Novel electrocardiographic classification for stroke prediction in atrial fibrillation patients undergoing cardioversion.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal conduction, structure and function of the atrial myocardium predispose to atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke. Usefulness of electrocardiographic (ECG) indices in predicting stroke or systemic embolism (SSE) in patients undergoing cardioversion for AF remains unknown, especially in those at low estimated risk. OBJECTIVE: To systematically evaluate the performance of various P-wave abnormalities (PWA) in predicting SSE 30 days after cardioversion (derivation cohort) and in the long-term (validation cohort). METHODS: ECGs (n=1773) of AF patients undergoing an acute cardioversion were manually reviewed. The 30-day post-cardioversion data was used to derive a composite PWA variable. The ECG findings were validated using the long-term follow-up of patients with no anticoagulation. ECGs of 27 CAREBANK study patients with right atrial appendage biopsies were further analyzed for histopathological validation. RESULTS: During data derivation, the best performance was found using a combination of prolonged P-wave (≥180ms), deflected P-wave morphology in lead II, biphasic P-waves in inferior leads or increased P-terminal force (≥80mm*ms) as markers for extensive PWA. In the validation cohort 219/874 (25.1%) had extensive PWA. During a median follow-up of 4.9 years, there were 51 (5.8%) SSE in total. In a competing risk model PWA predicted SSE (aHR 2.1 per category, 95%CI 1.4-3.1, p<0.001). Area under the curve for SSE at 3 years were 0.77, 0.79 and 0.86 for PWA, CHA2DS2-VASc score or their combination, respectively. Histologically, extensive PWA was associated with interstitial fibrosis (p=0.033). CONCLUSION: Novel electrocardiographic PWA classification provided additional prognostic insight in AF patients.

Classification of the Urgency of the Procedure and Outcome of Acute Type A Aortic Dissection.

Surgery for type A aortic dissection (TAAD) is associated with a high risk of early mortality. The prognostic impact of a new classification of the urgency of the procedure was evaluated in this multicenter cohort study. Data on consecutive patients who underwent surgery for acute TAAD were retrospectively collected in the multicenter, retrospective European Registry of TAAD (ERTAAD). The rates of in-hospital mortality of 3,902 consecutive patients increased along with the ERTAAD procedure urgency grades: urgent procedure 10.0%, emergency procedure grade 1 13.3%, emergency procedure grade 2 22.1%, salvage procedure grade 1 45.6%, and salvage procedure grade 2 57.1% (p <0.0001). Preoperative arterial lactate correlated with the urgency grades. Inclusion of the ERTAAD procedure urgency classification significantly improved the area under the receiver operating characteristics curves of the regression model and the integrated discrimination indexes and the net reclassification indexes. The risk of postoperative stroke/global brain ischemia, mesenteric ischemia, lower limb ischemia, dialysis, and acute heart failure increased along with the urgency grades. In conclusion, the urgency of surgical repair of acute TAAD, which seems to have a significant impact on the risk of in-hospital mortality, may be useful to improve the stratification of the operative risk of these critically ill patients. This study showed that salvage surgery for TAAD is justified because half of the patients may survive to discharge.

Positive Correlation Between Thoracic Aortic Diameter and Intracranial Aneurysm Size-An Observational Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between intracranial aneurysms (IAs) and thoracic aortic diameter. METHODS: This observational cohort study examined thoracic aortic diameters in patients with IA. Patients were categorized by IA size (<7 mm and ≥7 mm) and IA status (ruptured/unruptured) based on radiologic findings. We investigated the association between thoracic aortic diameter and IA size and status using binary and linear regression as univariate and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: A total of 409 patients were included. Mean age was 60 (±11.7) years and 63% were women. Thoracic aortic diameters were greater among patients who had an IA ≥7 mm versus IA <7 mm (P < 0.05). In the univariate analysis, the diameter of the ascending aorta (odds ratio [OR], 1.07; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.02-1.129 per 1 mm; P = 0.002), aortic arch (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.04-1.15 per 1 mm; P < 0.001), and descending aorta (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03-1.16 per 1 mm; P = 0.003) were associated with IAs ≥7 mm. In the multivariable regression model, larger ascending aorta (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17 per 1 mm; P = 0.018), aortic arch (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.02-1.22 per 1 mm; P = 0.013), and descending aorta (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.08-1.33 per 1 mm; P < 0.001) were associated with ruptured IA. CONCLUSIONS: Greater thoracic aortic diameters are associated with a higher risk of IA being larger than 7 mm and IA rupture. Exploring the concomitant growth tendency in IA and thoracic aorta provides a basis for future considerations regarding screening and risk management.

