The Vienna Prediction Model for identifying patients at low risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) have a high recurrence risk, and guidelines suggest extended-phase anticoagulation. Many patients never experience recurrence but are exposed to bleeding. The aim of this study was to assess the performance of the Vienna Prediction Model (VPM) and to evaluate if the VPM accurately identifies these patients. METHODS: In patients with unprovoked VTE, the VPM was performed 3 weeks after anticoagulation withdrawal. Those with a predicted 1-year recurrence risk of ≤5.5% were prospectively followed. Study endpoint was recurrent VTE over 2 years. RESULTS: A total of 818 patients received anticoagulation for a median of 3.9 months. 520 patients (65%) had a predicted annual recurrence risk of ≤5.5%. During a median time of 23.9 months, 52 patients had non-fatal recurrence. The recurrence risk was 5.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.2-7.2] at 1 year and 11.2% (95% CI 8.3-14) at 2 years. Model calibration was adequate after 1 year. The VPM underestimated the recurrence risk of patients with a 2-year recurrence rate of >5%. In a post-hoc analysis, the VPM's baseline hazard was recalibrated. Bootstrap validation confirmed an ideal ratio of observed and expected recurrence events. The recurrence risk was highest in men with proximal deep-vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism and lower in women regardless of the site of incident VTE. CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective evaluation of the performance of the VPM, the 1-year rate of recurrence in patients with unprovoked VTE was 5.2%. Recalibration improved identification of patients at low recurrence risk and stratification into distinct low-risk categories.

Plasma levels of platelet-enriched microRNAs change during antiplatelet therapy in healthy subjects.

Platelets are the main effectors of primary hemostasis but also cause thrombosis in pathological conditions. Antiplatelet drugs are the cornerstone for the prevention of adverse cardiovascular events. Monitoring the extent of platelet inhibition is essential. Currently available platelet function tests come with constraints, limiting use in antiplatelet drug development as well as in clinical routine. With this study, we aim to investigate whether plasma miRNAs might be suitable biomarkers for monitoring antiplatelet treatment. Platelet-poor plasma was obtained from a trial including 87 healthy male volunteers that either received ticagrelor (n = 44) or clopidogrel (n = 43). Blood was collected before drug intake and after 2 h, 6 h, and 24 h. We measured a panel of 11 platelet-enriched miRNAs (thrombomiRs) by RT-qPCR and selected four biomarker candidates (i.e., miR-223-3p, miR-150-5p, miR-126-3p, miR-24-3p). To further characterize those miRNAs, we performed correlation analyses with the number of extracellular vesicles and clotting time dependent on procoagulant vesicles (PPL assay). We show that platelet-enriched miRNAs in the circulation are significantly reduced upon P2Y12-mediated platelet inhibition. This effect occurred fast, reaching its peak after 2 h. Additionally, we demonstrate that higher baseline levels of thrombomiRs are linked to a stronger reduction upon antiplatelet therapy. Finally, we show that miRNAs from our panel might be the cargo of platelet-derived and procoagulant vesicles. In conclusion, we provide evidence that thrombomiR levels change within 2 h after pharmacological platelet inhibition and circulate the body within platelet-derived and procoagulant extracellular vesicles, rendering them potential biomarker candidates for the assessment of in vivo platelet function.

Absorption of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Cancer Patients after Gastrectomy.

