Reliability of Intestinal Ultrasound for Evaluating Crohn's Disease Activity Using Point-of-care and Central Reading.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Intestinal ultrasound (IUS) is increasingly used to assess Crohn's disease (CD) activity in clinical practice. However, application in clinical trials has been limited by heterogeneous scoring methods and concerns about reliability. We aimed to determine the inter- and intra-rater reliability of locally and centrally read IUS parameters for evaluating CD using prospectively performed scans. METHODS: Twenty-four participants with CD and 6 gastroenterologists participated in a 2-day workshop where each participant underwent 6 IUS scans in total. Eight IUS parameters (bowel wall thickness [BWT], bowel wall stratification [BWS], color Doppler signal [CDS], inflammatory mesenteric fat [i-fat], submucosal prominence, submucosal layer thickness, haustra coli/peristalsis, and affected segment length) and an overall measure of sonographic disease activity were blindly assessed by the 6 local readers and 4 central gastroenterologist-sonographers. Reliability was quantified using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). Institutional review board approval was granted for this study (12938). RESULTS: Five IUS parameters demonstrated at least moderate (ICC ≥0.41) inter- and intra-rater reliability when local and central reading was performed (BWT, CDS, i-fat, submucosal prominence, and affected segment length). Reliability was generally better with central, in distinction to local, reading. ICCs for BWS and i-fat were highest when evaluated as binary outcomes. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that IUS parameters are most reliable when evaluated in the worst affected segment. Fair reliability was observed when local readers identified the worst affected segment. CONCLUSIONS: Local and central reading of IUS demonstrated at least moderate inter- and intra-rater reliability for several parameters. This study supports refining existing activity indices and incorporating IUS central reading into clinical trials.

Identifying a therapeutic window of opportunity for people living with primary sclerosing cholangitis: Embryology and the overlap of inflammatory bowel disease with immune-mediated liver injury.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a variably progressive, fibrosis-causing autoimmune disorder of the intrahepatic and extrahepatic bile ducts of unclear etiology. PSC is commonly (in 60%-90% of cases) associated with an inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) like PSC-IBD and less commonly with an autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) like PSC-AIH or AIH-overlap disorder. Hepatologists and Gastroenterologists often consider these combined conditions as distinctly different from the classical forms in isolation. Here, we review recent epidemiologic observations and highlight that PSC-IBD and PSC-AIH overlap appear to represent aspects of a common PSC clinico-pathological pathway and manifest in an age-of-presentation-dependent manner. Particularly from the pediatric experience, we hypothesize that all cases of PSC likely originate from a complex "Early PSC"-"IBD"-"AIH" overlap in which PSC defines the uniquely and variably associated "AIH" and "IBD" components along an individualized lifetime continuum. We speculate that a distinctly unique, "diverticular autoimmunity" against the embryonic cecal- and hepatic diverticulum-derived tissues may be the origin of this combined syndrome, where "AIH" and "IBD" variably commence then variably fade while PSC progresses with age. Our hypothesis provides an explanation for the age-dependent variation in the presentation and progression of PSC. This is critical for the optimal targeting of studies into PSC etiopathogenesis and emphasizes the concept of a "developmental window of opportunity for therapeutic mitigation" in what is currently recognized as an irreversible disease process. The discovery of such a window would be critically important for the targeting of interventions, both the administration of current therapies and therapeutic trial planning.

Shear-wave elastography for monitoring Fontan-associated liver disease: A prospective cohort study.

The spectrum of Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) varies from abnormal liver function tests to fibrosis and even cirrhosis. In this prospective study, we evaluated the role of shear-wave elastography (SWE) in predicting the presence of advanced FALD. Forty-eight patients (30 males, 13.9 [6-21] years) with a Fontan circulation were evaluated at 8.3 (2.1-18.7) years since the Fontan surgery. The median liver stiffness measurement (LSM) value was higher than values in normal children at 15.4 (9.5-38.7) kPa. The LSMs had a weak but significant correlation with age at the time of LSM (r = 0.25, p = 0.01) and duration post-Fontan surgery (r = 0.31, p = 0.02). It had a poor correlation with the concomitant aspartate transaminase-to-platelet ratio index (r = 0.1, p = 0.39). No difference in the elastography values between children with and without ultrasound evidence of advanced liver disease (17.7 [interquartile range, IQR: 4] vs. 16.1 [IQR: 6], p = 0.62] was observed. Further studies are required to determine the precise role of SWE as a noninvasive marker of liver fibrosis in FALD.

