Key Issues of Economic Evaluations for Health Technology Assessment in China: A Nationwide Expert Survey.

OBJECTIVES: Health technology assessment (HTA) is increasingly crucial in medicine price negotiations in China, yet previous appraisals revealed national discrepancies on key economic evaluation issues: willingness-to-pay threshold, pricing models for multi-indication medicines, and comparator selection principles. This study aimed to collect expert opinions on these issues for future HTA evaluations. METHODS: A nationwide anonymous web-based survey encompassing experts across academia, HTA, consultancy/contract research organization/industry, service provider, and payer. In 2023, a generic invitation containing a web link to the questionnaire was disseminated via WeChat using convenience and snowball sampling. Agreement rates for questionnaire views were analyzed using descriptive statistics. The relationship between participants' responses and demographics was examined using appropriate logistic models. RESULTS: A total of 303 responses were received from experts in 34 cities. Key expert views include a suggested base willingness-to-pay threshold ranging from 0.5 to 1.5 times gross domestic product (52.1% agreement); elevated thresholds for childhood diseases, rare diseases, end-of-life diseases, and first-in-class medicines (>78.0% agreement); a single pricing model for multi-indication medicines (60.4% agreement); consideration of multiple medicines as comparators (79.9% agreement); and avoiding the use of centrally procured medicines as comparators for medicines with a time to market of less than 3 years (71.0% agreement). Participants who are service provider had lower odds of selecting higher thresholds (odds ratio 0.26; P < .01) than responders from consultancy/contract research organization/industry. CONCLUSIONS: Expert views indicate the need for substantial changes in China's current HTA methods, highlighting the need for increased investment in HTA processes and expertise cultivation.

A Longitudinal Elective Facilitates Point-of-Care Ultrasonography Education for Medical Students: An Observational Study.

OBJECTIVE: Determine if a longitudinal point-of-care ultrasonography (POCUS) elective for medical students is effective in improving POCUS knowledge. METHODS: We share the format of our longitudinal POCUS elective for medical students. To evaluate the efficacy of our longitudinal elective, we compare the difference between pre-elective and post-elective scores on a POCUS test using a paired t-test with threshold of statistical significance of p ≤ .05. We also share the results of a post-elective survey evaluating the effectiveness and quality of the longitudinal POCUS elective. RESULTS: Pretest mean score was 56.3% (σ = 13.6), while posttest mean score was 73.3% (σ = 9.4), with an average score improvement of 17.0% (95% CI 9.9-24.0%, p < .0001). All students strongly or moderately agreed that they would recommend the elective to future medical students, that they were more confident with their POCUS skills after completing the elective, that the time commitment of the elective was appropriate, and that they felt they had the time to fit the elective into their schedule as a medical school student. Most students (56.7%) strongly or moderately agreed that the knowledge gained from the POCUS elective had helped them in their clinical rotations. CONCLUSIONS: Our longitudinal POCUS curriculum subjectively and objectively improves medical students' POCUS knowledge while remaining accessible to students. We share our unique longitudinal POCUS elective curriculum, the format of which and its benefits are transferable to other medical schools. Through this, we hope to provide others with ideas on how they may implement a longitudinal POCUS elective.

Changing inequity in health service utilization and financial burden among patients with hypertension in China: evidence from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), 2011-2018.

