An increase in albuminuria is associated with a higher incidence of malignancies.

Background: A single albuminuria measurement is reported to be an independent predictor of cancer risk. Whether change in albuminuria is also independently associated with cancer is not known. Methods: We included 64 303 subjects of the Stockholm CREAtinine Measurements (SCREAM) project without a history of cancer and with at least two urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) tests up to 2 years apart. Albuminuria changes were quantified by the fold-change in ACR over 2 years, and stratified into the absence of clinically elevated albuminuria (i.e. never), albuminuria that remained constant, and albuminuria that increased or decreased. The primary outcome was overall cancer incidence. Secondary outcomes were site-specific cancer incidences. Results: During a median follow-up of 3.7 (interquartile range 3.6-3.7) years, 5126 subjects developed de novo cancer. After multivariable adjustment including baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate and baseline ACR, subjects with increasing ACR over 2 years had a 19% (hazard ratio 1.19; 95% confidence interval 1.08-1.31) higher risk of overall cancer compared with those who never had clinically elevated ACR. No association with cancer risk was seen in the groups with decreasing or constant ACR. Regarding site-specific cancer risks, subjects with increasing ACR or constant ACR had a higher risk of developing urinary tract and lung cancer. No other associations between 2-year ACR changes and site-specific cancers were found. Conclusions: Increases in albuminuria over a 2-year period are associated with a higher risk of developing overall, urinary tract and lung cancer, independent of baseline kidney function and albuminuria. These data add important weight to the link that exists between albuminuria and cancer incidence.

Cost-effectiveness of home-based screening of the general population for albuminuria to prevent progression of cardiovascular and kidney disease.

Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is often detected late, leading to substantial health loss and high treatment costs. Screening the general population for albuminuria identifies individuals at high risk of kidney events and cardiovascular disease (CVD) who may benefit from early start of preventive interventions. Previous studies on the cost-effectiveness of albuminuria population screening were inconclusive, but were based on survey or cohort data rather than an implementation study, modelled screening as performed by general practitioners rather than home-based screening, and often included only benefits with respect to kidney events. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of home-based general population screening for increased albuminuria based on real-world data obtained from a prospective implementation study taking into account prevention of CKD as well as CVD events. Methods: We developed an individual-level simulation model to compare home-based screening using a urine collection device with usual care (no home-based screening) in individuals of the general population aged 45-80, based on the THOMAS study (Towards HOMe-based Albuminuria Screening). Cost-effectiveness was assessed from the Dutch healthcare perspective with a lifetime horizon. The costs of the screening process and benefits of preventing CKD progression (dialysis and kidney transplantation) and CVD events (non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, fatal CVD event) were reflected. Albuminuria detection led to treatment of identified risk factors. The model subsequently simulated CKD progression, the occurrence of CVD events, and death. The risks of experiencing CVD events were calculated using the SCORE2 CKD risk prediction model and individual-level data from the THOMAS study. Relative treatment effectiveness, quality of life scores, resource use, and cost inputs were obtained from literature. Model outcomes were the number of CKD and CVD-related events, total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per QALY gained by screening versus usual care. All results were obtained through probabilistic analysis. Findings: The absolute difference between screening versus usual care in lifetime probability of dialysis, kidney transplantation, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and fatal CVD events were 0.2%, 0.05%, 0.6%, 0.6%, and 0.2%, respectively. This led to relative decreases compared to usual care in lifetime incidence of these events of 10.7%, 11.1%, 5.1%, 4.1%, and 1.6%, respectively. The incremental costs and QALYs of screening were €1607 and 0.17 QALY, respectively, which led to a corresponding ICER of €9225/QALY. The probability of screening being cost-effective for the Dutch willingness-to-pay threshold for preventive population screening of €20,000/QALY was 95.0%. Implementing the screening in the subgroup of 45-64 years old reduced the ICER (€7946/QALY), whereas implementing screening in the subgroup of 65-80 years old increased the ICER (€10,310/QALY). A scenario analysis assuming treatment optimization in all individuals with newly diagnosed risk factors or known risk factors not within target range reduced the ICER to €7083/QALY, resulting from the incremental costs and QALY gain of €2145 and 0.30, respectively. Interpretation: Home-based screening for increased albuminuria to prevent CVD and CKD events is likely cost-effective. More health benefits can be obtained by screening younger individuals and better optimization of care in individuals identified with newly diagnosed or known risk factors outside target range. Funding: Dutch Kidney Foundation, Top Sector Life Sciences & Health of the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs.