Fibrillatory wave amplitude and thromboembolic risk in non-anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: The benefit of oral anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation (AF) is well established for patients at elevated stroke risk, but less clear for those at intermediate risk. We investigated whether analysis of electrocardiogram (ECG) derived fibrillatory waves (F-waves) could help identify patients at risk for stroke and systemic embolism (SSE). METHODS: The Finnish Cardioversion (FinCV) study included patients not on permanent anticoagulation therapy who underwent cardioversion for an acute AF episode. We identified 739 individuals with a valid ECG and complete follow-up data. The maximum amplitudes of the F-waves in leads II and V1 were manually measured from the pre-procedure ECG. Patients were categorized into fine and coarse F-wave groups. The optimal lead and amplitude threshold for grouping were found in an events per person-years analysis. SSE were identified from the patient medical records until either anticoagulation was prescribed, AF was deemed chronic, the patient had deceased, or the end of follow-up. RESULTS: Overall 37 (5.0%) patients suffered SSE during the median follow-up time of 5.4 years (1.9-10.8). Measured from lead V1 the SSE rates per 100 person-years were 1.5 and 0.7 in fine and coarse F-wave groups, respectively. Fine F-waves were observed in 112 (15.2%). Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups. Fine F-wave predicted SSE in a competing risk analysis (SHR 2.34, 95%CI 1.12-4.87, p = .023). Analyses from lead II did not provide significant results. CONCLUSION: Electrocardiographic F-wave amplitude may provide additional information on stroke risk in patients with paroxysmal AF and borderline indications or contraindications for anticoagulation.

Prolonged Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome After Cardiac Surgery.

OBJECTIVES: Cardiac surgery induces systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), leading to higher morbidity and mortality. There are no individualized predictors for worse outcomes or biomarkers for the multifactorial, excessive inflammatory response. The interest of this study was to evaluate whether a systematic use of the SIRS criteria could be used to predict postoperative outcomes beyond infection and sepsis, and if the development of an exaggerated inflammation response could be observed preoperatively. DESIGN: The study was observational, with prospectively enrolled patients. SETTING: This was a single institution study in a hospital setting combined with laboratory findings. PARTICIPANTS: The study included a cohort of 261 volunteer patients. INTERVENTIONS: Patients underwent cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass, and were followed up to 90 days. Biomarker profiling was run preoperatively. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Altogether, 17 of 261 (6.4%) patients had prolonged SIRS, defined as fulfilling at least 2 criteria on 4 consecutive postoperative days. During hospitalization, postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) was found in 42.2% of patients, and stroke and transient ischemic attack in 3.8% of patients. Prolonged SIRS was a significant predictor of POAF (odds ratio [OR] 4.5, 95% CI 1.2-17.3), 90-day stroke (OR 4.5, 95% CI 1.1-18.0), and mortality (OR 10.7, 95% CI 1.7-68.8). Biomarker assays showed that preoperative nerve growth factor and interleukin 5 levels were associated with prolonged SIRS (OR 5.6, 95%, CI 1.4-23.2 and OR 0.7, 95%, CI 0.4-1.0, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Nerve growth factor and interleukin 5 can be used to predict prolonged systemic inflammatory response, which is associated with POAF, stroke, and mortality.