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are safe and effective in cancer patients treated for venous thromboembolism (VTE) or atrial fibrillation (AF). Gastrectomy is the treatment of choice in patients with localized upper gastrointestinal cancer. DOACs are absorbed in the upper gastrointestinal tract, but to what extent is unclear. In a retrospective analysis, hospital data were searched for adult patients who underwent gastrectomy for gastroesophageal or pancreatic cancer, and DOAC therapy for VTE or AF after gastrectomy. DOAC blood levels were determined by chromogenic assays before and after administration, and thromboembolic and bleeding complications were recorded. Eleven patients (median age 76 years) received a factor Xa inhibitor (FXaI; apixaban (3), edoxaban (3), rivaroxaban (4)) or the factor IIa inhibitor dabigatran (1) for VTE (7) or AF (4) after gastrectomy. Eight patients on FXaI had anti-Xa (aXa) trough levels within the expected range (ER). In all of them, aXa levels increased upon DOAC administration. Two patients on 30 mg edoxaban had low aXa trough levels. Administration of 20 mg of rivaroxaban resulted in trough levels in the ER in one of them. None of the FXaI patients had thromboembolism, while two experienced bleeding (arterial puncture site, gastrointestinal). One dabigatran AF patient with trough and peak concentrations below the ER had strokes during 110 mg and 150 mg dabigatran administration. While on apixaban, aXa levels were in the ER, and no clinical complications occurred. DOACs, particularly FXaI, were adequately absorbed in cancer patients after gastrectomy. Our observation of recurrent thromboembolic events in a patient treated with dabigatran warrants cautious use in this specific patient population.

Extracellular Vesicles and Citrullinated Histone H3 in Coronavirus Disease 2019 Patients.

OBJECTIVES: Pulmonary thrombus formation is a hallmark of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). A dysregulated immune response culminating in thromboinflammation has been described, but the pathomechanisms remain unclear. METHODS: We studied 41 adult COVID-19 patients with positive results on reverse-transcriptase polymerase-chain-reaction assays and 37 sex- and age-matched healthy controls. Number and surface characteristics of extracellular vesicles (EVs) and citrullinated histone H3 levels were determined in plasma upon inclusion by flow cytometry and immunoassay. RESULTS: In total, 20 patients had severe and 21 nonsevere disease. The number of EV (median [25th, 75th percentile]) was significantly higher in patients compared with controls (658.8 [353.2, 876.6] vs. 435.5 [332.5, 585.3], geometric mean ratio [95% confidence intervals]: 2.6 [1.9, 3.6]; p < 0.001). Patients exhibited significantly higher numbers of EVs derived from platelets, endothelial cells, leukocytes, or neutrophils than controls. EVs from alveolar-macrophages and alveolar-epithelial cells were detectable in plasma and were significantly higher in patients. Intercellular adhesion molecule-1-positive EV levels were higher in patients, while no difference between tissue factor-positive and angiotensin-converting enzyme-positive EV was seen between both groups. Levels of EV did not differ between patients with severe and nonsevere COVID-19. Citrullinated histone H3 levels (ng/mL, median [25th, 75th percentile]) were higher in patients than in controls (1.42 [0.6, 3.4] vs. 0.31 [0.1, 0.6], geometric mean ratio: 4.44 [2.6, 7.7]; p < 0.001), and were significantly lower in patients with nonsevere disease compared with those with severe disease. CONCLUSION: EV and citrullinated histone H3 are associated with COVID-19 and could provide information regarding pathophysiology of the disease.

Long-Term Risk for Major Bleeding During Extended Oral Anticoagulant Therapy for First Unprovoked Venous Thromboembolism : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk for major bleeding in patients receiving extended (beyond the initial 3 to 6 months) anticoagulant therapy for a first unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain. PURPOSE: To determine the incidence of major bleeding during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years among patients with a first unprovoked VTE, overall, and in clinically important subgroups. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials from inception to 23 July 2021. STUDY SELECTION: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies reporting major bleeding among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive oral anticoagulation for a minimum of 6 additional months after completing at least 3 months of initial anticoagulant treatment. DATA EXTRACTION: Two reviewers independently abstracted data and assessed study quality. Unpublished data required for analyses were obtained from authors of included studies. DATA SYNTHESIS: Among the 14 RCTs and 13 cohort studies included in the analysis, 9982 patients received a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 7220 received a direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC). The incidence of major bleeding per 100 person-years was 1.74 events (95% CI, 1.34 to 2.20 events) with VKAs and 1.12 events (CI, 0.72 to 1.62 events) with DOACs. The 5-year cumulative incidence of major bleeding with VKAs was 6.3% (CI, 3.6% to 10.0%). Among patients receiving either a VKA or a DOAC, the incidence of major bleeding was statistically significantly higher among those who were older than 65 years or had creatinine clearance less than 50 mL/min, a history of bleeding, concomitant use of antiplatelet therapy, or a hemoglobin level less than 100 g/L. The case-fatality rate of major bleeding was 8.3% (CI, 5.1% to 12.2%) with VKAs and 9.7% (CI, 3.2% to 19.2%) with DOACs. LIMITATION: Data were insufficient to estimate incidence of major bleeding beyond 1 year of extended anticoagulation with DOACs. CONCLUSION: In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risks and consequences of anticoagulant-related major bleeding are considerable. This information will help inform patient prognosis and guide decision making about treatment duration for unprovoked VTE. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Canadian Institutes of Health Research. (PROSPERO: CRD42019128597).