BACKGROUND: China initiated a health system reform in 2009 to achieve Universal Health Coverage (UHC) by 2020. While the effectiveness of health-system reforms has been studied, equity in health-service utilization and financial burden remains underexplored. This study evaluated whether the health system reform has improved the equity in utilization and financial burden of health services among patients with hypertension in China. METHODS: We obtained data from four waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) conducted between 2011 and 2018. The main outcome variables were outpatient and inpatient service utilization rates and catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) for patients with hypertension. The Standardized Concentration Index (CI) was used to measure the changing equity in health service utilization and affordability. RESULTS: Outpatient service utilization was relatively equal among patients with varying socioeconomic statuses (SESs) (CI: 0.041 in 2011 and 0.064 in 2018). Inpatient service utilization inequity improved from CI 0.144 in 2011 to CI 0.066 in 2018. CHE incidence increased from 15.6% in 2011 to 24.2% in 2018. CI for CHE declined from -0.069 in 2011 to -0.012 in 2015 but increased to -0.063 in 2018. CONCLUSIONS: Health insurance expansion and poverty alleviation policies promoted equity in inpatient service utilization for hypertensive patients. However, the financial burden for the poor requires further attention through reimbursement policy adjustments for outpatient services in primary care settings.

Recent advancement in integrating artificial intelligence and information technology with real-world data for clinical decision-making in China: A scoping review.

OBJECTIVE: Striking innovations and advancements have been achieved with the use of artificial intelligence and healthcare information technology being integrated into clinical real-world data. The current scoping review aimed to provide an overview of the current status of artificial intelligence-/information technology-based clinical decision support tools in China. METHODS: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, China National Knowledge Internet, and Wanfang data were searched for both English and Chinese literature. The gray literature search was conducted for commercially available tools. Original studies that focused on clinical decision support tools driven by artificial intelligence or information technology in China and were published between 2010 and February 2022 were included. Information extracted from each article was further synthesized by themes based on three types of clinical decision-making. RESULTS: A total of 37 peer-reviewed publications and 13 commercially available tools were included in the final analysis. Among them, 32.0% were developed for disease diagnosis, 54.0% for risk prediction and classification, and 14.0% for disease management. Chronic diseases were the most popular therapeutic areas of exploration, with particular emphasis on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Single-center electronic medical records were the mainstream data sources leveraged to inform clinical decision-making, with internal validation being predominately used for model evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: To effectively promote the extensive use of real-world data and drive a paradigm shift in clinical decision-making in China, multidisciplinary collaboration of key stakeholders is urgently needed.

Existing barriers and recommendations of real-world data standardisation for clinical research in China: a qualitative study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the existing barriers and recommendations of real-world data (RWD) standardisation for clinical research through a qualitative study on different stakeholders. DESIGN: This qualitative study involved five types of stakeholders based on five interview outlines. The data analysis was performed using the constructivist grounded theory analysis process. SETTING: Eight hospitals, four hospital system vendors, three big data companies, six medical products companies and four regulatory institutions were included. PARTICIPANTS: In total, 62 participants from 25 institutions were interviewed through purposive sampling. RESULTS: The findings showed that the lack of clinical applicability in existing terminology standards, lack of generalisability in existing research databases, and lack of transparency in existing data standardisation process were the barriers of data standardisation of RWD for clinical research. Enhancing terminology standards by incorporating locally used clinical terminology, reducing burden in the usage of terminology standards, improving generalisability of RWD for research by using clinical data models, and improving traceability to source data for transparency might be feasible suggestions for solving the current problems. CONCLUSIONS: Efficient and reliable data standardisation of RWD for clinical research can help generate better evidence used to support regulatory evaluation of medical products. This research suggested enhancing terminology standards by incorporating locally used clinical terminology, reducing burden in the usage of terminology standards, improving generalisability of RWD for research by using clinical data models, and improving traceability to source data for transparency to guide efforts in data standardisation in the future.

Advancing the development of real-world data for healthcare research in China: challenges and opportunities.

