RESUMO
Based on an extensive model intercomparison, we assessed trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from historical reconstructions and future scenarios of land-use and climate change. During the 20th century, biodiversity declined globally by 2 to 11%, as estimated by a range of indicators. Provisioning ecosystem services increased several fold, and regulating services decreased moderately. Going forward, policies toward sustainability have the potential to slow biodiversity loss resulting from land-use change and the demand for provisioning services while reducing or reversing declines in regulating services. However, negative impacts on biodiversity due to climate change appear poised to increase, particularly in the higher-emissions scenarios. Our assessment identifies remaining modeling uncertainties but also robustly shows that renewed policy efforts are needed to meet the goals of the Convention on Biological Diversity.
Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Mudança Climática , Extinção BiológicaRESUMO
Landscape ecologists have long suggested that pest abundances increase in simplified, monoculture landscapes. However, tests of this theory often fail to predict pest population sizes in real-world agricultural fields. These failures may arise not only from variation in pest ecology, but also from the widespread use of categorical land-use maps that do not adequately characterize habitat-availability for pests. We used 1163 field-year observations of Lygus hesperus (Western Tarnished Plant Bug) densities in California cotton fields to determine whether integrating remotely-sensed metrics of vegetation productivity and phenology into pest models could improve pest abundance analysis and prediction. Because L. hesperus often overwinters in non-crop vegetation, we predicted that pest abundances would peak on farms surrounded by more non-crop vegetation, especially when the non-crop vegetation is initially productive but then dries down early in the year, causing the pest to disperse into cotton fields. We found that the effect of non-crop habitat on pest densities varied across latitudes, with a positive relationship in the north and a negative one in the south. Aligning with our hypotheses, models predicted that L. hesperus densities were 35 times higher on farms surrounded by high versus low productivity non-crop vegetation (EVI area 350 vs. 50) and 2.8 times higher when dormancy occurred earlier versus later in the year (May 15 vs. June 30). Despite these strong and significant effects, we found that integrating these remote-sensing variables into land-use models only marginally improved pest density predictions in cotton compared to models with categorical land cover metrics alone. Together, our work suggests that the remote sensing variables analyzed here can advance our understanding of pest ecology, but not yet substantively increase the accuracy of pest abundance predictions.
Assuntos
Besouros , Heterópteros , Animais , Agricultura , Ecossistema , Plantas , FazendasRESUMO
Meeting global commitments to conservation, climate, and sustainable development requires consideration of synergies and tradeoffs among targets. We evaluate the spatial congruence of ecosystems providing globally high levels of nature's contributions to people, biodiversity, and areas with high development potential across several sectors. We find that conserving approximately half of global land area through protection or sustainable management could provide 90% of the current levels of ten of nature's contributions to people and meet minimum representation targets for 26,709 terrestrial vertebrate species. This finding supports recent commitments by national governments under the Global Biodiversity Framework to conserve at least 30% of global lands and waters, and proposals to conserve half of the Earth. More than one-third of areas required for conserving nature's contributions to people and species are also highly suitable for agriculture, renewable energy, oil and gas, mining, or urban expansion. This indicates potential conflicts among conservation, climate and development goals.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Planetas , Humanos , Biodiversidade , Agricultura , ClimaRESUMO
Twenty-five years since foundational publications on valuing ecosystem services for human well-being1,2, addressing the global biodiversity crisis3 still implies confronting barriers to incorporating nature's diverse values into decision-making. These barriers include powerful interests supported by current norms and legal rules such as property rights, which determine whose values and which values of nature are acted on. A better understanding of how and why nature is (under)valued is more urgent than ever4. Notwithstanding agreements to incorporate nature's values into actions, including the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF)5 and the UN Sustainable Development Goals6, predominant environmental and development policies still prioritize a subset of values, particularly those linked to markets, and ignore other ways people relate to and benefit from nature7. Arguably, a 'values crisis' underpins the intertwined crises of biodiversity loss and climate change8, pandemic emergence9 and socio-environmental injustices10. On the basis of more than 50,000 scientific publications, policy documents and Indigenous and local knowledge sources, the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) assessed knowledge on nature's diverse values and valuation methods to gain insights into their role in policymaking and fuller integration into decisions7,11. Applying this evidence, combinations of values-centred approaches are proposed to improve valuation and address barriers to uptake, ultimately leveraging transformative changes towards more just (that is, fair treatment of people and nature, including inter- and intragenerational equity) and sustainable futures.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Justiça Ambiental , Política Ambiental , Objetivos , Desenvolvimento Sustentável , Humanos , Biodiversidade , Desenvolvimento Sustentável/economia , Política Ambiental/economia , Mudança ClimáticaRESUMO
