). One distal and no transtibial amputees required revision to a higher level (p = 0.18). A higher proportion of patients with distal compared with transtibial amputation required local surgical revision (17.7% versus 13.3%; p = 0.69). There was no significant difference between the distal and transtibial groups in scores on the Brief Pain Index at 18 months post-injury. CONCLUSIONS: Surgical complication rates did not differ significantly between patients who underwent transtibial versus hind- or midfoot amputation for severe lower-extremity injury. The average SMFA scores were higher (worse), although not significantly different, for patients undergoing distal compared with transtibial amputation, and more patients with distal amputation had a complication requiring surgical revision. Of note, more patients with distal amputation required closure with an atypical flap, which likely contributed to less favorable outcomes. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level III . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Effect of Aspirin Versus Low-Molecular-Weight Heparin Thromboprophylaxis on Medication Satisfaction and Out-of-Pocket Costs: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

BACKGROUND: Current guidelines recommend low-molecular-weight heparin for thromboprophylaxis after orthopaedic trauma. However, recent evidence suggests that aspirin is similar in efficacy and safety. To understand patients' experiences with these medications, we compared patients' satisfaction and out-of-pocket costs after thromboprophylaxis with aspirin versus low-molecular-weight heparin. METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of the PREVENTion of CLots in Orthopaedic Trauma (PREVENT CLOT) trial, conducted at 21 trauma centers in the U.S. and Canada. We included adult patients with an operatively treated extremity fracture or a pelvic or acetabular fracture. Patients were randomly assigned to receive 30 mg of low-molecular-weight heparin (enoxaparin) twice daily or 81 mg of aspirin twice daily for thromboprophylaxis. The duration of the thromboprophylaxis, including post-discharge prescription, was based on hospital protocols. The study outcomes included patient satisfaction with and out-of-pocket costs for their thromboprophylactic medication measured on ordinal scales. RESULTS: The trial enrolled 12,211 patients (mean age and standard deviation [SD], 45 ± 18 years; 62% male), 9725 of whom completed the question regarding their satisfaction with the medication and 6723 of whom reported their out-of-pocket costs. The odds of greater satisfaction were 2.6 times higher for patients assigned to aspirin than those assigned to low-molecular-weight heparin (odds ratio [OR]: 2.59; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.39 to 2.80; p < 0.001). Overall, the odds of incurring any out-of-pocket costs for thromboprophylaxis medication were 51% higher for patients assigned to aspirin compared with low-molecular-weight heparin (OR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.37 to 1.66; p < 0.001). However, patients assigned to aspirin had substantially lower odds of out-of-pocket costs of at least $25 (OR: 0.15; 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.18; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Use of aspirin substantially improved patients' satisfaction with their medication after orthopaedic trauma. While aspirin use increased the odds of incurring any out-of-pocket costs, it protected against costs of ≥$25, potentially improving health equity for thromboprophylaxis. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level II . See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

How Many Patients Do We Need? Predictors of Consent to Participate in Clinical Research Studies in Orthopaedic Trauma.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize the recruitment rates at a Level I trauma center enroling for multiple prospective orthopaedic trauma research studies and identify patient-related and study-related predictors of consent. DESIGN: We conducted a case-control study to identify predictors of study consent. The authors categorized studies based on intensity of the study intervention (low, intermediate, or high). A 2-level generalized linear model with random intercept for study was used to predict study consent. SETTING: This analysis includes data from 10 federally funded studies conducted as part of a large, national consortium that were enroling patients in 2013-2014. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Three hundred thirty-four patients were approached for at least 1 study and included in the analysis. INTERVENTION: N/A. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Consent to participate in the research study. RESULTS: A total of 315 patients consented to be in a study (71% of approached patients). Consent rate varied by study (45%-95%). No patient characteristics (race, age, or sex) were associated with consent. Patients approached for studies of intermediate intensity were 83% less likely to consent (odds ratio = 0.17; 95% confidence interval: 0.04-0.67), and those approached for studies of high intensity were 91% less likely to consent (odds ratio = 0.09; 95% confidence interval: 0.03-0.32). CONCLUSION: Patient factors were not associated with consent. Study intensity is a major driver of consent rates. Studies of higher intensity will require the study team to approach up to twice as many patients as the target enrolment. This study provides a framework that can be used in study planning and determination of feasibility.

