RESUMO
Visual predictive checks (VPC) are commonly used to evaluate pharmacometrics models. However their performance may be hampered if patients with worse outcomes drop out earlier, as often occurs in clinical trials, especially in oncology. While methods accounting for dropouts have appeared in literature, they vary in assumptions, flexibility, and performance, and the differences between them are not widely understood. This manuscript aims to elucidate which methods can be used to handle VPC with dropout and when, along with a more informative VPC approach using confidence intervals. Additionally, we propose constructing the confidence interval based on the observed data instead of the simulated data. The theoretical framework for incorporating dropout in VPCs is developed and applied to propose two approaches: full and conditional. The full approach is implemented using a parametric time-to-event model, while the conditional approach is implemented using both parametric and Cox proportional-hazard (CPH) models. The practical performances of these approaches are illustrated with an application to the tumor growth dynamics (TGD) modeling of data from two cancer clinical trials of nivolumab and docetaxel, where patients were followed until disease progression. The dataset consisted of 3504 tumor size measurements from 855 subjects, which were described by a TGD model. The dropout of subjects was described by a Weibull or CPH model. Simulated datasets were also used to further illustrate the properties of the VPC methods. The results showed that the more familiar full approach might not provide meaningful improvement for TGD model evaluation over the naive approach of not adjusting for dropout, and could be outperformed by the conditional approach using either the Weibull model or the Cox proportional hazard model. Overall, including confidence intervals in VPC should improve interpretation, the conditional approach was shown to be more generally applicable when dropout occurs, and the nonparametric approach could provide additional robustness.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Pembrolizumab is a potent, humanized, monoclonal anti-programmed death 1 antibody that has demonstrated effective antitumor activity and acceptable safety in multiple tumor types. Therapeutic biologics can result in the development of antidrug antibodies (ADAs), which may alter drug clearance and neutralize target binding, potentially reducing drug efficacy; such immunogenicity may also result in infusion reactions, anaphylaxis, and immune complex disorders. Pembrolizumab immunogenicity and its impact on exposure, safety, and efficacy was assessed in this study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Pembrolizumab immunogenicity was assessed in 3655 patients with advanced or metastatic cancer treated in 12 clinical studies. Patients with melanoma, non-small cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, colorectal cancer, urothelial cancer, and Hodgkin lymphoma were treated with pembrolizumab at 2 mg/kg every 3 weeks, 10 mg/kg every 2 weeks, 10 mg/kg every 3 weeks, or 200 mg every 3 weeks. An additional study involving 496 patients with stage III melanoma treated with 200 mg adjuvant pembrolizumab every 3 weeks after complete resection was analyzed separately. RESULTS: Of 3655 patients, 2000 were evaluable for immunogenicity analysis, 36 (1.8%) were treatment-emergent (TE) ADA-positive; 9 (0.5%) of these TE-positive patients had antibodies with neutralizing capacity. The presence of pembrolizumab-specific ADAs did not impact pembrolizumab exposure, nor did pembrolizumab immunogenicity affect the incidence of drug-related adverse events (AEs) or infusion-related reactions. There was no clear relationship between the presence of pembrolizumab-specific ADAs and changes in tumor size across treatment regimens. Of the 496 patients treated with pembrolizumab as adjuvant therapy, 495 were evaluable, 17 (3.4%) were TE ADA-positive; none had neutralizing antibodies. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of TE (neutralizing positive) ADAs against pembrolizumab was low in patients with advanced tumors. Furthermore, immunogenicity did not appear to have any clinically relevant effects on the exposure, safety, or efficacy of pembrolizumab. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01295827 (February 15, 2011), NCT01704287 (October 11, 2012), NCT01866319 (May 31, 2013), NCT01905657 (July 23, 2013), NCT02142738 (May 20, 2014), NCT01848834 (May 8, 2013), NCT02255097 (October 2, 2014), NCT02460198 (June 2, 2015), NCT01953692 (October 1, 2013), NCT02453594 (May 25, 2015), NCT02256436 (October 3, 2014), NCT02335424 (January 9, 2015), NCT02362594 (February 13, 2015).
Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/farmacologia , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/farmacologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Neoplasias/patologiaRESUMO
PURPOSE: To investigate the relationship of pembrolizumab pharmacokinetics (PK) and overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced melanoma and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: PK dependencies in OS were evaluated across three pembrolizumab studies of either 200 mg or 2 to 10 mg/kg every 3 weeks (Q3W). Kaplan-Meier plots of OS, stratified by dose, exposure, and baseline clearance (CL0), were assessed per indication and study. A Cox proportional hazards model was implemented to explore imbalances of typical prognostic factors in high/low NSCLC CL0 subgroups. RESULTS: A total of 1,453 subjects were included: 340 with pembrolizumab-treated melanoma, 804 with pembrolizumab-treated NSCLC, and 309 with docetaxel-treated NSCLC. OS was dose independent from 2 to 10 mg/kg for pembrolizumab-treated melanoma [HR = 0.98; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.94-1.02] and NSCLC (HR = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.95-1.01); however, a strong CL0-OS association was identified for both cancer types (unadjusted melanoma HR = 2.56; 95% CI, 1.72-3.80 and NSCLC HR = 2.64; 95% CI, 1.94-3.57). Decreased OS in subjects with higher pembrolizumab CL0 paralleled disease severity markers associated with end-stage cancer anorexia-cachexia syndrome. Correction for baseline prognostic factors did not fully attenuate the CL0-OS association (multivariate-adjusted CL0 HR = 1.64; 95% CI, 1.06-2.52 for melanoma and HR = 1.88; 95% CI, 1.22-2.89 for NSCLC). CONCLUSIONS: These data support the lack of dose or exposure dependency in pembrolizumab OS for melanoma and NSCLC between 2 and 10 mg/kg. An association of pembrolizumab CL0 with OS potentially reflects catabolic activity as a marker of disease severity versus a direct PK-related impact of pembrolizumab on efficacy. Similar data from other trials suggest such patterns of exposure-response confounding may be a broader phenomenon generalizable to antineoplastic mAbs.See related commentary by Coss et al., p. 5787.
Assuntos
Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/efeitos adversos , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/efeitos adversos , Caquexia/etiologia , Caquexia/metabolismo , Neoplasias/complicações , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Caquexia/mortalidade , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/complicações , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Melanoma/complicações , Melanoma/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como AssuntoRESUMO
Pembrolizumab is a monoclonal antibody that targets the programmed death-1 receptor to induce immune-mediated clearance (CL) of tumor cells. Originally approved by the US Food and Drug Administration in 2014 for treating patients with unresectable or metastatic melanoma, pembrolizumab is now also used to treat patients with non-small-cell lung cancer, classical Hodgkin lymphoma, head and neck cancer, and urothelial cancer. This paper describes the recently identified feature of pembrolizumab pharmacokinetics, the time-dependent or time-varying CL. Overall results indicate that CL decreases over the treatment period of a typical patient in a pattern well described by a sigmoidal function of time with three parameters: the maximum proportion change in CL from baseline (approximately Imax or exactly eImax - 1), the time to reach Imax/2 (TI50), and a Hill coefficient. Best overall response per response evaluation criteria in solid tumor category was found to be associated with the magnitude of Imax.