Evidence-based medication adherence among seniors in the first year after heart failure hospitalisation and subsequent long-term outcomes: a restricted cubic spline analysis of adherence-outcome relationships.

PURPOSE: Non-adherence to heart failure (HF) medications is associated with poor outcomes. We used restricted cubic splines (RCS) to assess the continuous relationship between adherence to renin-angiotensin system inhibitors (RASI) and ß-blockers and long-term outcomes in senior HF patients. METHODS: We identified a population-based cohort of 4234 patients, aged 65-84 years, 56% male, who were hospitalised for HF in Western Australia between 2003 and 2008 and survived to 1-year post-discharge (landmark date). Adherence was calculated using the proportion of days covered (PDC) in the first year post-discharge. RCS Cox proportional-hazards models were applied to determine the relationship between adherence and all-cause death and death/HF readmission at 1 and 3 years after the landmark date. RESULTS: RCS analysis showed a curvilinear adherence-outcome relationship for both RASI and ß-blockers which was linear above PDC 60%. For each 10% increase in RASI and ß-blocker adherence above this level, the adjusted hazard ratio for 1-year all-cause death fell by an average of 6.6% and 4.8% respectively (trend p < 0.05) and risk of all-cause death/HF readmission fell by 5.4% and 5.8% respectively (trend p < 0.005). Linear reductions in adjusted risk for these outcomes at PDC ≥ 60% were also seen at 3 years after landmark date (all trend p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: RCS analysis showed that for RASI and ß-blockers, there was no upper adherence level (threshold) above 60% where risk reduction did not continue to occur. Therefore, interventions should maximise adherence to these disease-modifying HF pharmacotherapies to improve long-term outcomes after hospitalised HF.

Comparing self-reported and measured hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia at standard and more stringent diagnostic thresholds: the cross-sectional 2010-2015 Busselton Healthy Ageing study.

BACKGROUND: Population health behaviour and risk factor surveys most often rely on self-report but there is a lack of studies assessing the validity of self-report using Australian data. This study investigates the sensitivity, specificity and agreement of self-reported hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia with objective measures at standard and more stringent diagnostic thresholds; and factors associated with sensitivity and specificity of self-report at different thresholds. METHODS: This study was a secondary analysis of a representative community-based cross-sectional sample of 5,092 adults, aged 45-69 years, residing in Busselton, Western Australia, surveyed in 2010-2015. Participants completed a self-administered questionnaire. Blood pressure and serum cholesterol levels were measured. RESULTS: At currently accepted diagnostic thresholds, sensitivities of self-reported hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia were 58.5% and 39.6%, respectively and specificities were >90% for both. Agreement using Cohen's kappa coefficient was 0.562 and 0.223, respectively. At two higher diagnostic thresholds, sensitivities of self-reported hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia improved by an absolute 14-23% and 15-25%, respectively and specificities remained >85%. Agreement was substantial for hypertension (kappa = 0.682-0.717) and moderate for hypercholesterolaemia (kappa = 0.458-0.533). Variables that were independently associated with higher sensitivity and lower specificity of self-report were largely consistent across thresholds and included increasing age, body mass index, worse self-rated health, diabetes and family history of hypertension. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia often misclassify individuals' objective status and underestimate objective prevalences, at standard diagnostic thresholds, which has implications for surveillance studies that rely on self-reported data. Self-reports of hypertension, however, may be reasonable indicators of those with blood pressures ≥160/100 mmHg or those taking anti-hypertensive medications. Self-reported hypercholesterolaemia data should be used with caution at all thresholds.

Prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity in Australian baby boomers: the Busselton healthy ageing study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Chronic medical conditions accumulate within individuals with age. However, knowledge concerning the trends, patterns and determinants of multimorbidity remains limited. This study assessed the prevalence and patterns of multimorbidity using extensive individual phenotyping in a general population of Australian middle-aged adults. METHODS: Participants (n = 5029, 55% female), born between 1946 and 1964 and attending the cross-sectional phase of the Busselton Healthy Ageing Study (BHAS) between 2010 and 2015, were studied. Prevalence of 21 chronic conditions was estimated using clinical measurement, validated instrument scores and/or self-reported doctor-diagnosis. Non-random patterns of multimorbidity were explored using observed/expected (O/E) prevalence ratios and latent class analysis (LCA). Variables associated with numbers of conditions and class of multimorbidity were investigated. RESULTS: The individual prevalence of 21 chronic conditions ranged from 2 to 54% and multimorbidity was common with 73% of the cohort having 2 or more chronic conditions. (mean ± SD 2.75 ± 1.84, median = 2.00, range 0-13). The prevalence of multimorbidity increased with age, obesity, physical inactivity, tobacco smoking and family history of asthma, diabetes, myocardial infarct or cancer. There were 13 pairs and 27 triplets of conditions identified with a prevalence > 1.5% and O/E > 1.5. Of the triplets, arthritis (> 50%), bowel disease (> 33%) and depression-anxiety (> 33%) were observed most commonly. LCA modelling identified 4 statistically and clinically distinct classes of multimorbidity labelled as: 1) "Healthy" (70%) with average of 1.95 conditions; 2) "Respiratory and Atopy" (11%, 3.65 conditions); 3) "Non-cardiometabolic" (14%, 4.77 conditions), and 4) "Cardiometabolic" (5%, 6.32 conditions). Predictors of multimorbidity class membership differed between classes and differed from predictors of number of co-occurring conditions. CONCLUSION: Multimorbidity is common among middle-aged adults from a general population. Some conditions associated with ageing such as arthritis, bowel disease and depression-anxiety co-occur in clinically distinct patterns and at higher prevalence than expected by chance. These findings may inform further studies into shared biological and environmental causes of co-occurring conditions of ageing. Recognition of distinct patterns of multimorbidity may aid in a holistic approach to care management in individuals presenting with multiple chronic conditions, while also guiding health resource allocation in ageing populations.

Childhood asthma and cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in adulthood: The Busselton Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Long-term childhood asthma studies that investigate adult outcomes other than respiratory morbidity are lacking. This study examines the associations of childhood asthma and the occurrence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and mortality in adulthood. METHODS: A cohort of 4430 school children (aged 17 years) who attended the Busselton Health Study between 1967 and 1983 were analyzed. Self-reported history of doctor-diagnosed asthma was determined based on the questionnaire. Subsequent CVD events (hospital admissions or death) up to 2014 were identified using the Western Australia Data Linkage System. Cox regression models were used to investigate the impact of childhood asthma on CVD events and mortality in adulthood. A subgroup of 2153 participants who re-attended a survey in young adulthood was also analyzed. RESULTS: A total of 462 (10%) of the cohort had childhood asthma. During follow-up, 867 participants experienced a CVD event and 22 participants died from CVD. Childhood asthma was not associated with the risk of CVD events in adulthood (HR, 1.12; 95% CI: 0.91-1.39; p = .2833) and this persisted after adjustment for confounders. Childhood asthma was not associated with coronary heart disease events (HR, 0.72; 95% CI: 0.40-1.30; p = .2761), heart failure events (HR, 0.55; 95% CI: 0.07-4.13; p = .5604) or CVD mortality (HR, 0.91; 95% CI: 0.21-3.89; p = .8987) in adulthood. CONCLUSION: Childhood asthma is not associated with the risk of CVD events and mortality in adulthood.

U-Shaped Relationship of Leukocyte Telomere Length With All-Cause and Cancer-Related Mortality in Older Men.

BACKGROUND: Telomeres are essential DNA-protein complexes whose attrition results in cellular dysfunction and senescence. Leukocyte telomere length (LTL) correlates with tissue telomere length, representing a biomarker for biological age. However, its predictive value for mortality risk, and for cardiovascular versus cancer deaths, in older adults remains uncertain. METHOD: We studied 3608 community-dwelling men aged 77.0 ± 3.6 years. Leukocyte telomere length was measured using multiplex quantitative PCR, expressed as amount of telomeric DNA relative to single-copy control gene (T/S ratio). Deaths from any cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer were ascertained using data linkage. Curve fitting used restricted cubic splines and Cox regression analyses adjusted for age, cardiometabolic risk factors, and prevalent disease. RESULTS: There was a U-shaped association of LTL with all-cause mortality. Men with T/S ratio in the middle quartiles had lower mortality (quartiles, Q2 vs Q1, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.97, p = .012; Q3 vs Q1 HR = 0.88, CI 0.79-0.99, p = .032). There was no association of LTL with CVD mortality. There was a U-shaped association of LTL with cancer mortality. Men with LTL in the middle quartiles had lower risk of cancer death (Q2 vs Q1, HR = 0.73, CI 0.59-0.90, p = .004; Q3 vs Q1, HR = 0.75, CI 0.61-0.92, p = .007). CONCLUSIONS: In older men, both shorter and longer LTL are associated with all-cause mortality. A similar U-shaped association was seen with cancer deaths, with no association found for cardiovascular deaths. Further research is warranted to explore the prognostic utility of LTL in ageing.