The Role of MAPRE2 and Microtubules in Maintaining Normal Ventricular Conduction.

BACKGROUND: Brugada syndrome is associated with loss-of-function SCN5A variants, yet these account for only ≈20% of cases. A recent genome-wide association study identified a novel locus within MAPRE2, which encodes EB2 (microtubule end-binding protein 2), implicating microtubule involvement in Brugada syndrome. METHODS: A mapre2 knockout zebrafish model was generated using CRISPR/Cas9 (clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeats/clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat-associated protein 9) and validated by Western blot. Larval hearts at 5 days post-fertilization were isolated for voltage mapping and immunocytochemistry. Adult fish hearts were used for ECG, patch clamping, and immunocytochemistry. Morpholinos were injected into embryos at 1-cell stage for knockdown experiments. A transgenic zebrafish line with cdh2 tandem fluorescent timer was used to study adherens junctions. Microtubule plus-end tracking and patch clamping were performed in human induced pluripotent stem cell derived cardiomyocytes (iPSC-CMs) with MAPRE2 knockdown and knockout, respectively. RESULTS: Voltage mapping of mapre2 knockout hearts showed a decrease in ventricular maximum upstroke velocity of the action potential and conduction velocity, suggesting loss of cardiac voltage-gated sodium channel function. ECG showed QRS prolongation in adult knockout fish, and patch clamping showed decreased sodium current density in knockout ventricular myocytes and arrhythmias in knockout iPSC-CMs. Confocal imaging showed disorganized adherens junctions and mislocalization of mature Ncad (N-cadherin) with mapre2 loss of function, associated with a decrease of detyrosinated tubulin. MAPRE2 knockdown in iPSC-CMs led to an increase in microtubule growth velocity and distance, indicating changes in microtubule dynamics. Finally, knockdown of ttl encoding tubulin tyrosine ligase in mapre2 knockout larvae rescued tubulin detyrosination and ventricular maximum upstroke velocity of the action potential. CONCLUSIONS: Genetic ablation of mapre2 led to a decrease in voltage-gated sodium channel function, a hallmark of Brugada syndrome, associated with disruption of adherens junctions, decrease of detyrosinated tubulin as a marker of microtubule stability, and changes in microtubule dynamics. Restoration of the detyrosinated tubulin fraction with ttl knockdown led to rescue of voltage-gated sodium channel-related functional parameters in mapre2 knockout hearts. Taken together, our study implicates microtubule dynamics in the modulation of ventricular conduction.

Ischemic Stroke Temporally Associated With New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Registry-Linkage Study.

BACKGROUND: Limited data exist on the temporal relationship between new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischemic stroke and its impact on patients' clinical characteristics and mortality. METHODS: A population-based registry-linkage database includes all patients with new-onset AF in Finland from 2007 to 2018. Ischemic stroke temporally associated with AF (ISTAF) was defined as an ischemic stroke occurring within ±30 days from the first AF diagnosis. Clinical factors associated with ISTAF were studied with logistic regression and 90-day survival with Cox proportional hazards analysis. RESULTS: Among 229 565 patients with new-onset AF (mean age, 72.7 years; 50% female), 204 774 (89.2%) experienced no ischemic stroke, 12 209 (5.3%) had past ischemic stroke >30 days before AF, and 12 582 (5.8%) had ISTAF. The annual proportion of ISTAF among patients with AF decreased from 6.0% to 4.8% from 2007 to 2018. Factors associated positively with ISTAF were higher age, lower education level, and alcohol use disorder, whereas vascular disease, heart failure, chronic kidney disease cancer, and psychiatric disorders were less probable with ISTAF. Compared with patients without ischemic stroke and those with past ischemic stroke, ISTAF was associated with ≈3-fold and 1.5-fold risks of death (adjusted hazard ratios, 2.90 [95% CI, 2.76-3.04] and 1.47 [95% CI, 1.39-1.57], respectively). The 90-day survival probability of patients with ISTAF increased from 0.79 (95% CI, 0.76-0.81) in 2007 to 0.89 (95% CI, 0.87-0.91) in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: ISTAF depicts the prominent temporal clustering of ischemic strokes surrounding AF diagnosis. Despite having fewer comorbidities, patients with ISTAF had worse, albeit improving, survival than patients with a history of or no ischemic stroke. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT04645537. URL: https://www.encepp.eu; Unique identifier: EUPAS29845.

