Risk factors for herpes zoster in rheumatoid arthritis patients: the role of tumour necrosis factor-α inhibitors.

AIM: To determine whether exposure to tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α inhibitors increases the risk of herpes zoster (HZ) among people with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: We performed a cohort study of people with RA participating in the Australian Rheumatology Association Database. We identified self-reported cases of HZ and verified using medical records. For the primary analysis, we only included doctor-verified cases. For TNF-α inhibitor exposed groups, we excluded HZ episodes that occurred before TNF-α inhibitor initiation, and for the control group we excluded HZ episodes that occurred prior to 2000 or RA diagnosis. The risk of HZ among participants exposed versus not exposed to TNF-α inhibitors was compared using Cox proportional hazards models including significant covariates affecting the risk. Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) were calculated for TNF inhibitors as a class and for individual agents. RESULTS: Among 2157 active RA participants, there were 442 self-reported cases of HZ. From 346 responses from doctors, 249 cases were verified and four were false positives (false positive rate 1.6%). Crude incidence of verified HZ in the entire RA cohort was 15.9/1000 person-years (95% confidence interval (CI): 13.5-18.8). An increased risk of HZ was found for all TNF-α inhibitors combined (fully adjusted HR 1.71; 95% CI: 1.00-2.92) and adalimumab (fully adjusted HR 2.33; 95% CI: 1.22-4.45), but in the fully adjusted model was not increased with etanercept (fully adjusted HR 1.65; 95% CI: 0.90-3.03). No increased risk was found with infliximab (HR 1.29; 95% CI: 0.37-4.47). CONCLUSIONS: TNF-α inhibitors are associated with an increased risk of HZ in people with RA compared with those who have not been exposed.

Evaluating surrogacy metrics and investigating approval decisions of progression-free survival (PFS) in metastatic renal cell cancer: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: In metastatic renal cell cancer (mRCC) trials, progression-free survival (PFS) is increasingly used instead of overall survival (OS) as the approval end point. Unlike other solid tumors, there is no published demonstration of what PFS is needed across and by treatment class in mRCC. We determine this and evaluate drug approval decisions in mRCC targeted therapy. METHODS: We identified all randomized, controlled trials reporting PFS and OS in mRCC. Surrogacy metrics were the coefficient of determination and surrogate threshold effect (STE)-the PFS difference needed to predict, with 95% confidence, an OS difference. Data from regulatory commentaries, briefing documents and transcripts were extracted. RESULTS: No exclusively chemotherapy trial met criteria. Of 30 qualifying trials, 11 trials (13 comparisons) used targeted therapy. The all-trials and immunotherapy-only trials analysis failed to demonstrate a STE. The targeted trials, using the more conservative regression analysis demonstrated an STE of 3.9 months and an R(2) of 0.44. Crossover upon progression, control to active treatment, was common. Regulatory approval, accelerated or regular, labeling, interim analyses, and adjudication were context specific. CONCLUSIONS: A new targeted therapy trial showing a PFS difference of 3.9 months can claim an OS benefit in mRCC. PFS surrogacy for OS in metastatic renal cell is not generalizable across all drug classes.

How many life years are lost in patients with rheumatoid arthritis? Secular cause-specific and all-cause mortality in rheumatoid arthritis, and their predictors in a long-term Australian cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There is an excess of mortality in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) but no long-term Australian cohort data. AIMS: To determine median life years lost, all-cause standardised mortality ratio (SMR) and cause-specific SMR, their predictors and secular change in Australian patients with RA. METHODS: Study population was all patients seen by a rheumatologist between 1990 and 1994. Record linkage with Australian National Death Index was performed to determine fact and cause of death up to 2004. All-cause and cause-specific SMR, and median life years lost were determined. RESULTS: There were 35 (31%) deaths in the early 1990s cohort (n = 113), SMR 1.31 (95% 0.93, 1.80). There were 216 (44%) deaths in the pre-1990s established cohort (n = 495), SMR 1.73 (1.49, 1.95). Median life years lost in the early cohort was 6 years for males and 7 years for females compared with 8 and 10 years, respectively, in the established cohort. Patients with low disease activity score at baseline (DAS < 3.2), SMR was 0.8 (0.3, 2.2) and 1.5 (1.1, 2.2) for the early and established cohorts, and if DAS ≥3.2, SMR was 1.4 (1.02, 1.98) and 1.8 (1.5, 2.1) respectively. Primary cause of death was cardiovascular disease (SMR 1.43 (1.17, 1.74). Patients at most risk were those age 45-54 years. RA was listed as a comorbid condition on the death certificate in only 16% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Within a period of 14 years, median life expectancy of patients with RA with disease onset in the early 1990s is reduced by 6-7 years. However, our results also suggest a secular reduction in excess mortality.

