Construction of a predictive model for the prognosis of elderly patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma after surgery based on the SEER database / 肿瘤研究与临床

Objective:To construct and analyze the visual nomogram predictive model for the prognosis of elderly advanced lung adenocarcinoma patients after surgery based on the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.Methods:SEER*Stat8.4.0.1 software was used to screen out the data from 17 register in SEER database between 2000 and 2019, and finally 4 453 lung adenocarcinoma patients aged ≥ 65 years who underwent surgical treatment and were diagnosed as stage Ⅲ and Ⅳ according to the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging criteria were enrolled. The data were randomly divided into the training set (3 117 cases) and the validation set (1 336 cases) in a 7:3 ratio; the epidemilogical data and clinicopathological characteristics of the two groups were compared. LASSO regression was used for data dimensionality reduction to select the best predictors from the prognostic factors of patients. Cox proportional risk model was used to perform univariate and multivariate analyses of the screened variables, and based on R software rms package and the prognostic independent risk factors, the nomogram was constructed to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates of the patients. The validation set was validated by using Bootstrap method with 1 000 equal repeated samples with playback, and the accuracy of the nomogram model was verified by using the C-index, receiving operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves.Results:There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, race, tumor location, Grade grading, surgery methods, the number of lymph node dissection, radiotherapy, tumor diameter, tumor metastasis, marriage, living condition, TNM staging, radiochemotherapy of training set and validation set (all P > 0.05). In training set, 18 variables were included into LASSO regression analysis and were performed with dimensionality reduction; ultimately, 11 optimal predictive variables were selected, including age ≥ 85 years ( HR = 2.34, 95% CI: 1.803-3.037, P < 0.01), male ( HR = 1.326, 95% CI: 1.228-1.432, P < 0.01), Grade grading Ⅲ-Ⅳ ( HR = 1.333, 95% CI: 0.844-2.105, P < 0.01), undissected lymph nodes ( HR = 2.261, 95% CI: 2.023-2.527, P < 0.01), tumor diameter ≥3.7 cm ( HR = 1.445, 95% CI: 1.333-1.566, P < 0.01), bone metastasis ( HR = 1.535, 95% CI: 1.294-1.819, P < 0.01), brain metastasis ( HR = 1.308, 95% CI: 1.117-1.532, P < 0.01), lung metastasis ( HR = 1.229, 95% CI: 1.056-1.431, P = 0.01), living in rural areas ( HR = 1.215, 95% CI: 1.084-1.363, P < 0.01), TNM staging Ⅳ ( HR = 1.155, 95% CI: 1.044-1.278, P = 0.01), postoperative radiotherapy ( HR = 1.148, 95% CI: 1.054-1.250, P < 0.01); lung adenocarcinoma patients with the above 11 factors had worse prognosis. Based on the variables, the nomogram predictive model was constructed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS rates of elderly advanced lung adenocarcinoma patients. Bootstrap method was used for repeated sampling for 1 000 times to verify the modeling effect of nomogram. In the model group, C-index was 0.654 (95% CI: 0.641-0.668), 0.666 (95% CI: 0.646-0.685), respectively in the training set and the validation set. The nomogram was drawn to predict ROC curves of 1-, 3-, and 5-year CSS rates for elderly advanced lung adenocarcinoma patients after operation in the training set and validation set; the area under the curve (AUC) of 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS rates was 0.730 (95% CI: 0.708-0.754) and 0.689 (95% CI: 0.672-0.710), 0.687 (95% CI: 0.668-0.711) and 0.731 (95% CI: 0.697-0.765), 0.712 (95% CI:0.684-0.740) and 0.714 (95% CI: 0.683-0.745), respectively in the training and validation sets. The calibration curve showed a high consistency between the predicted probability of the model and the actual probability. Conclusions:The nomogram model constructed by optimal predictive variables for predicting the prognosis of elderly advanced lung adenocarcinoma patients after surgery may be a convenient tool for survival prediction of these patients.

