Impacts of climate change on water quality, benthic mussels, and suspended mussel culture in a shallow, eutrophic estuary.

Climate change is a global problem that causes severe local changes to marine biota, ecosystem functioning, and ecosystem services. The Limfjorden is a shallow, eutrophic estuary influenced by episodic summer hypoxia with an important mussel fishery and suspended mussel culture industry. Three future climate change scenarios ranging from low greenhouse gas emissions (SSP1-2.6), to intermediate (SSP2-4.5) and very high emissions (SSP5-8.5) were combined with nutrient load reductions according to the National Water Plans to investigate potential impacts on natural benthic mussel populations and suspended mussel culture for the two periods 2051-2060 and 2090-2099, relative to a reference period from 2009 to 2018. The FlexSem model combined 3D hydrodynamics with a pelagic biogeochemical model, a sediment-benthos model, and a dynamic energy budget - farm scale model for mussel culture. Model results showed that the Limfjorden was sensitive to climate change impacts with the strongest responses of physics and water quality in the worst case SSP5-8.5 scenario with no nutrient reductions. In the two low emissions scenarios, expected improvements of bottom oxygen and Chlorophyll a concentrations due to reduced nutrient loads were counteracted by climate change impacts on water physics (warming, freshening, stronger stratification). Hence, higher nutrient reductions in the Water Plans would be needed to reach a good ecological status under the influence of climate change. Suspended mussel culture was intensified in all scenarios showing a high potential harvest, whereas the benthic mussels suffered from reduced food supply and hypoxia. Provided the environmental changes and trends in social demands, in the future, it is likely that suspended mussel cultivation will become the primary source of mussels for the industry. Model scenarios can be used to inform managers, mussel farmers, fishermen, and the local population on potential future changes in bivalve harvesting and ecosystem health, and to find solutions to mitigate climate change impacts.

Modelled dispersal pathways of non-indigenous species in the Danish Wadden Sea.

The introduction-rate of non-indigenous species (NIS) to coastal water bodies has accelerated over the last century. We present a model study assessing the fate of NIS released in likely point sources of the Danish Wadden Sea. We show that NIS-particles released in the deep North Sea are generally transported away from the Wadden Sea, while those released in the coastal North Sea and the Wadden Sea show large variability in track pattern and settlement location. Consequently, the introduction of NIS from ships entering the port of Esbjerg pose a threat to the Wadden Sea through primary and secondary spreading, while transport of species from sources in the south likely causes a slow and steady settling of NIS in the Wadden Sea and coastal North Sea. The study points to the importance of enforcing an efficient monitoring system to ensure early detection of changes to the species composition of the Wadden Sea.

Nutrient extraction and ecosystem impact by suspended mussel mitigation cultures at two contrasting sites.

Mussel mitigation culture is increasingly recognized as a tool to extract nutrients from eutrophic systems by harvesting mussel biomass and nutrients contained therein. The net effect of mussel production on the nutrient cycling in the ecosystem is, however, not straightforward due to the interaction with physical- and biogeochemical processes regulating ecosystem functioning. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the potential of using mussel culture as a tool to mitigate eutrophication at two contrasting sites: a semi-enclosed fjord and a coastal bay. We applied a 3D coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical-sediment model combined with a mussel eco-physiological model. The model was validated against monitoring data and research field data on mussel growth, sediment impacts, and particle depletion from a pilot mussel farm in the study area. Model scenarios with intensified mussel farming in the fjord and/or the bay were conducted. The results showed that mussel mitigation culture still has a high net N-extraction when including ecosystem effects, such as changes in biodeposition, nutrient retention, denitrification, and sediment nutrient fluxes in the model. Mussel farms located in the fjord were more effective in directly addressing excess nutrients and improving water quality due to the relative vicinity to primary nutrient sources (riparian) and physical characteristics of the fjord system. The results will be important to consider in other systems concerning site selection, development of bivalve aquaculture, and associated sampling strategies for monitoring the farming impacts.

High-resolution hydrodynamics of coral reefs and tracing of pollutants from hotel areas along the west coast of Unguja Island, Zanzibar.

