[Mediating effect of hypertension on risk of stroke associated with hyperuricemia].

Objective: To investigate the association between hyperuricemia and the risk for stroke occurrence, as well as the mediating effect of hypertension on this association. Methods: In this study, the China Chronic Diseases and Nutrition Surveillance system in 2015 was used as baseline data. We identified hospital admissions for stroke using the electronic homepage of inpatient medical records from 2013-2020, and death data were obtained from the 2015-2020 National Mortality Surveillance System. A retrospective cohort was established after matching and linking the database. The Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the relationship between hyperuricemia and the risk of stroke and its subtypes. Restricted cubic spline analysis was conducted to examine the dose-response relationship between serum uric acid levels and the risk for stroke. Mediation analysis was performed to investigate the mediating effect of hypertension on the association between hyperuricemia and the risk for stroke and its subtypes. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on gender and age groups. Results: A total of 124 352 study subjects were included, with an accumulative follow-up time of 612 911.36 person-years. During the follow-up period, 4 638 cases of stroke were found, including 3 919 cases of ischemic stroke and 689 cases of hemorrhagic stroke. The incidence density of stroke was 756.72 per 100 000 person-years, 641.37 per 100 000 person-years for ischemic stroke, and 114.60 per 100 000 person-years for hemorrhagic stroke. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models showed that after adjusting for covariates, compared to those without hyperuricemia, individuals with hyperuricemia had a 16% higher risk for stroke [hazard ratio (HR)=1.16, 95%CI: 1.06-1.27], a 12% higher risk of ischemic stroke (HR=1.12, 95%CI: 1.01-1.24), and a 39% higher risk of hemorrhagic stroke (HR=1.39, 95%CI: 1.11-1.75). Mediation analysis showed that hypertension partially mediated the associations between hyperuricemia and the risk for stroke, ischemic stroke, and hemorrhagic stroke, with mediation proportions of 36.07%, 39.98%, and 25.34%, respectively. The mediating effect is pronounced in the male population and individuals below 65. Conclusion: Hyperuricemia is a risk factor for stroke, and hypertension partially mediates the effect of hyperuricemia on stroke.

Electric properties of the twelve-fold vortex structure in hexagonal manganites.

Hexagonal manganites, as a functional ferroelectric (FE) material, receive considerable attention due to their improper ferroelectricity and topological vortex structures. This family exhibits three low-symmetry states accompanied by distinct vortex domain structures. In addition to the FEP63cmand anti-FE (AFE)P-3c1 states accompanied by dual six-fold vortex structures, there is another FEP3c1 state accompanied by a twelve-fold vortex structure. The responses of FE materials to external stimuli, such as external electric fields, are the core ingredients in the physics of FEs and are significant for technological applications. Under external electric fields, the responses of FE materials are determined by special FE domain structures. The electric properties of the FEP63cmand AFEP-3c1 states are very different. However, the electric properties of the FEP3c1 state, which only stabilizes in Ga-substituted In(Mn, Ga)O3, are unclear. The present work studies the electric properties of the FEP3c1 state. The electric-field-driven transition of the FEP3c1 state is found to follow two sequences, i.e. (1) twelve-foldP3c1 → nine-foldP3c1 +P63cm→ three-foldP63cm, and (2) twelve-foldP3c1 → six-foldP3c1 → three-foldP63cm. The variation of average polarization withEfor the FEP3c1 state with the second transition sequence manifests as an unusual triple-hysteresis loop, different from the usual single-hysteresis loop of FE materials. The results are related to the coexistence of the FE and non-FE domain walls in the FEP3c1 state. Furthermore, it is found that the FEP3c1 state at substitution concentration 0.39 exhibits the highest dielectric response. The results advance our understanding of topological vortex structures in hexagonal manganites.

A Model of Type II Collagen-Induced Spondylitis and Arthritis in F1 Hybrid Male Mice.

In this study, we tested a new model of ankylosing spondylitis in order to determine its histological and radiological features needed to investigate peripheral arthritis, spondylitis, and formation of the new bone tissues. F1 hybrid male mice (BALB/c×DBA/1), a progeny of spondylitis-susceptible BALB/c male mice and rheumatoid arthritis-susceptible DBA/1 female mice, were immunized intraperitoneally with bovine type II collagen (CII) mixed with adjuvant dimethyldioctadecylammonium bromide. Radiological and histological studies were performed at the peak of swelling, redness, and stiffness. The incidence of peripheral arthritis and spondylitis induced by CII in F1 hybrid mice were 66 and 62%, respectively. X-ray examination revealed bone erosion and spondylitis in the peripheral joints, as well as the formation of new bone tissues in the coccygeal vertebrae and between LIII and LIV vertebrae. The histological study showed lymphocyte and plasma cell infiltration, capillary dilation, congestion, and endochondral ossification of the lumbar vertebrae. This novel model of CII-induced spondylitis in F1 hybrid mice provoked axial and peripheral arthritides inducing chronic inflammation. In this model, the formation of new bone tissue in the stiff spine is characterized by endochondral ossification. The advanced model is an additional and valuable tool for investigation of the autoimmune reactions in spondylitis.