Impact of ambient ozone exposure on death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in Minhang District, Shanghai / 环境与职业医学

Background Ozone (O3) pollution has gradually become a primary problem of air pollution in recent years. Conducting epidemiological studies on the correlation between O3 concentration variation and risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases can provide reference data for O3 risk assessment and related policy making. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the effects of O3 exposure on mortalities of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases among residents in Minhang District, Shanghai. Methods Data of mortalities of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, air pollutants, and meteorological factors in Minhang District of Shanghai from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2021 were collected. Associations between O3 concentration and the mortalities due to total cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, coronary heart disease, and stroke were analyzed by generalized additive models with a quasi Poisson distribution with different lag patterns, such as current day effect (lag0), single-day lag effects (lag1-lag3), and cumulative lag effects (lag01-lag03). The subgroup analyses of age, sex, and season were conducted. Furthermore, temperature was divided into low, middle, and high levels based on the 25th percentile (P25) and the 75th percentile (P75) to perform hierarchical analyses. Increased excess risks (ER) of death from target diseases caused by a 10 µg·m−3 increase in daily maximum 8 h concentration of O3 (O3-8 h) and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to indicate the effects of O3. Results The associations between O3 and the risks of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were statistically significant at lag2, lag3, lag02, and lag03 (P<0.05), with the greatest effect size observed at lag03. The ER values of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases in general population, male residents, and people aged 65 years and older, from coronary heart disease in male residents, and from stroke in general population increased by 1.02% (95%CI: 0.36%, 1.69%), 1.40% (95%CI: 0.47%, 2.34%), 0.87% (95%CI: 0.19%, 1.55%), 1.96% (95%CI: 0.49%, 3.44%), and 1.02% (95%CI: 0.07%, 1.98%) for a 10 µg·m−3 increase in O3-8 h concentration at lag03, respectively. During the warm season (from April 1 to September 30), the ER values of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases and coronary heart disease per 10 µg·m−3 increase in O3 were 1.18% (95%CI: 0.33%, 3.33%) and 2.69% (95%CI: 0.39%, 5.03%), while the O3 effect was only statistically significant on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases during the cold season (from October 1 to March 31 next year). At the middle and high temperature levels, the ER values of death from cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases increased by 1.63% (95%CI: 0.32%, 2.96%) and 1.14% (95%CI: 0.17%, 2.12%) respectively. The two-pollutant models showed similar results after including other pollutants (carbon monoxide, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide, fine particulate matter, or inhalable particulate matter). Conclusion Ambient O3 pollution may increase the mortality risks of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, coronary heart disease, and stroke in Minhang District of Shanghai.

Analysis of cerebrovascular disease between 1996 and 2021 in Minhang District of Shanghai / 上海预防医学

ObjectiveTo analyze the changing trend of cerebrovascular disease burden in Minhang District of Shanghai from 1996 to 2021， and to provide scientific evidence for government to formulate targeted cerebrovascular disease prevention and control strategies. MethodsMortality， years of life lost（YLL）， years of lived with disability（YLD） and disability⁃adjusted life years（DALY） were used to evaluate the burden of cerebrovascular diseases in Minhang District. Joinpoint linear regression was used to analyze the trend of disease burden. ResultsFrom 1996 to 2021， the YLL rate of cerebrovascular diseases in Minhang District showed a downward trend （whole population： APC=-1.69%， t=-6.9， P<0.05）， The YLD rate of cerebrovascular diseases showed a slow upward trend （whole population： APC=1.17%， t=3.5， P<0.05）， The DALY rate of cerebrovascular diseases showed a downward trend， and fluctuated since 2003 （whole population： APC= -1.43%， t=-5.6， P<0.05）. The YLL rate of cerebrovascular diseases in men was higher than that in women， and the YLD rate of cerebrovascular diseases in women was higher than that in men. After 2014， the DALY of cerebrovascular diseases in men was higher than that in women. With the increase of age， the burden of cerebrovascular diseases increased， and the burden of disease increased significantly in the age group above 70. ConclusionThe burden of cerebrovascular diseases in Minhang District is at a high level， and there are differences in age， gender and other aspects. Measures such as screening， intervention and rehabilitation need to be improved to reduce disability and premature death caused by cerebrovascular diseases and to reduce the burden of cerebrovascular diseases on individuals， families and society.

