Age-dependent changes in arterial blood pressure in neonates during the first week of life: reference values and development of a model.

BACKGROUND: Arterial pressure measurements are important to monitor vital function in neonates, and values are known to be dependent of gestational and postnatal age. Current reference ranges for mean arterial pressure in neonates have been derived from small samples and combined data of noninvasive and invasive measurements. We aimed to define reference values for noninvasive mean, systolic, and diastolic blood pressure during the first week of life in otherwise healthy preterm and term neonates defined by gestational and postnatal age. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study in a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) in a Dutch tertiary paediatric hospital, we included the noninvasive blood pressures of neonates admitted between 2016 and 2018, with exclusion of those with severe comorbidities (major cardiac malformations, intracerebral haemorrhage, and tracheal intubation >6 h). We defined the median (P50) with -2 standard deviations (sd) (P0.23), -1 sd (P16), +1 sd (P84), and +2 sd (P97.7) for gestational age and postnatal age using quantile regression, percentiles provided online (http://bloodpressure-neonate.com/). RESULTS: A total of 607 neonates, with 5885 measurements, fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The P50 values of mean noninvasive arterial blood pressure in extreme preterm infants steeply increased during the first day after birth and gradually increased within a week from 27 to 49 mm Hg at 24 h of gestational age, and from 49 to 61 mm Hg at 41 weeks of gestational age. CONCLUSIONS: These reference values for noninvasive blood pressure in neonates in the NICU for various gestational age groups provide guidance for clinical decision-making in healthy and diseased neonates during anaesthesia and sedation.

Cerebrovascular Pressure Reactivity Has a Strong and Independent Association With Outcome in Children With Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.

OBJECTIVES: To examine cerebrovascular pressure reactivity index (PRx) in a large cohort of children with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) in association with physiologic variables and outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective observational cohort study. SETTING: Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital in Cape Town, South Africa. PATIENTS: Pediatric (≤ 14 yr old) sTBI patients with intracranial pressure (ICP) monitoring (postresuscitation Glasgow Coma Score [Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS)] of ≤ 8). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Data were analyzed from ICM+ files sampled at 100Hz. PRx (a mathematical indicator of pressure reactivity) was calculated as a moving correlation coefficient between ICP and mean arterial pressure (MAP) as previously described. Associations between PRx, age, GCS, ICP, MAP, and cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) were examined with summary measures and correlation analysis using high-frequency data. Associations between PRx and mortality/outcome were examined with multivariable logistic regression analysis and the prognostic ability of PRx with receiver operating characteristic (ROCs) curves. The dataset included over 1.7 million minutes (28,634 hr) of MAP and ICP data in 196 children. The series mortality was 10.7% (21/196), and unfavorable outcome 29.6% (58/196). PRx had a moderate positive correlation with ICP ( r = 0.44; p < 0.001), a moderate negative correlation with CPP ( r = -0.43; p < 0.001), and a weak negative correlation with MAP ( r = -0.21; p = 0.004). PRx was consistently higher in patients with poor outcome and had a strong, independent association with mortality (ROC area under the curve = 0.91). A PRx threshold of 0.25 showed the best predictive ability for mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This is the largest cohort of children with PRx analysis of cerebrovascular reactivity to date. PRx had a strong association with outcome that was independent of ICP, CPP, GCS, and age. The data suggest that impaired autoregulation is an independent factor associated with poor outcome and may be useful in directing clinical care.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in patients with therapy-related myeloid neoplasm after breast cancer: a study of the Chronic Malignancies Working Party of the EBMT.

