The Duke treadmill score with bicycle ergometer: Exercise capacity is the most important predictor of cardiovascular mortality.

BACKGROUND: The Duke treadmill score, a widely used treadmill testing tool, is a weighted index combining exercise time or capacity, maximum ST-segment deviation and exercise-induced angina. No previous studies have investigated whether the Duke treadmill score and its individual components based on bicycle exercise testing predict cardiovascular death. DESIGN: Two populations with a standard bicycle testing were used: 3936 patients referred for exercise testing (2371 men, age 56 ± 13 years) from the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS) and a population-based sample of 2683 men (age 53 ± 5.1 years) from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease study (KIHD). METHODS: Cox regression was applied for risk prediction with cardiovascular mortality as the primary endpoint. RESULTS: In FINCAVAS, during a median 6.3-year (interquartile range (IQR) 4.5-8.2) follow-up period, 180 patients (4.6%) experienced cardiovascular mortality. In KIHD, 562 patients (21.0%) died from cardiovascular causes during the median follow-up of 24.1 (IQR 18.0-26.2) years. The Duke treadmill score was associated with cardiovascular mortality in both populations (FINCAVAS, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 3.15 for highest vs. lowest Duke treadmill score tertile, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.83-5.42, P < 0.001; KIHD, adjusted HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.34-2.18, P < 0.001). However, after progressive adjustment for the Duke treadmill score components, the score was not associated with cardiovascular mortality in either study population, as exercise capacity in metabolic equivalents of task was the dominant harbinger of poor prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: The Duke treadmill score is associated with cardiovascular mortality among patients who have undergone bicycle exercise testing, but metabolic equivalents of task, a component of the Duke treadmill score, proved to be a superior predictor.

Prognostic capacity of a clinically indicated exercise test for cardiovascular mortality is enhanced by combined analysis of exercise capacity, heart rate recovery and T-wave alternans.

BACKGROUND: Exercise capacity, heart rate recovery and T-wave alternans are independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality. We tested whether these parameters contain supplementary prognostic information. METHODS: A total of 3609 consecutive patients (2157 men) referred for a routine, clinically indicated bicycle exercise test were enrolled in the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS). Exercise capacity was measured in metabolic equivalents, heart rate recovery as the decrease in heart rate from maximum to one minute post-exercise, and T-wave alternans by time-domain Modified Moving Average method. RESULTS: During 57-month median follow-up (interquartile range 35-78 months), 96 patients died of cardiovascular causes (primary endpoint) and 233 from any cause. All three parameters were independent predictors of cardiovascular mortality when analysed as continuous variables. Adding metabolic equivalents (p < 0.001), heart rate recovery (p = 0.002) or T-wave alternans (p = 0.01) to the linear model improved its predictive power for cardiovascular mortality. The combination of low exercise capacity (<6 metabolic equivalents), reduced heart rate recovery (≤12 beats/min) and elevated T-wave alternans (≥60 µV) yielded the highest hazard ratio for cardiovascular mortality of 16.5 (95% confidence interval 4.0-67.7, p < 0.001). Harrell's C index was 0.719 (confidence interval 0.665-0.772) for cardiovascular mortality with previously defined cutpoints (<8 units for metabolic equivalents, ≤18 beats/min for heart rate recovery and ≥60 µV for T-wave alternans). CONCLUSION: The prognostic capacity of the clinical exercise test is enhanced by combined analysis of exercise capacity, heart rate recovery and T-wave alternans.

Effect of heart rate correction on pre- and post-exercise heart rate variability to predict risk of mortality-an experimental study on the FINCAVAS cohort.

The non-linear inverse relationship between RR-intervals and heart rate (HR) contributes significantly to the heart rate variability (HRV) parameters and their performance in mortality prediction. To determine the level of influence HR exerts over HRV parameters' prognostic power, we studied the predictive performance for different HR levels by applying eight correction procedures, multiplying or dividing HRV parameters by the mean RR-interval (RRavg) to the power 0.5-16. Data collected from 1288 patients in The Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS), who satisfied the inclusion criteria, was used for the analyses. HRV parameters (RMSSD, VLF Power and LF Power) were calculated from 2-min segment in the rest phase before exercise and 2-min recovery period immediately after peak exercise. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to determine the predictive performance for each parameter with and without HR corrections in rest and recovery phases. The division of HRV parameters by segment's RRavg to the power 2 (HRVDIV-2) showed the highest predictive performance under the rest phase (RMSSD: 0.67/0.66; VLF Power: 0.70/0.62; LF Power: 0.79/0.65; cardiac mortality/non-cardiac mortality) with minimum correlation to HR (r = -0.15 to 0.15). In the recovery phase, Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analysis revealed good risk stratification capacity at HRVDIV-2 in both groups (cardiac and non-cardiac mortality). Although higher powers of correction (HRVDIV-4and HRVDIV-8) improved predictive performance during recovery, they induced an increased positive correlation to HR. Thus, we inferred that predictive capacity of HRV during rest and recovery is augmented when its dependence on HR is weakened by applying appropriate correction procedures.