Comorbid Diabetes Mellitus was Associated with Poorer Prognosis in Patients with COVID-19: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BackgroundThe 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emerged in Wuhan, Hubei province, China, and was characterized as pandemic by the World Health Organization. Diabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for poor clinical outcomes, but the association of diabetes with the prognosis of COVID-19 have not been reported yet. MethodsIn this cohort study, we retrospectively reviewed 258 consecutive hospitalized COVID-19 patients with or without diabetes at the West Court of Union Hospital of Huazhong University of Science and Technology in Wuhan, China, recruited from January 29 to February 12, 2020. The cases were confirmed by real-time PCR and the demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological, and treatment data were collected and analyzed. Prognosis was defined as hospitalization, discharged survivor and death, which was followed up until March 12, 2020. ResultsOf the 258 hospitalized patients (63 with diabetes) with COVID-19, the median age was 64 years (range 23-91), and 138 (53.5%) were male. No significant differences in age and sex were identified between patients with and without diabetes. Common symptoms included fever (82.2%), dry cough (67.1%), polypnea (48.1%), and fatigue (38%). Patients with diabetes had significantly higher leucocyte and neutrophil counts, and higher levels of fasting blood glucose, serum creatinine, urea nitrogen and creatine kinase isoenzyme MB at admission compared with those without diabetes. COVID-19 patients with diabetes were more likely to develop severe or critical disease condition with more complications at presentation, and had higher incidence rates of antibiotic therapy, non-invasive and invasive mechanical ventilation, and death (11.1% vs. 4.1%). Cox proportional hazard model showed that diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=3.64; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.09, 12.21) and fasting blood glucose (aHR=1.19; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.31) were associated with the fatality of COVID-19, adjusting for potential confounders. ConclusionsDiabetes mellitus is associated with greater disease severity and a higher risk of mortality in patients with COVID-19. Primary and secondary prevention strategies are needed for COVID-19 patients with diabetes.

CT Quantitative Analysis and Its Relationship with Clinical Features for Assessing the Severity of Patients with COVID-19

Objective@#To investigate the value of initial CT quantitative analysis of ground-glass opacity (GGO), consolidation, and total lesion volume and its relationship with clinical features for assessing the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). @*Materials and Methods@#A total of 84 patients with COVID-19 were retrospectively reviewed from January 23, 2020 to February 19, 2020. Patients were divided into two groups: severe group (n = 23) and non-severe group (n = 61). Clinical symptoms, laboratory data, and CT findings on admission were analyzed. CT quantitative parameters, including GGO, consolidation, total lesion score, percentage GGO, and percentage consolidation (both relative to total lesion volume) were calculated. Relationships between the CT findings and laboratory data were estimated. Finally, a discrimination model was established to assess the severity of COVID-19. @*Results@#Patients in the severe group had higher baseline neutrophil percentage, increased high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and procalcitonin levels, and lower baseline lymphocyte count and lymphocyte percentage (p < 0.001). The severe group also had higher GGO score (p < 0.001), consolidation score (p < 0.001), total lesion score (p < 0.001), and percentage consolidation (p = 0.002), but had a lower percentage GGO (p = 0.008). These CT quantitative parameters were significantly correlated with laboratory inflammatory marker levels, including neutrophil percentage, lymphocyte count, lymphocyte percentage, hs-CRP level, and procalcitonin level (p < 0.05). The total lesion score demonstrated the best performance when the data cut-off was 8.2%. Furthermore, the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 93.8% (confidence interval [CI]: 86.8–100%), 91.3% (CI: 69.6–100%), and 91.8% (CI: 23.0–98.4%), respectively. @*Conclusion@#CT quantitative parameters showed strong correlations with laboratory inflammatory markers, suggesting that CT quantitative analysis might be an effective and important method for assessing the severity of COVID-19, and may provide additional guidance for planning clinical treatment strategies.

