Cardiac Magnetic Resonance, Electromechanical Activation, Kidney Function, and Natriuretic Peptides in Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Upgrades.

As the mechanism for worse prognosis after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) upgrades in heart failure patients with RVP dependence (RVP-HF) has clinical implications for patient selection and CRT implementation approaches, this study's objective was to evaluate prognostic implications of cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) findings and clinical factors in 102 HF patients (23.5% female, median age 66.5 years old, median follow-up 4.8 years) with and without RVP dependence undergoing upgrade and de novo CRT implants. Compared with other CRT groups, RVP-HF patients had decreased survival (p = 0.02), more anterior late-activated LV pacing sites (p = 0.002) by CMR, more atrial fibrillation (p = 0.0006), and higher creatinine (0.002). CMR activation timing at the LV pacing site predicted post-CRT LV functional improvement (p < 0.05), and mechanical activation onset < 34 ms by CMR at the LVP site was associated with decreased post-CRT survival in a model with higher pre-CRT creatinine and B-type natriuretic peptide (AUC 0.89; p < 0.0001); however, only the higher pre-CRT creatinine partially mediated (37%) the decreased survival in RVP-HF patients. In conclusion, RVP-HF had a distinct CMR phenotype, which has important implications for the selection of LV pacing sites in CRT upgrades, and only chronic kidney disease mediated the decreased survival after CRT in RVP-HF.

Predicting 1-Year Mortality in Outpatients With Heart Failure With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction: Do Empiric Models Outperform Physician Intuitive Estimates? A Multicenter Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Many studies have demonstrated that physicians often err in estimating patient prognosis. No studies have directly compared physician to model predictive performance in heart failure (HF). We aimed to compare the accuracy of physician versus model predictions of 1-year mortality. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study on 11 HF clinics in 5 provinces in Canada included consecutive consented outpatients with HF with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%). By collecting clinical data, we calculated predicted 1-year mortality using the Seattle HF Model (SHFM), the Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic HF score, and the HF Meta-Score. HF cardiologists and family doctors, blinded to model predictions, estimated patient 1-year mortality. During 1-year follow-up, we recorded the composite end point of mortality, urgent ventricular assist device implant, or heart transplant. We compared physicians and model discrimination (C statistic), calibration (observed versus predicted event rate), and risk reclassification. RESULTS: The study included 1643 patients with ambulatory HF with a mean age of 65 years, 24% female, and mean left ventricular ejection fraction of 28%. Over 1-year follow-up, 9% had an event. The SHFM had the best discrimination (SHFM C statistic 0.76; HF Meta-Score 0.73; Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure 0.70) and calibration. Physicians' discrimination differed little (0.75 for HF cardiologists and 0.73 for family doctors) but both physician groups substantially overestimated risk by >10% in both low- and high-risk patients (poor calibration). In risk reclassification analysis, among patients without events, the SHFM better classified 51% in comparison to HF cardiologists and 43% in comparison to family doctors. In patients with events, the SHFM erroneously assigned lower risk to 44% in comparison to HF cardiologists and 34% in comparison to family doctors. CONCLUSIONS: Family doctors and HF cardiologists showed adequate risk discrimination, with however substantial overestimation of absolute risk. Predictive models showed higher accuracy. Incorporating models in family and HF cardiology practices may improve patient care and resource use in HF with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT04009798.

Beta-blocker use and mortality among patients with systolic heart failure and pacemaker rhythm.

