Incidence, epidemiology and outcomes of acute allograft rejection following liver transplantation in Australia.

BACKGROUND: Acute allograft rejection is a well-known complication of liver transplantation (LT). The incidence, epidemiology and outcomes of acute rejection have not been well-described in Australia. METHODS: We retrospectively studied consecutive adults who underwent deceased-donor LT at a single centre between 2010-2020. Donor and recipient data at time of LT and recipient outcomes were collected from a prospective LT database. Liver biopsy reports were reviewed and only a graft's first instance of biopsy-proven acute rejection was analysed. RESULTS: During the study period, 796 liver transplants were performed in 770 patients. Biopsy-proven rejection occurred in 34.9% of transplants. There were no significant changes in the incidence of rejection over time (linear trend p=0.11). The median time to first episode of rejection was 71 days post-LT: 2.2% hyperacute, 50.4% early (≤90 d) and 47.5% late rejection (>90 d). Independent risk factors for rejection were younger recipient age at transplant (aHR 0.98 per year increase, 95% CI 0.97-1.00, p=0.01), and ABO-incompatible grafts (aHR 2.55 vs. ABO-compatible, 95% CI 1.27-5.09, p<0.01) while simultaneous multiorgan transplants were protective (aHR 0.21 vs. LT only, 95% CI 0.08-0.58, p<0.01). Development of acute rejection (both early and late) was independently associated with significantly reduced graft (aHR 3.13, 95% CI 2.21-4.42, p<0.001) and patient survival (aHR 3.42, 95% CI 2.35-4.98, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: In this 11-year Australian study, acute LT rejection occurred in 35%, with independent risk factors of younger recipient age and ABO-incompatible transplant while having a simultaneous multiorgan transplant was protective. Acute rejection was independently associated with reduced graft and patient survival after adjustment for other factors.

Gleason score 3+3=6 prostatic adenocarcinoma is not benign and the current debate is unhelpful to clinicians and patients.

Prostate adenocarcinoma is a common malignancy associated with a significant morbidity and mortality. In both prostate biopsies and radical prostatectomy specimens Gleason scoring informs both treatment and outcome prediction. The current convention is that in needle biopsies, Gleason patterns 3, 4 and 5 are considered to be malignant. Despite this there is debate as to whether or not Gleason score (GS) 3+3=6 should be diagnosed as cancer due to potential over-treatment and the psychological impact on patients. It is apparent that GS 3+3=6 is indolent disease with a low risk of metastasis. However, it does have the histological features of malignancy and is capable of infiltrating the prostate gland, extraprostatic extension, and metastatic spread. Furthermore GS 3+3=6 carcinoma has immunohistochemical and molecular genetic features similar to those of higher grade prostatic carcinoma. If GS 3+3=6 tumour is considered benign, the question arises should a benign label be given to the Gleason pattern 3 component of tumour that includes Gleason patterns of higher grade? This would seem a logical step as GS 3+3=6 cancers and the pattern 3 component in cancers with multiple patterns are morphologically identical. If pattern 3 is considered to be benign, then Gleason scoring would be limited to 4+4=8, 4+5=9, 5+4=9 and 5+5=10 which is clearly inappropriate. The correct strategy to address potential over-treatment of patients with low-grade cancer is clinician and patient education, not the recalibration of Gleason grading to reclassify malignant tumours as benign.

Descriptive analysis of prostate cancer pathology data from diagnosis and surgery in men from the 45 and Up Study.

