Association of Regular Opioid Use With Incident Dementia and Neuroimaging Markers of Brain Health in Chronic Pain Patients: Analysis of UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to investigate the association of regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, with incident dementia and neuroimaging outcomes among chronic pain patients. DESIGN: The primary design is a prospective cohort study. To triangulate evidence, we also conducted a nested case-control study analyzing opioid prescriptions and a cross-sectional study analyzing neuroimaging outcomes. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Dementia-free UK Biobank participants with chronic pain and regular analgesic use. MEASUREMENTS: Chronic pain status and regular analgesic use were captured using self-reported questionnaires and verbal interviews. Opioid prescription data were obtained from primary care records. Dementia cases were ascertained using primary care, hospital, and death registry records. Propensity score-matched Cox proportional hazards analysis, conditional logistic regression, and linear regression were applied to the data in the prospective cohort, nested case-control, and cross-sectional studies, respectively. RESULTS: Prospective analyses revealed that regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, was associated with an increased dementia risk over the 15-year follow-up (Hazard ratio [HR], 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08-1.30]; Absolute rate difference [ARD], 0.44 [95% CI: 0.19-0.71] per 1000 person-years; Wald χ2 = 3.65; df = 1; p <0.001). The nested case-control study suggested that a higher number of opioid prescriptions was associated with an increased risk of dementia (1 to 5 prescriptions: OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.07-1.37, Wald χ2 = 3.02, df = 1, p = 0.003; 6 to 20: OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08-1.50, Wald χ2 = 2.93, df = 1, p = 0.003; more than 20: OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.23-1.67, Wald χ2 = 4.57, df = 1, p < 0.001). Finally, neuroimaging analyses revealed that regular opioid use was associated with lower total grey matter and hippocampal volumes, and higher white matter hyperintensities volumes. CONCLUSION: Regular opioid use in chronic pain patients was associated with an increased risk of dementia and poorer brain health when compared to non-opioid analgesic use. These findings imply a need for re-evaluation of opioid prescription practices for chronic pain patients and, if further evidence supports causality, provide insights into strategies to mitigate the burden of dementia.

Mechanical protein polycystin-1 directly regulates osteoclastogenesis and bone resorption.

Mechanical loading is required for bone homeostasis, but the underlying mechanism is still unclear. Our previous studies revealed that the mechanical protein polycystin-1 (PC1, encoded by Pkd1) is critical for bone formation. However, the role of PC1 in bone resorption is unknown. Here, we found that PC1 directly regulates osteoclastogenesis and bone resorption. The conditional deletion of Pkd1 in the osteoclast lineage resulted in a reduced number of osteoclasts, decreased bone resorption, and increased bone mass. A cohort study of 32,500 patients further revealed that autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease, which is mainly caused by loss-of-function mutation of the PKD1 gene, is associated with a lower risk of hip fracture than those with other chronic kidney diseases. Moreover, mice with osteoclast-specific knockout of Pkd1 showed complete resistance to unloading-induced bone loss. A mechanistic study revealed that PC1 facilitated TAZ nuclear translocation via the C-terminal tail-TAZ complex and that conditional deletion of Taz in the osteoclast lineage resulted in reduced osteoclastogenesis and increased bone mass. Pharmacological regulation of the PC1-TAZ axis alleviated unloading- and estrogen deficiency- induced bone loss. Thus, the PC1-TAZ axis may be a potential therapeutic target for osteoclast-related osteoporosis.

Association Between Hyperuricemia and Ultrasound-Detected Hand Synovitis.