Albuminuria and the risk of cancer: the Stockholm CREAtinine Measurements (SCREAM) project.

Background: Studies investigating the association of chronic kidney disease and cancer have focused on estimated glomerular filtration (eGFR) rather than on albuminuria. This study aimed to examine whether albuminuria is associated with cancer incidence, and whether this association is independent of eGFR. Methods: We included subjects of the Stockholm Creatinine Measurements (SCREAM) project without a history of cancer-250 768 subjects with at least one urine albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) test (primary cohort) and 433 850 subjects with at least one dipstick albuminuria test (secondary cohort). Albuminuria was quantified as KDIGO albuminuria stages. The primary outcome was overall cancer incidence. Secondary outcomes were site-specific cancer incidence rates. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusted for confounders including eGFR to calculate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (HRs, 95% CIs). Results: During a median follow-up of 4.3 (interquartile range 2.0-8.2) years, 21 901 subjects of the ACR cohort developed de novo cancer. In multivariable analyses, adjusting among others for eGFR, subjects with an ACR of 30-299 mg/g or ≥300 mg/g had a 23% (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.19-1.28) and 40% (HR 1.40; 95% CI 1.31-1.50) higher risk of developing cancer, respectively, when compared with subjects with an ACR <30 mg/g. This graded, independent association was also observed for urinary tract, gastrointestinal tract, lung and hematological cancer incidence (all P < .05). Results were similar in the dipstick albuminuria cohort. Conclusions: Albuminuria was associated with the risk of cancer independent of eGFR. This association was primarily driven by a higher risk of urinary tract, gastrointestinal tract, lung and hematological cancers.

Participation rate and yield of two home-based screening methods to detect increased albuminuria in the general population in the Netherlands (THOMAS): a prospective, randomised, open-label implementation study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) has a rising global prevalence and is expected to become the fifth leading cause of death by 2030. Increased albuminuria defines the early stages of CKD and is among the strongest risk factors for progressive CKD and cardiovascular disease. The value of population screening for albuminuria to detect CKD in an early phase has yet to be studied. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of two home-based albuminuria population screening methods. METHODS: Towards Home-based Albuminuria Screening (THOMAS) was a prospective, randomised, open-label implementation study that invited Dutch adults aged 45-80 years for albuminuria screening. Individuals were randomly assigned (1:1) to screening by applying either a urine collection device (UCD) that was sent by post to a central laboratory for measurement of the albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) by immunoturbidimetry or to screening via a smartphone application that measures the ACR with a dipstick method at home. Randomisation was done with a four-block method via a web-based system and was stratified by age, sex, and socioeconomic status. If two or more individuals per household were invited to participate, these individuals were randomly assigned to the same group. In case of confirmed increased albuminuria at home, participants were invited for an elaborate screening in a regional hospital (Amphia Hospital, Breda, Netherlands) for CKD and cardiovascular risk factors. When abnormalities were found, participants were referred to their general practitioner for treatment. The primary outcomes were the participation rate and yield of the home-based screening and elaborate screening. Participation rate was assessed in the intention-to-screen population (ie, all participants who were invited for the home-based screening or elaborate screening). Yield was assessed in the per-protocol population (ie, all individuals who participated in the home-based screening or elaborate screening). An exploratory analysis assessed the sensitivity and specificity of both home-based screening methods. To this end, an additional quantitative ACR test was performed among people participating in the elaborate screening, and a substudy was performed among participants with a first negative home-based screening test, who were invited for an additional test. The study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04295889. FINDINGS: 15 074 participants were enrolled between Nov 14, 2019, and March 19, 2021. 7552 (50·1%) were randomly assigned to home-based albuminuria screening by the UCD method and 7522 (49·9%) were assigned to albuminuria screening by the smartphone application method. The participation rate of the home-based screening was 4484 (59·4% [95% CI 58·3-60·5]) of the 7552 invited individuals for the UCD method and 3336 (44·3% [43·2-45·5]) of 7522 invited individuals for the smartphone application method (p<0·0001). Increased ACR was confirmed by home-based testing in 150 (3·3% [95% CI 2·9-3·9]) of 4484 individuals for the UCD method and 171 (5·1% [4·4-5·9]) of 3336 indivduals for the smartphone application method. 124 (82·7% [95% CI 75·8-87·9]) of 150 individuals assigned to the UCD method and 142 (83·0% [76·7-87·9]) of 171 participants assigned to the smartphone application method attended the elaborate screening. Sensitivity to detect increased ACR was 96·6% (95% CI 91·5-99·1) for the UCD method and 98·1% (89·9-99·9) for the smartphone application method, and specificity was 97·3% (94·7-98·8) for the UCD method and 67·9% (62·0-73·3) for the smartphone application method, indicating that the test characteristics of only the UCD method were sufficient for screening. Albuminuria, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, and decreased kidney function were newly diagnosed in 77 (62·1%), 44 (35·5%), 30 (24·2%), and 27 (21·8%) of 124 participants for the UCD method, respectively. Of the 124 participants assigned to the UCD method who completed elaborate screening, 111 (89·5%) were referred to their general practitioner for treatment because of newly diagnosed CKD or cardiovascular disease risk factors or known risk factors outside the target range. INTERPRETATION: Home-based screening of the general population for increased ACR using a UCD had a high participation rate and correctly identified individuals with increased albuminuria and yet unknown or known but outside target range CKD and cardiovascular risk factors. By contrast, the smartphone application method had a lower at-home participation rate than the UCD method and the test specificity was too low to accurately assess individuals for risk factors during the elaborate screening. The UCD screening strategy could allow for an early start of treatment to prevent progressive kidney function loss and cardiovascular disease in patients with CKD. FUNDING: Dutch Kidney Foundation, Top Sector Life Sciences & Health of the Dutch Ministry of Economic Affairs.

