Recovery of surgery in the elderly (ROSE) program: The efficacy of a multi-modal prehabilitation program implemented in frail and pre-frail elderly undergoing major abdominal surgery.

BACKGROUND: Major abdominal surgery is associated with a high rate of post-operative complications with increased risk of adverse surgical outcomes due to the presence of frailty. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the multimodal Recovery of Surgery in the Elderly (ROSE) prehabilitation program with supervised exercise in mitigating postoperative functional decline when compared to standard care. METHOD: The ROSE program enrolled ambulant patients who were 65 years and above, had a Clinical Frailty Scale score of 4 or more and were planned for major abdominal surgery. Participation in supervised exercise sessions before surgery were compared with standard physiotherapy advice. The primary outcome was 6-min walk test (6MWT) distance assessed at baseline, after prehabilitation and 30 days follow-up after surgery. Secondary outcomes included physical performance, length of hospital stay and postoperative morbidity. RESULTS: Data from 74 eligible patients, 37 in each group, were included. Median age was 78 years old. Forty-two patients (22 in Prehab group and 20 in control group) with complete 6MWT follow-up data at 30 days follow-up were analysed for outcomes. Most patients underwent laparoscopic surgery (63.5%) and almost all of the surgeries were for abdominal malignancies (97.3%). The Prehab group had an increase in 6MWT distance at the 30-day follow up, from a baseline mean (SD) of 277.4 (125) m to 287.6 (143.5) m (p = 0.415). The 6MWT distance in the control group decreased from a baseline mean (SD) of 281.7 (100.5) m to 260.1 (78.6) m at the 30-day follow up (p = 0.086). After adjusting for baseline 6MWT distance and frailty score, the Prehab group had significantly higher 6MWT distance at 30-day follow-up than control (difference in adjusted means 41.7 m, 95% confidence interval 8.7-74.8 m, p = 0.015). There were no significant between-group differences in the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: A multimodal prehabilitation program with supervised exercise within a short time frame can improve preoperative functional capacity and maintain baseline functional capacity in frail older adults undergoing major abdominal surgery.

Before and after COVID-19 pandemic: impact on hepatobiliary and pancreatic surgical services in a Singapore Tertiary Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Reallocation of healthcare resources to prioritize the COVID-19 pandemic-related incremental healthcare needs resulted in longer waiting times for routine elective clinical services. AIMS: We aimed to analyze the effects of the pandemic on the hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) unit's surgical workload. METHODS: The HPB unit's surgical workload for the months of January-June from 2019 to 2022 was extracted, retrospectively compared, and analyzed. This study was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05572866) and complies with the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guidelines. RESULTS: Benign elective surgeries were impacted adversely, with elective gallbladder operations decreasing by 45.2% (146 in 2019 vs 80 in 2020, p = 0.89) before slowly increasing to 120 cases in 2021 and rebounding to 179 cases in 2022 (p = 0.001). Elective oncology operations paradoxically increased, with liver resections rising by 12.9% (31 in 2019 vs 35 in 2020, p = 0.002) and maintaining 37 cases in 2021 (p = 0.0337) and 34 cases in 2022 (p = 0.69). Elective pancreatic resections increased by 171.4% (7 in 2019 vs 19 in 2020, p < 0.0001) and were maintained at 15 cases in 2021 (p = 0.013) and 18 cases in 2022 (p = 0.022). The overall emergency workload decreased from 2019 (n = 198) to 2020 (n = 129) to 2021 (n = 122) before recovering to baseline in 2022 (n = 184). The month-on-month volume generally showed similar trends compared to the other years except for February 2022 and May 2021. CONCLUSION: This audit shows that despite large-scale disruption of the local healthcare system, essential surgeries can still proceed with careful resource planning by steadfast and vigilant clinical teams.

Is the extent of functional liver remnant increase truly "functional"? A single-institution case series of patients with Associating Liver Partition and Portal vein ligation for Staged hepatectomy (ALPPS).

