The intermediate endpoint effect in logistic and probit regression.

BACKGROUND: An intermediate endpoint is hypothesized to be in the middle of the causal sequence relating an independent variable to a dependent variable. The intermediate variable is also called a surrogate or mediating variable and the corresponding effect is called the mediated, surrogate endpoint, or intermediate endpoint effect. Clinical studies are often designed to change an intermediate or surrogate endpoint and through this intermediate change influence the ultimate endpoint. In many intermediate endpoint clinical studies the dependent variable is binary, and logistic or probit regression is used. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study is to describe a limitation of a widely used approach to assessing intermediate endpoint effects and to propose an alternative method, based on products of coefficients, that yields more accurate results. METHODS: The intermediate endpoint model for a binary outcome is described for a true binary outcome and for a dichotomization of a latent continuous outcome. Plots of true values and a simulation study are used to evaluate the different methods. RESULTS: Distorted estimates of the intermediate endpoint effect and incorrect conclusions can result from the application of widely used methods to assess the intermediate endpoint effect. The same problem occurs for the proportion of an effect explained by an intermediate endpoint, which has been suggested as a useful measure for identifying intermediate endpoints. A solution to this problem is given based on the relationship between latent variable modeling and logistic or probit regression. LIMITATIONS: More complicated intermediate variable models are not addressed in the study, although the methods described in the article can be extended to these more complicated models. CONCLUSIONS: Researchers are encouraged to use an intermediate endpoint method based on the product of regression coefficients. A common method based on difference in coefficient methods can lead to distorted conclusions regarding the intermediate effect.

Remission induction in Behçet's disease following lymphocyte depletion by the anti-CD52 antibody CAMPATH 1-H.

OBJECTIVE: Behçet's disease (BD) is a multisystem vasculopathy of unknown cause with variable clinical presentation and the outcome of current treatments is often unsatisfactory. There is evidence for T-cell autoreactivity in BD and this study explores the therapeutic response to lymphocyte depletion with a humanized anti-CD52 antibody, CAMPATH-1H. METHODS: Eighteen patients with active BD received a single course of 134 mg of CAMPATH-1H. Immunosuppressives were withdrawn and prednisolone reduced according to clinical status. Treatment response was assessed by remission of clinical features of disease activity, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein, prednisolone dose, the need for subsequent immunosuppressives and disease relapse. RESULTS: By 6 months, 13/18 (72%) had entered remission and average, daily prednisolone dose was reduced from 17.7 to 6.7 mg/day (P < 0.005). At patient follow-up after 37 (6-60) months, seven had relapsed after an average of 25 months, five had required the introduction of an immunosuppressive drug and two had been retreated with CAMPATH-1H; 10 were in stable remission and six were receiving no therapy. Moderate infusion-related adverse effects occurred in five and two developed hypothyroidism. Circulating CD4+ T cells fell to low levels after CAMPATH-1H and remained depressed for at least 1 yr; no opportunistic infections were seen. CONCLUSIONS: The therapeutic response to CAMPATH-1H suggests a central role for autoreactive lymphocytes in BD. The potential of CAMPATH-1H to induce sustained treatment-free remission in BD poorly controlled by conventional therapy requires further evaluation.

Analysis of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA): frequency and specificity in a sample of 191 homozygous (PiZZ) alpha1-antitrypsin-deficient subjects.

BACKGROUND: ANCA are autoantibodies directed against polymorphonuclear cell antigens, mainly proteinase 3 (PR3) and myeloperoxidase (MPO), which are implicated in the pathogenesis of small-vessel necrotizing vasculitis. Alpha1-antitrypsin is the main inhibitor of neutral serine proteinase [i.e. human leukocyte elastase (HLE) and PR3] present in PMN alpha-granules (alphaGr). An association first reported by us between PR3 ANCA and the deficient PiZZ phenotype in ANCA-positive systemic vasculitis, now widely confirmed by others, led us to study the incidence and specificity of ANCA among PiZZ subjects. METHODS: We tested a population of 191 PiZZ (273 sera) for ANCA activity versus 272 PiMM matched control subjects using alphaGr or antigen-specific ELISA [PR3, HLE, MPO, lactoferin (LF) and bactericidal/ permeability increasing protein (BPI)]. RESULTS: The incidence of antibodies directed against alphaGr and HLE but not PR3, MPO, LF or BPI was increased in the PiZZ as compared to the PiMM group (Fisher probability respectively P < 0.0001 and P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: ANCA not directed against classical antigens (MPO and PR3) may be found in PiZZ patients. However, these patients do not develop systemic vasculitis features. Therefore, alpha1-antitrypsin deficiency is not sufficient to induce ANCA positive vasculitides, and may only act as a second hit amplifying factor.