AIMS: Beta-blockers are proven to improve survival among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. Their efficacy in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and pacemaker devices has not been demonstrated. Our aim was to test the hypothesis that beta-blocker therapy is associated with improved survival in patients with chronic heart failure and a pacemaker rhythm on electrocardiogram (ECG). METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a post hoc analysis from the GISSI-HF randomized clinical trial. We evaluated efficacy of beta-blockers by creating Cox proportional hazards models adjusting for pacemaker rhythm and heart rate, among other variables. Interactions between pacemaker rhythm, heart rate, and beta-blocker were also examined. Of the 6975 patients enrolled in the GISSI-HF trial, 813 (11.7%) had a pacemaker rhythm on baseline ECG. Of these 813 patients, 511 (62.9%) were receiving beta-blocker therapy. The effect of beta-blocker therapy on mortality was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards adjusted for 27 co-variates. In the whole cohort, beta-blocker therapy was significantly associated with reduced mortality (hazard ratio 0.79 [0.72-0.87], P < 0.001), without interaction between beta-blockers, pacemaker rhythm and heart rate. Beta-blocker therapy was beneficial in the sub-group restricted to baseline pacemaker rhythm (hazard ratio 0.62 [0.49-0.79], P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Beta-blocker therapy is associated with improved survival among patients with heart failure and a pacemaker rhythm on ECG. Further studies are necessary to analyse differences between atrial and ventricular pacemakers.

Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure: A 20-Year Perspective From a Mediterranean Cohort.

BACKGROUND: The prediction of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure (HF) remains an unmet need. The aim of our study was to assess the prevalence of SCD over 20 years in outpatients with HF managed in a Mediterranean multidisciplinary HF Clinic, and to compare the proportion of SCD (SCD/all-cause death) to the expected proportional occurrence based on the validated Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) score. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective observational registry study included 2772 outpatients with HF admitted between August 2001 and May 2021. Patients were included when the cause of death was known and SPRM score was available. Over the 20-year study period, 1351 patients (48.7%) died during a median follow-up period of 3.8 years (interquartile range 1.6-7.6). Among these patients, the proportion of SCD out of the total of deaths was 13.6%, whereas the predicted by SPRM was 39.6%. This lower proportion of SCD was observed independently of left ventricular ejection fraction, ischemic etiology, and the presence of an implantable cardiac defibrillator. CONCLUSIONS: In a Mediterranean cohort of outpatients with HF, the proportion of SCD was lower than expected based on the SPRM score. Future studies should investigate to what extend epidemiological and guideline-directed medical therapy patterns influence SCD.

Design of the remede System Therapy (reST) study: A prospective non-randomized post-market study collecting clinical data on safety and effectiveness of the remede system for the treatment of central sleep apnea.

BACKGROUND: Central sleep apnea (CSA) is a disorder defined by lack of respiratory drive from the brain stem on breathing efforts. There is a lack of established therapies for CSA and most available therapies are limited by poor patient adherence, limited randomized controlled studies, and potentially adverse cardiovascular effects. The remede System (ZOLL Respicardia, Inc., Minnetonka, Minnesota) uses transvenous phrenic nerve stimulation to stimulate the diaphragm, thereby restoring a more normal breathing pattern throughout the sleep period. METHODS: The remede System Therapy (reST) Study is a prospective non-randomized multicenter international study evaluating long-term safety and effectiveness of the remede System in the post-market setting. Up to 500 adult patients with moderate to severe CSA will be enrolled and followed up to 5 years at approximately 50 sites in the United States and Europe. Safety objectives include evaluation of adverse events related to the implant procedure, device or delivered therapy, death, and hospitalizations. Effectiveness endpoints include assessment of changes in sleep-disordered breathing metrics from polysomnograms and home sleep tests, changes in daytime sleepiness using the Epworth Sleepiness Scale, and changes in QoL using the PROMIS-29 and Patient Global Assessment questionnaires. The subgroup of patients with heart failure will undergo additional assessments including echocardiography to assess cardiac reverse remodeling, 6-min walk distance, QoL assessment by Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire and measurement of biomarkers. CONCLUSION: This will be the largest prospective study evaluating long-term safety and effectiveness of transvenous phrenic nerve stimulation for the treatment of moderate to severe CSA in adult patients.

Survival Probability and Survival Benefit Associated With Primary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Generator Changes.

