Risk Factors for Myocardial Infarction and Stroke Among Sepsis Survivors: A Competing Risks Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Predictors for post-sepsis myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke are yet to be identified due to the competing risk of death. METHODS: This study included all hospitalized patients with sepsis from National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan between 2000 and 2011. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of MI and stroke requiring hospitalization within 180 days following hospital discharge from the index sepsis episode. The association between predictors and post-sepsis MI and stroke were analyzed using cumulative incidence competing risk model that controlled for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: Among 42 316 patients with sepsis, 1012 (2.4%) patients developed MI and stroke within 180 days of hospital discharge. The leading 5 predictors for post-sepsis MI and stroke are prior cerebrovascular diseases (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.02, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.74-2.32), intra-abdominal infection (HR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.71-2.20), previous MI (HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.53-2.15), lower respiratory tract infection (HR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.43-1.85), and septic encephalopathy (HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.26-2.06). CONCLUSIONS: Baseline comorbidities and sources of infection were associated with an increased risk of post-sepsis MI and stroke. The identified risk factors may help physicians select a group of patients with sepsis who may benefit from preventive measures, antiplatelet treatment, and other preventive measures for post-sepsis MI and stroke.

Impact of post-sepsis cardiovascular complications on mortality in sepsis survivors: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether sepsis-related cardiovascular complications have an adverse impact on survival independent of pre-existing comorbidities. To investigate the survival impact of post-sepsis cardiovascular complications among sepsis survivors, we conducted a population-based study using the National Health Insurance Database of Taiwan. METHODS: We identified sepsis patients from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan using ICD-9-CM codes involving infection and organ dysfunction between 2000 and 2011. Post-sepsis incident myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke were ascertained by ICD-9-CM codes and antiplatelet treatment. We constructed a non-sepsis comparison cohort using propensity score matching to ascertain the association between sepsis and cardiovascular complications. Furthermore, we compared the 180-day mortality and 365-day mortality between patients surviving sepsis with or without post-sepsis MI or stroke within 70 days of hospital discharge. We constructed Cox regression models adjusting for pre-existing comorbidities to evaluate the independent survival impact of post-sepsis MI or stroke among sepsis survivors. RESULTS: We identified 42,316 patients hospitalized for sepsis, from which we matched 42,151 patients 1:1 with 42,151 patients hospitalized without sepsis. Compared to patients hospitalized without sepsis, patients hospitalized with sepsis had an increased risk of MI or stroke (adjusted odds ratio 1.72, 95% CI 1.60-1.85). Among 42,316 patients hospitalized for sepsis, 486 (1.15%) patients developed incident stroke and 108 (0.26%) developed incident MI within 70 days of hospital discharge. Compared to sepsis survivors without cardiovascular complications, sepsis survivors with incident MI or stroke had a higher mortality rate at 180 days (11.68% vs. 4.44%, P = 0.003) and at 365 days (16.75% vs. 7.11%, P = 0.005). Adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidities, post-sepsis MI or stroke was independently associated with increased 180-day (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 2.16, 95% CI 1.69-2.76) and 365-day (adjusted HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.54-2.32) mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to sepsis patients without incident MI or stroke, sepsis patients with incident MI or stroke following hospital discharge had an increased risk of mortality for up to 365 days of follow-up. This increased risk cannot be explained by pre-sepsis comorbidities.

Susceptible period for cardiovascular complications in patients recovering from sepsis.

