A prediction model based on random survival forest analysis of the overall survival of elderly female papillary thyroid carcinoma patients: a SEER-based study.

OBJECTIVE: Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is a common malignancy whose incidence is three times greater in females than in males. The prognosis of ageing patients is poor. This research was designed to construct models to predict the overall survival of elderly female patients with PTC. METHODS: We developed prediction models based on the random survival forest (RSF) algorithm and traditional Cox regression. The data of 4539 patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Twelve variables were analysed to establish the models. The C-index and the Brier score were selected to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the models. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were also drawn to evaluate the accuracy of the models. The clinical benefits of the two models were compared on the basis of the DCA curve. In addition, the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) plot was used to visualize the contribution of the variables in the RSF model. RESULTS: The C-index of the RSF model was 0.811, which was greater than that of the Cox model (0.781). According to the Brier score and the area under the ROC curve (AUC), the RSF model performed better than the Cox model. On the basis of the DCA curve, the RSF model demonstrated fair clinical benefit. The SHAP plot showed that age was the most important variable contributing to the outcome of PTC in elderly female patients. CONCLUSIONS: The RSF model we developed performed better than the Cox model and might be valuable for clinical practice.

Deferoxamine protects cochlear hair cells and hair cell-like HEI-OC1 cells against tert-butyl hydroperoxide-induced ototoxicity.

Oxidative stress is the common mechanism of sensorineural hearing loss (SNHL) caused by many factors, such as noise, drugs and ageing. Here, we used tert-butyl hydroperoxide (t-BHP) to cause oxidative stress damage in HEI-OC1 cells and in an in vitro cochlear explant model. We observed lipid peroxidation, iron accumulation, mitochondrial shrinkage and vanishing of mitochondrial cristae, which caused hair cell ferroptosis, after t-BHP exposure. Moreover, the number of TUNEL-positive cells in cochlear explants and HEI-OC1 cells increased significantly, suggesting that t-BHP caused the apoptosis of hair cells. Administration of deferoxamine (DFOM) significantly attenuated t-BHP-induced hair cell loss and disordered hair cell arrangement in cochlear explants as well as HEI-OC1 cell death, including via apoptosis and ferroptosis. Mechanistically, we found that DFOM treatment reduced t-BHP-induced lipid peroxidation, iron accumulation and mitochondrial pathological changes in hair cells, consequently mitigating apoptosis and ferroptosis. Moreover, DFOM treatment alleviated GSH depletion caused by t-BHP and activated the Nrf2 signalling pathway to exert a protective effect. Furthermore, we confirmed that the protective effect of DFOM mainly depended on its ability to chelate iron by constructing Fth1 knockout (KO), TfR1 KO and Nrf2 KO HEI-OC1 cell lines using CRISPR/Cas9 technology and a Flag-Fth1 (overexpression) HEI-OC1 cell line using the FlpIn™ System. Our findings suggest that DFOM is a potential drug for SNHL treatment due to its ability to inhibit apoptosis and ferroptosis by chelating iron and scavenging reactive oxygen species (ROS).