Aim of the study: Associating Liver Partition and Portal vein ligation for Staged hepatectomy (ALPPS) aims to induce rapid hypertrophy of the future liver remnant (FLR) to reduce the risk of post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). However, volumetric increase does not correspond to functional increase. This is a novel study which aims to compare the increase in standardized FLR (sFLR) vs. indocyanine green retention at 15 minutes (ICG-R15). Material and methods: This is a retrospective case series of patients who underwent ALPPS between May 2015 and January 2022. Primary outcomes were sFLR and ICG-R15. Secondary outcomes were incidence of PHLF, morbidity, recurrence, overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Results: There were 10 patients with median age of 60.5 years (range 29-69). Most patients had adenocarcinoma secondary to colorectal origin (80%). There were 7 patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy [median 6 cycles (range 5-9)]. Median size of the primary tumour was 5.0 cm (range 2.0-7.0 cm). There was a significant increase in median ICG-R15 after stage 1 ALPPS (8.8% vs. 10.2%, p = 0.024) and increase in median sFLR after stage 1 ALPPS (34.4% vs. 53.0%, p = 0.012). Linear regression showed no significant correlation between sFLR increase and ICG-R15 (B = 0.26, 95% CI: -0.82, 1.34, p = 0.565). One patient had PHLF. Median time to local recurrence and metastatic recurrence was 14.4 months (range 6.9-21.9) and 7.5 months (range 6.9-17.3) respectively. OS and DFS were 50% and 40% respectively. Conclusions: No significant relationship was observed between ICG-R15 and sFLR. Volume increase may overestimate the functional increase following ALPPS. Larger studies are needed to validate our findings.

Aging is Associated with Prolonged Hospitalisation Stay in Pyogenic Liver Abscess-A 1:1 Propensity Score Matched Study in Elderly Versus Non-Elderly Patients.

Background: Mortality of pyogenic liver abscess (PLA) is high ranging 10%-40%. Old age predicts outcomes in many diseases but there is paucity of data on PLA outcomes. We aim to compare the morbidity and mortality between elderly and non-elderly in PLA. Methods: This is a retrospective study from 2007-2011 comparing elderly (≥ 65 years old) and non-elderly (< 65 years old) with PLA. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was performed. Baseline clinical profile and outcomes were compared. Results: There were 213 patients (elderly patients = 90 [42.3%], non-elderly patients = 123 [57.7%]). Overall median age is 62 (interquartile range [IQR] = 53-74) years old. PSM resulted in 102 patients (51 per arm). Length of hospitalisation stay (LOS) was significantly longer in elderly patients in both unmatched (16 [IQR = 10-24.5] versus 11 [IQR = 8-19] days; P < 0.001) and matched cohorts (17 [IQR = 13-27] versus 11 [IQR = 7-19] days; P = 0.001). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in elderly patients in the unmatched cohort (elderly patients = 21.1%, non-elderly patients = 7.3%; P = 0.003) but was insignificant following PSM (elderly patients = 15.7%, non-elderly patients = 9.8%; P = 0.219). Duration of antibiotic therapy and need for percutaneous drainage (PD) were comparable before and after PSM. Conclusion: Age ≥ 65 years old is associated with longer LOS. In-hospital mortality though higher in elderly patients, was not statistically significant.

Outcomes of an outpatient home-based prehabilitation program before pancreaticoduodenectomy: A retrospective cohort study.

Backgrounds/Aims: Prehabilitation aims for preoperative optimisation to reduce postoperative complications. However, there is a paucity of data on its use in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). Thus, this study aims to evaluate the outcomes of a home-based outpatient prehabilitation program (PP) versus no-PP in patients undergoing PD. Methods: This retrospective cohort study compared patients who underwent PP versus no-PP before elective PD from January 2016 to December 2020. Inclusion criteria for PP were < 65 years or 65-74 years with FRAIL score < 3. No-PP included dietician, case manager and anesthesia review. PP included additional physiotherapy sessions, caregiver training and interim phone consultation. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to evaluate length of stay (LOS), morbidity, 30-day readmission, and 90-day mortality. Results: Seventy-one patients (PP: n = 50 [70.4%]; no-PP: n = 21 [29.6%]) were included in this study. Median age was 65 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 58-72 years). Majority (n = 58 [81.7%]) of patients underwent open surgery. Ductal adenocarcinoma was the most common histology (49.3%). Patient demographics were comparable between both groups. Overall median LOS was 11.0 days (IQR: 8.0-17.0 days). Compared to no-PP, PP was not independently associated with reduced intra-abdominal collections (odds ratio [OR]: 0.43; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.03-6.11, p = 0.532), major morbidity (OR: 1.31; 95% CI: 0.09-19.47; p = 0.845) or 30-day readmission (OR: 3.16; 95% CI: 0.26-38.27; p = 0.365). There was one (1.4%) 30-day mortality. Conclusions: Our outpatient PP with unsupervised exercise regimes did not improve postoperative outcomes following elective PD.