BACKGROUND: Patients are at increased risk of cardiovascular complications while recovering from sepsis. We aimed to study the temporal change and susceptible periods for cardiovascular complications in patients recovering from sepsis by using a national database. METHODS: In this retrospective population-based cohort study, patients with sepsis were identified from the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. We estimated the risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke following sepsis by comparing a sepsis cohort to a matched population and hospital control cohort. The primary outcome was first occurrence of MI or stroke requiring admission to hospital during the 180-day period following discharge from hospital after sepsis. To delineate the risk profile over time, we plotted the weekly risk of MI and stroke against time using the Cox proportional hazards model. We determined the susceptible period by fitting the 2 phases of time-dependent risk curves with free-knot splines, which highlights the turning point of the risk of MI and stroke after discharge from the hospital. RESULTS: We included 42 316 patients with sepsis; stroke developed in 831 of these patients and MI developed in 184 within 180 days of discharge from hospital. Compared with population controls, patients recovering from sepsis had the highest risk for MI or stroke in the first week after discharge (hazard ratio [HR] 4.78, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.19 to 7.17; risk difference 0.0028, 95% CI 0.0021 to 0.0034), with the risk decreasing rapidly until the 28th day (HR 2.38, 95% CI 1.94 to 2.92; risk difference 0.0045, 95% CI 0.0035 to 0.0056) when the risk stabilized. In a repeated analysis comparing the sepsis cohort with the nonsepsis hospital control cohort, we found an attenuated but still marked elevated risk before day 36 after discharge (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.52; risk difference 0.0026, 95% CI 0.0013 to 0.0039). The risk of MI or stroke was found to interact with age, with younger patients being associated with a higher risk than older patients (interaction p = 0.0004). INTERPRETATION: Compared with the general population with similar characteristics, patients recovering from sepsis had a markedly elevated risk of MI or stroke in the first 4 weeks after discharge from hospital. More close monitoring and pharmacologic prevention may be required for these patients at the specified time.

Oral Fluoroquinolone and the Risk of Aortic Dissection.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies raised safety concerns on the association between fluoroquinolone treatment and serious collagen disorders, aortic aneurysm and dissection (AA/AD). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to evaluate this association via a case-crossover analysis in a large national administrative database. METHODS: A case-crossover design was used to compare the distributions of fluoroquinolone exposure for the same patient across a 60-day period before the AA/AD event (hazard period) and 1 randomly selected 60-day period (referent period) between 60 to 180 days before the AA/AD events. In the sensitivity analysis, the authors repeated the main analysis using a 1:5 ratio of hazard period to referent period, to adjust for the effect of time-variant confounders. A disease-risk score-matched time control analysis was performed to investigate the potential time-trend bias. The risks were calculated by a conditional logistic regression model. RESULTS: A total of 1,213 hospitalized AA/AD patients were identified between 2001 and 2011. In the main case-crossover analysis, exposure to fluoroquinolone was more frequent during the hazard periods than during the referent periods (1.6% vs. 0.6%; odds ratio [OR]: 2.71; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14 to 6.46). In the sensitivity analysis, after adjustment for infections and co-medications, the risk remains significant (OR: 2.05; 95% CI: 1.13 to 3.71). An increased risk of AA/AD was observed for prolonged exposure to fluoroquinolones (OR: 2.41 for 3- to 14-day exposure; OR: 2.83 for >14-day exposure). Susceptible period analysis revealed that the use of fluoroquinolone within 60 days was associated with the highest risk of AA/AD. In the case-time-control analysis, there was no evidence that the observed association is due to temporal changes in fluoroquinolone exposure. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to fluoroquinolone was substantially associated with AA/AD. This risk was modified by the duration of fluoroquinolone use and the length of the hazard period.

Nationwide Trend of Sepsis: A Comparison Among Octogenarians, Elderly, and Young Adults.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to compare the sepsis incidence, mortality rates, and primary sites of infection among adult, elderly, and octogenarian patients with sepsis. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: The entire health insurance claims data of Taiwan, which enrolled 99.8% of the 23 million Taiwanese population. PATIENTS: Sepsis patients were identified by International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, Clinical Modification codes for both infection and organ dysfunction from January 1, 2002, to December 31, 2012. Patients were categorized into three age groups: 1) adults (18-64 yr); 2) elderly (65-84 yr); and 3) oldest old (≥ 85 yr). The 30-day all-cause mortality was verified by a linked national death certificate database. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: From 2002 to 2012, we identified 1,259,578 patients with sepsis, of which 417,328 (33.1%) were adults, 652,618 (51.8%) were elderly, and 189,632 (15.1%) were oldest old. We determined that the incidence of sepsis in the oldest old was 9,414 cases per 100,000 population on 2012, which was 31-fold greater than the adult incidence (303 cases per 100,000 population) and three-fold greater than the elderly incidence (2,908 cases per 100,000 population). Despite the increasing trend in incidence, the mortality decreased by 34% for adults, 24% for elderly, and 22% for oldest old. However, systemic fungal infection was disproportionately increased in oldest old patients (1.76% annual increase) and the elderly patients (1.00% annual increase). CONCLUSION: The incidence of sepsis is disproportionately increased in elderly and oldest old patients. Despite the increasing trend in incidence, the mortality rate in geriatric patients with sepsis has decreased. However, the increased incidence of fungal infections in the geriatric population warrants further attention.