We performed a registry study on therapy-related myeloid neoplasm (t-MN), both therapy-related myelodysplastic syndrome (t-MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (t-AML) following treatment for breast cancer who underwent a first allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (allo-HCT). Of 252 identified female patients (median age 57 years), 77% were transplanted for t-AML and 23% for t-MDS, with a median time from breast cancer diagnosis to the diagnosis of tMN and subsequent allo-HCT of 3.7 and 4.6 years, respectively. At transplant, 191 patients were in remission for breast cancer, while 4 were not (57 missing). T-MN was in a complete remission at the time of transplant in 67% of patients. 2-year overall survival, relapse free-survival, relapse incidence and non-relapse mortality were 50%, 45%, 33%, and 22%, respectively. Multivariable analysis revealed that if the t-MN was not in CR pre-transplant, this was associated with lower OS, RFS, and a higher relapse incidence. Seventeen cases of breast cancer recurrence were recorded after a median of 2.4 years post-transplant, and relapse of primary breast cancer accounted for 7% of deaths. This study indicates that allo-HCT for t-MN following treatment for breast cancer shows encouraging transplant outcomes. The incidence of breast cancer relapse post-transplant remains a cause for concern.

High Systemic Immune Inflammation Index Is Associated With Low Skeletal Muscle Quantity in Resectable Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

Background and Aims: Failing immune surveillance in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is related to poor prognosis. PDAC is also characterized by its substantial alterations to patients' body composition. Therefore, we investigated associations between the host systemic immune inflammation response and body composition in patients with resected PDAC. Methods: Patients who underwent a pancreatectomy for PDAC between 2004 and 2016 in two tertiary referral centers were included. Skeletal muscle mass quantity and muscle attenuation, as well as subcutaneous and visceral adipose tissue at the time of diagnosis, were determined by CT imaging measured transversely at the third lumbar vertebra level. Baseline clinicopathological characteristics, laboratory values including the systemic immune inflammation index (SIII), postoperative, and survival outcomes were collected. Results: A total of 415 patients were included, and low skeletal muscle mass quantity was found in 273 (65.7%) patients. Of the body composition indices, only low skeletal muscle mass quantity was independently associated with a high (≥900) SIII (OR 7.37, 95% CI 2.31-23.5, p=0.001). The SIII was independently associated with disease-free survival (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.12-3.04), and cancer-specific survival (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.33-3.67). None of the body composition indices were associated with survival outcomes. Conclusion: This study showed a strong association between preoperative low skeletal muscle mass quantity and elevated host systemic immune inflammation in patients with resected PDAC. Understanding how systemic inflammation may contribute to changes in body composition or whether reversing these changes may affect the host systemic immune inflammation response could expose new therapeutic possibilities for improving patients' survival outcomes.

Outcomes following second allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation in patients with myelofibrosis: a retrospective study of the Chronic Malignancies Working Party of EBMT.

Therapeutic management of patients with primary or secondary myelofibrosis (MF) who experience relapse or graft failure following allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) remains heterogeneous. We retrospectively analyzed 216 patients undergoing a second allo-HCT for either relapse (56%) or graft failure (31%) between 2010 and 2017. Median age was 57.3 years (range 51-63). The same donor as for the first allo-HCT was chosen in 66 patients (31%) of whom 19 received an HLA-identical sibling donor, whereas a different donor was chosen for 116 patients (54%). Median follow-up was 40 months. Three-year overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were 42% and 39%, respectively. Three-year non-relapse mortality (NRM) and relapse rates were 36% and 25%, respectively. Grade II-IV and III-IV acute GVHD occurred in 25% and 11% of patients, respectively, and the 3-year incidence of chronic GVHD was 33% including 14% for extensive grade. Graft-failure incidence at 1 year was 14%. In conclusion, our data suggest that a second allo-HCT is a potential option for patients failing first allo-HCT for MF albeit careful patient assessment is fundamental to identify individual patients who could benefit from this approach.