Spontaneous retroperitoneal haemorrhage from pancreatoduodenal artery (PDA) rupture and associated complications.

Spontaneous retroperitoneal haemorrhage (SRH) is rare. It may present with abdominal or back pain with or without haemodynamic instability. Aggressive resuscitation while investigating the cause of bleeding and providing haemostasis are the standard of care. Subsequent close monitoring is necessary to identify early complications.This study reports three patients who presented to our institution within the last 5 years with SRH from a ruptured pancreaticoduodenal artery (PDA) aneurysm. Each patient had a unique presentation, complications and treatment demonstrating the variability and complexity of SRH. One patient presented with sudden abdominal pain and hypovolaemic shock, underwent angioembolisation and had an eventful recovery. Another patient presented similarly and was treated via angioembolisation but experienced gastric outlet obstruction and obstructive jaundice requiring surgical haematoma evacuation. Another patient had an incidental finding of haemoperitoneum during laparoscopic cholecystectomy that was subsequently diagnosed as SRH resulting from a PDA aneurysm rupture secondary to medial arcuate ligament syndrome.

Cholecystectomy for asymptomatic gallstones: Markov decision tree analysis.

Gallstones are a common public health problem, especially in developed countries. There are an increasing number of patients who are diagnosed with gallstones due to increasing awareness and liberal use of imaging, with 22.6%-80% of gallstone patients being asymptomatic at the time of diagnosis. Despite being asymptomatic, this group of patients are still at life-long risk of developing symptoms and complications such as acute cholangitis and acute biliary pancreatitis. Hence, while early prophylactic cholecystectomy may have some benefits in selected groups of patients, the current standard practice is to recommend cholecystectomy only after symptoms or complications occur. After reviewing the current evidence about the natural course of asymptomatic gallstones, complications of cholecystectomy, quality of life outcomes, and economic outcomes, we recommend that the option of cholecystectomy should be discussed with all asymptomatic gallstone patients. Disclosure of material information is essential for patients to make an informed choice for prophylactic cholecystectomy. It is for the patient to decide on watchful waiting or prophylactic cholecystectomy, and not for the medical community to make a blanket policy of watchful waiting for asymptomatic gallstone patients. For patients with high-risk profiles, it is clinically justifiable to advocate cholecystectomy to minimize the likelihood of morbidity due to complications.

Outcomes of surgical resection of super-giant (≥15 cm) hepatocellular carcinoma: Volume does matter, if not the size.

Background and Aim: Resection for giant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (≥10 cm) is deemed safe and feasible. However, a super-giant HCC (≥15 cm) poses unique technical complexity for hepatectomy with limited data suggesting feasibility and oncologic efficiency. This study aims to evaluate the short-term and long-term outcomes of hepatectomy in patients with super-giant HCC. Methods: A retrospective review was conducted on patients with super-giant HCC who underwent hepatectomy from 2011 to 2021. We report perioperative and oncologic outcomes such as length of stay (LOS), 30-day readmission, 90-day mortality, and cumulative survival rate. Results: Of the 18 patients, the median tumor diameter was 172.5 mm (range 150-250). The most common risk factor was chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (n=7, 38.9%). Most of the patients were Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) Stage B (n=14, 77.8%) and Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC) Stage IIb (n=15, 83.3%). Extended right hepatectomy was the most common procedure. The median LOS was 11 days (range 3-90). The most common post-operative complication was pneumonia (n=4, 22.2%). Fourteen patients were discharged well without any need for invasive therapy (n=7, 38.9% no complications, n=1, 5.6% Clavien Grade I, n=6, 33.3% Clavien Grade II). Thirty-day readmission rate was 5.6% (n=1) and 90-day mortality rate was 5.6% (n=1). There were 12 patients (66.7%) with microvascular invasion and three patients (16.7%) with macrovascular invasion. Most patients had Grade III (poorly differentiated) HCC (n=9, 50%). At a median follow-up of 11 months (range 2-95), 12 (66.7%) patients had local recurrence, and 9 (50%) developed distant metastasis. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative disease-free survival (DFS) was 36%, 18%, and 18%, respectively. The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative overall survival was 49% and 39%, and 29%, respectively. Conclusion: Primary hepatic resection is safe in patients with super-giant HCC. However, long-term outcomes are poor, and high tumor volume may be associated with inferior oncological outcomes in HCC. Relevance for Patients: The presentation of super-giant HCCs may be asymptomatic and some patients are diagnosed late with limited treatment options. In some centers, this group of patients are denied surgical resection and recommended for only locoregional therapies like TACE. This paper demonstrates that hepatic resection is safe and may be an option in patients who present at an advanced stage with a high tumor burden.

