Decline in Cancer Diagnoses during the 'Zero COVID' Policy in Hong Kong: Indirect Spillover Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

AIMS: Despite a largely successful 'zero COVID' policy in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted routine cancer services in the city of Hong Kong. The aims of this study were to examine the trends in cancer incidence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic and estimate missed cancer diagnoses. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used population-based data from the Hong Kong Cancer Registry 1983-2020 to examine the trends of age- and sex-standardised cancer incidence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. We applied: (i) the annual average percentage change (AAPC) calculated using the Joinpoint regression model and (ii) the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to forecast cancer incidence rates in 2020. Missed cancer diagnoses in 2020 were estimated by comparing forecasted incidence rates to reported rates. A subgroup analysis was conducted by sex, age and cancer site. RESULTS: The cancer incidence in Hong Kong declined by 4.4% from 2019 to 2020 (male 8.1%; female 1.1%) compared with the long-term AAPC of 0.5% from 2005 to 2019 (95% confidence interval 0.3, 0.7). The gap between the reported and forecasted incidence for 2020 ranged from 5.1 to 5.7% (male 8.5%, 9.8%; female 2.3%, 3.5%). We estimated 1525-1596 missed cancer diagnoses (ARIMA estimate -98, 3148; AAPC 514, 1729) in 2020. Most missed diagnoses were in males (ARIMA 1361 [327, 2394]; AAPC 1401 [1353, 1460]), with an estimated 479-557 missed cases of colorectal cancer (ARIMA 112, 837; AAPC 518, 597) and 256-352 missed cases of prostate cancer (AAPC 231, 280; ARIMA 110, 594). CONCLUSION: The incidence of new cancer diagnoses declined in 2020 contrary to the long-term increase over the previous decades. Significantly lower diagnoses than expected were observed in males, particularly for colorectal and prostate cancers. Fewer reported cancer cases indicate missed diagnoses and could lead to delayed treatment that could impact future health outcomes.

Central nervous system inflammatory demyelinating disorders among Hong Kong Chinese.

Classical multiple sclerosis (CMS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (NMOSD) are distinct central nervous system inflammatory demyelinating disorders (CNS IDD). Early diagnosis of CNS IDD is important as appropriate immunotherapies to optimize prognosis. We studied the diagnoses of CNS IDD among Hong Kong Chinese in a hospital-based setting. Consecutive Chinese patients who presented to our hospital with clinically isolated syndrome and subsequently diagnosed to have CNS IDD from 1980 to 2010 were reviewed. Patients with known diagnosis of CNS IDD referred for further care were excluded. Serial sera were assayed for aquaporin-4 autoantibodies (AQP4 Ab), at least 3 assays within 2-5years. A total of 210 patients diagnosed to have CNS IDD with disease duration of at least 2years were studied. Among 198 patients with serial sera available, 40 (20.2%, 20 had NMO and 20 other NMOSD) were AQP4 Ab-positive. Four patients who were AQP4 Ab-negative on the initial assay converted to AQP4 Ab-positive on repeated assays. The diagnoses of 210 patients were CMS in 88 (41.9%), NMOSD 47 (22.4%, 27 NMO, 20 other NMOSD), single attack of myelitis 23 (11.0%), single attack of optic neuritis 21 (10.0%), relapsing myelitis 10 (4.8%), acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM) 9 (4.3%), relapsing optic neuritis in 6 (2.9%), opticospinal multiple sclerosis 3 (1.4%) and single attack of brainstem encephalitis 3 (1.4%). Compared to CMS, NMOSD patients had older onset age, lower frequencies of brain MRI abnormalities and CSF OCB, higher frequency of LETM, higher CNS inflammation attack frequency in the first 2years, worse clinical outcome with higher EDSS score and mortality rate. This hospital-based study suggests that CMS (41.9%) and NMOSD (22.4%) are the most common CNS IDD among Hong Kong Chinese. NMOSD has worse clinical outcome than CMS. Detection of AQP4 Ab facilitates early diagnosis and prompts immunotherapies of NMOSD.

Intracellular levels of hepatitis B virus DNA and pregenomic RNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells of chronically infected patients.