Epitope mapping on Wegener's granulomatosis autoantigen proteinase 3.

OBJECTIVE: To map the epitopes on Wegener's granulomatosis autoantigen proteinase 3. METHODS: Antigenicity of proteinase 3 was studied with Western blot analysis in which proteinase 3 was prepared under reducing and non-reducing conditions. Two anti-proteinase 3 monoclonal antibodies, HZ1F12 and HZ1H3, were used to inhibit each other and to inhibit 22 anti-proteinase 3 positive sera from patients with Wegener's granulomatosis in competitive inhibition enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays (ELISA) and Western blot analysis. RESULTS: All monoclonal antibodies and patient sera recognized proteinase 3 under non-reducing conditions in Western blot analysis. ZH1F12 was inhibited 74% by HZ1H3. 10/22 (46%) sera were completely or partially inhibited by HZ1F12; 9/22 (41%) sera were partially inhibited by HZ1H3; and 6/22 (27%) were inhibited by both monoclonal antibodies. In inhibition Western blot analysis, the binding of patient sera to proteinase 3 could be inhibited by HZ1F12. CONCLUSIONS: The epitopes of Wegener's granulomatosis autoantigen were conformational. Anti-proteinase 3 monoclonal HZ1F12 and HZ1H3 recognized similar or overlapping epitopes on the proteinase 3 molecule. Epitopes of proteinase 3 recognized by anti-proteinase 3 positive sera were not restricted.

Intravenous immunoglobulin for ANCA-associated systemic vasculitis with persistent disease activity.

Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) is a potential alternative treatment for anti-neutrophil cytoplasm antibody (ANCA)-associated systemic vasculitis (AASV) with less toxicity than conventional immunosuppressive agents. This randomized, placebo-controlled trial aimed to investigate the efficacy of a single course of IVIg (total dose 2 g/kg) in previously-treated AASV with persistent disease activity in whom there was an intention to escalate therapy. Vasculitic activity was monitored by the Birmingham vasculitis activity score (BVAS), C-reactive protein (CRP) and ANCA levels. Treatment response was defined as a reduction in BVAS of more than 50% after 3 months, and there was an intention to keep doses of concurrent immunosuppressive drugs unchanged during this period; follow-up continued to 12 months. Seventeen patients were randomized to receive IVIg and 17 to receive placebo. Treatment responses were found in 14/17 and 6/17 of the IVIg and placebo groups, respectively (p=0.015, OR 8.56, 95%CI 1.74-42.2). Following infusion of trial medication, greater falls in CRP were seen at 2 weeks (p=0.02) and 1 month (p=0.04) in the IVIg group. No differences were observed between ANCA levels or cumulative exposure to immunosuppressive drugs, and after 3 months there were no differences in CRP levels or disease activity between the IVIg and placebo groups. Seventeen adverse effects occurred after IVIg and six after placebo: they were mostly mild, although reversible rises in serum creatinine occurred in four from the IVIg group. A single course of IVIg reduced disease activity in persistent AASV, but this effect was not maintained beyond 3 months; mild, reversible side-effects following IVIg were frequent. IVIg is an alternative treatment for AASV with persistent disease activity after standard therapy.

Equivalence of the mediation, confounding and suppression effect.

