Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Mostrar: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 13 de 13
Filtrar
1.
J Hazard Mater ; 468: 133784, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38382338

RESUMO

The relationship between PM2.5 and metabolic diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2D), has become increasingly prominent, but the molecular mechanism needs to be further clarified. To help understand the mechanistic association between PM2.5 exposure and human health, we investigated short-term PM2.5 exposure trajectory-related multi-omics characteristics from stool metagenome and metabolome and serum proteome and metabolome in a cohort of 3267 participants (age: 64.4 ± 5.8 years) living in Southern China. And then integrate these features to examine their relationship with T2D. We observed significant differences in overall structure in each omics and 193 individual biomarkers between the high- and low-PM2.5 groups. PM2.5-related features included the disturbance of microbes (carbohydrate metabolism-associated Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron), gut metabolites of amino acids and carbohydrates, serum biomarkers related to lipid metabolism and reducing n-3 fatty acids. The patterns of overall network relationships among the biomarkers differed between T2D and normal participants. The subnetwork membership centered on the hub nodes (fecal rhamnose and glycylproline, serum hippuric acid, and protein TB182) related to high-PM2.5, which well predicted higher T2D prevalence and incidence and a higher level of fasting blood glucose, HbA1C, insulin, and HOMA-IR. Our findings underline crucial PM2.5-related multi-omics biomarkers linking PM2.5 exposure and T2D in humans.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/metabolismo , Multiômica , China/epidemiologia , Biomarcadores , Material Particulado
2.
Environ Int ; 150: 106435, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33601224

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Air pollution is a major environmental hazard to human health and a leading cause of morbidity for asthma worldwide. OBJECTIVES: To assess the current evidence on short-term effects (from several hours to 7 days) of exposure to ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and sulphur dioxide (SO2) on asthma exacerbations, defined as emergency room visits (ERVs) and hospital admissions (HAs). METHODS: We searched PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE and other electronic databases to retrieve studies that investigated the risk of asthma-related ERVs and HAs associated with short-term exposure to O3, NO2, or SO2. We evaluated the risks of bias (RoB) for individual studies and the certainty of evidence for each pollutant in the overall analysis. A subgroup analysis was performed, stratified by sex, age, and type of asthma exacerbation. We conducted sensitivity analysis by excluding the studies with high RoB and based on the E-value. Publication bias was examined with the Egger's test and with funnel plots. RESULTS: Our literature search retrieved 9,059 articles, and finally 67 studies were included, from which 48 studies included the data on children, 21 on adults, 14 on the elderly, and 31 on the general population. Forty-three studies included data on asthma ERVs, and 25 on asthma HAs. The pooled relative risk (RR) per 10 µg/m3 increase of ambient concentrations was 1.008 (95%CI: 1.005, 1.011) for maximum 8-hour daily or average 24-hour O3, 1.014 (95%CI: 1.008, 1.020) for average 24-hour NO2, 1.010 (95%CI: 1.001, 1.020) for 24-hour SO2, 1.017 (95%CI: 0.973, 1.063) for maximum 1-hour daily O3, 0.999 (95%CI: 0.966, 1.033) for 1-hour NO2, and 1.003 (95%CI: 0.992, 1.014) for 1-hour SO2. Heterogeneity was observed in all pollutants except for 8-hour or 24-hour O3 and 24-hour NO2. In general, we found no significant differences between subgroups that can explain this heterogeneity. Sensitivity analysis based on the RoB showed certain differences in NO2 and SO2 when considering the outcome or confounding domains, but the analysis using the E-value showed that no unmeasured confounders were expected. There was no major evidence of publication bias. Based on the adaptation of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation, the certainty of evidence was high for 8-hour or 24-hour O3 and 24-hour NO2, moderate for 24-hour SO2, 1-hour O3, and 1-hour SO2, and low for 1-hour NO2. CONCLUSION: Short-term exposure to daily O3, NO2, and SO2 was associated with an increased risk of asthma exacerbation in terms of asthma-associated ERVs and HAs.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Asma , Ozônio , Adulto , Idoso , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluentes Atmosféricos/toxicidade , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/análise , Asma/induzido quimicamente , Asma/epidemiologia , Criança , Serviço Hospitalar de Emergência , Hospitais , Humanos , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/toxicidade , Ozônio/análise , Ozônio/toxicidade , Material Particulado/análise , Dióxido de Enxofre/toxicidade
3.
Shock ; 56(3): 360-367, 2021 09 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33443364

