[Survival analysis of AIDS patients in Liangshan prefecture, Sichuan province from 1995 to 2012].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the survival time and its related factors among AIDS patients in Liangshan prefecture of Sichuan province from 1995 to 2012. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the information of 5 263 AIDS patients. The data were collected from Chinese HIV/AIDS Comprehensive Information Management System. Life table method was applied to calculate the survival proportion, and Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportion hazard regression model were used to identify the factors related to survival time. RESULTS: Among 5 273 AIDS patients, 819 (15.6%)died of AIDS related diseases; 2 782(52.9%) received antiretroviral therapy. The average survival time was 126.7 (117.1-136.2) months, and the survival rate in 1, 5, 10, 15 years were 95.4%, 78.8%, 54.2%, and 31.8% respectively. Univariate analysis showed a significant difference in survival time of age diagnosed as AIDS patients, nationality, transmission route, AIDS phase, CD4(+)T cell counts in the last testing, receiving antiretroviral therapy or not. Multivariate Cox regression showed age diagnosed AIDS below 50 years old ( < 15 years old:HR = 0.141, 95%CI:0.036-0.551;15-49 years old:HR = 0.343, 95%CI:0.241-0.489), HIV infection diagnosed phase (HR = 0.554, 95%CI:0.432-0.709), CD4(+)T cell counts last testing ≥ 350/µl (HR = 0.347, 95%CI:0.274-0.439) reduced the risk of dying of AIDS related diseases among AIDS patients. The patients having not received antiretroviral therapy had a higher risk of death(HR = 3.478, 95%CI:2.943-4.112) compared to those who received antiretroviral therapy. CONCLUSION: Survival time of AIDS patients was possibly mainly influenced by the age of diagnosed as AIDS patients, AIDS phase, CD4(+)T cell counts and whether or not received antiretroviral therapy. The early initiation of antiretroviral therapy could extend the survival time.

[Survival analysis on AIDS patients undergoing antiretroviral treatment, Liangshan prefecture, Sichuan province].

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the survival time and its impact factors among AIDS patients who initially received antiretroviral treatment (ART) in Liangshan prefecture during 2004-2012. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the information of AIDS patients who initially received ART. Data on patients was collected from the Chinese AIDS Antiretroviral Therapy DATAFax Information System. Life table was applied to calculate the survival proportion, and Cox proportion hazard regression model was used to identify impact factors that were related to the time of survival. RESULTS: Among 5 525 AIDS patients who initially received ART, the median age was (34.5± 9.0) year old, with 73.9% being males, 65.8% were infected through injecting drug use, time from HIV tested HIV positive to starting ART was (23.0±20.1) months. 287 cases died of AIDS related diseases, and their median time of receiving ART was (12.7±10.6) months, and 32.8% of them died within the first 6 months of treatment. Cumulative survival rates of the patients who had received ART in 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 years were 97%, 93%, 89%, 88%, 84%, respectively. Results from multivariate Cox regression showed that female patients who received ART were at a lower risk to the death of AIDS related diseases(HR = 0.556, 95%CI:0.367-0.872), when compared to the males. Patients infected with HIV through injecting drug use were at a higher risk to death (HR = 1.569, 95% CI:1.061-2.321) when compared to those who were infected through heterosexual transmission. Patients with baseline CD4(+) T cells counts at <50 cells/mm(3) (HR = 11.996, 95% CI: 6.714-21.435) or 50-200 cells/mm(3) (HR = 2.481, 95%CI:1.620-3.798) were at a higher risk to death than those with CD4(+)T cell counts ≥350 cells/mm(3). Patients without pulmonary tuberculosis were at a lower risk to death(HR = 0.511, 95% CI:0.330-0.791)when compared to those with pulmonary tuberculosis a year before starting the treatment. CONCLUSION: Antiretroviral treatment could prolong the survival time of AIDS patients and with a better rate on survival. Programs on follow-up and CD4(+)T cell counts for AIDS patients should be conducted regularly, as well as timely initiated the antiretroviral therapy.