RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To examine the correlation between Atherogenic Index of Plasma (AIP) levels and the progression of non-target lesion vascular disease following the deployment of drug-eluting stents (DES). METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled patients who had undergone successful treatment for CAD with DES and subsequently underwent a coronary angiography follow-up at the Cardiology Department of Tianjin Third Central Hospital from January 2017 to July 2022. The annual change in Gensini Score (GS) was calculated according to two angiographic evaluations in order to assess the progression of non-target lesion vascular disease; a change greater than 1 indicated progression, while a change of 1 or less indicated stability. AIP was calculated according to serum lipid parameters. Multivariate Logistic regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between AIP level and progression of non-target coronary artery lesions. The ROC curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic value of AIP for coronary artery non-target lesion vascular disease progression. RESULTS: Out of the 344 patients who were monitored over a median duration of 1.2 years, 113 exhibited progression of non-target lesion vascular disease. Initially, baseline AIP levels were notably higher in the progression group compared to the non-progression group (0.30 [0.14, 0.43] vs. 0.11 [-0.06, 0.31]), and this difference remained significant during the follow-up period (0.19 [0.06, 0.34] vs. 0.11 [-0.06, 0.22]). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that AIP is an independent predictor for the progression of non-target lesion vascular disease following DES treatment. Individuals in the highest tertile of AIP faced a considerably elevated risk compared to those in the lowest tertile (OR = 4.88, 95% CI: 2.12-11.21, P < 0.001). Moreover, utilizing receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, a 0.15 AIP level cut-off was determined for diagnosing disease progression, with a sensitivity of 73.5% and specificity of 56.7%, and an area under the curve of 0.672 (95% CI: 0.613-0.731, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: AIP significantly correlates with the progression of non-target lesion vascular disease among patients with coronary artery disease who have undergone DES treatment, establishing itself as an independent risk factor in addition to conventional predictors.
RESUMO
Background: Hypochloremia and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) play important roles in congestive heart failure (CHF) pathophysiology, and they were associated with the prognosis of CHF. However, the prognostic value of chloride combined with RDW in patients with CHF remains unknown. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed critically ill patients with CHF. The database was derived from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV v2.0 (MIMIC-IV-v2.0) database. Results: In the final analysis, 5376 critically ill patients with CHF were included, and 2428 patients (45.2 %) experienced 5-year mortality. The restricted cubic spline model revealed a positive correlation between RDW and 5-year mortality, whereas chloride showed a U-shaped correlation with 5-year mortality. The median values of RDW and chloride were used to classify patients into four groups: high chloride/low RDW, low chloride/low RDW, high chloride/high RDW, and low chloride/high RDW. We observed the prognostic value of RDW combined with chloride in the Cox proportional hazard model, in predicting 5-year mortality, in-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality. Furthermore, we discovered that patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) had a higher 5-year mortality risk than patients without CKD. Conclusion: We found the translational potential role of chloride combined with RDW in prioritizing patients at high risk for short- and long-term mortality in a cohort of critically ill patients with CHF. Prospective multicenter investigations are warranted to validate our results.