A Randomized Trial of Preoperative Practice in a Simulated Operative Environment: 3D Printed Pilon Model Improves Resident Performance.

This study assessed the effect of preoperative planning using a 3D-printed periarticular fracture model on operative performance. A complex pilon fracture was 3D-printed, and a preoperative plan was developed. Orthopaedic surgery residents (n = 20) were randomized into two groups. Group 1 performed routine preoperative planning, while Group 2 was also practiced using a 3D-printed construct before performing fixation of the 3D-printed model. Resident performance was assessed using a video motion capture system and evaluated by blinded reviewers. Three residents (3D group) completed fixation within the allotted 45 minutes. The 3D group had less hand distance traveled for step 1 (89 m vs. 162 m, p = 0.04). The 3D group had better performance on three of the four components and more acceptable reductions (6 vs. 0, p = 0.009). Average global rating scale was higher in the 3D group (3.0 vs. 1.7, p = 0.0095). Use of 3D-printed models for preoperative planning improved resident performance. (Journal of Surgical Orthopaedic Advances 31(3):187-192, 2022).

Cognitive-Behavioral-Based Physical Therapy for Improving Recovery After Traumatic Orthopaedic Lower Extremity Injury (CBPT-Trauma).

SUMMARY: Physical and psychological impairment resulting from traumatic injuries is often significant and affects employment and functional independence. Extremity trauma has been shown to negatively affect long-term self-reported physical function, the ability to work, and participation in recreational activities and contributes to increased rates of anxiety and/or depression. High pain levels early in the recovery process and psychosocial factors play a prominent role in recovery after traumatic lower extremity injury. Cognitive-behavioral therapy pain programs have been shown to mitigate these effects. However, patient access issues related to financial and transportation constraints and the competing demands of treatment focused on the physical sequelae of traumatic injury limit patient participation in this treatment modality. This article describes a telephone-delivered cognitive-behavioral-based physical therapy (CBPT-Trauma) program and design of a multicenter trial to determine its effectiveness after lower extremity trauma. Three hundred twenty-five patients from 7 Level 1 trauma centers were randomized to CBPT-Trauma or an education program after hospital discharge. The primary hypothesis is that compared with patients who receive an education program, patients who receive the CBPT-Trauma program will have improved physical function, pain, and physical and mental health at 12 months after hospital discharge.

