Breast Cancer Diagnostics, Therapy, and Outcomes in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Population-Based Registry Study.

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). However, little is known about the actual therapy received by women with BC and their survival outcome at the population level in SSA. This study aims to describe the cancer-directed therapy received by patients with BC at the population level in SSA, compare these results with the NCCN Harmonized Guidelines for SSA (NCCN Harmonized Guidelines), and evaluate the impact on survival. METHODS: Random samples of patients with BC (≥40 patients per registry), diagnosed from 2009 through 2015, were drawn from 11 urban population-based cancer registries from 10 countries (Benin, Congo, Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mali, Mozambique, Namibia, Uganda, and Zimbabwe). Active methods were used to update the therapy and outcome data of diagnosed patients ("traced patients"). Excess hazards of death by therapy use were modeled in a relative survival context. RESULTS: A total of 809 patients were included. Additional information was traced for 517 patients (63.8%), and this proportion varied by registry. One in 5 traced patients met the minimum diagnostic criteria (cancer stage and hormone receptor status known) for use of the NCCN Harmonized Guidelines. The hormone receptor status was unknown for 72.5% of patients. Of the traced patients with stage I-III BC (n=320), 50.9% received inadequate or no cancer-directed therapy. Access to therapy differed by registry area. Initiation of adequate therapy and early-stage diagnosis were the most important determinants of survival. CONCLUSIONS: Downstaging BC and improving access to diagnostics and care are necessary steps to increase guideline adherence and improve survival for women in SSA. It will also be important to strengthen health systems and facilities for data management in SSA to facilitate patient follow-up and disease surveillance.

Colorectal cancer survival in sub-Saharan Africa by age, stage at diagnosis and Human Development Index: A population-based registry study.

There are limited population-based survival data for colorectal cancer (CRC) in sub-Saharan Africa. Here, 1707 persons diagnosed with CRC from 2005 to 2015 were randomly selected from 13 population-based cancer registries operating in 11 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Vital status was ascertained from medical charts or through next of kin. 1-, 3- and 5-year overall and relative survival rates for all registries and for each registry were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Multivariable analysis was used to examine the associations of 5-year relative survival with age at diagnosis, stage and country-level Human Development Index (HDI). Observed survival for 1448 patients with CRC across all registries combined was 72.0% (95% CI 69.5-74.4%) at 1 year, 50.4% (95% CI 47.6-53.2%) at 3 years and 43.5% (95% CI 40.6-46.3%) at 5 years. We estimate that relative survival at 5 years in these registry populations is 48.2%. Factors associated with poorer survival included living in a country with lower HDI, late stage at diagnosis and younger or older age at diagnosis (<50 or ≥70 years). For example, the risk of death was 1.6 (95% CI 1.2-2.1) times higher for patients residing in medium-HDI and 2.7 (95% CI 2.2-3.4) times higher for patients residing in low-HDI compared to those residing in high-HDI countries. Survival for CRC remains low in sub-Saharan African countries, though estimates vary considerably by HDI. Strengthening health systems to ensure access to prevention, early diagnosis and appropriate treatment is critical in improving outcomes of CRC in the region.

Cervical cancer survival in sub-Saharan Africa by age, stage at diagnosis and Human Development Index: A population-based registry study.

Cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in African women. We sought to estimate population-based survival and evaluate excess hazards for mortality in African women with cervical cancer, examining the effects of country-level Human Development Index (HDI), age and stage at diagnosis. We selected a random sample of 2760 incident cervical cancer cases, diagnosed in 2005 to 2015 from 13 population-based cancer registries in 11 countries (Benin, Cote d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Kenya, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Uganda and Zimbabwe) through the African Cancer Registry Network. Of these, 2735 were included for survival analyses. The 1-, 3- and 5-year observed and relative survival were estimated by registry, stage and country-level HDI. We used flexible Poisson regression models to estimate the excess hazards for death adjusting for age, stage and HDI. Among patients with known stage, 65.8% were diagnosed with Stage III-IV disease. The 5-year relative survival for Stage I-II cervical cancer in high HDI registry areas was 67.5% (42.1-83.6) while it was much lower (42.2% [30.6-53.2]) for low HDI registry areas. Independent predictors of mortality were Stage III-IV disease, medium to low country-level HDI and age >65 years at cervical cancer diagnosis. The average relative survival from cervix cancer in the 11 countries was 69.8%, 44.5% and 33.1% at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Factors contributing to the HDI (such as education and a country's financial resources) are critical for cervical cancer control in SSA and there is need to strengthen health systems with timely and appropriate prevention and treatment programmes.

Cervical cancer in Ethiopia - predictors of advanced stage and prolonged time to diagnosis.