OBJECTIVE: Although hand synovitis is prevalent in the older population, the etiology remains unclear. Hyperuricemia, a modifiable metabolic disorder, may serve as an underlying mechanism of hand synovitis, but little is known about their relationship. We assessed the association between hyperuricemia and hand synovitis in a large population-based sample. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study in Longshan County, Hunan Province, China. Hyperuricemia was defined as a serum urate level >420 µmol/L in men and >360 µmol/L in women. Ultrasound examinations were performed on both hands of 4,080 participants, and both gray-scale synovitis and the Power Doppler signal (PDS) were assessed using semiquantitative scores (grades 0-3). We evaluated the association of hyperuricemia with hand gray-scale synovitis (grade ≥2) and PDS (grade ≥1), respectively, adjusting for age, sex, and body mass index. RESULTS: All required assessments for analysis were available for 3,286 participants. The prevalence of hand gray-scale synovitis was higher among participants with hyperuricemia (30.0%) than those with normouricemia (23.3%), with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR) of 1.28 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.62). Participants with hyperuricemia also had a higher prevalence of PDS (aOR 2.36; 95% CI 1.15-4.81). Furthermore, hyperuricemia positively associated, both at the hand and joint levels, with the presence of gray-scale synovitis (aOR 1.27; 95% CI 1.00-1.60 and adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] 1.26; 95% CI 1.10-1.44, respectively) and PDS (aOR 2.35; 95% CI 1.15-4.79 and aPR 2.34; 95% CI 1.28-4.30, respectively). CONCLUSION: This population-based study provides more evidence for a positive association between hyperuricemia and prevalent hand synovitis.

A colorimetric sensor based on 4-MPBA Au@AgNPs for accurately identification of EnshiYulu tea grade.

Enshi Yulu green tea (ESYL) is the most representative traditional steamed green tea in Enshi, Hubei. Different ESYL grades exhibit distinct flavors, tastes, and prices. In this study, a visual sensor based on 4-MPBA Au@AgNPs was developed for the rapid and accurate identification of ESYL grades. The recognition mechanism involved the binding of 4-MPBA Au@AgNPs with polyphenolic compounds in ESYL to form borate esters and the conversion of Ag+ to Ag0, with the generated Ag0 depositing on the surface of 4-MPBA Au@AgNPs. The results showed that the sensor can amplify the color differences of different grades of ESYL. The visual results were also validated by the partial least squares discriminant analysis model, demonstrating an enhancement in recognition accuracy from 68.2 % to 95.5 % compared to the original extraction solution. The colorimetric sensor developed in this study is expected to provide a new approach for traceability research of other foods.

Global burden of early-onset osteoarthritis, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

OBJECTIVES: Early-onset osteoarthritis (OA) is an emerging health issue amidst the escalating prevalence of overweight and obesity. However, there are scant data on its disease, economic burden and attributable burden due to high body mass index (BMI). METHODS: Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019, we examined the numbers of incident cases, prevalent cases, years lived with disability (YLDs) and corresponding age-standardised rates for early-onset OA (diagnosis before age 55) from 1990 to 2019. The case definition was symptomatic and radiographically confirmed OA in any joint. The average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) of the age-standardised rates were calculated to quantify changes. We estimated the economic burden of early-onset OA and attributable burden to high BMI. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, the global incident cases, prevalent cases and YLDs of early-onset OA were doubled. 52.31% of incident OA cases in 2019 were under 55 years. The age-standardised rates of incidence, prevalence and YLDs increased globally and for countries in all Sociodemographic Index (SDI) quintiles (all AAPCs>0, p<0.05), with the fastest increases in low-middle SDI countries. 98.04% of countries exhibited increasing trends in all age-standardised rates. Early-onset OA accounts for US$46.17 billion in healthcare expenditure and US$60.70 billion in productivity loss cost in 2019. The attributable proportion of high BMI for early-onset OA increased globally from 9.41% (1990) to 15.29% (2019). CONCLUSIONS: Early-onset OA is a developing global health problem, causing substantial economic costs in most countries. Targeted implementation of cost-effective policies and preventive intervention is required to address the growing health challenge.