Defining Incidence of Acute Compartment Syndrome in the Research Setting: A Proposed Method From the PACS Study.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the retrospective decision of an expert panel who assessed likelihood of acute compartment syndrome (ACS) in a patient with a high-risk tibia fracture with decision to perform fasciotomy. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Seven Level 1 trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: One hundred eighty-two adults with severe tibia fractures. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Diagnostic performance (sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and receiver-operator curve) of an expert panel's assessment of likelihood ACS compared with fasciotomy as the reference diagnostic standard. SECONDARY OUTCOMES: The interrater reliability of the expert panel as measured by the Krippendorff alpha. Expert panel consensus was determined using the percent of panelists in the majority group of low (expert panel likelihood of ≤0.3), uncertain (0.3-0.7), or high (>0.7) likelihood of ACS. RESULTS: Comparing fasciotomy (the diagnostic standard) and the expert panel's assessment as the diagnostic classification (test), the expert panel's determination of uncertain or high likelihood of ACS (threshold >0.3) had a sensitivity of 0.90 (0.70, 0.99), specificity of 0.95 (0.90, 0.98), PPV of 0.70 (0.50, 0.86), and NPV of 0.99 (0.95, 1.00). When a threshold of >0.7 was set as a positive diagnosis, the expert panel assessment had a sensitivity of 0.67 (0.43, 0.85), specificity of 0.98 (0.95, 1.00), PPV of 0.82 (0.57, 0.96), and NPV of 0.96 (0.91, 0.98). CONCLUSION: In our study, the retrospective assessment of an expert panel of the likelihood of ACS has good specificity and excellent NPV for fasciotomy, but only low-to-moderate sensitivity and PPV. The discordance between the expert panel-assessed likelihood of ACS and the decision to perform fasciotomy suggests that concern regarding potential diagnostic bias in studies of ACS is warranted. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Level I. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Effect of Intrawound Vancomycin Powder in Operatively Treated High-risk Tibia Fractures: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Despite the widespread use of systemic antibiotics to prevent infections in surgically treated patients with fracture, high rates of surgical site infection persist. Objective: To examine the effect of intrawound vancomycin powder in reducing deep surgical site infections. Design, Setting, and Participants: This open-label randomized clinical trial enrolled adult patients with an operatively treated tibial plateau or pilon fracture who met the criteria for a high risk of infection from January 1, 2015, through June 30, 2017, with 12 months of follow-up (final follow-up assessments completed in April 2018) at 36 US trauma centers. Interventions: A standard infection prevention protocol with (n = 481) or without (n = 499) 1000 mg of intrawound vancomycin powder. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was a deep surgical site infection within 182 days of definitive fracture fixation. A post hoc comparison assessed the treatment effect on gram-positive and gram-negative-only infections. Other secondary outcomes included superficial surgical site infection, nonunion, and wound dehiscence. Results: The analysis included 980 patients (mean [SD] age, 45.7 [13.7] years; 617 [63.0%] male) with 91% of the expected person-time of follow-up for the primary outcome. Within 182 days, deep surgical site infection was observed in 29 of 481 patients in the treatment group and 46 of 499 patients in the control group. The time-to-event estimated probability of deep infection by 182 days was 6.4% in the treatment group and 9.8% in the control group (risk difference, -3.4%; 95% CI, -6.9% to 0.1%; P = .06). A post hoc analysis of the effect of treatment on gram-positive (risk difference, -3.7%; 95% CI, -6.7% to -0.8%; P = .02) and gram-negative-only (risk difference, 0.3%; 95% CI, -1.6% to 2.1%; P = .78) infections found that the effect of vancomycin powder was a result of its reduction in gram-positive infections. Conclusions and Relevance: Among patients with operatively treated tibial articular fractures at a high risk of infection, intrawound vancomycin powder at the time of definitive fracture fixation reduced the risk of a gram-positive deep surgical site infection, consistent with the activity of vancomycin. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02227446.

Quality and Content of Internet-Based Information for Osteoporosis and Fragility Fracture Diagnoses.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to assess the quality and content of websites addressing orthopaedic conditions affecting older adults, emphasizing osteoporosis and fragility fracture. METHODS: Ten diagnoses were chosen. The transparency of information was assessed via the Health On the Net (HON) score; information content was assessed via diagnosis-specific grading templates. A total of 140 websites (14 per diagnosis) were reviewed by three raters. HON scores and information quality were compared by diagnosis, website type, and website source. The correlation between HON score and information quality score was calculated. RESULTS: Most websites were commercial (59.3%). Cronbach alpha for Hall scores exceeded the a priori threshold of 0.7. Analysis proceeded using averages across raters. HON score was significantly associated with higher content scores (r = 0.56; P < 0.0001). Content scores ranged from 21.1 to 59.4. Content scores differed significantly by diagnosis (P = 0.0008) and website source (P < 0.0001). DISCUSSION: The quality and content of websites is highly variable for osteoporosis and fragility fracture diagnoses. Patients should be encouraged to access reputable sites, including sites displaying a HON seal. Academic and medical specialty societies demonstrate opportunity for improvement of their own websites and might be able to lead efforts to increase accessibility of high-quality content.

Clinical Practice Guidelines on Ordering Echocardiography Before Hip Fracture Repair Perform Differently from One Another.

