Brain Networks and Adolescent Alcohol Use.

Importance: Alcohol misuse in adolescence is a leading cause of disability and mortality in youth and is associated with higher risk for alcohol use disorder. Brain mechanisms underlying risk of alcohol misuse may inform prevention and intervention efforts. Objective: To identify neuromarkers of alcohol misuse using a data-driven approach, with specific consideration of neurodevelopmental sex differences. Design, Setting, and Participants: Longitudinal multisite functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data collected at ages 14 and 19 years were used to assess whole-brain patterns of functional organization associated with current and future alcohol use risk as measured by the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test (AUDIT). Primary data were collected by the IMAGEN consortium, a European multisite study of adolescent neurodevelopment. Model generalizability was further tested using data acquired in a single-site study of college alcohol consumption conducted in the US. The primary sample was a developmental cohort of 1359 adolescents with neuroimaging, phenotyping, and alcohol use data. Model generalizability was further assessed in a separate cohort of 114 individuals. Main Outcomes and Measures: Brain-behavior model accuracy, as defined by the correspondence between model-predicted and actual AUDIT scores in held-out testing data, Bonferroni corrected across the number of models run at each time point, 2-tailed α < .008, as determined via permutation testing. Results: Among 1359 individuals in the study, the mean (SD) age was 14.42 (0.40) years, and 729 individuals (54%) were female. The data-driven, whole-brain connectivity approach identified networks associated with vulnerability for future and current AUDIT-defined alcohol use risk (primary outcome, as specified above, future: ρ, 0.22; P < .001 and present: ρ, 0.27; P < .001). Results further indicated sex divergence in the accuracies of brain-behavior models, such that female-only models consistently outperformed male-only models. Specifically, female-only models identified networks conferring vulnerability for future and current severity using data acquired during both reward and inhibitory fMRI tasks. In contrast, male-only models were successful in accurately identifying networks using data acquired during the inhibitory control-but not reward-task, indicating domain specificity of alcohol use risk networks in male adolescents only. Conclusions and Relevance: These data suggest that interventions focusing on inhibitory control processes may be effective in combating alcohol use risk in male adolescents but that both inhibitory and reward-related processes are likely of relevance to alcohol use behaviors in female adolescents. They further identify novel networks of alcohol use risk in youth, which may be used to identify adolescents who are at risk and inform intervention efforts.

Elevated C-reactive protein mediates the liver-brain axis: a preliminary study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic liver diseases of all etiologies exist along a spectrum with varying degrees of hepatic fibrosis. Despite accumulating evidence implying associations between liver fibrosis and cognitive functioning, there is limited research exploring the underlying neurobiological factors and the possible mediating role of inflammation on the liver-brain axis. METHODS: Using data from the UK Biobank, we examined the cross-sectional association of liver fibrosis (as measured by Fibrosis-4 score) with cognitive functioning and regional grey matter volumes (GMVs) while adjusting for numerous covariates and multiple comparisons. We further performed post-hoc preliminary analysis to investigate the mediating effect of C-reactive protein (CRP) on the association between liver fibrosis and both cognitive functioning and GMVs. FINDINGS: We analysed behaviour from up to 447,626 participants (N ranged from 45,055 to 447,533 per specific cognitive metric) 37 years and older. 38,244 participants (age range 44-82 years) had GMV data collected at a median 9-year follow-up. Liver fibrosis showed significant associations with cognitive performance in reasoning, working memory, visual memory, prospective memory, executive function, and processing speed. Subgroup analysis indicated larger effects sizes for symbol digital substitution but smaller effect sizes for trail making in middle-aged people than their old counterparts. Neuroimaging analyses revealed significant associations between liver fibrosis and reduced regional GMVs, primarily in the hippocampus, thalamus, ventral striatum, parahippocampal gyrus, brain stem, and cerebellum. CRP levels were significantly higher in adults with advanced liver fibrosis than those without, indicating an elevated systemic inflammation. Moreover, the serum CRP significantly mediated the effect of liver fibrosis on most cognitive measures and regional GMVs in the hippocampus and brain stem. INTERPRETATION: This study provides a well-powered characterization of associations between liver fibrosis, cognitive impairment, and grey matter atrophy. It also highlights the possibly mediating role of systemic inflammation on the liver-brain axis. Early surveillance and prevention of liver diseases may reduce cognitive decline and brain GMV loss. FUNDING: National Science Foundation, and National Institutes of Health.

Cross Atlas Remapping via Optimal Transport (CAROT): Creating connectomes for different atlases when raw data is not available.