The EHA Research Roadmap: Blood Coagulation and Hemostatic Disorders.

In 2016, the European Hematology Association (EHA) published the EHA Roadmap for European Hematology Research1 aiming to highlight achievements in the diagnostics and treatment of blood disorders, and to better inform European policy makers and other stakeholders about the urgent clinical and scientific needs and priorities in the field of hematology. Each section was coordinated by 1-2 section editors who were leading international experts in the field. In the 5 years that have followed, advances in the field of hematology have been plentiful. As such, EHA is pleased to present an updated Research Roadmap, now including 11 sections, each of which will be published separately. The updated EHA Research Roadmap identifies the most urgent priorities in hematology research and clinical science, therefore supporting a more informed, focused, and ideally funded future for European hematology research. The 11 EHA Research Roadmap sections include Normal Hematopoiesis; Malignant Lymphoid Diseases; Malignant Myeloid Diseases; Anemias and Related Diseases; Platelet Disorders; Blood Coagulation and Hemostatic Disorders; Transfusion Medicine; Infections in Hematology; Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation; CAR-T and Other Cell-based Immune Therapies; and Gene Therapy.

Long-term risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism among patients receiving extended oral anticoagulant therapy for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The long-term risk for recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during extended anticoagulation for a first unprovoked VTE is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the incidence of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation of up to 5 years in patients with a first unprovoked VTE. METHODS: MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane CENTRAL were searched to identify randomized trials and prospective cohort studies reporting recurrent VTE among patients with a first unprovoked VTE who were to receive anticoagulation for a minimum of six additional months after completing ≥3 months of initial treatment. Unpublished data on number of recurrent VTE and person-years, obtained from authors of included studies, were used to calculate study-level incidence rate, and random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool results. RESULTS: Twenty-six studies and 15 603 patients were included in the analysis. During 11 631 person-years of follow-up, the incidence of recurrent VTE and fatal pulmonary embolism per 100 person-years was 1.41 (95% CI, 1.03-1.84) and 0.09 (0.04-0.16), with 5-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (3.0%-13.2%) and 1.2% (0.4%-4.6%), respectively. The incidence of recurrent VTE was 1.08 (95% CI, 0.77-1.44) with direct oral anticoagulants and 1.55 (1.01-2.20) with vitamin K antagonists. The case-fatality rate of recurrent VTE was 4.9% (95% CI, 2.2%-8.7%). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with a first unprovoked VTE, the long-term risk of recurrent VTE during extended anticoagulation is low but not negligible. Thus, clinicians and patients should be aware of this risk and take appropriate and timely action in case of suspicion of recurrent VTE. Estimates from this study can be used to advise patients on what to expect while receiving extended anticoagulation, and estimate the net clinical benefit of extended treatment to guide long-term management of unprovoked VTE.

Thrombotic Thrombocytopenia after ChAdOx1 nCov-19 Vaccination.