Thiotepa-busulfan-fludarabine (TBF) conditioning regimen in patients undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for myelofibrosis: an outcome analysis from the Chronic Malignancies Working Party of the EBMT.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) remains the only curative option in MF. There is no consensus on the optimal conditioning regimen. We report outcomes of 187 patients with MF transplanted between 2010 and 2017 conditioned with TBF. Median age was 58 years. Median interval from diagnosis to allo-HCT was 44 months. Donors were haploidentical (41%), unrelated (36%) or HLA-identical siblings (23%). Stem cell source was PB in 60%. Conditioning was myeloablative in 48% of cases. Antithymocyte globulin (ATG) was used in 41% of patients. At 100 days, neutrophil and platelet engraftment were 91% and 63% after a median of 21 and 34 days, respectively. Grade II-IV and III-IV acute GVHD occurred in 24% and 12%, while at 3 years, all grade chronic GVHD and chronic extensive GVHD had been diagnosed in 38% and 11%. At 3 years, OS, RFS and GRFS were 55%, 49% and 43%, respectively. RI and NRM were 17% and 33%. On multivariate analysis, poor KPS and the use of unrelated donors were associated with worse GRFS and a higher grade II-IV acute GVHD, respectively. Neither donor type nor intensity of the conditioning regimen influenced survival outcomes. TBF is a feasible conditioning regimen in allo-HCT for MF in all donor settings although longer term outcomes are required.

Pharmacokinetic profile of amodiaquine and its active metabolite desethylamodiaquine in Ghanaian patients with uncomplicated falciparum malaria.

BACKGROUND: Accurate measurement of anti-malarial drug concentrations in therapeutic efficacy studies is essential to distinguish between inadequate drug exposure and anti-malarial drug resistance, and to inform optimal anti-malarial dosing in key target population groups. METHODS: A sensitive and selective LC-MS/MS method was developed and validated for the simultaneous determination of amodiaquine and its active metabolite, desethylamodiaquine, and used to describe their pharmacokinetic parameters in Ghanaian patients with uncomplicated falciparum malaria treated with the fixed-dose combination, artesunate-amodiaquine. RESULTS: The day-28 genotype-adjusted adequate clinical and parasitological response rate in 308 patients studied was > 97% by both intention-to-treat and per-protocol analysis. After excluding 64 patients with quantifiable amodiaquine concentrations pre-treatment and 17 with too few quantifiable concentrations, the pharmacokinetic analysis included 227 patients (9 infants, 127 aged 1-4 years, 91 aged ≥ 5 years). Increased median day-3 amodiaquine concentrations were associated with a lower risk of treatment failure [HR 0.87 (95% CI 0.78-0.98), p = 0.021]. Amodiaquine exposure (median AUC0-∞) was significantly higher in infants (4201 ng h/mL) and children aged 1-5 years (1994 ng h/mL) compared to older children and adults (875 ng h/mL, p = 0.001), even though infants received a lower mg/kg amodiaquine dose (median 25.3 versus 33.8 mg/kg in older patients). Desethylamodiaquine AUC0-∞ was not significantly associated with age. No significant safety concerns were identified. CONCLUSIONS: Efficacy of artesunate-amodiaquine at currently recommended dosage regimens was high across all age groups. Reassuringly, amodiaquine and desethylamodiaquine exposure was not reduced in underweight-for-age young children or those with high parasitaemia, two of the most vulnerable target populations. A larger pharmacokinetic study with close monitoring of safety, including full blood counts and liver function tests, is needed to confirm the higher amodiaquine exposure in infants, understand any safety implications and assess whether dose optimization in this vulnerable, understudied population is needed.

Impact of spleen size and splenectomy on outcomes of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for myelofibrosis: A retrospective analysis by the chronic malignancies working party on behalf of European society for blood and marrow transplantation (EBMT).

The role of spleen size and splenectomy for the prediction of post-allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant (allo-HCT) outcome in myelofibrosis remains under debate. In EBMT registry, we identified a cohort of 1195 myelofibrosis patients transplanted between 2000-2017 after either fludarabine-busulfan or fludarabine-melphalan regimens. Overall, splenectomy was performed in 202 (16.9%) patients and its use decreased over time (28.3% in 2000-2009 vs 14.1% in 2010-2017 period). By multivariate analysis, splenectomy was associated with less NRM (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44-0.93, P = .018) but increased risk of relapse (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.01-2.02, P = .042), with no significant impact on OS (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.67-1.12, P = .274). However, in subset analysis comparing the impact of splenectomy vs specific spleen sizes, for patients with progressive disease, an improved survival was seen in splenectomised subjects compared to those patients with a palpable spleen length ≥ 15 cm (HR 0.44, 95% CI 0.28-0.69, P < .001), caused by a significant reduction in NRM (HR 0.26, 95% CI 0.14-0.49, P < .001), without significantly increased relapse risk (HR 1.47, 95% CI 0.87-2.49, P = .147). Overall, despite the possible biases typical of retrospective cohorts, this study highlights the potential detrimental effect of massive splenomegaly in transplant outcome and supports the role of splenectomy for myelofibrosis patients with progressive disease and large splenomegaly.