Information available from the New South Wales Cancer Registry (NSWCR) about the aggressiveness of prostate cancer is limited to the summary stage variable 'degree of spread', which contains a high proportion of cases defined as 'unknown'. In this study we demonstrate the feasibility of obtaining and analysing prostate cancer pathology data from stored pathology records. Pathology data were extracted from stored pathology records of incident prostate cancer cases in men participating in the 45 and Up Study, a large Australian prospective cohort study, who were diagnosed between January 2006 and December 2013. Baseline questionnaires from the 45 and Up Study were linked to the NSWCR. Demographic and pathology items were tabulated and associations described. We evaluated the completeness of pathological characteristics by degree of spread of cancer at diagnosis. Among the 123,921 men enrolled in the 45 and Up Study, 5,091 had incident prostate cancer and 5,085 were linked to a pathology record. The most complete variables included grade group of diagnostic (85.8%) and surgical (99.8%) specimens, margin status (98.1%), extraprostatic extension (95.1%) and seminal vesicle invasion (96.8%). Most diagnostic specimens were grade group 1 (26.6%) or 2 (23.5%). Of the 5,085 cases, 30.8% were classified by the NSWCR with unknown degree of spread; a pathology record could be extracted for 99.4% of these. The unknown degree of spread cases had similar levels of completeness and distribution of diagnostic and surgical pathology features to those with a localised degree of spread. This study demonstrated the feasibility of obtaining and analysing data derived from pathology reports from centralised state-based cancer registry notifications. Supplementing degree of spread information with pathology data from diagnosis and surgery will improve both the quality of research and policy aimed at improving the lives of men with prostate cancer.

Histological Assessment of the Bile Duct before Liver Transplantation: Does the Bile Duct Injury Score Predict Biliary Strictures?

INTRODUCTION: Histological injury to the biliary tree during organ preservation leads to biliary strictures after liver transplantation. The Bile Duct Injury (BDI) score was developed to assess histological injury and identify the grafts most likely to develop biliary strictures. The BDI score evaluates the bile duct mural stroma, peribiliary vascular plexus (PVP) and deep peribiliary glands (DPGs), which were correlated with post-transplant biliary strictures. However, the BDI score has not been externally validated. The aim of this study was to verify whether the BDI score could predict biliary strictures at our transplant centre. METHODS: Brain-dead donor liver grafts transplanted at a single institution from March 2015 to June 2016 were included in this analysis. Bile duct biopsies were collected immediately before transplantation and assessed for bile duct injury by two blinded pathologists. The primary outcome was the development of clinically significant biliary strictures within 24 months post-transplant. RESULTS: Fifty-seven grafts were included in the study which included 16 biliary strictures (28%). Using the BDI score, mural stromal, PVP and DPG injury did not correlate with biliary strictures including Non-Anastomotic Strictures. Severe inflammation (>50 leucocytes per HPF) was the only histological feature inversely correlated with the primary outcome (absent in the biliary stricture group vs. 41% in the no-stricture group, p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The current study highlights limitations of the histological assessment of bile duct injury. Although all grafts had bile duct injury, only inflammation was associated with biliary strictures. The BDI score was unable to predict post-transplant biliary strictures in our patient population.

Novel miRNA-based drug CD5-2 reduces liver tumor growth in diethylnitrosamine-treated mice by normalizing tumor vasculature and altering immune infiltrate.