Open-source, publicly available neuroimaging datasets - whether from large-scale data collection efforts or pooled from multiple smaller studies - offer unprecedented sample sizes and promote generalization efforts. Releasing data can democratize science, increase the replicability of findings, and lead to discoveries. Partly due to patient privacy, computational, and data storage concerns, researchers typically release preprocessed data with the voxelwise time series parcellated into a map of predefined regions, known as an atlas. However, releasing preprocessed data also limits the choices available to the end-user. This is especially true for connectomics, as connectomes created from different atlases are not directly comparable. Since there exist several atlases with no gold standards, it is unrealistic to have processed, open-source data available from all atlases. Together, these limitations directly inhibit the potential benefits of open-source neuroimaging data. To address these limitations, we introduce Cross Atlas Remapping via Optimal Transport (CAROT) to find a mapping between two atlases. This approach allows data processed from one atlas to be directly transformed into a connectome based on another atlas without the need for raw data access. To validate CAROT, we compare reconstructed connectomes against their original counterparts (i.e., connectomes generated directly from an atlas), demonstrate the utility of transformed connectomes in downstream analyses, and show how a connectome-based predictive model can generalize to publicly available data that was processed with different atlases. Overall, CAROT can reconstruct connectomes from an extensive set of atlases - without needing the raw data - allowing already processed connectomes to be easily reused in a wide range of analyses while eliminating redundant processing efforts. We share this tool as both source code and as a stand-alone web application (http://carotproject.com/).

Associations of physical frailty with health outcomes and brain structure in 483 033 middle-aged and older adults: a population-based study from the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: Physical frailty is a state of increased vulnerability to stressors and is associated with serious health issues. However, how frailty affects and is affected by numerous other factors, including mental health and brain structure, remains underexplored. We aimed to investigate the mutual effects of frailty and health using large, multidimensional data. METHODS: For this population-based study, we used data from the UK Biobank to examine the pattern and direction of association between physical frailty and 325 health-related measures across multiple domains, using linear mixed-effect models and adjusting for numerous confounders. Participants were included if complete data were available for all five indicators of frailty, all covariates, and at least one health measure. We further examined the association between frailty and brain structure and the role of this association in mediating the relationship between frailty and health outcomes. FINDINGS: 483 033 participants aged 38-73 years were included in the study at baseline (between Dec 19, 2006, and Oct 1, 2010); at a median follow-up of 9 years (IQR 8-10), behavioural data were available for 46 501 participants and neuroimaging data for 40 210 participants. The severity of physical frailty was significantly associated with decreased cognitive performance (Cohen's d=0·025-0·162), increased early-life risks (d=0·026-0·111), unhealthy lifestyle (d=0·013-0·394), poor physical fitness (d=0·007-0·668), increased symptoms of poor mental health (d=0·032-0·607), severe environmental pollution (d=0·013-0·064), and adverse biochemical markers (d=0·025-0·198). Some associations were bidirectional, with the strongest effects on mental health measures. The severity of frailty correlated with increased total white matter hyperintensity and lower grey matter volume, particularly in subcortical regions (d=0·027-0·082), which significantly mediated the association between frailty and health-related outcomes, although the mediated effects were small. INTERPRETATION: Physical frailty is associated with diverse unfavourable health-related outcomes, which can be mediated by differences in brain structure. Our findings offer a framework for guiding preventative strategies targeting both frailty and psychiatric disorders. FUNDING: National Institute of Mental Health, National Science Foundation.

Transdiagnostic Connectome-Based Prediction of Craving.

OBJECTIVE: Craving is a central construct in the study of motivation and human behavior and is also a clinical symptom of substance and non-substance-related addictive disorders. Thus, craving represents a target for transdiagnostic modeling. METHODS: The authors applied connectome-based predictive modeling (CPM) to functional connectivity data in a large (N=274) transdiagnostic sample of individuals with and without substance use-related conditions, to predict self-reported craving. Functional connectomes derived from three guided imagery conditions of personalized appetitive, stress, and neutral-relaxing experiences were used to predict craving rated before and after each imagery condition. The generalizability of the "craving network" was tested in an independent sample using functional connectomes derived from a cue-induced craving task collected before and after fasting to predict craving rated during fasting. RESULTS: CPM successfully predicted craving, thereby identifying a transdiagnostic "craving network." Anatomical localization of model contribution suggested that the strongest predictors of craving were regions of the salience, subcortical, and default mode networks. As external validation, in an independent sample, the "craving network" predicted food craving during fasting using data from a cue-induced craving task. CONCLUSIONS: These data provide a transdiagnostic perspective to a key phenomenological feature of addictive disorders-craving-and identify a common "craving network" across individuals with and without substance use-related disorders, thereby suggesting a neural signature for craving or urge for motivated behaviors.

Machine Learning and Prediction in Fetal, Infant, and Toddler Neuroimaging: A Review and Primer.