RESUMO
Renal dysfunction is associated with increased mortality and length of hospital stay in critically ill patients. However, it remains unclear whether the early administration of an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) for intensive care unit patients with renal dysfunction is associated with reduced in-hospital mortality. We conducted a retrospective analysis of critically ill patients who received early administration of an ACEI/ARB within 72 hours after being hospitalized. Patients were selected from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. We included 18,986 critically ill patients in our analysis. After propensity score matching, our final study cohort of 4974 patients consisted of patients who received early administration of an ACEI/ARB (n = 2487) and nonusers (n = 2487). Results of logistic regression showed that early administration of an ACEI/ARB was associated with reduced risk of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 0.64; 95% confidence interval, 0.53-0.77; P < .001) and intensive care unit death (odds ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.70; P < .001) when compared to nonusers. There was no meaningful interaction for early administration of an ACEI/ARB versus nonusers across estimated glomerular filtration rate in outcomes. Sensitivity analysis showed there was no difference in the outcomes between early administration of ACEI and that of ARB. In this study, we found that early administration of an ACEI/ARB was associated with a reduced risk of in-hospital adverse outcomes based on renal function among critically ill patients. There was no interaction between early administration of an ACEI/ARB and in-hospital adverse outcomes across estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Assuntos
Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina , Nefropatias , Humanos , Inibidores da Enzima Conversora de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Antagonistas de Receptores de Angiotensina/efeitos adversos , Estado Terminal , Nefropatias/induzido quimicamente , Hospitais , Cuidados Críticos , Rim/fisiologiaRESUMO
Background: Stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR) was developed to reduce the impact of long-term chronic glycemic factors on stress hyperglycemia levels, which have been linked to clinical adverse events. However, the relationship between SHR and the short- and long-term prognoses of intensive care unit (ICU) patients remains unclear. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 3,887 ICU patients (cohort 1) whose initial fasting blood glucose and hemoglobin A1c data within 24 hours of admission were available and 3,636 ICU patients (cohort 2) who were followed-up for 1-year using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV v2.0 database. Patients were divided into two groups based on the optimal cutoff value of SHR, which was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: There were 176 ICU deaths in cohort 1 and 378 patients experienced all-cause mortality during 1 year of follow-up in cohort 2. The results of logistic regression revealed that SHR was associated with ICU death (odds ratio 2.92 [95% confidence interval 2.14-3.97] P < 0.001), and non-diabetic patients rather than diabetic patients showed an increased risk of ICU death. As per the Cox proportional hazards model, the high SHR group experienced a higher incidence of 1-year all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.55 [95% confidence interval 1.26-1.90] P < 0.001). Moreover, SHR had an incremental effect on various illness scores in predicting ICU all-cause mortality. Conclusion: SHR is linked to ICU death and 1-year all-cause mortality in critically ill patients, and it has an incremental predictive value in different illness scores. Moreover, we found that non-diabetic patients, rather than diabetic patients, showed an increased risk of all-cause mortality.
Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Hiperglicemia , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estado Terminal , Unidades de Terapia IntensivaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The recurrence rate of ischemic symptoms after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is increasing in recent years. How to prevent and treat saphenous vein graft disease (SVGD [symptomatic ⩾50% stenosis in at least one Saphenous vein graft]) has been a clinical challenge to date. Different pathogenesis may exist in SVGD of different periods. There are currently few available scores for estimating the risk of SVGD after one year post CABG. OBJECTIVE: We sought to develop and validate a simple predictive clinical risk score for SVGD with recurring ischemia after one year post CABG. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a cross-sectional study and the results were validated using bootstrap resampling on a separate cohort. A nomogram and risk scoring system were developed based on retrospective data from a training cohort of 606 consecutive patients with recurring ischemia >1 year after CABG. Logistic regression model was used to find the predictive factors and to build a nomogram. To assess the generalization, models were validated using bootstrap resampling and an external cross-sectional study of 187 consecutive patients in four other hospitals. In multivariable analysis of the primary cohort, native lesion vessel number, SVG age, recurring ischemia type, very low-density lipoprotein level, and left ventricular end-diastolic diameter were independent predictors. A summary risk score was derived from nomogram, with a cut-off value of 15. In internal and external validation, the C-index was 0.86 and 0.82, indicating good discrimination. The calibration curve for probability of SVGD showed optimal agreement between actual observations and risk score prediction. CONCLUSION: A simple-to-use risk scoring system based on five easily variables was developed and validated to predict the risk of SVGD among patients who recurring ischemia after one year post CABG. This score may be useful for providing patients with individualized estimates of SVGD risk.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Veia Safena , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Ponte de Artéria Coronária/efeitos adversos , Isquemia , Resultado do Tratamento , Angiografia Coronária , Grau de Desobstrução VascularRESUMO
We aimed to explore the utility of multiple biomarkers with GRACE risk stratification for non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI). A total of 1,357 patients diagnosed with NSTEMI were enrolled in this study at multiple medical centers in Tianjin, China. The outcomes were 1-year all-cause death and major adverse cardiac events (MACE: all-cause death, hospital admission for unstable angina, hospital admission for heart failure, nonfatal recurrent myocardial infarction, and stroke). C-index, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were calculated to verify that the biomarkers improve the predictive accuracy of the GRACE score. A total of 57 participants died, while 211 participants experienced 231 MACEs during follow-up (mean: 339 days). For all-cause death, the combination of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and D-dimer improved the predictive accuracy of GRACE the most, with C-index, IDI, and NRI values of 0.88, 0.085, and 1.223, respectively. For MACE, trigeminal combination of NT-proBNP, fibrinogen, and D-dimer resulted in C-index, IDI, and NRI values of 0.80, 0.079, and 0.647, respectively. As a result, NT-proBNP, D-dimer, fibrinogen, and GRACE comprise a new scoring system for assessing 1-year clinical events. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significant increase in 1-year mortality (score ≥3.85 vs <3.85, p < 0.0001) and 1-year MACE (score ≥1.72 vs <1.72, p < 0.0001) between different score groups. In conclusion, the combination of NT-proBNP and D-dimer added prognostic value to GRACE for all-cause death. Combining NT-proBNP, fibrinogen, and D-dimer increased the prognostic value of GRACE for MACE. This newly developed scoring system is strongly correlated with all-cause mortality and MACE, and can be easily utilized in clinical practice.