Trajectories of renal biomarkers and new-onset heart failure in the general population: Findings from the PREVEND study.

AIMS: Renal dysfunction is one of the most critical risk factors for developing heart failure (HF). However, the association between repeated measures of renal function and incident HF remains unclear. Therefore, this study investigated the longitudinal trajectories of urinary albumin excretion (UAE) and serum creatinine and their association with new-onset HF and all-cause mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using group-based trajectory analysis, we estimated trajectories of UAE and serum creatinine in 6881 participants from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study and their association with new-onset HF and all-cause death during the 11-years of follow-up. Most participants had stable low UAE or serum creatinine. Participants with persistently higher UAE or serum creatinine were older, more often men, and more often had comorbidities, such as diabetes, a previous myocardial infarction or dyslipidaemia. Participants with persistently high UAE had a higher risk of new-onset HF or all-cause mortality, whereas stable serum creatinine trajectories showed a linear association for new-onset HF and no association with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: Our population-based study identified different but often stable longitudinal patterns of UAE and serum creatinine. Patients with persistently worse renal function, such as higher UAE or serum creatinine, were at a higher risk of HF or mortality.

Urinary albumin excretion and cancer risk: the PREVEND cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is believed to be associated with an increased risk for cancer, especially urinary tract cancer. However, previous studies predominantly focused on the association of decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with cancer. In this study, we investigated the association of albuminuria with cancer incidence, adjusted for eGFR. METHODS: We included 8490 subjects in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) observational study. Urinary albumin excretion (UAE) was measured in two 24-hour urine specimens at baseline. Primary outcomes were the incidence of overall and urinary tract cancer. Secondary outcomes were the incidence of other site-specific cancers, and mortality due to overall, urinary tract, and other site-specific cancers. RESULTS: Median baseline UAE was 9.4 (IQR, 6.3-17.8) mg/24 h. During a median follow-up of 17.7 years, 1341 subjects developed cancer (of which 177 were urinary tract cancers). After multivariable adjustment including eGFR, every doubling of UAE was associated with a 6% (hazard ratios (HR), 1.06, 95% confidence intervals (CI), 1.02-1.10), and 14% (HR, 1.14, 95% CI, 1.04-1.24) higher risk of overall and urinary tract cancer incidence, respectively. Except for lung and hematological cancer, no associations were found between UAE and the incidence of other site-specific cancer. Doubling of UAE was also associated with a higher risk of mortality due to overall and lung cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Higher albuminuria is associated with a higher incidence of overall, urinary tract, lung, and hematological cancer, and with a higher risk of mortality due to overall and lung cancers, independent of baseline eGFR.