Various real-world data (RWD) sources have emerged in China with the intention of generating real-world evidence (RWE) that can be used in clinical and regulatory decision-making. Despite these efforts, significant barriers remain that hinder high-quality healthcare research. A workshop with 30 representatives from healthcare research agencies, technology companies focused on healthcare big data and pharmaceutical companies was held in December 2020 to identify strategies to overcome the barriers associated with the usability and quality of RWD in China. Across all sectors, examples of barriers identified included inconsistencies in terminology and non-standardised coding practices; the absence of longitudinal data; the absence of transparent data processing and validation practices; and the inability to access and share RWD. While cutting-edge technological innovations and data solutions provided powerful tools, the development of collaborative and synergistic research networks across multiple stakeholders is key to generate accessible, high-quality RWD in China. RWD has the potential to provide clinical, regulatory and reimbursement decision-makers with critical insights that can improve healthcare delivery in China. However, barriers to its access, collection and use must be addressed to generate RWE to guide healthcare stakeholders.

Real-World Data for Healthcare Research in China: Call for Actions.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to provide an overview of major data sources in China that can be potentially used for epidemiology, health economics, and outcomes research; compare them with similar data sources in other countries; and discuss future directions of healthcare data development in China. METHODS: The study was conducted in 2 phases. First, various data sources were identified through a targeted literature review and recommendations by experts. Second, an in-depth assessment was conducted to evaluate the strengths and limitations of administrative claims and electronic health record data, which were further compared with similar data sources in developed countries. RESULTS: Secondary databases, including administrative claims and electronic health records, are the major types of real-world data in China. There are substantial variations in available data elements even within the same type of databases. Compared with similar databases in developed countries, the secondary databases in China have some general limitations such as variations in data quality, unclear data usage mechanism, and lack of longitudinal follow-up data. In contrast, the large sample size and the potential to collect additional data based on research needs present opportunities to further improve real-world data in China. CONCLUSIONS: Although healthcare data have expanded substantially in China, high-quality real-world evidence that can be used to facilitate decision making remains limited in China. To support the generation of real-world evidence, 2 fundamental issues in existing databases need to be addressed-data access/sharing and data quality.

Two steps forward, one step back: 50 years of societal value from LDL-C-lowering therapies.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the evolving landscape of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol-lowering therapies (LLTs) and quantify their effect on cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality and morbidity. STUDY DESIGN: Secondary data came from LLT clinical trials and 1999-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data. 1996-2016 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) data were used to estimate LLT spending. Nonfatal CVD events prevented by LLTs were calculated from clinical trials and NHANES. The value of nonfatal events prevented was calculated as the product of event treatment costs and the number of events prevented. The value of mortality reduction was calculated as the product of a value of a life-year and the life expectancy gain from LLTs. This was compared with LLT spending estimated using MEPS. METHODS: Total LLT expenditures were calculated based on MEPS LLT utilization and expenditure data. Values of prevented hospitalizations, prevented CVD events, and other LLT utilization-related outcomes were pulled from the published literature. RESULTS: Combined, statins and ezetimibe prevented 2.8 million nonfatal heart attacks and 1.7 million nonfatal strokes from 1999 to 2014. Statin use generated $2.6 trillion in societal value through CVD deaths avoided from 1987 to 2014, and 85% accrued to patients. CONCLUSIONS: LLTs have yielded significant societal value, and the majority of this value has accrued to patients.

Interplay between traumatic brain injury and intimate partner violence: data driven analysis utilizing electronic health records.

BACKGROUND: It is estimated that a majority of intimate partner violence (IPV) victims suffer from blunt force to the head, neck and the face area. Injuries to head and neck are among the major causes for traumatic brain injury (TBI). METHODS: In this interdisciplinary study, we aimed to characterize the key associations between IPV and TBI by mining de-identified electronic health records data with more than 12 M records between 1999 to 2017 from the IBM Explorys platform. For this purpose, we formulated a data-driven analytical framework to identify significant health correlates among IPV, TBI and six control cohorts. Using this framework, we assessed the co-morbidity, shared prevalence, and synergy between pairs of conditions. RESULTS: Our findings suggested that health effects attributed to malnutrition, acquired thrombocytopenia, post-traumatic wound infection, local infection of wound, poisoning by cardiovascular drug, alcoholic cirrhosis, alcoholic fatty liver, and drug-induced cirrhosis were highly significant at the joint presence of IPV and TBI. CONCLUSION: To develop a better understanding of how IPV is related to negative health effects, it is potentially useful to determine the interactions and relationships between symptom categories. Our results can potentially improve the accuracy and confidence of existing clinical screening techniques on determining IPV-induced TBI diagnoses.