Introduction: Liver cancers exhibit abnormal (leaky) vasculature, hypoxia and an immunosuppressive microenvironment. Normalization of tumor vasculature is an emerging approach to treat many cancers. Blockmir CD5-2 is a novel oligonucleotide-based inhibitor of the miR-27a interaction with VE-Cadherin, the endothelial-specific cadherin. The combination of a vasoactive medication with inhibition of immune checkpoints such as programmed cell death protein 1 (PD1) has been shown to be effective in treating liver cancer in humans. We aimed to study the effect of CD5-2 combined with checkpoint inhibition (using an antibody against PD1) on liver tumor growth, vasculature and immune infiltrate in the diethylnitrosamine (DEN)-induced liver tumor mouse model. Methods: We first analyzed human miR-27a and VE-Cadherin expression data from The Cancer Genome Atlas for hepatocellular carcinoma. CD5-2 and/or anti-PD1 antibody were given to the DEN-treated mice from age 7-months until harvest at age 9-months. Tumor and non-tumor liver tissues were analyzed using histology, immunohistochemistry, immunofluorescence and scanning electron microscopy. Results: Human data showed high miR-27a and low VE-Cadherin were both significantly associated with poorer prognosis. Mice treated with CD5-2 plus anti-PD1 antibody had significantly smaller liver tumors (50% reduction) compared to mice treated with either agent alone, controls, or untreated mice. There was no difference in tumor number. Histologically, tumors in CD5-2-treated mice had less leaky vessels with higher VE-Cadherin expression and less tumor hypoxia compared to non-CD5-2-treated mice. Only tumors in the combination CD5-2 plus anti-PD1 antibody group exhibited a more favorable immune infiltrate (significantly higher CD3+ and CD8+ T cells and lower Ly6G+ neutrophils) compared to tumors from other groups. Discussion: CD5-2 normalized tumor vasculature and reduced hypoxia in DEN-induced liver tumors. CD5-2 plus anti-PD1 antibody reduced liver tumor size possibly by altering the immune infiltrate to a more immunosupportive one.

Looking beyond workforce parity: addressing gender inequity in pathology.

While women pathologists have made up over one-third of pathologists in the Australian workforce for over 15 years and at least 50% since 2019, they are under-represented in senior leadership roles, scientific publications, grant recipients, editorial boards, key presentations, and professional awards. This is not unique to pathology and is seen in the broader medical and academic community. Barriers to gender equity and equality in pathology, medicine and academia include gender stereotypes, gender-based discrimination, structural and organisational barriers as well as broader social and cultural barriers. A diverse leadership reflective of the whole professional body and the broader community is important for optimal health outcomes. It is the responsibility and moral duty of individuals and organisations to address any gender disparities, inequities, and inequalities by monitoring, identifying, and acting on gender biases and systemic barriers that hinder appropriate levels of representation by women.

Long-term ex situ normothermic perfusion of human split livers for more than 1 week.

Current machine perfusion technology permits livers to be preserved ex situ for short periods to assess viability prior to transplant. Long-term normothermic perfusion of livers is an emerging field with tremendous potential for the assessment, recovery, and modification of organs. In this study, we aimed to develop a long-term model of ex situ perfusion including a surgical split and simultaneous perfusion of both partial organs. Human livers declined for transplantation were perfused using a red blood cell-based perfusate under normothermic conditions (36 °C) and then split and simultaneously perfused on separate machines. Ten human livers were split, resulting in 20 partial livers. The median ex situ viability was 125 h, and the median ex situ survival was 165 h. Long-term survival was demonstrated by lactate clearance, bile production, Factor-V production, and storage of adenosine triphosphate. Here, we report the long-term ex situ perfusion of human livers and demonstrate the ability to split and perfuse these organs using a standardised protocol.

C-reactive protein is a prognostic biomarker in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma patients.

AIM: The 5-year survival rate of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is approximately 11% and has only improved marginally over the last three decades. For operable PDAC, resection and adjuvant FOLFIRINOX chemotherapy is standard of care. There is growing interest in perioperative regimens to improve outcomes. The non-randomized Phase II study "Gemcitabine and Abraxane for resectable Pancreatic cancer" (GAP) demonstrated the feasibility of perioperative gemcitabine/abraxane. Long-term survival in PDAC requires an effective immune response; hence, we undertook this translational study of the GAP trial cohort to identify immune-oncology biomarkers for clinical use. METHODS: We combined Nanostring nCounter technology with immunohistochemistry to investigate the correlation between gene expression and overall patient survival. Findings were investigated in samples from the International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC, n = 88) and the Australian Pancreatic Genome Initiative (APGI, n = 227). RESULTS: We confirmed that human equilibrative nucleoside transporter 1 (hENT1) expression was not a prognostic marker in PDAC but patients with high levels of hENT1 were more likely to live longer than 24 months post-surgery. Additionally, CD274 (PD-L1) and two novel biomarkers of survival, cathepsin W (CTSW) and C-reactive protein (CRP), were identified in the GAP cohort (n = 19). CRP expression was confirmed in data from the ICGC. Although PD-L1 and CTSW proteins were not significant across all three cohorts, results show that low CRP mRNA and protein expression are associated with longer overall survival in all three patient groups. CONCLUSION: PDAC patients with long survival have higher hENT1 expression levels. Furthermore, CRP expression is a biomarker of poor prognosis following perioperative chemotherapy and resection in PDAC patients and thus may be useful for identifying patients who could benefit from more aggressive adjuvant strategies.

