Epidemiology of Breast Cancer Mortality in Kazakhstan, trends and Geographic Distribution.

BACKGROUND: According to the International Agency for Research on Cancer, ongoing demographic changes will lead to an increase in the number of deaths from breast cancer (BC) per year in the vast majority of regions. In 2040 it is expected that 1.04 million people worldwide will die from this malignancy, including 2,380 women in Kazakhstan. METHODS: The retrospective study (2009-2018) was done using descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology. The extensive, crude and age-specific incidence rates are determined according to the generally accepted methodology used in sanitary statistics. The data were used to calculate the average percentage change (APС) using the Joinpoint regression analysis to determine the trend over the study period. RESULTS: During 10 years 12,958 women died from BC. An average age of the death was 61.6 years (95%CI=60.6-62.6) and tended to increase (APC=+0.6%, R2=0.6117). Age-specific rates had a bimodal increase with peak rates at 70-74 years - 76.7±5.5 (APC=+3.4%, R2=0.2656) and 80-84 years - 78.0±9.1 (APC=+3.7%, R2=0.0875). The age-standardized rate was 13.9 per 100,000 of female population, and the trend has decreased. When compiling thematic maps, mortality rates were determined on the basis of standardized indicators: low - up to 12.5, average - from 12.5 to 15.2, high - above 15.2 per 100,000. The results of the spatial analysis showed the regions with a higher levels of BC mortality rate per 100,000: Pavlodar (16.9), Almaty (19.2) and Astana cities (19.3). CONCLUSIONS: Age-standardized mortality rates had a strong downward trend (APC=-4.0%, R2=0.9218). The decrease mostly is due to a large coverage of the population by mammography screening and to an improvement in the effectiveness of breast cancer treatment.

Corpus Uteri Cancer in Kazakhstan: Recent Incidence Trends.

BACKGROUND: Endometrial cancer is the fifteenth most common malignant disease in the world. It is estimated that 417,367 new cases of this malignant neoplasm are diagnosed annually and 97,370 women die from it. OBJECTIVE: The epidemiological features of the corpus uteri cancer (CUC) incidence and its spatial and temporal assessment in Kazakhstan were studied. METHODS: The retrospective study was done for the period 2009-2018. Descriptive and analytical methods of epidemiology were used. Crude, age-specific, age-standardized, equalized incidence rates and approximation were calculated. The method of drawing up a cartogram based on the determination of the standard deviation (σ) from the mean (x) was applied. RESULT: During the study period, 10,522 new cases of CUC were registered. The average annual age-standardized incidence rate was 11.1±0.2 cases per 100,000 population of female, (Т=+0.6%; R2=0.083). The analysis of ASIR showed unimodal growth with a peak at 65-69 years - 58.8±3.6 cases per 100,000 population of female. The most pronounced downward trend was revealed in the age group < 30 years (T=-2.6%), and the most pronounced annual average upward rates was in 80-84 years (T=+6.4%). The results of the spatial analysis showed regions with a higher levels of CUC incidence rate per 100,000 population of female: Pavlodar, Kostanay, Karaganda, Almaty city, North Kazakhstan and Astana city. CONCLUSION: In recent years, CUC incidence in Kazakhstan has been increasing. High incidence rates were found in the northern regions of the country, and the trend of incidence growth was more pronounced in the western and eastern regions.

Study on Breast Cancer in Kazakhstan Using the Functional Time Series.

AIM: In Kazakhstan and Central Asia, breast cancer (BC) is the most common malignancy among women. However, no large-scale study on breast cancer using the functional time series approach has been carried out in Kazakhstan. METHODS: A functional assessment of the age-period-cohort model (APC) and the survival rate (period 2017-2021) was used in the retrospective study. Clinical and demographic information on patients was analysed, including age, gender, region of residence, kind and stage of tumour, occupation, socioeconomic standing, nationality, and specifics of treatment and its outcomes. Additionally, the relationship between nationality, stage, and residency region and the survival rate of breast cancer patients was investigated too. RESULTS: The data of n=22,736 breast cancer patients were analysed. The highest number of breast cancer cases reported was 4,945 (21.7%), in 2019. In 2021, n =4,939 (21.7%) cases were detected, while in 2020, n=4,222 (18.6%) cases were observed. The patients with breast cancer in stages I and Ia were recognized in 6,585 (29% of cases), while those in stages Ib and Ic were confirmed in 8687 (38.2% of cases). In n=10,147 (44.6%) cases, a malignant tumour of the upper outer quadrant of the breast (C50.4) was predominant. Kazakhs made up the majority (n=10,939, 48.1%) of patients with a primary validated diagnosis of breast cancer, followed by Russians (n=7527, 33.1%). Germans had the lowest survival rate overall (11.4 ± 1.7 months) (p ≤ 0.05) (95% CI: 8.0-14.7 months). Uzbeks showed relatively high survival rates of 18.3 ± 1.6 months (95% CI: 15.1-21.5 months) (p ≤ 0.05). The Aktobe region had the lowest breast cancer survival rates, measuring 12.1±0.9 months (95% CI: 10.3-13.9 months) (p ≤ 0.05). The highest survival rates, 18.0±1.3 months (95% CI: 15.5-20.5 months) and 17.9±1.4 months (95% CI: 15.3-20.7 months), were seen in Shymkent and Zhambyl regions (p ≤ 0.05), respectively. The prevalence of breast cancer increases after 37.5 years, according to the results of the APC analysis, with an indicator of 0.572 (95% CI: -0.41 - 1.56), maintaining a steady upward trend in the age range from 42.5 years to 62.5 years. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a slight drop in the disease's frequency, the incidence of breast cancer in women 37.5 years and older has been stable over the past five years. Additionally, it was shown that the country's northern regions had a higher incidence of breast cancer cases than the southern and western regions. Our results show the significance of demographic characteristics such as age and location for the development of preventive measures and effective treatment.

