Examining the Sensitivity of Satellite-Derived Vegetation Indices to Plant Drought Stress in Grasslands in Poland.

In this study, the emphasis is on assessing how satellite-derived vegetation indices respond to drought stress characterized by meteorological observations. This study aimed to understand the dynamics of grassland vegetation and assess the impact of drought in the Wielkopolskie (PL41) and Podlaskie (PL84) regions of Poland. Spatial and temporal characteristics of grassland dynamics regarding drought occurrences from 2020 to 2023 were examined. Pearson correlation coefficients with standard errors were used to analyze vegetation indices, including NDVI, NDII, NDWI, and NDDI, in response to drought, characterized by the meteorological parameter the Hydrothermal Coefficient of Selyaninov (HTC), along with ground-based soil moisture measurements (SM). Among the vegetation indices studied, NDDI showed the strongest correlations with HTC at r = -0.75, R2 = 0.56, RMSE = 1.58, and SM at r = -0.82, R2 = 0.67, and RMSE = 16.33. The results indicated drought severity in 2023 within grassland fields in Wielkopolskie. Spatial-temporal analysis of NDDI revealed that approximately 50% of fields were at risk of drought during the initial decades of the growing season in 2023. Drought conditions intensified, notably in western Poland, while grasslands in northeastern Poland showed resilience to drought. These findings provide valuable insights for individual farmers through web and mobile applications, assisting in the development of strategies to mitigate the adverse effects of drought on grasslands and thereby reduce associated losses.

Estimates of Crop Yield Anomalies for 2022 in Ukraine Based on Copernicus Sentinel-1, Sentinel-3 Satellite Data, and ERA-5 Agrometeorological Indicators.

The study explores the feasibility of adapting the EOStat crop monitoring system, originally designed for monitoring crop growth conditions in Poland, to fulfill the requirements of a similar system in Ukraine. The system utilizes satellite data and agrometeorological information provided by the Copernicus program, which offers these resources free of charge. To predict crop yields, the system uses several factors, such as vegetation condition indices obtained from Sentinel-3 Ocean and Land Color Instrument (OLCI) optical and Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR). It also incorporates climate information, including air temperature, total precipitation, surface radiation, and soil moisture. To identify the best predictors for each administrative unit, the study utilizes a recursive feature elimination method and employs the Extreme Gradient Boosting regressor, a machine learning algorithm, to forecast crop yields. The analysis indicates a noticeable decrease in crop losses in 2022 in certain regions of Ukraine, compared to the previous year (2021) and the 5-year average (2017-2021), specifically for winter crops and maize. Considering the reduction in yield, it is estimated that the decline in production of winter crops in 2022 was up to 20%, while for maize, it was up to 50% compared to the decline in production.