Postexercise recovery of the spatial QRS/T angle as a predictor of sudden cardiac death.

BACKGROUND: Postexercise measurement of heart rate (HR) recovery and QT interval dynamics provides prognostic information in various patient populations. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess whether the measurement of the spatial relationship between the depolarization and repolarization wavefronts (total cosine R-to-T [TCRT]) during the postexercise recovery phase would yield prognostic information. METHODS: The population consisted of 1297 patients (56 ± 13 years; 67% men) who performed a clinically indicated bicycle stress test. The exercise-recovery hysteresis of TCRT was quantified from the 12-lead exercise electrocardiogram by measuring the TCRT/HR loop area bounded by the exercise and first 3-minute postexercise recovery curves. The HR-corrected TCRT/HR hysteresis was calculated by dividing the area with the HR decrement during the first 3 minutes of recovery. HR recovery was measured at 1 minute postexercise recovery. End points were cardiac death and sudden cardiac death. RESULTS: During an average follow-up of 45 ± 12 months, 74 patients died (5.7%); 35 (2.6%) were cardiac deaths and 24 (1.9%) were sudden cardiac deaths. Reduced TCRT/HR loop area and TCRT/HR hysteresis were associated with cardiac mortality (P <.001). After adjustments for clinical variables, including ejection fraction, TCRT/HR loop area remained an independent predictor of cardiac death (hazard ratio 5.6; 95% confidence interval 1.6-19.1; P = .007) and sudden cardiac death (10.7; 95% confidence interval 1.4-83.7; P = .024). HR recovery did not remain a significant predictor in the multivariate analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Attenuated hysteresis of the depolarization and repolarization wavefronts during postexercise recovery is associated with an increased risk of cardiac and sudden cardiac death. Analysis of repolarization dynamics from exercise electrocardiogram represents a promising tool for risk stratification.

Allelic variant of NOS1AP effects on cardiac alternans of repolarization during exercise testing.

INTRODUCTION: A repolarization abnormality manifested as T-wave alternans (TWA) in electrocardiogram (ECG) predicts cardiovascular mortality. A common variant in the NOS1AP gene is associated with mortality and QT interval duration, possibly in a gender-specific manner, but data is lacking on potential association with TWA. This study tested association between rs10494366 in NOS1AP and both TWA and 4-year mortality. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 1963 Finnish Cardiovascular Study participants (36.6% female, 57.1 ± 13.0 years) were genotyped and their maximal TWA values were measured from continuous ECG recordings during clinical exercise test at rest, exercise and recovery. RESULTS: We observed a significant gender-specific effect of NOS1AP genotype on TWA. In all subjects, there was no statistically significant difference between the three genotypes (TT, TG, GG) in the responses of TWA over the entire exercise test (time-by-genotype interaction p = 0.057). In women, after adjustment for age, coronary heart disease and ß-blocker medication status, changes of TWA over different phases of exercise test were significantly associated with NOS1AP genotype (time-by-genotype interaction p = 0.001). In men, NOS1AP rs10494366 was not associated with TWA. During follow-up (mean 47 months), 113 patients died. NOS1AP rs10494366 was not a statistically significant predictor of mortality. CONCLUSION: The NOSIAP variant rs10494366 influences TWA and TWA response during clinical exercise test in females. Gender-specific effects have also been previously reported for the influence of the variant on QT interval. If replicated, these findings should prompt studies to further elucidate the mechanisms underlying the gender differences in NOS1AP effects on repolarization.

Common variation in the ADAM8 gene affects serum sADAM8 concentrations and the risk of myocardial infarction in two independent cohorts.

