Labor market affiliation of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms: a population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) suffer from substantial symptoms and risk of debilitating complications, yet observational data on their labor market affiliation are scarce. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We conducted a descriptive cohort study using data from Danish nationwide registries, including patients diagnosed with MPN in 2010-2016. Each patient was matched with up to ten comparators without MPN on age, sex, level of education, and region of residence. We assessed pre- and post-diagnosis labor market affiliation, defined as working, unemployed, or receiving sickness benefit, disability pension, retirement pension, or other health-related benefits. Labor market affiliation was assessed weekly from two years pre-diagnosis until death, emigration, or 31 December 2018. For patients and comparators, we reported percentage point (pp) changes in labor market affiliation cross-sectionally from week -104 pre-diagnosis to week 104 post-diagnosis. RESULTS: The study included 3,342 patients with MPN and 32,737 comparators. From two years pre-diagnosis until two years post-diagnosis, a larger reduction in the proportion working was observed among patients than comparators (essential thrombocythemia: 10.2 [95% CI: 6.3-14.1] vs. 6.8 [95% CI: 5.5-8.0] pp; polycythemia vera: 9.6 [95% CI: 5.9-13.2] vs. 7.4 [95% CI: 6.2-8.7] pp; myelofibrosis: 8.1 [95% CI: 3.0-13.2] vs. 5.8 [95% CI: 4.2-7.5] pp; and unclassifiable MPN: 8.0 [95% CI: 3.0-13.0] vs. 7.4 [95% CI: 5.7-9.1] pp). Correspondingly, an increase in the proportion of patients receiving sickness benefits including other health-related benefits was evident around the time of diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Overall, we found that Danish patients with essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, myelofibrosis, and unclassifiable MPN had slightly impaired labor market affiliation compared with a population of the same age and sex. From two years pre-diagnosis to two years post-diagnosis, we observed a larger reduction in the proportion of patients with MPN working and a greater proportion receiving sickness benefits compared with matched individuals.

Weak sex-specific evolution of locomotor activity of Sepsis punctum (Diptera: Sepsidae) thermal experimental evolution lines.

Elevated temperatures are expected to rise beyond what the physiology of many organisms can tolerate. Behavioural responses facilitating microhabitat shifts may mitigate some of this increased thermal selection on physiology, but behaviours are themselves mediated by physiology, and any behavioural response may trade-off against other fitness-related activities. We investigated whether experimental evolution in different thermal regimes (Cold: 15 °C; Hot: 31 °C; Intergenerational fluctuation 15/31 °C; Control: 23 °C) resulted in genetic differentiation of standard locomotor activity in the dung fly Sepsis punctum. We assessed individual locomotor performance, an integral part of most behavioral repertoires, across eight warm temperatures from 24 °C to 45 °C using an automated device. We found no evidence for generalist-specialist trade-offs (i.e. changes in the breadth of the performance curve) for this trait. Instead, at the warmest assay temperatures hot-selected flies showed somewhat higher maximal performance than all other, especially cold-selected flies, overall more so in males than females. Yet, the flies' temperature optimum was not higher than that of the cold-selected flies, as expected under the 'hotter-is-better' hypothesis. Maximal locomotor performance merely weakly increased with body size. These results suggest that thermal performance curves are unlikely to evolve as an entity according to theory, and that locomotor activity is a trait of limited use in revealing thermal adaptation.

Healthcare resource utilization in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms: A Danish nationwide matched cohort study.