Background As patients derive variable benefit from generator changes (GCs) of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) with an original primary prevention (PP) indication, better predictors of outcomes are needed. Methods and Results In the National Cardiovascular Data Registry ICD Registry, patients undergoing GCs of initial non-cardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs in 2012 to 2016, predictors of post-GC survival and survival benefit versus control heart failure patients without ICDs were assessed. These included predicted annual mortality based on the Seattle Heart Failure Model, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35%, and the probability that a patient's death would be arrhythmic (proportional risk of arrhythmic death [PRAD]). In 40 933 patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs (age 67.7±12.0 years, 24.5% women, 34.1% with LVEF >35%), Seattle Heart Failure Model-predicted annual mortality had the greatest effect size for decreased post-GC survival (P<0.0001). Patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF >35% had a lower Seattle Heart Failure Model-adjusted survival versus 23 472 control heart failure patients without ICDs (model interaction hazard ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.11-1.31]). In patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchonization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF ≤35%, the model indicated worse survival versus controls in the 21% of patients with a PRAD <43% and improved survival in the 10% with PRAD >65%. The association of the PRAD with survival benefit or harm was similar in patients with or without pre-GC ICD therapies. Conclusions Patients who received replacement of an ICD originally implanted for primary prevention and had at the time of GC either LVEF >35% alone or both LVEF ≤35% and PRAD <43% had worse survival versus controls without ICDs.

Mortality Risk Prediction Dynamics After Heart Failure Treatment Optimization: Repeat Risk Assessment Using Online Risk Calculators.

Objectives: Heart failure (HF) management has significantly improved over the past two decades, leading to better survival. This study aimed to assess changes in predicted mortality risk after 12 months of management in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Materials and Methods: Out of 1,032 consecutive HF outpatients admitted from March-2012 to November-2018, 357 completed the 12-months follow-up and had N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NTproBNP), high sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT), and interleukin-1 receptor-like-1 (known as ST2) measurements available both at baseline and follow-up. Three contemporary risk scores were used: MAGGIC-HF, Seattle HF Model (SHFM), and the Barcelona Bio-HF (BCN Bio-HF) calculator, which incorporates the three above mentioned biomarkers. The predicted risk of all-cause death at 1 and 3 years was calculated at baseline and re-evaluated after 12 months. Results: A significant decline in predicted 1-and 3-year mortality risk was observed at 12 months: MAGGIC ~16%, SHFM ~22% and BCN Bio-HF ~15%. In the HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) subgroup guideline-directed medical therapy led to a complete normalization of left ventricular ejection fraction (≥50%) in almost a third of the patients and to a partial normalization (41-49%) in 30% of them. Repeated risk assessment after 12 months with SHFM and BCN Bio-HF provided adequate discrimination for all-cause 3-year mortality (C-Index: MAGGIC-HF 0.762, SHFM 0.781 and BCN Bio-HF 0.791). Conclusion: Mortality risk declines in patients with HF managed for 12 months in a multidisciplinary HF clinic. Repeating the mortality risk assessment after optimizing the HF treatment is recommended, particularly in the HFrEF subgroup.

Predictors of primary prevention implantable cardioverter-defibrillator use in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction: impact of the predicted risk of sudden cardiac death and all-cause mortality.

AIMS: Use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is limited. We aimed to investigate barriers to ICD use in HFrEF while considering the predicted risk of mortality and SCD. METHOD AND RESULTS: Patients from the SwedeHF registered in 2011-2018 and with an indication for primary prevention ICD were analysed. The Seattle Proportional Risk and Seattle Heart Failure Models were used to predict the proportional SCD and all-cause mortality risk, respectively. A multivariable logistic regression model was fitted to identify independent predictors of ICD use/non-use; Cox regression models to evaluate the interaction between predicted SCD/mortality risk and ICD use for mortality. Of 13 475 patients, only 15.5% had an ICD. Those with higher predicted proportional SCD risk (>45%) had an ∼80% higher likelihood to have an ICD. Other predictors of non-use were follow-up in primary versus specialty care, higher comorbidity burden and lower socioeconomic status. ICD use was associated with lower mortality only in patients with higher predicted SCD and lower mortality risk (34% and 37% relative risk reduction for 3-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively). In this subgroup of patients, underuse of ICD was 81.8%. CONCLUSION: In a contemporary registry, only 15.5% of patients with an indication for primary prevention ICD received the device. While a high predicted proportional SCD risk was appropriately linked to ICD use, the lack of specialized follow-up, higher comorbidity burden, and lower socioeconomic status were major unjustified impediments to implementation. Our findings suggest areas for improving ICD use for primary prevention of SCD in clinical practice.