OBJECTIVE: The single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) rs2995300 in the metalloproteinase-disintegrin gene ADAM8 has been shown to affect the areas of complicated coronary plaques and the risk of fatal myocardial infarction (MI) in men. This study was set up to further investigate the role of ADAM8 in MI. AIM: To investigate the possible association of the ADAM8 SNPs rs2995300 and rs2275725 with ADAM8 mRNA levels, serum soluble ADAM8 (sADAM8) concentrations, and MI risk. METHODS: Samples from the Finnish cardiovascular study (FINCAVAS, N=2156) and the angiography and genes study (ANGES, N=1000) were genotyped. Serum sADAM8 concentrations were determined with ELISA (N=443). ADAM8 mRNA levels in atherosclerotic plaques were analysed from the tampere vascular study (TVS, N=53) samples. RESULTS: A significantly increased MI risk for carriers of the rs2995300C allele and the rs2275725 A allele was revealed in the meta-analysis of the ANGES and FINCAVAS patient data (OR=1.42, P<0.001 and OR=1.43, P<0.001). The risk increase was comparable to that caused by smoking in these cohorts. The risk allele carriers also had higher sADAM8 serum concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: The risk alleles of the investigated ADAM8 SNPs were associated with elevated sADAM8 serum levels and MI risk. The present results implicate ADAM8 in the development of CVDs and suggest its prognostic and therapeutic potential.

Importance of regional specificity of T-wave alternans in assessing risk for cardiovascular mortality and sudden cardiac death during routine exercise testing.

BACKGROUND: T-wave alternans (TWA) indicates increased risk for life-threatening arrhythmias. However, the regional distribution and predictivity of TWA among precordial leads remain unknown. OBJECTIVE: We analyzed the magnitude and prognostic power of TWA in precordial leads separately and in combination during routine exercise stress testing in the largest TWA study conducted to date. METHODS: The Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS) enrolled consecutive patients (n = 3,598, 56 ± 13 [mean ± standard deviation] years old, 2,164 men, 1,434 women) with a clinically indicated exercise test with bicycle ergometer. TWA was analyzed with the time-domain modified moving average method. RESULTS: During a follow-up of 55 months (interquartile range of 35-78 months), 231 patients died; 97 deaths were cardiovascular, and 46 were classified as sudden cardiac deaths (SCDs). In Cox analysis after adjustment for common coronary risk factors, each 20-µV increase in TWA in leads V1-V6 multiplied the hazard ratio for cardiovascular mortality by 1.486-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.127-1.952; P = .005). Each 20-µV increase in TWA in lead V5 amplified the hazard ratio for cardiovascular mortality by 1.545 (95% CI 1.150-2.108; P = .004) and for SCD by 1.576 (95% CI 1.041-2.412; P = .033). CONCLUSIONS: Maximum TWA monitored from anterolateral precordial lead V5 is the strongest predictor of cardiovascular mortality and SCD during routine exercise testing in our analysis. Higher TWA values indicate greater cardiovascular mortality and SCD risk, supporting the concept that quantification of TWA should receive more attention.

QRS-T morphology measured from exercise electrocardiogram as a predictor of cardiac mortality.

AIMS: Total cosine R-to-T (TCRT) measured from the standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) reflects the spatial relationship between depolarization and repolarization wavefronts and a low TCRT value is a marker of poor prognosis. We tested the hypothesis that measurement of TCRT or QRS/T angle from exercise ECG would provide even more powerful prognostic information. METHODS AND RESULTS: The prognostic significances of TCRT and QRS/T angle were assessed from exercise ECG recordings in 1297 patients [age 56 ± 13 years (mean ± SD), 67% males] undergoing a clinically indicated bicycle stress-test and the subsequent follow-up. During an average follow-up of 45 ± 12 months, 74 patients died (5.7%); 34 (2.6%) were cardiac deaths, and 24 (1.9%) were sudden cardiac deaths. Total cosine R-to-T and QRS/T angle exhibited a correlation with the RR intervals in the total cohort, but the individual responses were variable, e.g. median correlation of TCRT-RR was 0.89 with an inter-quartile range from 0.55 to 0.98. A reduced correlation of TCRT-RR during the recovery phase of exercise ECG predicted cardiac death [adjusted heart rate (HR) 3.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.8-6.8, P= 0.001] similarly as the baseline TCRT measured from ECG at rest (adjusted HR 3.4, 95% CI: 1.4-8.1, P= 0.01). The poor correlation between the TCRT-RR both during the exercise and recovery was specifically related to a risk of sudden cardiac death (adjusted HR 6.2, 95% CI: 2.1-17.8, P< 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Loss of rate-adaptation of the spatial relationship between depolarization and repolarization wavefronts is a strong predictor of cardiac death, especially of sudden cardiac death.