Coming full circle in the measurement of medication adherence: opportunities and implications for health care.

There is little debate that medication nonadherence is a major public health issue and that measuring nonadherence is a crucial step toward improving it. Moreover, while measuring adherence is becoming both more feasible and more common in the era of electronic information, the reliability and usefulness of various measurements of adherence have not been well established. This paper outlines the most commonly used measures of adherence and discusses the advantages and disadvantages of each that depend on the purpose for which the measure will be used. International consensus statements on definitions and guidelines for selection and use of medication adherence measures were reviewed. The quality of recommended measures was evaluated in selected publications from 2009 to 2014. The most robust medication adherence measures are often ill suited for large-scale use. Less robust measures were found to be commonly misapplied and subsequently misinterpreted in population-level analyses. Adherence assessment and measurement were rarely integrated into standard patient care practice patterns. Successful scalable and impactful strategies to improve medication adherence will depend on understanding how to efficiently and effectively measure adherence.

Potential Clinical and Economic Impact of Switching Branded Medications to Generics.

Switching branded to generic medications has become a common cost-containment measure. Although this is an important objective for health care systems worldwide, the impact of this practice on patient outcomes needs to be carefully considered. We reviewed the literature summarizing the potential clinical and economic consequences of switching from branded to generic medications on patient outcomes. A literature search of peer-reviewed articles published 2003-2013 using key words of "generic switching" or "substitution" was conducted using PubMed, OvidSP, and ScienceDirect. Of 30 articles identified and reviewed, most were related to the diseases of the central nervous system, especially epilepsy. Based on our review, potential impacts of switching fell into 3 broad categories: patient attitudes and adherence, clinical and safety outcomes, and cost and resource utilization. Although in many cases generics may represent an appropriate alternative to branded products, this may not always be the case. Specifically, several studies suggested that switching may negatively impact medication adherence, whereas other studies found that generic switching was associated with poorer clinical outcomes and more adverse events. In some instances, switching accomplished cost savings but did so at increased total cost of care because of increased physician visits or hospitalizations. Although in many cases generics may represent an appropriate alternative, mandatory generic switching may lead to unintended consequences, especially in certain therapeutic areas. Although further study is warranted, based on our review, it may be medically justifiable for physicians and patients to retain the right to request the branded product in certain cases.

NETWORK MAP OF ADVERSE HEALTH EFFECTS AMONG VICTIMS OF INTIMATE PARTNER VIOLENCE.

Intimate partner violence (IPV) is a serious problem with devastating health consequences. Screening procedures may overlook relationships between IPV and negative health effects. To identify IPV-associated women's health issues, we mined national, aggregated de-identified electronic health record data and compared female health issues of domestic abuse (DA) versus non-DA records, identifying terms significantly more frequent for the DA group. After coding these terms into 28 broad categories, we developed a network map to determine strength of relationships between categories in the context of DA, finding that acute conditions are strongly connected to cardiovascular, gastrointestinal, gynecological, and neurological conditions among victims.

Cost-effectiveness of amlodipine compared with valsartan in preventing stroke and myocardial infarction among hypertensive patients in Taiwan.