Long-Term Outcomes and Risk Stratification of Patients With Heart Failure With Recovered Ejection Fraction.

This study aimed to understand the long-term outcomes of patients with heart failure with recovered ejection fraction, identify predictors of adverse events, and develop a risk stratification model. From an academic healthcare system, we retrospectively identified 133 patients (median age 66, 38% female, 30% ischemic etiology) who had an improvement in left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) from <40% to ≥53%. Significant predictors of all-cause mortality, hospitalization, and future reduction in LVEF were identified through Cox regression analysis. Kaplan-Meier survival was 70% at 5 years. Freedom from hospitalization was 58% at 1 year, and the risk of future LVEF reduction to <40% was 28% at 3 years. Diuretic dose and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) at the time of LVEF recovery were the strongest predictors of mortality and hospitalization in multivariate-adjusted analysis (BNP hazard ratio 1.13 per 100 pg/ml increase [p <0.01]; furosemide-equivalent dose hazard ratio 1.19 per 40 mg increase [p = 0.02]). An all-cause mortality Cox proportional hazard risk model incorporating New York Heart Association functional class, BNP and diuretic dose at the time of recovery showed excellent risk discrimination (c-statistic 0.79) and calibration. In conclusion, patients with heart failure with recovered ejection fraction have heterogenous clinical outcomes and are not "cured." A risk model using New York Heart Association functional class, BNP, and diuretic dose can accurately stratify mortality risk.

An updated systematic review on heart failure treatments for patients with renal impairment: the tide is not turning.

Advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) frequently aggravates heart failure (HF). However, these patients have inherently been excluded from most HF trials. We aim to provide updated estimates of the representation of patients with advanced CKD and the provision of baseline renal function indices in HF trials with a focused interest on the landmark trials. Updated systematic review was performed from the inception of MEDLINE to 31 December 2019 to identify all chronic HF randomized trials published in the three major cardiology and medical journals, respectively, which included mortality endpoint. The included studies were analysed based on the representativeness of the advanced CKD population and the reporting of baseline renal function. A total of 187 eligible randomized trials with 322,374 participants were included in our analysis. One hundred and six trials (56.7%) had exclusion criteria related to renal function, which remained a continuing trend-55.1% (27/49) from inception-2000, 53.4% (39/73) from 2001-2010 and 61.5% (40/65) from 2011 (P = 0.64). The exclusion criteria, however, have become less restrictive. There was a temporal improvement in the likelihood of HF trials in providing baseline renal function indices (28.6% from inception-2000 versus 53.4% from 2001-2010 and 83.1% from 2011, P < 0.001). Concordant findings were observed in the landmark trials. Patients with advanced CKD remain underrepresented in HF trials in the contemporary era, even though the exclusion criteria have become less restrictive, and the quality of renal function monitoring has improved. The continued underrepresentation of patients with advanced CKD in HF trials merits measured broadening of eligibility in further trial studies.

Lack of Association Between Neurohormonal Blockade and Survival in Transthyretin Cardiac Amyloidosis.