BACKGROUND: Osteoporotic hip fractures typically occur in frail elderly patients with multiple comorbidities, and repair of the fracture within 48 h is recommended. Pre-operative evaluation sometimes involves transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) to screen for heart disease that would alter peri-operative management, yet TTE can delay surgery and is resource intensive. Evidence suggests that the use of clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) can improve care. It is unclear which guidelines are most useful in hip fracture patients. QUESTIONS/PURPOSES: We sought to evaluate the performance of the five commonly used CPGs in determining which patients with acute fragility hip fracture require TTE and to identify common features among high-performing CPGs that could be incorporated into care pathways. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of medical records taken from an institutional database of osteoporotic hip fracture patients to identify those who underwent pre-operative TTE. History and physical examination findings were recorded; listed indications for TTE were compared against those given in five commonly used CPGs: those from the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA), the British Society of Echocardiography (BSE), the European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Anaesthesiology(ESC/ESA), the Association of Anaesthetists of Great Britain and Ireland (AAGBI), and the Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (SIGN). We then calculated the performance (sensitivity and specificity) of the CPGs in identifying patients with TTE results that had the potential to change peri-operative management. RESULTS: We identified 100 patients who underwent pre-operative TTE. Among those, the patients met criteria for TTE 32 to 66% of the time, depending on the CPG used. In 14% of those receiving TTE, the test revealed new information with the potential to change management. The sensitivity of the CPGs ranged from 71% (ESC/ESA and AAGBI) to 100% (ACC/AHA and SIGN). The CPGs' specificity ranged from 37% (BSE) to 74% (ESC/ESA). The more sensitive guidelines focused on a change in clinical status in patients with known disease or clinical concern regarding new-onset disease. CONCLUSIONS: In patients requiring fixation of osteoporotic hip fractures, TTE can be useful for identifying pathologies that could directly change peri-operative management. Our data suggest that established CPGs can be safely used to identify which patients should undergo pre-operative TTE with low risk of missed pathology.

Perfusion Pressure Lacks Diagnostic Specificity for the Diagnosis of Acute Compartment Syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of perfusion pressure (PP) thresholds for fasciotomy. DESIGN: Prospective observational study. SETTING: Seven Level-1 trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: One hundred fifty adults with severe leg injuries and ≥2 hours of continuous PP data who had been enrolled in a multicenter observational trial designed to develop a clinical prediction rule for acute compartment syndrome (ACS). MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: For each patient, a given PP criterion was positive if it was below the specified threshold for at least 2 consecutive hours. The diagnostic performance of PP thresholds between 10 and 30 mm Hg was determined using 2 reference standards for comparison: (1) the likelihood of ACS as determined by an expert panel who reviewed each patient's data portfolio or (2) whether the patient underwent fasciotomy. RESULTS: Using the likelihood of ACS as the diagnostic standard (ACS considered present if median likelihood ≥70%, absent if <30%), a PP threshold of 30 mm Hg had diagnostic sensitivity 0.83, specificity 0.53, positive predictive value 0.07, and negative predictive value 0.99. Results were insensitive to more strict likelihood categorizations and were similar for other PP thresholds between 10- and 25-mm Hg. Using fasciotomy as the reference standard, the same PP threshold had diagnostic sensitivity 0.50, specificity 0.50, positive predictive value 0.04, negative predictive value 0.96. CONCLUSION: No value of PP from 10 to 30 mm Hg had acceptable diagnostic performance, regardless of which reference diagnostic standard was used. These data question current practice of diagnosing ACS based on PP and suggest the need for further research. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Level I. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Acute Distal Femoral Replacement for Fractures About the Knee in the Elderly.

Distal femoral replacement (DFR) is a reasonable treatment option when used for select indications. In the setting of comminuted intra-articular distal femoral fractures, distal femoral arthroplasty should be considered in low-demand patients with poor bone quality. This article summarizes the existing literature plus the authors' personal experience with DFR use for distal femoral fractures of the native knee.

Outcomes in the Treatment of Femur Fractures in Patients with Pre-Existing Spinal Cord Injury.

INTRODUCTION: Spinal cord injured patients have an estimated 25% to 34% lifetime incidence of sustaining an extremity fracture. The objective of this study is to describe the outcomes of femur fractures treated in patients with pre-existing spinal cord injury (SCI) and lower extremity paraplegia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An IRB approved retrospective review of patients 18 years of age and older who sustained a femur fracture a minimum of 2 years following spinal cord injury and received treatment at a regional academic level 1 trauma center over a 10-year period was performed. Patients were divided into two groups based on whether they received operative or nonoperative management of the femoral shaft fracture. The primary outcome assessed was re-operation. Additional outcomes including union, infection, implant failure, and mortality were recorded. RESULTS: Twenty-one patients sustaining a total of 25 femur fractures were identified. The most common mechanism of injury was fall during transfer. Sixteen fractures were treated non-operatively and nine were treated operatively. At a mean of 4.1 years of follow-up (range: 1.1 to 12.1 years) six out of nine (66.7%) patients in the operative group required an unplanned secondary surgery compared to two patients (12.5%) in the non-operative group (p = 0.006). Overall, the rate of fracture union was 48%, and there was no difference seen between treatment groups (56.3% in nonoperative group versus 33.3% in operative group, p = 0.28). Six operative patients (66.7%) developed an infection as compared to one patient (6.3%) in the non-operative group (p = 0.002). Three operative patients (33.3%) had failure of fixation with implant cutout. One patient died within 2 years of fracture in the non-operative group (6.3%) as did one patient in the operative group (11.1%), (p = 1.0). CONCLUSIONS: Surgical treatment of femur fractures in patients with a pre-existing SCI and lower extremity paraplegia had a higher rate of complications than nonoperative management in our series. Based on our experience, we recommend non-operative treatment of femur fractures in patients with pre-existing spinal cord injury and lower extremity paraplegia.

