Added Value of Next Generation over Sanger Sequencing in Kenyan Youth with Extensive HIV-1 Drug Resistance.

HIV-1 drug resistance testing in children and adolescents in low-resource settings is both important and challenging. New (more sensitive) drug resistance testing technologies may improve clinical care, but evaluation of their added value is limited. We assessed the potential added value of using next-generation sequencing (NGS) over Sanger sequencing for detecting nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) and nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) drug resistance mutations (DRMs). Participants included 132 treatment-experienced Kenyan children and adolescents with diverse HIV-1 subtypes and with already high levels of drug resistance detected by Sanger sequencing. We examined overall and DRM-specific resistance and its predicted impact on antiretroviral therapy and evaluated the discrepancy between Sanger sequencing and six NGS thresholds (1%, 2%, 5%, 10%, 15%, and 20%). Depending on the NGS threshold, agreement between the two technologies was 62% to 88% for any DRM, 83% to 92% for NRTI DRMs, and 73% to 94% for NNRTI DRMs, with more DRMs detected at low NGS thresholds. NGS identified 96% to 100% of DRMs detected by Sanger sequencing, while Sanger identified 83% to 99% of DRMs detected by NGS. Higher discrepancy between technologies was associated with higher DRM prevalence. Even in this resistance-saturated cohort, 12% of participants had higher, potentially clinically relevant predicted resistance detected only by NGS. These findings, in a young, vulnerable Kenyan population with diverse HIV-1 subtypes and already high resistance levels, suggest potential benefits of more sensitive NGS over existing technology. Good agreement between technologies at high NGS thresholds supports their interchangeable use; however, the significance of DRMs identified at lower thresholds to patient care should be explored further. IMPORTANCE HIV-1 drug resistance in children and adolescents remains a significant problem in countries facing the highest burden of the HIV epidemic. Surveillance of HIV-1 drug resistance in children and adolescents is an important public health strategy, particularly in resource-limited settings, and yet, it is limited due mostly to cost and infrastructure constraints. Whether newer and more sensitive next-generation sequencing (NGS) adds substantial value beyond traditional Sanger sequencing in detecting HIV-1 drug resistance in real life settings remains an open and debatable question. In this paper, we attempt to address this issue by performing a comprehensive comparison of drug resistance identified by Sanger sequencing and six NGS thresholds. We conducted this study in a well-characterized, vulnerable cohort of children and adolescents living with diverse HIV-1 subtypes in Kenya and, importantly, failing antiretroviral therapy (ART) with already extensive drug resistance. Our findings suggest a potential added value of NGS over Sanger even in this unique cohort.

An alternative approach to establishing trade-offs among greenhouse gases.

The Kyoto Protocol permits countries to meet part of their emission reduction obligations by cutting back on gases other than CO2 (ref. 1). This approach requires a definition of trade-offs among the radiatively active gases. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has suggested global warming potentials for this purpose, which use the accumulated radiative forcing of each gas by a set time horizon to establish emission equivalence. But it has been suggested that this approach has serious shortcomings: damages or abatement costs are not considered and the choice of time horizon for calculating cumulative radiative force is critical, but arbitrary. Here we describe an alternative framework for determining emission equivalence between radiatively active gases that addresses these weaknesses. We focus on limiting temperature change and rate of temperature change, but our framework is also applicable to other objectives. For a proposed ceiling, we calculate how much one should be willing to pay for emitting an additional unit of each gas. The relative prices then determine the trade-off between gases at each point in time, taking into account economical as well as physical considerations. Our analysis shows that the relative prices are sensitive to the lifetime of the gases, the choice of target and the proximity of the target, making short-lived gases more expensive to emit as we approach the prescribed ceiling.