Trends and benefits of early hip arthroplasty for femoral neck fracture in China: a national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Limited studies have examined the benefits of early arthroplasty within 48 h from admission to surgery for femoral neck fractures (FNFs). Using the national inpatient database, the authors aimed to investigate the trends in early arthroplasty within 48 h for FNFs in China and to assess its effect on in-hospital complications and 30-day readmission patterns. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study. Patients receiving primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) or hemiarthroplasty (HA) for FNFs in the Hospital Quality Monitoring System between 2013 and 2019 were included. After adjusting for potential confounders with propensity score matching, a logistic regression model was performed to compare the differences in in-hospital complications [i.e. in-hospital death, pulmonary embolism, deep vein thrombosis (DVT), wound infection, and blood transfusion], rates and causes of 30-day readmission between early and delayed arthroplasty. RESULTS: During the study period, the rate of early THA increased from 18.0 to 19.9%, and the rate of early HA increased from 14.7 to 18.4% ( P <0.001). After matching, 11 731 pairs receiving THA and 13 568 pairs receiving HA were included. Compared with delayed THA, early THA was associated with a lower risk of pulmonary embolism [odds ratio (OR) 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30-0.88], DVT (OR 0.59, 95% CI: 0.50-0.70), blood transfusion (OR 0.62, 95% CI: 0.55-0.70), 30-day readmission (OR 0.82, 95% CI: 0.70-0.95), and venous thromboembolism-related readmission (OR 0.50, 95% CI: 0.34-0.74). Similarly, early HA was associated with a lower risk of DVT (OR 0.70, 95% CI: 0.61-0.80) and blood transfusion (OR 0.74, 95% CI: 0.68-0.81) than delayed HA. CONCLUSION: Despite a slight increase, the rate of early arthroplasty remained at a low level in China. Given that early arthroplasty can significantly improve prognosis, more efforts are needed to optimize the procedure and shorten the time to surgery.

Phenotypes of osteoarthritis-related knee pain and their transition over time: data from the osteoarthritis initiative.

BACKGROUND: Identification of knee osteoarthritis (OA) pain phenotypes, their transition patterns, and risk factors for worse phenotypes, may guide prognosis and targeted treatment; however, few studies have described them. We aimed to investigate different pain phenotypes, their transition patterns, and potential risk factors for worse pain phenotypes. METHODS: Utilizing data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), pain severity was assessed using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain subscale. We identified the activity-related pain phenotypes and estimated the transition probabilities of pain phenotypes from baseline to the 24-month using latent transition analysis. We examined the risk factors at baseline with the 24-month pain phenotypes and the transition of pain phenotypes. RESULTS: In 4796 participants, we identified four distinct knee pain phenotypes at both baseline and 24-month follow-up: no pain, mild pain during activity (Mild P-A), mild pain during both rest and activity (Mild P-R-A), and moderate pain during both rest and activity (Mod P-R-A). 82.9% knees with no pain at baseline stayed the same at 24-month follow-up, 17.1% progressed to worse pain phenotypes. Among "Mild P-A" at baseline, 32.0% converted to no-pain, 12.8% progressed to "Mild P-R-A", and 53.2% remained. Approximately 46.1% of "Mild P-R-A" and 54.5% of "Mod P-R-A" at baseline experienced remission by 24-month. Female, non-whites, participants with higher depression score, higher body mass index (BMI), higher Kellgren and Lawrence (KL) grade, and knee injury history were more likely to be in the worse pain phenotypes, while participants aged 65 years or older and with higher education were less likely to be in worse pain phenotypes at 24-month follow-up visit. Risk factors for greater transition probability to worse pain phenotypes at 24-month included being female, non-whites, participants with higher depression score, higher BMI, and higher KL grade. CONCLUSIONS: We identified four distinct knee pain phenotypes. While the pain phenotypes remained stable in the majority of knees over 24 months period, substantial proportion of knees switched to different pain phenotypes. Several socio-demographics as well as radiographic lesions at baseline are associated with worse pain phenotypes at 24-month follow-up visit and transition of pain phenotypes.

Melatonin is a potential novel analgesic agent for osteoarthritis: Evidence from cohort studies in humans and preclinical research in rats.