Recommendations for Standardizing MRI-based Evaluation of Perianal Fistulizing Disease Activity in Pediatric Crohn's Disease Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND: Perianal fistulas and abscesses occur commonly as complications of pediatric Crohn's disease (CD). A validated imaging assessment tool for quantification of perianal disease severity and activity is needed to evaluate treatment response. We aimed to identify magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based measures of perianal fistulizing disease activity and study design features appropriate for pediatric patients. METHODS: Seventy-nine statements relevant to MRI-based assessment of pediatric perianal fistulizing CD activity and clinical trial design were generated from literature review and expert opinion. Statement appropriateness was rated by a panel (N = 15) of gastroenterologists, radiologists, and surgeons using modified RAND/University of California Los Angeles appropriateness methodology. RESULTS: The modified Van Assche Index (mVAI) and the Magnetic Resonance Novel Index for Fistula Imaging in CD (MAGNIFI-CD) were considered appropriate instruments for use in pediatric perianal fistulizing disease clinical trials. Although there was concern regarding the use of intravascular contrast material in pediatric patients, its use in clinical trials was considered appropriate. A clinically evident fistula tract and radiologic disease defined as at least 1 fistula or abscess on pelvic MRI were considered appropriate trial inclusion criteria. A coprimary clinical and radiologic end point and inclusion of a patient-reported outcome were also considered appropriate. CONCLUSION: Outcomes of treatment of perianal fistulizing disease in children must include MRI. Existing multi-item measures, specifically the mVAI and MAGNIFI-CD, can be adapted and used for children. Further research to assess the operating properties of the indices when used in a pediatric patient population is ongoing.

IBD barriers across the continents: a continent-specific analysis - Australasia.

Australasia, encompassing Australia, New Zealand, and Papua New Guinea, has some of the highest prevalence's of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in the world. The way IBD medicine is practiced varies between and within these countries. There are numerous shared issues of IBD care between Australia and New Zealand, whereas Papua New Guinea has its' own unique set of circumstances. This review looks to explore some of the barriers to IBD care across the continent from the perspective of local IBD healthcare professionals. Barriers to IBD care that are explored include access to IBD multidisciplinary teams, provision of nutritional-based therapies, the prevalence and engagement of IBD-associated mental health disorders, access to medicine, access to endoscopy, rural barriers to care, Indigenous IBD care and paediatric issues. We look to highlight areas where improvements to IBD care across Australasia could be made as well as address research needs.

Risk factors for more rapid progression of severe liver fibrosis in children with cystic fibrosis-related liver disease: A multi-center study validated by liver biopsy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Early identification of risk factors for the development of severe fibrosis in children with cystic fibrosis-related liver disease (CFLD) is crucial as promising therapies emerge. METHODS: This multi-center cohort study of children with a priori defined CFLD from 1999 to 2016, was designed to evaluate the clinical utility of CF-specific characteristics and liver biomarkers assessed years prior to liver biopsy-proven CFLD to predict risk of developing severe fibrosis (F3-4) over time. Fibrosis was staged by Metavir classification. RESULTS: The overall study cohort of 42 patients (F0-2 (n = 22) and F3-4 (n = 20)) was 57% male (n = 24) with median age of 7.6 years at baseline visit versus 10.3 years at biopsy. Median FEV1 % predicted was lower in F3-4 participants at baseline versus F0-2 (59% vs. 85%; p = .002), while baseline FIB-4, APRI and GGT were higher in F3-4. Median splits for FIB-4 (≥.13), APRI (≥.36), GPR (≥.09), GGT (≥25.5), and FEV1 % (<64%) were associated with more rapid progression to F3-4 (p < .01 for all). Using a combination of change/year in FIB-4, APRI, and GPR to predict F3-4, the AUROC was .81 (95% CI, .66, .96; p < .0001). For up to 5.8 years prior, thresholds for GPR were met 6.5-fold more rapidly, and those for APRI and FIB-4 were met 2.5-fold more rapidly, in those who progressed to F3-4 than those that did not. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests mild-moderate pulmonary dysfunction and higher liver biomarker indices at baseline may be associated with faster progression of CFLD.