On-table hepatopancreatobiliary surgical consults for difficult cholecystectomies: A 7-year audit.

BACKGROUND: Cholecystectomy is considered a general surgical operation. However, general surgeons are not trained to manage severe complications such as bile duct injury (BDI) and should refer to hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) surgeons when difficulty arises. This study aimed to investigate the outcomes of patients who had on-table HPB consults during cholecystectomy. METHODS: This is an audit of 50 patients who required on-table HPB consult during cholecystectomy from 2011 to 2017. Consultations were classified as "proactive" and "reactive", where consults were made before or after surgical incision, respectively. Patient demographics and perioperative details were collected. RESULTS: The median age of the patients was 62.5 years [interquartile range (IQR) 50.8-71.3 years]. Eight (16%) patients had underlying HPB co-morbidity. Gallbladder wall was thickened in all patients (median 5 mm, IQR 4-7 mm), and common bile duct was of normal caliber in all patients (median 5 mm, IQR 4-6 mm). Median length of operation and length of stay were 165 min (IQR 124-209 min) and five days (IQR 3-7 days), respectively. Subtotal cholecystectomy was performed in 18 (36%) patients. Forty-eight patients were initially managed by laparoscopic approach, 15 (31%) required open conversion; majority (9/15, 60%) were initiated before on-table consult. Majority of referrals (98%) were reactive. Common reasons for referral included unclear anatomy or anatomical variations (30%), presence of dense adhesions and/or contracted gallbladder (18%) and impacted stones in Hartmann's pouch (16%). Three (6%) patients were referred for BDI (2 Strasberg D and 1 Strasberg E1), and two (4%) were referred for torrential bleeding from arterial injury (1 cystic artery and 1 right hepatic artery). Any morbidity and 30-day readmission were 22% and 6%, respectively. There was no 90-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Calling for help in BDI is obligatory, but in other instances is a personal choice. Calling for help prior to open conversion is lacking and this awareness should be raised. Whether surgical outcomes could be improved by early HPB consult needs to be determined by larger multicenter reports.

Predictors of mortality within the first year post-hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic resection (HR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is safe with good perioperative and long-term oncologic outcomes. There is a paucity of data with regards to intermediate-term outcomes (i.e., beyond 90-day and within 1-year mortality). This paper studies the risk factors for within 1-year mortality after elective HR with curative intent in patients with HCC. METHODS: An audit of patients who underwent curative HR for HCC from January 2007 to April 2016 was conducted. Univariate and multivariate analysis were sequentially performed on perioperative variables using Cox-regression analysis to identify factors predicting intermediate-term outcomes defined as within 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and hazard ratios were obtained. RESULTS: Three hundred forty-eight patients underwent HR during the study period and 163 patients had curative hepatectomy for HCC. Fifteen patients (9.2%) died within 1-year after HR. Multivariate analysis identified Child-Pugh class B/C (HR 5.5, p = 0.035), multinodularity (HR 7.1, p = 0.001), macrovascular invasion (HR 4.2, p = 0.04) postoperative acute renal failure (HR 5.8, p = 0.049) and posthepatic liver failure (HR 9.6, p = 0.009) as significant predictors of 1-year mortality. CONCLUSION: One-year mortality following HR for HCC remains high and can be predicted preoperatively by multinodularity, Child-Pugh class, and macrovascular invasion. Postoperative acute renal failure and liver failure are associated with 1-year mortality.

Rare case of pancreatic lipomatous hamartoma.

A middle-aged man had an incidental finding of 10.1 cm lipomatous mass arising from pancreatic body/neck detected on CT scan. He was asymptomatic. He underwent surgical resection of the mass due to concern for malignancy. His postoperative course was complicated by a high-volume pancreatic leak of approximately 900 mL/day. He underwent endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and insertion of a pancreatic stent, with some improvement in the pancreatic leak. His leak eventually settled after 3 months. The final histopathology showed lobules of mature adipocytes with small islands of disorganised benign pancreatic ducts and acini interspersed within them, suggestive of pancreatic hamartoma of lipomatous variant. Pancreatic lipomatous hamartomas are rare and are often diagnosed on final histopathology when the initial resection was performed due to diagnostic uncertainty or concern for malignancy. It is a benign lesion with an indolent course and must be discriminated from other lipomatous lesions of the pancreas. An awareness of the condition is important to help guide management.