Melatonin exhibits potential for pain relief and long-term safety profile. We examined the analgesic effects of oral melatonin on osteoarthritis (OA) and investigated the underlying mechanism. Using data from a UK primary care database, we conducted a cohort study in individuals with OA to compare the number of oral analgesic prescriptions and the risk of knee/hip replacement between melatonin initiators and hypnotic benzodiazepines (i.e., active comparator) initiators using quantile regression models and Cox-proportional hazard models, respectively. To elucidate causation, we examined the effects of melatonin on pain behaviors and explored several metabolites that may serve as potential regulatory agents of melatonin in the monoiodoacetate rat model of OA. Using data from another community-based cohort study, that is, the Xiangya OA Study, we verified the association between the key serum metabolite and incident symptomatic knee OA. Compared with the hypnotic benzodiazepines cohort (n = 8135), the melatonin cohort (n = 813) had significantly fewer subsequent prescriptions of oral analgesics (50th percentile: 5 vs. 7, 75th percentile: 19 vs. 29, and 99th percentile: 140 vs. 162) and experienced a lower risk of knee/hip replacement (hazard ratio = 0.47, 95% Cl: 0.30-0.73) during the follow-up period. In rats, oral melatonin alleviated pain behaviors and increased serum levels of glycine. There was an inverse association between baseline serum glycine levels and the risk of incident symptomatic knee OA in humans (n = 760). In conclusion, our findings indicate that oral melatonin shows significant potential to be a novel treatment for OA pain. The potential role of glycine in its analgesic mechanism warrants further investigation.

Age-related secretion of grancalcin by macrophages induces skeletal stem/progenitor cell senescence during fracture healing.

Skeletal stem/progenitor cell (SSPC) senescence is a major cause of decreased bone regenerative potential with aging, but the causes of SSPC senescence remain unclear. In this study, we revealed that macrophages in calluses secrete prosenescent factors, including grancalcin (GCA), during aging, which triggers SSPC senescence and impairs fracture healing. Local injection of human rGCA in young mice induced SSPC senescence and delayed fracture repair. Genetic deletion of Gca in monocytes/macrophages was sufficient to rejuvenate fracture repair in aged mice and alleviate SSPC senescence. Mechanistically, GCA binds to the plexin-B2 receptor and activates Arg2-mediated mitochondrial dysfunction, resulting in cellular senescence. Depletion of Plxnb2 in SSPCs impaired fracture healing. Administration of GCA-neutralizing antibody enhanced fracture healing in aged mice. Thus, our study revealed that senescent macrophages within calluses secrete GCA to trigger SSPC secondary senescence, and GCA neutralization represents a promising therapy for nonunion or delayed union in elderly individuals.