Childhood asthma increases respiratory morbidity, but not all-cause mortality in adulthood: The Busselton Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Long-term childhood asthma studies that investigate adult outcomes other than lung function are lacking. This study examines the associations of childhood asthma and the occurrence of respiratory events and all-cause mortality in adulthood. METHODS: A cohort of 4430 school children (aged to 17 years) who attended the Busselton Health Study between 1967 and 1983 were analysed. Self-reported history of asthma was determined using questionnaires. Participants were followed until 2014 for respiratory disease-related events (hospital admissions or death) and all-cause mortality using the Western Australia Data Linkage System. Cox regression models were used to investigate the impact of childhood asthma on respiratory events and all-cause mortality in adulthood. A subgroup of 2153 participants who re-attended a survey in young adulthood was also analysed. RESULTS: A total of 462 (10%) of the cohort had childhood asthma. During follow-up 791 participants experienced a respiratory event and 140 participants died. Childhood asthma was associated with an increased risk of respiratory events in adulthood (unadjusted HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.52 to 2.23; P < 0.0001). The result remained significant after adjusting for adult-onset asthma, FEV1, body mass index, smoking, dusty job, hay fever, and respiratory symptoms (adjusted HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.64; P = 0.0247). Childhood asthma was not associated with all-cause mortality in adulthood (unadjusted HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.63 to 1.84; P = 0.7821). CONCLUSION: Childhood asthma is associated with increased risk of respiratory disease-related hospital admissions and death but not all-cause mortality in adulthood.

Cardioprotective medication adherence in Western Australians in the first year after myocardial infarction: restricted cubic spline analysis of adherence-outcome relationships.

Adherence to cardioprotective medications following myocardial infarction (MI) is commonly assessed using a binary threshold of 80%. We investigated the relationship between medication adherence as a continuous measure and outcomes in MI survivors using restricted cubic splines (RCS). We identified all patients aged ≥65 years hospitalised for MI from 2003-2008 who survived one-year post-discharge (n = 5938). Adherence to statins, beta-blockers, renin angiotensin system inhibitors (RASI) and clopidogrel was calculated using proportion of days covered to one-year post-discharge (landmark date). Outcomes were 1-year all-cause death and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) after the landmark date. Adherence-outcome associations were estimated from RCS Cox regression models. RCS analyses indicated decreasing risk for both outcomes above 60% adherence for statins, RASI and clopidogrel, with each 10% increase in adherence associated with a 13.9%, 12.1% and 18.0% decrease respectively in adjusted risk of all-cause death (all p < 0.02). Similar results were observed for MACE (all p < 0.03). Beta-blockers had no effect on outcomes at any level of adherence. In MI survivors, increasing adherence to statins, RASI, and clopidogrel, but not beta blockers, is associated with a decreasing risk of death/MACE with no adherence threshold beyond 60%. Medication adherence should be considered as a continuous measure in outcomes analyses.

Childhood BMI and the occurrence of respiratory disease-related hospital admissions or death in adulthood: the Busselton Health Study.

PURPOSE: Few studies have investigated the association of childhood obesity with respiratory disease-related outcomes in adulthood and findings are inconsistent. The aim of this study was to examine the associations of body mass index (BMI) in childhood with the occurrence of respiratory events in adulthood. METHODS: We analyzed a cohort of 4537 school-aged children who attended the Busselton Health Study. Height and weight were measured and generated BMI z-scores were categorized into four groups. Participants were followed for respiratory disease-related hospital admissions or death using the Western Australia Data Linkage System. The associations between childhood BMI and respiratory events in adulthood were investigated using Cox regression models. A subgroup of 2196 that reattended a survey in young adulthood was also analyzed. RESULTS: During the 122,781 person-years of follow-up, 810 participants experienced a respiratory event. Childhood BMI group was not associated with risk of respiratory event in adulthood (hazard ratio for BMI z ≥ 1 vs. < -1 = 0.90; 95% CI, 0.70-1.17; P = .295) and this persisted after adjustment for selected confounders in the subgroup (hazard ratio 0.80; 95% CI, 0.43-1.48; P = .476). CONCLUSIONS: Childhood BMI is not associated with risk of respiratory events in adulthood.