Effect of treatment with biological agents for arthritis in Australia: the Australian Rheumatology Association Database.

BACKGROUND: The Australian Rheumatology Association Database (ARAD), a voluntary national registry, has been established to collect health information from Australian patients with inflammatory arthritis for the purpose of monitoring the benefits and safety of new treatments, in particular the biological disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARDs). These drugs are proving to be very effective, yet little is known of their long-term effectiveness or safety. Patient registries that systematically gather data on large cohorts of unselected patients are increasingly believed to be an essential means of answering questions of the long-term effectiveness and safety of new drugs. The aim of this report is to describe the role, development and structure of ARAD and provide some preliminary data. METHODS: As of 1 August 2006, 563 patients with rheumatoid arthritis prescribed a bDMARD have been enrolled in ARAD, involving 105 rheumatologists from across Australia. RESULTS: The data collected will enable examination of multiple domains of patient responses to bDMARDs, including quality of life, health-care utilization, incidence of adverse events and the effects of therapy switching. CONCLUSION: Evidence-based information about the long-term outcome of bDMARD therapy is essential for clinicians, consumers, policy-makers, drug development companies and approval agencies, to enable better care and improved outcomes for patients with inflammatory arthritis.

Arthroscopic estimation of the extent of chondropathy.

INTRODUCTION: Arthroscopy has been used to evaluate articular cartilage (AC) pathology in osteoarthritis (OA) for outcome measurement and validation of non-invasive imaging. However, many fundamental aspects of arthroscopic assessment remain un-validated. OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated arthroscopic estimates of extent of chondropathy. METHODS: Serial arthroscopic assessments were performed in a group of 15 sheep before and after bilateral stifle medial meniscectomy (MMx). Post-mortem assessments were performed in un-MMx sheep and 4 and 16 weeks post-MMx. Arthroscopic assessments of the extent of each grade of chondropathy were compared with a non-arthroscopic hybrid assessment that incorporated biomechanical, thickness and macroscopic assessments. RESULTS: Arthroscopy evaluated only 36% of AC and missed significant pathological changes, softening and chondro-osteophyte, occurring in peripheral regions. The patterns of change in arthroscopic assessments were similar to those of the non-arthroscopic assessment but there was a very strong tendency to over-estimate the extent of softened AC after MMx. In spite of these limitations arthroscopic assessments were responsive to change. Estimates of the extent of normal and softened AC were most responsive to change over time followed by estimates of superficial and deep fibrillation. Arthroscopy was as an excellent discriminator between normal and OA. Assessments of chondro-osteophyte and exposed bone were not responsive to change. CONCLUSIONS: Arthroscopic estimates of extent of chondropathy are prone to substantial error. While experience and training may reduce these errors other approaches may more effectively improve performance.

A users guide to measurement in medicine.

Measurement is fundamental to science. In medicine measurement underpins most clinical decisions. Outcome measures for rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials (OMERACT) is an informal collaborative group of professionals dedicated to improving outcome measurement in the rheumatic disease. The methodologic hallmark of the OMERACT process is captured in the OMERACT filter--truth, discrimination, and feasibility. Using the key elements of the OMERACT filter a comprehensive checklist for evaluating reported measures is provided. The checklist guides the potential user through a series of questions. The checklist is also an important resource for researchers working in the field of measurement.

