The Spatial Extracellular Proteomic Tumor Microenvironment Distinguishes Molecular Subtypes of Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates continue to increase faster than those of other cancer types due to high heterogeneity, which limits diagnosis and treatment. Pathological and molecular subtyping have identified that HCC tumors with poor outcomes are characterized by intratumoral collagenous accumulation. However, the translational and post-translational regulation of tumor collagen, which is critical to the outcome, remains largely unknown. Here, we investigate the spatial extracellular proteome to understand the differences associated with HCC tumors defined by Hoshida transcriptomic subtypes of poor outcome (Subtype 1; S1; n = 12) and better outcome (Subtype 3; S3; n = 24) that show differential stroma-regulated pathways. Collagen-targeted mass spectrometry imaging (MSI) with the same-tissue reference libraries, built from untargeted and targeted LC-MS/MS was used to spatially define the extracellular microenvironment from clinically-characterized, formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue sections. Collagen α-1(I) chain domains for discoidin-domain receptor and integrin binding showed distinctive spatial distribution within the tumor microenvironment. Hydroxylated proline (HYP)-containing peptides from the triple helical regions of fibrillar collagens distinguished S1 from S3 tumors. Exploratory machine learning on multiple peptides extracted from the tumor regions could distinguish S1 and S3 tumors (with an area under the receiver operating curve of ≥0.98; 95% confidence intervals between 0.976 and 1.00; and accuracies above 94%). An overall finding was that the extracellular microenvironment has a high potential to predict clinically relevant outcomes in HCC.

Molecular signatures of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk is an urgent unmet need in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In cohorts of 409 patients with NAFLD from multiple global regions, we defined and validated hepatic transcriptome and serum secretome signatures predictive of long-term HCC risk in patients with NAFLD. A 133-gene signature, prognostic liver signature (PLS)-NAFLD, predicted incident HCC over up to 15 years of longitudinal observation. High-risk PLS-NAFLD was associated with IDO1+ dendritic cells and dysfunctional CD8+ T cells in fibrotic portal tracts along with impaired metabolic regulators. PLS-NAFLD was validated in independent cohorts of patients with NAFLD who were HCC naïve (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 22.7 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively) or HCC experienced (de novo HCC recurrence rates at 5 years were 71.8 and 42.9% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). PLS-NAFLD was bioinformatically translated into a four-protein secretome signature, PLSec-NAFLD, which was validated in an independent cohort of HCC-naïve patients with NAFLD and cirrhosis (HCC incidence rates at 15 years were 37.6 and 0% in high- and low-risk patients, respectively). Combination of PLSec-NAFLD with our previously defined etiology-agnostic PLSec-AFP yielded improved HCC risk stratification. PLS-NAFLD was modified by bariatric surgery, lipophilic statin, and IDO1 inhibitor, suggesting that the signature can be used for drug discovery and as a surrogate end point in HCC chemoprevention clinical trials. Collectively, PLS/PLSec-NAFLD may enable NAFLD-specific HCC risk prediction and facilitate clinical translation of NAFLD-directed HCC chemoprevention.

A blood-based prognostic liver secretome signature and long-term hepatocellular carcinoma risk in advanced liver fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Accurate non-invasive prediction of long-term hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in advanced liver fibrosis is urgently needed for cost-effective HCC screening; however, this currently remains an unmet need. METHODS: A serum-protein-based prognostic liver secretome signature (PLSec) was bioinformatically derived from previously validated hepatic transcriptome signatures and optimized in 79 patients with advanced liver fibrosis. We independently validated PLSec for HCC risk in 331 cirrhosis patients with mixed etiologies (validation set 1 [V1]) and thereafter developed a score with clinical prognostic variables. The score was then validated in two independent cohorts: validation set 2 (V2): 164 patients with advanced liver fibrosis due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection cured after direct-acting antiviral therapy; validation set 3 (V3): 146 patients with advanced liver fibrosis with successfully-treated HCC and cured HCV infection. FINDINGS: An 8-protein blood-based PLSec recapitulated transcriptome-based hepatic HCC risk status. In V1, PLSec was significantly associated with incident HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.35; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-4.23). A composite score with serum alpha-fetoprotein (PLSec-AFP) was defined in V1, and validated in V2 (adjusted odds ratio, 3.80 [95%CI, 1.66-8.66]) and V3 (aHR, 3.08 [95%CI, 1.78-5.31]; c-index, 0.74). PLSec-AFP outperformed AFP alone (Brier score, 0.165 vs. 0.186 in V2; 0.196 vs. 0.206 in V3, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The blood-based PLSec-AFP can accurately stratify patients with advanced liver fibrosis for long-term HCC risk and thereby guide risk-based tailored HCC screening.