Pre-Hip Fracture Falls: A Missed Opportunity for Intervention.

INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study is to examine utilization of acute care services in the year prior to hip fracture to inform development and implementation of an intervention to prevent subsequent falls and hip fracture that targets high-risk patients. METHODS: Elderly patients (age >55) with hip fractures managed at a level one trauma center during 1 year (n = 134) were included. All "preadmissions," defined as an emergency department (ED) visit or inpatient admission within our hospital system in the year before fall with fracture, were documented. Proportion of patients with a "preadmission," reason for "preadmission," demographic characteristics, medical comorbidities, history of falls with fracture, cause of fracture, and time between preadmission and fracture were documented and described. RESULTS: Of all, 45.5% of patients (n = 61) had a preadmission. Falls was the reason for presentation in 27.5% of the preadmission encounters, and the median interval between preadmission and fracture was 217 days. Only 8% of the patients presenting for falls in the ED received falls counseling. Patients who experienced preadmission were younger, had a higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, and were more likely to be male. Seventy-nine percent were community dwelling at the time of preadmission, and 68% were discharged home. DISCUSSION: Nearly half of hip fracture patients were seen in a high acuity care environment in the year prior to fracture. A quarter presented for falls, supporting previous findings that history of falls is an important risk factor for future falls and injury. However, very few received falls counseling, documenting a major missed opportunity to address falls prevention in the acute care setting. CONCLUSIONS: Preventing subsequent falls and hip fractures in a targeted, high-risk population in the year prior to potential hip fracture has important implications for improving individual morbidity and mortality and population health. Community-based falls prevention programs are a viable option for this high-risk, community-dwelling population. Collaborative interventions are needed to actively link patients to evidence-based community resources.

Association Between 6-Week Postdischarge Risk Classification and 12-Month Outcomes After Orthopedic Trauma.

Importance: Numerous studies have demonstrated that long-term outcomes after orthopedic trauma are associated with psychosocial and behavioral health factors evident early in the patient's recovery. Little is known about how to identify clinically actionable subgroups within this population. Objectives: To examine whether risk and protective factors measured at 6 weeks after injury could classify individuals into risk clusters and evaluate whether these clusters explain variations in 12-month outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective observational study was conducted between July 16, 2013, and January 15, 2016, among 352 patients with severe orthopedic injuries at 6 US level I trauma centers. Statistical analysis was conducted from October 9, 2017, to July 13, 2018. Main Outcomes and Measures: At 6 weeks after discharge, patients completed standardized measures for 5 risk factors (pain intensity, depression, posttraumatic stress disorder, alcohol abuse, and tobacco use) and 4 protective factors (resilience, social support, self-efficacy for return to usual activity, and self-efficacy for managing the financial demands of recovery). Latent class analysis was used to classify participants into clusters, which were evaluated against measures of function, depression, posttraumatic stress disorder, and self-rated health collected at 12 months. Results: Among the 352 patients (121 women and 231 men; mean [SD] age, 37.6 [12.5] years), latent class analysis identified 6 distinct patient clusters as the optimal solution. For clinical use, these clusters can be collapsed into 4 groups, sorted from low risk and high protection (best) to high risk and low protection (worst). All outcomes worsened across the 4 clinical groupings. Bayesian analysis shows that the mean Short Musculoskeletal Function Assessment dysfunction scores at 12 months differed by 7.8 points (95% CI, 3.0-12.6) between the best and second groups, by 10.3 points (95% CI, 1.6-20.2) between the second and third groups, and by 18.4 points (95% CI, 7.7-28.0) between the third and worst groups. Conclusions and Relevance: This study demonstrates that during early recovery, patients with orthopedic trauma can be classified into risk and protective clusters that account for a substantial amount of the variance in 12-month functional and health outcomes. Early screening and classification may allow a personalized approach to postsurgical care that conserves resources and targets appropriate levels of care to more patients.