Trend and outcome of sepsis in children: A nationwide cohort study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to investigate the trend of incidence and outcome of paediatric sepsis in a population-based database. METHODS: Children with sepsis were identified from the 23 million nationwide health insurance claims database of Taiwan. Sepsis was defined by the presence of single ICD-9 code for severe sepsis or septic shock or a combination of ICD-9 codes for infection and organ dysfunction. We analysed the trend of incidence, mortality and source of infection in three age groups: infant (28 days to 1 year), child (1-9 years) and adolescent (10-18 years). RESULTS: From 2002 to 2012, we identified 38 582 paediatric patients with sepsis, of which 21.3% were infants, 52.8% were children and 25.8% were adolescents. The incidence of sepsis was 336.4 cases per 100 000 population in infants, 3.3 times higher than in children (101.5/100 000 cases) and 7.3 times higher than in adolescents (46.2/100 000 cases). While sepsis incidence decreased from 598.0 to 336.4 cases per 100 000 people in the infant population, it remained relatively unchanged in children and adolescents. For 90-day mortality, there were significant decreases in all three age groups (absolute decrease of 5.0% for infants, 3.7% for children and 14.4% for the adolescents). In the infant population, we observed a decrease in the incidence of lower respiratory tract infections, while the incidence of urinary tract infections remained unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and mortality of sepsis among paediatric patients have decreased substantially between 2002 and 2012, especially among infants. The widespread use of Haemophilus influenzae and pneumococcal vaccines in infants could be a possible explanation.

Adult sepsis - A nationwide study of trends and outcomes in a population of 23 million people.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the trend of incidence and outcome of sepsis based on a nationwide administrative database. METHODS: We analyzed the incidence and mortality of both emergency department treated and hospital treated sepsis from 2002 through 2012 using the entire health insurance claims data of Taiwan. The national health insurance covers 99% of residents in Taiwan. Sepsis patients were identified using a set of validated ICD-9CM codes conforming to the sepsis-3 definition. The 30-day all-cause mortality was verified by linked death certificate database. RESULTS: During the 11-year study period, a total of 1,259,578 episodes of sepsis was identified. The mean incidence rate was 639 per 100,000 person-years, increasing from 637.8/100,000 persons in 2002 to 772.1/100,000 persons in 2012 (annual increase: 1.9%). The mortality rate, however, has decreased from 27.8% in 2002 to 22.8% in 2012 (annual decrease: 0.45%). The trend of incidence and mortality did not change after standardization by age and gender using 2002 as the reference standard. CONCLUSION: We showed that the incidence of sepsis has increased while the mortality has decreased in Taiwan. Despite the decreasing trend in sepsis mortality, the total number of sepsis mortality remains increasing due to the rapid increase in sepsis incidence.

Preadmission Use of Calcium Channel Blocking Agents Is Associated With Improved Outcomes in Patients With Sepsis: A Population-Based Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Use of calcium channel blockers has been found to improve sepsis outcomes in animal studies and one clinical study. This study determines whether the use of calcium channel blockers is associated with a decreased risk of mortality in patients with sepsis. DESIGN: Population-based matched cohort study. SETTING: National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. PATIENTS: Hospitalized severe sepsis patients identified from National Health Insurance Research Database by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The association between calcium channel blocker use and sepsis outcome was determined by multivariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models and propensity score analysis. To examine the influence of healthy user bias, beta-blocker was used as an active comparator. Our study identified 51,078 patients with sepsis, of which, 19,742 received calcium channel blocker treatments prior to the admission. Use of calcium channel blocker was associated with a reduced 30-day mortality after propensity score adjustment (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.89-0.99), and the beneficial effect could extend to 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.89-1.00). In contrast, use of beta-blocker was not associated with an improved 30-day (hazard ratio, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.97-1.15) or 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.90-1.11). On subgroup analysis, calcium channel blockers tend to be more beneficial to patients with male gender, between 40 and 79 years old, with a low comorbidity burden, and to patients with cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, or renal diseases. CONCLUSIONS: In this national cohort study, preadmission calcium channel blocker therapy before sepsis development was associated with a 6% reduction in mortality when compared with patients who have never received calcium channel blockers.