A Sex-Specific Comparative Analysis of Oxidative Stress Biomarkers Predicting the Risk of Cardiovascular Events and All-Cause Mortality in the General Population: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Oxidative stress plays a pivotal role in cardiovascular (CV) disease, but current biomarkers used to predict CV events are still insufficient. In this study, we comparatively assessed the utility of redox-related biomarkers in predicting the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality in male and female subjects from the general population. Subjects (n = 5955) of the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) population-based cohort study were included. Blood homocysteine, gamma-GT, HDL cholesterol, bilirubin and protein-adjusted free thiol (R-SH, sulfhydryl groups) levels were quantified at baseline and were prospectively analyzed in association with the risk of CV events and all-cause mortality. After adjustment for potentially confounding factors, protein-adjusted R-SH and homocysteine levels were significantly associated with the risk of CV events in men (HR 0.63 [0.40-0.99], p = 0.045 and HR 1.58 [1.20-2.08], p = 0.001, respectively). Protein-adjusted R-SH and HDL cholesterol levels were significantly associated with the risk of all-cause mortality in men (HR 0.52 [0.32-0.85], p = 0.009 and HR 0.90 [0.85-0.94], p < 0.001, respectively), while the same was observed for bilirubin and homocysteine levels in women (HR 0.68 [0.48-0.98], p = 0.040 and HR 2.30 [1.14-3.76], p < 0.001, respectively). Lower levels of protein-adjusted R-SH were robustly associated with an increased risk of CV events and all-cause mortality in men. Our results highlight the value of R-SH levels in cardiovascular risk assessment and their potential significance as being amenable to therapeutic intervention, while reaffirming the importance of other oxidative stress-related biomarkers, such as homocysteine, HDL cholesterol and bilirubin.

Plasma Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin Associates with New-Onset Chronic Kidney Disease in the General Population.

Circulating levels of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) have been associated with acute kidney injury and the severity and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study investigated its potential utility as a biomarker for the risk of new-onset CKD in a population-based cohort study. Individuals without CKD at baseline (n = 4660) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) prospective population-based cohort study in the Netherlands were included. Baseline plasma NGAL concentrations were investigated for their associations with new-onset CKD, defined as a composite outcome of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, urinary albumin excretion (UAE) > 30 mg/24-h, or both. Mean (±SD) plasma NGAL concentrations were 104.0 (±34.7) µg/L and median eGFR was 96 [IQR: 85.3-105.8] mL/min/1.73 m2. After median follow-up of 8.3 [IQR: 7.8-8.9] years, 467 participants developed new-onset CKD. Plasma NGAL concentrations were significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset CKD (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.35 [95% CI: 1.11-1.63], p = 0.002), even after adjustment for potentially confounding factors (1.37 [1.09-1.73], p = 0.007) except baseline eGFR (1.09 [0.86-1.37], p = 0.490). In secondary analyses, plasma NGAL concentrations were significantly associated with new-onset CKD as defined by eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 alone (adjusted HR per doubling 2.54 [1.69-3.80], p < 0.001), which was abrogated after adjustment for eGFR (1.05 [0.69-1.59], p = 0.828), also when UAE > 30 mg/24-h was set as individual outcome (1.05 [0.82-1.35], p = 0.705). Higher plasma NGAL concentrations are associated with an increased risk of developing CKD in the general population. This association is dependent on renal function, and mainly driven by new-onset CKD as defined by renal function decline.

Associations of relative fat mass, a new index of adiposity, with type-2 diabetes in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Relative fat mass (RFM) is a novel sex-specific anthropometric equation (based on height and waist measurements) to estimate whole-body fat percentage. OBJECTIVE: To examine associations of RFM with incident type-2 diabetes (T2D), and to benchmark its performance against body-mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). METHODS: This prospective longitudinal study included data from three Dutch community-based cohorts free of baseline diabetes. First, we examined data from the PREVEND cohort (median age and follow-up duration: 48.0 and 12.5 years, respectively) using Cox regression models. Validation was performed in the Lifelines (median age and follow-up duration: 45.5 and 3.8 years, respectively) and Rotterdam (median age and follow-up duration: 68.0 and 13.9 years, respectively) cohorts. RESULTS: Among 7961 PREVEND participants, 522 (6.6%) developed T2D. In a multivariable model, all adiposity indices were significantly associated with incident T2D (Pall<0.001). While 1 SD increase in BMI, WC and WHR were associated with 68%, 77% and 61% increased risk of developing T2D [Hazard ratio (HR)BMI: 1.68 (95%CI: 1.57-1.80), HRWC: 1.77 (95% CI: 1.63-1.92) and HRWHR: 1.61 (95%CI: 1.48-1.75)], an equivalent increase in RFM was associated with 119% increased risk [HR: 2.19 (95%CI: 1.96-2.44)]. RFM was associated with incident T2D across all age groups, with the largest effect size in the youngest (<40 years) age category [HR: 2.90 (95%CI: 2.15-3.92)]. Results were broadly similar in Lifelines (n = 93,870) and Rotterdam (n = 5279) cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: RFM is strongly associated with new-onset T2D and displays the potential to be used in the general practice setting to estimate the risk of future diabetes.