Mortality After High-Energy Pelvic Fractures in Patients of Age 65 Years or Older.

OBJECTIVES: To document in-hospital and 1-year mortality rates after high-energy pelvic fracture in patients 65 years of age or older as compared to a younger cohort. DESIGN: Retrospective review. SETTING: Urban Level 1 academic trauma center. PATIENTS: Seventy consecutive patients 65 years of age and older treated for pelvic fracture resulting from high-energy mechanism from 2008 to 2011. A total of 140 patients 18-64 years of age were matched to the study population based on mechanism of injury and OTA Code 61 subtype for comparison. INTERVENTION: Review of demographics, injury characteristics, hospital management, and mortality. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Mortality. RESULTS: The overall inpatient mortality rate was 10%. The older cohort exhibited an inpatient mortality rate 3 times higher than the younger cohort (18.6% vs. 5.7%, P = 0.003). There was no difference in mortality 1 year post discharge (5.3% vs. 3.8%, P = 0.699). No significant differences in initial Glasgow Coma Scale or Injury Severity Score were identified (GCS 12.9 vs. 12.4, P = 0.363; ISS 24.7 vs. 23.4, P = 0.479). Multivariate analysis identified the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (P = 0.012) and Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS)-chest (P = 0.005) as independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, and CCI (0.005) and AIS-abdomen (0.012) for 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: After controlling for mechanism of injury and pelvic fracture classification, we found that adults ≥65 and those with multiple comorbidities were more likely to die in the hospital than younger adults. However, mortality within 1-year postdischarge was low and did not differ between groups. This is in sharp contrast to the high rates of postdischarge mortality observed in elderly patients with a hip fracture. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Effect of Tranexamic Acid on Transfusion: A Randomized Clinical Trial in Acetabular Fracture Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: Given the increasing evidence that minimizing blood loss and limiting allogeneic transfusion can improve patient outcome, we are performing a randomized controlled trial of the use of tranexamic acid (TXA) during acetabular fracture surgery. DESIGN: Prospective, multicenter, and randomized. SETTING: Two level I trauma centers. PARTICIPANTS: Eighty-eight patients underwent randomization, with 42 assigned to the TXA group and 46 assigned to the placebo group. INTERVENTION: The use of TXA during acetabular fracture surgery. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was allogeneic blood transfusion. Secondary outcomes consisted of estimate blood loss (EBL) and venous thromboembolism (VTE). RESULTS: The overall transfusion rate was 40.9% (36 of 88), and the average estimated blood loss was 635 mL. There were no significant differences between groups for transfusion incidence, number of units transfused, EBL, or incidence of VTE. There was no difference in transfusion rate for the TXA group (0.097). Transfusion was significantly more likely in cases with low preoperative hemoglobin levels, higher rates of intraoperative blood loss, and longer surgical times. CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant difference in transfusion rate, EBL, or VTE for TXA versus placebo. Any potential benefit seems to be overwhelmed by other factors, specifically preoperative anemia and surgical time, which are highly variable in trauma surgery. These findings do not support the routine use of TXA in the setting of open reduction and internal fixation of acetabular fractures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level I. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Any Cortical Bridging Predicts Healing of Supracondylar Femur Fractures After Treatment With Locked Plating.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the accuracy and reliability of radiographic cortical bridging criteria in predicting the final healing of supracondylar femur fractures after treatment with locked plating. DESIGN: Retrospective review. SETTING: Two Level 1 trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Patients who presented with supracondylar femur fractures (OTA/AO 33A, C) and were treated with locking plate fixation between January 1, 2004, and January 1, 2011. The final study population included 82 fractures after excluding patients with open physes (n = 4), nondisplaced fractures (n = 4), early revision for technical failure (n = 4), or inadequate follow-up (n = 42). INTERVENTION: Distal femur locking plate fixation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Postoperative radiographs until final follow-up were assessed for cortical bridging at each cortex on anterior-posterior and lateral views. Images were analyzed independently by 3 orthopaedic traumatologists to allow for assessment of reliability. Final determination of union required both radiographic and clinical confirmation. RESULTS: Assessment for any cortical bridging was the earliest accurate predictor of final union (95.1% accuracy at 4 months postoperatively), compared with criteria requiring bicortical bridging (93.9% accuracy at 6 months) and tricortical bridging (78% accuracy at 21 months). Any cortical bridging demonstrated a higher interobserver reliability (kappa = 0.73) relative to bicortical (kappa = 0.27) or tricortical bridging (kappa = 0.5). CONCLUSIONS: Our results for plate fixation of supracondylar distal femur fractures mirror those previously described for intramedullary nailing of tibia shaft fractures. Any radiographic cortical bridging by 4 months postoperatively is an accurate and reliable predictor of final healing outcome after locking plate fixation of supracondylar femur fractures. Assessment for bicortical or tricortical bridging is less reliable and inaccurate during the first postoperative year. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Morbidity and Mortality in Elective Total Hip Arthroplasty Following Surgical Care Improvement Project Guidelines.