Characterization of CFTR mutations in people with cystic fibrosis and severe liver disease who are not eligible for CFTR modulators.

Cystic-fibrosis-related liver disease (CFLD) is a variable phenotype of CF. The severe CFLD variant with cirrhosis or portal hypertension has a poor prognosis and life expectancy. CFTR modulator therapies are now available for people with CF and eligibility for such treatment is based on their CFTR genotype. We evaluated the genetic eligibility for elexacaftor, tezacaftor, ivacaftor (ETI), and ivacaftor (IVA) monotherapy in a previously reported CF cohort of 1591 people with CF of whom 171 with severe CFLD. Based on their CFTR mutations, 13% (N=184/1420) of subjects without CFLD and 11% (N=19/171) of those with severe CFLD are not eligible for either ETI or IVA therapy. The non-eligible patients without CFLD or with severe CFLD can currently not take advantage of the potential benefits of these new treatments. Although this study cannot provide any data regarding the effect of ETI or IVA on the progression of severe CFLD, the consequences for ineligibility of patients with extreme liver phenotype may be even more significant because of their poorer disease risk profile.

Hepatocellular carcinoma requiring liver transplantation in hereditary tyrosinemia type 1 despite nitisinone therapy and α1-fetoprotein normalization.

BACKGROUND: Hereditary tyrosinemia type 1 is a rare metabolic condition associated with an increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma. Nitisinone (2-[2-nitro-4-trifluoromethylbenzoyl]-1,3-cyclohexanedione, NTBC) treatment has reduced but not eliminated the risk. The delayed initiation of nitisinone treatment, and persistently abnormal α1-fetoprotein (AFP) levels are recognized to be risk factors for late-onset hepatocellular carcinoma. We report three children diagnosed and treated with nitisinone since infancy who developed hepatocellular carcinoma despite long-term normalization of AFP. METHODS: A retrospective review of all patients with tyrosinemia on nitisinone managed at our center was undertaken. Patient demographics, age at diagnosis, duration of therapy, timing of AFP normalization, and radiographic imaging findings were noted. RESULTS: Three patients at our center with tyrosinemia type 1 developed hepatocellular carcinoma 9-13 years after diagnosis despite long-term nitisinone therapy and normalization of AFP. Two patients developed new nodules on imaging with an elevation of AFP leading to the diagnosis and subsequent liver transplant. The third patient proceeded with liver transplant because of a very nodular liver and increasing splenomegaly despite normal AFP and no change in surveillance gadoxetate magnetic resonance imaging. Early hepatocellular carcinoma was found in her liver explant. All three patients were cirrhotic at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with hereditary tyrosinemia type 1, especially those already cirrhotic at diagnosis, remain at high risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma despite long-term nitisinone therapy and AFP normalization, and warrant close monitoring and surveillance.

Gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio as a biomarker of liver disease and hepatic fibrosis severity in paediatric Cystic Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Cystic fibrosis (CF)-associated liver disease (CFLD) causes significant morbidity and mortality in children with CF. Diagnosis of liver disease prior to development of cirrhosis or portal hypertension (PHT) is challenging. While imaging modalities using Elastography show great promise they are still not widely available to all clinicians. This study investigated gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) as a non-invasive biomarker to detect liver disease and stage fibrosis severity in children with CF. METHODS: 237 children were enroled including 76 with CFLD and 161 with CF and no detectable liver disease (CFnoLD). CFLD was diagnosed using standard clinical, biochemical and imaging practice guidelines. Hepatic fibrosis was staged on liver biopsies available from 54 children with CFLD. Serum liver biochemistry was used to calculate GPR (median, [IQR]) and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis assessed utility to detect liver disease and stage fibrosis severity. RESULTS: GPR was significantly increased in CFLD versus CFnoLD (0.33 [0.19-0.96] vs. 0.15 [0.11-0.21], P<0.0001). GPR demonstrated good diagnostic utility for detecting CFLD with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 (95% confidence Interval [CI] [0.75-0.87]; P<0.0001), with sensitivity of 74% and specificity of 73%, using a cut-off of 0.20. GPR increased with increasing hepatic fibrosis stage. GPR discriminated both moderate-advanced (F2-F4) fibrosis vs. F0-F1 (AUC=0.82; 95%CI [0.71-0.94]; P<0.0001) and advanced (F3-F4) fibrosis vs. F0-F2 (AUC=0.77; 95%CI [0.64-0.90]; P = 0.004), with a cut-off 0.32 and 0.61, respectively. An elevated GPR of >0.84 was predictive of PHT at diagnosis of CFLD (AUC=0.81; 95%CI [0.67-0.95]; P = 0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: GPR demonstrates good diagnostic utility for assessing the presence of liver disease, PHT and hepatic fibrosis severity in children with CF. These findings will aid in better identification of patients at risk for CF-related liver involvement and the potential for more targeted and timely follow-up and treatment.

Advanced but not mild liver disease is a predictor of decreased survival in children with cystic fibrosis, with far greater impact in females: A 27-year real-life cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Improved survival of children with CF has increased our need to understand the relevance of cystic fibrosis-associated liver disease (CFLD). We assessed the impact of liver disease and disease severity on the survival of children with cystic fibrosis. METHODS: A real life, single center cohort study with 27 years follow up was conducted. Mild CFLD was diagnosed as children with abnormal serum liver function tests and abnormal ultrasound. Advanced CFLD was established by detection of cirrhosis or portal hypertension. A directed acyclic graph, Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Cox regression analysis were used to model survival. RESULTS: 290 patients were enrolled, 48 (16.5%) had mild CFLD and 55 (19%) had advanced CFLD. Ten children with advanced CFLD and 1 with mild CFLD died. Based on the KM analysis, the mean (SE) overall survival age of all CF children was 29.1 years (0.50). The mean (SE) survival among females with advanced CFLD was 24.7 years (1.58) compared to 30.4 years (0.66) for females without advanced CFLD (p = 0.0027). Advanced CFLD was a predictor of decreased survival when adjusted for sex and diabetes (HR 2.54, 95%CI 1.05-6.15, p = 0.039). Mild CFLD was not associated with decreased survival. The effect of advanced CFLD on survival was mainly borne by females (HR = 6.37, 95%CI 1.62-25.06 vs. males, HR = 1.00, 95%CI 0.25-4.01). CONCLUSION: Advanced but not mild CFLD was associated with an increased risk of death when adjusted for sex and diabetes, and resulted in premature death in females with cystic fibrosis by approximately 6 years.

Ursodeoxycholic acid and liver disease associated with cystic fibrosis: A multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) for the treatment of liver disease associated with cystic fibrosis (CF) are under discussion, and clinical practice varies among centers. The study aimed at evaluating if the incidence of severe liver disease differs between CF centers routinely prescribing or not prescribing UDCA. METHODS: We carried out a retrospective multicenter cohort study including 1591 CF patients (1192 patients from UDCA-prescribing centers and 399 from non-prescribing centers) born between 1990 and 2007 and followed from birth up to 31 December 2016. We computed the crude cumulative incidence (CCI) of portal hypertension (PH) at the age of 20 years in the two groups and estimated the subdistribution hazard ratio (HR) through a Fine and Gray model. RESULTS: Over the observation period, 114 patients developed PH: 90 (7.6%) patients followed-up in UDCA prescribing centers and 24 (6.0%) in non-prescribing centers. The CCI of PH at 20 years was 10.1% (95% CI: 7.9-12.3) in UDCA-prescribing and 7.7% (95% CI: 4.6-10.7) in non-prescribing centers. The HR among patients followed in prescribing centers indicated no significant difference in the rate of PH either in the unadjusted model (HR: 1.21, 95% CI: 0.69-2.11) or in the model adjusted for pancreatic insufficiency (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 0.77-2.12). CONCLUSIONS: CF patients followed-up in UDCA prescribing centers did not show a lower incidence of PH as compared to those followed in centers not prescribing UDCA. These results question the utility of UDCA in reducing the occurrence of severe liver disease in CF.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in patients with inflammatory bowel disease.