Sustaining ecosystem services (ES) critical to human well-being is hindered by many practitioners lacking access to ES models ("the capacity gap") or knowledge of the accuracy of available models ("the certainty gap"), especially in the world's poorer regions. We developed ensembles of multiple models at an unprecedented global scale for five ES of high policy relevance. Ensembles were 2 to 14% more accurate than individual models. Ensemble accuracy was not correlated with proxies for research capacity, indicating that accuracy is distributed equitably across the globe and that countries less able to research ES suffer no accuracy penalty. By making these ES ensembles and associated accuracy estimates freely available, we provide globally consistent ES information that can support policy and decision-making in regions with low data availability or low capacity for implementing complex ES models. Thus, we hope to reduce the capacity and certainty gaps impeding local- to global-scale movement toward ES sustainability.
Assuntos
Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Ecossistema , Humanos , PolíticasRESUMO
There has been a seismic shift in the center of gravity of scientific writing and thinking about agriculture over the past decades, from a prevailing focus on maximizing yields toward a goal of balancing trade-offs and ensuring the delivery of multiple ecosystem services. Maximizing crop yields often results in a system where most benefits accrue to very few (in the form of profits), alongside irreparable environmental harm to agricultural ecosystems, landscapes, and people. Here, we present evidence that an un-yielding, which we define as de-emphasizing the importance of yields alone, is necessary to achieve the goal of a more Food secure, Agrobiodiverse, Regenerative, Equitable and just (FARE) agriculture. Focusing on yields places the emphasis on one particular outcome of agriculture, which is only an intermediate means to the true endpoint of human well-being. Using yields as a placeholder for this outcome ignores the many other benefits of agriculture that people also care about, like health, livelihoods, and a sense of place. Shifting the emphasis to these multiple benefits rather than merely yields, and to their equitable delivery to all people, we find clear scientific evidence of win-wins for people and nature through four strategies that foster FARE agriculture: reduced disturbance, systems reintegration, diversity, and justice (in the form of securing rights to land and other resources). Through a broad review of the current state of agriculture, desired futures, and the possible pathways to reach them, we argue that while trade-offs between some ecosystem services in agriculture are unavoidable, the same need not be true of the end benefits we desire from them.
Assuntos
Agricultura , Ecossistema , Humanos , Agricultura/métodos , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais/métodos , PrevisõesRESUMO
Sustaining the organisms, ecosystems and processes that underpin human wellbeing is necessary to achieve sustainable development. Here we define critical natural assets as the natural and semi-natural ecosystems that provide 90% of the total current magnitude of 14 types of nature's contributions to people (NCP), and we map the global locations of these critical natural assets at 2 km resolution. Critical natural assets for maintaining local-scale NCP (12 of the 14 NCP) account for 30% of total global land area and 24% of national territorial waters, while 44% of land area is required to also maintain two global-scale NCP (carbon storage and moisture recycling). These areas overlap substantially with cultural diversity (areas containing 96% of global languages) and biodiversity (covering area requirements for 73% of birds and 66% of mammals). At least 87% of the world's population live in the areas benefitting from critical natural assets for local-scale NCP, while only 16% live on the lands containing these assets. Many of the NCP mapped here are left out of international agreements focused on conserving species or mitigating climate change, yet this analysis shows that explicitly prioritizing critical natural assets and the NCP they provide could simultaneously advance development, climate and conservation goals.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Planetas , Humanos , Animais , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Biodiversidade , Aves , MamíferosRESUMO
Increasing diversity on farms can enhance many key ecosystem services to and from agriculture, and natural control of arthropod pests is often presumed to be among them. The expectation that increasing the size of monocultural crop plantings exacerbates the impact of pests is common throughout the agroecological literature. However, the theoretical basis for this expectation is uncertain; mechanistic mathematical models suggest instead that increasing field size can have positive, negative, neutral, or even nonlinear effects on arthropod pest densities. Here, we report a broad survey of crop field-size effects: across 14 pest species, 5 crops, and 20,000 field years of observations, we quantify the impact of field size on pest densities, pesticide applications, and crop yield. We find no evidence that larger fields cause consistently worse pest impacts. The most common outcome (9 of 14 species) was for pest severity to be independent of field size; larger fields resulted in less severe pest problems for four species, and only one species exhibited the expected trend of larger fields worsening pest severity. Importantly, pest responses to field size strongly correlated with their responses to the fraction of the surrounding landscape planted to the focal crop, suggesting that shared ecological processes produce parallel responses to crop simplification across spatial scales. We conclude that the idea that larger field sizes consistently disrupt natural pest control services is without foundation in either the theoretical or empirical record.