This paper describes the statistical similarities among mediation, confounding, and suppression. Each is quantified by measuring the change in the relationship between an independent and a dependent variable after adding a third variable to the analysis. Mediation and confounding are identical statistically and can be distinguished only on conceptual grounds. Methods to determine the confidence intervals for confounding and suppression effects are proposed based on methods developed for mediated effects. Although the statistical estimation of effects and standard errors is the same, there are important conceptual differences among the three types of effects.

Anti-adhesion molecule therapy as an interventional strategy for autoimmune inflammation.

Functional inactivation of leukocyte adhesion molecules has been used to intervene in the development of tissue injury in experimental models of postperfusion infarction as well as autoimmune inflammation. We investigated the use of humanized monoclonal antibodies (mAb) against CD18 in the treatment of five patients with vasculitic tissue injury sufficient to threaten infarction or gangrene. The treatment was monitored in three ways: (i) whole-body gamma camera scintiscanning of autologous indium-labeled PMN, (ii) an index of the therapeutic inhibition of adhesion derived from comparison pre, during, and post mAb treatment of the ability of patients' PMN to be aggregated after activation by fMLP, and (iii) flow cytometric analysis of PMN CD18 expression. Four of five patients given anti-CD18 at 20 mg/day for up to 3 weeks showed prompt clinical improvement, with healing of the ulceration and restoration of limb function within 4 weeks, which was sustained. The fifth patient, who was not doing well clinically, decided to withdraw from all active treatment: at autopsy there was no evidence of the underlying vasculitis evident pretreatment. Our findings suggest that anti-adhesion molecule treatment might be an effective immediate treatment in severe vasculitis especially when tissue viability is threatened by progressive infarction and/or development of gangrene.

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibodies (ANCA) to bactericidal/permeability-increasing (BPI) protein recognize the carboxyl terminal domain.

OBJECTIVES: to identify the region of bactericidal/permeability-increasing protein (BPI) recognized by anti-BPI ANCA. METHODS: sera from 140 patients with a variety of clinical diagnoses (20 systemic vasculitis, 12 cystic fibrosis, 22 bronchiectasis/chronic obstructive airways disease, three diabetes mellitus, 13 chronic renal failure, 12 primary sclerosing cholangitis, eight ulcerative colitis, three Crohn's disease, seven cancer, and 40 other or unknown diagnoses) known to be reactive against native (nBPI), were screened by solid phase enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) against a panel of recombinant fusion proteins; holo BPI (rBPI), recombinant lipopolysaccharide binding protein (rLBP), an N-terminal fragment of rBPI (rBPI21 ) and 'fusion' proteins containing the C- or N-terminal ends of BPI spliced with N-or C-ends of LBP, respectively. RESULTS: a strong correlation was seen between the degree of reactivity to rBPI and the BPI C-terminal fusion protein, r=0.69, P < 0.001, as well as between nBPI and rBPI protein, r=0.55, P < 0.001, but not between nBPI and the N-terminal region of BPI (rBPI21), or proteins containing only the N-terminal fragment. Binding to proteins containing the BPI C-terminus was confirmed to be specific by fluid phase inhibition ELISA and Western blot analyses. CONCLUSIONS: together these data suggest that circulating autoantibodies to BPI from patients with different diseases recognize the C-terminal region of BPI.

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) against bactericidal/permeability-increasing protein (BPI) and cystic fibrosis lung disease.

Persistent infection with Pseudomonas aeruginosa and inflammatory mechanisms play an important role in cystic fibrosis (CF) lung disease. ANCA against BPI, a potent host defence protein with anti-bacterial and anti-endotoxin properties, have been described in CF. We have assessed the relationship of anti-BPI antibodies to pulmonary disease severity in 148 CF subjects. IgA and IgG anti-BPI antibodies were found in 55.4% and 70.3% of CF patients, respectively, and higher levels were strongly associated with colonization with P. aeruginosa (P = 0.001 and 0.039 for IgA and IgG antibodies, respectively). IgA and IgG anti-BPI antibodies were independently associated with more severe lung disease as assessed by chest radiograph score (P = 0.023) and a significantly lower forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)% (P = 0.01). The pathophysiological relevance of the autoantibodies was investigated further by determining their epitope specificity and their effect on bacterial phagocytosis in vitro. Both isotypes of anti-BPI antibodies were specific for the C-terminus of BPI shown recently to be important for BPI-mediated opsonization, and in vitro affinity-purified anti-BPI antibodies significantly reduced BPI-induced phagocytosis of Escherichia coli compared with controls. These data indicate that anti-BPI autoantibodies are associated with colonization with P. aeruginosa and worse lung disease in CF. The inhibition of bacterial phagocytosis suggests that these autoantibodies may contribute to the persistence of P. aeruginosa in the CF lung and so play a role in perpetuating CF lung damage.