Few studies have assessed healthcare resource utilization (HRU) in patients with Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) using a matched cohort design. Further, no detailed assessment of HRU in the years preceding an MPN diagnosis exists. We conducted a registry-based nationwide Danish cohort study, including patients with essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, myelofibrosis, and unclassifiable MPN diagnosed between January 2010 and December 2016. HRU data were summarized annually from 2 years before MPN diagnosis until emigration, death, or end of study (December 2017). We included 3342 MPN patients and 32 737 comparisons without an MPN diagnosis, matched on sex, age, region of residence, and level of education. During the study period, the difference in HRU (rate ratio) between patients and matched comparisons ranged from 1.0 to 1.5 for general practitioner contacts, 0.9 to 2.2 for hospitalizations, 0.9 to 3.8 for inpatient days, 1.0 to 4.0 for outpatient visits, 1.3 to 2.1 for emergency department visits, and 1.0 to 4.1 for treatments/examinations. In conclusion, MPN patients had overall higher HRU than the matched comparisons throughout the follow-up period (maximum 8 years). Further, MPN patients had substantially increased HRU in both the primary and secondary healthcare sector in the 2 years preceding the diagnosis.

Risk of mortality and reoperation in hip fracture patients undergoing cemented versus uncemented hemiarthroplasty : a population-based study from Danish National Registries.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess the association of mortality and reoperation when comparing cemented and uncemented hemiarthroplasty (HA) in hip fracture patients aged over 65 years. METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study on hip fracture patients using prospectively gathered data from several national registries in Denmark from 2004 to 2015 with up to five years follow-up. The primary outcome was mortality and the secondary outcome was reoperation. Hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and subdistributional hazard ratios (sHRs) for reoperations are shown with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 17,671 patients with primary HA were identified (9,484 uncemented and 8,187 cemented HAs). Compared to uncemented HA, surgery with cemented HA was associated with an absolute risk difference of 0.4% for mortality within the period zero to one day after surgery and an adjusted HR of 1.70 (95% CI 1.22 to 2.38). After seven days, there was no longer any association, with an adjusted HR of 1.07 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.28). This continued until five years after surgery with a HR of 1.01 (95% CI 0.96 to 1.06). There was a higher proportion of reoperations due to any reason after five years in the uncemented group with 10.2% compared to the cemented group with 6.1%. This yielded an adjusted sHR of 0.65 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.75) and difference continued up until five years after the surgery, demonstrating a sHR of 0.70 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.83). CONCLUSION: In a non-selected cohort of hip fracture patients, surgery with cemented HA was associated with a higher relative mortality during the first postoperative day compared to surgery with uncemented HA, but there was no difference after seven days up until five years after. In contrast, surgery with cemented HA was associated with lower risk of reoperation up to five years postoperatively compared with surgery with uncemented HA. There was a higher relative mortality on the first postoperative day for cemented HA versus uncemented HA. There was no difference in mortality after seven days up until five years after surgery. There were 6.1% reoperations for cemented HA compared to 10.2% for uncemented HA after five years. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2022;104-B(1):127-133.

Responses to Developmental Temperature Fluctuation in Life History Traits of Five Drosophila Species (Diptera: Drosophilidae) from Different Thermal Niches.

Temperature has profound effects on biochemical processes as suggested by the extensive variation in performance of organisms across temperatures. Nonetheless, the use of fluctuating temperature (FT) regimes in laboratory experiments compared to constant temperature (CT) regimes is still mainly applied in studies of model organisms. We investigated how two amplitudes of developmental temperature fluctuation (22.5/27.5 °C and 20/30 °C, 12/12 h) affected several fitness-related traits in five Drosophila species with markedly different thermal resistance. Egg-to-adult viability did not change much with temperature except in the cold-adapted D. immigrans. Developmental time increased with FT among all species compared to the same mean CT. The impact of FT on wing size was quite diverse among species. Whereas wing size decreased quasi-linearly with CT in all species, there were large qualitative differences with FT. Changes in wing aspect ratio due to FT were large compared to the other traits and presumably a consequence of thermal stress. These results demonstrate that species of the same genus but with different thermal resistance can show substantial differences in responses to fluctuating developmental temperatures not predictable by constant developmental temperatures. Testing multiple traits facilitated the interpretation of responses to FT in a broader context.