[Influencing factors of futile recanalization after endovascular therapy in acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusions].

Objective: To analyze the influencing factors of futile recanalization after endovascular therapy (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke patients with large vessel occlusions (AIS-LVO). Methods: AIS-LVO patients who underwent EVT with successful recanalization between January 2019 and December 2021 in Neurovascular Center of Changhai Hospital of Naval Medical University were retrospectively selected. Modified Rankin scale (mRS) score 3 months after EVT was used as the prognostic evaluation index, and patients with mRS scores≤2 were classified as the meaningful recanalization group and mRS scores 3-6 as the futile recanalization group. The risk factors, National Institutes of Health stroke scale (NIHSS) score, Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT (ASPECT) score, core infarct volume, etc. in both groups were analyzed, and the influencing factors of futile recanalization after EVT were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression. Continuous variables that do not conform to the normal distribution are represented by [M(Q1,Q3)]. Results: A total of 368 patients meeting the inclusion criteria were collected, including 228 males and 140 females, and aged 68 (61, 77) years. There are 196 patients and 172 patients in the meaningful recanalization and futile recanalization groups, respectively, with the rate of futile recanalization 3 months after EVT of 46.74% (172/368). Comparing the general information and risk factors between the two groups found that the age of patients in the futile recanalization group [71 (65, 79) years] was higher than that in the meaningful recanalization group [65 (59, 72) years]. The baseline NIHSS score [18 (14, 22)] and the rate of not achieving modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Ischemia grade 3 (mTICI 3) reperfusion (36.1%) were higher in the futile recanalization group than those in the meaningful recanalization group [12 (7, 17) and 19.9%]. The baseline GCS score [11 (9, 13)] was lower in the futile recanalization group than that in the meaningful recanalization group [14 (11, 15)]. The core infarct volume in the futile recanalization group [28 (7, 65) ml] was larger than that in the meaningful recanalization group [6 (0, 17) ml]. The ASPECT score [7 (5, 9)] was lower in the futile recanalization group than that in the meaningful recanalization group [9 (7, 10)]. In addition, the proportion of hypertension, atrial fibrillation, general anesthesia, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was higher in the futile recanalization group (all P<0.05). The time from symptom onset to puncture and from symptom onset to reperfusion was longer in the futile recanalization group (both P<0.05). There were statistically significant differences in trial of Org 10172 in acute stroke treatment (TOAST) classification and the site of occluded blood vessels between the two groups (both P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that age ≥80 years(OR=1.935,95%CI: 1.168-3.205), baseline NIHSS score (OR=1.999,95%CI: 1.202-3.325), GCS score (OR=2.299,95%CI: 1.386-3.814), previous stroke history (OR=1.977,95%CI: 1.085-3.604), general anesthesia (OR=1.981,95%CI: 1.143-3.435), not achieving grade 3 recanalization (OR=2.846, 95%CI: 1.575-5.143), ASPECT score<6 (OR=2.616, 95%CI: 1.168-5.857), and core infarct volume>70 ml (OR=2.712, 95%CI: 1.130-6.505) were risk factors for futile recanalization. Conclusion: Age≥80 years, previous stroke history, baseline NIHSS score≥20, GCS score≤8, general anesthesia, ASPECT score<6, core infarct volume>70 ml, and failure to achieve Grade 3 recanalization are independent influencing factors for futile recanalization after endovascular therapy in AIS-LVO patients.

[Secular trends of age at menarche and age at menopause in women born since 1951 from a county of Shandong Province, China].

OBJECTIVE: To describe the secular trends of age at menarche and age at natural menopause of women from a county of Shandong Province. METHODS: Based on the data of the Premarital Medical Examination and the Cervical Cancer and Breast Cancer Screening of the county, the secular trends of age at menarche in women born in 1951 to 1998 and age at menopause in women born in 1951 to 1975 were studied. Joinpoint regression was used to identify potential inflection points regarding the trend of age at menarche. Average hazard ratios (AHR) of early menopause among women born in different generations were estimated by performing multivariate weighted Cox regression. RESULTS: The average age at menarche was (16.43±1.89) years for women born in 1951 and (13.99±1.22) years for women born in 1998. The average age at menarche was lower for urban women than that for rural women, and the higher the education level, the lower the average age at menarche. Joinpoint regression analysis identified three inflection points: 1959, 1973 and 1993. The average age at menarche decreased annually by 0.03 (P < 0.001), 0.08 (P < 0.001), and 0.03 (P < 0.001) years respectively for women born during 1951-1959, 1960-1973, and 1974-1993, while it remained stable for those born during 1994-1998 (P=0.968). As for age at menopause, compared with women born during 1951-1960, those born during 1961-1965, 1966-1970 and 1971-1975 showed a gradual decrease in the risk of early menopause and a tendency to delay the age at menopause. The stratified analysis presented that the risk of early menopause gradually decreased and the age of menopause showed a significant delay among those with education level of junior high school and below, but this trend was not obvious among those with education level of senior high school and above, where the risk of early menopause decreased and then increased among those with education level of college and above, and the corresponding AHRs were 0.90 (0.66-1.22), 1.07 (0.79-1.44) and 1.14 (0.79-1.66). CONCLUSION: The age at menarche for women born since 1951 gradually declined until 1994 and leveled off, with a decrease of nearly 2.5 years in these years. The age at menopause for women born between 1951 and 1975 was generally delayed over time, but the trend of first increase and then decrease was observed among those with relatively higher education levels. In the context of the increasing delay in age at marriage and childbearing and the decline of fertility, this study highlights the necessity of the assessment and monitoring of women' s basic reproductive health status, especially the risk of early menopause.