The changing landscape of general surgery in the elderly - trends over a decade in a tertiary centre in Singapore.

An ageing population with higher rates of helping seeking behaviour and treatment utilization is a worldwide phenomenon with no exception to Singapore. As elderly patients are fast becoming an increasing large part of our surgical practice, their long term outcomes are particularly important. OBJECTIVE: We take stock of our local experience in a high volume tertiary centre in Singapore, Tan Tock Seng Hospital by reviewing the number of surgical procedures performed for elderly patients (65 years old and above) across a decade and reviewing their post-operative outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included elderly patients (>= aged 65) who underwent surgical procedures under general anaesthesia from January 2008 to December 2019. Demographic data, nature of operation, preoperative American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) status of patients and surrogate markers of outcome including average length of stay (ALOS), 30 and 90-day mortality were retrospectively analysed. RESULTS: Across a 12-year period, we observed a nearly overall two-fold increase in the number of surgical procedures for elderly patients from 1,129 cases in 2008 to 2,118 cases in 2019. The ALOS for elderly surgical patients trended downwards from an average of 12.3 days in 2008 to 9.0 days in 2019. All cause 30-day mortality rate of elderly patients dropped from 5.8% in 2008 to 2.7% in 2019. CONCLUSION: The landscape for general surgery in the elderly is changing in the context of advances in health care and a paradigm shift in treatment beliefs and perspectives. Ultimately, informed decision making, patient engagement and empowerment by the surgeon are keys to better outcomes and improved patient experience.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgical Services in Singapore: Retrospective Quantitative Study.

BACKGROUND: At the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) unit had to reorganize its surgical case volume due to the rationing of health care resources. We report on a local audit evaluating the impact of COVID-19 on the HPB unit and the HPB surgical oncology practice. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to review the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the HPB unit's elective and emergency surgical cases. The secondary aims were to investigate the impact on the HPB surgical oncology operative case volume. METHODS: We performed a comparative audit of the HPB unit surgical case volume for January-June 2019 (baseline) and 2020 (COVID-19). Elective and emergency cases performed under general anesthesia were audited. Elective cases included hernia and gallbladder operations and liver and pancreatic resections. Emergency cases included cholecystectomies and laparotomies performed for general surgical indications. We excluded endoscopies and procedures done under local anesthesia. The retrospective data collected during the 2 time periods were compared. This study was registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2000040265). RESULTS: The elective surgical case volume decreased by 41.8% (351 cases in 2019 compared to 204 cases in 2020) during the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of hernia operations decreased by 63.9% (155 in 2019 compared to 56 in 2020; P<.001) and cholecystectomies decreased by 40.1% (157 in 2019 compared to 94 in 2020; P=.83). The liver and pancreatic resection volume increased by 16.7% (30 cases in 2019 compared to 35 cases in 2020; P=.004) and 111.1% (9 cases in 2019 compared to 19 cases in 2020; P=.001), respectively. The emergency surgical workload decreased by 40.9% (193 cases in 2019 compared to 114 cases in 2020). The most significant reduction in the emergency workload was observed in March (41 to 23 cases, a 43.9% reduction; P=.94), April (35 to 8 cases, a 77.1% reduction; P=.01), and May (32 to 14 cases, a 56.3% reduction; P=.39); however, only April had a statistically significant reduction in workload (P=.01). CONCLUSIONS: The reallocation of resources due to the COVID-19 pandemic did not adversely impact elective HPB oncology work. With prudent measures in place, essential surgical services can be maintained during a pandemic. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR2000040265); https://tinyurl.com/ms9kpr6x.

Imaging mimickers of cholangiocarcinoma: a pictorial review.

Cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) is the second most common primary hepatobiliary malignancy and presents as three separate morphological subtypes; namely mass-forming, periductal-infiltrating, and intraductal-growing patterns. Each of these subtypes have distinct imaging characteristics, as well as a variety of benign and malignant mimics, making accurate diagnosis of CCA on imaging challenging. Whilst histopathological examination is required to arrive at a definitive diagnosis, it is still important for radiologists to be cognizant of these entities and provide reasonable differential diagnoses, as these potentially have a large impact on patient management. This pictorial essay illustrates the three morphological subtypes of CCA, as well as some important mimics for each subtype, that are encountered in clinical practice.