Heat treatment of normal human sera reveals antibodies to bactericidal permeability-inducing protein (BPI).

Heat treatment of normal sera to 56 degrees C for 30 min, a common procedure for the inactivation of viruses, e.g. HIV, reveals the presence of antibodies to neutrophil cytoplasm antigens (ANCA), as detected by indirect immunofluorescence on ethanol-fixed human neutrophils and by antigen-specific ELISA for BPI. Reactivity was not seen to the other common vasculitis-associated antigens proteinase 3 (PR3) or myeloperoxidase (MPO). The effect of temperature was maximal at 56 degrees C, with substantial antibody demonstrable after only 5 min at this temperature. In experiments using polyethylene glycol (PEG)6000 to remove immune complexes, the effect of heating could be abrogated by preincubation with 8% PEG, which suggested that these anti BPI antibodies might be complexed in sera. After passage of normal plasma over a protein G column, the acid-eluted fraction contained elevated levels of antibodies to BPI but not to other vasculitis-associated antigens such as PR3 or MPO, nor to glomerular basement membrane (GBM), the Goodpasture antigen which is recognized by the pathogenically important human antibodies shown to mediate nephritis in transfer experiments. Moreover the levels of anti-BPI in the IgG fraction could be augmented by preincubation with glycine pH 2.5 for 30 min. This anti-BPI activity could be inhibited by addition of the unbound material from the protein G column and this inhibitory material was not heat-labile at 56 degrees C. The molecular specificity of this autoreactivity was confirmed using recombinant BPI in coincubation experiments and the epitope localized to the C or N terminal moieties by the use of recombinant fusion proteins.

The inhibition of myeloperoxidase by ceruloplasmin can be reversed by anti-myeloperoxidase antibodies.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to characterize the recently reported inhibition of myeloperoxidase (MPO) by ceruloplasmin and to determine whether this may be disturbed in the presence of anti-MPO antibodies. METHODS: Specificity of the binding between ceruloplasmin and MPO was confirmed by Western blotting and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and the enzymatic activity of MPO was measured in the presence of ceruloplasmin, affinity-purified anti-MPO antibodies, or both. The affinity of the binding between MPO and ceruloplasmin and MPO and the anti-MPO antibodies was measured using a biosensor, with the results confirmed by chaotrope ELISA. RESULTS: Affinity-purified anti-MPO antibodies from patients with microscopic polyangiitis and florid renal vasculitis inhibited the binding between ceruloplasmin and MPO to a maximum of 72.9 +/- 12.8%, whereas those from patients with Wegener's granulomatosis and only minimal renal involvement inhibited the binding to a maximum of only 36.8 +/- 10.9% (P < 0. 001), with comparable reversal of the ceruloplasmin-mediated inhibition of MPO activity. Measurement of the affinity of the interactions demonstrated that binding between MPO and the anti-MPO antibodies is stronger than that between MPO and ceruloplasmin (1.61 x 107 to 1.33 x 108 vs. 7.46 x 106 m-1), indicating that binding to the autoantibody would be favored in vivo. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms a role for ceruloplasmin as a physiological inhibitor of MPO, and demonstrates how the inhibition may be disrupted in the presence of anti-MPO antibodies. Because a majority (16 of 21) of the antibodies did not themselves inhibit MPO activity, their interference with the inhibition mediated by ceruloplasmin may be brought about by steric hindrance consequent upon the binding of the antibody to a dominant epitope at or near the active site.