Ultrasound-guided application of cervical plexus nerve block in radiofrequency ablation of thyroid and parathyroid benign lesions / 中华超声影像学杂志

Objective To investigate the efficacy of ultrasound-guided cervical plexus block in radiofrequency ablation of thyroid and parathyroid benign lesions . Methods One hundred and twenty-five patients with thyroid nodules or hyperparathyroidism , who were undergone ultrasound guided radiofrequency ablation ,were randomly assigned to receive either ultrasound-guided cervical plexus block or local infiltration anesthesia ,and the pain grading was evaluated by numerical rating scale ( NRS ) . The anesthetic dosage and the effect of thermal ablation surgery of ultrasound-guided cervical plexus block anesthesia and local anesthesia were compared . Results The anesthetic dosage in ultrasound-guided cervical plexus block was lower than that in local infiltration anesthesia( t = 17 .681 , P < 0 .05) . The pain grading of ultrasound-guided cervical plexus block was lower than that of local infiltration anesthesia( χ2 = 33 .738 , P < 0 .05) . Conclusions Ultrasound-guided cervical plexus nerve block has lower anesthetic dosage and pain grading in the radiofrequency ablation of thyroid and parathyroid benign lesions ,which may be widely applied in clinical .

Multi-variated analysis of differential diagnosis in ultrasonography of idiopathic granulomatous mastitis and invasive ductal carcinoma / 中华肿瘤杂志

Objective@#To evaluate the differential diagnosis of idiopathic granulomatous mastitis (IGM) and invasive ductal carcinoma.@*Methods@#The ultrasonographic data of 37 IGM patients and 50 cases of IDC were analyzed retrospectively. The shape, growth direction, margin, internal echo, posterior echo, calcification, Adler blood flow classification, PSV(peak sestolic velocity), RI (resistance index)and elasticity scores were analyzed by χ2 test and independent sample t test. The optimal cutoff values of age, PSV and RI were calculated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the odds ratio (OR) of ultrasonic variates in the diagnosis of both diseases.@*Results@#There were no significant differences in the shape, margin, internal echo and blood flow grading between the two groups. The age, lesion growth direction, posterior echo, calcification, PSV, RI and elasticity were statistically different. The cut-of value of Age, PSV and RI were 38.5 years old, 13.20 cm/s, and 0.655. Logistic regression multi-variated analysis revealed that elastic score (OR=9.806) had the best value of the differential diagnosis, as well as calcification (OR=6.937), posterior echo decay (OR=4.613), RI (OR=3.257), lesion growth orientation (OR=3.198), and PSV (OR=1.202). Lesion shape, margin, internal echo, and Adler blood flow classification did not help in differential diagnosis.@*Conclusion@#Ultrasound multi-parameter analysis has high value in IGM and IDC differential diagnosis.

Development of a Fluorescence Multiplex Amplification System with 24 Y-STR Loci / 法医学杂志

Objective To establish a novel multiplex amplification system which comprises 24 Y-STR loci.Methods Total 24 Y-STR gene loci, concluding DYS531,DYS630,DYS622,DYS552,DYS510, DYS449, DYS459a/b, DYS446, DYS443, DYS635, DYS587, DYS527a/b, DYS460, Y-GATA-A10, DYS520, DYS557,DYS522,DYS481,DYS570,DYS385a/b,DYS444, were chosen for establishing the fluorescence multiplex amplification system. The specificity, identity, sensitivity, balance of the amplification, anti-in-terference and accuracy of the system were detected and the gene diversity was investigated in the popu-lation of Guangdong.Results No band was found in nonhuman and female samples that were tested by the established multiplex amplification system. The same genotyping results were obtained from different tissues of the same person. Complete profiles could be obtained from more than 0.1 ng of the standard sample 9948. The loss of alleles was found when the common inhibitors such as hemoglobin and calci-um ion were added 120-200μmol/L and 1.5-2.0 mmol/L respectively to the system which with a strong anti-interference to the indigo, humic acid and EDTA. The typing of 24 Y-STR system could give the reliable results when 146 unrelated male individuals were detected and compared with the Yfiler system parallelly. The haplotype diversity(HD)of the population in Guangdong reached 0.99972 that was better than the result retained from Yfiler system, which the HD was 0.99858.Conclusion The fluorescence amplification system with 24 Y-STR loci established in present study has a wildly application prospect and can be used for cases inspection, paternity tests and Y-STR database construction.