Secular trend of gout incidence in the UK: an age-period-cohort analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The incidence of gout in the UK appears to have declined since 2013; however, whether such a trend occurred across participants born in different years (ie, birth cohort) is unknown. We aimed to examine the effects of the birth cohort on gout incidence using an age-period-cohort (APC) model. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Nationwide data from the UK primary care database. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals between 30 and 89 years of age were included. We excluded individuals who had gout history when entering the database and individuals with less than 1 year of continuous follow-up between 1 January 1999 and 31 December 2019. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Gout was identified using READ codes assigned by general practitioners. The incidence of gout between 1999-2013 and 2011-2019 was analysed with APC model. RESULTS: The incidence of gout between 1999 and 2013 increased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted rate ratios (RRs) of incident gout increased from 0.39 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.46) in participants born in 1910-1914 to 2.36 (95% CI 2.09 to 2.66) in participants born in 1979-1983 (p for trend <0.001). In contrast, the incidence of gout between 2011 and 2019 decreased with birth cohorts. Compared with those born in 1949-1953 (reference), the age-adjusted and period-adjusted RRs of incident gout declined from 2.75 (95% CI 2.30 to 3.28) in participants born in 1922-1926 to 0.75 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.87) in participants born in 1976-1980 but then increased slightly to 0.95 (95% CI 0.77 to 1.17) in participants born in 1985-1989. CONCLUSIONS: The gout incidence between 1999 and 2013 in the UK increased with the birth cohorts and then decreased between 2011 and 2019 except for those born after 1980. Future monitoring is needed to help identify aetiological factors and guide preventive and treatment strategies for gout.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Ultrasound for Assessment of Synovial Abnormalities Among Patients With Knee Pain: A Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Synovial abnormalities, which are modifiable treatment targets for knee pain, affect ~25% of adults. Ultrasound is a safe, inexpensive, and easily accessible imaging modality for assessing synovial abnormalities, but its diagnostic accuracy is still controversial. We conducted a meta-analysis by comparing ultrasound with the "reference standard" method, ie, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), in assessing synovial abnormalities among patients with knee pain. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched from inception to January 7, 2022, to retrieve studies including patients with knee pain for evaluating 1) the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound versus MRI for synovial abnormalities (synovitis and synovial effusion) and 2) the correlations of synovial abnormalities assessed by ultrasound and MRI. The summary of diagnostic accuracy was analyzed using the bivariate model, and the correlation coefficients were pooled using the random effects model. RESULTS: Fourteen studies were included, representing a total of 755 patients. The pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve were 0.88 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.65-0.96), 0.70 (95% CI 0.51-0.84), and 0.81 (95% CI 0.77-0.84) for synovitis and 0.90 (95% CI 0.81-0.95), 0.86 (95% CI 0.77-0.92), and 0.94 (95% CI 0.91-0.96) for synovial effusion, respectively. Strong correlations between ultrasound- and MRI-diagnosed synovitis (r = 0.64, 95% CI 0.56-0.71) and synovial effusion (r = 0.63, 95% CI 0.52-0.73) were observed. CONCLUSION: Ultrasound demonstrated a promising accuracy in detecting synovial abnormalities among patients with knee pain. The use of ultrasound provides equivalent synovial information to MRI but is less expensive and more accessible. Therefore, it is recommended as an adjuvant for managing patients with knee pain during diagnostic strategy and individualized treatment decision-making.

Trends, complications, and readmission of allogeneic red blood cell transfusion in primary total hip arthroplasty in china: a national retrospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Decrease in allogenic red blood cell (RBC) transfusion rates following total hip arthroplasty (THA) has been reported in the United States, but whether other countries share the same trend remains unclear. Additionally, the relation of allogenic RBC transfusion to the risk of complications in THA remains controversial. Using the Chinese national inpatient database, the current study aimed to examine trends, complications, charges, and readmission patterns of allogeneic RBC transfusion in THA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients undergoing primary THA between 2013 and 2019 were included, and then stratified into the transfusion and the non-transfusion group based on the database transfusion records. A generalized estimating equation model was used to investigate trends in transfusion rates. After propensity-score matching, a logistic regression model was used to compare the complications, rates and causes of 30-day readmission between two groups. RESULTS: A total of 10,270 patients with transfusion and 123,476 patients without transfusion were included. Transfusion rates decreased from 19.11% in 2013 to 9.94% in 2019 (P for trend < 0.001). After matching, no significant differences in the risk of of in-hospital death (odds ratio [OR], 4.00; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.85-18.83), wound infection (OR 0.72; 95%CI 0.45-1.17), myocardial infarction (OR 1.17; 95%CI 0.62-2.19), deep vein thrombosis (OR 1.25; 95%CI 0.88-1.78), pulmonary embolism (OR 2.25; 95%CI 0.98-5.17), readmission rates (OR 1.07; 95%CI 0.88-1.30) and readmission causes were observed between two groups. However, the transfusion group had higher hospitalization charges than the non-transfusion group (72,239.89 vs 65,649.57 Chinese yuan [CNY], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: This study found that allogeneic RBC transfusion in THA was not associated with the increased risk of complications and any-cause readmission. However, the currently restrictive transfusion policy should be continued because excessive blood transfusion may increase the socioeconomic burden.

