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BackgroundBetter understanding of the association between characteristics of patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and outcome is needed to further improve upon patient management. MethodsImmunophenotyping Assessment in a COVID-19 Cohort (IMPACC) is a prospective, observational study of 1,164 patients from 20 hospitals across the United States. Disease severity was assessed using a 7-point ordinal scale based on degree of respiratory illness. Patients were prospectively surveyed for 1 year after discharge for post-acute sequalae of COVID-19 (PASC) through quarterly surveys. Demographics, comorbidities, radiographic findings, clinical laboratory values, SARS-CoV-2 PCR and serology were captured over a 28-day period. Multivariable logistic regression was performed. FindingsThe median age was 59 years (interquartile range [IQR] 20); 711 (61%) were men; overall mortality was 14%, and 228 (20%) required invasive mechanical ventilation. Unsupervised clustering of ordinal score over time revealed distinct disease course trajectories. Risk factors associated with prolonged hospitalization or death by day 28 included age [≥] 65 years (odds ratio [OR], 2.01; 95% CI 1.28-3.17), Hispanic ethnicity (OR, 1.71; 95% CI 1.13-2.57), elevated baseline creatinine (OR 2.80; 95% CI 1.63-4.80) or troponin (OR 1.89; 95% 1.03-3.47), baseline lymphopenia (OR 2.19; 95% CI 1.61-2.97), presence of infiltrate by chest imaging (OR 3.16; 95% CI 1.96-5.10), and high SARS-CoV2 viral load (OR 1.53; 95% CI 1.17-2.00). Fatal cases had the lowest ratio of SARS-CoV-2 antibody to viral load levels compared to other trajectories over time (p=0.001). 589 survivors (51%) completed at least one survey at follow-up with 305 (52%) having at least one symptom consistent with PASC, most commonly dyspnea (56% among symptomatic patients). Female sex was the only associated risk factor for PASC. InterpretationIntegration of PCR cycle threshold, and antibody values with demographics, comorbidities, and laboratory/radiographic findings identified risk factors for 28-day outcome severity, though only female sex was associated with PASC. Longitudinal clinical phenotyping offers important insights, and provides a framework for immunophenotyping for acute and long COVID-19. FundingNIH RESEARCH IN CONTEXTO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe did a systematic search of the PubMed database from January 1st, 2020 until April 24th, 2022 using the search terms: "hospitalized" AND "SARS-CoV-2" OR "COVID-19" AND "Pro-spective" AND "Antibody" OR "PCR" OR "long term follow up" and applying the following filters: "Multicenter Study" AND "Observational Study". No language restrictions were applied. While clinical, laboratory, and radiographic features associated with severe COVID-19 in hospitalized adults have been described, description of the kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 specific assays available to clinicians (e.g. PCR and binding antibody) and their integration with other variables is scarce for both short and long term follow up. The current literature is comprised of several studies with small sample size, cross-sectional design with laboratory data typically only recorded at a single point in time (e.g., on admission), limited clinical characteristics, variable duration of follow up, single-center setting, retrospective analyses, kinetics of either PCR or antibody testing but not both, and outcomes such as death or, mechanical ventilation that do not allow delineation of variations in clinical course. Added value of this studyIn our large longitudinal multicenter cohort, the description of outcome severity, was not limited to survival versus death, but encompassed a clinical trajectory approach leveraging longitudinal data based on time in hospital, disease severity by ordinal scale based on degree of respiratory illness, and presence or absence of limitations at discharge. Fatal COVID-19 cases had the lowest ratio of antibody to viral load levels over time as compared to non-fatal cases. Integration of PCR cycle threshold and antibody values with demographics, baseline comorbidities, and laboratory/radiographic findings identified additional risk factors for outcome severity over the first 28 days. However, female sex was the only variable associated with persistence of symptoms over time. Persistence of symptoms was not associated with clinical trajectory over the first 28 days, nor with antibody/viral loads from the acute phase. Implications of all the available evidenceThe described calculated ratio (binding IgG/PCR Ct value) is unique compared to other studies, reflecting host pathogen interactions and representing an accessible approach for patient risk stratification. Integration of SARS-CoV-2 viral load and binding antibody kinetics with other laboratory as well as clinical characteristics in hospitalized COVID-19 patients can identify patients likely to have the most severe short-term outcomes, but is not predictive of symptom persistence at one year post-discharge.