Comparison of Alemtuzumab and Anti-thymocyte Globulin Treatment for Acute Kidney Allograft Rejection.

Rabbit anti-thymocyte globulin (rATG) is currently the treatment of choice for glucocorticoid-resistant, recurrent, or severe acute allograft rejection (AR). However, rATG is associated with severe infusion-related side effects. Alemtuzumab is incidentally given to kidney transplant recipients as treatment for AR. In the current study, the outcomes of patients treated with alemtuzumab for AR were compared with that of patients treated with rATG for AR. The patient-, allograft-, and infection-free survival and adverse events of 116 alemtuzumab-treated patients were compared with those of 108 patients treated with rATG for AR. Propensity scores were used to control for differences between the two groups. Patient- and allograft survival of patients treated with either alemtuzumab or rATG were not different [hazard ratio (HR) 1.14, 95%-confidence interval (CI) 0.48-2.69, p = 0.77, and HR 0.82, 95%-CI 0.45-1.5, p = 0.52, respectively). Infection-free survival after alemtuzumab treatment was superior compared with that of rATG-treated patients (HR 0.41, 95%-CI 0.25-0.68, p < 0.002). Infusion-related adverse events occurred less frequently after alemtuzumab treatment. Alemtuzumab therapy may therefore be an alternative therapy for glucocorticoid-resistant, recurrent, or severe acute kidney transplant rejection.

Inferential reproduction analysis demonstrated that "paracetamol for acute low back pain" trial conclusions were reproducible.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to reanalyze and reinterpret data obtained in Paracetamol in Acute Low Back Pain (PACE), the first large randomized controlled trial evaluating the efficacy of paracetamol in acute low back pain, to assess the inferential reproducibility of the original conclusions. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Mixed effects models were used to reanalyze pain intensity (primary outcome; 11-point Numeric Rating Scale) and physical functioning, health-related quality of life, sleep quality, and time until recovery (as secondary outcomes), according to the intention-to-treat principle. The original authors of the PACE study were not involved in the development of the methods for this reanalysis. RESULTS: The reproduction analyses indicated no effect of treatment on pain intensity and confidence intervals excluded clinically worthwhile effects (adjusted main effect for regular paracetamol vs. placebo 0.00 [-0.02, 0.01; P = 0.85]; adjusted main effect for paracetamol as-needed vs. placebo 0.00 [-0.02, 0.01; P = 0.92]). Similar results were obtained for all secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: This study indicates that the conclusions of the PACE trial are inferentially reproducible, even when using a different analytical approach. This reinforces the notion that the management of acute low back pain should focus on providing patients advice and reassurance without the addition of paracetamol.

Cerebral blood flow in children with syndromic craniosynostosis: cohort arterial spin labeling studies.

OBJECTIVE: In comparison with the general population, children with syndromic craniosynostosis (sCS) have abnormal cerebral venous anatomy and are more likely to develop intracranial hypertension. To date, little is known about the postnatal development change in cerebral blood flow (CBF) in sCS. The aim of this study was to determine CBF in patients with sCS, and compare findings with control subjects. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of patients with sCS using MRI and arterial spin labeling (ASL) determined regional CBF patterns in comparison with a convenience sample of control subjects with identical MRI/ASL assessments in whom the imaging showed no cerebral/neurological pathology. Patients with SCS and control subjects were stratified into four age categories and compared using CBF measurements from four brain lobes, the cerebellum, supratentorial cortex, and white matter. In a subgroup of patients with sCS the authors also compared longitudinal pre- to postoperative CBF changes. RESULTS: Seventy-six patients with sCS (35 female [46.1%] and 41 male [53.9%]), with a mean age of 4.5 years (range 0.2-19.2 years), were compared with 86 control subjects (38 female [44.2%] and 48 male [55.8%]), with a mean age of 6.4 years (range 0.1-17.8 years). Untreated sCS patients < 1 year old had lower CBF than control subjects. In older age categories, CBF normalized to values observed in controls. Graphical analyses of CBF by age showed that the normally expected peak in CBF during childhood, noted at 4 years of age in control subjects, occurred at 5-6 years of age in patients with sCS. Patients with longitudinal pre- to postoperative CBF measurements showed significant increases in CBF after surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Untreated patients with sCS < 1 year old have lower CBF than control subjects. Following vault expansion, and with age, CBF in these patients normalizes to that of control subjects, but the usual physiological peak in CBF in childhood occurs later than expected.