Banff 2016 Global Assessment and Quantitative Scoring for T Cell-Mediated Liver Transplant Rejection are Interchangeable.

Introduction: Histopathological assessment of liver biopsies is the current "gold standard" for diagnosing graft dysfunction after liver transplantation (LT), as graft dysfunction can have nonspecific clinical presentations and inconsistent patterns of liver biochemical dysfunction. Most commonly, post-LT, graft dysfunction within the first year, is due to acute T-cell mediated rejection (TCMR) which is characterised histologically by the degree of portal inflammation (PI), bile duct damage (BDD), and venous endothelial inflammation (VEI). This study aimed to establish the relationship between global assessment, which is the global grading of rejection using a "gestalt" approach, and the rejection activity index (RAI) of each component of TCMR as described in revised Banff 2016 guidelines. Methods: Liver biopsies (n = 90) taken from patients who underwent LT in 2015 and 2016 at the Australian National Liver Transplant Unit were identified from the electronic medical records. All biopsy slides were microscopically graded by at least two assessors independently using the revised 2016 Banff criteria. Data were analysed using IBM SPSS v21. A Fisher-Freeman-Halton test was performed to assess the correlation between the global assessment and the RAI scores for each TCMR biopsy. Results: Within the cohort, 60 (37%, n = 164) patients underwent at least 1 biopsy within 12 months after LT. The most common biopsy outcome (total n = 90) was acute TCMR (64, 71.1%). Global assessment of TCMR slides strongly positively correlated with PI (p value <0.001), BDD (p value <0.001), VEI (p value <0.001), and total RAI (p value <0.001). Liver biochemistry of patients with TCMR significantly improved within 4 to 6 weeks post-biopsy compared to the day of the biopsy. Conclusion: In acute TCMR, global assessment and total RAI are strongly correlated and can be used interchangeably to describe the severity of TCMR.

Does an Additional Bile Duct Flush With Low-viscosity Preservation Solution Reduce Bile Duct Injury? A Single-blinded Randomized Clinical Trial.

Biliary complications are a common cause of morbidity after liver transplantation and associated with bile duct injury. To reduce injury, a bile duct flush is performed with high-viscosity preservation solution. It has been suggested that an earlier additional bile duct flush with low-viscosity preservation solution may reduce bile duct injury and biliary complications. This study aimed to investigate whether an earlier additional bile duct flush would reduce bile duct injury or biliary complications. Methods: A randomized trial was conducted using 64 liver grafts from brain dead donors. The control group received a bile duct flush with University of Wisconsin (UW) solution after donor hepatectomy. The intervention group received a bile duct flush using low-viscosity Marshall solution immediately after the onset of cold ischemia and a bile duct flush with University of Wisconsin solution after donor hepatectomy. The primary outcomes were the degree of histological bile duct injury, assessed using the bile duct injury score, and biliary complications within 24 mo of transplant. Results: Bile duct injury scores were not different between the 2 groups. Similar rates of biliary complications occurred in the intervention group (31% [n = 9]) and controls (23% [n = 8]) (P = 0.573). No difference between groups was observed for anastomotic strictures (24% versus 20%, P = 0.766) or nonanastomotic strictures (7% versus 6%, P = 1.00). Conclusions: This is the first randomized trial to investigate an additional bile duct flush using low-viscosity preservation solution during organ procurement. The findings from this study suggest that performing an earlier additional bile duct flush with Marshall solution does not prevent biliary complications and bile duct injury.