IL-18 gene polymorphism, cardiovascular mortality and coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Interleukin 18(IL-18) is a pro-atherosclerotic cytokine. Elevated IL-18 levels and the genetic variation of the IL-18 have been previously linked with acute coronary events and cardiovascular mortality among patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We studied the possible association between the IL-18 gene polymorphism and cardiovascular mortality during follow-up among Finnish patients who had undergone a clinical exercise stress test, in addition to the possible effect on the expression of angiography-verified CAD. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 2152 patients of the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (cohort study) were followed up for 6·3years and cardiovascular mortality was recorded. Angiography was performed on 461 patients. Genotyping of five common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the IL-18 gene was performed using the 5'nuclease assay for allelic discrimination with the ABI Prism 7900HT Sequence Detection System. RESULTS: Among the study population, IL-18 gene polymorphism did not associate with cardiovascular mortality. According to adjusted binary regression analysis, the male carriers of one major haplotype (the only ones carrying the t allele of the +127 C/t SNP) had a lower occurrence rate for significant CAD defined as > 50% stenosis in at least one of the main branches of the coronary arteries (OR 0·495, 95% CI 0·862-0·284, P=0·041). No associations were observed among women. The sex-by-genotype interaction was significant (P=0·033). CONCLUSIONS: The IL-18 gene was not found to associate significantly with mortality. Among patients who had coronary angiography, one major haplotype of the IL-18 gene has a gender-dependent different impact on the expression of CAD.

Value of leads V4R and CM5 in the detection of coronary artery disease during exercise electrocardiographic test.

The usefulness of the right precordial unipolar leads and the value of the bipolar lead CM5 in the detection of coronary artery disease (CAD) with exercise electrocardiographic (ECG) test are not well documented. The objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of leads V4R and CM5. The study population comprised 579 patients referred for a bicycle exercise ECG test in the Finnish Cardiovascular Study. Patients were divided into three groups: angiographically proven CAD (CAD, n = 255), no CAD by angiography (NoCAD, n = 126), and low likelihood of CAD (LLC, n = 198). The maximum ST-segment depression at peak exercise was used as a parameter, and the diagnostic accuracy of different leads was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Sensitivity and specificity values at a cut-off criterion of -0.10 mV ST-segment, 1-mm ST depression, were determined. According to the results, incorporating lead V4R with the standard leads decreased the ROC area from 0.71 to 0.69 (comparison CAD versus LLC) and from 0.55 to 0.53 (comparison CAD versus NoCAD) and had no effect on sensitivity or specificity. Adding lead CM5 to the standard leads did not affect the ROC area but increased the sensitivity and decreased the specificity. In conclusion, the use of right precordial lead V4R along with the standard 12-lead system does not improve the performance of the exercise ECG in diagnosing CAD. Adding lead CM5 to the standard leads increases the sensitivity but does not change the overall diagnostic performance.

Pattern of crescendo TWA may disclose the underlying cardiac pathology.

We present an exercise test case in which crescendo TWA preceded ventricular tachycardia (VT). The patient was examined due to suspicion of ischemic heart disease. The ST-segment became elevated simultaneously with a distinct alternation in the ST-segment and the first half of the T-wave, and the patient developed polymorphic VT. Coronary angiography disclosed marked stenoses. Earlier reports of TWA in patients with congenital long QT syndrome show a pattern in which the T wave frequently alternates above and below the isoelectric line without concomitant ST-segment changes. In Brugada syndrome patients, the signature ST-T wave pattern is the locus of alternation. Future investigation should elucidate whether specific TWA morphologies may expose underlying heart disease.

Atrioventricular conduction and cardiovascular mortality: assessment of recovery PR interval is superior to pre-exercise measurement.