[Forecasting the burden of disease from diabetes under the scenarios of specific risk factors control in China in 2030].

Objective: To forecast mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes, and to simulate the impact of controlling risk factors by 2030 in China. Methods: We simulated the burden of disease from diabetes in six scenarios according to the development goals of risk factors control by the WHO and Chinese government. Based on the theory of comparative risk assessment and the estimates of the burden of disease for China from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015, we used the proportional change model to project the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes under different scenarios of risk factors control in 2030. Results: If the trends in exposures to risk factors from 1990 to 2015 continued. Mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes would increase to 32.57/100 000, 17.32/100 000, and 0.84% by 2030, respectively. During that time, mortality, age-standardized mortality and probability of premature mortality for males would all be higher than for females. If the goals of controlling risk factors were all achieved, the number of deaths from diabetes in 2030 would decrease by 62.10% compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends in exposure to risk factors, and the probability of premature mortality would drop to 0.29%. If only the exposure to a single risk factor were achieved by 2030, high fasting plasma glucose control would have the greatest impact on diabetes, resulting in a 56.00% reduction in deaths compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends, followed by high BMI (4.92%), smoking (0.65%), and low physical activity (0.53%). Conclusions: Risk factors control plays an important role in reducing the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes. We suggest taking comprehensive measures to control relevant risk factors for certain populations and regions, to achieve the goal of reducing the burden of disease from diabetes as expected.

[Pathological evaluation of endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer and precancerous lesion in 411 cases].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the pathological characteristics of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) specimens for early gastric cancer and precancerous lesions, accumulating experience for clinical management and pathological analysis. METHODS: A total of 411 cases of early gastric cancer or precancerous lesions underwent ESD. According to the Japanese guidelines for ESD treatment of early gastric cancer and classification of gastric carcinoma, the clinicopathological data, pathologic evaluation, concordance rate of pathological diagnosis between preoperative endoscopic forceps biopsies and their ESD specimens (in 400 cases), as well as the risk factors of non-curative resection of early gastric cancer, were analyzed retrospectively. RESULTS: 23.4% (96/411) of the 411 cases were adenoma/low-grade dysplasia and 76.6% (315/411) were early gastric cancer. The latter included 28.0% (115/411) non-invasive carcinoma/high-grade dysplasia and 48.7% (200/411) invasive carcinoma. The concordance rate of pathological diagnosis between endoscopic forceps biopsies and ESD specimens was 66.0% (264/400), correlating with pathological diagnosis and lesion location (P < 0.01). The rate of upgraded diagnosis and downgraded diagnosis after ESD was 29.8% (119/400) and 4.2% (17/400), respectively. Among the 315 cases of early gastric cancer, there were 277 cases (87.9%) of differentiated type and 38 cases (12.1%) of undifferentiated type. In the study, 262 cases (83.2%) met with absolute indication, while 53 cases (16.8%) met relative indication. En bloc and curative resection rates were 98.1% and 82.9%, respectively. Risk factors for non-curative resection included a long diameter >20 mm (OR=3.631, 95%CI: 1.170-11.270, P=0.026), tumor infiltration into submucosa (OR=69.761, 95%CI: 21.033-231.376, P < 0.001)and undifferentiated tumor histology (OR=16.950, 95%CI: 4.585-62.664, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Several subjective and objective factors, such as the limitations of biopsy samples, the characteristics and distribution of the lesions, different pathological understanding, and the endoscopic sampling and observation, can lead to the differences between the preoperative and postoperative pathological diagnosis of ESD. In particular, the pathological upgrade of postoperative diagnosis was more significant and should receive more attention by endoscopists and pathologists. The curative resection rate of early gastric cancer in ESD was high. Non-curative resection was related to the long diameter, the depth of tumor invasion and histological classification. ESD can also be performed in undifferentiated early gastric cancer if meeting the indication criteria. The comprehensive and standardized pathological analysis of ESD specimens is clinically important to evaluate the curative effect of ESD operation and patient outcomes.

Exchange bias effect in polycrystalline Bi0.5Sr0.5Fe0.5Cr0.5O3 bulk.

Bulk Bi0.5Sr0.5Fe0.5Cr0.5O3 (BSFCO) is a new compound comprising the R3c structure. The structural, magnetic property and exchange bias (EB) details are investigated. The material was in the super-paramagnetic (SP) state at room temperature. Exchange bias usually occurs at the boundary between different magnetic states after field cooling (HFC) acts on the sample. Here the result shows that changing HFC from 1 to 6 T reduces the HEB value by 16% at 2 K at the same time. Meanwhile, HEB diminishes as the ferromagnetic layer thickness increases. The variation of (the thickness of ferromagnetic layer) tFM with the change of HFC leads to the tuning of HEB by HFC in BSFCO bulk. These effects are obviously different from the phenomenon seen in other oxide types.