Assuntos
Produtos de Degradação da Fibrina e do Fibrinogênio/metabolismo , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST/sangue , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/sangue , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Causas de Morte/tendências , China/epidemiologia , Eletrocardiografia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Morbidade/tendências , Infarto do Miocárdio sem Supradesnível do Segmento ST/epidemiologia , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Precursores de Proteínas , Curva ROC , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendênciasRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The Shexiang Baoxin Pill (MUSKARDIA) has been used for treating coronary artery disease (CAD) and angina for more than 30 years in China. Nevertheless, methodologically sound trials on the use of MUSKARDIA in CAD patients are scarce. The aim of the study is to determine the effects of MUSKARDIA as an add-on to optimal medical therapy (OMT) in patients with stable CAD. METHODS: A total of 2674 participants with stable CAD from 97 hospitals in China were randomized 1:1 to a MUSKARDIA or placebo group for 24 months. Both groups received OMT according to local tertiary hospital protocols. The primary outcome was the occurrence of a major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), or non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina or heart failure, peripheral revascularization, angina stability and angina frequency. RESULTS: In all, 99.7% of the patients were treated with aspirin and 93.0% with statin. After 2 years of treatment, the occurrence of MACEs was reduced by 26.9% in the MUSKARDIA group (MUSKARDIA: 1.9% vs. placebo: 2.6%; odds ratioâ=â0.80; 95% confidence interval: 0.45-1.07; Pâ =â0.2869). Angina frequency was significantly reduced in the MUSKARDIA group at 18 months (Pâ=â0.0362). Other secondary endpoints were similar between the two groups. The rates of adverse events were also similar between the two groups (MUSKARDIA: 17.7% vs. placebo: 17.4%, Pâ=â0.8785). CONCLUSIONS: As an add-on to OMT, MUSKARDIA is safe and significantly reduces angina frequency in patients with stable CAD. Moreover, the use of MUSKARDIA is associated with a trend toward reduced MACEs in patients with stable CAD. The results suggest that MUSKARDIA can be used to manage patients with CAD. TRIAL REGISTRATION: chictr.org.cn, No. ChiCTR-TRC-12003513.
Assuntos
Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Medicamentos de Ervas Chinesas , Angina Pectoris , China , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/tratamento farmacológico , Método Duplo-Cego , Medicamentos de Ervas Chinesas/efeitos adversos , HumanosAssuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório , Adulto , Permeabilidade Capilar , Água Extravascular Pulmonar , Humanos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Prognóstico , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/diagnóstico , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Compared with a classic wrist puncture for radial artery catheterization, a distal radial artery puncture has the advantage of reducing the incidence of radial artery occlusion in anatomic and physiological procedures. This study aimed to explore the difference in clinical effects between the distal radial artery and classic radial artery approaches in percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS: A total of 620 patients who underwent coronary angiography and/or percutaneous coronary intervention in our hospital from December 2017 to December 2018 were enrolled in this study. These patients were divided into two groups based on the puncture site: a distal radial artery group and a classic radial artery group. There were 312 patients in the radial artery group and 308 patients in the classic radial artery group. The puncture time, puncture success rate, surgery time, implanted stents, puncture site hemorrhage, hematoma, aneurysm, and iliac artery occlusion rate were observed. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in puncture time, puncture success rate, surgery time, implanted stent, puncture site hemorrhage, hematoma and aneurysm (P>0.05), while the radial artery occlusion rate was lower in the distal radial artery group, and the difference was statistically significant (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study showed that the distal radial artery approach had a lower rate of brachial artery occlusion, indicating that it could be used as an alternative to the classic radial artery approach.
