Onset of schizophrenia diagnoses in a large clinical cohort.

We aimed to describe the diagnostic patterns preceding and following the onset of schizophrenia diagnoses in outpatient clinics. A large clinical sample of 26,163 patients with a diagnosis of schizophrenia in at least one outpatient visit was investigated. We applied a Continuous Time Hidden Markov Model to describe the probability of transition from other diagnoses to schizophrenia considering time proximity. Although the most frequent diagnoses before schizophrenia were anxiety and mood disorders, direct transitions to schizophrenia usually came from psychotic-spectrum disorders. The initial diagnosis of schizophrenia was not likely to change for two of every three patients if it was confirmed some months after its onset. When not confirmed, the most frequent alternative diagnoses were personality, affective or non-schizophrenia psychotic disorders. Misdiagnosis or comorbidity with affective, anxiety and personality disorders are frequent before and after the diagnosis of schizophrenia. Our findings give partial support to a dimensional view of schizophrenia and emphasize the need for longitudinal assessment.

Distinguishing the relevant features of frequent suicide attempters.

BACKGROUND: In spite of the high prevalence of suicide behaviours and the magnitude of the resultant burden, little is known about why individuals reattempt. We aim to investigate the relationships between clinical risk factors and the repetition of suicidal attempts. METHODS: 1349 suicide attempters were consecutively recruited in the Emergency Room (ER) of two academic hospitals in France and Spain. Patients were extensively assessed and demographic and clinical data obtained. Data mining was used to determine the minimal number of variables that blinded the rest in relation to the number of suicide attempts. Using this set, a probabilistic graph ranking relationships with the target variable was constructed. RESULTS: The most common diagnoses among suicide attempters were affective disorders, followed by anxiety disorders. Risk of frequent suicide attempt was highest among middle-aged subjects, and diminished progressively with advancing age of onset at first attempt. Anxiety disorders significantly increased the risk of presenting frequent suicide attempts. Pathway analysis also indicated that frequent suicide attempts were linked to greater odds for alcohol and substance abuse disorders and more intensive treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Novel statistical methods found several clinical features that were associated with a history of frequent suicide attempts. The identified pathways may promote new hypothesis-driven studies of suicide attempts and preventive strategies.

Nucleotide variation in central nervous system genes among male suicide attempters.

Despite marked morbidity and mortality associated with suicidal behavior, accurate identification of individuals at risk remains elusive. The goal of this study is to identify a model based on single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that discriminates between suicide attempters and non-attempters using data mining strategies. We examined functional SNPs (n = 840) of 312 brain function and development genes using data mining techniques. Two hundred seventy-seven male psychiatric patients aged 18 years or older were recruited at a University hospital psychiatric emergency room or psychiatric short stay unit. The main outcome measure was history of suicide attempts. Three SNPs of three genes (rs10944288, HTR1E; hCV8953491, GABRP; and rs707216, ACTN2) correctly classified 67% of male suicide attempters and non-attempters (0.50 sensitivity, 0.82 specificity, positive likelihood ratio = 2.80, negative likelihood ratio = 1.64). The OR for the combined three SNPs was 4.60 (95% CI: 1.31-16.10). The model's accuracy suggests that in the future similar methodologies may generate simple genetic tests with diagnostic utility in identification of suicide attempters. This strategy may uncover new pathophysiological pathways regarding the neurobiology of suicidal acts.

Maximization of mutual information for supervised linear feature extraction.

In this paper, we present a novel scheme for linear feature extraction in classification. The method is based on the maximization of the mutual information (MI) between the features extracted and the classes. The sum of the MI corresponding to each of the features is taken as an heuristic that approximates the MI of the whole output vector. Then, a component-by-component gradient-ascent method is proposed for the maximization of the MI, similar to the gradient-based entropy optimization used in independent component analysis (ICA). The simulation results show that not only is the method competitive when compared to existing supervised feature extraction methods in all cases studied, but it also remarkably outperform them when the data are characterized by strongly nonlinear boundaries between classes.