BACKGROUND: A prolonged electrocardiographic PR interval at rest has been considered a benign phenomenon until recently. OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that measurement of the PR interval during recovery from physical exertion could improve cardiovascular mortality risk stratification because it would track the dynamic influences of homeostatic mechanisms controlling atrioventricular (AV) conduction. METHODS: A total of 1,979 consecutive patients (1,244 men and 735 women) with clinically indicated bicycle ergometer tests enrolled in FINCAVAS (the Finnish Cardiovascular Study) were included in the study. The PR interval was measured at 1 min before and at 2 min after exercise. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up period of 47 months (interquartile range: 37 to 59 months), 50 cardiovascular deaths (end point) were registered. The unadjusted hazard ratios (HR) in Cox regression analyses were significant for both continuous PR interval and first-degree atrioventricular (AV) block for pre- and post-exercise phases. After adjustment for standard markers, the PR interval for 20-ms increments (HR: 1.17, P = .117) and first-degree AV block (HR: 1.85, P = .138) during the pre-exercise phase were not prognostic. However, during recovery from exercise, prolonged AV conduction achieved significance both in continuous (HR: 1.29, P = .006) and dichotomized analyses (HR: 2.41, P = .045). CONCLUSION: The PR interval before exercise is not a robust risk stratifier for cardiovascular death during 4-year follow-up. Post-exercise assessment of AV conduction may offer improved prediction because of functional abnormalities that become manifest only during this physiologic challenge to the heart.

Exercise electrocardiography detection of coronary artery disease by ST-segment depression/heart rate hysteresis in women: the Finnish Cardiovascular Study.

INTRODUCTION: The performance of exercise electrocardiography (ECG) for the detection of coronary artery disease (CAD) in women has been limited. The recently developed computerized variable, ST-segment depression/heart rate (ST/HR) hysteresis, has been proved to detect CAD in men more accurately than traditional methods. However, the diagnostic performance of ST/HR hysteresis has not been evaluated in women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study population comprised 161 female patients from the Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS). All patients were referred for a routine bicycle exercise test. The maximum values of ST/HR hysteresis, ST/HR index, ST-segment depression at peak exercise (STpeak), at the end of one (ST1rec) and three (ST3rec) minutes of post-exercise were determined. Significant CAD was present in 48, while 65 women showed no angiographic CAD. Also a group of 48 women with low likelihood of CAD (LLC) was formed. Diagnostic performance of variables was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Furthermore, sensitivity values at 80% specificity and specificities at 80% sensitivity were determined. RESULTS: In a comparison between CAD and LLC groups, the ROC areas for ST/HR hysteresis, ST/HR index, STpeak, ST1rec and ST3rec were 0.89, 0.74, 0.65, 0.84 and 0.73, and sensitivities at 80% specificity were 88%, 67%, 52%, 75% and 60%, respectively. Comparing CAD and no-CAD groups, the ROC areas were 0.73, 0.67, 0.56, 0.63 and 0.60, and specificities at 80% sensitivity were 60%, 38%, 27%, 33% and 30%. CONCLUSIONS: ST/HR hysteresis is a more competent method in CAD detection in women than ST-segment depression or ST/HR index.

Combined assessment of heart rate recovery and T-wave alternans during routine exercise testing improves prediction of total and cardiovascular mortality: the Finnish Cardiovascular Study.

BACKGROUND: Identification of individuals who are at risk for cardiovascular death remains a pressing public health challenge. Derangements in autonomic function acting upon an electrically unstable substrate are thought to be critical elements in triggering cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to analyze heart rate recovery (HRR) in combination with T-wave alternans (TWA) to improve risk assessment. METHODS: The Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS) enrolled consecutive patients (N = 1,972 [1,254 men and 718 women], age 57 +/- 13 years [mean +/- SD]) with a clinically indicated exercise test using bicycle ergometer. TWA was analyzed continuously with the time-domain modified moving average method. Maximum TWA at heart rates <125 bpm was derived. RESULTS: During 48 +/- 13 months of follow-up (mean +/- SD), 116 patients died; 55 deaths were cardiovascular. In multivariable Cox analysis after adjustment for common coronary risk factors, high exercise-based TWA (> or =60 microV) and low HRR (< or =18 bpm) yielded relative risks for all-cause mortality of 5.0 (95% confidence 2.1-12.1, P <.01) and for cardiovascular mortality of 12.3 (95% confidence interval 4.3-35.3, P <.01). High recovery-based TWA (> or =60 microV) and low HRR (< or =18 bpm) yielded relative risks for all-cause death of 6.1 (95% confidence interval 2.8-13.2, P <.01) and for cardiovascular mortality of 8.0 (95% confidence interval 2.9-22.0, P <.01). Prediction by HRR and TWA, both singly and in combination, exceeded that of standard cardiovascular risk factors. CONCLUSION: Reduced HRR and heightened TWA powerfully predict risk for cardiovascular and all-cause death in a low-risk population. This novel approach could aid in screening of general populations during routine exercise protocols as well as improve insights into pathophysiology.