Comparison of medication adherence measures derived from linked administrative data and associations with mortality using restricted cubic splines in heart failure patients.

PURPOSE: There is no gold standard method to calculate medication adherence using administrative drug data. We compared three common methods and their ability to predict subsequent mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). METHODS: Person-linked population-based datasets were used to identify 4234 patients (56% male, mean age of 76), who survived 1 year (landmark period) following hospitalization for HF in Western Australia from 2003 to 2008. Adherence was estimated by the medication possession ratio (MPR), MPR modified (MPRm), and proportion of days covered (PDC) in patients dispensed a renin-angiotensin system inhibitor (RASI) and/or ß-blocker within the landmark period. Adjusted Cox regression models that fitted restricted cubic splines (RCS) assessed the relationship between medication adherence and 1-year all-cause death postlandmark period. RESULTS: In the landmark period, 87% and 68% of the HF cohort were dispensed RASI and ß-blockers, respectively. Mean adherence estimates for RASI and ß-blockers were 90% and 79% for MPR, 96% and 86% for MPRm, and 82% and 73% for PDC, respectively. In RCS models, MPRm was not associated with subsequent 1-year death in either the RASI or ß-blocker group, while MPR was independently associated with death in the RASI group only (P ≤ .01). However, PDC as a binary variable (PDC <80% or ≥80%) or continuous variable was independently associated with 1-year death in both RASI and ß-blocker groups (all P ≤ .02). CONCLUSION: Proportion of days covered calculated from administrative drug data provides a more conservative estimate of adherence than MPR or MPRm and was the most consistent predictor of subsequent mortality in an HF cohort using RCS analysis.

U-shaped association of vigorous physical activity with risk of metabolic syndrome in men with low lean mass, and no interaction of physical activity and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with metabolic syndrome risk.

BACKGROUND: There is uncertainty over how lean mass, physical activity (PA) and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OH-D) status interact on metabolic syndrome (MetS) risk in adults. AIMS: To test the hypothesis that these factors additively influence MetS risk. METHODS: Four thousand eight hundred and fifty-eight adults (54.6% female) mean ± SD age 58.0 ± 5.8 years, body mass index 28.1 ± 4.8 kg/m2 , resident in Busselton, Western Australia. PA assessed by questionnaire (all/total and vigorous), lean mass using dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (% total body mass), serum 25-OH-D via immunoassay, analysed using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: In men, lower total PA was associated with MetS (no vs >24 h/week odds ratio (OR) = 3.1; ≤8 vs >24 h/week OR = 1.8, both P < 0.001), as was lower lean mass (low vs high OR = 20.4; medium vs high OR = 7.4, both P < 0.001). Men with low lean mass exhibited a U-shaped relationship of vigorous PA with MetS risk (covariate-adjusted: 0 vs 4-8 h/week OR = 2.1, P = 0.037; >12 vs 4-8 h/week OR = 4.3, P = 0.002; interaction P = 0.039). In women, low PA (0 vs >24 h/week OR = 2.1, P = 0.003) and lean mass (low vs high OR = 13.1; medium vs high OR = 7.2, both P < 0.001) were associated with MetS risk. Low 25-OH-D status was associated with MetS in men (low vs high OR = 4.1; medium vs high OR = 2.3, both P < 0.001) and women (OR = 3.5 and 2.1 respectively, both P < 0.001) with no PA interaction. CONCLUSIONS: Men and women with high lean mass have low risk of MetS regardless of PA. Low lean mass identifies men who may benefit most from increasing PA, with an optimal level associated with lowest risk. 25-OH-D and PA do not interact on MetS risk.

Associations of plasma IGF1, IGFBP3 and estradiol with leucocyte telomere length, a marker of biological age, in men.