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Rhabdomyolysis (RM) has been associated with many viral infectious diseases, and associated with poor outcomes. We aim to evaluate the clinical features and outcomes of RM in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHOD: This was a single-center, retrospective, cohort study of 1,014 consecutive hospitalized patients with confirmed COVID-19 at the Huoshenshan Hospital in Wuhan, China, between February 17 and April 12, 2020. RESULTS: The overall incidence of RM was 2.2%. Compared with patients without RM, those with RM tended to have a higher risk of deterioration. Patients with RM also constituted a greater percentage of patients admitted to the intensive care unit (90.9% vs. 5.3%, P < 0.001) and a greater percentage of patients undergoing mechanical ventilation (86.4% vs. 2.7% P < 0.001). Moreover, patients with RM had laboratory test abnormalities, including the presence of markers of inflammation, activation of coagulation, and kidney injury. Patients with RM also had a higher risk of in-hospital death (P < 0.001). Cox's proportional hazard regression model analysis confirmed that RM indicators, including peak creatine kinase levels > 1,000 IU/L (HR = 6.46, 95% CI: 3.02-13.86) and peak serum myoglobin concentrations > 1,000 ng/mL (HR = 9.85, 95% CI: 5.04-19.28), were independent risk factors for in-hospital death. Additionally, patients with COVID-19 that developed RM tended to have delayed viral clearance. CONCLUSION: RM might be an important contributing factor to adverse outcomes in COVID-19 patients. The early detection and effective intervention of RM may help reduce mortality among COVID-19 patients.


Assuntos
COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/mortalidade , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Rabdomiólise/complicações , Rabdomiólise/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Incidência , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Músculo Esquelético/fisiopatologia , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Respiração Artificial , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
4.
Int J Environ Health Res ; 31(1): 54-62, 2021 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31184496

RESUMO

To evaluate the association between ambient air pollution and hyperuricemia, we prospectively followed 1748 traffic police officers without hyperuricemia at baseline (2009-2014) from 11 districts in Guangzhou, China. We calculated six-year average PM10, SO2 and NO2 concentrations using data collected from air monitoring stations. The hazard ratios for hyperuricemia per 10 µg/m3 increase in air pollutants were 1.46 (95% CI: 1.28-1.68) for PM10, 1.23 (95% CI: 1.00-1.51) for SO2, and 1.43 (95% CI: 1.26-1.61) for NO2. We also identified changes in the ratio of serum uric acid to serum creatinine concentrations (ua/cre) per 10 µg/m3 increase in air pollutants as 11.54% (95% CI: 8.14%-14.93%) higher for PM10, 5.09% (95% CI: 2.76%-7.42%) higher for SO2, and 5.13% (95% CI: 2.35%-7.92%) higher for NO2, respectively. Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution was associated with a higher incidence of hyperuricemia and an increase in ua/cre among traffic police officers.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/efeitos adversos , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversos , Hiperuricemia/epidemiologia , Ácido Úrico/sangue , Adulto , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Hiperuricemia/induzido quimicamente , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos
5.
Infect Dis Poverty ; 5: 44, 2016 May 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27142081