Hypertension is a major risk factor for strokes and myocardial infarction (MI). Given its effectiveness and safety profile, the calcium channel blocker amlodipine is among the most frequently prescribed antihypertensive drugs. This analysis was conducted to determine the costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) associated with the use of amlodipine and valsartan, an angiotensin II receptor blocker, in preventing stroke and MI in Taiwanese hypertensive patients. A state transition (Markov) model was developed to compare the 5-year costs and QALYs for amlodipine and valsartan. Effectiveness data were based on the NAGOYA HEART Study, local studies, and a published meta-analysis. Utility data and costs of MI and stroke were retrieved from the published literature. Medical costs were based on the literature and inflated to 2011 prices; drug costs were based on National Health Insurance prices in 2014. A 3% discount rate was used for costs and QALYs and a third-party payer perspective adopted. One-way sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted. Compared with valsartan, amlodipine was associated with cost savings of New Taiwan Dollars (NTD) 2,251 per patient per year: costs were NTD 4,296 and NTD 6,547 per patient per year for amlodipine and valsartan users, respectively. Fewer cardiovascular events were reported in patients receiving amlodipine versus valsartan (342 vs 413 per 10,000 patients over 5 years, respectively). Amlodipine had a net gain of 58 QALYs versus valsartan per 10,000 patients over 5 years. Sensitivity analyses showed that the discount rate and cohort age had a larger effect on total cost and cost difference than on QALYs. However, amlodipine results were more favorable than valsartan irrespective of discount rate or cohort age. When administered to Taiwanese patients for hypertension control, amlodipine was associated with lower cost and more QALYs compared with valsartan due to a lower risk of stroke and MI events.

Estimating the future burden of cardiovascular disease and the value of lipid and blood pressure control therapies in China.

BACKGROUND: Lifestyle and dietary changes reflect an ongoing epidemiological transition in China, with cardiovascular disease (CVD) playing an ever-increasing role in China's disease burden. This study assessed the burden of CVD and the potential value of lipid and blood pressure control strategies in China. METHODS: We estimated the likely burden of CVD between 2016 and 2030 and how expanded use of lipid lowering and blood pressure control medication would impact that burden in the next 15 years. Accounting for the costs of drug use, we assessed the net social value of a policy that expands the utilization of lipid and blood pressure lowering therapies in China. RESULTS: Rises in prevalence of CVD risk and population aging would likely increase the incidence of acute myocardial infarctions (AMIs) by 75 million and strokes by 118 million, while the number of CVD deaths would rise by 39 million in total between 2016 and 2030. Universal treatment of hypertension and dyslipidemia patients with lipid and blood pressure lowering therapies could avert between 10 and 20 million AMIs, between 8 and 30 million strokes, and between 3 and 10 million CVD deaths during the 2016-2030 period, producing a positive social value net of health care costs as high as $932 billion. CONCLUSIONS: In light of its aging population and epidemiological transition, China faces near-certain increases in CVD morbidity and mortality. Preventative measures such as effective lipid and blood pressure management may reduce CVD burden substantially and provide large social value. While the Chinese government is implementing more systematic approaches to health care delivery, prevention of CVD should be high on the agenda.