RAIN study: a protocol for a randomised controlled trial evaluating efficacy, safety and cost-effectiveness of intravenous-to-oral antibiotic switch therapy in neonates with a probable bacterial infection.

INTRODUCTION: High morbidity and mortality rates of proven bacterial infection are the main reason for substantial use of intravenous antibiotics in neonates during the first week of life. In older children, intravenous-to-oral switch after 48 hours of intravenous therapy has been shown to have many advantages and is nowadays commonly practised. We, therefore, aim to evaluate the effectiveness, safety and cost-effectiveness of an early intravenous-to-oral switch in neonates with a probable bacterial infection. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We present a protocol for a multicentre randomised controlled trial assessing the non-inferiority of an early intravenous-to-oral antibiotic switch compared with a full course of intravenous antibiotics in neonates (0-28 days of age) with a probable bacterial infection. Five hundred and fifty patients will be recruited in 17 hospitals in the Netherlands. After 48 hours of intravenous treatment, they will be assigned to either continue with intravenous therapy for another 5 days (control) or switch to amoxicillin/clavulanic acid suspension (intervention). Both groups will be treated for a total of 7 days. The primary outcome will be bacterial (re)infection within 28 days after treatment completion. Secondary outcomes are the pharmacokinetic profile of oral amoxicillin/clavulanic acid, the impact on quality of life, cost-effectiveness, impact on microbiome development and additional yield of molecular techniques in diagnosis of probable bacterial infection. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Erasmus Medical Centre. Results will be presented in peer-reviewed journals and at international conferences. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03247920.

The Systemic-immune-inflammation Index Independently Predicts Survival and Recurrence in Resectable Pancreatic Cancer and its Prognostic Value Depends on Bilirubin Levels: A Retrospective Multicenter Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to determine the prognostic significance of the systemic-immune-inflammation index (SIII) in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer, using cancer-specific survival as the primary outcome. BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is associated with a dysfunctional immune system and poor prognosis. We examined the prognostic significance of the SIII in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and the effects of bilirubin on this index. METHODS: We retrospectively assessed all pancreatic resections performed between 2004 and 2015 at 4 tertiary referral centers to identify pathologically confirmed PDAC patients. Baseline clinicopathologic characteristics, preoperative laboratory values such as absolute neutrophil, lymphocyte, and platelet counts, C-reactive protein, albumin, bilirubin, and CA19-9 levels, and also follow-up information, were collected. The associations of the calculated inflammatory indices with outcome were both internally and externally validated. RESULTS: In all, 590 patients with resectable PDAC were included. The discovery and validation cohort included 170 and 420 patients, respectively. SIII >900 [hazard ratio (HR) 2.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.55-3.48], lymph node ratio (HR 3.75, 95% CI 2.08-6.76), and CA19.9 >200 kU/L (HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.07-2.46) were identified as independent predictors of cancer-specific survival. Separate model analysis confirmed that preoperative SIII contributed significantly to prognostication. However, SIII appeared to lose its prognostic significance in patients with bilirubin levels above 200 µmol/L. CONCLUSIONS: SIII is an independent predictor of cancer-specific survival and recurrence in patients with resectable PDAC. SIII may lose its prognostic significance in patients with high bilirubin levels. Properly designed prospective studies are needed to further confirm this hypothesis.