Impaired exercise capacity predicts sudden cardiac death in a low-risk population: enhanced specificity with heightened T-wave alternans.

AIMS: Because sudden cardiac death (SCD) is due to cardiac electrical instability, we postulated that prediction of this mode of death by exercise capacity will be enhanced by combined assessment with T-wave alternans (TWA), an index of repolarization abnormality. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The Finnish Cardiovascular Study enrolled consecutive patients (n=2,044) with a routine clinically indicated exercise test. Exercise capacity was measured in metabolic equivalents (METs) and TWA by time-domain modified moving average method. RESULTS: During 47.2+/-12.8-month follow-up (mean+/-SD) 120 patients died; 58 were cardiovascular deaths, and 29 were SCD. In multivariate analysis after adjustment for sex, age, smoking, use of beta-blockers, as well as other common coronary risk factors, the relative risk of patients whose exercise capacity was depressed (MET < 8) was 8.8 (95% CI 2.0-38.9, P=0.004) for SCD. The combination of low exercise capacity (MET < 8) and elevated TWA (> or =65 microV) yielded relative risks for SCD of 36.1 (6.3-206.0, P<0.001), for cardiovascular mortality of 21.1 (6.7-66.2, P<0.001), and for all-cause mortality of 7.8 (3.5-17.4, P<0.001) over patients with neither factor. CONCLUSIONS: Reduced exercise capacity, particularly in combination with heightened TWA, indicating enhanced cardiac electrical instability, powerfully predicts risk for SCD in patients referred for exercise testing.

Post-exercise assessment of cardiac repolarization alternans in patients with coronary artery disease using the modified moving average method.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate the utility of T-wave alternans (TWA) assessment in the immediate post-exercise period to identify and validate cutpoints for the modified moving average (MMA) assessment method. BACKGROUND: The presence of TWA is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death (CVD). The immediate post-exercise period, where increased physiologic stress and minimal surface artifact coexist, appears ideal to implement the MMA method. METHODS: A test (n = 322) and validation cohort (n = 681) provided 1,003 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). We assessed TWA immediately after exercise. The outcomes, CVD and mortality, were adjudicated independent of the TWA results. RESULTS: During 48 months of follow-up 85 deaths, 54 categorized as CVD (64%), were observed. A linear relationship between the magnitude of TWA and the risk of CVD was identified. As a continuous measure TWA voltage was equivalent to ejection fraction in predicting the risk of CVD. To facilitate clinical application, a sensitive, modest predictive accuracy (20 microV) and a specific, greater predictive accuracy MMA cutpoint (60 microV) were identified and validated. Each cutpoint was associated with a 2.5-fold greater risk of CVD, independent of other important variables, including ejection fraction. CONCLUSIONS: Post-exercise assessment of TWA using the MMA method is a strong, independent predictor of risk in patients with CAD. The 20-microV cutpoint (87% sensitivity) appears to be most suitable in higher-risk patients, whereas the 60-microV cutpoint (95% specificity) appears more appropriate when TWA is used as a single screening test in those at lower risk. (Assessment of Noninvasive Methods to Identify Patients at Risk of Serious Arrhythmias After a Heart Attack; NCT00399503).

Enhanced predictive power of quantitative TWA during routine exercise testing in the Finnish Cardiovascular Study.