A rapid increase in population size along with expansion in hotel investment have been identified as key drivers of marine pollution in Zanzibar coastal waters. A validated high-resolution hydrodynamic tracer model was used to estimate the dispersal and impact range of pollutants from the main hotel areas along the western coastline of Unguja Island. The model showed the highest impact of pollutants from land during the northeast monsoon season due to the weakening of the main current. Marine protected areas with short distances to hotel areas and weak tidal currents were more likely to be impacted by pollutants from land than the more remote areas with higher flushing in agreement with water quality and seagrass health measurements. Cumulative effects of pollutants instead of single sources are important to consider for integrated wastewater treatment plans and management strategies to reduce pollution for the protection of biodiversity and guide future monitoring.

Drivers of hypoxia variability in a shallow and eutrophicated semi-enclosed fjord.

Seasonal deoxygenation of coastal waters has been observed with increasing frequency around the world, with consequences for ecosystem functioning and continued benthic capacity to buffer hypoxia. Here, we present a hydrodynamical-ecological model study of the Limfjord in Denmark, an example of a semi-enclosed water body affected by recurring seasonal deoxygenation. Applying observations and model results, we show that water temperature, combined with wind strength and direction are the most important controllers of short-term interannual variability of bottom oxygen, while ventilation through episodic water inflow from the North Sea and local stratification create a spatial decoupling of deoxygenation. Nutrient load to the fjord drives sustained high biological productivity, but does not affect the interannual variability to the same degree. However, high biological turnover rates likely push the system closer towards a deoxygenated state, making the fjord more sensitive to future changes in temperature, wind and ventilation by reducing the buffer capacity of the sediments.

A network analysis of connected biophysical pathways to advice eelgrass (Zostera marina) restoration.

The North Sea and the Baltic Sea, including Danish coastal waters, have experienced a drastic decline in eelgrass Zostera marina coverage during the past century. Around 1900, eelgrass meadows covered about 6700 km2 of Danish coastal waters while the current potential distribution area is only about one third of this. In some areas, the potential distribution area is far from realized, and restoration efforts are needed to assist recovery. Such efforts are challenging, and resource-demanding and careful site selection is, therefore, important. In the present study, we aim to identify the connectivity of eelgrass populations as a basis for guiding site selection for restoration. We developed a coupled biophysical model to study eelgrass dispersal in the Kattegat. Partly submerged particles simulated the dispersal of reproductive eelgrass shoots containing seeds during the flowering season July-September. We then used network analysis to identify the potential connectivity between populations. We evaluated connectivity based on In-strength, Betweenness and Eigenvector centrality metrics and identified key areas in the Kattegat such as the central part of Aalborg Bay, to be considered to restore the network of Z. marina patches. The study proves the potentials of combining hydrodynamic models and network analysis to support marine conservation and planning, and highlights the importance of collaboration between ecologists, oceanographers, and practitioners in this endeavour.

Methodology for defining homogeneous water bodies for management purposes.

European legislation requires monitoring of toxic algae in marine areas where shellfish are harvested for consumption. Monitoring assumes the existence of homogeneous water bodies, the definition of which have important implications for stakeholders and consumers. Yet, the definition of homogeneous water bodies remains unclear. Here we present a methodology to divide coastal and estuarine waters into homogeneous water bodies to monitor toxic algae. The proposed method is mainly based on water transport, and secondarily on oceanographic characteristics; salinity and sea surface height. We apply the methodology to the Limfjord in Denmark and demonstrate its usefulness in areas with a complicated coastal morphology. The oceanographic descriptors applied in the method are standard outputs from coastal hydrodynamical models. Provided that validated and high resolution model output is available for a given area, the technique is thus adaptable to other morphologically and oceanographically complicated estuarine and coastal areas where toxic algae monitoring is necessary.

A versatile marine modelling tool applied to arctic, temperate and tropical waters.