Summer at the beach: spatio-temporal patterns of white shark occurrence along the inshore areas of False Bay, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Understanding white shark (Carcharodon carcharias) habitat use in coastal areas adjacent to large cities, is an important step when formulating potential solutions to the conservation conflict that exists between humans and large predatory sharks. In this study, we present the findings of a 2.5-year study of white shark occurrence and movement patterns adjacent to the City of Cape Town in False Bay, South Africa, with a focus on spring and summer months. Fifty-one white sharks were monitored annually at three offshore and twelve inshore sites by VR2 acoustic receivers, over 975 days from 1 May 2005 to 31 December 2007. RESULTS: Occurrence patterns at inshore sites during spring and summer were analysed using a generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) with a spatial term (longitude, latitude), time of day and year included as explanatory variables for site use. We found that sharks occurred more frequently at inshore sites along the northern and northwestern shores, compared to the rest of the bay, and they transitioned most frequently between four adjacent beach sites that encompass the most popular recreational water use areas in Cape Town. There was significant diel variation, with higher shark occurrence around midday, and a peak in shark occurrence in 2005, when human-shark interactions also peaked. However, we found no effect of shark size on occurrence patterns at inshore sites. CONCLUSIONS: White sharks showed the highest levels of occurrence at specific inshore sites between Muizenberg and Strandfontein beach, and thus inclusion of these sites within False Bay's marine protected area (MPA) network or recognition as Ecological or Biological Significant Areas (EBSAs) should be a future consideration. These insights into white shark habitat use at inshore sites in False Bay are important for successfully applying the principles of marine spatial planning (MSP) and for making science-based policy decisions. Furthermore, this information can be used to reduce potential shark-human conflict by incorporating it into future shark safety education campaigns.

Minimally Invasive, Spring-Assisted Correction of Sagittal Suture Synostosis: Technique, Outcome, and Complications in 83 Cases.

BACKGROUND: This series describes the results of minimally invasive strip craniotomy with additional spring distraction. METHODS: Included are the first 83 consecutive patients who underwent this procedure (January 1, 2010, to January 1, 2014). Outcome parameters were collected prospectively and included surgical parameters and complications, the occurrence of papilledema, skull growth, cephalic index, and photographic scores. RESULTS: Duration of surgery was 63 minutes, 19 percent required blood transfusion, and complications were minor. Postoperative papilledema occurred in two patients (2.4 percent). Head growth increased after insertion of the springs and declined afterward to 0.7 SD, comparable to earlier cohorts in the authors' center. The cephalic index increased from 67 before surgery to 74 after surgery and showed a small decrease during the 4-year follow-up. Photographic scores confirmed the initial improvement and showed a trend to further improvement during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort, spring-assisted, minimally invasive strip craniotomy was safe and effective. Results were similar to those from other techniques but with smaller incisions, shorter interventions, reduced blood loss, and a lower incidence of postoperative papilledema. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic, IV.

Safety and Immunogenicity of Newborn MVA85A Vaccination and Selective, Delayed Bacille Calmette-Guerin for Infants of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Infected Mothers: A Phase 2 Randomized, Controlled Trial.