Adverse outcomes after partner bereavement in people with reduced kidney function: Parallel cohort studies in England and Denmark.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether partner bereavement is associated with adverse cardiovascular and kidney-related events in people with reduced kidney function. DESIGN: Two parallel matched cohort studies using linked routinely collected health data. SETTING: England (general practices and hospitals using linked Clinical Practice Research Datalink, Hospital Episode Statistics, and Office of National Statistics) and Denmark (hospitals and community pharmacies using the Danish National Patient, Prescription and Education Registries and the Civil Registration System). PARTICIPANTS: Bereaved people with reduced kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60mL/min/1.73m2 (England) or hospital-coded chronic kidney disease (Denmark)) and non-bereaved people with reduced kidney function similarly defined, matched on age, sex, general practice (England), and county of residence (Denmark) and followed-up from the bereavement date of the exposed person. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) or acute kidney injury (AKI) hospitalization, or death. RESULTS: In people with reduced kidney function, we identified 19,820 (England) and 5,408 (Denmark) bereaved individuals and matched them with 134,828 (England) and 35,741 (Denmark) non-bereaved individuals. Among the bereaved, the rates of hospitalizations (per 1000 person-years) with CVD were 31.7 (95%-CI: 30.5-32.9) in England and 78.8 (95%-CI: 74.9-82.9) in Denmark; the rates of hospitalizations with AKI were 13.2 (95%-CI: 12.5-14.0) in England and 11.2 (95%-CI: 9.9-12.7) in Denmark; and the rates of death were 70.2 (95%-CI: 68.5-72.0) in England and 126.4 (95%-CI: 121.8-131.1) in Denmark. After adjusting for confounders, we found increased rates of CVD (England, HR 1.06 [95%-CI: 1.01-1.12]; Denmark, HR 1.10 [95%-CI: 1.04-1.17]), of AKI (England, HR 1.20 [95%-CI: 1.10-1.31]; Denmark HR 1.36 [95%-CI: 1.17-1.58]), and of death (England, HR 1.10 [95%-CI: 1.05-1.14]; Denmark HR 1.20 [95%-CI: 1.15-1.25]) in bereaved compared with non-bereaved people. CONCLUSIONS: Partner bereavement is associated with an increased rate of CVD and AKI hospitalization, and death in people with reduced kidney function. Additional supportive care for this at-risk population may help prevent serious adverse events.

Early Discontinuation of Endocrine Therapy and Recurrence of Breast Cancer among Premenopausal Women.

PURPOSE: Premenopausal women diagnosed with estrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer are prescribed 5-10 years of endocrine therapy to prevent or delay recurrence. In this study, we evaluated the association between early discontinuation of endocrine therapy and breast cancer recurrence in a cohort of premenopausal women. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: We identified 4,503 patients with premenopausal ER-positive breast cancer who initiated adjuvant endocrine therapy and were registered in the Danish Breast Cancer Group clinical database (2002-2011). Women were excluded if they had a recurrence or were lost to follow-up less than 1.5 years after breast cancer surgery. Endocrine therapy was considered complete if the patient received at least 4.5 years of treatment or discontinued medication less than 6 months before recurrence. Exposure status was updated annually and modeled as a time-dependent variable. We accounted for baseline and time-varying confounders via time-varying weights, which we calculated from multivariable logistic regression models, and included in regression models to estimate HRs and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associating early discontinuation with recurrence. RESULTS: Over the study follow-up, 1,001 (22%) women discontinued endocrine therapy. We observed 202 (20%) recurrences among those who discontinued endocrine therapy, and 388 (11%) among those who completed the recommended treatment. The multivariable-adjusted estimated rate of recurrence was higher in women who discontinued endocrine therapy relative to those who completed their treatment (hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.25-2.14). CONCLUSIONS: These results highlight the importance of clinical follow-up and behavioral interventions that support persistence of adjuvant endocrine therapy to prevent breast cancer recurrence.