INTRODUCTION: We examined whether quantification of T-wave alternans (TWA) enhances this parameter's capacity to evaluate the risk for total and cardiovascular mortality and sudden cardiac death (SCD). METHODS AND RESULTS: The Finnish Cardiovascular Study (FINCAVAS) enrolled consecutive patients (n = 2,119; 1,342 men and 777 women) with a clinically indicated exercise test with bicycle ergometer. TWA (time domain-modified moving average method) was analyzed from precordial leads, and the results were grouped in increments of 10 microV. Hazard ratios (HR) for total and cardiovascular mortality and SCD were estimated for preexercise, routine exercise, and postexercise stages. Cox regression analysis was performed. During follow-up of 47.1 +/- 12.9 months (mean +/- standard deviation [SD]), 126 patients died: 62 were cardiovascular deaths, and 33 of these deaths were sudden. During preexercise, TWA >or= 20 microV predicted the risk for total and cardiovascular mortality (maximum HR >4.4 at 60 microV, P < 0.02 for both). During exercise, HRs of total and cardiovascular mortality were significant when TWA measured >or=50 microV, with 90 microV TWA yielding maximum HRs for total and cardiovascular death of 3.1 (P = 0.03) and 6.4 (P = 0.002), respectively. During postexercise, TWA >or=60 microV indicated risk for total and cardiovascular mortality, with maximum HR of 3.4 at 70 microV (P = 0.01) for cardiovascular mortality. SCD was strongly predicted by TWA levels >or=60 microV during exercise, with maximum HR of 4.6 at 60 microV (P = 0.002), but was not predicted during pre- or postexercise. CONCLUSION: Quantification of TWA enhances its capacity for determination of the risk for total and cardiovascular mortality and SCD in low-risk populations. Its prognostic power is superior during exercise compared to preexercise or postexercise.

Effect of common KCNE1 and SCN5A ion channel gene variants on T-wave alternans, a marker of cardiac repolarization, during clinical exercise stress test: the Finnish Cardiovascular Study.

T-wave alternans (TWA) in electrocardiography (ECG) is a marker of cardiac repolarization, the molecular regulation of which is incompletely understood. High TWA and prolonged QT intervals are both associated with ventricular arrhythmias and sudden death. Therefore, we tested the hypothesis of whether the same mutations that influence the QT interval also affect TWA variation. We examined the effect of 3 ion channel gene single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), rs1805127, rs727957 KCNE1, and rs1805124 SCN5A, on TWA during a clinical exercise test. A total of 2008 subjects from the Finnish Cardiovascular Study underwent an exercise test with online ECG recording. TWA was measured by using the time-domain, modified moving average method. Maximum values at rest, during maximal exercise, and during recovery were used as outcome measures in statistical analysis. Moreover, 4-year survival data were collected and ion channel SNPs were determined. TWA was lowest in subjects with the TT genotype of rs1805127 during all phases of the exercise test (RANOVA main effect for genotype, P = 0.018). The result remained significant after adjustment for age, existing coronary heart disease, and beta-blocker medication status (RANCOVA, P = 0.035). Of the polymorphisms studied, only rs1805127 had a significant association with mortality (P = 0.047). The most common G-C haplotype, formed by rs727957 and rs1805127, was associated with TWA (RANOVA, P = 0.007) but not with mortality. The rs1805124 polymorphism was not associated with TWA. The common KCNE1 gene variant rs1805127 is associated with TWA during an exercise test in a Finnish population, which provides additional evidence that KCNE1 genetics may influence cardiac repolarization and cardiovascular mortality.

Gender and effects of a common genetic variant in the NOS1 regulator NOS1AP on cardiac repolarization in 3761 individuals from two independent populations.

BACKGROUND: A longer heart-rate corrected QT interval (QTc) is associated with increased risk of ventricular arrhythmias. Women have longer resting QTc and are more likely than men to develop drug-induced QT prolongation. Recent studies have shown association between resting QTc and a common variant (rs10494366) of the NOS1 regulator, NOS1AP. We investigated the association between rs10494366 in NOS1AP and QTc, and assessed gender-specific NOS1AP associations with QTc during rest and after exercise. METHODS: We investigated the SNP associations with resting QTc in 919 women and 918 men from 504 representative families in the UK GRAPHIC study, and with QTc at rest and at 3 min recovery after exercise in 699 women and 1225 men referred for exercise testing in the Finnish FINCAVAS study. RESULTS: In the GRAPHIC study the minor allele (G) of the NOS1AP SNP rs10494366 prolonged QTc by 4.59 ms (95% CI 2.77-6.40; P = 7.63/10(7)) in women, but only by 1.62 ms (95% CI -0.15 to 3.38; P = 0.073) in men (gender-SNP interaction term P = 0.025). In the FINCAVAS study the G allele significantly prolonged QTc in both women (P = 0.0063) and men (P = 0.0043) at 3 min recovery after exercise, but at rest an association was only seen in women (P = 0.020 excluding outliers). CONCLUSIONS: A common NOS1AP variant prolongs QTc with a difference between genders. Further studies should aim to confirm this finding and to assess whether NOS1AP genotype influences the risk of drug-induced QT prolongation and risk of consequent arrhythmias.