Sequential organ failure assessment score is superior to other prognostic indices in acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common surgical condition, with severe AP (SAP) potentially lethal. Many prognostic indices, including; acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score (APACHE II), bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP), Glasgow score, harmless acute pancreatitis score (HAPS), Ranson's score, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) evaluate AP severity and predict mortality. AIM: To evaluate these indices' utility in predicting severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and mortality. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 653 patients with AP from July 2009 to September 2016 was performed. The demographic, clinical profile, and patient outcomes were collected. SAP was defined as per the revised Atlanta classification. Values for APACHE II score, BISAP, HAPS, and SOFA within 24 h of admission were retrospectively obtained based on laboratory results and patient evaluation recorded on a secure hospital-based online electronic platform. Data with < 10% missing data was imputed via mean substitution. Other patient information such as demographics, disease etiology, and patient outcomes were also derived from electronic medical records. RESULTS: The mean age was 58.7 ± 17.5 years, with 58.7% males. Gallstones (n = 404, 61.9%), alcohol (n = 38, 5.8%), and hypertriglyceridemia (n = 19, 2.9%) were more common aetiologies. 81 (12.4%) patients developed SAP, 20 (3.1%) required ICU admission, and 12 (1.8%) deaths were attributed to SAP. Ranson's score and APACHE-II demonstrated the highest sensitivity in predicting SAP (92.6%, 80.2% respectively), ICU admission (100%), and mortality (100%). While SOFA and BISAP demonstrated lowest sensitivity in predicting SAP (13.6%, 24.7% respectively), ICU admission (40.0%, 25.0% respectively) and mortality (50.0%, 25.5% respectively). However, SOFA demonstrated the highest specificity in predicting SAP (99.7%), ICU admission (99.2%), and mortality (98.9%). SOFA demonstrated the highest positive predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and overall accuracy in predicting SAP, ICU admission, and mortality. SOFA and Ranson's score demonstrated the highest area under receiver-operator curves at 48 h in predicting SAP (0.966, 0.857 respectively), ICU admission (0.943, 0.946 respectively), and mortality (0.968, 0.917 respectively). CONCLUSION: The SOFA and 48-h Ranson's scores accurately predict severity, ICU admission, and mortality in AP, with more favorable statistics for the SOFA score.

Validation of Tokyo Guidelines 2007 and Tokyo Guidelines 2013/2018 Criteria for Acute Cholangitis and Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Acute cholangitis (AC) is a common emergency with a significant mortality risk. The Tokyo Guidelines (TG) provide recommendations for diagnosis, severity stratification, and management of AC. However, validation of the TG remains poor. This study aims to validate TG07, TG13, and TG18 criteria and identify predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients with AC. METHODS: This is a retrospective audit of patients with a discharge diagnosis of AC in the year 2016. Demographic, clinical, investigation, management and mortality data were documented. We performed a multinomial logistic regression analysis with stepwise variable selection to identify severity predictors for in-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-two patients with a median age of 75.9 years (IQR 64.8-82.8) years were included for analysis. TG13/TG18 diagnostic criteria were more sensitive than TG07 diagnostic criteria (85.1 vs. 75.2%; p < 0.006). The majority of the patients (n = 178; 67.9%) presented with abdominal pain, pyrexia (n = 156; 59.5%), and vomiting (n = 123; 46.9%). Blood cultures were positive in 95 (36.3%) patients, and 79 (83.2%) patients had monomicrobial growth. The 30-day, 90-day, and in-hospital mortality numbers were 3 (1.1%), 11 (4.2%), and 15 (5.7%), respectively. In multivariate analysis, type 2 diabetes mellitus (OR = 12.531; 95% CI 0.354-116.015; p = 0.026), systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg (OR = 10.108; 95% CI 1.094-93.395; p = 0.041), Glasgow coma score <15 (OR = 38.16; 95% CI 1.804-807.191; p = 0.019), and malignancy (OR = 14.135; 95% CI 1.017-196.394; p = 0.049) predicted in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION: TG13/18 diagnostic criteria are more sensitive than TG07 diagnostic criteria. Type 2 diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure <100 mm Hg, Glasgow coma score <15, and malignant etiology predict in-hospital mortality in patients with AC. These predictors could be considered in acute stratification and treatment of patients with AC.

Perceptions of Singaporeans towards informed consent: a cross-sectional survey.