Quality of life of elderly person in aged-care at home and influencing factors in Shanghai Minhang district / 中华行为医学与脑科学杂志

ObjectiveTo understand the quality of life and influencing factors of elderly person in agedcare at home.MethodsThe elderly person in aged-care at home in 3 towns and a street of Shanghai Minhang District were enrolled by stratified cluster sampling.To investigate quality of life for elderly person by adopting SF-36 form.Meanwhile,to find out the principal influencing factors on quality of life by adopting both single-factor and multiple-factor analysis.ResultsThe score of life quality of senior citizen in local was as following:43.63 ± 30.04 (Physical Function),55.57 ± 48.96 (Role Physical),81.75 ± 20.49 (Bodily Pain),42.07 ± 18.84 ( General Health),58.57 ± 18.96 (Vitality),66.94 ± 26.79 ( Social Function),73.33 ± 43.33 ( Role Emotional),70.92 ± 19.02 ( Mental Health),61.60 ± 21.06 ( Weighted average).There were two aspects of the factors that influencing elderly persons'the quality of life:disease-related (coronary heart disease,cerebrovascular accident) and non-disease-related ( whether to go out for a walk every day,loneliness,living space,gender and on the current life satisfaction etc).ConclusionQuality of life of elderly person in aged-care at home is relatively low,special in the general health and physical function dimensions.The controllable factors are diseases,whether to go out for a walk every day,loneliness,on the current life satisfaction etc.

Comparisons of the life quality and its influential factors among the senior citizens in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards in Shanghai Minhang district / 中华老年医学杂志

Objective To understand the life quality of elderly person in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards, and to find out the related influencing factors for providing references for policy-makers to improve the life quality of the elderly. Methods The senior citizens in 9 communities, 3 villages, 12 nursing homes and 5 elderly wards in Shanghai Minhang District were enrolled by stratified cluster sampling. And the life quality and its influential factors among the inhabitants in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards were compared by adopting Short-Form 36 (SF-36) questionnaire. Results Regarding to the life qualities of senior citizens, community showed that physical functioning was (71. 9 ± 23. 3)scores, role physical was (73. 6 ± 43. 0) scores, bodily pain was (80. 2±20. 3)scores, general health was (53. 2± 19. 1)scores, vitality was (70. 4± 15. 7)scores, social function was ( 83. 8 ± 20. 2) scores, role emotional was ( 81. 1 ± 37. 2 ) scores, mental health was (78. 1 ± 15. 4) scores, weighted average was (74. 1 ± 17. 5) scores. Nursing home showed that physical functioning was (42. 1 ±30. 7) scores, role physical was (57. 9 ±48. 1) scores, bodily pain was (78.0±23.0)scores, general health was (50. 2± 19. 5)scores, vitality was (66. 0± 19. 5)scores, social function was (70. 8 ± 26. 3) scores, role emotional was (66. 8 ± 45. 7) scores, mental health was (73. 6 ± 19. 6) scores, weighted average was (63. 2 ± 21. 0) scores. Elderly ward showed that physical functioning was (20. 4 ± 26. 0) scores, role physical was (36. 1 ± 47. 0) scores, bodily pain was (65. 4±29. 5)scores, general health was (43. 1±17. 1)scores, vitality was (59. 0± 18. 0)scores, social function was (57. 9 ± 25. 3) scores, role emotional was (49. 5 ± 48. 7) scores, mental health was (66. 2 ± 18. 3) scores, weighted average was (49. 7 ±18. 3) scores. The major influential factors on the life quality were gender, education, marriage, profession, age, disease, residence, entertainment, physical exercise for community; Age, disease, residence, entertainment, physical exercise for nursing home; Age, etc for elderly ward. Conclusions The influences of demographic factors on life quality of the senior citizens in communities are more significant than in nursing home and elderly wards. Variations on the degree of satisfaction (in residence, entertainment, health care and transportation) and the situation of physical exercise have made vast difference in the life quality of the senior citizens both in communities and nursing homes.