Assuntos
Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Artéria Radial , Angiografia Coronária , Humanos , Incidência , PunçõesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study aims to observe the effects of the intracoronary and peripheral venous administration of nicorandil for the postoperative myocardial microcirculation and short-term prognosis of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) treatment. METHODS: A total of 140 STEMI patients were divided into three groups according to different patterns of administration: sequential nicorandil group, intracoronary nicorandil group and control group. The main observation indexes included coronary blood flow and myocardial perfusion immediately after PPCI, while the secondary observation indexes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) during the period of hospitalization. RESULTS: After PPCI, the difference in the proportion of patients with thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow grade 3 among the three groups was statistically significant (P=0.036), where this proportion was higher in the sequential nicorandil group and intracoronary nicorandil group than in the control group (P=0.022 and P=0.047); The difference in corrected TIMI frame count (CTFC) among the three groups was statistically significant (P=0.022), where CTFC was lower in the sequential nicorandil group and intracoronary nicorandil group than in the control group (P=0.010, P=0.031); The differences in the proportion of patients with complete ST resolution (STR) and advancing of enzyme peak time to within 12 h between each two groups were statistically significant (P<0.001), where this proportion was the highest in the sequential nicorandil group; The difference in the CK-MB peak among the three groups was statistically significant (P=0.036), where the CK-MB peak was lower in the sequential nicorandil group than in the control group (P=0.012); The difference in the incidence of MACE between each two groups was statistically significant (P<0.001), where this incidence was the lowest in the sequential nicorandil group; The differences in the proportion of patients with advancing of enzyme peak time to within 14 h and LVEF among the three groups were not statistically significant (P=0.722 and P=0.284). CONCLUSIONS: Compared with intracoronary use alone, the intracoronary and peripheral intravenous use of nicorandil can better improve myocardial microcirculation and short-term prognosis.
RESUMO
The detection of left main coronary artery disease (LMCAD) is crucial before ST-segment elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) or sudden cardiac death. The aim of this study was to identify characteristic metabolite modifications in the LMCAD phenotype, using the metabolomics technique. Metabolic profiles were generated based on ultra-performance liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry, combined with multivariate statistical analysis. Plasma samples were collected prospectively from a propensity-score matched cohort including 44 STEMI patients (22 consecutive LMCAD and 22 non-LMCAD), and 22 healthy controls. A comprehensive metabolomics data analysis was performed with Metaboanalyst 3.0 version. The retinol metabolism pathway was shown to have the strongest discriminative power for the LMCAD phenotype. According to biomarker analysis through receiver-operating characteristic curves, 9-cis-retinoic acid (9cRA) dominated the first page of biomarkers, with area under the curve (AUC) value 0.888. Next highest were a biomarker panel consisting of 9cRA, dehydrophytosphingosine, 1H-Indole-3-carboxaldehyde, and another seven variants of lysophosphatidylcholines, exhibiting the highest AUC (0.933). These novel data propose that the retinol metabolism pathway was the strongest differential pathway for the LMCAD phenotype. 9cRA was the most critical biomarker of LMCAD, and a ten-metabolite plasma biomarker panel, in which 9cRA remained the weightiest, may help develop a potent predictive model for LMCAD in clinic.