BACKGROUND: Several cases of unusual thrombotic events and thrombocytopenia have developed after vaccination with the recombinant adenoviral vector encoding the spike protein antigen of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) (ChAdOx1 nCov-19, AstraZeneca). More data were needed on the pathogenesis of this unusual clotting disorder. METHODS: We assessed the clinical and laboratory features of 11 patients in Germany and Austria in whom thrombosis or thrombocytopenia had developed after vaccination with ChAdOx1 nCov-19. We used a standard enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to detect platelet factor 4 (PF4)-heparin antibodies and a modified (PF4-enhanced) platelet-activation test to detect platelet-activating antibodies under various reaction conditions. Included in this testing were samples from patients who had blood samples referred for investigation of vaccine-associated thrombotic events, with 28 testing positive on a screening PF4-heparin immunoassay. RESULTS: Of the 11 original patients, 9 were women, with a median age of 36 years (range, 22 to 49). Beginning 5 to 16 days after vaccination, the patients presented with one or more thrombotic events, with the exception of 1 patient, who presented with fatal intracranial hemorrhage. Of the patients with one or more thrombotic events, 9 had cerebral venous thrombosis, 3 had splanchnic-vein thrombosis, 3 had pulmonary embolism, and 4 had other thromboses; of these patients, 6 died. Five patients had disseminated intravascular coagulation. None of the patients had received heparin before symptom onset. All 28 patients who tested positive for antibodies against PF4-heparin tested positive on the platelet-activation assay in the presence of PF4 independent of heparin. Platelet activation was inhibited by high levels of heparin, Fc receptor-blocking monoclonal antibody, and immune globulin (10 mg per milliliter). Additional studies with PF4 or PF4-heparin affinity purified antibodies in 2 patients confirmed PF4-dependent platelet activation. CONCLUSIONS: Vaccination with ChAdOx1 nCov-19 can result in the rare development of immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia mediated by platelet-activating antibodies against PF4, which clinically mimics autoimmune heparin-induced thrombocytopenia. (Funded by the German Research Foundation.).

MicroRNA Signatures in Plasma of Patients With Venous Thrombosis: A Preliminary Report.

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a frequent and potentially fatal disease, but its pathophysiology is incompletely understood. microRNAs (miR) dysregulate hemostatic proteins and influence thrombotic pathology by posttranscriptional regulation of gene expression. Consensus in defining VTE-related miR clusters and functionally relevant miR has not been reached. We aimed to generate a miR database in patients at high thrombotic risk of VTE and explored their biological functions by seeking information on their messenger RNA targets. METHODS: By high-throughput screening (Affymetrix miRNA Microarray), we identified 159 miR in venous blood of male patients who had two unprovoked VTE and in age-matched male controls. RESULTS: Of the 159 miR, 41 were significantly higher expressed in patients compared to controls. Six miR (hsa-miR-6798-3p, hsa-miR-6789-5p hsa-miR-4651, hsa-miR-6765-5p, hsa-miR-6816-5p, hsa-miR-4734) were modulated ≥ 5.0-fold higher. Higher expression levels of 4 of these miR (hsa-miR-6789-5p, hsa-miR-4651, hsa-miR-6765-5p, and hsa-miR-6816-5p; primers were unavailable for hsa-miR-6798-3p and hsa-miR-4734) were confirmed by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction in 10 independent patients and 10 control samples. Ingenuity Pathway Analysis identified 23 altered miR including hsa-miR-6789-5p, hsa-miR-4651, hsa-miR-6765-5p and hsa-miR-4734 as the main regulators of messenger RNAs involved in the pathology of VTE. Seven messenger RNA targets including thrombomodulin and four targets related to platelet function had a direct relationship to 4 identified miR. CONCLUSIONS: We provide evidence of distinct, independently validated miR signatures in patients with VTE and identified a subset of miR as main regulators of messenger RNA involved in disorders related to pathophysiologic processes in venous thrombosis development.

European position paper on the management of patients with patent foramen ovale. Part II - Decompression sickness, migraine, arterial deoxygenation syndromes and select high-risk clinical conditions.