Assuntos
Proteção de Cultivos , Produtos Agrícolas , Controle de Insetos , Insetos , Controle Biológico de Vetores , Animais , Produtos Agrícolas/parasitologia , EcossistemaRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Point-of-care (POC) measurement of thyrotropin (TSH) may facilitate prompt diagnosis of thyroid dysfunction. We evaluated the analytical performance of a new POC TSH assay (Wondfo). METHODS: TSH measurements were made from 730 consecutive, unselected subjects in an outpatient setting, using Wondfo in whole blood, capillary blood and serum or automated reference equipment (serum only). RESULTS: TSH measurements were user-independent. Total intra-and inter-assay variation (CV%) was 12.1 and 16.2%, respectively. Total CV% was 10.6-22.6% and 14.5-21.6% in serum and whole blood, respectively. Linearity was very good. Recovery rate was 97-127%. Prolongation of incubation time increased TSH results of 12% (13%) and 33% (35%) after 2 and 5 additional minutes in serum (blood), respectively. When measured simultaneously in two Wondfo devices, the slope of the regression line was 1.03 (serum) and 1.02 (blood), with Spearman's correlation of 0.99 for both. TSH measurements between Wondfo and reference correlated strongly (r=0.93-0.96), though TSH measurements were lower with Wondfo (slopes of plots of measurements made using the two devices were 0.94 [serum vs. serum]; 0.83 [whole blood vs. serum] and 0.64 [capillary blood vs. serum]). Depending on sample material, TSH in capillary blood was lower vs. whole blood (slope: 0.82) and for whole blood vs. serum (Wondfo and reference method; slope: 0.69 and 0.83). Total haemolysis, but not elevated bilirubin or lipemia, disrupted TSH measurement. CONCLUSIONS: The Wondfo system was straightforward to use without need for specialist technicians and demonstrated analytic performance suitable for clinical use for the diagnosis of thyroid dysfunction.
Assuntos
Hipotireoidismo , Doenças da Glândula Tireoide , Humanos , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , TireotropinaRESUMO
Control of crop pests by shifting host plant availability and natural enemy activity at landscape scales has great potential to enhance the sustainability of agriculture. However, mainstreaming natural pest control requires improved understanding of how its benefits can be realized across a variety of agroecological contexts. Empirical studies suggest significant but highly variable responses of natural pest control to land-use change. Current ecological models are either too specific to provide insight across agroecosystems or too generic to guide management with actionable predictions. We suggest obtaining the full benefit of available empirical, theoretical, and methodological knowledge by combining trait-mediated understanding from correlative studies with the explicit representation of causal relationships achieved by mechanistic modeling. To link these frameworks, we adapt the concept of archetypes, or context-specific generalizations, from sustainability science. Similar responses of natural pest control to land-use gradients across cases that share key attributes, such as functional traits of focal organisms, indicate general processes that drive system behavior in a context-sensitive manner. Based on such observations of natural pest control, a systematic definition of archetypes can provide the basis for mechanistic models of intermediate generality that cover all major agroecosystems worldwide. Example applications demonstrate the potential for upscaling understanding and improving predictions of natural pest control, based on knowledge transfer and scientific synthesis. A broader application of this mechanistic archetype approach promises to enhance ecology's contribution to natural resource management across diverse regions and social-ecological contexts.