Temporal Relation Between Myocardial Infarction and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: Results from a Nationwide Registry Study.

Myocardial infarction (MI) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are commonly seen in the same patient. In this study, we evaluated the temporal relations and prognosis of MI and AF. This is a substudy of the nationwide registry-based Finnish Anticoagulation in Atrial Fibrillation (FinACAF) study, comprising all Finnish patients with new-onset AF from 2010 to 2017. Patients with MI and AF were divided into groups depending on the temporal relation between the disease onsets: (1) MI before AF (MIAF), and (4) no MI. The 1-year mortality in the groups were studied with the Cox proportional hazards model. Of the 153,207 patients with new-onset AF (mean age 72.7 years, 50.0% women), 16,265 (10.6%) were diagnosed with MI. Altogether, 8,889 (54.7%) of the patients with MI were in the MIAF group. Of all MIs, 42.2% were diagnosed within 1 year from new-onset AF. The MI>AF group had the worst survival, with an adjusted hazard ratio for death of 3.08 (confidence interval [CI] 2.89 to 3.27) compared with patients without MI. For the MI

Antithrombotic Medication and Major Complications After Mechanical Aortic Valve Replacement.

Patients with mechanical aortic valve replacement (AVR) require lifelong vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy for stroke and systemic embolism prevention. However, VKA treatment predisposes patients to various types of bleeding. In the present study, we sought to assess the success of antithrombotic therapy and the occurrence and timing of strokes and bleeding events after mechanical AVR. A total of 308 patients who underwent isolated mechanical AVR were included in the study, and follow-up data were completed for 306 patients (99.4%). The median follow-up time was 7.3 (interquartile range 4.2 to 10.9) years. The risk for major bleeding was 5-fold compared with major stroke (6.2% vs 1.3% and 20.9% vs 4.0%, respectively; events rates 3.1 vs 0.5 per 100 patient-years, respectively) at 30-day and long-term follow-up, indicating good efficacy but inadequate safety of stroke prevention. At the time of the early postoperative major bleeding, the international normalized ratio was under the therapeutic range in 73.7% of the patients. However, most patients were on triple antithrombotic treatment consisting of subcutaneous enoxaparin, VKA, and a tail effect of discontinued aspirin. During the long-term follow-up, the most common site of bleeding was gastrointestinal (41.7%), followed by genitourinary bleeding (23.3%) and intracranial hemorrhage (18.3%). Furthermore, mortality was relatively high, with a 10-year survival estimate of 78.3%. In conclusion, although ischemic stroke is a well-identified adverse event after mechanical AVR, it seems that major bleeding is a frequent clinically relevant complication during perioperative and long-term follow-up. This finding underscores the recognition and management of modifiable bleeding risk factors.

Risk of fluid accumulation after cardiac surgery.