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Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants are characterized by differences in transmissibility and response to therapeutics. Therefore, discriminating among them is vital for surveillance, infection prevention, and patient care. While whole viral genome sequencing (WGS) is the "gold standard" for variant identification, molecular variant panels have become increasingly available. Most, however, are based on limited targets and have not undergone comprehensive evaluation. We assessed the diagnostic performance of the highly multiplexed Agena MassARRAY(R) SARS-CoV-2 Variant Panel v3 to identify variants in a diverse set of 391 SARS-CoV-2 clinical RNA specimens collected across our health systems in New York City, USA as well as in Bogota, Colombia (September 2, 2020 - March 2, 2022). We demonstrate almost perfect levels of interrater agreement between this assay and WGS for 9 of 11 variant calls ({kappa} [≥] 0.856) and 25 of 30 targets ({kappa} [≥] 0.820) tested on the panel. The assay had a high diagnostic sensitivity ([≥]93.67%) for contemporary variants (e.g., Iota, Alpha, Delta, Omicron [BA.1 sublineage]) and a high diagnostic specificity for all 11 variants ([≥]96.15%) and all 30 targets ([≥]94.34%) tested. Moreover, we highlight distinct target patterns that can be utilized to identify variants not yet defined on the panel including the Omicron BA.2 and other sublineages. These findings exemplify the power of highly multiplexed diagnostic panels to accurately call variants and the potential for target result signatures to elucidate new ones. ImportanceThe continued circulation of SARS-CoV-2 amidst limited surveillance efforts and inconsistent vaccination of populations has resulted in emergence of variants that uniquely impact public health systems. Thus, in conjunction with functional and clinical studies, continuous detection and identification are quintessential to inform diagnostic and public health measures. Furthermore, until WGS becomes more accessible in the clinical microbiology laboratory, the ideal assay for identifying variants must be robust, provide high resolution, and be adaptable to the evolving nature of viruses like SARS-CoV-2. Here, we highlight the diagnostic capabilities of a highly multiplexed commercial assay to identify diverse SARS-CoV-2 lineages that circulated at over September 2, 2020 - March 2, 2022 among patients seeking care at our health systems. This assay demonstrates variant-specific signatures of nucleotide/amino acid polymorphisms and underscores its utility for detection of contemporary and emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern.
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AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWPersistent severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections have been reported in immune-compromised individuals and people undergoing immune-modulatory treatments. Although intrahost evolution has been documented, to our knowledge, no direct evidence of subsequent transmission and stepwise adaptation is available. Here we describe sequential persistent SARS-CoV-2 infections in three individuals that led to the emergence, forward transmission, and continued evolution of a new Omicron sublineage, BA.1.23, over an eight-month period. The initially transmitted BA.1.23 variant encoded seven additional amino acid substitutions within the spike protein (E96D, R346T, L455W, K458M, A484V, H681R, A688V), and displayed substantial resistance to neutralization by sera from boosted and/or Omicron BA.1-infected study participants. Subsequent continued BA.1.23 replication resulted in additional substitutions in the spike protein (S254F, N448S, F456L, M458K, F981L, S982L) as well as in five other virus proteins. Our findings demonstrate that the Omicron BA.1 lineage can diverge further from its already exceptionally mutated genome during persistent infection in more than one host, and also document ongoing transmission of these novel variants. There is an urgent need to implement strategies to prevent prolonged SARS-CoV-2 replication and to limit the spread of newly emerging, neutralization-resistant variants in vulnerable patients.