Background Despite the belief that heart failure therapies are not effective in transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis, data are limited. We tested the association of neurohormonal blockade use with survival. Methods and Results A total of 309 consecutive patients with transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis were identified. Medication inventory was obtained at baseline and subsequent visits. Exposure included a neurohormonal blockade class (ß-blocker [ßB], angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker, and mineralocorticoid antagonist) at baseline and subsequent visits. ßB was modeled as baseline use, time-varying use, and in an inverse probability treatment weighted model. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality analyzed with adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Continuing compared with stopping ßB during follow-up was tested. Mean age was 73.2 years, 84.1% were men, and 17.2% had atrial fibrillation/flutter at baseline. At the time of study entry, 49.8% were on ßBs, 35.0% were on angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers, and 23.9% were on mineralocorticoid antagonists. For the total cohort, there was a trend toward harm in the unadjusted model for baseline ßB use, but this was neutral after adjustment. When ßB use was analyzed as a time-varying exposure, there was no association with mortality. ßB discontinuation was associated with decreased mortality for the total cohort. Findings were consistent in inverse probability treatment weighted models. For angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker or mineralocorticoid antagonist use, there was no association with mortality after adjustment for the total cohort. Conclusions There was no association of neurohormonal blockade use with survival in transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis. For the total cohort, deprescribing ßB may be associated with improved survival. Additional studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Head-to-head comparison of contemporary heart failure risk scores.

AIMS: Several heart failure (HF) web-based risk scores are currently used in clinical practice. Currently, we lack head-to-head comparison of the accuracy of risk scores. This study aimed to assess correlation and mortality prediction performance of Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC-HF) risk score, which includes clinical variables + medications; Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM), which includes clinical variables + treatments + analytes; PARADIGM Risk of Events and Death in the Contemporary Treatment of Heart Failure (PREDICT-HF) and Barcelona Bio-Heart Failure (BCN-Bio-HF) risk calculator, which also include biomarkers, like N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1166 consecutive patients with HF from different aetiologies that had NT-proBNP measurement at first visit were included. Discrimination for all-cause mortality was compared by Harrell's C-statistic from 1 to 5 years, when possible. Calibration was assessed by calibration plots and Hosmer-Lemeshow test and global performance by Nagelkerke's R2 . Correlation between scores was assessed by Spearman rank test. Correlation between the scores was relatively poor (rho value from 0.66 to 0.79). Discrimination analyses showed better results for 1-year mortality than for longer follow-up (SHFM 0.817, MAGGIC-HF 0.801, PREDICT-HF 0.799, BCN-Bio-HF 0.830). MAGGIC-HF showed the best calibration, BCN-Bio-HF overestimated risk while SHFM and PREDICT-HF underestimated it. BCN-Bio-HF provided the best discrimination and overall performance at every time-point. CONCLUSIONS: None of the contemporary risk scores examined showed a clear superiority over the rest. BCN-Bio-HF calculator provided the best discrimination and overall performance with overestimation of risk. MAGGIC-HF showed the best calibration, and SHFM and PREDICT-HF tended to underestimate risk. Regular updating and recalibration of online web calculators seems necessary to improve their accuracy as HF management evolves at unprecedented pace.

Sudden cardiac death after acute decompensation in heart failure patients: implications of discharge haemoglobin levels.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) patients have a high risk of mortality due to sudden cardiac death (SCD) and non-SCD, including pump failure death (PFD). Anaemia predicts more severe symptomatic burden and higher morbidity, as noted by markedly increased hospitalizations and readmission rates, and mortality, underscoring its importance in HF management. Herein, we aimed to determine whether haemoglobin (Hb) level at discharge affects the mode of death and influences SCD risk prediction. METHODS: We evaluated the data of 3020 consecutive acute HF patients from a Japanese prospective multicentre registry. Patients were divided into four groups based on discharge Hb levels. SCD was defined as an unexpected and otherwise unexplained death in a previously stable patient or death due to documented or presumed cardiac arrhythmia without a clear non-cardiovascular cause. The mode of death (SCD, PFD or other cause) was adjudicated by a central committee. Finally, we investigated whether adding Hb level to the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM; established risk score utilized to estimate 'proportion' of SCD among death events) would affect its performance. RESULTS: The mean age of studied patients was 74.3 ± 12.9 years, and 59.8% were male. The mean Hb level was 12.0 ± 2.1 g/dL (61.3% of patients had anaemia defined by World Health Organization criteria). During the 2-year follow-up, 474 deaths (15.7%) occurred, including 93 SCDs (3.1%), 171 PFDs (5.7%) and 210 other deaths (7.0%; predominantly non-cardiac death). Absolute risk of PFD (P < 0.001) or other death (P < 0.001) increased along with the severity of anaemia, whereas the incidence of SCD was low but remained consistent across all four groups (P = 0.440). As a proportion of total deaths in each Hb level group, the contributions from non-SCD increased and from SCD decreased along with anaemia severity (P = 0.007). Adding Hb level to the SPRM improved the overall discrimination (c-index: 0.62 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.69] to 0.65 [95% CI 0.59-0.71]), regardless of the baseline ejection fraction (EF) (c-index: 0.64 [95% CI 0.55-0.73] to 0.67 [95% CI 0.58-0.75] for reduced EF and 0.55 [95% CI 0.45-0.66] to 0.61 [95% CI 0.52-0.70] for preserved EF). CONCLUSIONS: The discharge Hb level provides information about both absolute and proportional risks for each mode of death in acute HF patients, and the addition of Hb level improves the performance of SPRM by identifying more non-SCD cases. Future 'proportional' SCD risk models should incorporate Hb level as a covariate to meet this high performance.