BACKGROUND: The current COVID-19 pandemic, caused by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), has drastically impacted societies worldwide. Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is expected to play a key role in the management of this pandemic. Inflammatory conditions such as inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) often require chronic immunosuppression, which can influence vaccination decisions. AIM: This review article aims to describe the most commonly available SARS-CoV-2 vaccination vectors globally, assess the potential benefits and concerns of vaccination in the setting of immunosuppression and provide medical practitioners with guidance regarding SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in patients with IBD. METHODS: All published Phase 1/2 and/or Phase 3 and 4 studies of SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations were reviewed. IBD international society position papers, safety registry data and media releases from pharmaceutical companies as well as administrative and medicines regulatory bodies were included. General vaccine evidence and recommendations in immunosuppressed patients were reviewed for context. Society position papers regarding special populations, including immunosuppressed, pregnant and breast-feeding individuals were also evaluated. Literature was critically analysed and summarised. RESULTS: Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is supported in all adult, non-pregnant individuals with IBD without contraindication. There is the potential that vaccine efficacy may be reduced in those who are immunosuppressed; however, medical therapies should not be withheld in order to undertake vaccination. SARS-CoV-2 vaccines are safe, but data specific to immunosuppressed patients remain limited. CONCLUSIONS: SARS-CoV-2 vaccination is essential from both an individual patient and community perspective and should be encouraged in patients with IBD. Recommendations must be continually updated as real-world and trial-based evidence emerges.

Standardisation of intestinal ultrasound scoring in clinical trials for luminal Crohn's disease.

BACKGROUND: Intestinal ultrasound (IUS) is a valuable tool for assessment of Crohn's disease (CD). However, there is no widely accepted luminal disease activity index. AIMS: To identify appropriate IUS protocols, indices, items, and scoring methods for measurement of luminal CD activity and integration of IUS in CD clinical trials. METHODS: An expert international panel of adult and paediatric gastroenterologists (n = 15) and radiologists (n = 3) rated the appropriateness of 120 statements derived from literature review and expert opinion (scale of 1-9) using modified RAND/UCLA methodology. Median panel scores of 1 to ≤3.5, >3.5 to <6.5 and ≥6.5 to 9 were considered inappropriate, uncertain and appropriate ratings respectively. The statement list and survey results were discussed prior to voting. RESULTS: A total of 91 statements were rated appropriate with agreement after two rounds of voting. Items considered appropriate measures of disease activity were bowel wall thickness (BWT), vascularity, stratification and mesenteric inflammatory fat. There was uncertainty if any of the existing IUS disease activity indices were appropriate for use in CD clinical trials. Appropriate trial applications for IUS included patient recruitment qualification when diseased segments cannot be adequately assessed by ileocolonoscopy and screening for exclusionary complications. At outcome assessment, remission endpoints including BWT and vascularity, with or without mesenteric inflammatory fat, were considered appropriate. Components of an ideal IUS disease activity index were identified based upon panel discussions. CONCLUSIONS: The panel identified appropriate component items and applications of IUS for CD clinical trials. Empiric evidence, and development and validation of an IUS disease activity index are needed.

Assessment of Disease-related Knowledge Among Children With Inflammatory Bowel Disease and their Family Using IBD-KID2: Evaluating Tool Generalizability.