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is implicated in the pathogenesis of a number of medical conditions but to date only one official position paper related to left circulation thromboembolism has been published. This interdisciplinary paper, prepared with the involvement of eight European scientific societies, reviews the available evidence and proposes a rationale for decision making for other PFO-related clinical conditions. In order to guarantee a strict evidence-based process, we used a modified grading of recommendations, assessment, development, and evaluation (GRADE) methodology. A critical qualitative and quantitative evaluation of diagnostic and therapeutic procedures was performed, including assessment of the risk/benefit ratio. The level of evidence and the strength of the position statements were weighed and graded according to predefined scales. Despite being based on limited and observational or low-certainty randomised data, a number of position statements were made to frame PFO management in different clinical settings, along with suggestions for new research avenues. This interdisciplinary position paper, recognising the low or very low certainty of existing evidence, provides the first approach to several PFO-related clinical scenarios beyond left circulation thromboembolism and strongly stresses the need for fresh high-quality evidence on these topics.

European position paper on the management of patients with patent foramen ovale. Part II - Decompression sickness, migraine, arterial deoxygenation syndromes and select high-risk clinical conditions.

Patent foramen ovale (PFO) is implicated in the pathogenesis of a number of medical conditions but to date only one official position paper related to left circulation thromboembolism has been published. This interdisciplinary paper, prepared with the involvement of eight European scientific societies, reviews the available evidence and proposes a rationale for decision making for other PFO-related clinical conditions. In order to guarantee a strict evidence-based process, we used a modified grading of recommendations, assessment, development, and evaluation (GRADE) methodology. A critical qualitative and quantitative evaluation of diagnostic and therapeutic procedures was performed, including assessment of the risk/benefit ratio. The level of evidence and the strength of the position statements were weighed and graded according to predefined scales. Despite being based on limited and observational or low-certainty randomised data, a number of position statements were made to frame PFO management in different clinical settings, along with suggestions for new research avenues. This interdisciplinary position paper, recognising the low or very low certainty of existing evidence, provides the first approach to several PFO-related clinical scenarios beyond left circulation thromboembolism and strongly stresses the need for fresh high-quality evidence on these topics.

D-dimer levels over time after anticoagulation and the association with recurrent venous thromboembolism.

INTRODUCTION: D-dimer measured shortly after discontinuation of anticoagulation by an immunoturbidimetric assay predicts the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE). We assessed the performance of this assay over time and its association with recurrent VTE. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We followed 556 patients with a first VTE for a median of 9.6 years. The study end point was recurrent VTE. D-dimer was measured 3 weeks, and 3, 9, and 15 months after discontinuation of anticoagulation in plasma using an immunoturbidimetric assay (INNOVANCE D-Dimer). To estimate the effect of longitudinal D-dimer on the recurrence risk, we used a dynamic prediction Cox model with landmark times (3 weeks, and 3, 9, 15 months) as a stratification factor. RESULTS: 135 patients had recurrent VTE. D-dimer levels varied between patients but without a consistent pattern. Levels increased slightly over time [0.7% increase (95% CI: 0.5-0.9; p < 0.001)/month]. D-dimer levels were positively correlated with body mass index (BMI) [2% (95% CI: 1.1-2.9; p < 0.001) increase/1 unit BMI increase], and were 14.8% (95% CI: 5.1-25.3; p = 0.002) higher in women than in men. The recurrence risk with doubling D-dimer levels was higher after 3 weeks, 3, 9 and 15 months [hazard ratios 1.4 (1.06-1.84), 1.37 (1.06-1.77), 1.31 (1.04-1.65) and 1.26 (1.01-1.57), respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with a first VTE, immunoturbidimetric D-dimer levels are associated with the risk of recurrence at multiple times points from 3 weeks up to 15 months after discontinuation of oral anticoagulation.

How I manage cyclic thrombocytopenia.