Weight Loss Induced by Antiobesity Medications and All-Cause Mortality Among Patients With Knee or Hip Osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The current guidelines recommend weight loss for patients with overweight or obesity and knee or hip osteoarthritis (OA); however, there is a paucity of data on the relation of weight loss to death among patients with OA. We aimed to examine the relation of the rate of weight loss induced by antiobesity medications over one year to all-cause mortality among patients with overweight or obesity and knee or hip OA. METHODS: Using the IQVIA Medical Research Database, we identified people with overweight or obesity and knee or hip OA. We emulated analyses of a hypothetical target trial to assess the effect of slow-to-moderate (2%-10%) or fast (≥10%) weight loss induced by the initiation of antiobesity medications within one year on all-cause mortality and secondary outcomes over five years' follow-up. RESULTS: Among 6,524 participants, the five-year all-cause mortality rates were 5.3%, 4.0%, and 5.4% for weight gain or stable, slow-to-moderate weight loss, and fast weight loss arms, respectively. Compared with the weight gain or stable arm, hazard ratios of all-cause mortality were 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-0.92) for the slow-to-moderate weight loss arm and 0.99 (95% CI 0.67-1.44) for the fast weight loss arm. We found dose-response protective effects of weight loss on incident hypertension, type 2 diabetes, and venous thromboembolism but a slightly higher risk of cardiovascular disease, albeit not statistically significant, in the fast rate of weight loss arm than in the weight gain or stable arm and no significant relations of weight loss to the risk of cancer. CONCLUSION: In this population-based study, a slow-to-moderate, but not fast, rate of weight loss induced by antiobesity medications is associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality in people with overweight or obesity and knee or hip OA.

In-hospital complications and readmission patterns in 13,937 patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip undergoing total hip arthroplasty: Evidence from the Chinese national database.

PURPOSE: Clarifying the prognosis and readmission patterns of patients with developmental dysplasia of the hip (DDH) following total hip arthroplasty (THA) would provide important references for clinical management for this population. Using the Chinese national inpatient database (i.e., Hospital Quality Monitoring System [HQMS]), we aimed to compare in-hospital complications and readmission patterns following THA in patients with DDH and primary osteoarthritis (OA). METHODS: Patients undergoing THA for DDH and OA between 2013 and 2019 were identified using the HQMS. Demographics and clinical characteristics were compared between the two groups. After propensity score matching, in-hospital complications and readmission patterns were compared using a logistic regression model. RESULTS: According to the analysis of 13,937 propensity-score matched pairs, there were no significant differences in the incidence of in-hospital death (0.01 % vs 0.04 %, P = 0.142), transfusion (8.09 % vs 7.89 %, P = 0.536), wound infection (0.31 % vs 0.25 %, P = 0.364), deep venous thrombosis (0.45 % vs 0.43 %, P = 0.786), pulmonary embolism (0.03 % vs 0.05 %, P = 0.372) or all-cause readmission (2.87 % vs 3.12 %, P = 0.219) between two groups. However, DDH patients had higher surgical readmission rates than OA patients (1.43 % vs 1.14 %, P = 0.033). When analyzing causes of surgical readmission, DDH patients had increased risk of dislocation (0.37 % vs 0.21 %, P = 0.011) and aseptic loosening (0.17 % vs 0.07 %, P = 0.024) than OA patients. CONCLUSION: DDH patients had an increased risk of surgical readmission following THA, mainly driven by dislocation and aseptic loosening, which should be recognized and appropriately prevented.