Assuntos
Alitretinoína/sangue , Doença da Artéria Coronariana/sangue , Infarto do Miocárdio com Supradesnível do Segmento ST/sangue , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Metabolômica , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND This study was designed as an external evaluation of potentially relevant models for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) with extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (E-CPR). MATERIAL AND METHODS Twenty AMI adults that met criteria were retrospectively analyzed from January 2009 to January 2015. Six possible models - ENCOURAGE, SAVE, ECPR, GRACE, SHOCK, and a simplified risk chart - were identified by literature review and model scores calculated based on original data. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, commonly used in intensive care units, served as controls. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to compare the models' discriminative power for predicting survival to discharge. RESULTS The ECPR model showed the best discriminative performance, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.893 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.733-1.530, p=0.006); the cutoff was 12.5 points, with 66.7% sensitivity and 100% specificity. The "clinical" SHOCK model (including infarct site) showed weaker but still good discriminative power, with an AUC of 0.804 (95% CI, 0.580-1.027, p=0.035); the cutoff was 45.5 points, with 83.3% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity. The remaining models did not show significant discriminative power for predicting survival to discharge. Risk stratifications indicated that a statistically significant difference was observed in the distribution of patients into the ECPR group with different prognoses when stratified by its cutoff (p=0.003), while a trend of significant difference was shown when applied to the SHOCK model (p=0.05). CONCLUSIONS The ECPR and SHOCK models possess important abilities to predict intrahospital outcomes of AMI patients treated with E-CPR.
Assuntos
Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/métodos , Parada Cardíaca/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Adulto , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Reanimação Cardiopulmonar/mortalidade , China , Estudos de Coortes , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Feminino , Parada Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/complicações , Alta do Paciente , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Análise de SobrevidaRESUMO
BACKGROUND No definitive conclusions have been drawn from the available data about the utilization of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) to treat severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The aim of this study was to review our center's experience with ECMO and determine predictors of outcome from our Chinese center. MATERIAL AND METHODS We retrospectively analyzed a total of 23 consecutive candidates who fulfilled the study entry criteria between January 2009 and December 2015. Detailed clinical data, ECMO flow, and respiratory parameters before and after the introduction of ECMO were compared among in-hospital survivors and nonsurvivors; factors associated with mortality were investigated. RESULTS Hemodynamics and oxygenation parameters were significantly improved after ECMO initiation. Thirteen patients survived to hospital discharge. Univariate correlation analysis demonstrated that APACHE II score (r=-0.463, p=0.03), acute kidney injury (r=-0.574, p=0.005), membrane oxygenator replacement (r=-0.516, p=0.014) and total length of hospital stay (r=0.526, p=0.012) were significantly correlated with survival to hospital discharge, and that the evolution of the levels of urea nitrogen, platelet, and fibrinogen may help to determine patient prognosis. Sixteen patients referred for ECMO from an outside hospital were successfully transported to our institution by ambulance, including seven transported under ECMO support. The survival rate of the ECMO-transport group was comparable to the conventional transport or the non-transport group (both p=1.000). CONCLUSIONS ECMO is an effective alternative option for severe ARDS. APACHE II score on admission, onset of acute kidney injury, and membrane oxygenator replacement, and the evolution of levels of urea nitrogen, platelet, and fibrinogen during hospitalization may help to determine the in-hospital patient prognosis. By establishing a well-trained mobile ECMO team, a long-distance, inter-hospital transport can be administered safely.
Assuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , China , Feminino , Hemodinâmica , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Contrast-induced nephropathy (CIN) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is one of the major adverse outcomes affecting the prognosis of patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Ischemic postconditioning prior to PCI (pre-PCI) in patients with STEMI is hypothesized to be protective against CIN after PCI. METHODS: A total of 251 patients with STEMI were randomized into two groups: ischemic postconditioning group (n = 123, age, 61.1 ± 12.5 years) who underwent ischemic postconditioning prior to PCI; control group (n = 128; age, 64.1 ± 12.1 years) who underwent only PCI. Ischemic postconditioning was administered by three cycles of deflation and inflation of the balloon (1-min ischemia and 1-min reperfusion) starting 1 min after infarct-related artery (IRA) opening. Diagnostic criterion for CIN was: increase in serum creatinine level by ≥0.5 mg/dL or by ≥25% increase from preoperative level within 48 h of surgery. All patients were followed for 1 year for incidence of major cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: The incidence of postoperative CIN in the ischemic postconditioning group was 5.69% as compared to 14.06% in the control group (p <0.05). At one year, the MACE incidence in the ischemic postconditioning group was 7.32% as compared to 15.63% in the control group (p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Pre-PCI ischemic postconditioning in STEMI patients significantly reduces the post-PCI incidence of CIN and improves long-term prognosis.