OBJECTIVE: Effects of insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1) and its binding proteins (IGFBPs) on ageing, and their interaction with sex hormones, remain uncertain. We examined associations of plasma IGF1, IGFBP1, IGFBP3, estradiol and testosterone, with leucocyte telomere length (LTL), a marker of biological age, in 2999 community-dwelling men aged 70-84 years. METHODS: Plasma IGF1, IGFBP1 and IGFBP3 measured using immunoassay, sex hormones using mass spectrometry. LTL measured by PCR, expressed as ratio of telomeric to single-copy control gene DNA (T/S ratio). Linear regression models adjusted for age and cardio-metabolic risk factors, median splits defined low/high groups. RESULTS: Mean age was 76.7 ± 3.2 years. IGF1 and IGFBP3 showed age-adjusted correlations with LTL (coefficient 0.59, P = 0.001 and 0.45, P = 0.013 respectively), IGFBP1 did not. In multivariable-adjusted models IGF1 and IGFBP3 (but not IGFBP1) were associated with LTL (T/S ratio 0.015 higher per 1 s.d. increase in IGF1, P = 0.007, and 0.011 per 1 s.d. IGFBP3, P = 0.049). IGF1 and estradiol were independently associated with longer telomeres (T/S ratio 0.012 higher per 1 s.d. increase in estradiol, P = 0.027, when included in model with IGF1). Testosterone was not associated with LTL. Men with both high IGF1 (>133 µg/L) and high estradiol (>70 pmol/L) had longer LTL compared to men with lower values (multivariable-adjusted T/S ratio 1.20 vs 1.16, P = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Higher IGF1 and IGFBP3 are independently associated with longer telomeres in older men. Additive associations of higher IGF1 and higher estradiol with telomere length are present. Further studies are needed to determine whether these hormonal exposures cooperate to slow biological aging.

Equalization of four cardiovascular risk algorithms after systematic recalibration: individual-participant meta-analysis of 86 prospective studies.

AIMS: There is debate about the optimum algorithm for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk estimation. We conducted head-to-head comparisons of four algorithms recommended by primary prevention guidelines, before and after 'recalibration', a method that adapts risk algorithms to take account of differences in the risk characteristics of the populations being studied. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using individual-participant data on 360 737 participants without CVD at baseline in 86 prospective studies from 22 countries, we compared the Framingham risk score (FRS), Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), pooled cohort equations (PCE), and Reynolds risk score (RRS). We calculated measures of risk discrimination and calibration, and modelled clinical implications of initiating statin therapy in people judged to be at 'high' 10 year CVD risk. Original risk algorithms were recalibrated using the risk factor profile and CVD incidence of target populations. The four algorithms had similar risk discrimination. Before recalibration, FRS, SCORE, and PCE over-predicted CVD risk on average by 10%, 52%, and 41%, respectively, whereas RRS under-predicted by 10%. Original versions of algorithms classified 29-39% of individuals aged ≥40 years as high risk. By contrast, recalibration reduced this proportion to 22-24% for every algorithm. We estimated that to prevent one CVD event, it would be necessary to initiate statin therapy in 44-51 such individuals using original algorithms, in contrast to 37-39 individuals with recalibrated algorithms. CONCLUSION: Before recalibration, the clinical performance of four widely used CVD risk algorithms varied substantially. By contrast, simple recalibration nearly equalized their performance and improved modelled targeting of preventive action to clinical need.

Higher circulating androgens and higher physical activity levels are associated with less central adiposity and lower risk of cardiovascular death in older men.

OBJECTIVE: Low endogenous sex hormones and low physical activity (PA) levels have been associated with CVD risk. Whether these interact to influence CVD outcomes remains unclear. We assessed whether sex hormone concentrations and PA were additively associated with lower central adiposity and CVD risk. PATIENTS: 3351 community-dwelling men, mean age 77 years. MEASUREMENTS: Baseline testosterone (T), dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and oestradiol (E2) were assayed. Levels of PA were ascertained by questionnaire. Men were stratified using median splits into high hormone + high PA (H/H), high hormone + low PA (H/L); low hormone + high PA (L/H) and low hormone + low PA (L/L) groups. RESULTS: A total of 865 CVD events and 499 CVD deaths occurred during 10-year mean follow-up. Men with higher T, DHT or SHBG and higher PA had the lowest BMI, waist circumference and risk of metabolic syndrome. Men with higher T had the lowest risk of incident CVD events, irrespective of PA level. Men with higher T or DHT and higher PA had the lowest risk of dying from CVD (eg, hazard ratios for T/PA H/H 0.76 P = 0.031; H/L 0.85 P = 0.222; L/H 0.80 P = 0.075; L/L 1.00). CONCLUSION: Higher circulating androgens and higher PA were associated with less central adiposity at baseline and fewer CVD deaths during follow-up. These findings are consistent with a potential additive effect of androgens and PA on cardiometabolic outcomes in older men.