Assessment of the radioanatomic positioning of the osteoarthritic knee in serial radiographs: comparison of three acquisition techniques.

OBJECTIVE: Recent studies using various standardized radiographic acquisition techniques have demonstrated the necessity of reproducible radioanatomic alignment of the knee to assure precise measurements of medial tibiofemoral joint space width (JSW). The objective of the present study was to characterize the longitudinal performance of several acquisition techniques with respect to long-term reproducibility of positioning of the knee, and the impact of changes in positioning on the rate and variability of joint space narrowing (JSN). METHODS: Eighty subjects were randomly selected from each of three cohorts followed in recent studies of the radiographic progression of knee osteoarthritis (OA): the Health ABC study (paired fixed-flexion [FF] radiographs taken at a 36-month interval); the Glucosamine Arthritis Intervention Trial (GAIT) (paired metatarsophalangeal [MTP] radiographs obtained at a 12-month interval), and a randomized clinical trial of doxycycline (fluoroscopically assisted semiflexed anteroposterior (AP) radiographs taken at a 16-month interval). Manual measurements were obtained from each radiograph to represent markers of radioanatomic positioning of the knee (alignment of the medial tibial plateau and X-ray beam, knee rotation, femorotibial angle) and to evaluate minimum JSW (mJSW) in the medial tibiofemoral compartment. The effects on the mean annualized rate of JSN and on the variability of that rate of highly reproduced vs variable positioning of the knee in serial radiographs were evaluated. RESULTS: Parallel or near-parallel alignment was achieved significantly more frequently with the fluoroscopically guided positioning used in the semiflexed AP protocol than with either the non-fluoroscopic FF or MTP protocol (68% vs 14% for both FF and MTP protocols when measured at the midpoint of the medial compartment; 75% vs 26% and 34% for the FF and MTP protocols, respectively, when measured at the site of mJSW; P<0.001 for each). Knee rotation was reproduced more frequently in semiflexed AP radiographs than in FF radiographs (66% vs 45%, P<0.01). In contrast, the FF technique yielded a greater proportion of paired radiographs in which the femorotibial angle was accurately reproduced than the semiflexed AP or MTP protocol (78% vs 59% and 56%, respectively, P<0.01 for each). Notably, only paired radiographs with parallel or near-parallel alignment exhibited a mean rate of JSN (+/-SD) in the OA knee that was more rapid and less variable than that measured in all knees (0.186+/-0.274 mm/year, standardized response to mean [SRM]=0.68 vs 0.128+/-0.291 mm/year, SRM=0.44). CONCLUSION: This study confirms the importance of parallel radioanatomic alignment of the anterior and posterior margins of the medial tibial plateau in detecting JSN in subjects with knee OA. The use of radiographic methods that assure parallel alignment during serial X-ray examinations will permit the design of more efficient studies of biomarkers of OA progression and of structure modification in knee OA.

Power Doppler 'blanching' after the application of transducer pressure.

The aim of this study was to determine if transducer pressure modifies power Doppler assessments of rheumatoid arthritis synovium at the metacarpophalangeal joints and metatarsophalangeal joints. Five rheumatoid arthritis patients of varying degrees of 'disease activity' and damage were assessed with power Doppler ultrasound scanning of the dominant hand second to fifth metacarpophalangeal joints. Two rheumatoid arthritis patients had their dominant foot first to fifth metatarsophalangeal joints assessed with power Doppler ultrasound. Ultrasonography was performed with a high frequency transducer (14 MHz) with a colour mode frequency of 10 Mhz, and a standard colour box and gain. In the joint that showed the highest power Doppler signal, an image was made. A further image was taken after transducer pressure was applied. In all patients, there was increased flow to at least one joint. After pressure was applied, power Doppler signal intensity markedly reduced in all images and in some there was no recordable power Doppler signal. Increased transducer pressure can result in a marked reduction or obliteration in power Doppler signal. This power Doppler 'blanching' shows the need for further studies to evaluate sources of error and standardization before power Doppler ultrasound becomes a routine measure of 'disease activity' in rheumatoid arthritis.