Incidence of hypothyroidism after treatment for breast cancer-a Danish matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer survivors (BCS) may have increased risk of hypothyroidism, but risk according to treatment modality is unclear. We estimated the incidence of hypothyroidism in women with breast cancer, and according to cancer treatment. METHODS: Using nationwide registries, we identified all Danish women aged ≥ 35 years diagnosed with non-metastatic breast cancer (1996-2009). We matched up to five cancer-free women (controls) for each BCS. We excluded women with prevalent thyroid disease. Cancer treatment was chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy (RT) targeting the breast/chest wall only, or also the lymph nodes (RTn). We identified hypothyroidism using diagnostic codes, and/or levothyroxine prescriptions. We calculated the cumulative incidence, incidence rates (IR) per 1000 person-years, and used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of hypothyroidism, adjusting for comorbidities. RESULTS: We included 44,574 BCS and 203,306 matched controls with 2,631,488 person-years of follow-up. BCS had a slightly higher incidence of hypothyroidism than controls [5-year cumulative incidence, 1.8% (95%CI = 1.7-1.9) and 1.6% (95%CI = 1.5-1.6), respectively]. The overall IR was 4.45 (95%CI = 4.25-4.67) and 3.81 (95%CI = 3.73-3.90), corresponding to an adjusted HR = 1.17 (95%CI = 1.11-1.24). BCS who received RTn with chemotherapy (HR = 1.74, 95%CI = 1.50-2.02) or without chemotherapy (HR = 1.31, 95%CI = 1.14-1.51) had an elevated risk of hypothyroidism compared with matched controls and compared with BCS who underwent surgery alone [HR = 1.71, 95%CI = 1.45-2.01 and HR = 1.36, 95%CI = 1.17-1.58, respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: BCS have an excess risk of hypothyroidism compared with age-matched controls. BCS and those working in cancer survivorship settings ought to be aware that this risk is highest in women treated with radiation therapy to the lymph nodes and chemotherapy.

Bayesian Pathway Analysis for Complex Interactions.

Modern epidemiologic studies permit investigation of the complex pathways that mediate effects of social, behavioral, and molecular factors on health outcomes. Conventional analytical approaches struggle with high-dimensional data, leading to high likelihoods of both false-positive and false-negative inferences. Herein, we describe a novel Bayesian pathway analysis approach, the algorithm for learning pathway structure (ALPS), which addresses key limitations in existing approaches to complex data analysis. ALPS uses prior information about pathways in concert with empirical data to identify and quantify complex interactions within networks of factors that mediate an association between an exposure and an outcome. We illustrate ALPS through application to a complex gene-drug interaction analysis in the Predictors of Breast Cancer Recurrence (ProBe CaRe) Study, a Danish cohort study of premenopausal breast cancer patients (2002-2011), for which conventional analyses severely limit the quality of inference.

Predictive pharmacogenetic biomarkers for breast cancer recurrence prevention by simvastatin.

Background: Statins treat hyperlipidemia and prevent cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Evidence suggests that they also have anti-neoplastic activity. Several studies show a reduced rate of breast cancer recurrence among lipophilic statin users (e.g., simvastatin), motivating calls for clinical trials of statins in breast cancer patients. We measured the impact of genetic variation in statin-metabolizing enzymes and drug transporters on the recurrence rate in simvastatin-treated breast cancer patients.Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study among Danish women diagnosed with non-metastatic, invasive breast cancer between 2004-2010 who had filled ≥1 prescription for simvastatin after diagnosis. Cases were all breast cancer recurrences from the source population; one control was matched to each case on cancer stage, estrogen receptor and hormone therapy status, calendar period of diagnosis, and duration of simvastatin exposure. We genotyped variants in simvastatin-metabolizing enzymes (CYP3A4/rs35599367 and CYP3A5/rs776746) and drug transporters (ABCB1/rs2032582 and SLCO1B1/rs4149056), and estimated their association with recurrence with logistic regression models.Results: We observed protective (though imprecisely-measured) associations between variants in genes encoding drug transporters (ABCB1 and SLCO1B1) and simvastatin-metabolizing enzymes (CYP3A4 and CYP3A5) and breast cancer recurrence in simvastatin-treated women. For example, carrying two variant alleles in ABCB1 was associated with a 31% lower rate of recurrence (multivariable OR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.31, 1.5).Conclusion: Our study provides weak evidence to support the use of genetic variation in ABCB1, SLCO1B1, CYP3A4, and CYP3A5 as biomarkers of breast tumor response to simvastatin. Validation of these findings within adjuvant clinical trials is encouraged.