A 5α-reductase (SRD5A2) polymorphism is associated with serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin in men, while aromatase (CYP19A1) polymorphisms are associated with oestradiol and luteinizing hormone reciprocally.

CONTEXT: Pituitary luteinizing hormone (LH) stimulates testicular production of testosterone (T) which is metabolized to dihydrotestosterone (DHT) by 5α-reductase and to oestradiol (E2) by aromatase. How the activity of population variants in these enzymes impacts on gonadal function is unclear. We examined whether polymorphisms in 5α-reductase (SRD5A2) and aromatase (CYP19A1) genes predict circulating sex hormone concentrations. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of 1865 community-dwelling men aged 50.4 ± 16.8 years. MEASUREMENTS: Early morning sera assayed for T, DHT and E2 (mass spectrometry), and SHBG and LH (immunoassay). Two SRD5A2 and eleven CYP19A1 polymorphisms were analysed by PCR. Regression models were adjusted for age and cardiometabolic risk factors. RESULTS: SRD5A2 polymorphism rs9282858 GA vs. GG was associated with higher serum T (+1.5 nmol/L, P < 0.001) and higher SHBG (+3.3 nmol/L, P = 0.001). CYP19A1 polymorphisms were associated with higher serum E2 and lower LH in reciprocal fashion, from which the two-copy haplotype rs10046 = T/rs2899470 = G/rs11575899 = I/rs700518 = G/rs17703883 = T was associated with higher E2 (63.4 vs. 56.5 pmol/L, P = 0.001) and lower LH (3.9 vs. 4.5 IU/L, P = 0.001) compared to null copies. Conversely, rs10046 = C/rs2899470 = T/rs11575899 = D/rs700518 = A/rs17703883 = C was associated with lower E2 (51.8 vs. 62.0 pmol/L, P = 0.001) and higher LH (5.7 vs. 3.9 IU/L, P < 0.001). These haplotypes were associated primarily with differences in E2 in men <65 years and LH in men ≥65 years. CONCLUSIONS: A 5α-reductase polymorphism predicts circulating T and SHBG, while aromatase polymorphisms predict E2 and LH in reciprocal fashion. Age and aromatase polymorphisms interact to affect E2 and LH. How these functional polymorphisms impact on male reproductive and general health outcomes requires further study.

Cross-sectional associations of sex hormones with leucocyte telomere length, a marker of biological age, in a community-based cohort of older men.

CONTEXT: Telomeres protect chromosomes from damage, and shorter leucocyte telomere length (LTL) is a marker of advancing biological age. The association between testosterone (T) and its bioactive metabolites, dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and oestradiol (E2) with telomere length, particularly in older men, is uncertain. The study aimed to clarify associations of sex hormones with LTL in older men. PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS: We used cross-sectional data from 2913 men aged 76.7 ± 3.2 years with morning blood samples assayed for T, DHT, E2 (mass spectrometry), and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG, immunoassay), to correlate sex hormones with LTL measured using PCR and expressed as T/S ratio in multivariable linear regression models adjusted for age, cardiometabolic risk factors and cardiovascular disease history. RESULTS: Average difference per decade of age was T -0.46 nmol/L, DHT -0.11 nmol/L, E2 -7.5 pmol/L, SHBG +10.2 nmol/L and LTL (T/S ratio) -0.065. E2 correlated with T/S ratio (r = 0.038, P = 0.039) and SHBG was inversely correlated (r = -0.053, P = 0.004). After multivariable adjustment, E2 was associated with T/S ratio (per 1 SD increase E2: coefficient 0.011, P = 0.043), T and DHT were not associated. When E2 and SHBG were simultaneously included, E2 remained positively (coefficient 0.014, P = 0.014) and SHBG inversely (coefficient -0.013, P = 0.037) associated with T/S ratio. CONCLUSIONS: In older men, neither T nor DHT is associated with LTL while E2 is independently associated with LTL and SHBG is inversely associated, thus relating sex hormone exposure to lower biological age. Further research is needed to determine causality and clarify the role of sex hormones in male ageing.