Objective: Patients undergoing heart surgery are at high risk of postoperative fluid accumulation due to long procedures and cardiopulmonary bypass. In the present study, we sought to investigate the prevalence of postoperative fluid accumulation and its relation to adverse events in patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Methods: CAREBANK is prospective, single-center cohort study focusing on the adverse events after cardiac surgery. The study population was divided into 2 groups based on 5% postoperative weight gain. All the in-hospital adverse events are registered on the database. The end points of the present study were length of hospital stay, length of intensive care unit stay, occurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation after hospital major bleeding episodes major cardiac events, cerebrovascular events, and death. Three-month and 1-year follow-up data also include all major adverse events. Results: Altogether 1001 adult cardiac surgery patients were enrolled. The most frequent operations were coronary artery bypass grafting (56.3%). Five hundred fifty-four out of 939 (59.0%) patients had ≥5% weight gain during index hospitalization. Patients with a weight gain ≥5% were more likely to be women, have lower body mass index, had heart failure, and more often had preoperative atrial fibrillation. In-hospital period fluid accumulation was associated with reoperation due bleeding and longer total hospital stay. At 3 months' follow-up, weight gain 5% or more was associated with increased occurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation, this was not reflected in the occurrence of strokes, transient ischemic attacks, or myocardial infarctions. Conclusions: Postoperative fluid excess is associated with adverse outcomes in cardiac surgery. Women, low-weight patients, and patients with cardiac failure or atrial fibrillation are prone to perioperative fluid accumulation.

Mechanocardiography-Based Measurement System Indicating Changes in Heart Failure Patients during Hospital Admission and Discharge.

Heart failure (HF) is a disease related to impaired performance of the heart and is a significant cause of mortality and treatment costs in the world. During its progression, HF causes worsening (decompensation) periods which generally require hospital care. In order to reduce the suffering of the patients and the treatment cost, avoiding unnecessary hospital visits is essential, as hospitalization can be prevented by medication. We have developed a data-collection device that includes a high-quality 3-axis accelerometer and 3-axis gyroscope and a single-lead ECG. This allows gathering ECG synchronized data utilizing seismo- and gyrocardiography (SCG, GCG, jointly mechanocardiography, MCG) and comparing the signals of HF patients in acute decompensation state (hospital admission) and compensated condition (hospital discharge). In the MECHANO-HF study, we gathered data from 20 patients, who each had admission and discharge measurements. In order to avoid overfitting, we used only features developed beforehand and selected features that were not outliers. As a result, we found three important signs indicating the worsening of the disease: an increase in signal RMS (root-mean-square) strength (across SCG and GCG), an increase in the strength of the third heart sound (S3), and a decrease in signal stability around the first heart sound (S1). The best individual feature (S3) alone was able to separate the recordings, giving 85.0% accuracy and 90.9% accuracy regarding all signals and signals with sinus rhythm only, respectively. These observations pave the way to implement solutions for patient self-screening of the HF using serial measurements.

Mechanocardiography in the Detection of Acute ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction: The MECHANO-STEMI Study.

Novel means to minimize treatment delays in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) are needed. Using an accelerometer and gyroscope on the chest yield mechanocardiographic (MCG) data. We investigated whether STEMI causes changes in MCG signals which could help to detect STEMI. The study group consisted of 41 STEMI patients and 49 control patients referred for elective coronary angiography and having normal left ventricular function and no valvular heart disease or arrhythmia. MCG signals were recorded on the upper sternum in supine position upon arrival to the catheterization laboratory. In this study, we used a dedicated wearable sensor equipped with 3-axis accelerometer, 3-axis gyroscope and 1-lead ECG in order to facilitate the detection of STEMI in a clinically meaningful way. A supervised machine learning approach was used. Stability of beat morphology, signal strength, maximum amplitude and its timing were calculated in six axes from each window with varying band-pass filters in 2-90 Hz range. In total, 613 features were investigated. Using logistic regression classifier and leave-one-person-out cross validation we obtained a sensitivity of 73.9%, specificity of 85.7% and AUC of 0.857 (SD = 0.005) using 150 best features. As a result, mechanical signals recorded on the upper chest wall with the accelerometers and gyroscopes differ significantly between STEMI patients and stable patients with normal left ventricular function. Future research will show whether MCG can be used for the early screening of STEMI.