One-year mortality among non-surgical patients with hematological malignancies admitted to the intensive care unit: a Danish nationwide population-based cohort study.

PURPOSE: Contemporary data on mortality of hematological patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) are missing. In a Danish nationwide set-up, we assessed 30-day and 1-year mortality in this population including impact of age and comorbidity, with non-hematological patients as reference. METHODS: This population-based cohort study included all non-surgical patients > 15 years of age admitted to an ICU in Denmark between 2010 and 2015. Data on hematological malignancies were obtained from the Danish Hematological Database, and information on the Charlson Comorbidity Index was obtained from the Danish National Patient Registry. Thirty-day and 1-year mortality was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate hazard ratios. RESULTS: We included 2122 ICU patients with a hematological malignancy and 88,951 non-hematological ICU patients. The 30-day mortality was 44% (95% confidence interval: 42-47%) among hematological patients and 27% (27-27%) among non-hematological patients. Similarly, 1-year mortality was 66% (64-68%) and 37% (37-37%), respectively. The corresponding hazard ratio with adjustment for age, sex, and comorbidity was 1.62 (1.54-1.71). Excess mortality was observed in all subgroups of age or of comorbidity. For example, the 1-year mortality for patients with Charlson Comorbidity Index Score > 3: 70% (66-74%) among hematological patients and 62% (61-63%) among non-hematological patients. CONCLUSION: ICU patients with hematological malignancy had higher mortality than other ICU patients. However, one third of critically ill patients with a hematological malignancy is alive 1 year after ICU admission.

Metabolic Pathway Analysis and Effectiveness of Tamoxifen in Danish Breast Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: Tamoxifen and its metabolites compete with estrogen to occupy the estrogen receptor. The conventional dose of adjuvant tamoxifen overwhelms estrogen in this competition, reducing breast cancer recurrence risk by nearly half. Phase I metabolism generates active tamoxifen metabolites, and phase II metabolism deactivates them. No earlier pharmacogenetic study has comprehensively evaluated the metabolism and transport pathways, and no earlier study has included a large population of premenopausal women. METHODS: We completed a cohort study of 5,959 Danish nonmetastatic premenopausal breast cancer patients, in whom 938 recurrences occurred, and a case-control study of 541 recurrent cases in a cohort of Danish predominantly postmenopausal breast cancer patients, all followed for 10 years. We collected formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor blocks and genotyped 32 variants in 15 genes involved in tamoxifen metabolism or transport. We estimated conventional associations for each variant and used prior information about the tamoxifen metabolic path to evaluate the importance of metabolic and transporter pathways. RESULTS: No individual variant was notably associated with risk of recurrence in either study population. Both studies showed weak evidence of the importance of phase I metabolism in the clinical response to adjuvant tamoxifen therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Consistent with prior knowledge, our results support the role of phase I metabolic capacity in clinical response to tamoxifen. Nonetheless, no individual variant substantially explained the modest phase I effect on tamoxifen response. IMPACT: These results are consistent with guidelines recommending against genotype-guided prescribing of tamoxifen, and for the first time provide evidence supporting these guidelines in premenopausal women.