Treating symptoms and reversing remodelling: clinical and echocardiographic 1-year outcomes with percutaneous mitral annuloplasty for mild to moderate secondary mitral regurgitation.

AIMS: To determine the effects of percutaneous mitral annuloplasty on symptoms, walk distance and left ventricular (LV) structure and function in patients with mild or moderate secondary mitral regurgitation (SMR). METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a pooled analysis of patients (n = 68) who, despite guideline-directed medical therapy had symptomatic heart failure (HF) with mild (n = 25) or moderate (n = 43) SMR treated with percutaneous mitral annuloplasty as part of the TITAN, TITAN II, or REDUCE-FMR trials. Primary outcomes were changes in symptoms, 6-min walk distance, and quality of life assessed by the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) after 1 year. Secondary analyses included changes in LV structure and function. At 1 year, New York Heart Association class status was maintained (48%) or improved (46%) in most patients, mean KCCQ scores increased from baseline by 10 units [95% confidence interval (CI) 3 to17; P < 0.01] and mean 6-min walk test distance increased by 34 m (95% CI 12 to 57; P < 0.01). SMR grade improved in 25% of patients and was maintained in 58% of patients with changes in mean regurgitant volume of -7 mL (95% CI -11 to -3; P < 0.001), vena contracta -0.11 cm (95% CI -0.20 to -0.02; P < 0.05), and effective regurgitant orifice area -0.03 cm2 (95% CI -0.06 to -0.01; P < 0.05). There were non-significant improvements in LV ejection fraction and volumes. Survival over 1 year was 89% with no difference between mild (96%) and moderate (86%) SMR (log-rank P = 0.22). Progression-free survival was 70% (82% in mild vs. 63% in moderate SMR; P = 0.16). Freedom from HF hospitalization was 73% (87% in mild SMR vs. 66% in moderate SMR; P = 0.07). CONCLUSION: Among patients with symptomatic HF and mild or moderate SMR on guideline-directed medical therapy, percutaneous mitral annuloplasty was associated with improvements in symptoms, SMR, a stabilization of LV structure and function, and high survival rates.

Cost-effectiveness of left ventricular assist devices as destination therapy in the United Kingdom.

AIMS: Continuous-flow left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) as destination therapy (DT) are a recommended treatment by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence England for end-stage heart failure patients ineligible for cardiac transplantation. Despite the fact that DT is frequently used as an LVAD indication across other major European countries and the United States, with consistent improvements in quality-of-life and longevity, National Health Service (NHS) England does not currently fund DT, mainly due to concerns over cost-effectiveness. On the basis of the recently published ENDURANCE Supplemental Trial studying DT patients, we assessed for the first time the cost-effectiveness of DT LVADs compared with medical management (MM) in the NHS England. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed a Markov multiple-state economic model using NHS cost data. LVAD survival and adverse event rates were derived from the ENDURANCE Supplemental Trial. MM survival was based on Seattle Heart Failure Model estimates in the absence of contemporary clinical trials for this population. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated over a lifetime horizon. A discount rate of 3.5% per year was applied to costs and benefits. Deterministic ICER was £46 207 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Costs and utilities were £204 022 and 3.27 QALYs for the LVAD arm vs. £77 790 and 0.54 QALYs for the MM arm. Sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness of the primary analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The implantation of the HeartWare™ HVAD™ System in patients ineligible for cardiac transplantation as DT is a cost-effective therapy in the NHS England healthcare system under the end-of-life willingness-to-pay threshold of £50 000/QALY, which applies for VAD patients.