The improved understanding of complex interactions of marine ecosystem components makes the use of fully coupled hydrodynamic, biogeochemical and individual based models more and more relevant. At the same time, the increasing complexity of the models and diverse user backgrounds calls for improved user friendliness and flexibility of the model systems. We present FlexSem, a versatile and user-friendly framework for 3D hydrodynamic, biogeochemical, individual based and sediment transport modelling. The purpose of the framework is to enable natural scientists to conduct advanced 3D simulations in the marine environment, including any relevant processes. This is made possible by providing a precompiled portable framework, which still enables the user to pick any combination of models and provide user defined equation systems to be solved during the simulation. We here present the ideas behind the framework design, the implementation and documentation of the numerical solution to the Navier-Stokes equations in the hydrodynamic module, the surface heat budget model, the pelagic and benthic equation solvers and the Lagrangian movement of the agents in the agent based model. Five examples of different applications of the system are shown: 1) Hydrodynamics in the Disko Bay in west Greenland, 2) A biogeochemical pelagic and benthic model in the inner Danish waters, 3) A generic mussel farm model featuring offline physics, food levels and mussel eco-physiology, 4) Sediment transport in Clarion-Clipperton zone at the bottom of the Pacific and 5) Hydrodynamics coupled with an agent based model around Zanzibar in Tanzania. Hence we demonstrate that the model can be set up for any area with enough forcing data and used to solve a wide range of applications.

Anti-Tremor Action of Subtype Selective Positive Allosteric Modulators of GABAA Receptors in a Rat Model of Essential Tremors.

Essential tremor (ET) is among the most prevalent neurological disorders and the most common cause of abnormal tremors. It is characterized by postural and action tremors ranging from 4 to 12 Hz. The treatments of choice for ET are propranolol and primidone, but their use is associated with adverse effects like hypotension, depression, and cognitive impairments. Benzodiazepines, which nonselectively enhances the effect of GABA at the GABAA α1/2/3/5 receptors, have been shown to be effective in treating ET. Their use, however, is limited due to sedation, ataxia, tolerance development and memory impairment. Sedation and ataxia are attributed to the activity at the α1 subunit while cognitive impairment is ascribed to the action on the α5 subunit of the GABAA receptors. It can be hypothesized that subtype selective GABAA receptor modulators only acting via the α2, and α3 subunits may have an improved side effect profile while retaining the beneficial effects. Here, we have evaluated the effect of subtype selective GABAA α2/3/5 receptor modulators on harmaline-induced tremors in rats. The tremors were automatically quantified in tremor boxes. We show that the GABAA α2/3 subtype selective modulator NS16085 significantly and dose-dependently inhibits harmaline-induced tremors in rats, indicating that potentiation of α2- and α3-containing GABAA receptors is sufficient to ameliorate harmaline-induced tremors. These results provide the first support for a therapeutic role of a subtype selective GABAA α2/3 modulator in the treatment of ET.

Metabolome, transcriptome, and bioinformatic cis-element analyses point to HNF-4 as a central regulator of gene expression during enterocyte differentiation.

DNA-binding transcription factors bind to promoters that carry their binding sites. Transcription factors therefore function as nodes in gene regulatory networks. In the present work we used a bioinformatic approach to search for transcription factors that might function as nodes in gene regulatory networks during the differentiation of the small intestinal epithelial cell. In addition we have searched for connections between transcription factors and the villus metabolome. Transcriptome data were generated from mouse small intestinal villus, crypt, and fetal intestinal epithelial cells. Metabolome data were generated from crypt and villus cells. Our results show that genes that are upregulated during fetal to adult and crypt to villus differentiation have an overrepresentation of potential hepatocyte nuclear factor (HNF)-4 binding sites in their promoters. Moreover, metabolome analyses by magic angle spinning (1)H nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy showed that the villus epithelial cells contain higher concentrations of lipid carbon chains than the crypt cells. These findings suggest a model where the HNF-4 transcription factor influences the villus metabolome by regulating genes that are involved in lipid metabolism. Our approach also identifies transcription factors of importance for crypt functions such as DNA replication (E2F) and stem cell maintenance (c-Myc).

Imino-C-nucleoside synthesis: heteroaryl lithium carbanion additions to a carbohydrate cyclic imine and nitrone.

Promotion by Lewis acid of the addition of some aryllithiums to a carbohydrate-based imine, which has allowed a more facile synthesis of some imino-C-nucleoside analogues, is described. Use of the corresponding nitrone does not assist in some cases, but lithiated acetonitrile adds to it efficiently to give a product from which further C-nucleoside analogues can be derived.