INTRODUCTION: In a patient-centric health system, it is essential to know patients' views about informed consent. The objective of this study was to understand the perceptions of the local population regarding informed consent. METHODS: Spanning across six weeks from January 2016 to March 2016, a cross-sectional survey of adults attending General Surgery outpatient clinics at Tan Tock Seng Hospital was performed. Sociodemographic data, lifestyle and health-related information, perception and purpose of consent forms, and decision-making preferences were studied. RESULTS: 445 adults participated in the survey. Most participants were below 40 years old (n = 265, 60.1%), female (n = 309, 70.1%) and degree holders (n = 196, 44.4%). 56.9% of participants wanted to know every possible risk, while 28.3% wanted to know common and serious risks. On multivariate analysis, age (age 61-74 years: odds ratio [OR] 11.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-56.1, p = 0.004; age > 75 years: OR 22.2, 95% CI 1.8-279.1, p = 0.017) was a predictor of not wanting to know any risks. Age also predicted risk of disclosure for death (age 61-74 years: OR 13.4, 95% CI 4.2-42.6, p < 0.001; age > 75 years: OR 32.0, 95% CI 4.5-228.0, p = 0.001). Most participants (48.1%) preferred making shared decisions with doctors, and an important predictor was employment status (OR = 4.8, 95% CI 1.9-12.2, p = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Sociodemographic factors and educational level influence decision-making, and therefore, the informed consent process should be tailored for each patient.

A study of 3013 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma: Etiology and therapy before and during the current decade.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a significant global problem. With advances in HCC diagnosis and therapy, our hypothesis is that there are significant differences in the clinical characteristics and treatment of HCC over the years. METHODS: Patients with HCC between 1980 and 2018 from three major tertiary hospitals in Singapore were enrolled into a Research Electronic Data Capture database. Clinical characteristics and treatment of HCC were compared between those diagnosed before 2008 (cohort A) and during the current decade (ie from 2008 onwards) (cohort B). RESULTS: There were 3013 patients. Mean age of HCC diagnosis was significantly older in cohort B (68.6 vs 61.2 years, P < 0.001). The most common etiology remained as chronic hepatitis B infection but the proportion due to hepatitis B was significantly lower in cohort B (46.6% vs 57.2%, P < 0.0001). The prevalence of cryptogenic/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis was significantly higher in cohort B than cohort A (27.1% vs 18.6%, P < 0.0001). More patients received curative therapy in cohort B (43.7% vs 27.1%, P < 0.0001. CONCLUSION: In this largest collection of HCC patients in Singapore, patients are diagnosed with HCC at an older age and cryptogenic/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis is becoming more important as an etiology of HCC in the current decade. More patients also received curative therapy in the current decade.

Sustaining a Multidisciplinary, Single-Institution, Postoperative Mobilization Clinical Practice Improvement Program Following Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS) protocol has been recently extended to hepatopancreatobiliary (HPB) surgery, with excellent outcomes reported. Early mobilization is an essential facet of the ERAS protocol, but compliance has been reported to be poor. We recently reported our success in a 6-month clinical practice improvement program (CPIP) for early postoperative mobilization. During the COVID-19 pandemic, we experienced reduced staffing and resource availability, which can make CPIP sustainability difficult. OBJECTIVE: We report outcomes at 1 year following the implementation of our CPIP to improve postoperative mobilization in patients undergoing major HPB surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We divided our study into 4 phases-phase 1: before CPIP implementation (January to April 2019); phase 2: CPIP implementation (May to September 2019); phase 3: post-CPIP implementation but prior to the COVID-19 pandemic (October 2019 to March 2020); and phase 4: post-CPIP implementation and during the pandemic (April 2020 to September 2020). Major HPB surgery was defined as any surgery on the liver, pancreas, and biliary system with a duration of >2 hours and with an anticipated blood loss of ≥500 ml. Study variables included length of hospital stay, distance ambulated on postoperative day (POD) 2, morbidity, balance measures (incidence of fall and accidental dislodgement of drains), and reasons for failure to achieve targets. Successful mobilization was defined as the ability to sit out of bed for >6 hours on POD 1 and ambulate ≥30 m on POD 2. The target mobilization rate was ≥75%. RESULTS: A total of 114 patients underwent major HPB surgery from phases 2 to 4 of our study, with 33 (29.0%), 45 (39.5%), and 36 (31.6%) patients in phases 2, 3, and 4, respectively. No baseline patient demographic data were collected for phase 1 (pre-CPIP implementation). The majority of the patients were male (n=79, 69.3%) and underwent hepatic surgery (n=92, 80.7%). A total of 76 (66.7%) patients underwent ON-Q PainBuster insertion intraoperatively. The median mobilization rate was 22% for phase 1, 78% for phases 2 and 3 combined, and 79% for phase 4. The mean pain score was 2.7 (SD 1.0) on POD 1 and 1.8 (SD 1.5) on POD 2. The median length of hospitalization was 6 days (IQR 5-11.8). There were no falls or accidental dislodgement of drains. Six patients (5.3%) had pneumonia, and 21 (18.4%) patients failed to ambulate ≥30 m on POD 2 from phases 2 to 4. The most common reason for failure to achieve the ambulation target was pain (6/21, 28.6%) and lethargy or giddiness (5/21, 23.8%). CONCLUSIONS: This follow-up study demonstrates the sustainability of our CPIP in improving early postoperative mobilization rates following major HPB surgery 1 year after implementation, even during the COVID-19 pandemic. Further large-scale, multi-institutional prospective studies should be conducted to assess compliance and determine its sustainability.