Arthroscopy -- a potential "gold standard" for the diagnosis of the chondropathy of early osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to: 1. Evaluate the performance of arthroscopy for the diagnosis of chondropathy and to compare it to that of direct non-arthroscopic assessments; 2. Determine intra-observer reliability of arthroscopic assessments; 3. Evaluate the effects of the arthroscopic video quality and probing upon diagnostic performance. DESIGN: The ovine medial meniscectomy (MMx) model of early osteoarthritis (OA) was used assuming that pre-MMx articular cartilage (AC) was "normal" and post-MMx AC "chondropathic". Video recordings of arthroscopic assessments of each stifle compartment were evaluated. Scores were given for the quality of the video and the amount of probing. The diagnostic performances of dynamic shear modulus (G), light microscopic assessment and superficial zone collagen birefringence assessments were evaluated and compared to that of arthroscopy. Intra-observer reliability of arthroscopic assessments was also evaluated. RESULTS: Arthroscopic assessments had high sensitivity (91-100%), specificity (62-88%) and accuracy (75-93%) for the diagnosis of chondropathy 16 weeks after MMx. Arthroscopy compared favourably with the direct non-arthroscopic assessments in the lateral compartment and was found to have extremely high intra-observer reliability (kappa 0.78-1.00). The quality of arthroscopic video recordings and the amount of probing did not significantly influence accuracy or reliability. CONCLUSIONS: Arthroscopy performs as well as direct non-arthroscopic assessments of AC for diagnosis of early OA. These results suggest that arthroscopy can be used as a "gold standard" for the validation of non-invasive assessments like magnetic resonance imaging and that arthroscopic diagnosis can be based on small amounts of video footage without AC probing.

Prevention of recurrent miscarriage for women with antiphospholipid antibody or lupus anticoagulant.

BACKGROUND: A range of treatments have been proposed to improve pregnancy outcome in recurrent pregnancy loss associated with antiphospholipid antibody (APL). Small studies have not resolved uncertainty about benefits and risks. OBJECTIVES: To examine outcomes of all treatments given to maintain pregnancy in women with prior miscarriage and APL. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched the Pregnancy and Childbirth Group's Trials Register (30 May 2004), the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (The Cochrane Library, Issue 2, 2003), MEDLINE (1966 to June 2003), EMBASE (1988 to June 2003), Lupus (volume one to eight, 1991 to 1999) and conference proceedings from the International Symposium on APL up to 1999. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised or quasi-randomised, controlled trials of interventions in pregnant women with a history of pregnancy loss and APL. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently assessed quality and extracted data for studies up to December 1999. One review author performed this for studies after 1999. MAIN RESULTS: Thirteen studies were found (849 participants). The quality was not high; 50% had clear evidence of allocation concealment. Participant characteristics varied between trials. Unfractionated heparin combined with aspirin (two trials; n = 140) significantly reduced pregnancy loss compared to aspirin alone (relative risk (RR) 0.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.29 to 0.71). Low molecular weight heparin (LMWH) combined with aspirin compared to aspirin (one trial; n = 98) did not significantly reduce pregnancy loss (RR 0.78, 95% CI 0.39 to 1.57). There was no advantage in high-dose, over low-dose, unfractionated heparin (one trial; n = 50). Three trials of aspirin alone (n = 135) showed no significant reduction in pregnancy loss (RR 1.05, 95% CI 0.66 to 1.68). Prednisone and aspirin (three trials; n = 286) resulted in a significant increase in prematurity when compared to placebo, aspirin, and heparin combined with aspirin, and an increase in gestational diabetes, but no significant benefit. Intravenous immunoglobulin +/- unfractionated heparin and aspirin (two trials; n = 58) was associated with an increased risk of pregnancy loss or premature birth when compared to unfractionated heparin or LMWH combined with aspirin (RR 2.51, 95% CI 1.27 to 4.95). When compared to prednisone and aspirin, intravenous immunoglobulin (one trial; n = 82) was not significantly different in outcomes. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Combined unfractionated heparin and aspirin may reduce pregnancy loss by 54%. Large, randomised controlled trials with adequate allocation concealment are needed to explore potential differences between unfractionated heparin and LMWH.

The EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas: the metacarpophalangeal joints.

This paper presents the metacarpophalangeal (MCP) joint magnetic resonance images of the EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas. The illustrations include synovitis in the MCP joints (OMERACT RA magnetic resonance imaging scoring system (RAMRIS), grades 0-3), bone oedema in the metacarpal head and the phalangeal base (grades 0-3), and bone erosion in the metacarpal head and the phalangeal base (grades 0-3, and examples of higher grades). The presented reference images can be used to guide scoring of MCP joints according to the OMERACT RA MRI scoring system.

The EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas: the wrist joint.

This paper presents the wrist joint MR images of the EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas. Reference images for scoring synovitis, bone oedema, and bone erosions according to the OMERACT RA MRI scoring (RAMRIS) system are provided. All grades (0-3) of synovitis are illustrated in each of the three wrist joint areas defined in the scoring system--that is, the distal radioulnar joint, the radiocarpal joint, and the intercarpal-carpometacarpal joints. For reasons of feasibility, examples of bone abnormalities are limited to five selected bones: the radius, scaphoid, lunate, capitate, and a metacarpal base. In these bones, grades 0-3 of bone oedema are illustrated, and for bone erosion, grades 0-3 and examples of higher grades are presented. The presented reference images can be used to guide scoring of wrist joints according to the OMERACT RA MRI scoring system.

Pitfalls in scoring MR images of rheumatoid arthritis wrist and metacarpophalangeal joints.

This paper outlines the most important pitfalls which are likely to be encountered in the assessment of magnetic resonance images of the wrist and metacarpophalangeal joints in patients with rheumatoid arthritis. Imaging artefacts and how these can be recognised using various sequences and views are discussed. Normal structures such as interosseous ligaments and nutrient foramina may appear prominent on certain images and need to be identified correctly. Pathological change in the rheumatoid hand involves many tissues and when substantial damage has occurred, it may be difficult to identify individual structures correctly. Bone erosion, bone oedema, synovitis, and tenosynovitis frequently occur together and in close proximity to each other, potentially leading to false positive scoring of any of these. Examples are given to illustrate the various dilemmas the user of this atlas may face when scoring the rheumatoid hand and suggestions are made to assist correct interpretation of what can be very complex images.

An introduction to the EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas.

This article gives a short overview of the development and characteristics of the OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI scoring system (RAMRIS), followed by an introduction to the use of the EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas. With this atlas, MRIs of wrist and metacarpophalangeal joints of patients with rheumatoid arthritis can be scored for synovitis, bone oedema, and bone erosion, guided by standard reference images.

The development of the EULAR-OMERACT rheumatoid arthritis MRI reference image atlas.

Based on a previously developed rheumatoid arthritis MRI scoring system (OMERACT 2002 RAMRIS), the development team agreed which joints, MRI features, MRI sequences, and image planes would best illustrate the scoring system in an atlas. After collecting representative examples for all grades for each abnormality (synovitis, bone oedema, and bone erosion), the team met for a three day period to review the images and choose by consensus the most illustrative set for each feature, site, and grade. A predefined subset of images (for example, for erosion--all coronal slices through the bone) was extracted. These images were then re-read by the group at a different time point to confirm the scores originally assigned. Finally, all selected images were photographed and formatted by one centre and distributed to all readers for final approval.