[Application of two kinds of electrophysiological monitoring techniques for the prediction of facial nerve outcomes after vestibular Schwannoma surgery].

Objective: To investigate the application of transcranial facial nerve motor evoked potential (FNMEP) and direct nerve electrical stimulation (DNES) for the prediction of facial nerve function after vestibular schwannoma surgery. Methods: The clinical data of 106 patients who underwent vestibular schwannoma surgery under electrophysiological monitoring of facial nerve between 2017 and 2021 were retrospectively examined, and there were 57 males and 49 females, with a mean age of (51±11) years. Neuroelectrophysiological monitoring was performed in all patients during the operation. After the tumor was removed, FNMEP and DNES were used for electrophysiological evaluation of facial nerve function. The amplitude ratios of FNMEP to baseline (M1) and the brainstem segment to the internal auditory canal segment of DNES (M2) were recorded after the tumor was removed, respectively. The correlation between these two ratios and facial nerve function at 1 day, 1 month and 3 months after the operation were compared. According to the House-Brackmann (HB) scale, Grade Ⅰ-Ⅱ refers to good facial nerve function, and grade Ⅲ-Ⅵ refers to moderate and severe facial nerve dysfunction. Non-parameter Spearman correlation coefficient was used to evaluate the correlation between M1 and M2 and facial nerve function at 1 day, 1 month and 3 months after operation, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to verify the diagnostic efficacy of M1 and M2 for predicting the prognosis of postoperative facial nerve function. Results: Among 106 patients, 102 cases (96.3%) underwent total tumor resection, 4 patients (3.7%) underwent subtotal resection, 104 patients (98.1%) had anatomical preservation of facial nerves, and there were no deaths reported. All patients could evoke reliable FNMEP and 2 patients could not evoke DNES in the brainstem segment of the facial nerve. There were 81 (76.4%), 99 (93.4%) and 103 patients (97.2%) with satisfactory function of facial nerve at 1 day, 1 month and 3 months after surgery, respectively. M1 had large absolute values of Spearman correlation coefficient at 1 day (ρ=|-0.648|) and 1 month (ρ=|-0.552|) after surgery (both P<0.001), while M2 showed a greater absolute value of Spearman correlation coefficient at 3 months (ρ=|-0.395|) than that of M1 (ρ=|-0.378|) (P<0.001). Cut-off value of M1 was 0.58 (sensitivity=0.92, specificity=0.64), and that of M2 was 0.36 (sensitivity=0.64, specificity=1.00). Meanwhile, M1<0.58 or M2<0.36 suggested moderate and severe impairment of facial nerve function. Conclusions: Both FNMEP and DNES during vestibular schwannoma surgery can effectively evaluate the postoperative facial nerve function. FNMEP is better than DNES in predicting the early postoperative facial nerve function, but DNES is better for predicting the long-term postoperative facial nerve function.

[Status of home blood pressure monitoring and influencing factors of regular home blood pressure monitoring among elderly uncontrolled hypertensive patients in Central and Western China].

Objective: To describe the prevalence of home blood pressure monitoring and analyze the factors influencing regular blood pressure monitoring among elderly uncontrolled hypertensive patients in Central and Western China. Methods: It was a cross-sectional study, which enrolled hypertensive patients aged over 60 years with office blood pressure ≥140/90 mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) from September 2019 to July 2020 in 72 hospitals in Central and Western China. Patients completed the electronic questionnaires, and were divided into regular and irregular home blood pressure monitoring groups. The proportion of patients using different types of sphygmomanometers and the percentage of patients with regular home blood pressure monitoring (at least weekly) were explored. The generalized linear mixed model was used to define the influencing factors of regular home blood pressure monitoring. Results: A total of 3 857 patients were included in this study. Age was 67(64,71) years old and there were 2 163 males (56.1%). Overall, sphygmomanometer was available at home for 3 044(78.9%) patients, 2 168(56.2%) patients conducted regular home blood pressure monitoring. Among the patients with a sphygmomanometer at home, 2 370(77.9%) of the sphygmomanometers were upper arm electronic device. Older age, higher income, longer history of hypertension, multiple antihypertensive medications and awareness of diagnostic criteria of hypertension and hypertension complications were associated with a higher prevalence of regular home blood pressure monitoring (all P<0.05). Conclusions: Among the elderly hypertensive patients with uncontrolled blood pressure in Central and Western China, there is a relatively high prevalence of home sphygmomanometer ownership and regular monitoring. Age, family income, history of hypertension, number of antihypertensive drugs and knowledge of hypertension are the influencing factors of regular home blood pressure monitoring in this population.

[Effect analysis of treating intracranial wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms through Woven EndoBridge].