Development and validation of an interpretable Markov-embedded multilabel model for predicting risks of multiple postoperative complications among surgical inpatients: a multicenter prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: When they encounter various highly related postoperative complications, existing risk evaluation tools that focus on single or any complications are inadequate in clinical practice. This seriously hinders complication management because of the lack of a quantitative basis. An interpretable multilabel model framework that predicts multiple complications simultaneously is urgently needed. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The authors included 50 325 inpatients from a large multicenter cohort (2014-2017). The authors separated patients from one hospital for external validation and randomly split the remaining patients into training and internal validation sets. A MARKov-EmbeDded (MARKED) multilabel model was proposed, and three models were trained for comparison: binary relevance, a fully connected network (FULLNET), and a deep neural network. Performance was mainly evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The authors interpreted the model using Shapley Additive Explanations. Complication-specific risk and risk source inference were provided at the individual level. RESULTS: There were 26 292, 6574, and 17 459 inpatients in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. For the external validation set, MARKED achieved the highest average AUC (0.818, 95% CI: 0.771-0.864) across eight outcomes [compared with binary relevance, 0.799 (0.748-0.849), FULLNET, 0.806 (0.756-0.856), and deep neural network, 0.815 (0.765-0.866)]. Specifically, the AUCs of MARKED were above 0.9 for cardiac complications [0.927 (0.894-0.960)], neurological complications [0.905 (0.870-0.941)], and mortality [0.902 (0.867-0.937)]. Serum albumin, surgical specialties, emergency case, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, age, and sex were the six most important preoperative variables. The interaction between complications contributed more than the preoperative variables, and formed a hierarchical chain of risk factors, mild complications, and severe complications. CONCLUSION: The authors demonstrated the advantage of MARKED in terms of performance and interpretability. The authors expect that the identification of high-risk patients and the inference of the risk source for specific complications will be valuable for clinical decision-making.

Association between hyperuricaemia and hand osteoarthritis: data from the Xiangya Osteoarthritis Study.

OBJECTIVE: The pathogenesis of hand osteoarthritis (OA) remains unknown. Hyperuricaemia, which is related to inflammation, may play a role in hand OA, but evidence is lacking. In a large population-based study, we examined the association between hyperuricaemia and hand OA. METHODS: Participants were from the Xiangya OA Study, a community-based observational study. Hyperuricaemia was defined as serum urate >416 µmol/L in men and >357 µmol/L in women. Radiographic hand OA (RHOA) was defined as presence of the modified Kellgren-Lawrence grade ≥2 in any hand joint. Symptomatic hand OA (SHOA) was defined as presence of both self-reported symptoms and RHOA in the same hand. The associations of hyperuricaemia with RHOA or SHOA were examined using generalised estimating equations. RESULTS: Among 3628 participants, the prevalence of RHOA was higher in participants with hyperuricaemia than those with normouricaemia (26.9% vs 20.9%), with an adjusted OR (aOR) of 1.34 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.61). The associations were consistent in men (aOR 1.33, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.74) and women (aOR 1.35, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.74). Hyperuricaemia was mainly associated with bilateral RHOA (aOR 1.54, 95% CI 1.18 to 2.01) but not unilateral RHOA (aOR 1.13, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.45). Prevalence of SHOA was higher, although statistically insignificant, in participants with hyperuricaemia (aOR 1.39, 95% CI 0.94 to 2.07). CONCLUSION: In this population-based study, hyperuricaemia was associated with a higher prevalence of hand OA. Future prospective studies are required to investigate the temporal relationship. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04033757.

Gut-joint axis in knee synovitis: gut fungal dysbiosis and altered fungi-bacteria correlation network identified in a community-based study.

OBJECTIVES: Knee synovitis is a highly prevalent and potentially curable condition for knee pain; however, its pathogenesis remains unclear. We sought to assess the associations of the gut fungal microbiota and the fungi-bacteria correlation network with knee synovitis. METHODS: Participants were derived from a community-based cross-sectional study. We performed an ultrasound examination of both knees. A knee was defined as having synovitis if its synovium was ≥4 mm and/or Power Doppler (PD) signal was within the knee synovium area (PD synovitis). We collected faecal specimens from each participant and assessed gut fungal and bacterial microbiota using internal transcribed spacer 2 and shotgun metagenomic sequencing. We examined the relation of α-diversity, ß-diversity, the relative abundance of taxa and the interkingdom correlations to knee synovitis. RESULTS: Among 977 participants (mean age: 63.2 years; women: 58.8%), 191 (19.5%) had knee synovitis. ß-diversity of the gut fungal microbiota, but not α-diversity, was significantly associated with prevalent knee synovitis. The fungal genus Schizophyllum was inversely correlated with the prevalence and activity (ie, control, synovitis without PD signal and PD synovitis) of knee synovitis. Compared with those without synovitis, the fungi-bacteria correlation network in patients with knee synovitis was smaller (nodes: 93 vs 153; edges: 107 vs 244), and the average number of neighbours was fewer (2.3 vs 3.2). CONCLUSION: Alterations of gut fungal microbiota and the fungi-bacteria correlation network are associated with knee synovitis. These novel findings may help understand the mechanisms of the gut-joint axis in knee synovitis and suggest potential targets for future treatment.