Biomechanical, histologic and macroscopic assessment of articular cartilage in a sheep model of osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Our primary objective was to explore the full potential of the ovine medial meniscectomy (MMx) model of early osteoarthritis (OA) for studies to validate non-destructive articular cartilage (AC) assessments and therapeutic interventions. Our secondary objective was to re-evaluate the relationships between the different types of AC assessment after MMx in sheep. METHODS: Macroscopic assessments, dynamic shear modulus (G*), phase lag and AC thickness measurements were performed at a total of 5437 reference points on all six articular surfaces in four normal joints and 16 MMx ovine stifle (knee) joints. Comparisons with histologic assessments of gross structural damage, collagen organisation (birefringence) and proteoglycan content were possible at 702 of these points. RESULTS: Histologic gross structural damage and proteoglycan loss were seen throughout the joint with greatest severity (fibrillation) in closest proximity to the MMx site. Increases in AC (30-50%) thickness, reductions in G* (30-40%) and collagen birefringence intensity (15-30%) occurred more evenly throughout the joint. Macroscopic softening was evident only when G* declined by 80%. G* correlated with AC thickness (rho=-0.47), collagen organisation rho=0.44), gross structural damage (rho=-0.44) and proteoglycan content (rho=0.42). Multivariate analysis showed that collagen organisation contributed twice as much to dynamic shear modulus (t=6.66 as proteoglycan content (t=3.21). Collagen organisation (rho=0.11) and proteoglycan content (rho=0.09) correlated only weakly to phase lag. CONCLUSIONS: Macroscopic assessments were insensitive to AC softening suggesting that arthroscopic assessments of AC status might also perform poorly. Collagen integrity was more important for the maintenance of AC stiffness (G*) than proteoglycan content. The development of major AC softening and thickening throughout the joint following MMx suggested involvement of non-mechanical (e.g., protein and biochemical) chemical and cytokine mediated processes in addition to the disturbance in biomechanical loading. The ovine MMx model provides a setting in which the spectrum of AC changes associated with the initiation and progression of OA may be evaluated.

Poor accuracy and interobserver reliability of knee arthroscopy measurements are improved by the use of variable angle elongated probes.

OBJECTIVES: (a)To determine the accuracy and reliability of arthroscopic measurements of cartilage lesion diameter in an artificial right knee model; (b) to determine whether the use of a set of variable angle elongated probes improves performance; and (c) to identify other sources of variability. METHODS: Ovoid "lesions" were drawn on the five cartilage surfaces of four plastic knees models. Two observers assessed these 20 lesions arthroscopically, measuring two diameters in orientations parallel and orthogonal to the probe. Observer 1 (orthopaedic surgeon) and observer 2 (arthroscopic rheumatologist) made two sets of measurements, firstly with the conventional probe and five months later with the variable angle elongated (VAE) probes. The knees were disarticulated to determine true lesion diameter. RESULTS: Observer 1 had negligible bias and good accuracy regardless of orientation or probe type. Observer 2 demonstrated both bias and poor accuracy using the conventional probe. Both improved using VAE probes. Poor interobserver reliability with conventional probes also improved using VAE probes. Major sources of variability could be traced to the probe type, the characteristics of the operator, and the orientation of the lesion in relation to the probe; the lesion location itself did not cause variability. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in accuracy and poor interobserver reliability of measurements with conventional methods of cartilage lesion diameter measurement improved when specially designed measurement probes were used. Arthroscopic measurements performed as well as most clinical and radiographic measures. These findings have important implications for the use of arthroscopy as an outcome in multicentre trials where arthroscopists have different levels of experience.

Recent rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials using radiographic endpoints--updated research agenda.

Recent randomized controlled trials of traditional and newly developed therapies provide evidence that we have interventions that potentially slow or prevent structural damage in active rheumatoid arthritis, as measured using radiography. These trials also provide a unique opportunity for exploratory data analysis to generate hypotheses apropos the pathogenesis and determinants of radiographic progression and functional disability; they also facilitate further study of the methodological issues regarding imaging measurement.

Foundations of the minimal clinically important difference for imaging.

This article develops a generic conceptual framework for defining and validating the concept of minimal clinically important difference. We propose 3 approaches. The first uses statistical descriptions of the population ("distribution based"), the second relies on experts ("opinion based"), and a third is based on sequential hypothesis formation and testing ("predictive/data driven based"). The first 2 approaches serve as proxies for the third, which is an experimentally driven approach, asking such questions as "What carries the least penalty?" or "What imparts the greatest gain?" As an experimental approach, it has the expected drawbacks, including the need for greater resources, and the need to tolerate trial and error en route, compared to the other 2 models.