Objective: To explore the clinical effect of Woven EndoBridge (WEB) in the treatment of wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms. Methods: The clinical and imaging data of 11 patients with intracranial wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms treated by WEB alone at Department of Neurosurgery of the Northern Theater General Hospital from September 2017 to May 2018, were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were 7 males and 4 females, aged (54±11) years (ranged from 31 to 66 years). The aneurysms of 5 patients were located in the anterior communicating artery, 3 in the top of the basilar artery, and 3 in the bifurcation of the middle cerebral artery. The intraoperative and postoperative conditions of the patients were recorded, and the degree of aneurysm embolization was evaluated by WEB embolization aneurysm occlusion scale (WOS). Results: The intraoperative WEB release of all the 11 patients was good, with 3 cases of WOS grade A, 1 of grade B and 7 of grade C, with no intraoperative acute complications occurring. The imaging follow-up was not carried out in 1 patient due to economic reason, and the clinical follow-up was good until 3 years after the operation; 10 patients were followed up by imaging for 6 months to 3 years, and no postoperative complications occurred in the target treatment area. Among the 2 patients with WOS grade A and 1 patient with grade B during operation, according to the postoperative follow-up, all were WOS grade A; among the 7 patients with WOS grade C during operation, 4 were still of grade C and 3 were of grade D according to the follow-up. Among the 3 patients with WOS grade D, 1 patient received secondary embolization due to poor recurrence morphology, unstable hemodynamics and high possibility of rupture of aneurysm, stent assisted coil embolization was adopted, with good immediate effect; the other 2 cases had recurrent aneurysms, but the aneurysms had good morphology and stable hemodynamics, therefore, clinical follow-up was continued and no secondary surgery was performed. No complications occurred in all these 11 patients. Conclusions: The operation of treating unruptured intracranial wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms with WEB device alone is simple, and there is no need for anticoagulation and antiplatelet treatment before and after the operation, the clinical effect is being good. WEB device provides a new treatment option for intracranial wide-neck bifurcation aneurysms.

[Prediction on the cardio-cerebrovascular death and probability of premature death caused by common risk factors in China in 2030].

Objective: Predictive models were used to evaluate the impact of common risk factors on the number of cardio-cerebrovascular deaths and the probability of premature death. Methods: Using the data for China estimated by the Global Burden of Disease study 2015 (GBD 2015), we calculated the population attribution fraction (PAF) of risk factors. The proportional change model was used to estimate the number of unattributable deaths by 2030, and to predict the number of deaths, mortality, standardized mortality and probability of premature death by 2030. Results: According to the natural change trend of risk factors from 1990 to 2015, the number of deaths and mortality would reach 6.12 million and 428.53/100 000 by 2030, with an increase of 59.92% and 52.87%. By 2030, the probability of premature death from cardio-cerebrovascular diseases among Chinese aged 30-70 years old would continue to decline, from 11.43% to 11.28% for men, and from 5.79% to 4.43% for women. If the goals of all included risk factors were reached by 2030, 2 289 200 cardio-cerebrovascular deaths would be avoided. If only the exposure to a single risk factor was achieved by 2030, blood pressure, total cholesterol, and fine particulate matter exposure were the three most important factors affecting cardio-cerebrovascular deaths, which would reduce 1 332 800, 609 100 and 306 800 deaths, respectively. Among the involved risk factors, the control of blood pressure would mostly decrease the number of deaths due to ischemic heart disease and hemorrhagic stroke, about 677 300 and 391 100 deaths, accordingly. Conclusion: The control of risk factors is of great significance in reducing deaths and probability of premature death due to cardio-cerebrovascular diseases. If the control targets of all risk factors could be achieved by 2030, the burden of cardio-cerebrovascular diseases would be reduced greatly.

[Prediction on the burden of disease of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and simulation of the effectiveness of controlling risk factors in China by 2030].

Objective: To forecast the burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in China by 2030 and evaluate the effectiveness of controlling risk factors based on the predictive model. Methods: Based on the relationship between the death of COPD and exposure to risk factors and the theory of comparative risk assessment, we used the estimates of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 (GBD2015) for China, targets for controlling risk factors, and proportion change model to project the number of deaths, standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality from chronic respiratory diseases by 2030 in different scenarios and to evaluate the impact of controlling the included risk factors to the disease burden of COPD in 2030. Results: If the trends in exposure to risk factors from 1990 to 2015 continued, the number of deaths and the mortality for COPD would be 1.06 million and 73.85 per 100 000 population in China by 2030, respectively, with an increase of 15.81% and 10.69% compared to those in 2015. Compared to 2015, the age-standardized mortality rate would decrease by 38.88%, and the premature mortality would reduce by 52.73% by 2030. If the smoking rate and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration separately achieve their control targets by 2030, there would be 0.34 and 0.27 million deaths that could be avoided compared to the predicted numbers based on the natural trends in exposure to risk factors and the probability of premature death would reduce to 0.59% and 0.52%, respectively. If the control targets of all included risk factors were achieved by 2030, a total of 0.53 million deaths would be averted, and the probability of premature death would decrease to 0.44%. Conclusions: If the exposures to risk factors continued as showed from 1990 to 2015, the number of deaths and mortality for COPD would increase by 2030 compared to 2015, and the standardized mortality and the probability of premature death would decrease significantly, which would achieve the targets of preventing and controlling COPD. If the exposure to the included risk factors all achieved the targets by 2030, the burden of COPD would be reduced, suggesting that the control of tobacco use and air pollution should be enhanced to prevent and control COPD.