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Ecossistema , Controle Biológico de Vetores , Controle de Pragas , Agricultura , Produtos Agrícolas , Recursos NaturaisRESUMO
SignificanceTourism accounts for roughly 10% of global gross domestic product, with nature-based tourism its fastest-growing sector in the past 10 years. Nature-based tourism can theoretically contribute to local and sustainable development by creating attractive livelihoods that support biodiversity conservation, but whether tourists prefer to visit more biodiverse destinations is poorly understood. We examine this question in Costa Rica and find that more biodiverse places tend indeed to attract more tourists, especially where there is infrastructure that makes these places more accessible. Safeguarding terrestrial biodiversity is critical to preserving the substantial economic benefits that countries derive from tourism. Investments in both biodiversity conservation and infrastructure are needed to allow biodiverse countries to rely on tourism for their sustainable development.
Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Desenvolvimento Econômico , Turismo , Conservação dos Recursos Naturais , Costa Rica , Humanos , RecreaçãoRESUMO
Etiologically, 5% of all cancers worldwide are caused by the high-risk human papillomaviruses (hrHPVs). These viruses encode two oncoproteins (E6 and E7) whose expression is required for cancer initiation and maintenance. Among their cellular targets are the p53 and the retinoblastoma tumor suppressor proteins. Inhibition of the hrHPV E6-mediated ubiquitylation of p53 through the E6AP ubiquitin ligase results in the stabilization of p53, leading to cellular apoptosis. We utilized a live cell high-throughput screen to determine whether exogenous microRNA (miRNA) transfection had the ability to stabilize p53 in hrHPV-positive cervical cancer cells expressing a p53-fluorescent protein as an in vivo reporter of p53 stability. Among the miRNAs whose transfection resulted in the greatest p53 stabilization was 375-3p, which has previously been reported to stabilize p53 in HeLa cells, providing validation of the screen. The top 32 miRNAs, in addition to 375-3p, were further assessed using a second cell-based p53 stability reporter system, as well as in nonreporter HeLa cells to examine their effects on endogenous p53 protein levels, resulting in the identification of 23 miRNAs whose transfection increased p53 levels in HeLa cells. While a few miRNAs that stabilized p53 led to decreases in E6AP protein levels, all targeted HPV oncoprotein expression. We further examined subsets of these miRNAs for their abilities to induce apoptosis and determined whether it was p53-mediated. The introduction of specific miRNAs revealed surprisingly heterogeneous responses in different cell lines. Nonetheless, some of the miRNAs described here have potential as therapeutics for treating HPV-positive cancers. IMPORTANCE Human papillomaviruses cause approximately 5% of all cancers worldwide and encode genes that contribute to both the initiation and maintenance of these cancers. The viral oncoprotein E6 is expressed in all HPV-positive cancers and functions by targeting the degradation of p53 through the engagement of the cellular ubiquitin ligase E6AP. Inhibiting the degradation of p53 leads to apoptosis in HPV-positive cancer cells. Using a high-throughput live cell assay, we identified several miRNAs whose transfection stabilize p53 in HPV-positive cells. These miRNAs have the potential to be used in the treatment of HPV-positive cancers.
Assuntos
Alphapapillomavirus/metabolismo , MicroRNAs/genética , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53/metabolismo , Alphapapillomavirus/genética , Apoptose , Linhagem Celular Tumoral , Inibidor de Quinase Dependente de Ciclina p21/metabolismo , Células HeLa , Ensaios de Triagem em Larga Escala , Humanos , Proteínas Oncogênicas Virais/genética , Proteínas Oncogênicas Virais/metabolismo , Estabilidade Proteica , Ubiquitina-Proteína Ligases/metabolismoRESUMO
Approximately 5% of cancers are caused by high-risk human papillomaviruses. Although very effective preventive vaccines will reduce this cancer burden significantly over the next several decades, they have no therapeutic effect for those already infected and remaining at risk for malignant progression of hrHPV lesions. HPV-associated cancers are dependent upon the expression of the viral E6 and E7 oncogenes. The oncogenic function of hrHPV E6 relies partially on its ability to induce p53 degradation. Since p53 is generally wildtype in hrHPV-associated cancers, p53 stabilization arrests proliferation, induces apoptosis and/or results in senescence. Here we describe a live cell, image-based high-throughput screen to identify compounds that stabilize p53 and/or affect viability in HPV-positive cancer HeLa cells. We validate the robustness and potential of this screening assay by assessing the activities of approximately 6,500 known bioactive compounds, illustrating its capability to function as a platform to identify novel therapeutics for hrHPV.