INTRODUCTION: In Ethiopia, most cervical cancer patients present at advanced cancer stages, long time after they experience first symptoms. We investigated possible predictors of long time spans between symptom onset and pathologic diagnosis (patient intervals). We also aimed to seek out predictors for advanced cancer stage diagnosis. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 1575 cervical cancer patients who were registered at Tikur Anbessa Specialized Hospital (TASH), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia between September 2008 and September 2012. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to find predictors of long patient intervals. Cumulative odds ordinal logistic regression was used to identify predictors of cancer stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: Median patient interval was 30 weeks, with the interval substantially longer in patients residing in rural than urban areas. Longer patient intervals were associated with more advanced cancer stages at pathologic diagnosis. HIV-positive women had an almost 1.5 times increased risk of diagnosis at a more advanced stage. CONCLUSION: Cervical cancer patients are diagnosed after long time periods leading to advanced stages at diagnosis. Measures to raise awareness about cervical cancer, to increase screening and to shorten the time interval from recognition of symptoms to diagnosis are urgently needed.

Addis Ababa population-based pattern of cancer therapy, Ethiopia.

Cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa is becoming an important challenge for health services due to rising numbers of patients. In Addis Ababa with around 3.5 million inhabitants, more than 2000 cases are diagnosed annually. In this retrospective population-based cohort study we assessed completeness of and waiting time for cancer-therapy among patients registered in the Addis Ababa City Cancer Registry (AACCR), Ethiopia. Patient hospital files were retrieved to complete the data from AACCR. A total of 588 files were found (51% of those diagnosed from January to March 2012 and 2014). We analyzed completeness and waiting time of chemotherapy and radiotherapy; with completeness defined as ≥85% therapy received according to local guidelines. Analysis was done for the five most common cancer-types commonly treated with chemotherapy (breast, colorectal, non-Hodgkin`s lymphoma, lung and ovarian) and the four most common cancer-types commonly treated with radiotherapy (breast, cervical, head and neck and rectal). In our study, half of the patients (54.1%) received adequately dosed chemotherapy and 24.5% of patients received adequately dosed radiotherapy. The median waiting time was 2.1 months (Range: 0 to 20.72) for chemotherapy and 7 months (Range: 0.17 to 21.8) for radiotherapy. This study underscores the need for health system measures to improve cancer-directed therapy in Ethiopia, especially concerning radiotherapy.

Clinical Characteristics and Survival of Patients with Malignant Ovarian Tumors in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Ovarian cancer is the third leading cause of cancer death among women in Ethiopia, with about 2,550 diagnosed cases and 2,000 deaths each year. The incidence and mortality rates of this disease have been increasing in Ethiopia and other parts of sub-Saharan Africa over the past decades because of changing lifestyle and reproductive factors. In this study, we describe the clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and survival of patients with ovarian cancer in Ethiopia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 485 patients diagnosed between January 2009 and October 2015 at Addis Ababa University Hospital, Zewditu Memorial Hospital, or registered in the Addis Ababa population-based cancer registry. Follow-up data were obtained via telephone. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The median age was 46 years (range, 11-95). The estimated 1- and 2-year overall survival rates were 78% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.741-0.82.5) and 59% (95% CI, 0.538-0.646), respectively. Of those patients with result available (n = 423), 73.0% had epithelial cancers. Almost half were classified as Federation of Gynecology and Oncology stage III or IV (48.2%; stage available n = 201) resulting in worse outcomes (hazard ratio [HR], 2.91 [CI 0.67-12.64] and 3.03 [0.69-15.79], respectively). Four out of five patients received some form of surgery (82%), three out of five received platinum-containing chemotherapy. Patients with residual tumor after surgery (n = 83) showed worse survival outcome (HR, 2.23; 95% CI 1.08-4.49). CONCLUSION: Our study revealed substantial treatment gaps with respect to surgery and adequate chemotherapy. Higher stage, residual tumor and lack of chemotherapy impaired the outcome. Access to higher standards of ovarian cancer treatment is urgently needed in Ethiopia. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Ovarian cancer is often a fatal disease in high resource settings; now it is also becoming important in Ethiopia. This study included 485 women with malignant ovarian tumors treated in Addis Ababa who had a mean age of only 46 years because of the young population structure. Three quarters had the typical epithelial cancer, with half presenting with advanced stage III and IV. Improved oncologic surgery and sufficient chemotherapy could possibly improve their outcome. The relatively high proportion of women with nonepithelial cancer need adequate treatment options to have good prognosis.

Characteristics and follow-up of metastatic breast cancer in Ethiopia: A cohort study of 573 women.