Evaluation of Breast Cancer Incidence Trends in the Karaganda Region of Kazakhstan.

Background: The study conducted a component analysis of the dynamics of the incidence of breast cancer (BC) in Karaganda region. Methods: Primary data were for registered patients with BC (ICD 10-C50) in Kazakhstan, Karaganda region the period of 2009-2018. Evaluation of changes in BC incidence in the population of Karaganda was performed using component analysis according to the methodological recommendations. Results: Overall, 4,391 new cases of BC and 1,202 deaths were recorded. The incidence rate increased from 44.4 (2009) to 72.7 in 2018 and the overall growth was 28.37 per 100,000 population of female, including due to the age structure - ∑ΔA =3.13, due to the risk of acquiring illness - ∑ΔR =22.69 and their combined effect - ∑ΔRA =2.56. The component analysis revealed that the increase in the number of patients with BC was mainly due to the growth of the population (ΔP =+3.7%), changes in its age structure (ΔA =+10.3%) and changes associated with the risk of acquiring illness (ΔR =+75.0%). The mortality rate in the region changed from 18.6 (2009) to 10.9 (2018) and tended to decrease. Conclusion: The role of the influence of demographic factors and the risk of acquiring illness on the formation of the number of patients and the incidence of BC was evaluated. In this region, these indicators were the highest. The implementation of the results of this study is recommended in management of anticancer activities for BC.

Geographic Variability of Gastric Cancer Incidence in Kazakhstan.

OBJECTIVE: The article studies the geographical features of the incidence of gastric cancer (GC) in Kazakhstan. METHODS: The retrospective study was done for the period 2009-2018. Descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology were used. Crude (CR), age-specific (ASIR), age-standardized (ASR), equalized incidence rates and approximation were calculated. The dynamics of indicators was investigated using component analysis according to methodological recommendations. The method of drawing up a cartogram based on the determination of the standard deviation (σ) from the mean (x) was applied. RESULTS: During the study period, 27,467 new cases of GC were registered. The incidence rate increased from 16.80 (2009) to 15.10 in 2018 and the overall decline was 1.70 per 100,000 population, including due to the age structure - ∑ΔA=+1.51, due to the risk of acquiring illness - ∑ΔR=-2.91 and their combined effect - ∑ΔRA=-0.31. The component analysis revealed that the increase in the number of patients with GC was mainly due to the growth of the population (ΔP=+651.8%), changes in its age structure (ΔA=+433.9%) and changes associated with the risk of acquiring illness (ΔR=-832.1%). The cartograms were allocated according to the following criteria: low - up to 14.80/0000, average - from 14.8 to 19.20/0000, high - above 19.20/0000. The results of the spatial assessment showed the highest levels of GC incidence in following regions: Akmola (22.20/0000), North Kazakhstan (22.30/0000), and Pavlodar (23.20/0000). CONCLUSION: Thus, as a result of the epidemiological analysis, the role of the influence of demographic factors and the risk of acquiring illness on the formation of the number of patients and the incidence of GC was evaluated, while sex differences and geographical variability were established.

Breast Cancer Incidence in Kyrgyzstan: Report of 15 Years of Cancer Registry.