It remains uncertain whether hepatitis B virus (HBV) covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) and pregenomic RNA (pgRNA) can be detected in the serum or peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. We examined HBV cccDNA and pgRNA in the serum and PBMC, and investigated the effect of lamivudine therapy on the viral loads in the PBMC of CHB patients. Paired serum and PBMC samples from 50 treatment-naïve CHB patients [25 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive and 25 HBeAg negative] were quantified for total HBV DNA, cccDNA and pgRNA by real time polymerase chain reaction. HBV cccDNA and pgRNA were below the lower detection limit in all serum samples, and in 84% of PBMC. HBV DNA (r = 0.889, P < 0.001) and pgRNA (r = 0.696, P < 0.001) in PBMC correlated with the HBV DNA in serum. In the longitudinal study, 30 patients treated with lamivudine therapy for a median duration of 34 weeks (range 12-48 weeks) were examined. The median HBV DNA reduction in PBMC before and after treatment was 1.318 (range -0.471 to 3.846) log units, which was significantly lower than serum HBV DNA reduction [3.371 (range -0.883 to 9.454) log units, P < 0.05]. HBV cccDNA and pgRNA were undetectable in the serum of CHB patients. HBV viral loads in PBMC correlated with serum HBV DNA. Lamivudine therapy had less effect on the HBV viral loads in PBMC compared with the serum viral loads.

Clinical trial: a phase II, randomized study evaluating the safety, pharmacokinetics and anti-viral activity of clevudine for 12 weeks in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND: Clevudine is a polymerase inhibitor that has the unusual feature of delayed viral rebound after therapy in some patients which may be related to its pharmacokinetics. AIM: To characterize pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profile of clevudine, a potent hepatitis B polymerase inhibitor. METHODS: A multicenter, randomized study comparing 10, 30 and 50 mg clevudine once daily for 12 weeks with 24 weeks off-treatment follow-up. Patients had chronic HBV infection, were nucleoside-naïve without co-infection. HBV viral load (VL) was assayed using Digene Hybrid Capture II with a lower limit of detection of 4700 copies/mL (940 IU/mL). Clevudine levels were measured using a liquid chromatography/mass spectrometery method. RESULTS: A total of 31 patients were enrolled into the 10 mg (n = 10), 30 mg (n = 11) and 50 mg (n = 10) groups, respectively. At week 12, the median VL change was -3.2, -3.7 and -4.2 log(10) copies/mL (-0.64, -0.74 and -0.84 log(10) IU/mL) in the 10, 30 and 50 mg groups, respectively (P = 0.012). At week 12, one of 10, five of 11 and two of 10 patients had VL below the assay lower limit of detection. Clevudine was well tolerated with no severe/serious adverse events. The mean plasma half-life of clevudine was 70 h and consequently is not the cause of the delayed viral rebound seen in some patients. Through modelling, 97% of the maximal treatment effect was reached with a 30 mg daily dose. Six patients had genomic changes without viral rebound. CONCLUSION: Clevudine appears to be a potent and tolerable (over 12 weeks) anti-viral and the optimal dosage appears to be 30 mg once daily.

Predicting response to peginterferon alpha-2a, lamivudine and the two combined for HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVE: In a trial of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative chronic hepatitis B, 24 week post-treatment biochemical and virological response rates with peginterferon alpha-2a with or without lamivudine were significantly higher than with lamivudine alone. The effect of pre-treatment factors on post-treatment responses was investigated. METHODS: Multivariate analyses were performed using available data from 518 patients treated with peginterferon alpha-2a with or without lamivudine, or with lamivudine alone. A post-treatment response was defined as alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalisation and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level of <20,000 copies/ml. RESULTS: In logistic regression analyses across all treatment arms, peginterferon alpha-2a (with or without lamivudine) therapy, younger age, female gender, high baseline ALT, low baseline HBV DNA and HBV genotype were identified as significant predictors of combined response at 24 weeks post-treatment. In the peginterferon alpha-2a and lamivudine monotherapy arms, patients with genotypes B or C had a higher chance of response than genotype D infected patients (p<0.001), the latter responding better to the combination than to peginterferon alpha-2a monotherapy (p = 0.015). At 1 year post-treatment, response rates by intention-to-treat analysis were 19.2% for the peginterferon alpha-2a, 19.0% for the combination, and 10.0% for the lamivudine groups, with genotypes B or C associated with a sustained combined response to peginterferon alpha-2a with or without lamivudine therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline ALT and HBV DNA levels, patient age, gender, and infecting HBV genotype significantly influenced combined response at 24 weeks post-treatment, in patients treated with peginterferon alpha-2a and/or lamivudine. At 1 year post-treatment HBV genotype was significantly predictive of efficacy for patients treated with peginterferon alpha-2a with or without lamivudine.