OBJECTIVES: There is little information on characteristics, treatment and outcome of metastatic breast cancer (mBC) patients in low-income countries. This study aims to describe mBC in the setting of Ethiopia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted among all female mBC patients from the only oncologic hospital in Addis Ababa 01/2006 to 12/2010. Time between first metastasis and known death or loss to follow-up for more than six months as surrogate for death were used for Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS: A total of 573 patients were included; 188 (32.8%) women with de novo mBC (dnmBC) and 385 women with recurrent mBC (rmBC). The average age at time of first metastasis was 43.7 (standard deviation 11.9) years with an average survival probability of twelve months. Negative hormone receptor status, only present in 29% (Hazard ratio HR = 2.28 [95% confidence interval CI 1.56-3.32] p < 0.001), and grade 3 (HR = 1.72 [95% CI 1.15-2.55] p = 0.008) had significant influence on survival. Patients with initial bone metastasis (HR = 0.63 [95% CI 0.48-0.83] p = 0.001) had best chances of survival compared to more common initial visceral metastasis. About 35% of the patients received chemotherapy and 30.5% were on endocrine therapy. CONCLUSION: The lower survival for mBC in Addis Ababa compared to that from Western countries is presumably due to the later presentation at the hospital and lack of standard therapy. An unexpected high proportion of patients with hormone receptor positive mBC encourage consequent utilization of endocrine therapy to improve the quality of palliative care in this cohort.

Cervical Cancer in Ethiopia: The Effect of Adherence to Radiotherapy on Survival.

BACKGROUND: Discontinuation of radiotherapy (RT) for cervical cancer (CC) in sub-Saharan Africa is common because of patient- and health service-related reasons. This analysis describes toxicities and the effect of adherence on survival. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 788 patients with CC (2008-2012) who received RT at Addis Ababa University Hospital were included. External beam RT without brachytherapy was performed according to local guidelines. We previously described survival and prognostic factors. Now we analyzed adherence and survival according to total doses received. Adjustment via multivariate cox regression analysis was done. RESULTS: One-year overall survival (OS) after radical RT (n = 180) for International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stages IIA-IIIA was 89% for discontinuation (<72 Gy) and 96% for adherence (≥72 Gy; hazard ratio [HR], 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-3.3). One-year OS after nonradical RT (n = 389) for FIGO stages IIIB-IVA was 71% for discontinuation (<40 Gy) and 87% for adherence (44-50 Gy; HR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.4-6.9). One-year OS for FIGO stages IIIB-IVB (n = 219) after one compared with two or more palliative single fractions of 10 Gy were 14% and 73% respectively (HR, 7.3; 95% CI, 3.3-16). Reasons for discontinuation were toxicities, economic background, and RT machine breakdown. Grade 1-2 late toxicities were common (e.g., 30% proctitis, 22% incontinence). Grade 3 early and late toxicities were seen in 5% and 10% respectively; no grade 4 toxicities occurred. CONCLUSION: Patients who adhered to guideline-conforming RT had optimum survival. Better supportive care, brachytherapy to reduce toxicities, socioeconomic support, and additional radiation capacities could contribute to better adherence and survival. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: This study presents the effect of adherence on survival of 788 patients with cervical cancer receiving external beam radiotherapy without brachytherapy in Ethiopia. Discontinuation of planned radiotherapy according to local guidelines considerably reduced survival for all International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stages treated (hazard ratios were 1.3, 3.1, and 7.3 for FIGO stages IIA-IIIA and IIIB-IVA and the palliative approach, respectively). Early toxicity (5% grade 3) should be treated to improve adherence. Economic difficulties and machine breakdown should also be addressed to reduce discontinuation and improve survival.

Vulvar cancer in Ethiopia: A cohort study on the characteristics and survival of 86 patients.

Vulvar cancer (VC) is strongly associated with human papilloma virus (HPV) infections and immunosuppression (e.g., HIV). However, there is limited information on VC patient characteristics and survival in parts of sub-Saharan Africa, including Ethiopia, where chronic HPV and HIV infections are prevalent. The aim of this study is to provide a first view on VC patient characteristics in a sub-Saharan African setting.We present a retrospective analysis of records of 86 VC patients diagnosed between January 2010 and October 2015 at Addis Ababa University Hospital and other major health facilities in Ethiopia. Follow-up for vital status was obtained by telephone contact with patients or relatives. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality.The median age of the patients was 39 (range: 20-85) years, 83% with known HIV status were positive and 81% presented with FIGO stages 2 or 3. The median follow-up time for surviving patients was 17 months (range: 0.1-65.0 months). The 1- and 2-year survival rates were 80% and 51%, respectively. Approximately 37% of patients received surgery, 38% received radiotherapy, and 33% received chemotherapy. Patients who received therapy had better survival than those who did not [adjusted hazard ratios: surgery, 0.44 (95% CI, 0.19-1.03); radiotherapy, 0.36 (95% CI, 0.14-0.90); chemotherapy, 0.42 (95% CI, 0.15-1.12)].A substantial proportion of VC patients in Ethiopia present at a late stage and receive suboptimal treatment. HIV infections appear to be a common comorbid condition. These conditions result in poor outcomes.