Cyclic thrombocytopenia (CTP) is a rare disease, which is characterized by periodic fluctuation of the platelet count. The pathogenesis of CTP is unknown and most likely heterogeneous. Patients with CTP are almost always misdiagnosed as having primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP). The interval between ITP and CTP diagnosis can be many years. CTP patients often receive ITP-specific therapies including corticosteroids, thrombopoietin receptor agonists, rituximab, and splenectomy, which are followed by a transient increase in platelet count that is wrongly attributed to treatment effect with inevitable "relapse." CTP can be diagnosed by frequent platelet count monitoring, which reveals a typical pattern of periodic platelet cycling. An early diagnosis of CTP will prevent these patients from being exposed to possibly harmful therapies. The bleeding phenotype is usually mild and consists of mucocutaneous bleeding at the time when the platelet count is at its nadir. Severe bleeding from other sites can occur but is rare. Some patients respond to cyclosporine A or to danazol, but most patients do not respond to any therapy. CTP can be associated with hematological malignancies or disorders of the thyroid gland. Nevertheless, spontaneous remissions can occur, even after many years.

Recurrent venous thromboembolism during anticoagulation with edoxaban or warfarin: A post hoc analysis of the Hokusai-VTE trial.

INTRODUCTION: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) may recur during anticoagulation, but the actual rate is not well established. In a post hoc analysis of the Hokusai-VTE trial we evaluated the risk and determinants of recurrent VTE of patients during anticoagulation with heparin, edoxaban or warfarin. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Hokusai-VTE study showed that in VTE patients edoxaban was non-inferior to warfarin with significantly less bleeding. Treatment duration ranged from 3 to 12 months. The recurrent VTE during anticoagulation period was defined as the VTE which occurred from the date of the first to the last dose (+3 days) of study drug. RESULTS: 147 of 8240 patients (1.8%) had a recurrent VTE during anticoagulant treatment. Median duration of anticoagulation was 267 days. 80 (54%) patients recurred within the first 30 days, 39 of those during heparin lead-in. 23 of 147 patients died of pulmonary embolism (PE) during anticoagulation (case fatality rate 15.6%). 13 of those fatalities (57%) occurred during the first 30 days; 4 of those during heparin lead-in. The recurrence risk was numerically lower in patients assigned to edoxaban compared to those assigned to warfarin, particularly beyond 30 days. We observed a trend towards a higher proportion of men, high NT-proBNP levels and obesity at the time of diagnosis among patients with early recurrence and mortality in particular. CONCLUSION: The risk of recurrent VTE and PE-related mortality during the time of anticoagulation is low but noteworthy. Further studies are warranted to sharpen the risk profile of VTE patients in order to improve treatment and reduce mortality.

Differential Effects of Ticagrelor With or Without Aspirin on Platelet Reactivity and Coagulation Activation: A Randomized Trial in Healthy Volunteers.

Dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is standard in acute coronary heart disease but confers a bleeding risk. To compare the effects of ticagrelor-monotherapy with ticagrelor-based DAPT on hemostatic system activation, we conducted a randomized controlled trial in 44 volunteers using a loading-dose regimen and measured platelet-aggregometry triggered by adenosine diphosphate (multiple electrode aggregometry (MEA)-ADP) and arachidonic acid (MEA-AA), the vasodilator-stimulated phosphoprotein (VASP), prothrombin fragment 1.2 (f1.2), and d-Dimer. Ticagrelor-based DAPT and ticagrelor-monotherapy significantly decreased MEA-ADP (Δmean: -51.4 (-56.9; -45.8) and -46.2 (-51.7; -40.7)) and VASP (Δmean: -70.3 (-76.2; -64.4) and -69.6 (-75.5; -63.7)) at 2 hours and over 24 hours. MEA-AA was reduced significantly by both treatments (Δmean: -72.9 (-80.6; -65.3) and -25.7 (-33.3; -18.0)) at 2 hours, and stronger by ticagrelor-based DAPT over 24 hours. Both treatments decreased f1.2 (geometric mean ratio (GMR): 0.92 (0.84; 1.01) and 0.88 (0.80; 0.96)) and d-Dimer (GMR: 0.89 (0.86; 0.92) and 0.91 (0.88; 0.94)) at 2 hours and d-Dimer over 24 hours. Ticagrelor-monotherapy and ticagrelor-based DAPT comparably affect hemostatic system activation.