Impact of Out-of-Pocket Costs on Prescription Fills Among New Initiators of Biologic Therapies for Rheumatoid Arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) therapies are a mainstay of treatment for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), yet high member out-of-pocket (OOP) costs for such therapies may limit patient access to these therapies. OBJECTIVE: To understand whether there is a relationship between OOP costs and the initial fill and subsequent refills of biologic DMARD treatments for RA members. METHODS: Members of a national Medicare Advantage and Prescription Drug (MAPD) plan with an adjudicated (paid or reversed) claim for a biologic DMARD indicated for RA were identified from July 1, 2007, to December 31, 2012, and followed retrospectively. The first adjudicated claim date was the index date. Members were required to have 180 days of continuous enrollment pre- and post-index and ≥ 1 diagnosis for RA (ICD-9-CM: 714.0 or 714.2) during pre-index or ≤ 30 days post-index. Low-income subsidy and Medicaid-Medicare dual-eligible patients were excluded. The analysis used multivariate regression models to examine associations between initial prescription (Rx) abandonment rates and OOP costs and factors influencing the refill of a biologic DMARD therapy based on pharmacy claims. RESULTS: The final sample size included 864 MAPD members with an adjudicated claim for a biologic DMARD. The majority were female (77.4%) and mean age was 63.5 years (SD = 10.9). Most (78%) had conventional nonbiologic DMARD utilization during pre-index. The overall initial abandonment rate was 18.2% for biologic DMARDs, ranging from 1.3% for the lowest OOP cost group ($0-$250) to 32.7% for the highest OOP cost group (> $550; P < 0.0001 for Cochran-Armitage trend test). ORs for abandonment rose from 18.4 to 32.7 to 41.2 for OOP costs of $250.01-$400.00, $400.01-$550.00, and > $550.00 respectively, relative to OOP costs of ≤ $250.00 (all P < 0.0001). Meeting the catastrophic coverage limit and utilization of a specialty pharmacy for the index claim were both associated with a decreased likelihood of abandoning therapy (OR = 0.29 and OR = 0.14, respectively; both P < 0.05). Among the subset of 533 members with a paid claim, 82.4% had at least 1 refill post-index. The negative association between OOP cost and likelihood of refilling an Rx was highly significant (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the higher the member OOP cost, the less likely an MAPD member is to initiate or refill a biologic DMARD therapy for RA. Further research is needed to understand reasons for initial Rx abandonment and lack of refills, including benefit design and adverse events.

Pharmacological Prophylaxis for Venous Thromboembolism Among Hospitalized Patients With Acute Medical Illness: An Electronic Medical Records Study.

Patients hospitalized with acute medical illness have an elevated risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). American College of Chest Physicians guidelines list various chronic illnesses, sepsis, advanced age, history of VTE, and immobility as risk factors and recommend prophylactic anticoagulation using fondaparinux, low-molecular weight heparin, or low-dose unfractionated heparin. The objectives of this study were to examine pharmacological prophylaxis against VTE among hospitalized medically ill patients and to assess demographic and clinical correlates related to VTE prophylaxis. A retrospective (1999-2010) electronic medical records study included patients aged 40 years and older hospitalized for at least 3 days, with significant medical illness or with a VTE hospitalization 30-365 days before admission. Each patient's first qualifying hospitalization was analyzed. Exclusions were if VTE treatment was started within 1 day of admission, or if warfarin (and not heparin or enoxaparin) was used. Prophylaxis was defined if the first inpatient dose of subcutaneous heparin or enoxaparin was at prophylaxis levels (lower than treatment levels). Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine factors associated with VTE prophylaxis. Among 12,980 patients, 22.1% received prophylaxis (11.8% with enoxaparin, 10.3% with heparin). VTE prophylaxis was positively associated with year of hospitalization, subcutaneous heparin in the month before admission, aspirin, self-pay status, age, and sepsis. VTE prophylaxis was negatively associated with smoking, alcohol, warfarin in the past 30 days, and primary diagnoses of stroke, infectious disease, or inflammatory bowel disease. Pharmacological VTE prophylaxis has increased significantly over the past 12 years but is still largely underused in patients hospitalized with acute medical illness. Multiple demographic, behavioral, and clinical factors are associated with inpatient VTE prophylaxis.

Pharmacologic Prophylaxis for Venous Thromboembolism Among Patients With Total Joint Replacement: An Electronic Medical Records Study.

Patients who have total hip (THR) or knee (TKR) replacement have an elevated risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). The American College of Chest Physicians guidelines recommend prophylactic anticoagulation. The aim of the study was to examine pharmacologic prophylaxis against VTE among patients with THR or TKR and to assess demographic and clinical correlates related to VTE prophylaxis. Using 15 years of data (1995-2009) from an electronic medical record system for an inner-city public hospital in the United States, we examined pharmacologic prophylaxis against VTE and associated factors in patients after THR (n = 242) and TKR (n = 317). Before the early 2000s, aspirin was the most common prophylaxis agent (THR, 61% and TKR, 65%), and 26% of patients with THR and 19% of patients with TKR did not receive prophylaxis. Enoxaparin use has increased since 2000, and warfarin is now the most common prophylaxis agent (THR, 70% and TKR, 61%). After controlling for time period, factors associated with prophylaxis pattern included obesity, hip fracture, and the surgeon's number of years in practice. VTE prophylaxis medications in patients with total joint replacement have changed over 15 years, in trends generally consistent with the evolution of guidelines. Obesity, history of hip fracture, and physician's experience are associated with the prescription of VTE prophylaxis medications.