Hypothyroidism and the risk of breast cancer recurrence and all-cause mortality - a Danish population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Hypothyroidism may occur as a late effect of breast cancer-directed treatment, particularly after radiotherapy, but little is known whether hypothyroidism affects the prognosis after breast cancer. We investigated the association between hypothyroidism and breast cancer recurrence, and all-cause mortality. METHODS: In this population-based cohort study, we used national medical registries to identify all Danish women 35 years or older diagnosed with stage I-III, operable breast cancer between 1996 and 2009. Hypothyroidism was defined as hospital diagnoses ascertained via diagnostic codes, or as prescriptions for levothyroxine. Two analytic models were used: (i) hypothyroidism present at the time of the breast cancer diagnosis (prevalent) and (ii) hypothyroidism diagnosed during follow-up as a time-varying exposure lagged by 1 year (incident). Breast cancer recurrence was defined as any local, regional, or distant recurrence or contralateral breast cancer. All-cause mortality included death from any cause in any setting. We used Cox regression models accounting for competing risks to compute adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of breast cancer recurrence and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The study cohort included 35,463 women with breast cancer with 212,641 person-years of follow-up. At diagnosis, 1272 women had hypothyroidism and 859 women developed hypothyroidism during follow-up. In total, 5810 patients developed recurrent breast cancer. Neither prevalent nor incident hypothyroidism was associated with breast cancer recurrence (adjusted HRprevalent 1.01, 95% CI 0.87-1.19; adjusted HRincident 0.93, 95% CI 0.75-1.16, respectively). Furthermore, no differences were seen for all-cause mortality for prevalent or incident hypothyroidism (adjusted HRprevalent 1.02, 95% CI 0.92-1.14, and HRincident 1.08, 95% CI 0.95-1.23, respectively). Stratification by menopausal status, oestrogen receptor status, chemotherapy, or radiotherapy did not alter the estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Hypothyroidism present at diagnosis or during follow-up was not associated with breast cancer recurrence or all-cause mortality in women with breast cancer. Our findings provide reassurance to patients and their physicians that hypothyroidism is unlikely to impact on the clinical course of breast cancer or survival.

Expression of survivin does not appear to influence breast cancer recurrence risk.

BACKGROUND: Survivin is an inhibitor of apoptosis, and its expression associates with poor outcomes in multiple cancers. It may be a therapeutic target due to its unique expression in cancer cells. METHODS: We estimated the association between nuclear and cytoplasmic survivin expression in primary tumors and breast cancer recurrence. In this case-control study, we included women age 35-69, diagnosed with stage I-III breast cancer between 1985 and 2001, and registered with the Danish Breast Cancer Group. We identified 541 patients with breast cancer recurrence with estrogen receptor-positive disease who were treated with tamoxifen for at least 1 year (ER+/TAM+) and 300 with estrogen receptor-negative carcinomas, not treated with tamoxifen, and who survived at least 1 year (ER-/TAM-). Controls were matched to cases on ER/TAM status, date of surgery, menopausal status, stage and county. Survivin expression was estimated by immunohistochemistry on tissue microarrays. We fit logistic regression models to estimate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associating nuclear and cytoplasmic survivin expression with recurrence. RESULTS: Associations between nuclear and cytoplasmic survivin expression and breast cancer recurrence were near-null in both ER+/TAM + and ER-/TAM - strata. For the cytoplasmic to nuclear ratio (CNR) of survivin expression, we found a null association in the ER+/TAM + group comparing CNR ≥5 with CNR <5, but an association (OR =2.48, 95% CI: 1.15, 5.31) in the ER-/TAM - group. CONCLUSIONS: Survivin expression was not associated with breast cancer recurrence in this study. The CNR ratio may warrant further investigation especially among ER - tumors.

Cohort Profile: the Predictors of Breast Cancer Recurrence (ProBe CaRE) Premenopausal Breast Cancer Cohort Study in Denmark.