Plasma Calprotectin Levels Associate with Suspected Metabolic-Associated Fatty Liver Disease and All-Cause Mortality in the General Population.

Metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is characterized by hepatic steatosis, metabolic dysregulation, and neutrophilic inflammation. In this study, we hypothesized that systemic levels of plasma calprotectin, as a biomarker of neutrophilic inflammation, may be associated with suspected MAFLD. Plasma calprotectin levels were measured in subjects (n = 5446) participating in the Prevention of Renal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort study. Suspected MAFLD was defined by the fatty liver index (FLI ≥ 60) and hepatic steatosis index (HSI ≥ 36) as proxies. Plasma calprotectin levels were significantly higher in subjects with FLI ≥ 60 (0.57 [IQR: 0.42−0.79] mg/L, n = 1592) (p < 0.001) compared to subjects with FLI < 60 (0.46 [0.34−0.65] mg/L, n = 3854). Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with suspected MAFLD (FLI ≥ 60), even after adjustment for potential confounding factors, including current smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), hs-CRP, eGFR, and total cholesterol levels (OR 1.19 [95% CI: 1.06−1.33], p = 0.003). Interaction analyses revealed significant effect modifications for the association between plasma calprotectin and suspected MAFLD by BMI (p < 0.001) and hypertension (p = 0.003), with the strongest associations in subjects with normal BMI and without hypertension. Prospectively, plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with all-cause mortality after adjustment for potential confounding factors, particularly in subjects without suspected MAFLD (FLI < 60) (hazard ratio (HR) per doubling: 1.34 (1.05−1.72), p < 0.05). In conclusion, higher plasma calprotectin levels are associated with suspected MAFLD and with the risk of all-cause mortality, the latter especially in subjects without suspected MAFLD.

Protocol for a randomized study assessing the feasibility of home-based albuminuria screening among the general population: The THOMAS study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a rising public health problem that may progress to kidney failure, requiring kidney replacement therapy. It is also associated with an increased incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Because of its asymptomatic nature, CKD is often detected in a late stage. Population screening for albuminuria could allow early detection of people with CKD who may benefit from preventive treatment. In case such screening is performed in a general practitioner (GP) setting, this will result in relatively high costs. Home-based screening might be an effective and cost-effective alternative. AIM: The THOMAS study (Towards HOMe-based Albuminuria Screening) is designed to prospectively investigate two methods for home-based population screening for increased albuminuria to detect yet undiagnosed CKD and risk factors for progression and CVD. METHODS: This investigator initiated, randomized population-based study will include 15.000 individuals aged 45-80 years, who will be randomly assigned to be invited for a home-based screening test for albuminuria with a more conventional urine collection device or an innovative smartphone application. If the test result is positive upon confirmation (i.e., elevated albuminuria), participants are invited to a central screening facility for an elaborate screening for CKD and CVD risk factors. Participants are referred to their GP for appropriate treatment, if abnormalities are found. Primary endpoints are the participation rate, yield, and cost-effectiveness of the home-based screening and elaborate screening. CONCLUSIONS: The THOMAS study will evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of home-based albuminuria screening in the general population for the early detection of CKD and CVD risk factors. It will provide insight into the willingness to participate in population screening for CKD and into the compliance of the general population to a corresponding screening protocol and compliance to participate. Thus, it may help to develop an attractive novel screening strategy for the early detection of CKD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, registration number NCT04295889, registered 05 March 2020. https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=NCT04295889.

Population-Based Limits of Urine Creatinine Excretion.

Introduction: The validity of a timed urine collection is typically judged by measurement of urine creatinine excretion, but prevailing limits may be unreliable. We sought to empirically derive population-based limits of excretion for evaluating the validity of a timed urine collection. Methods: Covariate and 24-hour urine data were obtained from 3582 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study, 814 participants in the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study, 1010 participants in the Jackson Heart Study (JHS), and 8536 participants in the Prevention of Renal Vascular End Stage Disease (PREVEND) study. Weight, height, age, sex, and serum creatinine concentrations were evaluated as potential predictors of urine creatinine excretion using Akaike Information Criteria, R-squared values, and deviance. Bias and precision of the fitted models were assessed by analyses of residuals. Agreement between 24-hour creatinine clearance and 125I-iothalamate clearance was assessed before and after exclusion of potentially invalid urine samples. Results: A best-fitting model to predict 24-hour urine creatinine excretion among the 9199 discovery cohort members included sex-specific terms for weight, height, and age (R-squared = 0.328). This model had a median bias of +4.3 mg creatinine/day (95% confidence interval -5.6, +13.3 mg/day) in 4599 validation cohort members, and 82% of observed values were within 30% of predicted model. Serum creatinine concentrations only marginally improved model precision but reduced bias in persons with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Conclusion: The limits of urine creatinine excretion derived here represent the most valid and representative data for appraising the adequacy of a timed urine collection.