Assuntos
Aurora Quinases/antagonistas & inibidores , Quinases Ciclina-Dependentes/antagonistas & inibidores , Ensaios de Triagem em Larga Escala/métodos , Inibidores de Histona Desacetilases/farmacologia , Inibidores da Topoisomerase/farmacologia , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53/metabolismo , Apoptose/efeitos dos fármacos , Linhagem Celular Tumoral , Proliferação de Células/efeitos dos fármacos , Proteínas de Ligação a DNA/metabolismo , Feminino , Células HeLa , Papillomavirus Humano 18/genética , Humanos , Proteínas Oncogênicas Virais/metabolismo , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico por imagem , Infecções por Papillomavirus/patologia , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/genética , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero/virologiaRESUMO
Diversifying agricultural landscapes may mitigate biodiversity declines and improve pest management. Yet landscapes are rarely managed to suppress pests, in part because researchers seldom measure key variables related to pest outbreaks and insecticides that drive management decisions. We used a 13-year government database to analyse landscape effects on European grapevine moth (Lobesia botrana) outbreaks and insecticides across c. 400 Spanish vineyards. At harvest, we found pest outbreaks increased four-fold in simplified, vineyard-dominated landscapes compared to complex landscapes in which vineyards are surrounded by semi-natural habitats. Similarly, insecticide applications doubled in vineyard-dominated landscapes but declined in vineyards surrounded by shrubland. Importantly, pest population stochasticity would have masked these large effects if numbers of study sites and years were reduced to typical levels in landscape pest-control studies. Our results suggest increasing landscape complexity may mitigate pest populations and insecticide applications. Habitat conservation represents an economically and environmentally sound approach for achieving sustainable grape production.
Assuntos
Inseticidas , Animais , Surtos de Doenças , Ecossistema , Fazendas , Controle Biológico de VetoresRESUMO
Recent synthesis studies have shown inconsistent responses of crop pests to landscape composition, imposing a fundamental limit to our capacity to design sustainable crop protection strategies to reduce yield losses caused by insect pests. Using a global dataset composed of 5242 observations encompassing 48 agricultural pest species and 26 crop species, we tested the role of pest traits (exotic status, host breadth and habitat breadth) and environmental context (crop type, range in landscape gradient and climate) in modifying the pest response to increasing semi-natural habitats in the surrounding landscape. For natives, increasing semi-natural habitats decreased the abundance of pests that exploit only crop habitats or that are highly polyphagous. On the contrary, populations of exotic pests increased with an increasing cover of semi-natural habitats. These effects might be related to changes in host plants and other resources across the landscapes and/or to modified top-down control by natural enemies. The range of the landscape gradient explored and climate did not affect pests, while crop type modified the response of pests to landscape composition. Although species traits and environmental context helped in explaining some of the variability in pest response to landscape composition, the observed large interspecific differences suggest that a portfolio of strategies must be considered and implemented for the effective control of rapidly changing communities of crop pests in agroecosystems.
Assuntos
Produtos Agrícolas , Ecossistema , Agricultura , Animais , Insetos , Controle Biológico de VetoresRESUMO
Numerous studies have demonstrated that plant species diversity enhances ecosystem functioning in terrestrial ecosystems, including diversity effects on insects (herbivores, predators and parasitoids) and plants. However, the effects of increased plant diversity across trophic levels in different ecosystems and biomes have not yet been explored on a global scale. Through a global meta-analysis of 2,914 observations from 351 studies, we found that increased plant species richness reduced herbivore abundance and damage but increased predator and parasitoid abundance, predation, parasitism and overall plant performance. Moreover, increased predator/parasitoid performance was correlated with reduced herbivore abundance and enhanced plant performance. We conclude that increasing plant species diversity promotes beneficial trophic interactions between insects and plants, ultimately contributing to increased ecosystem services.