OBJECTIVE: The epidemiological features of the breast cancer (BC) incidence in Kyrgyzstan were studied. METHODS: The retrospective study (2003-2017). Descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology were used. Crude (CR), age-specific (ASIR), age-standardized (ASR), equalized incidence rates and approximation were calculated. The method of drawing up a cartogram based on the determination of the standard deviation (σ) from the mean (x) was applied. RESULTS: During the study period, 7,850 new cases of BC were registered. The average annual crude and age-standardized incidence rate were 18.8±0.5 and 24.0±0.5 cases per 100,000 population of female, respectively, and their trends tended to increase (Т=+1.0%; R2=0.242 and Т=+0.2%; R2=0.015, respectively). The analysis of ASIR showed unimodal growth with a peak at 60-64 years - 85.9±4.9 cases per 100,000 population of female. ASIR trends decreased in the age groups of 40-59 years, and the most pronounced decrease was in 50-54 years (T=-1.5%; R2=0.391), in other age groups the trend increased and were most pronounced up to 30 years (T=+4.4%; R2=0.180). Trends in ASR of BС tended to grow in almost all regions, with higher levels in Osh (Т=+3.6%; R2=0.665) and Jalal-Abad (Т=+3.8%; R2=0.551) regions. The cartograms of ASR per 100,000 population of female were allocated according to the following criteria: low - up to 17.2, average - from 17.2 to 26.5, high - above 26.5. The results of the spatial analysis showed the regions with a higher levels of BC incidence rate per 100,000 population of female: Chuy (31.3), Osh city (27.1) and Bishkek city (39.2). CONCLUSION: The study of the epidemiological spatio-temporal features of the incidence of breast cancer is of both theoretical and practical interest and plays an important role in monitoring and evaluating anticancer activities.

Colorectal Cancer Mortality in Kazakhstan: Spatio-Temporal Epidemiological Assessment.

OBJECTIVE: The aim is to study the trends in colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality in Kazakhstan. METHODS: The retrospective study was done using descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology. The extensive, crude and age-specific mortality rates are determined according to the generally accepted methodology used in sanitary statistics. RESULTS: CRC mortality in Kazakhstan is considered to be increasing. Therefore, this study (for the period 2009-2018) was undertaken to retrospectively evaluate data across the country available from the central registration bureau. Age standardized data for mortality was generated and compared across age groups. It was determined that during the studied period 15,200 died of this pathology. During the studied years an average age of the dead made 69.8 years (95%CI=69.5-70.0). The average annual standardized mortality rate was 10.2 per 100,000, and in dynamics tended to decrease. Peak of mortality was noted in aged 60-84 years. Trends in age-related mortality rates had a pronounced tendency to increase in 30-34 years (T=+11.7%, R2=0.7980) and to decrease in 75-79 years (T=-16.4%, R2=0.8881). In many regions, there is a decrease in the number of deaths. During the compilation of cartograms, mortality rates were determined on the basis of standardized indicators: low - up to 8.9, average - from 8.9 to 11.5, high - above 11.5 per 100,000 for the entire population. In addition, all calculations were made taking into account age-sex differences. CONCLUSION: Trends in mortality from CRC in recent years have decreased from 11.2 to 7.7 per 100,000 of the total population, while the trend is stable (T=-3.6%, R2=0.8745). The study of regional mortality has theoretical and practical significance: monitoring and evaluation of the effectiveness of early detection and treatment of detected pathology. Health authorities should take into account the results obtained when organizing anti-cancer measures.

Trends of Colorectal Cancer Incidence in Kazakhstan.

AAMC: Background and objective: Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains one of the most widespread human malignancies. The aim of this study was to study trends of the incidence of CRC in Kazakhstan. Materials and Method: This retrospective study was done using descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology. Results: During the study period from 2009 to 2018, 28,950 new cases of CRC were recorded, 13,779 (47.6%) cases were allocated to men and 15,171 (52.4%) to women. It was found that the incidence rate of CRC increased from 14.79 (2009) to 17.72 in 2018 and the overall growth was 2.93 cases per 100,000. This increase was due to the age structure ­ ΣΔA=+1.42, the risk of acquiring illness ­ ΣΔR=+1.31, and their combined effect ­ ΣΔRA=+0.20. The component analysis results revealed that the increase in the number of patients with CRC was mainly due to the growth of the population (ΔP=+37.7%), changes in age structure (ΔA=+26.6%), and changes associated with the risk of acquiring illness (ΔR=+24.6%). The number of patients (both sexes) was increasing in many regions largely due to the influence of the age structure of the population. In addition, it was found that growth in the number of patients in most regions, both men and women, was associated primarily with the risk of acquiring illness. Conclusion: The findings of the current study showed increasing trends in the incidence of CRC in all regions of the country. These changes were mainly influenced by demographic factors (population size and age structure), risk of acquiring the disease, and their combined effect.^ieng

Comparative Results of Treatment and Complications: Pedea in Open Ductus Arteriosus in Premature Infants.