Sex differences in associations of comorbidities with incident cardiovascular disease: focus on absolute risk.

Aim: To examine sex differences in associations of obesity, type-2 diabetes, hypertension, and atrial fibrillation (AF) with incident cardiovascular disease (CVD), focusing on absolute risk measures. Methods and results: We included a total of 7994 individuals (mean age 49.1 years; 51.2% women) without prior CVD from the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease) cohort with a median follow-up of 12.5 years. Using Poisson regression, we calculated the increase in absolute as well as relative CVD risk associated with a comorbidity using incidence rate differences (IRD = IRcomorbidity-IRno-comorbidity) and incidence rate ratios (IRR = IRcomorbidity/IRno-comorbidity), respectively. Sex differences were presented as women-to-men differences (WMD = IRDwomen-IRDmen) and women-to-men ratios (WMR = IRRwomen/IRRmen). Absolute CVD risk was lower in women than in men (IRwomen: 6.73 vs. IRmen: 14.58 per 1000 person-years). While increase in absolute CVD risk associated with prevalent hypertension was lower in women than in men [WMD: -6.12, 95% confidence interval: (-9.84 to -2.40), P = 0.001], increase in absolute CVD risk associated with prevalent obesity [WMD: -4.25 (-9.11 to 0.61), P = 0.087], type-2 diabetes [WMD: -1.04 (-14.36 to 12.29), P = 0.879] and AF [WMD: 18.39 (-39.65 to 76.43), P = 0.535] did not significantly differ between the sexes. Using relative risk measures, prevalent hypertension [WMR: 1.49%, 95% confidence interval: (1.12-1.99), P = 0.006], type-2 diabetes [WMR: 1.73 (1.09-2.73), P = 0.019], and AF [WMR: 2.53 (1.12-5.70), P = 0.025] were all associated with higher CVD risk in women than in men. Conclusion: Increase in absolute risk of developing CVD is higher in hypertensive men than in hypertensive women, but no substantial sex-related differences were observed among individuals with obesity, type-2 diabetes and AF. On a relative risk scale, comorbidities, in general, confer a higher CVD risk in women than in men.

Association of Cardiometabolic Disease With Cancer in the Community.

Background: Obesity and cardiometabolic dysfunction have been associated with cancer risk and severity. Underlying mechanisms remain unclear. Objectives: The aim of this study was to examine associations of obesity and related cardiometabolic traits with incident cancer. Methods: FHS (Framingham Heart Study) and PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) study participants without prevalent cancer were studied, examining associations of obesity, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, visceral adipose tissue (VAT) and subcutaneous adipose tissue depots, and C-reactive protein (CRP) with future cancer in Cox models. Results: Among 20,667 participants (mean age 50 years, 53% women), 2,619 cancer events were observed over a median follow-up duration of 15 years. Obesity was associated with increased risk for future gastrointestinal (HR: 1.30; 95% CI: 1.05-1.60), gynecologic (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.08-2.45), and breast (HR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.05-1.66) cancer and lower risk for lung cancer (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.44-0.87). Similarly, waist circumference was associated with increased risk for overall, gastrointestinal, and gynecologic but not lung cancer. VAT but not subcutaneous adipose tissue was associated with risk for overall cancer (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.05-1.43), lung cancer (HR: 1.92; 95% CI: 1.01-3.66), and melanoma (HR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.02-2.38) independent of BMI. Last, higher CRP levels were associated with higher risk for overall, colorectal, and lung cancer (P < 0.05 for all). Conclusions: Obesity and abdominal adiposity are associated with future risk for specific cancers (eg, gastrointestinal, gynecologic). Although obesity was associated with lower risk for lung cancer, greater VAT and CRP were associated with higher lung cancer risk after adjusting for BMI.