Liver splitting during normothermic machine perfusion: a novel method to combine the advantages of both in-situ and ex-vivo techniques.

BACKGROUND: Split liver transplantation permits the transplant of two recipients using a single donor liver. Liver splitting can be performed using the ex-vivo technique (more convenient), or the in-situ technique (shorter cold ischaemic time). We aimed to develop a technique for liver splitting during normothermic machine perfusion which combines the advantages of both techniques and permits graft assessment prior to transplant. METHODS: Human livers declined for transplantation were perfused at 36 °C using a modified-commercial perfusion machine. We developed a six-step method to split whole livers into left lateral segment grafts and extended right grafts. Both partial livers were then perfused on separate machines for individual assessment. RESULTS: Using our technique, 10 whole livers were successfully split during normothermic perfusion resulting in 20 partial grafts. Apart from a single graft which failed due to a technical error, all grafts survived for 24-h after splitting. Survival was demonstrated by lactate clearance, bile production and synthesis of coagulation factors. CONCLUSIONS: Liver splitting during normothermic machine perfusion has the potential to revolutionise split liver transplantation. We describe a novel technique that reliably achieves two grafts from a single donor liver. This raises the possibility of semi-elective transplantation, and sophisticated graft assessment prior to implant.

Association between vessels that encapsulate tumour clusters vascular pattern and hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following liver transplantation.

Background: Vessels that encapsulate tumor clusters (VETC) is a novel vascular pattern seen on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) histology which has been shown to independently predict tumor recurrence and survival after liver resection. Its prognostic value in HCC patients receiving liver transplantation (LT) is unclear. Methods: We retrospectively studied consecutive adults who underwent deceased-donor LT with active HCC found on explant between 2010-2019. Tumor tissue was stained for CD34 and quantified for VETC. Primary and secondary endpoints were time to recurrence (TTR) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Results: During the study period, 158 patients received LT where HCC was present on explant. VETC pattern was seen in 76.5% of explants. Patients with VETC-positive tumors spent longer on the waitlist (6.4 vs. 4.1 months, P=0.048), had higher median tumor numbers (2 vs. 1, P=0.001) and larger tumor sizes (20mm vs. 13mm, P<0.001) on explant pathology compared to those with VETC-negative tumors. Correspondingly, VETC-positive patients were more likely to be outside of accepted LT criteria for HCC. After 56.4 months median follow-up, 8.2% of patients developed HCC recurrence post-LT. On multivariable Cox regression, presence of VETC pattern did not predict TTR or RFS. However, the number of VETC-positive tumors on explant was an independent predictor of TTR (hazard ratio [HR] 1.411, P=0.001) and RFS (HR 1.267, P=0.014) after adjusting for other significant variables. Conclusion: VETC pattern is commonly observed in HCC patients undergoing LT. The number of VETC-positive tumors, but not its presence, is an independent risk factor for TTR and RFS post-LT.