PURPOSE: The Predictors of Breast Cancer Recurrence (ProBe CaRe) study was established to evaluate modification of tamoxifen (TAM) effectiveness in premenopausal women through reduced activity of TAM-metabolising enzymes. It comprehensively evaluates the effects of pharmacogenetic variants, use of concomitant medications and biomarkers involved in oestrogen metabolism on breast cancer recurrence risk. PARTICIPANTS: The ProBe CaRe study was established using resources from the Danish Breast Cancer Group (DBCG), including 5959 premenopausal women diagnosed with stage I-III primary breast cancer between 2002 and 2010 in Denmark. Eligible participants were divided into two groups based on oestrogen receptor alpha (ERα) expression and receipt of TAM therapy, 4600 are classified as ERα+/TAM+ and 1359 are classified as ERα-/TAM-. The ProBe CaRe study is a population-based cohort study nested in a nearly complete source population, clinical, tumour and demographic data were abstracted from DBCG registry data. Linkage to Danish registries allows for abstraction of information regarding comorbid conditions, comedication use and mortality. Formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples have been prepared for DNA extraction and immunohistochemical assay. FINDINGS TO DATE: To mitigate incorrect classification of patients into specific categories, we conducted a validation substudy. We compared data acquired from registry and from medical record review to calculate positive predictive values (PPVs) and negative predictive values. We observed PPVs near 100% for tumour size, lymph node involvement, receptor status, surgery type, receipt of radiotherapy, receipt of chemotherapy and TAM treatment. We found that the PPVs were 96% (95% CI 83% to 100%) for change in endocrine therapy and 61% (95% CI 42% to 77%) for menopausal transition. FUTURE PLANS: The ProBeCaRe cohort study is well positioned to comprehensively examine pharmacogenetic variants. We will use a Bayesian pathway analysis to evaluate the complete TAM metabolic path to allow for gene-gene interactions, incorporating information of other important patient characteristics.

Geographic clines in wing morphology relate to colonization history in New World but not Old World populations of yellow dung flies.

Geographic clines offer insights about putative targets and agents of natural selection as well as tempo and mode of adaptation. However, demographic processes can lead to clines that are indistinguishable from adaptive divergence. Using the widespread yellow dung fly Scathophaga stercoraria (Diptera: Scathophagidae), we examine quantitative genetic differentiation (QST ) of wing shape across North America, Europe, and Japan, and compare this differentiation with that of ten microsatellites (FST ). Morphometric analyses of 28 populations reared at three temperatures revealed significant thermal plasticity, sexual dimorphism, and geographic differentiation in wing shape. In North America morphological differentiation followed the decline in microsatellite variability along the presumed route of recent colonization from the southeast to the northwest. Across Europe, where S. stercoraria presumably existed for much longer time and where no molecular pattern of isolation by distance was evident, clinal variation was less pronounced despite significant morphological differentiation (QST >FST ). Shape vector comparisons further indicate that thermal plasticity (hot-to-cold) does not mirror patterns of latitudinal divergence (south-to-north), as might have been expected under a scenario with temperature as the major agent of selection. Our findings illustrate the importance of detailed phylogeographic information when interpreting geographic clines of dispersal traits in an adaptive evolutionary framework.

Stanniocalcin Expression as a Predictor of Late Breast Cancer Recurrence.

Background: Expression of human paracrine hormones stanniocalcin 1 (STC1) and stanniocalcin 2 (STC2) may potentiate late breast cancer recurrence. We tested the hypothesis that expression of STC1 and STC2 in primary breast tumors is more strongly associated with late versus early recurrences.Methods: A total of 541 estrogen receptor-positive, tamoxifen-treated (ER+/TAM+) and 300 ER-negative, tamoxifen-untreated (ER-/TAM-) breast cancer patients who experienced recurrence within 10 years of primary diagnosis and matched recurrence-free controls were selected from a cohort of 11,251 Danish breast cancer patients diagnosed with stage I, II, or III breast cancer during 1985 to 2001. The association between IHC expression of STC1 and STC2 in primary breast tumor tissue microarrays and breast cancer recurrence was evaluated within median time to recurrence quintiles.Results: The association between STC1 expression, dichotomized as positive or negative, and recurrence was strongly positive for the final time quintile (6-10 years postdiagnosis) in the ER+/TAM+ group [aOR = 2.70; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22-5.98]. Regression of the log ORs relating dichotomous STC1 and STC2 expression to recurrence by median time to recurrence (year) resulted in a relatively large positive effect estimate for STC1 (ß = 0.16; 95% CI, -0.03-0.36) and a near-null positive effect estimate for STC2 (ß = 0.04; 95% CI, -0.14-0.21).Conclusions: Our results suggest a stronger association between primary tumor STC1 expression and late recurrence, as opposed to early recurrence, although no clear trend was apparent.Impact: STC1 expression in the primary tumor may potentiate late recurrences, suggesting dormancy pathways that merit further investigation. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 27(6); 653-9. ©2018 AACR.