Semi-specific immuno-absorption and monoclonal antibody therapy in ANCA positive vasculitis: experience in four cases.

The treatment of renal limited systemic vasculitis usually involves a combination of cytotoxic drugs and steroids. As shown by randomised prospective controlled trial, plasmapheresis may be of additional benefit for the management of patients with renal involvement severe enough to require dialysis support. Recently, growing evidence has suggested that autoantibodies to neutrophil cytoplasm (ANCA) may play a role in the pathogenesis of the primary vasculitides by promoting neutrophil mediated endothelial cell cytotoxicity. This has led to new strategies for treatment based on firstly, the use of semi-specific immunoabsorption (IA) devices to remove circulating autoantibodies, and secondly, the use of 'Humanised' monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) with specificity for lymphocytes, particularly T lymphocytes. We have treated four patients, two with ANCA specificity for proteinase 3 (PR3), and two with specificity for myeloperoxidase (MPO). Semi-specific IA was carried out by plasmapheresis through extracorporeal online devices, using L tryptophan as the immobilised immunoabsorbant. Of the four patients who received IA, three showed substantial depletion in ANCA titres and resolution of clinical symptoms. The MAbs were subsequently used to attempt to obtain long-term control of ANCA synthesis. These results suggest that an optimal strategy for treatment of systemic vasculitis might consist of specific IA, using immobilised ANCA antigens to deplete circulating vasculotoxic antibodies, combined with MAb therapy to restore immune homeostasis.

Tracheal involvement in Wegener's granulomatosis: evaluation using spiral CT.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the computed tomography (CT) appearances of tracheal stenosis in Wegener's granulomatosis (WG) and to assess the additional value of reformatted images. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Ten patients with tracheal involvement by WG were assessed with spiral CT and both coronal and three-dimensional surface shaded images were generated. Fibreoptic bronchoscopy was also performed in all patients. RESULTS: Ninety per cent of lesions were situated in the subglottic region. In all cases there was circumferential mucosal thickening, in nine cases extending over a relatively short distance (mean 2.4 cm). The degree of narrowing of the axial luminal diameter ranged from 23% to 100%. In three patients there was contiguous involvement of the vocal cords evident on CT, two further cases with mild vocal cord inflammation were identified bronchoscopically. Other CT findings included mucosal irregularity and ulceration (50%), and involvement of the tracheal cartilages (20%). CONCLUSION: Wegener's granulomatosis may involve the trachea with resultant stenosis. Spiral CT is an easily performed, non-invasive technique which provides accurate assessment of tracheal lesions and is complementary to bronchoscopy. The main additional advantage of coronal reformatted images was our added confidence in defining the upper and lower limits of lesions and in the evaluation of vocal cord involvement.

Refractory Wegener's granulomatosis: a model for shorter immunotherapy of autoimmune diseases.

BACKGROUND: Humanised monoclonal antibodies are immunomodulatory tools with high specificity and sustained therapeutic potential. We investigated the effectiveness of treatment with monoclonal antibodies to lymphocyte CD52 and CD4 in patients with Wegener's granulomatosis that had proved intractable despite conventional treatment. We also investigated whether repeated courses of monoclonal antibody treatment alone could be used to control relapses in patients in remission. METHOD: We studied 17 consecutive patients with refractory Wegener's granulomatosis seen between June 1992 and June 1996. In all patients, treatment with prednisolone and cyclophosphamide or azathioprine for at least six months had been unsuccessful, and all were followed up for at least six months after monoclonal antibody treatment. Diagnosis was established on clinical, serological and histological criteria. Disease activity in the upper airways, lungs or kidneys at referral was documented by whole-body scintiscanning, computed tomography, or isotope measurement of the glomerular filtration rate, as well as by tissue biopsy, where appropriate. Monoclonal antibodies to CD52 followed by CD4 were given intravenously in courses lasting five days each. RESULTS: Remission (programmed withdrawal of drug treatment with no return of refractory disease) was obtained in 16 patients after one course of CD52 +/- CD4, and confirmed by serial studies of abnormalities found before treatment. In one patient, disease remained unchecked. In responders, cytotoxic drugs were stopped during monoclonal antibody treatment and were not used again, while steroids were tapered off gradually. Disease relapses occurred in nine. Monoclonal antibodies alone controlled these during follow-up that totalled 30 patient years. Neither systemic opportunistic infection nor lymphoma development complicated this regimen. CONCLUSION: Monoclonal antibody treatment may be better and safer for diseases, such as Wegener's granulomatosis, that require long-term cytotoxic and steroid treatment because it speeds remission and avoids the iatrogenic complications of cumulative drug toxicity.