Comprehensive methylome sequencing reveals prognostic epigenetic biomarkers for prostate cancer mortality.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer is a clinically heterogeneous disease with a subset of patients rapidly progressing to lethal-metastatic prostate cancer. Current clinicopathological measures are imperfect predictors of disease progression. Epigenetic changes are amongst the earliest molecular changes in tumourigenesis. To find new prognostic biomarkers to enable earlier intervention and improved outcomes, we performed methylome sequencing of DNA from patients with localised prostate cancer and long-term clinical follow-up. METHODS: We used whole-genome bisulphite sequencing (WGBS) to comprehensively map and compare DNA methylation of radical prostatectomy tissue between patients with lethal disease (n = 7) and non-lethal (n = 8) disease (median follow-up 19.5 years). Validation of differentially methylated regions (DMRs) was performed in an independent cohort (n = 185, median follow-up 15 years) using targeted multiplex bisulphite sequencing of candidate regions. Survival was assessed via univariable and multivariable analyses including clinicopathological measures (log-rank and Cox regression models). RESULTS: WGBS data analysis identified cancer-specific methylation patterns including CpG island hypermethylation, and hypomethylation of repetitive elements, with increasing disease risk. We identified 1420 DMRs associated with prostate cancer-specific mortality (PCSM), which showed enrichment for gene sets downregulated in prostate cancer and de novo methylated in cancer. Through comparison with public prostate cancer datasets, we refined the DMRs to develop an 18-gene prognostic panel. Applying this panel to an independent cohort, we found significant associations between PCSM and hypermethylation at EPHB3, PARP6, TBX1, MARCH6 and a regulatory element within CACNA2D4. Strikingly in a multivariable model, inclusion of CACNA2D4 methylation was a better predictor of PCSM versus grade alone (Harrell's C-index: 0.779 vs. 0.684). CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides detailed methylome maps of non-lethal and lethal prostate cancer and identifies novel genic regions that distinguish these patient groups. Inclusion of our DNA methylation biomarkers with existing clinicopathological measures improves prognostic models of prostate cancer mortality, and holds promise for clinical application.

African-specific molecular taxonomy of prostate cancer.

Prostate cancer is characterized by considerable geo-ethnic disparity. African ancestry is a significant risk factor, with mortality rates across sub-Saharan Africa of 2.7-fold higher than global averages1. The contributing genetic and non-genetic factors, and associated mutational processes, are unknown2,3. Here, through whole-genome sequencing of treatment-naive prostate cancer samples from 183 ancestrally (African versus European) and globally distinct patients, we generate a large cancer genomics resource for sub-Saharan Africa, identifying around 2 million somatic variants. Significant African-ancestry-specific findings include an elevated tumour mutational burden, increased percentage of genome alteration, a greater number of predicted damaging mutations and a higher total of mutational signatures, and the driver genes NCOA2, STK19, DDX11L1, PCAT1 and SETBP1. Examining all somatic mutational types, we describe a molecular taxonomy for prostate cancer differentiated by ancestry and defined as global mutational subtypes (GMS). By further including Chinese Asian data, we confirm that GMS-B (copy-number gain) and GMS-D (mutationally noisy) are specific to African populations, GMS-A (mutationally quiet) is universal (all ethnicities) and the African-European-restricted subtype GMS-C (copy-number losses) predicts poor clinical outcomes. In addition to the clinical benefit of including individuals of African ancestry, our GMS subtypes reveal different evolutionary trajectories and mutational processes suggesting that both common genetic and environmental factors contribute to the disparity between ethnicities. Analogous to gene-environment interaction-defined here as a different effect of an environmental surrounding in people with different ancestries or vice versa-we anticipate that GMS subtypes act as a proxy for intrinsic and extrinsic mutational processes in cancers, promoting global inclusion in landmark studies.

Long-term normothermic perfusion of human livers for longer than 12 days.

In this case report, we preserved human livers for up to 13 days under normothermic conditions using a modified commercial perfusion system. Two whole livers were split into two left lateral segment grafts and two extended right grafts without interruption to blood flow and then perfused on separate machines. Not only does this provide the basis for a meaningful study of liver function in the long term, but this could also facilitate the development of a model of ex situ liver regeneration.

WHO Classification of Tumours fifth edition: evolving issues in the classification, diagnosis, and prognostication of prostate cancer.