Background: Vaccination of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected infants with bacille Calmette-Guérin (BCG) is contraindicated. HIV-exposed newborns need a new tuberculosis vaccination strategy that protects against tuberculosis early in life and avoids the potential risk of BCG disease until after HIV infection has been excluded. Methods: This double-blind, randomized, controlled trial compared newborn MVA85A prime vaccination (1 × 108 PFU) vs Candin® control, followed by selective, deferred BCG vaccination at age 8 weeks for HIV-uninfected infants and 12 months follow-up for safety and immunogenicity. Results: A total of 248 HIV-exposed infants were enrolled. More frequent mild-moderate reactogenicity events were seen after newborn MVA85A vaccination. However, no significant difference was observed in the rate of severe or serious adverse events, HIV acquisition (n = 1 per arm), or incident tuberculosis disease (n = 5 MVA85A; n = 3 control) compared to the control arm. MVA85A vaccination induced modest but significantly higher Ag85A-specific interferon gamma (IFNγ)+ CD4+ T cells compared to control at weeks 4 and 8 (P < .0001). BCG did not further boost this response in MVA85A vaccinees. The BCG-induced Ag85A-specific IFNγ+ CD4+ T-cell response at weeks 16 and 52 was of similar magnitude in the control arm compared to the MVA85A arm at all time points. Proliferative capacity, functional profiles, and memory phenotype of BCG-specific CD4 responses were similar across study arms. Conclusions: MVA85A prime vaccination of HIV-exposed newborns was safe and induced an early modest antigen-specific immune response that did not interfere with, or enhance, immunogenicity of subsequent BCG vaccination. New protein-subunit and viral-vectored tuberculosis vaccine candidates should be tested in HIV-exposed newborns. Clinical Trials Registration: NCT01650389.

Extension of the association structure in joint models to include weighted cumulative effects.

Motivated by a study measuring diabetes-related risk factors and complications, we postulate an extension to the standard formulation of joint models for longitudinal and survival outcomes, wherein the longitudinal outcome has a cumulative effect on the hazard of the event, weighted by recency. We focus on the relationship between the biomarker HbA1c and the development of sight threatening retinopathy, since the impact of the HbA1c marker on the risk of sight threatening retinopathy is expected to be cumulative, with the evolution of the HbA1c marker over time contributing to progressively greater damage to the vascular structure of the retina. Opting for a parametric approach, we propose the use of the normal and skewed normal probability density functions as weight functions, estimating the relevant parameters directly from the data. The use of the recency-weighted cumulative effect specification allows us to incorporate differences in the development of the longitudinal profile over time in the calculation of hazard ratios between subjects. The proposed functions provide us with parameters with clinically relevant interpretations while retaining a degree of flexibility. In addition, they also allow answering of important clinical questions regarding the relative importance of various segments of the biomarkers history in the estimation of the risk of the event. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Biomarkers of Cerebral Injury and Inflammation in Pediatric Tuberculous Meningitis.

Background: Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) leads to death or disability in half the affected individuals. Tools to assess severity and predict outcome are lacking. Neurospecific biomarkers could serve as markers of the severity and evolution of brain injury, but have not been widely explored in TBM. We examined biomarkers of neurological injury (neuromarkers) and inflammation in pediatric TBM and their association with outcome. Methods: Blood and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of children with TBM and hydrocephalus taken on admission and over 3 weeks were analyzed for the neuromarkers S100B, neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), in addition to multiple inflammatory markers. Results were compared with 2 control groups: patients with (1) a fatty filum (abnormal filum terminale of the spinal cord); and (2) pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB). Imaging was conducted on admission and at 3 weeks. Outcome was assessed at 6 months. Results: Data were collected from 44 patients with TBM (cases; median age, 3.3 [min-max 0.3-13.1] years), 11 fatty filum controls (median age, 2.8 [min-max 0.8-8] years) and 9 PTB controls (median age, 3.7 [min-max 1.3-11.8] years). Seven cases (16%) died and 16 (36%) had disabilities. Neuromarkers and inflammatory markers were elevated in CSF on admission and for up to 3 weeks, but not in serum. Initial and highest concentrations in week 1 of S100B and NSE were associated with poor outcome, as were highest concentration overall and an increasing profile over time in S100B, NSE, and GFAP. Combined neuromarker concentrations increased over time in patients who died, whereas inflammatory markers decreased. Cerebral infarcts were associated with highest overall neuromarker concentrations and an increasing profile over time. Tuberculomas were associated with elevated interleukin (IL) 12p40, interferon-inducible protein 10, and monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 concentrations, whereas infarcts were associated with elevated tumor necrosis factor α, macrophage inflammatory protein 1α, IL-6, and IL-8. Conclusions: CSF neuromarkers are promising biomarkers of injury severity and are predictive of mortality. An increasing trend suggested ongoing brain injury, even though markers of inflammation declined with treatment. These findings could offer novel insight into the pathophysiology of TBM.