Natural history of patients with recurrent chronic hepatitis C virus and occult hepatitis B co-infection after liver transplantation.

It is uncertain whether occult hepatitis B virus co-infection will hasten progressive liver disease in chronic hepatitis C patients after liver transplantation. This study evaluated fibrosis progression and severe fibrosis in 118 consecutive hepatitis B surface antigen-negative patients with virological and histological evidence of recurrent chronic hepatitis C infection co-infected with occult hepatitis B virus after liver transplantation. HBV DNA was detected from serum at the time of recurrent chronic hepatitis C infection by polymerase chain reaction. Each subject underwent a repeat liver biopsy 5 years post-liver transplantation. Occult hepatitis B virus co-infection was present in 41 of the 118 (34.7%) patients. At 5 years post-liver transplantation, 13 of the 41 occult hepatitis B virus co-infected patients compared with 16 of the 77 patients without occult hepatitis B virus co-infection developed fibrosis progression (31.7% vs. 20.8%, respectively, p = 0.39). Eight of 41 the occult hepatitis B virus co-infected patients compared with 13 of the 77 patients without occult hepatitis B virus co-infection had severe fibrosis (19.5% vs. 16.9%, respectively, p = 0.97). In conclusion, occult hepatitis B virus co-infection in patients with recurrent chronic hepatitis C infection was not associated with accelerated fibrosis progression or severe fibrosis after liver transplantation.

48 weeks pegylated interferon alpha-2a is superior to 24 weeks of pegylated interferon alpha-2b in achieving hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion in chronic hepatitis B infection.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Although 48-week therapy with pegylated-interferons has been shown to be effective for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B virus infection, the efficacy of a shorter duration of therapy with pegylated interferons is unknown. METHOD: We reviewed 53 hepatitis B e antigen positive Chinese patients treated with 48 weeks of pegylated interferon alpha-2a or 24 weeks of pegylated interferon alpha-2b. Sustained virological response was defined as hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion and hepatitis B virus DNA <10(5) copies/mL at week 72. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients were treated with 48 weeks of pegylated-interferon-alpha-2a and 24 patients with 24 weeks of pegylated-interferon-alpha-2b. At the end-of-therapy, hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion and hepatitis B virus DNA <10(5) copies/mL were similar between the two groups of patients [9/29 (31.0%) vs. 2/24 (8.3%), respectively, P = 0.09]. At week 72, 10 of the 29 patients (34.5%) treated with 48 weeks of pegylated-interferon-alpha-2a compared with two of the 24 patients (8.3%) treated with 24 weeks of pegylated-interferon-alpha-2b had sustained virological response (P = 0.04). By logistic analysis, 48 weeks of pegylated-interferon-alpha-2a was independently associated with sustained virological response (P = 0.04 adjusted hazards-ratio 9.37). CONCLUSION: Further studies are required to determine the optimal duration of therapy with pegylated interferons in chronic hepatitis B.

Clusterin plays an important role in hepatocellular carcinoma metastasis.