Frequency of cardioversions as an additional risk factor for stroke in atrial fibrillation - the FinCV-4 study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are selected for oral anticoagulation based on individual patient characteristics. There is little information on how clinical AF burden associates with the risk of ischaemic stroke or systemic embolism (SSE). The aim of this study was to explore the association of the frequency of cardioversions (CV) as a measure of clinical AF burden on the long-term SSE risk, with a focus on patients at intermediate stroke risk based on CHA2DS2-VASc score. For these patients, additional SSE risk stratification by assessing CV frequency may aid in the decision on whether to initiate oral anticoagulation. METHODS: This retrospective analysis of FinCV Study from years 2003-2010 included 2074 patients who were not using any oral anticoagulation (long term or temporary) after CVs and undergoing a total of 6534 CVs for AF from emergency departments of three hospitals. Two study groups were formed: high CV frequency (mean interval between CVs ≤12 months and low frequency (>12 months). RESULTS: A total of 107 SSEs occurred during a mean follow-up of 5.4 years. The event rates per 100 patient-years were 1.82 and 0.67 in high versus low CV frequency groups, respectively. After adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASc score, CV frequency independently predicted SSE (HR, 2.87 [95% CI, 1.47 to 5.64]; p = .002) at 3 years. Competing risk analysis also identified CV frequency (sHR, 2.70 [95% CI, 1.38-5.31]; p = .004) as an independent predictor for SSE. In patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 1 and low CV frequency, the SSE risk was only 0.08 per 100 patient-years. CONCLUSIONS: Frequency of CVs for symptomatic AF episodes provides additional information on stroke risk in AF patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score 1.Key messagesThis retrospective study offers a unique opportunity to observe the natural course of AF patients with infrequent episodes of clinical arrhythmia when they were not using OAC (before introduction of CHA2DS2-VASc score).Stroke or systemic embolism rate was very low (0.08 per 100 patient-years) in patients with one CHA2DS2-VASc point who visited the emergency room for cardioversion less than once a year.Frequency of cardioversions can be used for additional risk stratification in patients at intermediate risk of stroke based on CHA2DS2-VASc score.

End-to-end sensor fusion and classification of atrial fibrillation using deep neural networks and smartphone mechanocardiography.

Objective. The purpose of this research is to develop a new deep learning framework for detecting atrial fibrillation (AFib), one of the most common heart arrhythmias, by analyzing the heart's mechanical functioning as reflected in seismocardiography (SCG) and gyrocardiography (GCG) signals. Jointly, SCG and GCG constitute the concept of mechanocardiography (MCG), a method used to measure precordial vibrations with the built-in inertial sensors of smartphones.Approach. We present a modified deep residual neural network model for the classification of sinus rhythm, AFib, and Noise categories from tri-axial SCG and GCG data derived from smartphones. In the model presented, pre-processing including automated early sensor fusion and spatial feature extraction are carried out using attention-based convolutional and residual blocks. Additionally, we use bidirectional long short-term memory layers on top of fully-connected layers to extract both spatial and spatiotemporal features of the multidimensional SCG and GCG signals. The dataset consisted of 728 short measurements recorded from 300 patients. Further, the measurements were divided into disjoint training, validation, and test sets, respectively, of 481 measurements, 140 measurements, and 107 measurements. Prior to ingestion by the model, measurements were split into 10 s segments with 75 percent overlap, pre-processed, and augmented.Main results. On the unseen test set, the model delivered average micro- and macro-F1-score of 0.88 (0.87-0.89; 95% CI) and 0.83 (0.83-0.84; 95% CI) for the segment-wise classification as well as 0.95 (0.94-0.96; 95% CI) and 0.95 (0.94-0.96; 95% CI) for the measurement-wise classification, respectively.Significance. Our method not only can effectively fuse SCG and GCG signals but also can identify heart rhythms and abnormalities in the MCG signals with remarkable accuracy.

Polygenic Risk Scores for Predicting Adverse Outcomes After Coronary Revascularization.

