Risk factors and prediction models for bronchiolitis obliterans after severe adenoviral pneumonia.

Severe adenoviral pneumonia (SAP) can cause post-infectious bronchiolitis obliterans (PIBO) in children. We aimed to investigate the relevant risk factors for PIBO and develop a predictive nomogram for PIBO in children with SAP. This prospective study analysed the clinical data of hospitalised children with SAP and categorised them into the PIBO and non-PIBO groups. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regressions were applied to variables that exhibited significant intergroup differences. Logistic regression was adopted to analyse the risk factors for PIBO. Additionally, a nomogram was constructed, and its effectiveness was assessed using calibration curves, C-index, and decision curve analysis. A total of 148 hospitalised children with SAP were collected in this study. Among them, 112 achieved favourable recovery, whereas 36 developed PIBO. Multivariable regression after variable selection via LASSO revealed that aged < 1 year (OR, 2.38, 95% CI, 0.82-6.77), admission to PICU (OR, 24.40, 95% CI, 7.16-105.00), long duration of fever (OR, 1.16, 95% CI, 1.04-1.31), and bilateral lung infection (OR, 8.78, 95% CI, 1.32-195.00) were major risk factors for PIBO. The nomogram model included the four risk factors: The C-index of the model was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71-0.99), and the area under the curve was 0.85 (95% CI, 0.78-0.92). The model showed good calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (χ2 = 8.52, P = 0.38) and was useful in clinical settings with decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION: Age < 1 year, PICU admission, long fever duration, and bilateral lung infection are independent risk factors for PIBO in children with SAP. The nomogram model may aid clinicians in the early diagnosis and intervention of PIBO. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Adenoviruses are the most common pathogens associated with PIBO. • Wheezing, tachypnoea, hypoxemia, and mechanical ventilation are the risk factors for PIBO. WHAT IS NEW: • Age < 1 year, admission to PICU, long duration of fever days, and bilateral lung infection are independent risk factors for PIBO in children with SAP. • A prediction model presented as a nomogram may help clinicians in the early diagnosis and intervention of PIBO.

The Epidemiology, Molecular, and Clinical of Human Adenoviruses in Children Hospitalized With Acute Respiratory Infections.

INTRODUCTION: Human adenovirus (HAdV) is a common pathogen in children with acute respiratory infections (ARIs). The aim was to describe the epidemiology, molecular, and clinical characteristics of HAdV among children hospitalized with ARIs in Wenzhou in southeastern China. METHODOLOGY: From January 2018 to December 2019, nasopharyngeal swab or sputum specimens were prospectively collected from hospitalized children with ARIs. HAdV was detected using direct immunofluorescence. We used a multiplex PCR assay combined with capillary electrophoresis targeting the hexon gene's hypervariable region to identify HAdV types 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 14, 21, 37, 40, 41, and 55. We analyzed the epidemiological, molecular, and clinical data according to the HAdV type. RESULTS: HAdVs were detected in 1,059 (3.5%) of the total of 30,543 children tested. A total of 947 cases with monotype HAdV identified by the PCR assay were included in the analysis. HAdV-3 (415/947, 43.8%), HAdV-7 (318/947, 33.6%), HAdV-2 (108/947, 11.4%), and HAdV-1 (70/947, 7.4%) were the predominant types. Of the 550 (58.1%) cases detected from December 2018 to August 2019, HAdV-3, and HAdV-7 were the main types. The main diagnoses included 358 cases of pneumonia, 232 cases of tonsillitis, 198 cases of bronchitis, and 159 cases of upper respiratory tract infection (URTI). Among children with pneumonia the main types were HAdV-7 (51.1%), HAdV-3 (36.9%), and HAdV-1 (2.2%). Among children with bronchitis, the main types were HAdV-3 (48.0%), HAdV-7 (28.3%), and HAdV-2 (10.6%). Among children with URTIs, the main types were HAdV-3 (49.7%), HAdV-7 (22.6%), and HAdV-2 (13.2%). Among children with tonsillitis, the main types were HAdV-3 (47.4%), HAdV-2 (22.4%), and HAdV-7 (18.5%). In total, 101 (55.2%) patients required supplemental oxygen, 15 (8.2%) required critical care, and 1 child (0.5%) with HAdV-7 pneumonia died. CONCLUSION: HAdV-3 -7, -2, and -1 were the predominant types identified in hospitalized children with ARIs in Wenzhou. From December 2018 to August 2019, there were outbreaks of HAdV-3 and -7. There were significant differences in HAdV types among children with pneumonia, tonsillitis, bronchitis, and URTI. HAdV-7 can cause more severe pneumonia in children than HAdV-3.