[Mortality trend of chronic respiratory diseases in China, 1990-2019].

Objective: To analyze mortality and its trend of chronic respiratory diseases (CRD) in China from 1990 to 2019. Methods: Based on the provincial results of China from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, the average annual percent change (AAPC) of standardized mortality rates of different CRDs were analyzed by using Joinpoint 4.8.0.1, and the age-standardized mortality rate of CRD was calculated by using the GBD 2019 world standard population. Based on the comparative risk assessment theory of GBD, the attributable deaths due to 12 CRD risk factors were estimated, including smoking, indoor air pollution, occupational gas exposure, particulates and smog exposure, environmental particulate pollution, low temperature, passive smoking, ozone pollution, occupational exposure to silica, occupational asthma, high body mass index, high temperature and occupational exposure to asbestos. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the number of deaths and standardized mortality of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) showed a downward trend (P<0.001). The number of COPD deaths decreased from 1 244 000 (912 000 - 1 395 000) in 1990 to 1 037 000 (889 000 - 1 266 000) in 2019. AAPC=-0.9% (95%CI: -1.5% - -0.3%), P<0.001; The standardized mortality rate decreased from 217.9/100 000 (163.3/100 000 - 242.0/100 000) in 1990 to 65.2/100 000 (55.5/100 000 - 80.1/100 000) in 2019. AAPC= -4.2% (95%CI:-5.2% - -3.2%), P<0.001. The number of deaths from asthma decreased from 40 000 (30 000 - 58 000) in 1990 to 25 000 (20 000 - 31 000) in 2019. AAPC=-2.0% (95%CI: -2.6% - -1.4%), P<0.001; The standardized mortality rate of asthma decreased from 6.4/100 000 (4.7/100 000 - 9.5/100 000) in 1990 to 1.5/100 000 (1.2/100 000 - 1.9/100 000) in 2019. AAPC=-5.1% (95%CI: -5.8% - -4.4%), P<0.001. The number of pneumoconiosis deaths decreased from 11 000 (8 000 - 14 000) in 1990 to 10 000 (8 000 - 14 000) in 2019, AAPC=-0.2%(95%CI:-0.4% - 0.1%), P=0.200; The standardized mortality rate of pneumoconiosis decreased from 1.4/100 000 (1.0/100 000 - 1.7/100 000) in 1990 to 0.5/100 000 (0.4/100 000 - 0.7/100 000) in 2019. AAPC=-3.1% (95%CI: -3.4% - -2.8%), P<0.001. The number of deaths from pulmonary interstitial diseases and pulmonary sarcoidosis increased from 3 000 (3 000 - 6 000) in 1990 to 8 000 (6 000 - 10 000) in 2019, AAPC=3.5% (95%CI: 2.7% - 4.2%), P<0.001; The corresponding standardized mortality rate changed little from 1990 to 2019, and AAPC was not statistically significant.The age-standardized mortality rates of different CRDs were higher in men than those in women. In 1990 and 2019, the mortality rates of COPD, asthma, pneumoconiosis and interstitial pulmonary disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis increased with age. In 2019, the population attributable fractions (PAFs) for smoking, environmental particulate pollution, occupational gas exposure, particulate and smog exposure, low temperature exposure and passive smoking were 71.1% (68.0% - 74.3%), 24.7% (20.1% - 30.0%), 19.3% (13.0% - 25.4%), 15.7% (13.6% - 18.3%) and 8.8% (4.5% - 13.1%) respectively in men, and the PAFs for environmental particulate pollution, smoking, low temperature exposure, occupational gas exposure, particulate and smog exposure, and passive smoking were 24.1% (19.6% - 29.3%), 21.9% (18.7% - 25.2%), 16.4% (14.0% - 19.2%), 15.6% (10.2% - 21.1%) and 14.7% (7.9% - 21.3%) respectively in women. Conclusions: During 1990-2019, the overall death level of CRD decreased significantly in China, but it is still at high level in the world. Active prevention and control measures should be taken to reduce the death level caused by CRD.

[Prediction of disease burden caused by malignant cancer in the context of risk factor control in China, 2030].

Objective: To predict the number of deaths, standardized mortality and probability of premature mortality caused by malignant cancer in the context of risk factor control at different levels in China in 2030, and assess the possibility of achieving the target of reducing the probability of premature mortality of malignant cancer. Methods: According to the risk factor control standard for malignant cancer used both at home and abroad, the results of China from Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 were used to calculate the population attributable fraction of the risk factors. Based on the comparative risk assessment theory, the deaths of malignant cancer were classified as attributable deaths and un-attributable deaths. Proportional change model was used to predict risk factor exposure and un-attributable deaths of malignant cancer in the future, then the number of deaths, standardized mortality rate and probability of premature mortality of malignant cancer in 2030 was estimated. Data analyses were performed by using software R 3.6.1. Results: If the risk factor exposure level during 1990-2015 remains, the number of deaths, standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality of malignant cancer would increase to 3.62 million, 153.96/100 000 and 8.92% by 2030, respectively. If the risk factor exposure control level meets the requirement, the probability of premature mortality from cancer in people aged 30-70 years would drop to 7.57% by 2030. Conclusions: The control of risk factor exposure will play an important role in reducing deaths, standardized mortality rate and probability of premature mortality of malignant cancer. But more efforts are needed to achieve the goals of Health China Action.