Coronary procedures predispose patients to adverse events. To improve our understanding of the genetic factors underlying postoperative prognosis, we studied the association of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) with postprocedural complications in coronary patients who underwent revascularization. The study sample comprised 8,296, 6,132, and 13,082 patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass grafting, or any revascularization, respectively. We genotyped all subjects and identified adverse events during follow-up of up to 30 years by record linkage with nationwide healthcare registers. We computed PRSs for each postoperative adverse outcome (atrial fibrillation [AF], myocardial infarction, stroke, and bleeding complications) for all participants. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between PRSs and outcomes. A 1-SD increase in AF-PRS was associated with greater risk of postoperative AF with hazard ratios of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.16 to 1.28), 1.15 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.20) and 1.18 (95% CI 1.14 to 1.22) after percutaneous coronary intervention, coronary artery bypass grafting, and any revascularization, respectively. In contrast, the association of each PRSs with other postoperative complications was nonexistent to marginal. Inclusion of the AF-PRS in a model with a clinical risk score resulted in significant model improvement (increase in model c-statistic 0.0059 to 0.0098 depending on procedure; p <0.0002 for all). In conclusion, our results demonstrate that PRS can be used for AF risk-prediction in patients who underwent revascularization. The AF-PRS could potentially be used to improve AF prevention and outcomes in patients who underwent revascularization.

Late incidence and recurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation after isolated surgical aortic valve replacement.

OBJECTIVES: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common complication after cardiac surgery. More knowledge is needed about long-term AF recurrence and adverse outcomes related to new-onset AF (NOAF) during the index hospitalization. METHODS: A total of 1073 patients underwent isolated surgical aortic valve replacement at the 4 participating hospitals (2002-2014). After the exclusion of patients with a history of any preoperative AF, the final study population included 529 patients in the bioprosthetic and 253 patients in the mechanical valve prosthesis cohort. Median follow-up time was 5.4 (interquartile range, 3.4-8.2) years in the combined cohort. RESULTS: Altogether 333 (42.6%) patients had in-hospital NOAF and 250 (32.0%) AF after hospital discharge. In the mechanical cohort, 64 (25.3%) experienced in-hospital NOAF and 74 (29.2%) AF after hospital discharge, whereas in the bioprosthetic cohort, 269 (50.9%) patients had in-hospital NOAF and 176 (33.3%) AF after hospital discharge. Patients with NOAF during the index hospital stay had a multifold risk of AF after hospital discharge in the combined cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 3.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.82-4.81; P < .0001) as well as in both cohorts separately (bioprosthetic: HR, 4.35; 95% CI, 3.05-6.22; P < .001; mechanical: HR, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.59-4.03; P < .001). Patients with an in-hospital NOAF also had a significantly higher adjusted risk of death during the follow-up in the mechanical (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.10-3.82; P = .025) and bioprosthetic (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.17-2.28; P = .004) valve prosthesis cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: NOAF during the index hospitalization is associated with a 2- to 4-fold risk of later AF and 1.6- to 2.0-fold risk of all-cause mortality after mechanical and bioprosthetic surgical aortic valve replacement.

Adherence to risk-assessment protocols to guide computed tomography pulmonary angiography in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism.