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dengue cases have been reported each year for the past 25 years in Guangdong Province, China with a recorded historical peak in 2014. This study aims to describe the epidemiological characteristics of this large outbreak in order to better understand its epidemic factors and to inform control strategies. METHODS: Data for clinically diagnosed and laboratory-confirmed dengue fever cases in 2014 were extracted from the China Notifiable Infectious Disease Reporting System. We analyzed the incidence and characteristics of imported and indigenous cases in terms of population, temporal and spatial distributions. RESULTS: A total of 45 224 dengue fever cases and 6 deaths were notified in Guangdong Province in 2014, with an incidence of 47.3 per 100 000 people. The elderly (65+ years) represented 11.7 % of total indigenous cases with the highest incidence (72.3 per 100 000). Household workers and the unemployed accounted for 23.1 % of indigenous cases. The majority of indigenous cases occurred in the 37(th) to 44(th) week of 2014 (September and October) and almost all (20 of 21) prefecture-level cities in Guangdong were affected. Compared to the non-Pearl River Delta Region, the Pearl River Delta Region accounted for the majority of dengue cases and reported cases earlier in 2014. Dengue virus serotypes 1 (DENV-1), 2 (DENV-2) and 3 (DENV-3) were detected and DENV-1 was predominant (88.4 %). CONCLUSIONS: Dengue fever is a serious public health problem and is emerging as a continuous threat in Guangdong Province. There is an urgent need to enhance dengue surveillance and control, especially for the high-risk populations in high-risk areas.


Assuntos
Vírus da Dengue/isolamento & purificação , Dengue/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Dengue/virologia , Vírus da Dengue/classificação , Vírus da Dengue/genética , Vírus da Dengue/fisiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto Jovem
6.
Environ Health Perspect ; 124(7): 1100-6, 2016 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26672059

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Although effects of weather changes on human health have been widely reported, there is limited information regarding effects on pregnant women in developing countries. OBJECTIVE: We investigated the association between maternal exposure to ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth (< 37 weeks of gestation) in Guangzhou, China. METHODS: We used a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate associations between preterm birth and average temperature during each week of gestation, with weekly temperature modeled as a time-varying exposure during four time windows: 1 week (the last week of the pregnancy), 4 weeks (the last 4 weeks of the pregnancy), late pregnancy (gestational week 20 onward), and the entire pregnancy. Information on singleton vaginal birth between 2001 and 2011 was collected. Daily meteorological data during the same period were obtained from the Guangzhou Meteorological Bureau. RESULTS: A total of 838,146 singleton vaginal births were included, among which 47,209 (5.6%) were preterm births. High mean temperatures during the 4 weeks, late pregnancy, and the entire pregnancy time windows were associated with an increased risk of preterm birth. Compared with the median temperature (24.4°C), weekly exposures during the last 4 weeks of the pregnancy to extreme cold (7.6°C, the 1st percentile) and extreme heat (31.9°C, the 99th percentile) were associated with 17.9% (95% CI: 10.2, 26.2%) and 10.0% (95% CI: 2.9, 17.6%) increased risks of preterm birth, respectively. The association between extreme heat and preterm birth was stronger for preterm births during weeks 20-31 and 32-34 than those during weeks 35-36. CONCLUSIONS: These findings might have important implications in preventing preterm birth in Guangzhou as well as other areas with similar weather conditions. CITATION: He JR, Liu Y, Xia XY, Ma WJ, Lin HL, Kan HD, Lu JH, Feng Q, Mo WJ, Wang P, Xia HM, Qiu X, Muglia LJ. 2016. Ambient temperature and the risk of preterm birth in Guangzhou, China (2001-2011). Environ Health Perspect 124:1100-1106; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509778.