To identify genes associated with tumor metastasis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), gene expression profiles between a pair of primary HCC (H2-P) and their matched metastatic HCC (H2-M) were compared. Overexpression of clusterin (CLU) was found in H2-M cells. To determine the roles CLU played in HCC metastasis, CLU was transfected into H2-P cells. Overexpression of CLU in H2-P cells increased cell migration by twofold in vitro and formation of metastatic tumor nodules in liver by eightfold in vivo. To evaluate the correlation of CLU expression with HCC metastasis, the expression levels of CLU in HCCs were investigated using a tissue microarray (TMA) containing 104 pairs of primary HCCs and their matched metastases. The frequency of CLU overexpression increased significantly in metastatic HCCs (59.1%) compared with that in primary tumors (32.6%, P<0.001). To gain additional insight into the function of CLU, the expression profile of H2P-CLU was compared with vector-transfected H2-P cells by cDNA microarray. A total of 35 upregulated and 14 downregulated genes were detected in H2P-CLU. One of the upregulated genes known as YKL-40, which is implicated in matrix-remodeling and metastasis, was further studied using TMA. A significant correlation (P<0.001) between the expression levels of YKL-40 and CLU was observed, implying that the CLU-YKL-40 pathway may play an important role in HCC metastasis.

Hepatitis B reactivation after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine in patients with haematological malignancy on completion of cytotoxic chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The hepatic outcome of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive patients undergoing chemotherapy after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine is unknown. AIMS: To examine the occurrence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine. METHODS: Pre-emptive lamivudine was started one week before initiation of chemotherapy in 46 consecutive HBsAg positive patients and continued for the entire duration of chemotherapy. Pre-emptive lamivudine was stopped at a median 3.1 (range 3.0-3.4) months after completion of chemotherapy. Patients were longitudinally followed up after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine. RESULTS: Median time of follow up after withdrawal of lamivudine was 25.7 (range 5.7-75.7) months. Eleven of the 46 patients (23.9%) developed HBV reactivation after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine. Eight of the 16 patients with high pre-chemotherapy HBV DNA (> or =10(4) copies/ml) compared with three of the 30 patients with low pre-chemotherapy HBV DNA (<10(4) copies/ml) developed HBV reactivation (50.0% v 10.0%, respectively; p<0.001). Hepatitis B e antigen positive patients were also more likely to develop HBV reactivation (5/11 (45.5%) v 6/35 (17.1%), respectively; p = 0.041). A high pre-chemotherapy HBV DNA (> or =10(4) copies/ml) was the most important risk factor for HBV reactivation after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine on Cox proportional hazards analysis (relative risk 16.13, (95% confidence interval 2.99-87.01; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: HBV reactivation is more likely to occur in patients with high pre-chemotherapy HBV DNA after withdrawal of pre-emptive lamivudine. A more prolonged course of antiviral therapy may be necessary in these patients after completion of chemotherapy in order to reduce post-chemotherapy HBV reactivation.

Pharmacokinetics of pitavastatin in subjects with Child-Pugh A and B cirrhosis.

AIM: Lipid lowering therapy with 3-hydroxy-3-methylglutaryl-coenzyme A (HMG-CoA) reductase inhibitors is increasingly used for the prevention of cardiovascular events, but they should be used with caution in patients with impaired liver function. We therefore studied the pharmacokinetics of pitavastatin in patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS: Plasma concentrations of pitavastatin were determined after administration of 2 mg single-dose pitavastatin to 12 male patients with liver cirrhosis (six Child-Pugh grade A and six grade B). These results were compared with the single-dose pharmacokinetic results obtained from six male volunteers without liver disease. RESULTS: Administration of 2 mg single-dose pitavastatin to patients with Child-Pugh grade A and grade B cirrhosis resulted in a 1.19- and 2.47-fold increase in Cmax and 1.27- and 3.64-fold increase in AUCt, respectively, when compared with normal subjects. The geomean Cmax of pitavastatin was 59.5 ng ml(-1), 70.7 ng ml(-1) and 147.1 ng ml(-1) in the control, Child-Pugh grade A and Child-Pugh grade B groups, respectively. The geomean AUCt of pitavastatin in the three groups was 121.2 ng h(-1) ml(-1), 154.2 ng h(-1) ml(-1) and 441.7 ng h(-1) ml(-1), respectively. The geomean Cmax of pitavastatin lactone was 20.3 ng ml(-1), 19.1 ng ml(-1) and 9.9 ng ml(-1) in the control, Child-Pugh grade A and grade B groups, respectively. The AUCt of pitavastatin lactone was 120.2 h(-1) ml(-1), 108.8 h(-1) ml(-1) and 87.5 h(-1) ml(-1), respectively. CONCLUSION: The plasma concentration of pitavastatin is increased in patients with liver cirrhosis. In such patients, caution is required, although dose reduction may not be necessary in Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.