Elderly patients (≥ 80 years) with acute calculous cholangitis have similar outcomes as non-elderly patients (< 80 years): Propensity score-matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Acute cholangitis (AC) is a disease spectrum with varying extent of severity. Age ≥ 75 years forms part of the criteria for moderate (Grade II) severity in both the Tokyo Guidelines (TG13 and TG18). Aging is associated with reduced physiological reserves, frailty, and sarcopenia. However, there is evidence that age itself is not the determinant of inferior outcomes in elective and emergency biliary diseases. There is a paucity of reports comparing clinical outcomes amongst elderly patients vs non-elderly patients with AC. AIM: To investigate the effect of age (≥ 80 years) on AC's morbidity and mortality using propensity score matching (PSM). METHODS: This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of all patients diagnosed with calculous AC (January 2016 to December 2016) and ≥ 80 years old (January 2012 to December 2016) at a tertiary university-affiliated teaching hospital. Inclusion criteria were patients who were treated for suspected or confirmed AC secondary to biliary stones. Patients with AC on a background of hepatobiliary malignancy, indwelling permanent metallic biliary stents, or concomitant pancreatitis were excluded. Elderly patients were defined as ≥ 80 years old in our study. A 1:1 PSM analysis was performed to reduce selection bias and address confounding factors. Study variables include comorbidities, vital parameters, laboratory and radiological investigations, and type of biliary decompression, including the time for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP). Primary outcomes include in-hospital mortality, 30-d and 90-d mortality. Length of hospital stay (LOS) was the secondary outcome. RESULTS: Four hundred fifty-seven patients with AC were included in this study (318 elderly, 139 non-elderly). PSM analysis resulted in a total of 224 patients (112 elderly, 112 non-elderly). The adoption of ERCP between elderly and non-elderly was similar in both the unmatched (elderly 64.8%, non-elderly 61.9%, P = 0.551) and matched cohorts (elderly 68.8% and non-elderly 58%, P = 0.096). The overall in-hospital mortality, 30-d mortality and 90-d mortality was 4.6%, 7.4% and 8.5% respectively, with no statistically significant differences between the elderly and non-elderly in both the unmatched and matched cohorts. LOS was longer in the unmatched cohort [elderly 8 d, interquartile range (IQR) 6-13, vs non-elderly 8 d, IQR 5-11, P = 0.040], but was comparable in the matched cohort (elderly 7.5 d, IQR 5-11, vs non-elderly 8 d, IQR 5-11, P = 0.982). Subgroup analysis of patients who underwent ERCP demonstrated the majority of the patients (n = 159/292, 54.5%) had delayed ERCP (> 72 h from presentation). There was no significant difference in LOS, 30-d mortality, 90-d mortality, and in-hospital mortality in patients who had delayed ERCP in both the unmatched and matched cohort (matched cohort: in-hospital mortality [n = 1/42 (2.4%) vs 1/26 (3.8%), P = 0.728], 30-d mortality [n = 2/42 (4.8%) vs 2/26 (7.7%), P = 0.618], 90-d mortality [n = 2/42 (4.8%) vs 2/26 (7.7%), P = 0.618], and LOS (median 8.5 d, IQR 6-11.3, vs 8.5 d, IQR 6-15.3, P = 0.929). CONCLUSION: Mortality is indifferent in the elderly (≥ 80 years old) and non-elderly patients (< 80 years old) with AC.