First data from a population based cancer registry in Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: The Addis Ababa City Cancer Registry, established in September 2011, is the only population-based cancer registry in Ethiopia, covering a catchment population of just over three million habitants. Herein, we report incidence data based on the first two years of registration, 2012-2013. METHODS: Newly-diagnosed cancer cases in the capital city were actively collected from 22 hospitals, clinics, and diagnostic facilities. RESULTS: During 2012-2013, a total of 4139 newly diagnosed cases were recorded, with the majority (67%) occurring in females. Cancers of the breast (31.5%) and cervix (14.1%) were the two most common cancers among females, while colorectal cancers (10.6%) and non-Hodgkin lymphomas (10.2%) were the most common cancers among males. The average annual age-standardized rate for all sites 2012-13 were 136.2 (per 100,000) and 70.7 in females and males, respectively. Female age-standardized rates were 40.6 for breast cancer and 21.5 for cervix, while equivalent rates in males were 7.6 per 100,000 for colorectal cancer and 6.8 per 100,000 for non-Hodgkin lymphoma. CONCLUSION: In general, these incidence patterns were similar to those reported in neighboring countries, which suggests that the majority of cancer cases occurring in Addis Ababa are captured within this starting phase of the registry. However, our finding of colorectal cancer as the most commonly-diagnosed cancer in males is novel and requires further investigation.

The prevalence of estrogen receptor-negative breast cancer in Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: In contrast with breast cancers (BCs) in other parts of the world, most previous studies reported that the majority of BCs in sub-Saharan Africa are estrogen-receptor (ER) negative. However, a recent study using the US SEER database showed that the proportion of ER-negative BC is comparable between US-born blacks and West-African born blacks but substantially lower in East African-born blacks, with over 74% of patients Ethiopians or Eritreans. In this paper, we provide the first report on the proportion of ER-negative BC in Ethiopia, and the relation to progesterone-receptor (PgR) status. METHODS: We analysed 352 female patients with ER results available out of 1208 consecutive female BC patients treated at Addis Ababa-University Hospital, Ethiopia, from June 2005 through December 2010. The influences of age, stage, and histology on the probability of ER-negative tumours were assessed by a log-linear regression model. RESULTS: Of the 352 patients, only 35% were ER-negative. The proportion of ER-negative tumours decreased with advancing age at diagnosis and was not affected by histology or stage. For age, the proportion decreased by 6% for each additional 5 years (stage-adjusted prevalence ratio PR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.89-1.00). About 31% were ER- and PgR-negative, and 69% were ER- and/or PgR-positive. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to most previous reports in other parts of sub-Saharan Africa, the majority of patients in Ethiopia are ER-positive rather than ER-negative. These findings are in line with low proportions of ER-negative BCs from East African immigrants within the SEER database, and they have clinical implications for management of BC patients in Ethiopia and other parts of sub-Saharan Africa where ER-status is not ascertained as part of routine management of the disease. Since the majority of patients showed ER-positive BC, Tamoxifen-therapy should be given to all patients even with unknown ER status.

Cervical cancer in Ethiopia: survival of 1,059 patients who received oncologic therapy.

BACKGROUND: Almost 500,000 women are newly diagnosed with cervical cancer (CC) every year, the majority from developing countries. There is little information on the survival of these patients. Our primary objective was to evaluate consecutive CC patients presenting over 4 years at the only radiotherapy center in Ethiopia. METHODS: All patients with CC from September 2008 to September 2012 who received radiotherapy and/or surgery were included (without brachytherapy). Vital status was obtained through telephone contact or patient cards. RESULTS: Of 2,300 CC patients, 1,059 patients with standardized treatment were included. At the end of the study, 249 patients had died; surviving patients had a median follow-up of 16.5 months; the 10% and 90% percentiles were 3.0 and 32.7 months, respectively. Mean age was 49 years (21-91 years). The majority of patients presented with International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage IIb-IIIa (46.7%). Because of progression during the waiting time (median 3.8 months), this proportion declined to 19.3% at the beginning of radiotherapy. The 1- and 2-year overall survival probabilities were 90.4% and 73.6%. If assuming a worst-case scenario (i.e., if all patients not available for follow-up after 6 months had died), the 2-year survival probability would be 45.4%. CONCLUSION: This study gives a thorough 4-year overview of treated patients with CC in Ethiopia. Given the limited treatment availability, a relatively high proportion of patients survived 2 years. More prevention and early detection at all levels of the health care system are needed. Increasing the capacity for external-beam radiation as well as options for brachytherapy would facilitate treatment with curative intention.