[Disease burden of breast cancer in women in China, 1990-2017].

Objective: To analyze the trend of the incidence, mortality and disease burden of breast cancer in women in China during 1990-2017. Methods: Based on the estimation of data in China from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 (GBD2017), the incidence,mortality, disability- adjusted life years (DALY), years of life lost (YLL), and years lived with disability (YLD) on breast cancer for women in China during 1990-2017 were standardized by the world standard population used for GBD2017. The GBD study applied the attributable burden formula to estimate the attributable deaths by five risk factors of breast cancer, including alcohol use, high body mass index (BMI), high fasting plasma glucose, low physical activity and tobacco smoking. The incidence, mortality, attributable deaths and the disease burden due to breast cancer in women in China were analyzed. Results: In 2017, a total of 357.6 thousand female breast cancer cases, including 84.8 thousand deaths, were reported in China, with the age-standardized incidence rate of 35.62/100 000, which increased by 286.18%, 114.14% and 88.77% respectively compared with 1990. The age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 8.57/100 000 in 1990 to 7.84 /100 000 in 2007, then increased to 8.71 /100 000 in 2015, and then decreased to 8.47/100 000 in 2017. The mortality of breast cancer increased with age in 1990 and 2017. From 1990 to 2017, the trend of standardized DALY rate and standardized YLL rate were the same as that of standardized mortality, while the standardized YLD rate and the proportion of YLD in DALY increased year by year. In 2017, the standardized DALY rate, standardized YLL rate and standardized YLD rate of breast cancer were 253.00/100 000, 228.96/100 000, and 24.05/100 000, respectively. Compared with 1990, the change rates were -6.88% and -11.73% and 95.85% respectively. The proportion of breast cancer deaths attributable to high BMI increased significantly by 165.76%, from 5.49% in 1990 to 14.59% in 2017. The proportion of breast cancer deaths attributable to alcohol use and high fasting blood glucose increased; and the proportion of breast cancer deaths attributed to low physical activity and smoking remained stable. In 2017, the three provinces with the highest age-standardized mortality rate of female breast cancer were Hongkong (9.93/100 000), Guangxi (9.52/100 000) and Liaoning (9.49/100 000). Compared with 1990, the age-standardized mortality of 19 provinces decreased, and Beijing (-27.17%), Macao (-26.06%) and Jilin (-23.89%) had the fastest decrease. The two provinces with the highest growth rates were Hebei (28.85%) and Henan (24.34%). Conclusions: The disease burden of female breast cancer in China increased during 1990-2017. Therefore it is necessary to strengthen the prevention and treatment of breast cancer.

[Analysis on all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy in China, 2005-2018].

Objective: To understand the geographical variations and temporal trends of all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy in China at national and subnational levels during 2005-2018. Methods: Using data from National Cause-of-death Reporting System, China National Maternal and Child Health Surveillance System, Under-reporting Surveys, and related social determinants covariates, we estimated all-cause mortality rate and life expectancy at national and subnational levels in China during 2005-2018. We depicted the geographical variations and temporal trends between provinces on mortality rate and life expectancy. We then decomposed changes in national and subnational deaths into three explanatory components: change due to age-specific mortality rate, change due to the population structure by age, and change due to growth of the total population. Results: In 2018, it was estimated that there were 10 482 297 total deaths (95%CI: 9 723 233-11 466 875 deaths) in China, with 6 113 926 men (95%CI: 5 773 158-6 572 407 men) and 4 368 241 women (95%CI: 3 950 075-4 894 468 women). The all-cause mortality rate was 755.54 per 100 000 (95%CI: 701.49 per 100 000-825.78 per 100 000), with 861.78 per 100 000 (95%CI: 813.75 per 100 000-926.40 per 100 000) in men and 642.73 per 100 000 (95%CI: 581.20 per 100 000-720.15 per 100 000) in women, while age-standardized all-cause mortality rate was 652.27 per 100 000 (95%CI: 599.22 per 100 000-721.71 per 100 000), with 806.38 per 100 000 (95%CI: 755.10 per 100 000-874.31 per 100 000) in men and 503.37 per 100 000 (95%CI: 450.50 per 100 000-572.01 per 100 000) in women. In 2018, it was estimated that the life expectancy in the whole country was 77.15 years old (95%CI: 75.92-78.11 years old), with 74.81 (95%CI: 73.57-75.76) in men and 79.87 (95%CI: 78.61-80.91) in women. Developed areas as Shanghai, Beijing, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang owned comparatively higher life expectancy, while undeveloped areas like Tibet, Guizhou, Xinjiang, and Qinghai showed lower levels. During 2005-2018, there was a 29.87% increase in total deaths at the national level, with 27.74% in men and 31.29% in women. Changes due to age-specific mortality rate, the population structure by age, and the growth of the total population constituted -35.74%, 7.34%, and 58.28% of the total increase, respectively. Conclusions: From 2005 to 2018, the all-cause mortality rate increased while the age-standardized mortality rate decreased substantially among Chinese residents. Change due to population structure by age was the dominant driver. An upward trend of life expectancy was observed in all provinces, with marked differences between the provinces.