AIMS: The use of computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) in the detection of pulmonary embolism (PE) has considerably increased due developing technology and better availability of imaging. The underuse of pre-test probability scores and overuse of CTPA has been previously reported. We sought to investigate the indications for CTPA at a University Hospital emergency clinic and seek for factors eliciting the potential overuse of CTPA. METHODS AND RESULTS: Altogether 1001 patients were retrospectively collected and analysed from the medical records using a structured case report form. PE was diagnosed in 222/1001 (22.2%) of patients. Patients with PE had more often prior PE/deep vein thrombosis, bleeding/thrombotic diathesis and less often asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, coronary artery disease, or decompensated heart failure. Patients were divided into three groups based on Wells PE risk-stratification score and two groups based on the revised Geneva score. A total of 9/382 (2.4%), 166/527 (31.5%), and 47/92 (52.2%) patients had PE in the CTPA in the low, intermediate, and high pre-test likelihood groups according to Wells score, and 200/955 (20.9%) and 22/46 (47.8%) patients had PE in the CTPA in the low-intermediate and the high pre-test likelihood groups according to the revised Geneva score, respectively. D-dimer was only measured from 568/909 (62.5%) and 597/955 (62.5%) patients who were either in the low or the intermediate-risk group according to Wells score and the revised Geneva score. Noteworthy, 105/1001 (10.5%) and 107/1001 (10.7%) of the CTPAs were inappropriately ordered according to the Wells score and the revised Geneva score. Altogether 168/1001 (16.8%) could theoretically be avoided. CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights scant utilization of guideline-recommended risk-stratification tools in CTPA use at the emergency department.

Red blood cell transfusion induces abnormal HIF-1α response to cytokine storm after adult cardiac surgery.

Patients undergoing cardiac surgery develop a marked postoperative systemic inflammatory response. Blood transfusion may contribute to disruption of homeostasis in these patients. We sought to evaluate the impact of blood transfusion on serum interleukin-6 (IL-6), hypoxia induced factor-1 alpha (HIF-1α) levels as well as adverse outcomes in patients undergoing adult cardiac surgery. We prospectively enrolled 282 patients undergoing adult cardiac surgery. Serum IL-6 and HIF-1α levels were measured preoperatively and on the first postoperative day. Packed red blood cells were transfused in 26.3% of patients (mean 2.93 ± 3.05 units) by the time of postoperative sampling. Postoperative IL-6 levels increased over 30-fold and were similar in both groups (p = 0.115), whilst HIF-1α levels (0.377 pg/mL vs. 0.784 pg/mL, p = 0.002) decreased significantly in patients who received red blood cell transfusion. Moreover, greater decrease in HIF-1α levels predicted worse in-hospital and 3mo adverse outcome. Red blood cell transfusion was associated with higher risk of major adverse outcomes (stroke, pneumonia, all-cause mortality) during the index hospitalization. Red blood cell transfusion induces blunting of postoperative HIF-1 α response and is associated with higher risk of adverse thrombotic and pulmonary adverse events after cardiac surgery. Clinical Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03444259.

Intracranial aneurysm is predicted by abdominal aortic calcification index: A retrospective case-control study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with intracranial aneurysms (IA) have excess mortality for cardiovascular diseases, but little is known on whether atherosclerotic manifestations and IA coexist. We investigated abdominal aortic calcification index (ACI) association with unruptured and ruptured IAs. METHODS: This retrospective case-control study reviews all tertiary centers patients (n = 24,660) who had undergone head computed tomography angiography (CTA), magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) or digital subtraction angiography (DSA) for any reason between January 2003 and May 2018. Patients (n = 2020) with unruptured or ruptured IAs were identified, and patients with available abdominal CT were included. IA patients were matched by sex and age to controls (available abdomen CT, no IAs) in ratio of 1:3. ACI was measured from abdomen CT scans and patient records were reviewed. RESULTS: 1720 patients (216 ruptured IA (rIA), 246 unruptured IA (UIA) and 1258 control) were included. Mean age was 62.9 ± 11.9 years and 58.2% were female. ACI (OR 1.02 per increment, 95%CI 1.01-1.03) and ACI>3 (OR 5.77, 95%CI 3.29-10.11) increased risk for rIA compared to matched controls. UIA patients' ACI was significantly higher but ACI did not increase odds for UIA compared to matched controls. History of coronary artery disease was less frequent in rIA patients. There was no calcification in aorta in 8.8% rIA and 13.6% UIA patients (matched controls 25.7% and 22.6% respectively, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Aortic calcification is greater in rIA and UIA patients than matched controls. ACI increases risk for rIAs.