Operationalization and validation of a novel method to calculate adherence to polypharmacy with refill data from the Australian pharmaceutical benefits scheme (PBS) database.

BACKGROUND: Electronic health care data contain rich information on medicine use from which adherence can be estimated. Various measures developed with medication claims data called for transparency of the equations used, predominantly because they may overestimate adherence, and even more when used with multiple medications. We aimed to operationalize a novel calculation of adherence with polypharmacy, the daily polypharmacy possession ratio (DPPR), and validate it against the common measure of adherence, the medication possession ratio (MPR) and a modified version (MPRm). METHODS: We used linked health data from the Australian Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme and Western Australian hospital morbidity dataset and mortality register. We identified a strict study cohort from 16,185 patients aged ≥65 years hospitalized for myocardial infarction in 2003-2008 in Western Australia as an illustrative example. We applied iterative exclusion criteria to standardize the dispensing histories according to previous literature. A SAS program was developed to calculate the adherence measures accounting for various drug parameters. RESULTS: The study cohort was 348 incident patients (mean age 74.6±6.8 years; 69% male) with an admission for myocardial infarction who had cardiovascular medications over a median of 727 days (range 74 to 3,798 days) prior to readmission. There were statins (96.8%), angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (88.8%), beta-blockers (85.6%), and angiotensin receptor blockers (13.2%) dispensed. As expected, observed adherence values were higher with mean MPR (median 89.2%; Q1: 73.3%; Q3: 104.6%) than mean MPRm (median 82.8%; Q1: 68.5%; Q3: 95.9%). DPPR values were the most narrow (median 83.8%; Q1: 70.9%; Q3: 96.4%). Mean MPR and DPPR yielded very close possession values for 37.9% of the patients. Values were similar in patients with longer observation windows. When the traditional threshold of 80% was applied to mean MPR and DPPR values to signify the threshold for good adherence, 11.6% of patients were classified as good adherers with the mean MPR relative to the DPPR. CONCLUSION: In the absence of transparent and standardized equations to calculate adherence to polypharmacy from refill databases, the novel DPPR algorithm represents a valid and robust method to estimate medication possession for multi-medication regimens.

Lower Circulating Androgens Are Associated with Overall Cancer Risk and Prostate Cancer Risk in Men Aged 25-84 Years from the Busselton Health Study.

Androgens, notably testosterone (T), have been implicated in development of several common cancers and prostate cancer; however, precise mechanisms remain unclear. This study assessed prospective associations of serum T, dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and estradiol (E2) with overall cancer (excluding skin cancer), prostate, colorectal and lung cancer risk in 1574 community-dwelling men aged 25-84 years. Sex hormones were assayed using mass spectrometry and men were followed for 20 years with outcomes ascertained using data linkage. Over 20 years, there were 289, 116, 48 and 22 men who developed any cancer, prostate cancer, colorectal cancer and lung cancer, respectively. Androgens in the lowest quartile were associated with an increased overall cancer risk (HR = 1.36, 95% CI 1.05-1.76, p = 0.020 for T; and HR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.00-1.69, p = 0.049 for DHT comparing the lowest vs other quartiles). T in the lowest quartile was associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer (HR = 1.53, 95% CI 1.02-2.29, p = 0.038 comparing the lowest vs other quartiles). The association between androgens and overall cancer risk remained similar after excluding prostate cancer outcomes; however, results were not significant. There were no associations of T, DHT or E2 with colorectal or lung cancer risk; however, LH in the highest quartile was associated with an increased risk of lung cancer (HR = 4.55, 95% CI 1.70-12.19, p = 0.003 for the highest vs other quartiles). Whether T is a biomarker of poor health in men with any cancer or prostate cancer requires further confirmation as does the nature and mechanism of the association of a high LH with future lung cancer.

Obstructive airway disease in 46-65-year-old people in Busselton, Western Australia, 1966-2015.