Assuntos
Calor Extremo , Exposição Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Temperatura
7.
Sci Rep ; 5: 12250, 2015 Aug 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26247571

RESUMO

Limited evidence is available on the association between temperature and years of life lost (YLL). We applied distributed lag non-linear model to assess the nonlinear and delayed effects of temperature on YLL due to cause-/age-/education-specific mortality in Guangzhou, China. We found that hot effects appeared immediately, while cold effects were more delayed and lasted for 14 days. On average, 1 °C decrease from 25(th) to 1(st) percentile of temperature was associated with an increase of 31.15 (95%CI: 20.57, 41.74), 12.86 (8.05, 17.68) and 6.64 (3.68, 9.61) YLL along lag 0-14 days for non-accidental, cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, respectively. The corresponding estimate of cumulative hot effects (1 °C increase from 75(th) to 99(th) percentile of temperature) was 12.71 (-2.80, 28.23), 4.81 (-2.25, 11.88) and 2.81 (-1.54, 7.16). Effect estimates of cold and hot temperatures-related YLL were higher in people aged up to 75 years and persons with low education level than the elderly and those with high education level, respectively. The mortality risks associated with cold and hot temperatures were greater on the elderly and persons with low education level. This study highlights that YLL provides a complementary method for assessing the death burden of temperature.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática/mortalidade , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , China , Clima , Temperatura Baixa , Feminino , Temperatura Alta , Humanos , Masculino , Dinâmica não Linear , Doenças Respiratórias/mortalidade
8.
Environ Health ; 13: 60, 2014 Jul 24.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25060645

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Many studies have investigated heat wave related mortality, but less attention has been given to the health effects of cold spells in the context of global warming. The 2008 cold spell in China provided a unique opportunity to estimate the effects of the 2008 cold spell on mortality in subtropical regions, spatial heterogeneity of the effects, stratification effect and added effects caused by sustained cold days. METHODS: Thirty-six study communities were selected from 15 provinces in subtropical China. Daily mortality and meteorological data were collected for each community from 2006 to 2010. A distributed lag linear non-linear model (DLNM) with a lag structure of up to 27 days was used to analyze the association between the 2008 cold spell and mortality. Multivariate meta-analyses were used to combine the cold effects across each community. RESULTS: The 2008 cold spell increased mortality by 43.8% (95% CI: 34.8% ~ 53.4%) compared to non-cold spell days with the highest effects in southern and central China. The effects were more pronounced for respiratory mortality (RESP) than for cardiovascular (CVD) or cerebrovascular mortality (CBD), for females more than for males, and for the elderly aged ≥75 years old more than for younger people. Overall, 148,279 excess deaths were attributable to the 2008 cold spell. The cold effect was mainly from extreme low temperatures rather than sustained cold days during this 2008 cold spell. CONCLUSIONS: The 2008 cold spell increased mortality in subtropical China, which was mainly attributable to the low temperature rather than the sustained duration of the cold spell. The cold effects were spatially heterogeneous and modified by individual-specific characteristics such as gender and age.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Mudança Climática , Temperatura Baixa , Doenças Respiratórias/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Animais , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/etiologia , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/mortalidade , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Dinâmica não Linear , Doenças Respiratórias/etiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Adulto Jovem
9.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 10(4): 1008-12, 2014.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24503599

RESUMO

Vaccination is an effective strategy to prevent and control the transmission of hepatitis A. Hepatitis A immunization program has been taken into effect since 2001 in Tianjin, China. This study evaluated the effectiveness of strategies in the prevention and control of hepatitis A. Data of serological survey, annual hepatitis A incidence, immunization coverage and the positive rate of hepatitis A IgG before and after the immunization program in residents under 15 years old were used to do the analysis. The results indicated that hepatitis A vaccine induced a striking decrease of hepatitis A incidence and a significant increase in the positive rate of anti-HAV IgG among the children younger than 15 years old. Hepatitis A vaccination in children was proved to be effective in the prevention and control of hepatitis A in Tianjin, China.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Hepatite A/administração & dosagem , Vacinas contra Hepatite A/imunologia , Hepatite A/epidemiologia , Hepatite A/prevenção & controle , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Pesquisa sobre Serviços de Saúde , Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite A/sangue , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Resultado do Tratamento , Adulto Jovem
10.
Environ Pollut ; 187: 116-23, 2014 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24477104