Emergency living related liver transplantation for fulminant reactivation of hepatitis B virus after unrelated marrow transplantation.

We report a unique case of emergency living related donor orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for late fulminant reactivation of hepatitis B virus (HBV) after matched unrelated bone marrow transplantation (BMT) for chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Cessation of lamivudine after BMT for HBV positive patients may carry risks of late fatal HBV reactivation. Similar to fulminant HBV reactivation in the general population, OLT under resumption of lamivudine can be life saving. In our case, concomitantly molecular relapse of CML at the time of liver failure was also cleared by OLT, possibly via a 'liver-graft vs. leukemia' effect. Liver rejection (graft vs. graft disease) was mild due to inherent immunocompromise of the marrow graft. Hence BMT recipients in stable remission should not be denied the opportunity for life-saving solid organ transplantation. A choice of marrow and liver donors with innate HBV immunity may be needed to give the additional advantage of long-term HBV clearance.

Ten-year experience with liver transplantation at Queen Mary Hospital: retrospective study.

OBJECTIVE: To report the experience with liver transplantation at the Queen Mary Hospital from 1991 to 2000. DESIGN: Retrospective study. SETTING: Liver transplant centre of a University teaching hospital, Hong Kong. PATIENTS: One hundred and forty-eight patients (127 adults and 21 children) who underwent a total of 155 liver transplants using 75 cadaver grafts (full-size, 67; reduced-size, 5; split, 3) and 80 living donor grafts (left lateral segment, 15; left lobe, 6; right lobe, 59) from October 1991 to December 2000 were reviewed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Graft and patient survival rate. RESULTS: The most common disease indications for liver transplantation were chronic hepatitis B-related liver disease (n=74) in adults and biliary atresia (n=14) in children. Eighteen patients had hepatocellular carcinoma. Forty-eight (31%) liver transplants (three ABO-incompatible) were performed in high-urgency situations for patients requiring intensive care. The proportion of living donor liver transplants was 47.7% in adults and 73.9% in children. The overall 1-year and 5-year patient survival rates were 82% and 77%, respectively. The survival of high-risk recipients, such as those with fulminant hepatic failure (80%), chronic hepatitis B (81%), or hepatocellular carcinoma (94%), was not inferior to that of other patients. CONCLUSION: Over the last decade, the promotion of (cadaver) organ donation through public education coupled with innovative techniques in living donor liver transplantation have enabled a liver transplantation programme to be established in Hong Kong with gratifying results.

Thymosin-alpha1 and famciclovir combination therapy activates T-cell response in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection in immune-tolerant phase.

We examined whether combination therapy with thymosin-alpha1 and famciclovir would induce hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion in patients with chronic hepatitis B infection in the immune-tolerant phase without inducing significant hepatic necro-inflammation. We studied 32 hepatitis B e antigen positive patients in the immune-tolerant phase of infection, treated with 26-weeks combination therapy of famciclovir and thymosin-alpha1 (group 1). Thirty-two patients who received 26-weeks famciclovir monotherapy (group 2) and another 32 patients who received no treatment (group 3), served as controls. Peripheral blood mononuclear cell proliferation and cytokine secretion in response to recombinant HBV core and surface antigen and serial serum HBV-DNA, were assayed. No significant difference in adverse events were observed among the three groups. By week 26, the median reduction in group 1 (0.94 log10 copies/mL) was greater than group 2 (0.70 log10 copies/mL, P < 0.001). Five (15.6%) patients in group 1 at 52 weeks (median range 13-78 weeks) and none in group 2 or 3 experienced hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion (P = 0.053). Sustained serological clearance of hepatitis B e antigen was associated with activation of CD4 positive HBV-specific T-cell reactivity and were of T-helper 1. Hence combination therapy with immunomodulatory agents and nucleoside analogues should be explored.