Relative efficacy and safety of non-Vitamin K oral anticoagulants for non-valvular atrial fibrillation: Network meta-analysis comparing apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban and edoxaban in three patient subgroups.

BACKGROUND: Stroke is the most serious clinical consequence of atrial fibrillation, which is the most common cardiac arrhythmia. Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) have emerged as efficacious, safe and convenient stroke prevention agents. This updated network meta-analysis focused on the relative efficacy and safety of apixaban compared with dabigatran, rivaroxaban and edoxaban for stroke prevention in (i) patients with CHADS2 score ≥ 2, (ii) secondary stroke prevention, and (iii) patients with high quality anticoagulation control with warfarin. METHODS AND RESULTS: A fixed-effects network meta-analysis was conducted, including data from four Phase III randomised controlled trials (> 70,000 patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation). The results of the base-case analysis comparing NOACs with warfarin were broadly in line with the results from the individual trials. Results from the three subgroup analyses were broadly similar to the base case results. For example in patients with CHADS2 score ≥ 2, apixaban, high-dose dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and high-dose edoxaban had significantly lower hazards of stroke/systemic embolism compared with low-dose edoxaban. Apixaban and low-dose edoxaban were associated with significantly lower hazards of major bleeding compared with rivaroxaban and dabigatran 150 mg. However, several treatment comparisons that were significant in the base-case analysis were not significant in the patient subgroups, due to the reduced sample size of the subgroups compared with the overall population. CONCLUSIONS: Among the NOACs, apixaban offered the most favourable efficacy and safety profile in the overall patient population as well as in the three subgroups investigated.

Cost-effectiveness Analysis of Apixaban against Warfarin for Stroke Prevention in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation in Japan.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of apixaban compared with to warfarin, current standard of care, for stroke prevention in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in Japan. METHODS: A previously published lifetime Markov model was adapted to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of apixaban compared with warfarin in patients with NVAF in Japan. In the same model, the costs associated with each clinical event and background mortality were replaced with Japanese data. Whenever available, some of the utility parameters were derived from Japanese published literature. Lifetime horizon was selected to evaluate the value of the treatment benefit (stroke prevention) against potential risks (such as major bleedings) among patients with NVAF. Direct medical cost, long-term care cost, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were calculated from the payers' perspective. FINDINGS: Compared with warfarin, treatment with apixaban was estimated to increase life expectancy by 0.231 year or 0.240 QALYs while treatment cost increased by ¥511,692 (US $5117 at an exchange rate of US $1 = ¥100). The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was ¥2,135,743 per QALY (US $21,357 per QALY). On the basis of the results of the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, when the willingness-to-pay threshold was set at approximately ≥¥2,250,000 (US $22,500) per QALY, the probability of apixaban being cost-effective was ≥50%. Assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥5,000,000 (US $50,000) and ¥6,700,000 (US $67,000) in Japan, the probability of apixaban being cost-effective was 85% and 91%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Although most participants in the Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation (ARISTOTLE) trial used for the efficacy data of apixaban in the model were non-Japanese patients, the impact of the limitations on our results was considered small, and our results were deemed robust because of the additional effect in Japanese patients compared with that in the global population according to the subanalysis of Japanese patients in the trial. Therefore, based on an adaptation of a published Markov model, apixaban is a cost-effective alternative to warfarin in Japan for stroke prevention among patients with NVAF.