RESUMO

This study aimed to investigate the effects of dust-haze on mortality and to estimate the seasonal and individual-specific modification effects in Guangzhou, China. Mortality, air pollution and meteorological data were collected for 2006-2011. A dust-haze day was defined as daily visibility <10 km with relative humidity <90%. This definition was further divided into light (8-10 km), medium (5-8 km) and heavy dust-haze (<5 km). A distributed lag linear model (DLM) was employed. Light, medium and heavy dust-haze days were associated with increased mortality of 3.4%, 6.8% and 10.4% respectively, at a lag of 0-6 days. This effect was more pronounced during the cold season, for cardiovascular mortality (CVD), respiratory mortality (RESP), in males and people ≥60years. These effects became insignificant after adjustment for PM10. We concluded that dust-haze significantly increased mortality risk in Guangzhou, China, and this effect appears to be dominated by particulate mass and modified by season and individual-specific factors.


Assuntos
Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Transtornos Cerebrovasculares/mortalidade , Poeira/análise , Exposição Ambiental/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Respiratórias/mortalidade , China/epidemiologia , Exposição Ambiental/análise , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Masculino , Estações do Ano
11.
Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi ; 34(9): 922-6, 2013 Sep.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24331972

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To understand the effect of temperature on the risk of mortality and the modification effect of latitude, in China. METHODS: Relevant papers were searched and Meta-analysis was used to determine the exposure-response relationship for each health outcome which was associated with the exposure to temperature. Meta-regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect modification by latitude. RESULTS: Ten studies in 15 cities were included in the study. When temperature increased by one centigrade, the risks of mortality showed the following changes:deaths from non-accidental increased by 2% (95%CI:1%, 3%), from cardiovascular disease increased by 4% (95%CI:2%, 6%)and from the respiratory disease increased by 2% (95%CI:1%, 4%). As temperature decreased by one centigrade, the mortality risks of the following diseases showed the changes as: non-accidental death increased by 4% (95% CI:2%, 7%), cardiovascular disease increased by 4% (95%CI:1%, 7%)and the respiratory diseases increased by 2% (95%CI:0%, 4%). When latitude ranged from 0 to 25, 26 to 30, 31 to 39 degree or over 40 degrees, respectively and the temperature decreased by one centigrade, the mortality risks of the general population increased by 6.5% (95%CI:-2.7%, 15.6%), 5.8% (95% CI:2.4%, 9.3%),0.8% (95%CI:0.4%, 1.2%),0.5% (95%CI: -0.5%, 1.5%). As temperature increased by one centigrade, mortality risk of the general population increased by 0.6% (95%CI:-0.3%, 1.4%), 1.9% (95%CI:0.7%, 3.1%), 2.0% (95%CI:1.0%, 3.0%) and 5.8% (95% CI:-3.2%, 14.8%). As latitude increased by five degrees with high temperature, the mortality risk of general people increased by 0.3% (95% CI:0.1% ,0.8%) while decreased by 0.8% (95% CI:0.5%, 0.9%) under low temperature. CONCLUSION: In China, the mortality risk increased along with the changes of temperature. The adaptability to coldness among people living in high latitude areas seemed to be stronger than those living in other areas of latitudes. Who were more vulnerable to high temperature.


Assuntos
Exposição Ambiental , Temperatura , Causas de Morte , China/epidemiologia , Temperatura Alta , Humanos , Material Particulado , Estações do Ano , População Urbana
12.
BMC Public Health ; 13: 913, 2013 Oct 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24088302