The association between heart failure and incident cancer in women: an analysis of the Women's Health Initiative.

AIMS: There is conflicting evidence whether heart failure (HF) is a risk factor for incident cancer. Despite population-based cohorts demonstrating this association, an analysis of the Physician's Health Study found no association in a cohort of mostly healthy males. We investigated the association of HF with incident cancer among a large cohort of post-menopausal women. METHODS AND RESULTS: A prospective cohort study of 146 817 post-menopausal women age 50 to 79 years enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative from 1993-1998, and followed through 2015. The primary exposure was adjudicated incident HF diagnosis, including preserved and reduced ejection fraction in a sub-cohort. The primary outcome was adjudicated incident total and site-specific cancers. Hazard ratios were calculated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models. Over a median follow-up of 8.4 years, 3272 and 17 474 women developed HF and cancer, respectively. HF developed in 235 women prior to cancer. HF was associated with subsequent incident cancer [hazard ratio (HR) 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11-1.48]. Associations were observed for obesity-related cancers (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.02-1.51), as well as lung and colorectal cancers (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.09-2.30 and HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.02-2.27, respectively). HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.06-1.67), but not HF reduced ejection fraction (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.74-1.34), was associated with total cancer. CONCLUSION: Heart failure was associated with an increase in cancer diagnoses in post-menopausal women. This association was strongest for lung cancer. Further research is needed to appreciate the underlying mechanisms responsible for this association.

Functional outcomes with Carillon device over 1 year in patients with functional mitral regurgitation of Grades 2+ to 4+: results from the REDUCE-FMR trial.

AIMS: The objective of this study was to compare functional outcomes through 1 year in patients with core-lab verified moderate to severe (Grades 2+ to 4+) functional mitral regurgitation (FMR) treated with the Carillon device or control in the blinded sham-controlled REDUCE-FMR (Carillon Mitral Contour System for Reducing Functional Mitral Regurgitation) study. METHODS AND RESULTS: The main outcomes of this analysis were the change in 6 min walk test (6MWT) distance, incidence of heart failure hospitalization or death, change in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class, and change in Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ) score through 1 year of follow-up. The minimum clinically important difference (MCID) was defined as a ≥30 m increase in 6MWT distance, an NYHA decrease in ≥1 class, and a ≥3 point increase in KCCQ score. The proportion of patients achieving the MCID in each treatment group was compared using Fisher's exact test, and the number needed to treat (NNT) with the Carillon device was calculated. Among 83 patients (62 Carillon and 21 sham), no statistically significant group differences were observed in the baseline characteristics. All outcomes at 1 year numerically favoured the Carillon group, including MCID for the 6MWT distance (59% vs. 23%, P = 0.029; NNT = 2.8), NYHA class (48% vs. 33%, P = 0.38; NNT = 6.9), KCCQ score (69% vs. 47%, P = 0.14; NNT = 4.5), and freedom from heart failure hospitalization or death (60% vs. 48%, P = 0.45; NNT = 8.3). CONCLUSIONS: REDUCE-FMR was the first blinded sham-controlled trial to report outcomes with percutaneous therapy for the treatment of FMR. Trends towards improvement in mean 6MWT distance, KCCQ score, and NYHA class were observed with the Carillon device. A substantially higher number of patients achieved MCID for all patient-centred outcomes with the Carillon device compared with the sham procedure.