Children with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and their families benefit from improved knowledge of their disease and treatment. Knowledge levels of individual family members are infrequently studied but may identify where education is best directed. We aimed to assess disease-specific knowledge among children with IBD, parents, and siblings, using a validated assessment tool (IBD-KID2), and to establish generalizability of IBD-KID2. Methods: Children with IBD and family members were recruited from tertiary IBD clinics in New Zealand, Australia, and Canada. All participants completed IBD-KID2 online at baseline, and the children with IBD again after 2 weeks to assess reliability. Results: Participants included 130 children with IBD, 118 mothers, 55 fathers, and 37 siblings. Children with IBD had a mean score of 9.1 (SD 2.9) (maximum 15 points), significantly lower than parents (P < 0.005) and higher than siblings (P < 0.005). Scores of children with IBD were positively associated with current age (P < 0.005), age at diagnosis (P = 0.04) and fathers education level (P = 0.02). Significant score correlations were seen between children with IBD and their mother (P < 0.005) but not father. Sibling scores were not correlated with either parent. Test-retest reliability was high. The cohorts from each country were comparable, and no difference in group scores was seen between countries. Conclusion: IBD-KID2 is a generalizable and reliable tool for the assessment of disease and treatment knowledge for children with IBD and their families. Score correlations between parents and children with IBD suggest transfer of knowledge, but sibling knowledge is low and targeted education may be beneficial.

Predicting Outcomes in Pediatric Crohn's Disease for Management Optimization: Systematic Review and Consensus Statements From the Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Ahead Program.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: A better understanding of prognostic factors within the heterogeneous spectrum of pediatric Crohn's disease (CD) should improve patient management and reduce complications. We aimed to identify evidence-based predictors of outcomes with the goal of optimizing individual patient management. METHODS: A survey of 202 experts in pediatric CD identified and prioritized adverse outcomes to be avoided. A systematic review of the literature with meta-analysis, when possible, was performed to identify clinical studies that investigated predictors of these outcomes. Multiple national and international face-to-face meetings were held to draft consensus statements based on the published evidence. RESULTS: Consensus was reached on 27 statements regarding prognostic factors for surgery, complications, chronically active pediatric CD, and hospitalization. Prognostic factors for surgery included CD diagnosis during adolescence, growth impairment, NOD2/CARD15 polymorphisms, disease behavior, and positive anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibody status. Isolated colonic disease was associated with fewer surgeries. Older age at presentation, small bowel disease, serology (anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibody, antiflagellin, and OmpC), NOD2/CARD15 polymorphisms, perianal disease, and ethnicity were risk factors for penetrating (B3) and/or stenotic disease (B2). Male sex, young age at onset, small bowel disease, more active disease, and diagnostic delay may be associated with growth impairment. Malnutrition and higher disease activity were associated with reduced bone density. CONCLUSIONS: These evidence-based consensus statements offer insight into predictors of poor outcomes in pediatric CD and are valuable when developing treatment algorithms and planning future studies. Targeted longitudinal studies are needed to further characterize prognostic factors in pediatric CD and to evaluate the impact of treatment algorithms tailored to individual patient risk.

Predicting Outcomes in Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis for Management Optimization: Systematic Review and Consensus Statements From the Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease-Ahead Program.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: A better understanding of prognostic factors in ulcerative colitis (UC) could improve patient management and reduce complications. We aimed to identify evidence-based predictors for outcomes in pediatric UC, which may be used to optimize treatment algorithms. METHODS: Potential outcomes worthy of prediction in UC were determined by surveying 202 experts in pediatric UC. A systematic review of the literature, with selected meta-analysis, was performed to identify studies that investigated predictors for these outcomes. Multiple national and international meetings were held to reach consensus on evidence-based statements. RESULTS: Consensus was reached on 31 statements regarding predictors of colectomy, acute severe colitis (ASC), chronically active pediatric UC, cancer and mortality. At diagnosis, disease extent (6 studies, N = 627; P = .035), Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index score (4 studies, n = 318; P < .001), hemoglobin, hematocrit, and albumin may predict colectomy. In addition, family history of UC (2 studies, n = 557; P = .0004), extraintestinal manifestations (4 studies, n = 526; P = .048), and disease extension over time may predict colectomy, whereas primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) may be protective. Acute severe colitis may be predicted by disease severity at onset and hypoalbuminemia. Higher Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index score and C-reactive protein on days 3 and 5 of hospital admission predict failure of intravenous steroids. Risk factors for malignancy included concomitant diagnosis of primary sclerosing cholangitis, longstanding colitis (>10 years), male sex, and younger age at diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: These evidence-based consensus statements offer predictions to be considered for a personalized medicine approach in treating pediatric UC.