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In many parts of the world, including in China, extreme heat events or heat waves are likely to increase in intensity, frequency, and duration in light of climate change in the next decades. Risk perception and adaptation behaviors are two important components in reducing the health impacts of heat waves, but little is known about their relationships in China. This study aimed to examine the associations between risk perception to heat waves, adaptation behaviors, and heatstroke among the public in Guangdong province, China. METHODS: A total of 2,183 adult participants were selected using a four-stage sampling method in Guangdong province. From September to November of 2010 each subject was interviewed at home by a well-trained investigator using a structured questionnaire. The information collected included socio-demographic characteristics, risk perception and spontaneous adaptation behaviors during heat wave periods, and heatstroke experience in the last year. Chi-square tests and unconditional logistic regression models were employed to analyze the data. RESULTS: This study found that 14.8%, 65.3% and 19.9% of participants perceived heat waves as a low, moderate or high health risk, respectively. About 99.1% participants employed at least one spontaneous adaptation behavior, and 26.2%, 51.2% and 22.6% respondents employed <4, 4-7, and >7 adaptation behaviors during heat waves, respectively. Individuals with moderate (OR=2.93, 95% CI: 1.38-6.22) or high (OR=10.58, 95% CI: 4.74-23.63) risk perception experienced more heatstroke in the past year than others. Drinking more water and wearing light clothes in urban areas, while decreasing activity as well as wearing light clothes in rural areas were negatively associated with heatstroke. Individuals with high risk perception and employing <4 adaptation behaviors during heat waves had the highest risks of heatstroke (OR=47.46, 95% CI: 12.82-175.73). CONCLUSIONS: There is a large room for improving health risk perception and adaptation capacity to heat waves among the public of Guangdong province. People with higher risk perception and fewer adaptation behaviors during heat waves may be more vulnerable to heat waves.


Assuntos
Atitude Frente a Saúde , Comportamento , Mudança Climática , Calor Extremo , Golpe de Calor/prevenção & controle , Temperatura Alta , Adulto , Distribuição de Qui-Quadrado , China , Características da Família , Feminino , Golpe de Calor/etiologia , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Percepção , Risco , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
13.
Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi ; 46(10): 946-51, 2012 Oct.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23363873

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To explore the suitable temperature index to establish temperature-mortality model. METHODS: The mortality and meteorological information of Guangzhou between year 2006 and 2010 were collected to explore the association between sendible temperature, heat index and deaths by adopting distributed lag non-linear model to fit the daily maximum, mean and minimum temperature with and without humidity. Q-Q plots based on the standardized residuals of each model were used to qualitatively access the goodness of fitting. The minimum Akaike information criterion (AIC) and residual sum of squares (RSS) value were used to explore the most suitable temperature index for model establishment, and to further analyze the fittest temperature index for different diseases, ages and cold and hot effect. RESULTS: Guangzhou features a subtropical monsoon climate, with an annual average temperature at 22.9°C and daily average relative humidity of 71%. The standardized residuals of all models followed normal distribution. For all death, death from circulation system diseases, the 65-84 years old aging groups and cold effect models, the daily average temperature fit better, whose AIC (RSS) values were the smallest as 11 537 (1897), 9527 (1928), 10 595 (2018) and 11 523 (1899), respectively. However, for death from respiratory system disease, groups aging under 65 years old or over 85 years old and hot effect models, the daily average sendible temperature fit better, whose AIC (RSS) values were the smallest as 8265(1854), 675 (1739), 8550 (1871) and 11 687 (1938), respectively. In comparison with the model controlling both temperature and relative humidity, different diseases, aging groups and cold and hot effect models fitted by sendible temperature index showed smaller AIC (RSS) values. The relative risk (RR) value of the cold effect lagging 0 - 3 days fitting by daily maximal temperature was < 1, and the RR value of it fitting by daily minimum temperature was > 1.04. The RR value of the hot effect lagging 0 - 1 days fitting by daily maximal temperature was < 1.16, and the RR values of it fitting by daily minimum temperature and daily average temperature were > 1.16. CONCLUSION: There were no best temperature indicators for different diseases, ages and cold and hot effect. The model using sendible temperature index better fit the model including relative humidity as a covariable.


Assuntos
Clima , Mortalidade , Dinâmica não Linear , Temperatura , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Humanos , Fatores de Risco
SELEÇÃO DE REFERÊNCIAS
DETALHE DA PESQUISA
...