BACKGROUND: Following evidence questioning the safety and efficacy of perioperative beta-blocker therapy in noncardiac surgery, the Surgical Care Improvement Project (SCIP) guidelines were retired in 2015. However, perioperative myocardial infarctions and cardiac complications remain leading causes of mortality following noncardiac surgery. The impact of the SCIP guidelines on reducing cardiac complications in patients undergoing elective total hip arthroplasty (THA) has not been evaluated. METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample was queried for 345,875 elective THA performed from 2003 to 2011. Patient demographics and morbidity as well as the incidence of nonfatal and fatal cardiac complications and overall mortality associated with cardiac complications were determined before and following SCIP implementation. RESULTS: Following the institution of the SCIP guidelines, the overall mortality following cardiac complications decreased by 41%. Although the incidence of nonfatal cardiac events after THA did increase 5% (primarily secondary to an increased incidence of nonfatal hypotension), the incidence of postoperative inpatient mortality, stroke, fatal hypotension, fatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal and fatal cardiac arrest significantly decreased. CONCLUSION: Following the implementation of SCIP guidelines, there was a 41% reduction in mortality and a significant decrease in fatal cardiac complications, postoperative hypotension, myocardial infarction, and cardiac arrest. Despite SCIP guidelines being retired in 2015, evidence supports continuation of perioperative beta-blockade in primary elective total adult hip and knee arthroplasty.

Clinical Practice Guidelines Decrease Unnecessary Echocardiograms Before Hip Fracture Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Preoperative assessment of geriatric patients with a hip fracture may include transthoracic echocardiography (TTE), which increases resource utilization and cost and may delay surgery. The purpose of this study was to evaluate preoperative TTE utilization at a single institution in order to determine (1) how often TTE is ordered in accordance with clinical practice guidelines (CPGs), (2) how frequently TTE reveals cardiac disease that may alter medical or anesthesia management, and (3) whether following CPGs reduces unnecessary TTE utilization without potentially missing important disease. METHODS: A retrospective review of data on 100 geriatric patients with a hip fracture who had undergone preoperative TTE was performed. Charts were reviewed to evaluate if TTE had been obtained in accordance with the published CPGs from the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA). TTE reports were reviewed for the presence of disease that was important enough to cause modifications in anesthesia or perioperative management, including new left ventricular systolic or diastolic dysfunction, moderate or severe valvular disease, and pulmonary hypertension. Finally, the sensitivity and specificity of accordance with the ACC/AHA CPGs for predicting which patients would have TTE that identified important disease were calculated. RESULTS: The TTE was ordered in accordance with the published ACC/AHA CPGs for 66% of the patients. TTE revealed disease with the potential to modify anesthesia or medical management in 14% of the patients-for all of whom the TTE had been indicated according to ACC/AHA guidelines (i.e., the guidelines were 100% sensitive). In this study population, following the ACC/AHA guidelines could have prevented the performance of TTE in 34% of the patients without missing any disease (40% specificity). CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative TTE for patients with a hip fracture is frequently obtained outside the recommendations of established CPGs. Utilization of CPGs such as the ACC/AHA guidelines should be considered, as it may decrease variability in care and reduce unnecessary resource utilization without adversely affecting patient outcomes.