ABSTRACT: The open ductus arteriosus (ODA) is the vessel through which the pathological communication between the aorta and the pulmonary artery persists after birth. Clinical manifestations depend on the size of the duct and the stage of hemodynamic disorders. The course of the defect varies from asymptomatic to extremely severe. With large duct sizes, the latter manifests itself from the first week of life with signs of heart failure. The current research is devoted to the choice of the optimal method of medical and surgical treatment in premature newborns with an unaffected ductus arteriosus. Drug therapy for pulmonary hypertension is recommended only for those patients who have irreversible pulmonary hypertension. Surgical closure of the ODA is recommended for overloads of the left heart or signs of pulmonary hypertension in the presence of blood discharge from left to right and after previously suffered endocarditis. The article analyzes current information about the treatment of premature infants with ODA.

New Trends of Cervical Cancer Incidence in Kazakhstan.

OBJECTIVE: The epidemiological features of the cervical cancer (CC) incidence and its spatial and temporal assessment in Kazakhstan were studied. METHODS: The retrospective study was done for the period 2009-2018. Descriptive and analytical methods of oncoepidemiology were used. RESULTS: During the study period, 16,441 new cases of CC were registered. The average annual crude and age-standardized incidence rate were 18.6±0.5 and 17.7±0.4 cases per 100,000 population of female, respectively, and their trends tended to increase (Тup=+2.3%; R2=0.708 and Тup=+1.9%; R2=0.615, respectively). The analysis of ASIR showed unimodal growth with a peak at 50-54 years - 45.3±1.1 cases per 100,000 population of female. Trends of ASIR decreased up to 30 years (Tdown=-1.8%; R2=0.111) and 35-59 years (Tdown=-0.9%; R2=0.103), in other age groups the trends increased, and were most pronounced in 40-44 (Тup=+4.1%; R2=0.878) and 65-69 years (Тup=+4.4%; R2=0.537). Trends in ASR of СС tended to grow in almost all regions, with higher levels in Mangystau (Тup=+4.1%; R2=0.482) and Aktobe (Тup=+6.3%; R2=0.846) regions. The cartograms of ASR per 100,000 population of female were allocated according to the following criteria: low - up to 16.3, average - from 16.3 to 19.2, high - above 19.2. The results of the spatial analysis showed the regions with a higher levels of CC incidence rate per 100,000 population of female: East Kazakhstan (19.8), Aktobe (20.0), Almaty (20.1), Kostanay region (20.9), Atyrau (21.7) regions and Almaty city (22.0). CONCLUSION: The study of trends of the cervical cancer incidence has the theoretical and practical value:  monitoring and evaluation of screening programmes, which are implemented in the country, and conduction of secondary prevention of cervical pathology. Health authorities should consider the obtained results in the in the organization of anti-cancer activities.

Impact of Appendectomy on Gut Microbiota.

Background: Considered vestigial from the classic point of view, the vermiform appendix has long been the subject of intensive studies. The recent understanding of appendix function in the context of unique architecture and bacterial complexity and density allows considering it as a safehouse for intestinal biodiversity. Methods: This review analyzes and assesses the current state of scientific knowledge regarding the role of the vermiform appendix in normal gut microbiota maintenance as a crucial factor of host homeostasis. It also highlights the difference in microbial composition between the large bowel and the appendix, as well as the association between the surgical excision, appendectomy, and dysbiosis-induced diseases. In addition, the review discusses the results of epidemiologic studies on appendectomy as a risk factor for the initiation of gastrointestinal carcinogenesis. It also highlights the association between appendectomy and a series of chronic inflammatory and neurologic disorders, including inflammatory bowel disease.

Prediction Mortality Rate Due to the Road-Traffic Accidents in Kazakhstan.

BACKGROUND: As a result of the road traffic accidents 1.25 mln. of working-age people die each year on the roads. Frequency of the RTA is 11 times higher in our country than in Europe, that influence on demographic and economic situation in the republic. Creation of the math modeling and prediction of traffic mortality rate in Kazakhstan will allow to develop measure on its decrease. METHODS: Short-term dotted prediction of population mortality level of Kazakhstan was used, in particular - methods of regressive analysis. General prognosis throughout the country up to 2021 was made on the basis of data for 1999-2018. The more relevant method for prediction is exponential function taking into account the features of mortality rate level trend. RESULTS: Prediction of traffic fatalities without division into the age-related groups for 2019 is 2132±181 case with a probability 2/3. Expected levels for 2020-2027 cases, for 2021-1927 cases.Annual mortality decrease rate according to the 0-19 age-related at an average is 6.4% among men and 5.8% among women, according to age group as a whole - by 6.2%; from 20 up to 64 age related group - 5.1 % on all population category; older 65 age -group is by 2.2 %, 3.7 % among men, 2.9% among women as a whole. CONCLUSION: In the foreseeable future the number of traffic deaths in Kazakhstan will tend to decrease at a slower pace. Mortality rates due to road traffic accidents among working-age men will be 3 times higher than women in this age group.