Circumstances of provoked recurrent venous thromboembolism: the Austrian study on recurrent venous thromboembolism.

Patients with unprovoked deep-vein thrombosis (DVT) of the leg or pulmonary embolism (PE) have a high recurrence risk. How often these recurrences are provoked by a temporary risk condition is unknown. In a cohort of patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE), we evaluated the clinical circumstances of recurrence. We studied patients with DVT of the leg and/or PE. End point was recurrence of objectively verified symptomatic VTE. Provoked recurrence was defined according to guidance criteria. 1188 patients were followed for a median of 8.9 years after withdrawal of oral anticoagulants. 312 patients had recurrent VTE, which was provoked in 42 (13%). Recurrence was related to a major risk factor in 19, to a minor risk factor in 22, and to a persistent risk factor in one patient(s). 14 recurrences occurred after major surgery and 5 during hospitalization. Ten recurrences occurred after minor surgery, eight after trauma and three during female hormone intake. Four recurrences occurred during heparin prophylaxis. The incidence of provoked VTE recurrence appears to be low. VTE can recur when prevention is stopped or even during thromboprophylaxis. Surgery and trauma are frequent risk factors.

Long term risk of symptomatic recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment for first unprovoked venous thromboembolism event: systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the rate of a first recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) event after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment in patients with a first episode of unprovoked VTE, and the cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE up to 10 years. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (from inception to 15 March 2019). STUDY SELECTION: Randomised controlled trials and prospective cohort studies reporting symptomatic recurrent VTE after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment in patients with a first unprovoked VTE event who had completed at least three months of treatment. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two investigators independently screened studies, extracted data, and appraised risk of bias. Data clarifications were sought from authors of eligible studies. Recurrent VTE events and person years of follow-up after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment were used to calculate rates for individual studies, and data were pooled using random effects meta-analysis. Sex and site of initial VTE were investigated as potential sources of between study heterogeneity. RESULTS: 18 studies involving 7515 patients were included in the analysis. The pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years after discontinuation of anticoagulant treatment was 10.3 events (95% confidence interval 8.6 to 12.1) in the first year, 6.3 (5.1 to 7.7) in the second year, 3.8 events/year (95% confidence interval 3.2 to 4.5) in years 3-5, and 3.1 events/year (1.7 to 4.9) in years 6-10. The cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE was 16% (95% confidence interval 13% to 19%) at 2 years, 25% (21% to 29%) at 5 years, and 36% (28% to 45%) at 10 years. The pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years in the first year was 11.9 events (9.6 to 14.4) for men and 8.9 events (6.8 to 11.3) for women, with a cumulative incidence for recurrent VTE of 41% (28% to 56%) and 29% (20% to 38%), respectively, at 10 years. Compared to patients with isolated pulmonary embolism, the rate of recurrent VTE was higher in patients with proximal deep vein thrombosis (rate ratio 1.4, 95% confidence interval 1.1 to 1.7) and in patients with pulmonary embolism plus deep vein thrombosis (1.5, 1.1 to 1.9). In patients with distal deep vein thrombosis, the pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person years was 1.9 events (95% confidence interval 0.5 to 4.3) in the first year after anticoagulation had stopped. The case fatality rate for recurrent VTE was 4% (95% confidence interval 2% to 6%). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with a first episode of unprovoked VTE who completed at least three months of anticoagulant treatment, the risk of recurrent VTE was 10% in the first year after treatment, 16% at two years, 25% at five years, and 36% at 10 years, with 4% of recurrent VTE events resulting in death. These estimates should inform clinical practice guidelines, enhance confidence in counselling patients of their prognosis, and help guide decision making about long term management of unprovoked VTE. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42017056309.