Systemic oxidative stress associates with new-onset hypertension in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Oxidative stress is known to be involved in the development of hypertension, but accurate redox biomarkers predicting the risk of developing hypertension are scarce. Serum free sulfhydryl groups (R-SH, free thiols) have been shown to accurately reflect systemic oxidative stress in various conditions. In this study, we aimed to investigate associations between serum free thiols and the risk of developing new-onset hypertension in a population-based cohort study. METHODS: Subjects (n = 3,575) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, a prospective, population-based cohort study in the Netherlands, were included. Baseline protein-adjusted serum free thiols were studied for their associations with the development of hypertension, defined as a systolic blood pressure (SBP) of at least 140 mmHg, a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) of at least 90 mmHg, or the first usage of antihypertensive medication. Subjects with hypertension at baseline were excluded from the study. RESULTS: Mean protein-adjusted serum free thiols at baseline was 5.16 µmol/g of protein (range: 1.62-8.41 µmol/g). Protein-adjusted serum free thiols were significantly associated with the risk of incident hypertension (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 0.60 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49-0.72, P < 0.001), also after adjustment for age and sex (HR 0.81 [95% CI: 0.66-0.91], P < 0.05), but not after additional adjustment for relevant confounding factors (HR 0.90 [95% CI: 0.70-1.15], P = 0.382). CONCLUSION: Higher levels of serum free thiols, i.e. less oxidative stress, are associated with a decreased risk of developing incident hypertension in subjects from the general population.

Muscle mass and estimates of renal function: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Creatinine is the most widely used test to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (GFR), but muscle mass as key determinant of creatinine next to renal function may confound such estimates. We explored effects of 24-h height-indexed creatinine excretion rate (CER index) on GFR estimated with creatinine (eGFRCr ), muscle mass-independent cystatin C (eGFRCys ), and the combination of creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRCr-Cys ) and predicted probabilities of discordant classification given age, sex, and CER index. METHODS: We included 8076 adults enrolled in the PREVEND study. Discordant classification was defined as not having eGFRCr  <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 when eGFRCys was <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 . Baseline effects of age and sex on CER index were quantified with linear models using generalized least squares. Baseline effects of CER index on eGFR were quantified with quantile regression and logistic regression. Effects of annual changes in CER index on trajectories of eGFR were quantified with linear mixed-effects models. Missing observations in covariates were multiply imputed. RESULTS: Mean (SD) CER index was 8.0 (1.7) and 6.1 (1.3) mmol/24 h per meter in male and female participants, respectively (Pdifference  < 0.001). In male participants, baseline CER index increased until 45 years of age followed by a gradual decrease, whereas a gradual decrease across the entire range of age was observed in female participants. For a 70-year-old male participant with low muscle mass (CER index of 2 mmol/24 h per meter), predicted baseline eGFRCr and eGFRCys disagreed by 24.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 (and 30.1 mL/min/1.73 m2 when creatinine was not corrected for race). Percentages (95% CI) of discordant classification in male and female participants aged 60 years and older with low muscle mass were 18.5% (14.8-22.1%) and 15.2% (11.4-18.5%), respectively. For a 70-year-old male participant who lost muscle during follow-up, eGFRCr and eGFRCys disagreed by 1.5, 5.0, 8.5, and 12.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 (and 6.7, 10.7, 13.5, and 15.9 mL/min/1.73 m2 when creatinine was not corrected for race) at baseline, 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years of follow-up, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Low muscle mass may cause considerable overestimation of single measurements of eGFRCr . Muscle wasting may cause spurious overestimation of repeatedly measured eGFRCr . Implementing muscle mass-independent markers for estimating renal function, like cystatin C as superior alternative to creatinine, is crucial to accurately assess renal function in settings of low muscle mass or muscle wasting. This would also eliminate the negative consequences of current race-based approaches.

Relative fat mass, a new index of adiposity, is strongly associated with incident heart failure: data from PREVEND.

Body-mass index (BMI), waist circumference, and waist-hip ratio are commonly used anthropometric indices of adiposity. However, over the past 10 years, several new anthropometric indices were developed, that more accurately correlated with body fat distribution and total fat mass. They include relative fat mass (RFM), body-roundness index (BRI), weight-adjusted-waist index and body-shape index (BSI). In the current study, we included 8295 adults from the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) observational cohort (the Netherlands), and sought to examine associations of novel as well as established adiposity indices with incident heart failure (HF). The mean age of study population was 50 ± 13 years, and approximately 50% (n = 4134) were women. Over a 11 year period, 363 HF events occurred, resulting in an overall incidence rate of 3.88 per 1000 person-years. We found that all indices of adiposity (except BSI) were significantly associated with incident HF in the total population (P < 0.001); these associations were not modified by sex (P interaction > 0.1). Amongst adiposity indices, the strongest association was observed with RFM [hazard ratio (HR) 1.67 per 1 SD increase; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37-2.04]. This trend persisted across multiple age groups and BMI categories, and across HF subtypes [HR: 1.76, 95% CI 1.26-2.45 for HF with preserved ejection fraction; HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.25-2.06 for HF with reduced ejection fraction]. We also found that all adiposity indices (except BSI) improved the fit of a clinical HF model; improvements were, however, most evident after adding RFM and BRI (reduction in Akaike information criteria: 24.4 and 26.5 respectively). In conclusion, we report that amongst multiple anthropometric indicators of adiposity, RFM displayed the strongest association with HF risk in Dutch community dwellers. Future studies should examine the value of including RFM in HF risk prediction models.