The fifth edition of the WHO Classification of Tumours of the Urinary and Male Genital Systems encompasses several updates to the classification and diagnosis of prostatic carcinoma as well as incorporating advancements in the assessment of its prognosis, including recent grading modifications. Some of the salient aspects include: (1) recognition that prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN)-like carcinoma is not synonymous with a pattern of ductal carcinoma, but better classified as a subtype of acinar adenocarcinoma; (2) a specific section on treatment-related neuroendocrine prostatic carcinoma in view of the tight correlation between androgen deprivation therapy and the development of prostatic carcinoma with neuroendocrine morphology, and the emerging data on lineage plasticity; (3) a terminology change of basal cell carcinoma to "adenoid cystic (basal cell) cell carcinoma" given the presence of an underlying MYB::NFIB gene fusion in many cases; (4) discussion of the current issues in the grading of acinar adenocarcinoma and the prognostic significance of cribriform growth patterns; and (5) more detailed coverage of intraductal carcinoma of prostate (IDC-P) reflecting our increased knowledge of this entity, while recommending the descriptive term atypical intraductal proliferation (AIP) for lesions falling short of IDC-P but containing more atypia than typically seen in high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (HGPIN). Lesions previously regarded as cribriform patterns of HGPIN are now included in the AIP category. This review discusses these developments, summarising the existing literature, as well as the emerging morphological and molecular data that underpins the classification and prognostication of prostatic carcinoma.

Lynch syndrome testing of colorectal cancer patients in a high-income country with universal healthcare: a retrospective study of current practice and gaps in seven australian hospitals.

BACKGROUND: To inform effective genomic medicine strategies, it is important to examine current approaches and gaps in well-established applications. Lynch syndrome (LS) causes 3-5% of colorectal cancers (CRCs). While guidelines commonly recommend LS tumour testing of all CRC patients, implementation in health systems is known to be highly variable. To provide insights on the heterogeneity in practice and current bottlenecks in a high-income country with universal healthcare, we characterise the approaches and gaps in LS testing and referral in seven Australian hospitals across three states. METHODS: We obtained surgery, pathology, and genetics services data for 1,624 patients who underwent CRC resections from 01/01/2017 to 31/12/2018 in the included hospitals. RESULTS: Tumour testing approaches differed between hospitals, with 0-19% of patients missing mismatch repair deficiency test results (total 211/1,624 patients). Tumour tests to exclude somatic MLH1 loss were incomplete at five hospitals (42/187 patients). Of 74 patients with tumour tests completed appropriately and indicating high risk of LS, 36 (49%) were missing a record of referral to genetics services for diagnostic testing, with higher missingness for older patients (0% of patients aged ≤ 40 years, 76% of patients aged > 70 years). Of 38 patients with high-risk tumour test results and genetics services referral, diagnostic testing was carried out for 25 (89%) and identified a LS pathogenic/likely pathogenic variant for 11 patients (44% of 25; 0.7% of 1,624 patients). CONCLUSIONS: Given the LS testing and referral gaps, further work is needed to identify strategies for successful integration of LS testing into clinical care, and provide a model for hereditary cancers and broader genomic medicine. Standardised reporting may help clinicians interpret tumour test results and initiate further actions.

Prognostic models to predict survival in patients with pancreatic cancer: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) has poor survival. Current treatments offer little likelihood of cure or long-term survival. This systematic review evaluates prognostic models predicting overall survival in patients diagnosed with PDAC. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of eight electronic databases from their date of inception through to December 2019. Studies that published models predicting survival in patients with PDAC were identified. RESULTS: 3297 studies were identified; 187 full-text articles were retrieved and 54 studies of 49 unique prognostic models were included. Of these, 28 (57.1%) were conducted in patients with advanced disease, 17 (34.7%) with resectable disease, and four (8.2%) in all patients. 34 (69.4%) models were validated, and 35 (71.4%) reported model discrimination, with only five models reporting values >0.70 in both derivation and validation cohorts. Many (n = 27) had a moderate to high risk of bias and most (n = 33) were developed using retrospective data. No variables were unanimously found to be predictive of survival when included in more than one study. CONCLUSION: Most prognostic models were developed using retrospective data and performed poorly. Future research should validate instruments performing well locally in international cohorts and investigate other potential predictors of survival.