Combining single-cell RNA sequencing and population-based studies reveals hand osteoarthritis-associated chondrocyte subpopulations and pathways.

Hand osteoarthritis is a common heterogeneous joint disorder with unclear molecular mechanisms and no disease-modifying drugs. In this study, we performed single-cell RNA sequencing analysis to compare the cellular composition and subpopulation-specific gene expression between cartilage with macroscopically confirmed osteoarthritis (n = 5) and cartilage without osteoarthritis (n = 5) from the interphalangeal joints of five donors. Of 105 142 cells, we identified 13 subpopulations, including a novel subpopulation with inflammation-modulating potential annotated as inflammatory chondrocytes. Fibrocartilage chondrocytes exhibited extensive alteration of gene expression patterns in osteoarthritic cartilage compared with nonosteoarthritic cartilage. Both inflammatory chondrocytes and fibrocartilage chondrocytes showed a trend toward increased numbers in osteoarthritic cartilage. In these two subpopulations from osteoarthritic cartilage, the ferroptosis pathway was enriched, and expression of iron overload-related genes, e.g., FTH1, was elevated. To verify these findings, we conducted a Mendelian randomization study using UK Biobank and a population-based cross-sectional study using data collected from Xiangya Osteoarthritis Study. Genetic predisposition toward higher expression of FTH1 mRNA significantly increased the risk of hand osteoarthritis (odds ratio = 1.07, 95% confidence interval: 1.02-1.11) among participants (n = 332 668) in UK Biobank. High levels of serum ferritin (encoded by FTH1), a biomarker of body iron overload, were significantly associated with a high prevalence of hand osteoarthritis among participants (n = 1 241) of Xiangya Osteoarthritis Study (P-for-trend = 0.037). In conclusion, our findings indicate that inflammatory and fibrocartilage chondrocytes are key subpopulations and that ferroptosis may be a key pathway in hand osteoarthritis, providing new insights into the pathophysiology and potential therapeutic targets of hand osteoarthritis.

Association between gut microbiome-related metabolites and symptomatic hand osteoarthritis in two independent cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Since gut microbiome dysbiosis can cause inflammatory disorders by affecting host metabolism, we postulate that the gut microbiome and related metabolites could play a role in hand osteoarthritis. We characterised gut microbiome-related metabolites in people with symptomatic hand osteoarthritis (SHOA) in two independent cohorts. METHODS: Using data collected from a large-sample community-based observational study (discovery cohort), we assessed the relations of the microbial function and plasma key metabolites related to altered microbial function with SHOA. Finally, we verified the relations of plasma metabolites to SHOA in an independent observational study (validation cohort). FINDINGS: In the discovery cohort (n = 1359), compared to those without SHOA, participants with SHOA had significantly altered microbial functions related to tryptophan metabolism (Q = 0.025). Therefore we measured the plasma tryptophan metabolites and found that participants with SHOA had higher levels of 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid (odds ratio [OR] = 1.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09-1.42) and 5-hydroxytryptophol (OR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.04-1.23), but lower levels of indole-3-lactic acid (ILA) (OR = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.72-1.00), skatole (OR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.88-0.99) and 3-hydroxyanthranilic acid (OR = 0.90, 95% CI: 0.85-0.96). Findings from the validation cohort (n = 142) verified that lower levels of ILA were related to SHOA (OR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.53-0.92). INTERPRETATION: Alterations of the microbial function of tryptophan biosynthesis and tryptophan metabolites, especially lower levels of ILA, are associated with SHOA. These findings suggest the role of the microbiome and tryptophan metabolites in developing of SHOA and may contribute to future translational opportunities. FUNDING: National Key Research and Development Plan and National Natural Science Foundation of China.