24-Hour Urinary Sodium and Potassium Excretion and Cardiovascular Risk.

BACKGROUND: The relation between sodium intake and cardiovascular disease remains controversial, owing in part to inaccurate assessment of sodium intake. Assessing 24-hour urinary excretion over a period of multiple days is considered to be an accurate method. METHODS: We included individual-participant data from six prospective cohorts of generally healthy adults; sodium and potassium excretion was assessed with the use of at least two 24-hour urine samples per participant. The primary outcome was a cardiovascular event (coronary revascularization or fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke). We analyzed each cohort using consistent methods and combined the results using a random-effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Among 10,709 participants, who had a mean (±SD) age of 51.5±12.6 years and of whom 54.2% were women, 571 cardiovascular events were ascertained during a median study follow-up of 8.8 years (incidence rate, 5.9 per 1000 person-years). The median 24-hour urinary sodium excretion was 3270 mg (10th to 90th percentile, 2099 to 4899). Higher sodium excretion, lower potassium excretion, and a higher sodium-to-potassium ratio were all associated with a higher cardiovascular risk in analyses that were controlled for confounding factors (P≤0.005 for all comparisons). In analyses that compared quartile 4 of the urinary biomarker (highest) with quartile 1 (lowest), the hazard ratios were 1.60 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19 to 2.14) for sodium excretion, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.51 to 0.91) for potassium excretion, and 1.62 (95% CI, 1.25 to 2.10) for the sodium-to-potassium ratio. Each daily increment of 1000 mg in sodium excretion was associated with an 18% increase in cardiovascular risk (hazard ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.29), and each daily increment of 1000 mg in potassium excretion was associated with an 18% decrease in risk (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.94). CONCLUSIONS: Higher sodium and lower potassium intakes, as measured in multiple 24-hour urine samples, were associated in a dose-response manner with a higher cardiovascular risk. These findings may support reducing sodium intake and increasing potassium intake from current levels. (Funded by the American Heart Association and the National Institutes of Health.).

Serum free sulfhydryl status associates with new-onset chronic kidney disease in the general population.

BACKGROUND: Serum sulfhydryl groups (R-SH, free thiols) reliably reflect the systemic redox status in health and disease. As oxidation of R-SH occurs rapidly by reactive oxygen species (ROS), oxidative stress is accompanied by reduced levels of free thiols. Oxidative stress has been implicated in the pathophysiology of chronic kidney disease (CKD), in which redox imbalance may precede the onset of CKD. Therefore, we aimed to investigate associations between serum free thiols and the risk of incident CKD as defined by renal function decline and albuminuria in a population-based cohort study. METHODS: Subjects without CKD (n = 4,745) who participated in the Prevention of REnal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND) study, a prospective, population-based cohort study in the Netherlands, were included. Baseline protein-adjusted serum free thiols were studied for their associations with the development of CKD, defined as a composite outcome of an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73m2, urinary 24-h albumin excretion (UAE) > 30 mg/24-h, or both. RESULTS: Median level of protein-adjusted serum free thiols at baseline was 5.14 µmol/g of protein (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.50-5.75 µmol/g) and median eGFR was 96 mL/min/1.73 m2 [IQR: 85-106]. Protein-adjusted serum free thiols were significantly associated with incident CKD (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 0.42 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.36-0.52, P < 0.001), even after adjustment for traditional risk factors (HR 0.67 [95% CI: 0.47-0.94], P=0.022). In secondary analyses, the highest tertile of protein-adjusted serum free thiols was inversely associated with incident UAE >30 mg/24-h after full adjustment for confounding factors (HR per doubling 0.70 [95% CI: 0.51-0.96], P=0.028). CONCLUSION: Higher levels of serum R-SH, reflecting less oxidative stress, are associated with a decreased risk of developing CKD in subjects from the general population. This association is primarily driven by incident CKD as defined by UAE.