OBJECTIVE: To document the changing levels of tobacco smoking, respiratory symptoms, doctor-diagnosed asthma, and lung function in Busselton adults aged 46-65 years over the past 50 years. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Repeated cross-sectional population surveys (1966 to 2010-2015) of adults registered to vote in the Busselton shire, Western Australia, including a modified version of the British Medical Research Council questionnaire on respiratory symptoms. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: History of doctor-diagnosed asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), tobacco smoking history, respiratory medications used, spirometry parameters (forced expiratory volume in one second [FEV1], forced vital capacity [FVC]). RESULTS: The prevalence of tobacco smoking among men declined from 53% in 1966 to 12% in 2010-2015, and from 26% to 9% among women. The prevalence of ever-smoking (ie, smokers and ex-smokers) decreased from 80% to 57% for men but increased from 33% to 50% for women. The prevalence of doctor-diagnosed asthma increased, as did the use of long-acting bronchodilator aerosol medications by people with asthma and COPD. There have been no consistent changes in the prevalence of specific respiratory symptoms, but measures of lung function have significantly improved. CONCLUSIONS: Smoking rates declined as a result of changes in pricing, prohibitions on smoking and the feedback of survey results to Busselton participants. Significant improvements in lung function were measured, and it can be anticipated that the prevalence of other smoking-related diseases will also decline.

Lower TSH and higher free thyroxine predict incidence of prostate but not breast, colorectal or lung cancer.

CONTEXT: Thyroid hormones modulate proliferative, metabolic and angiogenic pathways. However few studies have examined associations of thyroid hormones with cancer risk. OBJECTIVES: To explore associations of thyrotropin (TSH), free thyroxine (FT4) and anti-thyroperoxidase antibodies (TPOAb) with the incidence of all (non-skin) cancers and specific common cancers. DESIGN AND SETTING: A prospective cohort study of a community-dwelling population aged 25-84 years in Western Australia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Archived sera from 3649 participants in the 1994/1995 Busselton Health Survey were assayed for TSH, FT4 and TPOAb. Cancer outcomes until 30 June 2014 were ascertained using data linkage. Longitudinal analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: During 20-year follow-up, 600 participants were diagnosed with non-skin cancer, including 126, 100, 103 and 41 prostate, breast, colorectal and lung cancers respectively. Higher TSH was associated with a lower risk of prostate cancer after adjusting for potential confounders, with a 30% lower risk for every 1 IU/L increase in TSH (adjusted hazard ratio (HR): 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.55-0.90, P = 0.005). Similarly, higher FT4 was associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer (adjusted HR: 1.11 per 1 pmol/L increase, 95% CI: 1.03-1.19, P = 0.009). There were no associations of TSH, FT4 or TPOAb with all non-skin cancer events combined, or with breast, colorectal or lung cancer. CONCLUSION: In a community-dwelling population, lower TSH and higher FT4 were associated with an increased risk of prostate cancer. Further studies are required to assess if thyroid function is a biomarker or risk factor for prostate cancer.

Greater physical activity and higher androgen concentrations are independently associated with lower cardiometabolic risk in men.

CONTEXT: Male ageing is associated with lower circulating testosterone (T) and increased incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether physical activity (PA) interacts with hormones to modify CVD risk is unclear. OBJECTIVE: We assessed whether PA and sex hormone concentrations were independently associated with measures of CVD risk. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1649 men. METHODS: Leisure, home, work and total PA were ascertained. At baseline, serum T, dihydrotestosterone (DHT) and oestradiol (E2) were assayed. Men were stratified into high PA+high hormone (H/H); low PA+high hormone (L/H); high PA+low hormone (H/L); and low PA+low hormone (L/L). RESULTS: Mean age was 49.8 years at outset with 415 CVD events and 127 CVD deaths occurring during 20-year follow-up. Men with higher PA and higher T or DHT had lower odds of metabolic syndrome (eg leisure H/H vs L/L odds ratio [OR] 0.17 P<.001 for T, 0.26 P<.001 for DHT). Men with higher PA and E2 had lower risk of metabolic syndrome (eg leisure PA H/H vs L/L OR 0.51, P=.001). Men with higher leisure, work or total PA and higher DHT had the lowest risk of CVD death (eg leisure H/H hazard ratio [HR] 0.55 vs L/L, P=.033). Men with lower leisure, home or work PA and higher E2 were at greater risk of CVD death (eg leisure L/H HR 1.60 vs L/L, P=.039). CONCLUSIONS: Considering T, DHT and E2 in the context of PA better informs consideration of cardiovascular risk. A 2×2 factorial RCT assessing PA and androgens would illuminate the scope for preventing CVD in men.