Development of heart failure in patients with rheumatoid arthritis: A Danish population-based study.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the incidence of heart failure (HF) and ischaemic heart disease (IHD) in different time spans following incident rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and, furthermore, to investigate the impact of IHD on the development of HF and the impact of different treatment era of RA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This matched cohort study used nationwide, prospectively collected data. From the total Danish population of approximately 5.7 million inhabitants, we identified 51 859 patients (between 1995 and July 2016) with incident RA and a sex- and age-matched cohort from the general population (256 653 persons). RESULTS: The hazard ratio (HR) for HF among RA patients compared with persons from comparison cohort was 2.28 within the first year of index date, 1.39 within the 1-5 years of index date and 1.38 within the 5-10 years of index date. No difference was identified regarding different treatment era of RA. For IHD, the subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) was 1.93 within the first year of index date, 1.26 within the 1-5 years of index date and 1.31 within the 5-10 years of index date. Coronary revascularization was also more common within the first year after diagnosis of RA. An increased risk of percutaneous coronary intervention and coronary artery bypass grafting within 10 years following the RA diagnosis was observed. HR for new onset of HF in RA without IHD was 1.23, while the HR for new onset of HF in patients with RA and IHD was 2.06. CONCLUSIONS: Rheumatoid arthritis patients had higher rates of HF and IHD throughout the entire observation period compared to the comparison cohort. RA was associated with a larger risk of developing HF.

Breast cancer recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases in women with stage II and III breast cancer in Denmark.

PURPOSE: We developed and validated algorithms to identify metastases and breast cancer recurrence in Danish medical registries. We computed the incidence rate (IR) and hazard ratios (HRs) to evaluate predictors of these outcomes in stage II/III breast cancer patients. METHODS: We included all women in Denmark diagnosed during 1999-2011 with regional or stage II/III breast cancer. Demographic, tumor, and treatment data were ascertained from population-based health registries. To facilitate diagnostic work-up of the primary cancer, follow-up began 180 days after diagnosis and continued until recurrence/metastases, death, or 31 December 2012, whichever occurred first. We computed the positive predictive values (PPVs) of recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases using medical records as a gold standard. We calculated the cumulative incidence, IR per 10,000 person years, and used Cox regression to compute the HRs and associated 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for each outcome. RESULTS: Among 23,478 patients, 7073 had regional stage and 16,405 had stage II/III breast cancer. The PPV for recurrence was 72.6% (95% CI 59.3, 83.3%). The PPVs for bone and visceral metastases were 92.3% (95% CI 69.3-99.2%) and 70.8% (95% CI 51.1, 85.9%), but had low sensitivity. Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrence, bone metastases, and visceral metastases were 18.4, 2.2, and 5.2%, with corresponding 5-year IRs of 540 (95% CI 524, 557), 60 (95% CI 55, 65), and 144 (95% CI 136, 152), respectively. Predictors of recurrence and metastases included age, stage, hormone receptor status, and cancer treatment. CONCLUSION: Our algorithms show moderate to high PPVs for recurrence and metastases. The IRs of metastases were lower compared with other registry-based cohort studies, so may be underestimated in Danish registries.