Predictive models in neuroimaging are increasingly designed with the intent to improve risk stratification and support interventional efforts in psychiatry. Many of these models have been developed in samples of children school-aged or older. Nevertheless, despite growing evidence that altered brain maturation during the fetal, infant, and toddler (FIT) period modulates risk for poor mental health outcomes in childhood, these models are rarely implemented in FIT samples. Applications of predictive modeling in children of these ages provide an opportunity to develop powerful tools for improved characterization of the neural mechanisms underlying development. To facilitate the broader use of predictive models in FIT neuroimaging, we present a brief primer and systematic review on the methods used in current predictive modeling FIT studies. Reflecting on current practices in more than 100 studies conducted over the past decade, we provide an overview of topics, modalities, and methods commonly used in the field and under-researched areas. We then outline ethical and future considerations for neuroimaging researchers interested in predicting health outcomes in early life, including researchers who may be relatively new to either advanced machine learning methods or using FIT data. Altogether, the last decade of FIT research in machine learning has provided a foundation for accelerating the prediction of early-life trajectories across the full spectrum of illness and health.

A functional connectome signature of blood pressure in >30 000 participants from the UK biobank.

AIMS: Elevated blood pressure (BP) is a prevalent modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular diseases and contributes to cognitive decline in late life. Despite the fact that functional changes may precede irreversible structural damage and emerge in an ongoing manner, studies have been predominantly informed by brain structure and group-level inferences. Here, we aim to delineate neurobiological correlates of BP at an individual level using machine learning and functional connectivity. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on whole-brain functional connectivity from the UK Biobank, we built a machine learning model to identify neural representations for individuals' past (∼8.9 years before scanning, N = 35 882), current (N = 31 367), and future (∼2.4 years follow-up, N = 3 138) BP levels within a repeated cross-validation framework. We examined the impact of multiple potential covariates, as well as assessed these models' generalizability across various contexts.The predictive models achieved significant correlations between predicted and actual systolic/diastolic BP and pulse pressure while controlling for multiple confounders. Predictions for participants not on antihypertensive medication were more accurate than for currently medicated patients. Moreover, the models demonstrated robust generalizability across contexts in terms of ethnicities, imaging centres, medication status, participant visits, gender, age, and body mass index. The identified connectivity patterns primarily involved the cerebellum, prefrontal, anterior insula, anterior cingulate cortex, supramarginal gyrus, and precuneus, which are key regions of the central autonomic network, and involved in cognition processing and susceptible to neurodegeneration in Alzheimer's disease. Results also showed more involvement of default mode and frontoparietal networks in predicting future BP levels and in medicated participants. CONCLUSION: This study, based on the largest neuroimaging sample currently available and using machine learning, identifies brain signatures underlying BP, providing evidence for meaningful BP-associated neural representations in connectivity profiles.

A Neuroimaging Signature of Cognitive Aging from Whole-Brain Functional Connectivity.

Cognitive decline is amongst one of the most commonly reported complaints during normal aging. Despite evidence that age and cognition are linked with similar neural correlates, no previous studies have directly ascertained how these two constructs overlap in the brain in terms of neuroimaging-based prediction. Based on a long lifespan healthy cohort (CamCAN, aged 19-89 years, n = 567), it is shown that both cognitive function (domains spanning executive function, emotion processing, motor function, and memory) and human age can be reliably predicted from unique patterns of functional connectivity, with models generalizable in two external datasets (n = 533 and n = 453). Results show that cognitive decline and normal aging both manifest decrease within-network connections (especially default mode and ventral attention networks) and increase between-network connections (somatomotor network). Whereas dorsal attention network is an exception, which is highly predictive on cognitive ability but is weakly correlated with aging. Further, the positively weighted connections in predicting fluid intelligence significantly mediate its association with age. Together, these findings offer insights into why normal aging is often associated with cognitive decline in terms of brain network organization, indicating a process of neural dedifferentiation and compensational theory.

Predicting the future of neuroimaging predictive models in mental health.

Predictive modeling using neuroimaging data has the potential to improve our understanding of the neurobiology underlying psychiatric disorders and putatively information interventions. Accordingly, there is a plethora of literature reviewing published studies, the mathematics underlying machine learning, and the best practices for using these approaches. As our knowledge of mental health and machine learning continue to evolve, we instead aim to look forward and "predict" topics that we believe will be important in current and future studies. Some of the most discussed topics in machine learning, such as bias and fairness, the handling of dirty data, and interpretable models, may be less familiar to the broader community using neuroimaging-based predictive modeling in psychiatry. In a similar vein, transdiagnostic research and targeting brain-based features for psychiatric intervention are modern topics in psychiatry that predictive models are well-suited to tackle. In this work, we target an audience who is a researcher familiar with the fundamental procedures of machine learning and who wishes to increase their knowledge of ongoing topics in the field. We aim to accelerate the utility and applications of neuroimaging-based predictive models for psychiatric research by highlighting and considering these topics. Furthermore, though not a focus, these ideas generalize to neuroimaging-based predictive modeling in other clinical neurosciences and predictive modeling with different data types (e.g., digital health data).