[Analysis on factors associated with the place of death among individuals with cardiovascular diseases in China, 2018].

Objective: To understand the distribution patterns of the place of death (PoD) among individuals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the provinces of China in 2018. Relationships between CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions and individual demographics, social-economic status (SES), the underlying cause of death, and local cultural factors were also explored. Methods: Using data from the National Cause-of-death Reporting System, we examined potential, influential factors of CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions through multilevel logistic regression. Results: In 2018, there were 853 832 CVD deaths in disease surveillance points in the country, with 661 625 (77.49%) home deaths and 156 441 (18.32%) occurring in healthcare and medical institutions. Factors including sex, age, nationality, marital status, education level, occupation, the underlying cause of death, criterion for diagnosis, and urban/rural residency, were significantly influential on CVD deaths in healthcare/medical institutions. Meanwhile, spatial variations were shown at factors the subnational level, with 45.39% related to factors at the individual level. Conclusion: Home was the dominant place for CVD deaths in the country, with substantial spatial variations in PoD between provinces. The probability of dying in healthcare/medical settings was comparatively higher among CVD patients with superior socioeconomic status and who lived in urban areas. Adequate information should be collected and included in further studies on exploring influential factors of PoD. Since both social factors, individual preferences, and acute and chronic CVD deaths are critical, it is necessary to enhance treatment capacity. A booming approach incorporating home/hospice care with on-site medical services might also improve the quality of end-of-life care among CVD patients in China.

[Influences of using different spatial weight matrices in analyzing spatial autocorrelation of cardiovascular diseases mortality in China].

Objective: To explore the potential influences and applicability of different spatial weight matrices used in analyzing spatial autocorrelation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in China. Methods: Using data from the National Cause-of-death Reporting System, we used adjacency-based Rook and Queen contiguity and distance-based K nearest neighbors/distance threshold. We then conducted global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis of CVD mortality at the county level in China, 2018. Results: All four categories and 26 types of spatial weight matrices had detected significant global and local spatial autocorrelation of CVD mortality in China. Global Moran's I statistics reached its peak when using first-order Rook (0.406), first-order Queen (0.406), K nearest neighbors including five spatial units (0.409), and distance threshold with 100 kilometers (0.358). Meanwhile, apparent local spatial autocorrelation was found in CVD mortality. Substantial disparities were observed when detecting "High-High clusters", "Low-Low clusters", "High-Low clusters" and "Low-High clusters" of CVD mortality spatial distribution by using different weight matrices. Conclusions: Using different spatial weight matrices in analyzing the spatial autocorrelation of CVD mortality, we could understand the spatial distribution characteristics of CVD mortality in-depth at the county level in China. In this way, adequate supports could also be provided on CVD premature death control and rational medical resource allocation regionally.

[Analysis of the effect of stent-assisted embolization for low-grade subarachnoid hemorrhage caused by V4 segment dissecting aneurysm of vertebral artery].

Objective: To investigate the efficacy and safety of different stents assisted embolization in the treatment of subarachnoid hemorrhage(SAH) caused by V4 dissecting aneurysm of vertebral artery. Methods: The clinical data of 39 patients with spontaneous SAH V4 dissecting aneurysm treated at the Department of Neurosurgery, the Northern Theater General Hospital from January 2016 to June 2019 were analyzed retrospectively.There were 21 males and 18 females, aged (48±17) years(range:35 to 68 years).There were 24 cases of HUNT-HESS grade Ⅰ and 15 cases of grade Ⅱ.Among them, 20 cases were treated with single stent-assisted embolization, 9 cases with multi-stent-assisted embolization, 9 cases with semi-dense mesh-assisted embolization, and 1 case with dense-mesh stent-assisted embolization.The perioperative and postoperative complications, postoperative recurrence were collected. Results: Intraoperative complications included 2 cases of aneurysm rupture and 2 cases of acute thrombosis.All aneurysms were densely packed according to the angiography performed immediately after operation.Postoperative complications included 3 cases of long-term responsible vascular ischemia(modified Rankin score<2). The patients were followed up for 15.1 months(range: 12 to 29 months). At the last follow-up, aneurysms recurrence occured in 10 cases, the recurrence rate was 25.6%(10/39). There were 6 cases of recurrence and 2 cases of complications in 20 cases with single stent-assisted embolization, 3 cases of recurrence and 4 cases of complications in 9 cases with multi-stent-assisted embolization, 1 case of recurrence and 1 case of complications in 9 cases with semi-dense mesh stent. Conclusion: Endovascular treatment is feasible for patients with vertebral artery dissecting aneurysm, and the appropriate surgical method should be selected according to the vascular structure and the location of the aneurysm.