Assuntos
Meios de Contraste/efeitos adversos , Pós-Condicionamento Isquêmico , Nefropatias/prevenção & controle , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Intervenção Coronária Percutânea , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Nefropatias/induzido quimicamente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico , Infarto do Miocárdio/diagnóstico por imagem , Prognóstico , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: There has been no external validation of survival prediction models for severe adult respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) therapy in China. The aim of study was to compare the performance of multiple models recently developed for patients with ARDS undergoing ECMO based on Chinese single-center data. METHODS: A retrospective case study was performed, including twenty-three severe ARDS patients who received ECMO from January 2009 to July 2015. The PRESERVE (Predicting death for severe ARDS on VV-ECMO), ECMOnet, Respiratory Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Survival Prediction (RESP) score, a center-specific model developed for inter-hospital transfers receiving ECMO, and the classical risk-prediction scores of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) were calculated. In-hospital and six-month mortality were regarded as the endpoints and model performance was evaluated by comparing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: The RESP and APACHE II scores showed excellent discriminate performance in predicting survival with AUC of 0.835 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.659-1.010, P = 0.007) and 0.762 (95% CI, 0.558-0.965, P = 0.035), respectively. The optimal cutoff values were risk class 3.5 for RESP and 35.5 for APACHE II score, and both showed 70.0% sensitivity and 84.6% specificity. The excellent performance of these models was also evident for the pneumonia etiological subgroup, for which the SOFA score was also shown to be predictive, with an AUC of 0.790 (95% CI, 0.571-1.009, P = 0.038). However, the ECMOnet and the score developed for externally retrieved ECMO patients failed to demonstrate significant discriminate power for the overall cohort. The PRESERVE model was unable to be evaluated fully since only one patient died six months postdischarge. CONCLUSIONS: The RESP, APCHAE II, and SOFA scorings systems show good predictive value for intra-hospital survival of ARDS patients treated with ECMO in our single-center evaluation. Future validation should include a larger study with either more patients' data at single-center or by integration of domestic multi-center data. Development of a scoring system with national characteristics might be warranted.
Assuntos
Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/métodos , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/mortalidade , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/terapia , Adulto , Oxigenação por Membrana Extracorpórea/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Síndrome do Desconforto Respiratório/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study was to establish a disease differentiation model for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) youth patients experiencing ischemia and reperfusion via ultra-performance liquid chromatography and mass spectrometry (UPLC/MS) platform, which searches for closely related characteristic metabolites and metabolic pathways to evaluate their predictive value in the prognosis after discharge. METHODS: Forty-seven consecutive STEMI patients (23 patients under 45 years of age, referred to here as "youth," and 24 "elderly" patients) and 48 healthy control group members (24 youth, 24 elderly) were registered prospectively. The youth patients were required to provide a second blood draw during a follow-up visit one year after morbidity (n = 22, one lost). Characteristic metabolites and relative metabolic pathways were screened via UPLC/MS platform base on the Kyoto encyclopedia of genes and genomes (KEGG) and Human Metabolome Database. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive value of characteristic metabolites in the prognosis after discharge. RESULTS: We successfully established an orthogonal partial least squares discriminated analysis model (R2X = 71.2%, R2Y = 79.6%, and Q2 = 55.9%) and screened out 24 ions; the sphingolipid metabolism pathway showed the most drastic change. The ROC curve analysis showed that ceramide [Cer(d18:0/16:0), Cer(t18:0/12:0)] and sphinganine in the sphingolipid pathway have high sensitivity and specificity on the prognosis related to major adverse cardiovascular events after youth patients were discharged. The area under curve (AUC) was 0.671, 0.750, and 0.711, respectively. A follow-up validation one year after morbidity showed corresponding AUC of 0.778, 0.833, and 0.806. CONCLUSIONS: By analyzing the plasma metabolism of myocardial infarction patients, we successfully established a model that can distinguish two different factors simultaneously: pathological conditions and age. Sphingolipid metabolism is the top most altered pathway in young STEMI patients and as such may represent a valuable prognostic factor and potential therapeutic target.