Myeloperoxidase autoantibodies distinguish vasculitis mediated by anti-neutrophil cytoplasm antibodies from immune complex disease in MRL/Mp-lpr/lpr mice: a spontaneous model for human microscopic angiitis.

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasm antibodies (ANCA) with specificity for myeloperoxidase (MPO) occur in the sera of patients with microscopic angiitis, an autoimmune disease characterized by necrotizing vasculitis and crescentic glomerulonephritis. These autoantibodies have been shown to stimulate neutrophil degranulation and are believed to participate in pathogenesis. A neutrophilic vasculitis has been reported in MRL-lpr mice which has histological appearances similar to microscopic angiitis. In the present study we show that 22% of female MRL-lpr mice develop MPO autoantibodies. These animals develop a clinical syndrome of vasculitis and glomerulonephritis that is distinct from immune complex disease. Anti-MPO monoclonal antibodies derived from these mice are polyreactive and react with double-stranded DNA. They bind a conformational epitope on human MPO which is also expressed by activated human neutrophils. The results suggest that a subset of MRL-lpr mice develop ANCA-related vasculitis rather than systemic lupus erythematosus and may be used as a model for human microscopic angiitis.

Antineutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibodies (ANCA) in children with cystic fibrosis.

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) represent a useful diagnostic tool in patients with small vessel vasculitis. Circulating ANCA specific for bactericidal/permeability increasing protein (BPI) have been recently reported in adult patients with cystic fibrosis (CF), an autosomal recessive disorder caused by mutations in the cystic fibrosis transmembrane regulator (CFTR) gene with consequent impaired function of a transmembrane chloride channel. To contribute to the better understanding of the significance of ANCA in this disease, we investigated ANCA presence and antigenic specificity in children with CF. Results were correlated with clinical status, immunological data, age and genotype. The indirect immunofluorescence pattern of a total of 71 children with CF indicated that 31 were c-ANCA positive, while seven were p-ANCA positive. In further ELISA studies of ANCA antigenic specificity, 51 out of 66 investigated samples were positive for BPI, and 14 out of 28 were positive for proteinase 3 (PR3). We found an association between levels of antibodies against PR3 with age and Pseudomonas infection. We did not, however, find any correlation between CFTR genotypes, Pseudomonas infection or paediatric parameters and the level of anti-BPI antibodies. High positivity of anti-BPI antibodies were seen even among the youngest CF patients, before the development of clinical signs of CF, indicating that formation of ANCA might be a very early event in the disease. Both anti-BPI and anti-PR3 antibodies may play a significant, although variable role, in the pathogenesis of CF.

Catalase and alpha-enolase: two novel granulocyte autoantigens in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

In IBD, the target antigens of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibodies (ANCA) have not been fully identified, which limits the analysis of the diagnostic significance as well as of the possible pathophysiological role of these antibodies. In this study, we identify the target antigens of ANCA in large groups of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and Crohn's disease (CD). Apart from antibodies against lactoferrin and bactericidal/permeability-increasing protein (BPI), which have been reported before, antibodies against two novel granulocyte antigens were identified: antibodies against a 57/56-kD doublet were found in 38% of samples from UC patients and in 26% of samples from CD patients, whereas antibodies against a 47-kD protein were found in 10% of samples from UC patients and in 18% of samples from CD patients. Partial purification and amino acid sequence analysis identified the 57-kD protein as catalase and the 47-kD protein as alpha-enolase. This study is the first to report catalase and alpha-enolase as granulocyte antigens for autoantibodies in IBD.